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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records

Simple Diesel Train Fuel Consumption Model for Real-Time Train Applications

This paper introduces a simple diesel train energy consumption model that calculates the instantaneous energy consumption using vehicle operational input variables, including the instantaneous speed, acceleration, and roadway grade, which can be easily obtained from global positioning system (GPS) loggers. The model was tested against real-world data and produced an error of -1.33% for all data and errors ranging from -12.4% to +8.0% for energy consumption of four train datasets amounting to a total of 5854 km trips. The study also validated the proposed model with separate data that were collected between Valencia and Cuenca, Spain, which had a total length of 198 km and found that the model was accurate, yielding a relative error of -1.55% for the total energy consumption. These results show that the proposed model can be used by train operators, transportation planners, policy makers, and environmental engineers to evaluate the energy consumption effects of train operational projects and train simulation within intermodal transportation planning tools.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

High-speed impact of micron-sized diesel drop trains—Splashing dynamics, secondary droplet formation, and effects of pre-existing film thickness

This work investigates surface impingement of monodispersed diesel drop trains using computational simulations. The three-dimensional simulations include high-speed impact of micrometer-sized fuel drops onto initially dry and wetted stainless steel substrates. The drop size and impact velocity are representative of fuel injection conditions in internal combustion engines (ICEs). The drop trains serve as a simplified representation of fuel spray. To accurately capture the film that naturally develops on initially dry substrates, a dynamic diesel-stainless steel contact angle model was developed using experiments of single drop impact under ICE representative temperature. Simulations are presented for a highly splashing case and the effects of a pre-existing film on splashing dynamics were investigated, including the temporal evolution of splashed mass and film thickness. It was concluded that for thin films, the effect of pre-existing film thickness is less significant than in single drop impingement. Secondary droplet characterization was performed on simulation results, leading to instantaneous and time-averaged distributions of secondary droplet size, velocity magnitude, and trajectory angle. It was found that for each drop impingement, approximately 58% of the splashed mass is from the impinging drop itself, while the remainder of the splashed mass is composed of film liquid. From a high resolution case, details of secondary droplet formation are observed and three distinct phases of secondary droplet formation are identified. The detailed analysis of drop train impingement under engine-relevant conditions serves as a first step toward a robust understanding of fuel impingement and the development of cleaner and more efficient ICEs.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

RouteE-Powertrain [SWR-19-19]

RouteE-Powertrain is a tool for predicting energy usage over a set of road links. RouteE-Powertrain is a Python package that allows users to work with a set of pre-trained mesoscopic vehicle energy prediction models for a varity of vehicle types. Additionally, users can train their own models if "ground truth" energy consumption and driving data are available. RouteE-Powertrain models predict vehicle energy consumption over links in a road network, so the features considered for prediction often include traffic speeds, road grade, turns, etc. The typical user will utilize RouteE's catalog of pre-trained models. Currently, the catalog consists of light-duty vehicle models, including conventional gasoline, diesel, hybrid electric (HEV), and battery electric (BEV). These models can be applied to link-level driving data (in the form of pandas dataframes) to output energy consumption predictions. Users that wish to train new RouteE models can do so. The model training function of RouteE enables users to use their own drive-cycle data, powertrain modeling system, and road network data to train custom models. https://pypi.org/project/nrel.routee.powertrain/ pip install nrel.routee.powertrain

Holden, Jacob↗

(Invited) Fuel Cell Component Durability for Million Mile Fuel Cell Trucks

While significant advances have been made and early commercial fuel cell light-duty vehicles (LDVs) are starting to be produced, fuel cells in the heavy-duty-vehicle (HDV) transportation sector (including trucks, long-haul semitrailers, maritime, trains, etc.) are nascent, despite the fact that advantages of fuel cells compared to both diesel and electric powertrains are very compelling in terms of emissions, charging time, efficiency, power-to-weight ratio, among others. However, the fuel-cell technology for HDVs requires a paradigm shift in fuel-cell research and development compared to LDVs, where the emphasis becomes efficiency and improvements in durability instead of a focus on increased power densities and lower cell costs. Heavy-duty applications require significantly longer vehicle lifetimes (>25,000 hours/1,000,000 miles for heavy-duty trucks), and therefore require improved fuel cell durability compared to light-duty vehicles. In 2020, HFTO formed the Million Mile Fuel Cell Truck Consortium (M2FCT) that includes a core team of five national laboratories to overcome durability and efficiency challenges in PEMFCs for heavy-duty applications with an initial focus on long-haul trucks. While targets and testing protocols have been developed for light-duty vehicles, the same level of targets and testing protocols have not been established for heavy-duty transportation. With operational times of greater than > 25,000 hours required, the need for well-developed accelerated stress tests (ASTs) is amplified. Results from these ASTs demonstrate the need for more durable electrode layers and well-controlled potential variations. Finally, this presentation will provide an overview of the DOE's Fuel Cell R&D approach, highlighting past and current activities, as well as strategies to enable fuel cell competiveness for heavy-duty applications.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

An a priori evaluation of a principal component and artificial neural network based combustion model in diesel engine conditions

A principal component analysis (PCA) and artificial neural network (ANN) based chemistry tabulation approach is presented. ANNs are used to map the thermochemical state onto a low-dimensional manifold consisting of five control variables that have been identified using PCA. Three canonical configurations are considered to train the PCA-ANN model: a series of homogeneous reactors, a nonpremixed flamelet, and a two-dimensional lifted flame. The performance of the model in predicting the thermochemical manifold of a spatially-developing turbulent jet flame in diesel engine thermochemical conditions is a priori evaluated using direct numerical simulation (DNS) data. The PCA-ANN approach is compared with a conventional tabulation approach (tabulation using ad hoc defined control variables and linear interpolation). The PCA-ANN model provides higher accuracy and requires several orders of magnitude less memory. Here, these observations indicate that the PCA-ANN model is superior for chemistry tabulation, especially for modelling complex chemistries that present multiple combustion modes as observed in diesel combustion. The performance of the PCA-ANN model is then compared to the optimal estimator, i.e. the conditional mean from the DNS. The results indicate that the PCA-ANN model gives high prediction accuracy, comparable to the optimal estimator, especially for major species and the thermophysical properties. Higher errors are observed for the minor species and reaction rate predictions when compared to the optimal estimator. It is shown that the prediction of minor species and reaction rates can be improved by using training data that exhibits a variation of parameters as observed in the turbulent flame. The output of the ANN is analysed to assess mass conservation. It is observed that the ANN incurs a mean absolute error of 0.05% in mass conservation. Furthermore, it is demonstrated that this error can be reduced by modifying the cost function of the ANN to penalise for deviation from mass conservation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Emergency Diesel Generator Reliability and Installation Energy Security

The U.S. Department of Defense’s (DoD’s) fixed installations - or military bases - are a critical element of national security. Military bases support the maintenance and deployment of weapons systems, training and mobilization of combat forces, and provide direct support to combat operations. Fixed installations do not operate without energy and they rely largely on electricity to support critical missions and functions. Installations are dependent on a commercial grid that is vulnerable to disruption due to severe weather, physical attacks, and cyberattacks. This report looks at the impact on the highest priority critical loads.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Design and Optimization of Structured Multi-Functional Trapping Catalysts for Conversion of Hydrocarbons and NOx from Diesel and Advanced Combustion Engines

Oxides of nitrogen in the form of nitric oxide (NO) and nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ) commonly referred to as NOx, is one of the two chemical precursors that lead to ground-level ozone, a ubiquitous air pollutant in urban areas. A major source of NOx is generated by equipment and vehicles powered by diesel engines, which have a combustion exhaust that contains NOx in the presence of excess O 2 . Vehicular emission control catalysts are ineffective in eliminating CO, hydrocarbons, and NOx during engine cold-start when exhaust temperatures are below 200°C. The objective of the project was to develop and demonstrate a multi-functional, catalyzed trap that enables vehicles with advanced combustion strategies to meet Tier 3 emissions standards while achieving the 150 °C challenge for sustained co-oxidation of HCs and CO and ≥90% NO trapping and release during warmup. Specifically, the multi-functional Lean HC+NOx (LHCNT) was developed for application in the exhaust aftertreatment of conventional diesel engines and engines having low temperature combustion (LTC) regimes. Activities included the design and synthesis of adsorbents and catalysts, screening and evaluation. Passive NOx absorbers (PNA), hydrocarbon (HC) traps, and oxidation catalysts (OC) were evaluated for use in series or as integrated devices. Predictive tools were developed utilizing the characterization and analysis of these materials, and an emission system was designed and optimized utilizing the catalyst systems. Microkinetic models were developed for the PNA for the simple NO-only feed and complex feed containing CO, H 2 , and model hydrocarbons (ethylene and dodecane). A first-principles, mechanistic-based model of the PNA was developed which utilized molecular-scale estimates (density functional theory) of energy barriers, mechanistic-based kinetics and realistic treatments of the flow and transport processes. Two new oxidation catalysts were developed (PdCu alloy, mixed copper-ceria-cobalt oxide), both of which significantly lessened the detrimental inhibition by CO on hydrocarbon and NO oxidation. A method for lessening the detrimental impact of CO on PNA activity was developed that involves use of an oxidation catalyst upstream of the PNA. The SwRI Ectolab TM burner system was applied to evaluate the baseline PNA material and confirmed performance comparable to the benchflow PNA studies using simulated exhaust. Spatially-resolved mass spectrometry (SpaciMS) was used to measure the transient spatial profiles of reacting species spanning the length of a three-function LHCNT containing PNA, HCT, and OC. The findings from this study provide diesel vehicle and catalyst companies valuable information to develop more cost effective emission control catalysts which helps to expand the use of more fuel efficient diesel power. The fundamental modeling and experimental tools and findings from this project can be applied to catalyst technologies used in the energy and chemical industries. The project led to 14 publications in the peer-reviewed literature with 2 additional currently under review. Finally, the project also led to training of several doctoral students who were placed in research jobs in industry and academia. Specifically, Mugdha Ambast (UH) has joined Cummins, Kevin Gu (UVa) has joined GM, and Abhay Gupta (UH) is to join Caterpillar.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Impact of Miller Cycle Strategies on Combustion Characteristics, Emissions and Efficiency in Heavy-Duty Diesel Engines

This study experimentally investigated the potential of Miller cycle strategies as a means to improve fuel consumption and reduce NO x emissions in heavy-duty diesel engines. The experiments were conducted at constant engine speed, load, and engine-out NO x (1160 rev/min, 1.76 MPa net IMEP, 4.5 g/kWh) on a single cylinder research engine equipped with a fully-flexible hydraulic valve train system. Early Intake Valve Closing (EIVC) and Late Intake Valve Closing (LIVC) timing strategies were compared to a conventional intake valve profile. While the decrease in effective compression ratio associated with the use of Miller valve profiles was symmetric around bottom dead center, the decrease in volumetric efficiency (VE) was not. EIVC profiles were more effective at reducing VE than LIVC profiles. Despite this difference, EIVC and LIVC profiles with comparable VE decrease resulted in similar changes in combustion and emissions characteristics. Miller cycle operation at constant intake pressure resulted in lower peak cylinder pressure, higher exhaust temperatures and lower EGR requirements compared to the baseline case, albeit with a significant fuel consumption penalty. Increasing intake manifold pressure to match the baseline air-fuel ratio overcame the fuel consumption penalty, without compromising NO x emissions. Selected EIVC/LIVC profiles were compared to the baseline condition at three different overall turbocharger efficiencies (n TC ). At the baseline n TC , Miller cycle profiles can lower peak cylinder pressures and increase exhaust temperatures with a minimal penalty in BSFC and FSN. At higher n TC than baseline, Miller cycle can maintain the benefits of lower peak cylinder pressure and higher exhaust temperature without a BSFC or FSN penalty.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Mass Detection for Heavy-Duty Vehicles using Gaussian Belief Propagation

Predicting vehicle mass is critical to accurately estimate energy use and emissions of commercial trucks. However, data from vehicle telematics is often not at sufficient temporal resolution or accuracy for use in model-based detection methods. In this work, a new statistical mass prediction technique is described for heavy-duty vehicles that incorporates the use Gaussian Belief Propagation (GBP) for probabilistic inference. Similar to Bayesian inference models, the GBP model typically requires less labeled training data than other contemporary machine learning techniques. First, a factor graph is constructed, and a set of Gaussian belief nodes with associated means and variances are fitted to the training data. To better handle noisy input data, the GBP mass prediction model utilizes a k-nearest factors (kNF) algorithm for probabilistic inference on unseen testing data. The proposed method is compared with a classical weighted k-nearest neighbors (kNN) regressor. This statistical kNF-GBP model works even with low-quantity, low-quality initial training data, while being capable of realtime mass estimation. Unlike the kNN regressor, the GBP model produces a measure of uncertainty with its predictions. The proposed method is validated using curve-sampled driving data collected from multiple cloud-connected Class 8 regional haul diesel trucks. Both the kNN regressor and the kNF-GBP mass prediction model were able to predict payload mass with coefficients of determination above 0.97 with minimal data preprocessing.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Extreme Miller cycle with high intake boost for improved efficiency and emissions in heavy-duty diesel engines

This study experimentally investigates the impact of extreme Miller cycle strategies paired with high intake manifold pressures on the combustion process, emissions, and thermal efficiency of heavy-duty diesel engines. Well-controlled experiments isolating the effect of Miller cycle strategies on the combustion process were conducted at constant engine speed and load (1160 rpm, 1.76 MPa net IMEP) on a single cylinder research engine equipped with a fully-flexible hydraulic valve train system. Late intake valve closing (LIVC) timing strategies were compared to a conventional intake valve profile under either constant cylinder composition, constant engine-out NO x emission, or constant overall turbocharger efficiency (η TC ) to investigate the operating constraints that favor Miller cycle operation over the baseline strategy. Furthermore, utilizing high boost with conventional intake valve closing timing resulted in improved fuel consumption at the expense of sharp increases in peak cylinder pressures, engine-out NO x emissions, and reduced exhaust temperatures. Miller cycle without EGR at constant λ demonstrated LIVC strategies effectively reduce engine-out NO x emissions by up to 35%. However, Miller cycle associated with very aggressive LIVC timings led to fuel consumption penalties due to increased pumping work and exhaust enthalpy. LIVC strategies allowed for increased charge dilution at the baseline NO x constraint of 3.2 g/kWh, resulting in significant fuel consumption benefits over the baseline case without compromising exhaust temperatures or peak cylinder pressures. As Miller cycle implementation was shown to affect the boundary conditions dictating η TC , the LIVC and conventional IVC cases were studied at an equivalent η TC point representative of high boost operation. With high boost, LIVC yielded reduced NO x emissions, reduced peak cylinder pressures, and elevated exhaust temperatures compared to the conventional IVC case without compromising fuel consumption.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

An On-Demand Electric Transit Case Study of New Rochelle, New York

Here, this article characterizes the performance and ridership patterns of an on-demand transit (ODT) service utilizing lightweight electric vehicles (EVs) in New Rochelle, New York. Ridership sociodemographics, travel patterns (both temporal and spatiotemporal), and energy use from the service were explored using travel and survey data from September 2019 through December 2023. The ODT service was found to be used more by women (nearly 60%) and younger demographics (>65% under the age of 42), with peak use in the middle of the day and a grocery store as a top origin and destination. The service was utilized primarily for short trips (86% under 2 mi), with approximately one-third of riders using the ODT service to connect to a train or bus. The costs associated with fueling/charging were compared for different types of fleet vehicles, and the small, right-sized EVs were found to have annual charging costs that were roughly half of the refueling costs for conventional hybrid vans, and 24 times lower than a fleet of diesel buses. Evaluating the vehicle fleet and mapping current socio-spatial travel demand can inform system performance, guide service area development, and support future planning such as expansion to nearby communities and transit hubs. The findings in this case study suggest that on-demand electric transit may be a significant and growing space for advancing highly valued public mobility services. Public transport interventions that consider right-sized, electric, on-demand vehicles can help improve mobility access and reduce energy use and refueling costs.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Design and Optimization of Structured Multi-Functional Trapping Catalysts for Conversion of Hydrocarbons and NOx from Diesel and Advanced Combustion Engines

Oxides of nitrogen in the form of nitric oxide (NO) and nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ) commonly referred to as NOx, is one of the two chemical precursors that lead to ground-level ozone, a ubiquitous air pollutant in urban areas. A major source of NOx is generated by equipment and vehicles powered by diesel engines, which have a combustion exhaust that contains NOx in the presence of excess O 2 . Vehicular emission control catalysts are ineffective in eliminating CO, hydrocarbons, and NO x during engine cold-start when exhaust temperatures are below 200°C. The objective of the project was to develop and demonstrate a multi-functional, catalyzed trap that enables vehicles with advanced combustion strategies to meet Tier 3 emissions standards while achieving the 150 °C challenge for sustained co-oxidation of HCs and CO and ≥90% NO trapping and release during warmup. Specifically, the multi-functional Lean HC+NOx (LHCNT) was developed for application in the exhaust aftertreatment of conventional diesel engines and engines having low temperature combustion (LTC) regimes. Activities included the design and synthesis of adsorbents and catalysts, screening and evaluation. Passive NOx absorbers (PNA), hydrocarbon (HC) traps, and oxidation catalysts (OC) were evaluated for use in series or as integrated devices. Predictive tools were developed utilizing the characterization and analysis of these materials, and an emission system was designed and optimized utilizing the catalyst systems. Microkinetic models were developed for the PNA for the simple NO-only feed and complex feed containing CO, H 2 , and model hydrocarbons (ethylene and dodecane). A first-principles, mechanistic-based model of the PNA was developed which utilized molecular-scale estimates (density functional theory) of energy barriers, mechanistic-based kinetics and realistic treatments of the flow and transport processes. Two new oxidation catalysts were developed (PdCu alloy, mixed copper-ceria-cobalt oxide), both of which significantly lessened the detrimental inhibition by CO on hydrocarbon and NO oxidation. A method for lessening the detrimental impact of CO on PNA activity was developed that involves use of an oxidation catalyst upstream of the PNA. The SwRI Ectolab TM burner system was applied to evaluate the baseline PNA material and confirmed performance comparable to the benchflow PNA studies using simulated exhaust. Spatially-resolved mass spectrometry (SpaciMS) was used to measure the transient spatial profiles of reacting species spanning the length of a three-function LHCNT containing PNA, HCT, and OC. The findings from this study provide diesel vehicle and catalyst companies valuable information to develop more cost effective emission control catalysts which helps to expand the use of more fuel efficient diesel power. The fundamental modeling and experimental tools and findings from this project can be applied to catalyst technologies used in the energy and chemical industries. The project led to 14 publications in the peer-reviewed literature with 2 additional currently under review. Finally, the project also led to training of several doctoral students who were placed in research jobs in industry and academia. Specifically, Mugdha Ambast (UH) has joined Cummins, Kevin Gu (UVa) has joined GM, and Abhay Gupta (UH) is to join Caterpillar.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Evaluating Diesel/Biofuel Blends Using Artificial Neural Networks and Linear/Nonlinear Equations

Abstract The use of biomass-derived additives in diesel fuel mixtures has the potential to increase the fuel’s efficiency, decrease the formation of particulate matter during its combustion, and retain the fuel’s behavior in cold weather. To this end, identifying compounds that enable these behaviors is paramount. The present work utilizes a series of linear and non-linear equations in series with artificial neural networks to predict the cetane number, yield sooting index, kinematic viscosity, cloud point, and lower heating value of multi-component blends. Property values of pure components are predicted using artificial neural networks trained with existing experimental data, and these predictions and their expected errors are propagated through linear and non-linear equations to obtain property predictions for multi-component blends. Individual component property prediction errors, defined by blind prediction median absolute error, are 4.91 units, 7.84 units, 0.06 cSt, 4.00 °C, and 0.55 MJ/kg for cetane number, yield sooting index, kinematic viscosity, cloud point, and lower heating value respectively. On average, property predictions for blends are shown to be accurate to within 6% of the blends’ experimental values. Further, a multitude of compounds expected to be produced from catalytically upgrading products of fast pyrolysis are evaluated with respect to their behavior in diesel fuel blends.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Zero-Emission Transit Bus Needs Assessment

The transition to zero-emissions vehicles (ZEVs) in public transit has gained traction due to significant federal investments from the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL) and the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). This needs assessment, commissioned by the Joint Office of Energy and Transportation and conducted by researchers at the Idaho National Laboratory, explores the current state of electrification in transit agencies, identifying barriers to implementation, potential funding sources, and operational considerations necessary for a successful transition. The assessment involved qualitative interviews with representatives from 19 transit service providers across diverse geographic regions. Key findings highlight the challenges related to bus facilities and operations, which require careful planning for charging infrastructure and maintenance capabilities to accommodate battery electric buses (BEBs) and hydrogen fuel cell buses (HFCBs). Agencies reported operational hurdles due to the shorter range of BEBs compared to diesel buses, necessitating revised scheduling and routing strategies. Despite these challenges, many agencies expressed optimism about their capacity to adapt. Funding availability emerged as a critical factor influencing the transition to ZEVs. While agencies welcomed increased financial support, particularly from the Low or No Emission Grant Program (Lo-No), concerns about the sustainability of this funding and the ongoing operational costs were prevalent. The need for a comprehensive funding inventory was underscored to ensure transit agencies are aware of all available resources. Technological constraints were significant barriers to ZEV adoption. The limited range of BEBs was frequently cited as a concern, leading to operational challenges and reliability issues. Agencies reported difficulties in sourcing replacement parts, which exacerbated downtime and maintenance challenges. Workforce development and training were identified as pivotal for a successful transition. Many agencies rely heavily on manufacturers for technician training, highlighting the need for scalable training programs that equip staff with the necessary skills to maintain electric powertrains effectively. This assessment offers actionable recommendations for the Joint Office, including enhancing outreach to transit agencies, developing resources for effective utility partnerships, and facilitating comprehensive training programs. Establishing a zero-emission bus evaluation program to track performance metrics such as cost, range, and reliability could provide valuable insights for transit agencies. The needs assessment provides a detailed examination of the challenges and opportunities facing transit agencies in their transition to zero-emissions bus fleets. By addressing these issues through targeted support, stakeholders can collaboratively work towards a cleaner, more sustainable public transportation system that benefits all communities.

33 - ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Electrifying Education: Insights into Charging Electric School Buses in the United States

To combat climate change, the United States joined 193 Parties in committing to the Paris Agreement, which aims to limit global warming to 2 degrees C or less, and decarbonizing transportation will be a key requirement for achieving this goal. School buses (SBs) are a common form of student transport in the U.S. with nearly all SBs today powered by fossil fuels (primarily diesel). As a result, SBs have historically been a concerning source of both greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and local air pollutants with negative health impacts for students and others living nearby. Electric SBs (ESBs) are a promising emerging technology for decarbonizing student transport, however, ESB adoption in the U.S. remains at an early stage (approximate 1.1%) with many outstanding uncertainties. This study aims to elucidate several of these by taking inventory of the total SB stock within U.S. states and studying real-world SB operating profiles to infer potential battery range requirements, daily charging opportunities, and charging infrastructure requirements for ESBs. In addition, we observe the geographic trends of early-stage ESB adoption, which can be used to better understand early adopter patterns and train vehicle technology adoption models.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗

Data-driven selection of stiff chemistry ODE solver in operator-splitting schemes

Most computational fluid dynamics simulations of practical combustion applications employ operator-splitting schemes, where chemistry and transport are separated and integrated with distinct numerical methods. The changes in composition due to chemistry are evaluated by solving ordinary differential equations (ODE) in each cell of the computational domain, which typically dominates the computational cost when detailed chemistry is considered. In this work, a data-driven approach for the selection of chemistry ODE solvers in operator-splitting schemes is presented. Neural networks are used to predict the ODE solvers CPU times and errors for a given thermochemical state. This allows the selection of an optimal ODE solver on a cell-by-cell, timestep-by-timestep basis. The models are trained using a wide set of thermochemical states generated through partially-stirred reactors and flames simulations. The methodology is validated by quantifying the prediction errors, the classification accuracy, and the computational speedup. The model predicts the optimal ODE solver for 70 to 95% of the validation cases and decreases the computional cost by a factor of 3 or more. The generalizability of the methodology to different chemical mechanisms and different fuels is assessed and it is shown that the model’s performance is only slightly degraded and its applicability is significantly enhanced if the inputs to the neural networks are restricted to a small set of thermochemical state variables present in most chemical mechanisms. In conclusion, the models are used in an homogeneous reactor case and a multi-dimensional CFD simulation of a diesel spray at high pressure where a speedup of more than 3 is achieved.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Grid-Integrated Production of Fischer-Tropsch Synfuels from Nuclear Power

Idaho National Laboratory (INL) investigates the relative economic profitability of an integrated energy system (IES) coupling an NPP with a synfuel production process at selected case study locations across the United States. In the synfuel IES, a high-temperature steam electrolysis (HTSE) plant is thermally and electrically coupled with an NPP to produce zero-carbon hydrogen. The synthetic fuel is produced from this H 2 combined with a CO 2 supply using the reverse water gas shift process followed by the Fischer-Tropsch (FT) reaction. This analysis considers a system in which the CO 2 is sourced from regional CO 2 emitters via the construction and operation of pipeline-based CO 2 supply networks. Locating the FT plant at the same site as the NPP and HTSE plants enables the NPP to provide zero-carbon heat and power to the HTSE plant and zero-carbon power to the FT plant as well as avoid the requirement for long-distance H 2 product transport from the HTSE plant to the FT plant. Hydrogen storage is used to enable the NPP to dispatch power to the electrical grid (instead of the HTSE plant) when grid demand increases, thus enabling the FT plant to continue to operate in a steady-state production mode. The ability to cease hydrogen production for several hours within each day enables the NPP to provide power to the grid to balance the electricity market during peak periods and maximize revenues for the nuclear synfuel IES. The FT process design considered has a 99% carbon conversion efficiency. The use of nuclear energy and nuclear energy-derived hydrogen enables synfuel production to achieve this high level of carbon utilization. Additionally, the life-cycle carbon emissions of the nuclear-based synfuel production process are very low, with WTW emissions of approximately 25 gCO 2 e/MJ, including steam credits (generated from FT process excess heat), and approximately 7 gCO 2 e/MJ, if steam credits are excluded. This compares favorably with the WTW emissions of 90.5 gCO 2 e/MJ for a compression-ignition, direct injection (CIDI) vehicle with a fuel economy of 31.6 miles per gallon gasoline equivalent (MPGGE), using low-sulfur diesel produced using conventional petroleum production and refining processes. Several NPPs in various regions of the U.S. are considered as case study analyses. Supply locations and transportation via pipeline of the CO 2 feedstock to the NPP site are analyzed through the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) CO 2 Transport Cost model. The team finds that the amount of CO 2 generated by different sectors is sufficient for the synfuel production process at all locations considered. The CO 2 transportation costs are functions of the distance of the source to the NPP location, the CO 2 capture cost at the source, and the quantity of CO 2 transported. Historical electricity prices for the NPP case study locations are collected and analyzed. Monthly average prices, price range, and duration of negative-price periods vary among these locations. For each location, an auto-regressive moving average (ARMA) model is trained on historical electricity price data. ARMA validation is done to ensure the synthetic price distributions represent one of historical prices with high fidelity. Synthetic time series from these ARMA models are used in a coupled dispatch and system optimization in the Holistic Energy Resource Optimization Network (HERON) to compute the differential net present value (NPV) of the IES. The team finds that this econometric is positive, ranging from $14M–1.3bn (2020) depending on the location. The optimal synfuel IES configuration to obtain this increase in NPV often maximizes the size of the synfuel production process with regards to the size of the NPP. However, the team shows that the NPP still plays a stabilizing role for the grid: In periods of high prices and high loads, more electricity from the NPP is sent to the grid. A high variability of electricity prices and extreme maximum prices tend to drive up electricity production. While it requires significant investment, the synfuel IES could increase the economic profitability for the existing fleet of LWRs across the country while still maintaining the grid stabilizer role of NPPs. During its lifetime, the main costs for the nuclear synfuel IES are the carbon feedstock transportation costs, followed by the capital expenses (CAPEX) and operation and maintenance (O&M) costs while the revenue comes first from the IRA H 2 production tax credit (PTC) and then from the sales of synfuel products. The profitability of the synfuel IES is most sensitive to the value of the hydrogen PTC and the synfuel products as well as the cost of the carbon feedstock, highlighting the importance of governmental incentives regarding hydrogen, carbon emissions, and synfuel in driving the deployment of future nuclear synfuel IESs.

08 HYDROGEN↗