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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Time resolved in-situ small angle X-ray scattering clarifies the competition between continuous and discontinuous precipitation in U-6wt%Nb

In-situ high energy x-ray scattering experiments enable high temporal resolution investigations of precipitation kinetics; Continuous and discontinuous precipitation are competitive near the TTT nose (~525°C); The incubation time for discontinuous precipitation increases significantly at temperatures below the TTT nose; Additional evidence for the divergent interlamellar spacing was observed at 434°C and 466°C

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Investigation of the discontinuous precipitation of U-Nb alloys via thermodynamic analysis and phase-field modeling

U-Nb’s discontinuous precipitation, $\gamma^{bcc}_{matrix}$, $\alpha^{orth}_{cellular}$, $\gamma\prime^{bcc}_{cellular}$, is intriguing in the sense that it allows formation and growth of the metastable $\gamma\prime$ phase during the course of its occurrence. Previous attempts to explain the thermodynamic origin of U-Nb’s discontinuous precipitation hypothesized that the energy of $\alpha$ forms an intermediate common tangent with the first potential of the double-well energy of $\gamma$ at the $\gamma\prime$ composition. In this work, we examine different possible mechanisms by which the discontinuous precipitation product in the U-Nb system can be stabilized. We put forward a mechanism by which the bulk free energy of the $\gamma$ can develop a non-monotonic dependency with composition. Additionally we posit that local contributions due to lattice mismatch between the $\alpha$ and $\gamma$ phases may be responsible for the generation of metastable states that may stabilized by thermodynamics as well as by kinetics. Our work suggests that local misfit strain tends to play a crucial role in the growth of the discontinuous precipitation product. Depending on the magnitude of strain developed at the $\alpha$/$\gamma\prime$ interfaces, either an increasing $\gamma\prime$ composition or a random distribution of $\gamma\prime$ compositions around the equiatomic value with respect to increasing temperature could be expected. Moreover, we show how it is possible to stabilize the discontinuous precipitation front through highly anisotropic and fast interface diffusion.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2020

An Electron Backscatter Diffraction Analysis of Grain Boundary Initiated Discontinuous Precipitation in U-10Mo

The effect of varied thermomechanical processing on discontinuous precipitation (DP) in U-10Mo was investigated, with specific emphasis on understanding the role of grain boundary misorientation in DP. Varied prior homogenization heat treatment and thermomechanical processing resulted in differences in both the fraction of DP and the colony width, and was attributed to variations in the grain boundary misorientation distribution. Regardless of the degree of DP-based transformation, extensive growth of DP colonies was dominant on 30°–45° misorientation boundaries. Interestingly, misorientation histograms of the deformed and annealed specimens suggest the processing steps involved may have inhibited DP colony growth along a small fraction of these high angle boundaries. Large-area electron backscatter diffraction montages coupled with high resolution mapping suggest symmetric {110}-type interfaces may be important considerations for mitigating extensive DP growth in this alloy system.

Discontinuous Precipitation, Uranium, Electron Bac↗
DOE OSTI2020

An image-driven machine learning approach to kinetic modeling of a discontinuous precipitation reaction

Micrograph quantification is an essential component of several materials science studies. Machine learning methods, in particular convolutional neural networks, have previously demonstrated performance in image recognition tasks across several disciplines (e.g. materials science, medical imaging, facial recognition). Here, we apply these well-established methods to develop an approach to microstructure quantification for kinetic modeling of a discontinuous precipitation reaction in a case study on the uranium-molybdenum system. Prediction of material processing history based on image data (classification), calculation of area fraction of phases present in the micrographs (segmentation), and kinetic modeling from segmentation results were performed. Results indicate that convolutional neural networks represent microstructure image data well, and segmentation using the k-means clustering algorithm yields results that agree well with manually annotated images. Classification accuracies of original and segmented images are both 94% for a 5-class classification problem. Kinetic modeling results agree well with previously reported data using manual thresholding. The image quantification and kinetic modeling approach developed and presented here aims to reduce researcher bias introduced into the characterization process, and allows for leveraging information in limited image data sets.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Delayed onset of discontinuous precipitation-based phase transformation in U10Mo alloys doped with Silicon

A uranium-10 wt% molybdenum (U-10Mo) alloy is one of the primary candidates for metallic fuels that would use low-enriched uranium in place of highly enriched uranium, to support nuclear nonproliferation efforts. Optimal performance of a U-based metallic nuclear fuel can be achieved by retaining the high-temperature, body-centered cubic (bcc) allotrope (γ-U) at room temperature, which can be accomplished in the U-10Mo alloy. However, presence of minor alloying elements can influence the final constitution of room-temperature phases in the U10Mo alloy, specifically, formation of α-U phase which results in anisotropic behavior of the fuel in reactor. Further, through a detailed transmission electron microscopy analysis, the present study reports the constituent phases that are present in a U10Mo alloy containing ~0.1 wt% Si after it is subjected to homogenization heat treatment and thermomechanical processing. For comparison, results from an undoped U10Mo alloy are also included. The experimental results reveal that γ-UMo solid solution is the major phase in a hot-rolled, Si-doped U10Mo alloy metallic fuel foil, along with U 2 MoSi 2 C, UC, and U 2 Mo, after isothermal annealing at 460 °C for 10h. In contrast, after the same heat treatment, the undoped U10Mo alloy metallic fuel had formed a noticeable amount of α-U along prior γ-UMo grain boundaries through discontinuous precipitation (DP, area fraction: ~27.9%) with characteristic lamellar morphology, together with γ-UMo, UC, and U 2 Mo. This result indicates that doping with Si could mitigate the DP reaction in U10Mo alloy and prevent formation of undesirable α-U. This work sheds light on optimizing Si-doping–dominated microstructure in U10Mo fuels and facilitates designing and tuning of microstructures of U10Mo alloys for tailoring the final designed performance of the fuel under irradiation.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2021

High Density of Strong yet Deformable Intermetallic Nanorods Leads to an Excellent Room Temperature Strength-Ductility Combination in a High Entropy Alloy

This paper introduces a new microstructural template for high entropy alloys (HEAs), where the face centered cubic (FCC) complex concentrated solid solution is reinforced with a high density of strong, yet deformable, nanorods of an ordered multi-component intermetallic L12 compound. Thermodynamic modeling has been employed to design this HEA with a large L12 volume fraction. Thermo-mechanical processing by isothermal annealing of the conventionally processed bulk cold-rolled alloy directly at precipitation temperatures, has been applied to produce a high density of uniformly distributed L12 nanorods within refined FCC grains, resulting from concomitant recrystallization and discontinuous precipitation processes. The nanorod morphology of the discontinuous L12 product has been established from three-dimensional atom probe tomography. The refined grains result in a complete coverage of the microstructure with discontinuously precipitated intermetallic nanorods. This nanorod strengthened HEA exhibits an exceptionally high room temperature yield strength of ~1630 MPa, good tensile ductility of ~15%, and an ultimate tensile strength of ~1720 MPa. Furthermore, a single L12 phase alloy, melted based on the precipitate composition in the two-phase FCC + L12 HEA, exhibits very high compressive deformability and strain hardenability, unusual for ordered intermetallic compounds. These results open a new strategy for design of fine-grained microstructures strengthened via ordered intermetallic phases, exploiting the beneficial effects of discontinuous precipitation, for achieving very high room temperature tensile strengths while maintaining good ductility.

Gwalani, Bharat↗
DOE OSTI2021

The Effect of Homogenization Heat Treatment on the Texture Evolution in U-10Mo Alloy

Uranium alloyed with 10 wt% Mo (U-10Mo) undergoes discontinuous precipitation (DP) when subjected to sub-eutectoid heat-treatment. It is hypothesized that the crystallographic texture of the U-10Mo can be modified to minimize the degree of DP, however the evolution of texture throughout the manufacturing process is not well understood. Crystallographic textures of two U-10Mo samples homogenized at 900°C and 1000°C were studied after uniaxial rolling and annealing. A total of 6 samples were analyzed upon rolling using a combination of hot and cold rolling conditions to strains of 83%, 90% and 97% and subsequently annealed at 700°C for one hour. Microstructures and textures were analyzed via electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) for each homogenization, strain and post-annealed states. Results show that the U-10Mo exhibits typical rolling textures seen in body-centered cubic materials with increasing intensities of both a- and ?-fibers with increasing strain. After recrystallization, the texture appeared to be effectively randomized in all samples. Homogenization temperature showed no effect on the rolling and recrystallization behavior. Potential factors leading to the randomization of texture are discussed along with the implications of textures on the minimization of DP.

nuclear fuel, texture, rolling↗
DOE OSTI2020

The role of ternary alloying elements in eutectoid transformation of U-10Mo alloy part II. In and Ex-situ Neutron diffraction-based assessment of eutectoid phase transformation kinetics in U-9.8Mo-0.2X alloy (X = Cr, Ni or Co)

HExploring the effects of minor ternary alloying additions, typically impurity elements, on the phase stability of U-10Mo is important for preventing undesirable phase decomposition during processing or during service. This work examines the influence small ternary additions of Cr, Ni, and Co. Both in-situ and ex-situ neutron diffraction measurements made during and after high temperature (450 – 525°C) exposures were used to better define the influence of these elements on the time-temperature-transformation (TTT) behavior of U-10Mo, providing information which is complementary to electron microscopy investigations of the same alloy systems performed in the first part of this work. Minor additions of Ni and Co decrease the ?-phase stability at all temperatures investigated. Signatures of U6X (X = Ni or Co) compounds were shown to be present in amounts of up to 6 wt% in the heat treated alloys, suggesting that the initial precipitation of this phase may catalyze further ?-phase decomposition. On the other hand, the Cr containing alloys were observed to have nearly the same, and in some cases slower, phase transformation kinetics when compared to the binary U-10Mo control samples. The results of the study have enabled preliminary estimates of the TTT curves for the ternary alloys.

phase transformation, kinetics, discontinuous prec↗
DOE OSTI2022

A Coupled Small and Wide-Angle X-Ray Scattering Study of Phase Transformation Mechanisms in U-6Wt Pct Nb

The elevated temperature phase transformation kinetics of U-6wt%Nb in both wrought and cast conditions were investigated using in-situ high energy synchrotron X-ray scattering. The evolution of the phase content, γ-phase composition, and microstructure morphology was determined through the analysis of simultaneously collected wide-angle diffraction and small-angle scattering (SAXS) data. The results of the wide-angle scattering analysis, especially the phase fractions and average composition of the γ-phase, provide model parameters to enable a quantitative analysis using the SAXS data. Greater clarity regarding the kinetics of different precipitation mechanisms, namely the continuous precipitation (CP) of α-U within the γ-phase matrix and the discontinuous (DP) grain boundary precipitation of a lamellar microstructure, consisting of α-U and Nb-rich γ-phase are obtained from the coupled measurement modes. These results indicate that the CP mechanism is responsible for the initial precipitation of α-U at all temperatures considered. Near the nose in the time-temperature-transformation (TTT) diagram at ~798 K, both mechanisms are active during the early stages of phase transformation. However, the DP mechanism has an increasingly long incubation period with decreasing temperature below the TTT nose. In conclusion, the average interlamellar spacing obtained from the SAXS analysis increases with time, providing further evidence of the so-called divergent DP behavior previously observed in U-6wt%Nb alloys.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Irradiation-enhanced Interactions at UO 2 /Al 2 O 3 /Al Interfaces

Combustion synthesis is used to prepare thin UO 2 films on aluminum alloy substrates. This simple preparation method involves electrospraying uranyl nitrate + acetylacetone + 2-methoxyethanol solution on the substrate, followed by a short annealing at 350 or 550 °C. The irradiation of films with a 40 Ar 2+ ion beam (energy of 1.7 MeV and fluences of 7.7 × 10 16 and 1.3 × 10 17 ions/cm 2 ) is conducted to investigate irradiation-induced restructuring processes. High-resolution transmission electron microscopy (TEM) and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) investigations show that the annealing temperature significantly influences the crystallinity and stability of materials during irradiation. A small amount of Mg in the alloy substrate diffuses into the amorphous Al 2 O 3 interfacial layer between the film and the substrate. Local thermal spikes from the incoming ions facilitate the irradiation-induced mixing of immiscible Al 2 O 3 and UO 2 for the materials prepared at 350 °C. This mass diffusion produces relatively large cavities at the interface. Selective diffusion of a more significant amount of Mg for the materials prepared at 550 °C suppresses the mixing of the Al 2 O 3 interlayer with the film but forms Mg y U 1–y O 2±x solid solutions during irradiation. Local thermal heating triggers the precipitation of a discontinuous crystalline MgO layer close to the film surface. As a result, the enhanced and selective diffusion of Mg into the film makes the materials prepared at 550 °C more robust and mechanically stable than those prepared at 350 °C.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Underlying mechanism of structural transformation between GaSb and GaAs response to intense electronic excitation

Ion irradiation of semiconductors has emerged as a promising approach for fabricating self-organized nanosystems with high atomic precision, despite often being accompanied by undesirable phenomena. Exploring the mechanisms underlying structural transformations is crucial for assessing nanostructure array types under complex irradiation environments. By quantitatively calculating the thermodynamically driven processes and analyzing the impact of intrinsic structural parameters, distinct structural transformations in response to intense electronic excitation are systematically investigated in gallium antimonide (GaSb) and gallium arsenide (GaAs) systems. In high-energy regimes, the nanofibers layer of GaSb exhibits intriguing structural discrepancy, characterized by partial nanofibers with coherent boundaries, interspersed nanopores accompanied by antisite defects and Ga precipitates, distinguishing to a series of discontinuous latent tracks that emerged within cylindrical trajectories in GaAs. Furthermore, significant diffusion behaviors of the nanohillocks are discovered in GaAs, with higher average roughness than GaSb, driven by the gradient stress distribution influenced by the free-surface effects. The deposition energy for melting phase formation, Gibbs free energy, and Ga diffusion coefficients contribute to the distinctive structural features, evidencing relatively stable morphological configurations and higher irradiation resistance in GaAs. Consequently, special optoelectronic properties associated with structural discrepancies facilitate the design and optimization of material functionalities by irradiation technologies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Encapsulation of hygroscopic liquids via polymer precipitation in non-aqueous emulsions

Here, encapsulation of ionic liquids (ILs) and phase change materials (PCMs) can overcome limitations associated with bulk materials, e.g., slow mass transfer rates, high viscosities, or susceptibility to external environment. Single step soft-templated encapsulation methods commonly use interfacial polymerization for shell formation, with a multifunctional monomer in the continuous phase and another in the discontinuous phase, and thus do not give pristine core material. We posit that polymer precipitation onto emulsion droplets in non-aqueous emulsions could produce a robust shell without contamination of the core, ideal for the encapsulation of water-sensitive or water-miscible materials. Solutions of commodity polymers were added to the continuous phase of non-aqueous Pickering emulsions stabilized by alkylated graphene oxide (GO) nanosheets such that the change in solubility of the polymer led to formation of robust shells and the production of capsules that could be isolated. We demonstrate that a polymer precipitation approach can produce capsules with pristine core of the IL 1-ethyl-3-methylimidazolium hexafluorophosphate [Emim][PF 6 ] or the salt hydrate PCM magnesium nitrate hexahydrate (MNH) and shell of nanosheets and polystyrene, poly(methyl methacrylate), or polyethylene. The capsules are approximately 80 wt% [Emim][PF 6 ] or >90 wt% MNH, and the core can undergo multiple cycles of solidification and melting without leakage or destruction. This novel, single-step methodology provides a distinct advantage to access capsules with pristine core composition and is amenable to different core and shell, paving the way for tailoring capsule composition for desired applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

An uncertainty-focused database approach to extract spatiotemporal trends from qualitative and discontinuous lake-status histories

Changes in lake status are often interpreted as palaeoclimate indicators due to their dependence on precipitation and evaporation. The Global Lake Status Database (GLSDB) has since long provided a standardised synopsis of qualitative lake status over the last 30,000 14C years. Potential sources of uncertainty however are not recorded in the GLSDB. Here we present an updated and improved relational-database framework that incorporates uncertainty in both chronology and the interpretation of palaeoenvironmental data. The database uses peer-reviewed palaeolimnological studies to produce a consensus on qualitative lake-status histories, whose chronologies are revised and standardized through the recalibration of radiocarbon dates and the application of Bayesian age-depth modelling for stratigraphic archives. Quantitative information on absolute water-level elevation is preserved if available from geomorphological sources. We also propose a new probabilistic analytical framework that accounts for these uncertainties to reconstruct synoptic, integrated environmental signals. The process is based on a Monte Carlo algorithm that iteratively samples individual lake-status histories within the limits of their uncertainties to produce many possible scenarios. We then use Recursively-Subtracted Empirical Orthogonal Function analysis to extract dominant patterns of lake-status variability from these scenarios. As a proof of concept, we apply this framework to 67 sites in eastern and southern Africa whose lake-status histories cover part of the late Pleistocene and/or Holocene. We show that, despite the sometimes large temporal and interpretation uncertainties, and the inclusion of highly discontinuous lake-status time series, identifying the major known millennial-scale climatic phases during the last 20,000 years is possible. Our framework was also able to identify an antiphased response between the lake basins in eastern and interior southern Africa to these changes. Here, we propose that our new database and methodology framework serves as a template for efficient lake-status data synthesis, encourages the incorporation of lake-status data in palaeoclimate syntheses, and expands the possibilities for the use of such data in the evaluation of climate models.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Geophysical and Environmental Monitoring Data, Lower Watershed, Teller Road Mile Marker 27, Seward Peninsula, Alaska, 2017-2019

This data set contains geophysical and environmental monitoring data acquired between September 2017 and 2019 at the lower Teller watershed, Seward Peninsula, Alaska. Geophysical data comprises processed resistivity data, acquired daily between Spring and Fall of 2018 and 2019, and a baseline measurement of Fall 2017. The environmental monitoring data comprises depth resolved, distributed soil moisture and soil temperature data. These measurements were obtained used Decagon 5TE sensors placed at 0.1 m, 0.2 m , 0.3 m, and 0.4 m depth. In addition, temperature data at 0.5 m, 1.0 m, and 1.5 m were acquired using Hobo temperature sensors. Data were collected to improve our understanding of the hydrological response of discontinuous permafrost systems, in particular focusing on multi-annual dynamics and short term disturbances, such as snowmelt or precipitation events. The electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) monitoring data are included as processed resistivity models, with model cells x dimension equal to the distance along the profile, and model z dimension being elevation. The start and end point of the transect are (UTM Zone 3N): E 454881.66 m, N 7178949.45 m, and E 454772.60, N 7178885.81. Locations of the soil moisture and temperature sensors are provided in the data package. This dataset is discussed in detail in the Uhlemann, S. et al 2021 paper listed in the references. This dataset includes one *.pdf user guide and 315 *.csv data files included within four zipped files.The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research.The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska.Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Contrasting stream nitrate and sulfate response to recovery from experimental watershed acidification

Improvements in air quality have led to ecosystem recovery from acidic deposition, but the mechanisms and trajectories of this recovery are not fully understood. Here, we present long-term stream response and recovery data for paired watersheds at the Bear Brook Watershed in Maine (BBWM) during declining ambient SO 4 and NO 3 in precipitation. East Bear (EB) received ambient deposition from 1989 to 2018; West Bear (WB) received artificially elevated N+S from 1989 to 2016. The WB treatment was discontinued after 2016, the beginning of the recovery from both the experimental N+S and ambient decline. Stream SO 4 in WB gradually declined after the treatment ended, from ~147 µeq L -1 in 2010-16 to ~126 µeq L -1 in 2017-18. The declining S inputs induced desorption of SO 4 from soil phase surfaces, with stream loss far exceeding precipitation input. At the current rate of recovery, it will be many decades before the WB stream returns to pre-treatment SO 4 concentrations. In contrast, NO 3 is only weakly adsorbed in soil, and WB stream NO 3 concentrations rapidly declined from ~39 µeq L -1 in 2010-16 to ~5 µeq L -1 in 2017-18, comparable to the N-limited EB stream. The acid anions are strongly coupled to base cation chemistry in streams, and there was a distinct hysteretic response of Ca and Mg to the chronic acidification, as (Ca+Mg) increased rapidly during the initial years, followed by declining values due to depletion of the soil exchange complex. This 30-year monitoring study (1989-2019) provides insights into recovery mechanisms from acidic deposition and highlights the role of abiotic processes in soil that mediate nutrient cycling and retention. Finally, documenting the rapid response of N alongside the slower recovery for S identifies the temporal resolution necessary for other whole-watershed recovery studies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Electrical monitoring of saline tracers to reveal subsurface flow pathways in a flat ditch-drained field

Time-lapse electrical resistivity imaging (ERI) combined with salt tracers can enhance our understanding of subsurface flow and transport in ditch-drained agroecosystems. In a nearly level field adjacent to a drainage ditch, we installed 192 electrodes in a 72-m2 plot along with five hydrometric stations to enable time-lapse ERI monitoring during storms. Immediately prior to a wintertime rainstorm, we applied 5 kg of KBr to a shallow trench located roughly 11 m upgradient from the ditch. Antecedent conditions prior to the storm were wet, assuring a hydrologically connected state that favored tracer dissolution and movement in the subsurface. We monitored the evolution of the tracer plume with ERI over a seven-day period. Four-dimensional (4D) delineation of precipitation and tracer transport using time-lapse ERI showed that the tracer plume moved preferentially downward through a discontinuity in the argillic horizon within the first 57 hrs. Over the following 79 hrs, the tracer plume exhibited steady, lateral movement towards the drainage ditch within a more permeable sandy horizon situated just below the argillic. A spatial moment analysis of logarithmic changes in conductivity in the sand layer revealed seepage velocities ranging from 0.0027 to 0.0482 m d-1; these values were positively correlated with hydraulic gradients, suggesting laminar flow processes typical of sandy aquifers. Increasing groundwater velocities with hydraulic gradients suggest that solute transfers from groundwater to ditch are likely to be faster in storms, especially during wet periods. Even so, predominantly slow lateral transport within the sandy horizon, even during storms, indicates that critical source areas of pollutant loss are likely within a few meters of the ditch.

Robinson, Judith L.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Recent streamflow trends across permafrost basins of North America

Introduction Climate change impacts, including changing temperatures, precipitation, and vegetation, are widely anticipated to cause major shifts to the permafrost with resulting impacts to hydro-ecosystems across the high latitudes of the globe. However, it is challenging to examine streamflow shifts in these regions owing to a paucity of data, discontinuity of records, and other issues related to data consistency and accuracy. Methods Recent trends for long-term periods (1990–2021, 1976–2021) in observed minimum, mean, and maximum seasonal and annual streamflow were analyzed for a range of watersheds across North America affected by varying degrees of permafrost coverage. Results Streamflow trend analysis revealed that areas affected by permafrost are changing variably over the periods in terms of maximum, mean, and minimum seasonal and annual streamflow. These changes indicate a significant shift occurring in the most recent 46 years towards increasing mean streamflow for the dominant (> 50%) permafrost systems. Meanwhile, minimum streamflow increases for all permafrost-dominant systems and many of the other permafrost-affected systems across the seasons and annual periods considered, with the greatest number of significant changes in streamflow over other metrics. Maximum streamflow is shifting variably with significant increases in the permafrost-dominant systems in winter and fall over longer time periods of analysis. Our analysis suggests that streamflow trends are driven by climate (precipitation, followed by temperature), while variables such as permafrost coverage only appear important in the most recent 32-year period. Discussion The increases in streamflow trends observed in this study are reflective of deepening active layers and thawing permafrost, indicating that the entire hydrograph is undergoing change within permafrost-dominant streamflow systems as the Arctic moves towards a warmer future under climate change. Despite the many challenges to understanding changing streamflow in cold regions, there are new products and datasets in development that are increasingly allowing researchers to better understand the patterns of change in Arctic and subarctic systems affected by permafrost, offering a range of new tools, which, along with continued observational records, may help in improved understanding of changing Arctic streamflow patterns.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Middle and Late-Holocene coastal environments of far Southeastern Russia as inferred from palynological and diatom data

Existing discontinuous palynological records from coastal and river valley exposures, with varying quality of radiocarbon control, suggested that the regional Holocene climate in southern areas of the Russian Far East was characterized by as many as 10 fluctuations in temperature and/or precipitation. In this study, palynological data from Zerkalnoye Lake, located on the western coast of the Sea of Japan, indicate a gradual decline in temperature through the Middle and Late-Holocene with a Holocene thermal maximum between 8800 and 5500 cal yr BP. Three wetter than present intervals, marked by an increase in Pinus koraiensis, occurred c. 3600–3500 cal yr BP, 2340–2050 cal yr BP, and 1830–1800 cal yr BP. The Zerkalnoye record shows the dominance of Quercus-broadleaf forests during the Middle and Early Holocene, although Quercus shows a gradual decrease as climate cooled during this interval. Diatom analysis of the Zerkalnoye sediments documents that the site was a shallow bay or coastal lagoon until c. 3540 cal yr BP. After that time, a freshwater lake was established, which had variable marine influences probably caused by sea level changes following deglaciation. The diatom data indicate a cool water interval between 2900 and 2580 cal yr BP, also noted in other sites in the region. Changes in the basin’s depositional environment do not affect the palynological record, indicating such sites can provide reliable paleovegetational and paleoclimatic records. In conclusion, the discrepancies of the various regional paleoclimatic scenarios indicate the need for the further collection of continuous records from coastal to alpine zones in this region of northeastern Asia.

Environmental sciences↗