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DOE OSTI2021

A Circularity Assessment for Silicon Solar Panels Based on Dynamic Material Flow Analysis

This paper examines the impacts of design, operational, and end-of-life (EOL) waste pathways’ parameters on material circularity in silicon solar photovoltaic (PV) modules. Dynamic material flow analysis (DMFA) quantifies time-series material flows through systems’ life cycle stages to identify hotspots of waste generation, estimate resource needs in the future, and guide sustainable material management. We introduce a DMFA framework based on U.S. electricity demand for the period 2000-2100 to assess stocks and flows of bulk PV materials (i.e., solar glass and aluminum frames). We apply the model to a range of scenarios to understand how material demands depend on selected PV-related parameters, different material circularity strategies, and recent module design trends (e.g., bifacials, large-format-high power modules). Our results enable advanced planning for future materials needs and provide insight into potential opportunities to minimize material waste.

circular economy↗

DOE OSTI2022

Dynamic Material Flow Analysis of Silicon Photovoltaic Modules to Support a Circular Economy Transition

Solar photovoltaics (PV) are the fastest growing renewable energy technologies for clean, cheap, and sustainable electricity generation. To prepare for rapid scale-up, the PV industry needs to project material requirements to build out all aspects of the supply chain appropriately and plan to handle large volumes of module waste. Impacts of deploying different material circularity strategies to reduce waste and conserve primary resources need to be quantified to inform sustainable material management. Here, we introduce the photovoltaic dynamic material flow analysis (PV DMFA) model based on PV electricity generation. The model quantifies material flows and stocks in the cradle-to-cradle life cycles of utility-scale c-Si PV systems in the United States through 2100. We present case studies for solar flat glass and aluminum frame materials under various scenarios to project the impacts of PV performance, reliability, and processing parameters, material circularity strategies, and module design shifts. In the absence of circularity measures, ~100 million MT of flat glass and ~12 million MT of aluminum would be needed for PV installations by 2100 to meet projected growth in domestic utility PV demand to nearly 1000 TWh in 2100. With optimistic but feasible improvements in efficiency, reliability, and circularity, material intensity and waste could be reduced by nearly 50%. Efficient module collection, minimally intrusive recycling, and careful scrap handling and cleaning could improve material circularity in the PV value chain. This model serves as a sustainability data support tool that may aid in the circular economy transition for PV systems.

circular economy↗

DOE OSTI2021

A Circularity Assessment for Silicon Solar Panels Based on Dynamic Material Flow Analysis

Solar photovoltaics (PV) are the fastest growing renewable energy technology for clean, inexpensive, and sustainable electricity generation. Along with numerous technical roadmaps to improve system cost, performance and reliability, the PV industry should also plan to handle large volumes of silicon panel waste, which is initially estimated to be ~13 million metric tons (MT) by 2050 in the U.S. alone. Understanding the magnitude of material needs and how material flows throughout the PV panel life cycle could respond to design, operational and different end-of-life (EOL) circular pathways will help transition into a circular, resource-conserving economy. Herein, we introduce a dynamic material flow analysis (DMFA) framework based on electricity generation to quantify time-series stocks and flows of bulk PV materials (e.g., solar glass and aluminum frames) throughout the life cycles of utility-scale silicon PV systems in the U.S. in the period 2000-2100. We apply the model to a range of scenarios to understand how material demands depend on selected PV-related parameters, different material circularity strategies, and recent module design trends (e.g., bifacial, frameless). We found that float glass and aluminum in PV installations would likely reach 100 million MT and 12 million MT by 2100, respectively, in the baseline scenario. The most influential parameters for PV installation and subsequent waste reduction are found to be module lifetime, module efficiency, annual degradation, and material reduction. Module recycling and component remanufacturing were found to be the most effective material circularity strategies for waste minimization. Panel reuse has negligible savings on waste under current module efficiencies compared to replacements with newer generations with higher efficiency. Ongoing trends to produce larger power frameless modules could save 10 million MT of glass and ~9 million MT of aluminum. Our results enable advanced planning for future materials needs and provide insight into potential opportunities to minimize waste.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

A Circularity Assessment for Silicon Solar Panels Based on Dynamic Material Flow Analysis: Preprint

circular economy↗

DOE OSTI2026

Circular economy pathways for decarbonizing aluminum and steel automotive body sheet components in the United States

Decarbonizing vehicle production is essential to reducing automotive sector emissions. This study quantifies greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from aluminum and steel auto-body sheet components produced in the US. It evaluates the effectiveness of circular economy (CE) strategies (greater closed-loop recycling of pre-consumer scrap, post-consumer scrap, and increased manufacturing yields) to reduce supply chain emissions across different process technology and electricity grid decarbonization pathways. We combine dynamic material flow analysis (2025–2050) with cradle-to-gate life-cycle modeling to assess production emissions and the potential reductions associated with the CE strategies under frozen, moderate, and aggressive technology and grid decarbonization scenarios. Current emissions intensities are estimated at approximately 12.3 kg.CO₂eq/kg of aluminum and 4.3 kg.CO₂eq/kg of steel sheet embedded in the vehicle. Under the frozen decarbonization scenario and current levels of circularity, annual emissions attributable to US aluminum and steel auto-body sheet supply chains could rise by 54 % and 18 % respectively by 2050. Rapid deployment of the CE strategies can cut these annual emissions in 2050 by 52 % for aluminum and 44 % for steel. However, scrap quality constraints lead to saturation points, limiting these benefits unless addressed. Aggressive deployment of low-carbon production technologies and a low-carbon grid reduces the relative benefit of implementing the CE strategies; however, even under the aggressive technology and grid decarbonization scenario, the CE strategies reduce annual emissions by a further 23 %-54 % by 2050. These findings highlight the urgent need to integrate CE strategies into the sheet metal supply chain to support decarbonization efforts and help meet climate targets.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2023

4P (Plastic Parallel Pathways Platform) [SWR 23-84]

The Plastic Parallel Pathways Platform (4P) combines life cycle assessment, agent-based modeling within a dynamic material flow analysis structure to compute the environmental impacts of different recycling options under various behavioral interventions.

Walzberg, Julien↗

DOE OSTI2023

Think before you throw! An analysis of behavioral interventions targeting PET bottle recycling in the United States

The United States generates 42 Mt of plastic waste each year and is one of the biggest contributors to ocean plastic waste. Consequently, plastic has become synonymous with the linear economy, and many scholars are studying and proposing circular economy solutions to mitigate plastic pollution. Recycling has received much attention from both social sciences and engineering as a circular economy strategy, but no study has yet quantified how behavioral interventions could asymmetrically affect different populations. Here, this study combines agent-based modeling, material flow analysis, system dynamics, and life cycle assessment to assess the effect of four behavioral interventions on the collection rates of polyethylene terephthalate bottle waste, displaced virgin plastic manufacturing, and avoided greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Results show that, while behavioral interventions would require about 300–900 GJ of additional energy at end-of-life due to improved collection rates, they would avoid about 500–700 thousand metric tons of GHG emissions. Results also illustrate the importance of habits in disposal behaviors and show that different forms of interventions can be better adapted to particular social contexts than others. While the circular economy and its application to plastic waste should certainly not be restricted to recycling, this study demonstrates that improved collection rates and recycling technologies can contribute to reducing the amount of plastic waste polluting our oceans.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Exploring the Feasibility of INCONEL® ALLOY 740H® for Power Plant Headers: Integrating Machine Learning with Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD)

This keynote presentation explores the behavior of headers—essential components of pipeline systems—using ANSYS simulation software and machine learning techniques. The study aims to predict the thermal and mechanical performance of headers under diverse conditions through both steady-state and transient simulations. We investigate critical parameters such as heat transfer coefficient, fluid velocity, and temperature to optimize header design. Conducted as part of a DOE project led by NCAT in collaboration with UNC Charlotte, this research encompasses multiple key topics. The initial section focuses on the behavior of header systems under steady-state conditions using ANSYS simulation. It underscores the importance of headers in industrial infrastructure, especially in the energy sector, and examines the implications of material selection and flow direction on heat transfer dynamics. Methodologically, we employ Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) analysis through ANSYS, detailing the development of models, material properties, geometry specifications, boundary conditions, and meshing strategies. Our simulations explore various operational parameters, including temperature and mass flow rates, crucial for predicting heat transfer coefficients and enhancing header design. Results from the study include parametric investigations into mesh sensitivity, viscosity model evaluations, and the effects of heat transfer locations, all validated against theoretical calculations. We conclude with insights on mesh optimization, the suitability of viscosity models, and recommendations for future research aimed at improving header system efficiency and sustainability in industrial applications.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Image registration for accurate electrode deformation analysis in operando microscopy of battery materials

Operando imaging techniques have become increasingly valuable in both battery research and manufacturing. However, the reliability of these methods can be compromised by instabilities in the imaging setup and operando cells, particularly when utilizing high-resolution imaging systems. The acquired imaging data often include features arising from both undesirable system vibrations and drift, as well as the scientifically relevant deformations occurring in the battery sample during cell operation. For meaningful analysis, it is crucial to distinguish and separately evaluate these two factors. To address these challenges, we employ a suite of advanced image-processing techniques. These include fast Fourier transform analysis in the frequency domain, power spectrum-based assessments for image quality, as well as rigid and non-rigid image-registration methods. These techniques allow us to identify and exclude blurred images, correct for displacements caused by motor vibrations and sample holder drift and, thus, prevent unwanted image artifacts from affecting subsequent analyses and interpretations. Additionally, we apply optical flow analysis to track the dynamic deformation of battery electrode materials during electrochemical cycling. This enables us to observe and quantify the evolving mechanical responses of the electrodes, offering deeper insights into battery degradation. Together, these methods ensure more accurate image analysis and enhance our understanding of the chemomechanical interplay in battery performance and longevity.

Sun, Tianxiao↗

DOE OSTI2023

Numerical Analysis of Regular Material Point Method and its Application to Multiphase Flows

The material point method (MPM) is gaining wide popularity in engineering research to model and simulate complex multiphase flow dynamics. The method relies on solving the governing equations of motion and transport in a Lagrangian framework using particles also known as material points. The fluid and kinematic properties are stored on the material points while the spatial gradient calculation and temporal integration are performed on a background grid. This Lagrangian framework allows for large deformations, easy integration of constitutive models, and direct import of complex geometries as particles. However, despite their increasing popularity, very few studies have addressed the issues of numerical resolution and stability of MPM techniques. The presence of additional factors such as the number of material points-per-cell, the location of the material points, the CFL-like condition used in time update, and the grid shape functions also increase the complexity of the error analysis when compared to other finite element methods. In this presentation, we analyze the various forms of error incurred in the application of MPM to continuum mechanics and multiphase flows. The effect of the previously mentioned factors on the error dynamics is studied. The application of these principles to canonical and industrial problems is also presented.

high pressure reverse osmosis↗

DOE OSTI2025

Thermal oxidation of nuclear graphite and pyrolytic carbon coatings

The oxidation of pyrolytic carbon (PyC) deposited via fluidized bed chemical vapor deposition was characterized and compared with that of standard nuclear-grade graphite. The materials were heated at 700 to 1000 °C in a thermogravimetric analysis system under 20% v/v O 2 flow, allowing for direct comparison of dynamic oxidative mass change in each material. Further, three different PyC samples fabricated under different conditions exhibited variation in total mass loss and mass loss rate, varying by as much as 709 mg/cm 2 in total mass loss and 14.2 (mg/cm 2 )/min in mass loss rate at a single temperature. These variations highlight the correlation between PyC microstructure/defect density and oxidation susceptibility. Additionally, changes in the microstructure and composition between PyC and graphite were characterized via scanning electron microscopy and correlated to the mass loss results. The results of this work have implications toward the safety of tristructural isotropic (TRISO) and other coated particle fuels, especially under off-normal conditions, given the limited information that exists about the oxidation behavior of PyC.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Immersive Particle Advection: Through the Scales of Renewable Energy: Preprint

We describe the benefits of immersive flow analysis for three large-scale computational science studies in the field of renewable energy. The studies encompass a range of scales, spanning from the large atmospheric scale of a wind farm to the human scale of an electric vehicle cabin down to the microscopic scale of battery material science. In these studies, users explored the flow patterns and dynamics through immersive particle advection. The integration of high-performance computing with immersive analysis provided a deeper understanding of these systems, helping develop more effective solutions for a sustainable energy future.

computational fluid dynamics↗

DOE OSTI2025

Theory of x-ray photon correlation spectroscopy for multiscale flows

Complex multiscale flows associated with instabilities and turbulence are commonly induced under high-energy density (HED) conditions, but accurate measurement of their transport properties has been challenging. X-ray photon correlation spectroscopy (XPCS) with coherent x-ray sources can, in principle, probe material dynamics to infer transport properties using time autocorrelation of density fluctuations. Here we develop a theoretical framework for utilizing XPCS to study material diffusivity in multiscale flows. We extend single-scale shear flow theories to broadband flows using a multiscale analysis that captures shear and diffusion dynamics. Our theory is validated with simulated XPCS for Brownian particles advected in multiscale flows. We demonstrate the versatility of the method over several orders of magnitude in timescale using sequential-pulse XPCS, single-pulse x-ray speckle visibility spectroscopy (XSVS), and double-pulse XSVS.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Symmetry and scaling in one-dimensional compressible two-phase flow

Investigations of shock compression of heterogeneous materials often focus on the shock front width and overall profile. The number of experiments required to fully characterize the dynamic response of a material often belie the structure–property relationships governing these aspects of a shock wave. Recent observations measured a pronounced shock-front width on the order of 10 s of ns in particulate composites. We focus on particulate composites with disparate densities and investigate whether the mechanical interactions between the phases are adequate to describe this emergent behavior. The analysis proceeds with a general Mie–Grüneisen equation of state for the matrix material, a general drag force law with general power-law scaling for the particle-matrix coupling of the phases, and a volume fraction-dependent viscosity. Lie group analysis is applied to one-dimensional hydrodynamic flow equations for the self-consistent interaction of particles embedded in a matrix material. The particle phase is characterized by a particle size and volume fraction. The Lie group analysis results in self-similar solutions reflecting the symmetries of the flow. The symmetries lead to well-defined scaling laws, which may be used to characterize the propagation of shock waves in particle composites. An example of the derived scaling laws for shock attenuation and rise time is shown for experimental data on shock-driven tungsten-loaded polymers. A key result of the Lie analysis is that there is a relationship between the exponents characterizing the form of the drag force and the exponent characterizing the shock velocity and its attenuation in a particulate composite. Comparison to recent experiments results in a single exponent that corresponds to a conventional drag force.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2021

Harnessing stratospheric diffusion barriers for enhanced climate geoengineering

Stratospheric sulfate aerosol geoengineering is a proposed method to temporarily intervene in the climate system to increase the reflectance of shortwave radiation and reduce mean global temperature. In previous climate modeling studies, choosing injection locations for geoengineering aerosols has, thus far, only utilized the average dynamics of stratospheric wind fields instead of accounting for the essential role of time-varying material transport barriers in turbulent atmospheric flows. Here we conduct the first analysis of sulfate aerosol dispersion in the stratosphere, comparing what is now a standard fixed-injection scheme with time-varying injection locations that harness short-term stratospheric diffusion barriers. We show how diffusive transport barriers can quickly be identified, and we provide an automated injection location selection algorithm using short forecast and reanalysis data. Within the first 7 d days of transport, the dynamics-based approach is able to produce particle distributions with greater global coverage than fixed-site methods with fewer injections. Additionally, this enhanced dispersion slows aerosol microphysical growth and can reduce the effective radii of aerosols up to 200–300 d after injection. While the long-term dynamics of aerosol dispersion are accurately predicted with transport barriers calculated from short forecasts, the long-term influence on radiative forcing is more difficult to predict and warrants deeper investigation. Statistically significant changes in radiative forcing at timescales beyond the forecasting window showed mixed results, potentially increasing or decreasing forcing after 1 year when compared to fixed injections. We conclude that future feasibility studies of geoengineering should consider the cooling benefits possible by strategically injecting sulfate aerosols at optimized time-varying locations. Our method of utilizing time-varying attracting and repelling structures shows great promise for identifying optimal dispersion locations, and radiative forcing impacts can be improved by considering additional meteorological variables.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Iodine Capture Studies of Copper- and Bismuth-Based Sorbents

The release of radioiodine, one of several radionuclides of concern when recycling used nuclear fuel (UNF), is an important consideration in the fuel cycle. In this study, two sorbent materials, Cu 0 -polyacrylonitrile (PAN) and Bi 0 -PAN, were tested as solid sorbent candidates for iodine capture. Experiments using a thin bed of sorbent material were exposed to vaporized iodine for over 300 hours (~2 weeks) under varied conditions in a dynamic flow environment. The overall performance was monitored in real-time using thermogravimetric analysis, and the materials were subsequently characterized for surface and bulk analysis using scanning electron microscopy – energy-dispersive spectroscopy (SEM-EDS) and powder x-ray diffraction (pXRD), respectively. Iodine (in the form of I 2 ) is expected to be released primarily in the dissolver off-gas (DOG) stream; therefore, this study demonstrates the effects of elemental iodine (I 2 ), water vapor (H 2 O), and nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ). When exposed to ‘ideal’ conditions (in which I 2 is carried by dry air), Cu 0 -PAN and Bi 0 -PAN behave differently, with TGA analysis indicating that Cu 0 sorption performance is higher than that of Bi 0 , as evidenced by a larger mass change. Under ‘harsh’ conditions—such as a gaseous feed containing I 2 , H 2 O, and NO 2 vapors carried by air,—iodine capture performance for both Cu 0 - and Bi 0 -PAN are affected. SEM-EDS and pXRD analysis of these materials is discussed herein.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Z Line VISAR Analysis with the LineVISAR SMASH Class

The Z line VISAR system (ZLV) is a spatially-resolved velocimeter that measures surface velocities in high-energy density experiments on the Z Pulsed Power Facility to facilitate the investigation of fusion, power flow, and dynamic material physics. The data measured in these experiments are analyzed with the LineVISAR SMASH class, a MATLAB software suite that provides tools for data importation, streak image correction, spatiotemporal registration, wrapped phase computation, phase unwrapping, shock handling, and velocity calculation. This report overviews the LineVISAR class, discusses its use, provides example implementations, and supplies analysis specifics not typically recorded in journal publications.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Quantifying Energy Flows in PV Circularity Processes

As sustainable deployment and end-of-life management become a hot topic to timely address in the PV community, a dynamic comparative evaluation of the benefits of circular pathways such as reuse, and remanufacturing, recycling has not been performed holistically beyond material flows or LCA analysis. Energy flows are critical for evaluating energy generation technologies. Previously they have been used to compare renewables to fossil generation and then between PV technologies. This paper quantifies energy flows to evaluate circular pathways for PV. The energy flows tracking manufacturing, generation, and losses complementary to the mass flows of silicon are quantified leveraging the PV ICE framework.

circular economy↗