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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Evolving Electricity Supply and Demand to Achieve Net-Zero Emissions: Insights from the EMF-37 Study

This paper explores the role of electricity in achieving economy-wide net-zero CO2 emissions by 2050 in the United States based on results from 17 models as part of the 37th Stanford Energy Modeling Forum (EMF-37). In the study's Net-Zero scenario, the models use diverse pathways to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050, with gross energy-related residual emissions ranging from 17.2 to 66.6 % of 2020 levels. Electricity consistently emerges as central to achieving net-zero, with models projecting rapid electrification of end-uses and rapidly declining CO2 intensity of electricity. However, the extent of electrification and the technology mix to decarbonize the power sector vary considerably across models. In the Net-Zero scenario, electricity is projected to evolve from ~20 % of final energy in 2020 to 17-63 % in 2050 across the models driven by electrification in all sectors-buildings, industry, and transportation-and, to a lesser extent by direct air capture. By 2050, total electricity consumption increases by 24-176 % (relative to 2020), accompanied by significant expansion in renewable electricity production. Together, solar and wind generation grows by 175-834 %, supplying 45-90 % of total electricity in 2050, with wind achieving slightly higher shares than solar. Electricity storage technologies are deployed at scale to support wind and solar generation. The electricity generation mix varies across models: some project almost complete reliance on renewables, while others see a substantial role for natural gas, often with carbon capture and storage. This paper synthesizes the rich diversity of modeling approaches and results, highlighting differing views on how key drivers of electricity demand and supply might evolve.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2021

X-ray diffraction, differential scanning calorimetry and evolved gas analysis of aged plutonium tetrafluoride (PuF4)

A 30 year-old PuF4 sample consisting of brown powder (PuF4-b) and pink granules (PuF4-p) was analyzed. X-ray difraction shows the bulk is comprised of three compounds: PuF4, PuO2, and PuF4·1.6H2O. Broadening of PuF4 XRD peaks suggests possible a-damage. After annealing at 650 °C, crystalline PuF4 and PuO2 remain. Thermogravimetric analysis and diferential scanning calorimetry—with simultaneous evolved gas analysis—of the separated PuF4-p and PuF4-b components reveal a distinct sequence of reactions. Dehydration occurs between~90 and 300 °C. Exothermic annealing of the a-damage occurs in two stages: at 350–355 °C and at 555–558 °C. Hydrofuoric acid, fuorine and helium desorb during the frst exotherm. Above 700 °C, PuF4 reacts with PuO2, resulting in oxygen release and mass loss.

PuF4, dsc, differential scanning calorimetry, plut↗
DOE OSTI2021

CaMn 3 IV O 4 Cubane Models of the Oxygen‐Evolving Complex: Spin Ground States S <9/2 and the Effect of Oxo Protonation

Abstract We report the single crystal XRD and MicroED structure, magnetic susceptibility, and EPR data of a series of CaMn 3 IV O 4 and YMn 3 IV O 4 complexes as structural and spectroscopic models of the cuboidal subunit of the oxygen‐evolving complex (OEC). The effect of changes in heterometal identity, cluster geometry, and bridging oxo protonation on the spin‐state structure was investigated. In contrast to previous computational models, we show that the spin ground state of CaMn 3 IV O 4 complexes and variants with protonated oxo moieties need not be S =9/2. Desymmetrization of the pseudo ‐ C 3 ‐symmetric Ca(Y)Mn 3 IV O 4 core leads to a lower S =5/2 spin ground state. The magnitude of the magnetic exchange coupling is attenuated upon oxo protonation, and an S =3/2 spin ground state is observed in CaMn 3 IV O 3 (OH). Our studies complement the observation that the interconversion between the low‐spin and high‐spin forms of the S 2 state is pH‐dependent, suggesting that the (de)protonation of bridging or terminal oxygen atoms in the OEC may be connected to spin‐state changes.

Lee, Heui Beom↗
DOE OSTI2020

Identification of a Na + -Binding Site near the Oxygen-Evolving Complex of Spinach Photosystem II

The oxygen-evolving complex (OEC) of photosystem II (PSII) is an oxomanganese cluster composed of four redox-active Mn ions, and one redox-inactive Ca 2+ ion, with two nearby bound Cl – ions. Sodium is a common counter-ion of both chloride and hydroxide anions, and a sodium-specific binding site has not been identified near the OEC. Furthermore, we find that the oxygen-evolution activity of spinach PSII increases with [Na + ], particularly at high pH. A Na + -specific binding site next to the OEC, upon deprotonation of the D1-H337 amino-acid residue, is suggested by the analysis of two recently published PSII cryo-EM maps in combination with quantum mechanical calculations and molecular dynamics simulations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Characterizing Hazardous Gases from NMC811 Materials and Coin Cells with TGA and Tube-Furnace FTIR-MS Evolved-Gas-Analysis

Abuse testing is useful for informing the risks of different battery chemistries but has been limited to larger formats. This paper conducted thermal abuse tests at the smaller coin cell level to determine its relevance in specifying vent gas flammability and toxicity. A nitrogen purge carried the evolved gases into a parallel Fourier-transform infrared spectrometer (FTIR) and a mass spectrometer (MS) downstream of the tube furnace. The experimental system was validated by comparing evolved gas data for single components between the tube furnace system and a thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) instrument. Multiple samples were tested during validation, including CaCO3, electrolyte, delithiated NMC 811 cathode, and lithiated graphite anode. Temperature-resolved gas evolution of HF, CO2, CO, H2, and hydrocarbons from isolated components helped to characterize the emission sources. A previously unreported H2 generation mechanism was found. It was shown that the reduced NMC cathode acts as a catalyst to crack polypropylene-decomposed hydrocarbons into H2 at around 450 degrees C. It was also shown, while studying LiPF6 thermal decomposition, that using the tube furnace with a coin cell casing as the sample holder has some advantages for evolved-gas analysis of environmentally sensitive samples relative to testing in TGA instruments. After validation with single components, a fully charged NMC 811 coin cell was failed in the tube furnace. The measured evolved gases were found to be a combination of the species measured from the single component tests. H2 formation related to the reduced cathode was found to have greater abundance than H2 formed from the anode. Hydrogen fluoride emission factors and diethyl carbonate conversion emission factors assist in understanding the gaseous hazards for larger format cells.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Comparing the DES-SN5YR and Pantheon+ SN cosmology analyses: investigation based on ‘evolving dark energy or supernovae systematics’?

Recent cosmological analyses measuring distances of type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) and baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) have all given similar hints at time-evolving dark energy. To examine whether underestimated SN Ia systematics might be driving these results, Efstathiou (2025) compared overlapping SN events between Pantheon+ and DES-SN5YR (20 per cent SNe are in common), and reported evidence for an $\sim$0.04 mag offset between the low- and high-redshift distance measurements of this subsample of events. If this offset is arbitrarily subtracted from the entire DES-SN5YR sample, the preference for evolving dark energy is reduced. In this paper, we show that this offset is mostly due to different corrections for Malmquist bias between the two samples; therefore, an object-to-object comparison can be misleading. Malmquist bias corrections differ between the two analyses for several reasons. First, DES-SN5YR used an improved model of SN Ia luminosity scatter compared to Pantheon+ but the associated scatter-model uncertainties are included in the error budget. Secondly, improvements in host mass estimates in DES-SN5YR also affected SN standardized magnitudes and their bias corrections. Thirdly, and most importantly, the selection functions of the two compilations are significantly different, hence the inferred Malmquist bias corrections. Even if the original scatter model and host properties from Pantheon+ are used instead, the evidence for evolving dark energy from CMB, DESI BAO Year 1 and DES-SN5YR is only reduced from 3.9$\sigma$ to 3.3$\sigma$, consistent with the error budget. Finally, in this investigation, we identify an underestimated systematic uncertainty related to host galaxy property uncertainties, which could increase the final DES-SN5YR error budget by 3 per cent. In conclusion, we confirm the validity of the published DES-SN5YR results.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Long term predictions of coal fired power plant data using evolved recurrent neural networks

Abstract This work presents an investigation into the ability of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to provide long term predictions of time series data generated by coal fired power plants. While there are numerous studies which have used artificial neural networks (ANNs) to predict coal plant parameters, to the authors’ knowledge these have almost entirely been restricted to predicting values at the next time step, and not farther into the future. Using a novel neuro-evolution strategy called Evolutionary eXploration of Augmenting Memory Models (EXAMM), we evolved RNNs with advanced memory cells to predict per-minute plant parameters and per-hour boiler parameters up to 8 hours into the future. These data sets were challenging prediction tasks as they involve spiking behavior in the parameters being predicted. While the evolved RNNs were able to successfully predict the spikes in the hourly data they did not perform very well in accurately predicting their severity. The per-minute data proved even more challenging as medium range predictions miscalculated the beginning and ending of spikes, and longer range predictions reverted to long term trends and ignored the spikes entirely. We hope this initial study will motivate further study into this highly challenging prediction problem. The use of fuel properties data generated by a new Coal Tracker Optimization (CTO) program was also investigated and this work shows that their use improved predictive ability of the evolved RNNs.

Automation & Control Systems↗
DOE OSTI2026

Linking DSC/TGA to Cell Levels: Energetics, Evolved Gases, and Thermal Safety of NMC811‐Graphite Micro‐Cell

Thermochemical characterization of battery materials links intrinsic material properties to decomposition pathways, heat generation, and gas evolution that govern performance and safety. Despite extensive work on NMC811-Graphite, variability across partial configurations and the limited adoption of micro-cell architectures (cathode+anode+electrolyte+separator) hinder robust cell-scale interpretation. Accordingly, this work establishes a bottom-up, component-resolved methodology integrating DSC/TGA, evolved gas analysis (EGA), and in situ XRD to link decomposition pathways and energy release across partial and micro-cell configurations, providing a transferable assessment of safety and stability in emerging chemistries. In separator-free configurations, the gas–solid reaction between cathode-evolved O 2 and anode-leached Li dominates the net heat release (1139 J g −1 ). In contrast, in the micro-cell configuration, the separator hinders O 2 transport and alters the timing and pathways of other reactions, and reduces the net energy release to 618 J g −1 . Energy release was organized into defined temperature windows that provide a framework for a thermodynamic model combining quantified gas evolution with selected decomposition pathways and effective reaction enthalpies to estimate net specific energy release, with agreement between DSC and cell-level tests. Ex situ XPS of heat-treated samples extends post-mortem analysis to thermal-abuse regimes, supporting key pathway elements.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Precious metal oxygen-evolving anodes for electrolytic reduction of metal oxides in molten LiCl-Li 2 O electrolyte

Understanding the electrochemical stability of oxygen-evolving anode materials in molten salt electrolytes is essential to enable decarbonized electrolytic reduction of metal oxides (e.g., used nuclear oxide fuels). Here, this work investigated three precious metals (Ir, Ru, and Pt) as oxygen-evolving anodes in molten LiCl-Li 2 O (99.0-1.0 wt%) at 650 °C. For consistent measurements, this work employed a three-electrode cell comprised of a two-phase Li-Bi (65-35 at%) reference electrode and a NiO counter electrode. Anodic polarization behavior of each anode was investigated via cyclic voltammetry (CV) and chronoamperometry. The onset potential for oxygen evolution was observed at E > 2.9 V (vs. Li/Li + ) for the Ir and Ru anodes and anodic current density was as high as 1.0 A cm -2 at 3.23 V. The dimensional stability of each anode was evaluated from long-term electrolysis experiments (10.0-32.1 h) at 3.23 V. Rapid consumption of the Pt anode was observed after the application of 26,453 C cm -2 with a reduction in diameter of about 15.8% due to the formation of a non-protective Li 2 PtO 3 compound. The formation of this compound was also observed during CV measurements as additional anodic waves at potentials more negative than that of oxygen evolution. In contrast, both the Ir and Ru anodes exhibited excellent dimensional stability with a reduction in diameter or thickness of less than 1.5% even after applying greater charge density of ~41,100 C cm -2 , demonstrating superior stability during oxygen evolution in the LiCl-Li 2 O electrolyte.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Tracking the first electron transfer step at the donor side of oxygen-evolving photosystem II by time-resolved infrared spectroscopy

In oxygen-evolving photosystem II (PSII), the multi-phasic electron transfer from a redox-active tyrosine residue (TyrZ) to a chlorophyll cation radical (P680 + ) precedes the water-oxidation chemistry of the S-state cycle of the Mn 4 Ca cluster. Here we investigate these early events, observable within about 10 ns to 10 ms after laser-flash excitation, by time-resolved single-frequency infrared (IR) spectroscopy in the spectral range of 1310–1890 cm -1 for oxygen-evolving PSII membrane particles from spinach. Comparing the IR difference spectra at 80 ns, 500 ns, and 10 µs allowed for the identification of quinone, P680 and TyrZ contributions. A broad electronic absorption band assignable P680 + was used to trace largely specifically the P680 + reduction kinetics. The experimental time resolution was taken into account in least-square fits of P680 + transients with a sum of four exponentials, revealing two nanosecond phases (30–46 ns and 690–1110 ns) and two microsecond phases (4.5–8.3 µs and 42 µs), which mostly exhibit a clear S-state dependence, in agreement with results obtained by other methods. Our investigation paves the road for further insight in the early events associated with TyrZ oxidation and their role in the preparing the PSII donor side for the subsequent water oxidation chemistry.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Tandem pyrolysis evolved gas–gas chromatography–mass spectrometry

Analysis of byproducts from thermal degradation of polymer materials provides a wealth of information about a materials’ composition, thermal stability, degradation mechanisms, and kinetics. However, regardless of the instrumentation used, only limited information is obtainable from a single experiment. Microfurnace technology, when interfaced to a gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS), can be used to obtain both thermal and chemical information via evolved gas analysis-MS (EGA-MS) and GC-MS analysis modes. While both EGA-MS and Py-GC-MS are valuable when characterizing polymer materials, at least two experiments on distinct samples are required, which can be a liability for clear interpretation of results from inhomogeneous samples. Here, we seek to overcome this limitation by combining EGA-MS and Py-GC-MS modes in a single experimental setup. Further, this was done by developing new gas line modifications to allow for tandem Pyrolysis Evolved Gas-Gas Chromatography-Mass Spectrometry (Py/EG-GC-MS) analysis. Verification of Py/EG-GC-MS analysis was performed using a polystyrene standard. Results demonstrate successful Py/EG-GC-MS analysis for the first-time showing the potential of these modifications for application in areas where sample is limited or direct correlation of products to the thermal profile is desirable such as in forensics or product-specific kinetics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Small-Molecule Models of Hydrogen-Evolving MX 2 (M = Mo, W; X = S, Se) Bulk Solids: Composition–Activity Relationships

Triangular metal chalcogenide clusters of the form [M 3 Q 7 L 3 ]An (M = Mo or W; Q = S or Se; L = i Bu 2 NCS 2 – , (CF 3 CH 2 ) 2 NCS 2 – , i Bu 2 NCSe 2 – , or i Bu 2 PS 2 – ; An = Cl – or I – ) have been investigated as molecular analogues of layered metal dichalcogenide (MX 2 ) H 2 -evolution catalysts. These clusters have been evaluated for their relative H 2 -evolving ability under a common photolysis protocol implementing [Ru(bpy) 3 ] 2+ as chromophore and Et 3 N as sacrificial electron donor. With M constant as Mo and with constant supporting ligand, clusters with an all-sulfide core enable greater H 2 -TON than clusters with an all-selenide core. A more active catalyst is produced by [Mo 3 S 7 (S 2 CN i Bu 2 ) 3 ] + I – than its W 3 analogue with the same core sulfide composition and supporting dithiocarbamate ligands. Dichalcogenocarbamate ligands provide more active catalysts than dialkyldithiophosphate ligated clusters, and within the dichalcogenocarbamate set, greater H 2 -turnovers correlate with more-electron-donating ligands (i.e., i Bu 2 NCS 2 – > (CF 3 CH 2 ) 2 NCS 2 – > i Bu 2 NCSe 2 – ). Cluster cations with Cl – as counteranion are very similar in activity H 2 -evolving levels to identical clusters with I – , ruling out any significant interfering effect by I – upon the electron transfer relay between Et 3 N and catalyst. In the aggregate, observations are consistent with a mechanism for H 2 evolution that involves reductive extrusion of H 2 from a metal hydride intermediate.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗