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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records

Reopening California: Seeking robust, non-dominated COVID-19 exit strategies

The COVID-19 pandemic required significant public health interventions from local governments. Although nonpharmaceutical interventions often were implemented as decision rules, few studies evaluated the robustness of those reopening plans under a wide range of uncertainties. This paper uses the Robust Decision Making approach to stress-test 78 alternative reopening strategies, using California as an example. This study uniquely considers a wide range of uncertainties and demonstrates that seemingly sensible reopening plans can lead to both unnecessary COVID-19 deaths and days of interventions. We find that plans using fixed COVID-19 case thresholds might be less effective than strategies with time-varying reopening thresholds. While we use California as an example, our results are particularly relevant for jurisdictions where vaccination roll-out has been slower. The approach used in this paper could also prove useful for other public health policy problems in which policymakers need to make robust decisions in the face of deep uncertainty.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

End-of-Mission Planning Challenges for a Satellite in a Constellation

At the end of a mission, satellites embedded in a constellation must first perform propulsive maneuvers to safely exit the constellation before they can begin with the usual end-of-mission activities: deorbit, passivation, and decommissioning. The target orbit for these exit maneuvers must be sufficiently below the remaining constellation satellites such that, once achieved, there is no longer risk of close conjunctions. Yet, the exit maneuvers must be done based on the spacecraft's state of health and operational capability when the decision to end the mission is made. This paper focuses on the recently developed exit strategy for the CloudSat mission to highlight problems and issues, which forced the discarding of CloudSat's original EoM Plan and its replacement with a new plan consistent with changes to the spacecraft's original operational mode. The analyses behind and decisions made in formulating this new exit strategy will be of interest to other missions in a constellation currently preparing to update their End-of-Mission Plan.

CloudSat↗

Swift and extensive Omicron outbreak in China after sudden exit from ‘zero-COVID’ policy

In late 2022, China transitioned from a strict ‘zero-COVID’ policy to rapidly abandoning nearly all interventions and data reporting. This raised great concern about the presumably-rapid but unreported spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in a very large population of very low pre-existing immunity. By modeling a combination of case count and survey data, we show that Omicron spread extremely rapidly, at a rate of 0.42/day (95% credibility interval: [0.35, 0.51]/day), translating to an epidemic doubling time of 1.6 days ([1.6, 2.0] days) after the full exit from zero-COVID on Dec. 7, 2022. Consequently, we estimate that the vast majority of the population (97% [95%, 99%], sensitivity analysis lower limit of 90%) was infected during December, with the nation-wide epidemic peaking on Dec. 23. Overall, our results highlight the extremely high transmissibility of the variant and the importance of proper design of intervention exit strategies to avoid large infection waves.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Panel Session 26: Risk-Based Approaches to Environmental Remediation and Adaptive Site Management

This panel discussed the needs and importance of developing risk-based approaches to environmental remediation that will enable complex sites to be adaptively managed by applying cost-effective remedies that are protective of human health and the environment. The discussion emphasized risk-based approaches within decision processes and subsequent incorporation into regulatory decision documents. Remedy approaches, remediation exit strategies, and long-term monitoring plans that support risk-based end-states for difficult-to-remediate sites were discussed Panelists with presentations: Risk-Informed Approaches to Environmental Remediation and Adaptive Site Management (Vicky Freedman); ITRC Adaptive Site Management Perspective (Michael Truex); Optimization During Operations and Maintenance Phase at the Hanford Site 200-ZP-1 Groundwater Operable Unit (Emerald Laija, Kate Amrhein, Michael Truex); Adaptive Management: EPA Overview (Benjamin Simes); Decommissioning and Environmental Remediation Section Division of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology (Horst Monken Fernandes)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Status Update on TRAC: A DOE-EM Tool for Tracking Groundwater Cleanup and Progress Toward Site Closure - 20245

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Environmental Management (EM) uses a customized, web-based mapping tool called TRAC (Tracking Restoration and Closure) to communicate information on plume sizes, remedial approaches, regulatory drivers, exit strategies, and long-term stewardship requirements at all sites within the DOE-EM complex. The web-based GIS story maps provide robust geospatial visualization of plumes at DOE sites using an intuitive interface that allows users to explore the plume maps, explanatory text, photographs, and video. This collection of story maps not only communicates information for each individual site, but also summarizes pertinent metrics on cleanup and remaining contaminants across all EM sites. This paper describes a new design within TRAC for communicating metrics on plume status, regulatory cleanup progress, and technology implementation. A principal benefit of TRAC is the ability to view individual pieces of data at a time, permitting targeted questions to be addressed, such as the status of regulatory decisions, site cleanup priorities, and site closure needs for each site within the DOE-EM complex. TRAC manages communication and supports decision-making through knowledge access, data and information transparency and traceability, and inclusive participation. It serves as a common resource that provides consistent information for DOE managers, site personnel, regulators and stakeholders. Because long-term stewardship of legacy waste sites requires ongoing coordination and communication among DOE, regulators, and stakeholders, TRAC can also be used to help transition EM sites to the Office of Legacy Management at site closure. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Results of a Soil Flushing Treatability Test for Hanford Site Hexavalent Chromium Removal - 20446

U.S. Department of Energy contractor CH2M Hill Plateau Remediation Company has made significant progress remediating hexavalent chromium in groundwater near the Columbia River through the operation of pump and treat facilities and source removal activities. To mitigate risks associated with hexavalent chromium contamination, which was identified in a CERCLA interim action record of decision as the primary groundwater contaminant of concern for the 100-KR-4 Operable Unit from discharging to the Columbia River, three ion-exchange pump and treat systems were installed between 1997 and 2009. Between 2010 and 2016, operation of the K West pump and treat system, located near the former 105K West plutonium production reactor, reduced concentrations below the groundwater remediation target for hexavalent chromium. In 2016, a rebound study was performed to evaluate the effectiveness of the pump and treat remedy and assess the potential for any residual hexavalent chromium sources continuing to contribute to groundwater contamination. As a result of the rebound study, a source of continued groundwater contamination was identified. To address this condition, a soil flushing treatability test was written and approved by the U.S. Department of Energy and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. The test included saturating about a 1-acre area of soil with treated water with the goal of forcing the residual hexavalent chromium to groundwater where existing extraction wells could remove it for treatment, accelerating the cleanup process. In spring and summer 2019, CH2M Hill Plateau Remediation Company installed and began operating a shallow underground leach system to support the treatability test. Preliminary sampling data show the test was effective in removing the residual contamination. Following further evaluation and analysis from the initial test, the process will be considered for implementation elsewhere on the Hanford Site, particularly at locations where there is a known or suspected continuing contamination source in the soil column. The paper will cover the goals of the study, as well as more details about the following: - Overview of pump and treat exit strategy (using U.S. Environmental Protection Agency guidance); - The design and installation of the soil flushing technology in the 100-K Area; - The testing process and results of sampling data; - Post-study evaluation and potential for implementation in other locations at the Hanford Site. Innovative solutions for cleanup, such as the soil flushing technology, have resulted in substantial progress in the removal of groundwater contaminants at the Hanford Site, potentially shortening the time frame required to meet cleanup goals and resulting in significant cost savings. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Recipes for a Successful Exit for Clean- and Hard-tech Startups

This study demonstrates the combinations of multiple causal factors that formulate a startup’s strategy to successfully “exit”, namely “recipes for a successful exit,” in the clean- and hard-tech sector. We identify seven key causal factors (i.e., causal conditions) that impact startup success, including commercial readiness, investor interactions, favorable industry, non-financial support, straightforward development path, experienced team, and visibility to investors. We also investigate the combinations of selective causal conditions that can provide further synergetic impact. We conduct the fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) on seven US clean and hard-tech startups that exited between 2005 and 2016. The successful companies all demonstrate distinctive characteristics based on three general categories (1) robust ecosystem; (2) heavy-lifting team; or (3) external opportunity. Across these three categories, commercial readiness and strong investor interactions are necessary conditions for all exit cases. But there are important differences that drive success in each category, such as the interaction with non-financial support (in the robust ecosystem case), experienced team (in the heavy-lifting team case), and favorable industry (in the external opportunity case). Furthermore, our findings are meant to support entrepreneurs in reaching an exit by optimizing the given internal and external circumstances, and policymakers to build a robust ecosystem that can increase the success rate of the clean- and hardtech development.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Evaluation of Minimum NOx Emission From Ammonia Combustion

Abstract Ammonia (NH3) is being explored as a hydrogen carrier with no carbon emissions. However, if burned directly as NH3, rather than being completely decomposed back to N2/H2, the fuel-bound nitrogen comes with a potentially significant NOx emissions penalty. Indeed, several existing studies are showing ammonia combustion NOx emissions that exceed current natural gas fueled, DLN technologies by one to two orders of magnitude. Therefore, it is important to establish the theoretical minimum NOx emissions for an ammonia combustor, to determine how much NOx levels can be reduced via further technology development. In other words, the purpose of this work is not to analyze the performance of a specific combustor but, rather, the fundamental limits of what is achievable. This study quantifies this minimum NOx level for a two-stage combustor system for a given combustor exit temperature and residence time, with a constraint on unburned fuel levels. As expected, the optimum configuration is a rich front end combustor to burn and crack ammonia with significant H2 production, followed by an NO relaxation reactor, followed by a lean stage that consumes the remaining H2. The optimum residence time and stoichiometry of each zone are determined in the fast mixing limit, which essentially balances between NOx production in the primary and secondary zones. These results show minimum NOx levels are in 200–400 ppm range at 1 bar, but drop to levels of ∼25 ppm at 20 bar. These NOx emissions are dominated by NOx production in the primary stage which relaxes to equilibrium levels quite slowly. As processes controlling NOx relaxation to equilibrium in the primary stage dominate overall NO emission levels, combustor NOx sensitivities are essentially opposite that of natural gas fired, DLN systems. Specifically, NOx values drop with increased combustor residence time, increased pressure, and increased combustor exit temperature. These results also suggest that the most important strategy for NOx minimization is to provide sufficient relaxation time after the primary zone for NOx to approach equilibrium—this can be done via kinetic means to accelerate this relaxation rate, such as enhancing pressure or temperature, or increasing residence times. Indeed, this work shows that low pressure combustors specifically optimized for ammonia will have residence times that are one to two orders of magnitude larger than current natural gas systems. By doing so, NOx levels below 10 ppm may be achievable. Finally, we discuss the sensitivity of these values to uncertainties in ammonia kinetics.

Engineering↗

Criteria for Grid-Forming Inverters Transitioning Between Current Limiting Mode and Normal Operation

Here, this letter focuses on the fault recovery analysis of inverters using multi-loop droop based grid-forming control, taking into account different current limiting strategies. A criterion is proposed to determine when the inverter can exit the current limiting mode after fault clearance. The theoretical findings are verified through electromagnetic transient simulations using the direct (d)-axis priority-based current limiting method, circular current limiting method, and virtual impedance method.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A user-operated model to study strategy in aircraft evacuation

A computer model is described to study strategies used by passengers evacuating a burning aircraft. Two baseline cases are presented to demonstrate the model. In the first case, in a simple scenario, strategies were found to change from even movement to the nearest exit to others farthest from the fire. In the second case, a test studying the effects of obstacles on passenger movement, nonlinear effects were found that may increase the time required to escape. The presence of obstacles created bottlenecks and, in some cases, isolated whole sections of the passenger cabin, making it impossible to escape. This occurred even though exits were still available for escape, but passengers could not reach them.

Cagliostro, D. E.↗

Computing Satellite Maneuvers For A Repeating Ground Track

TOPEX/POSEIDON Ground Track Maintenance Maneuver Targeting Program (GTARG) assists in designing maneuvers to maintain orbit of TOPEX/POSEIDON satellite. Targeting strategies used either maximize time between maneuvers or force control band exit to occur at specified intervals. Runout mode allows for ground-track propagation without targeting. GTARG incorporates analytic mean-element propagation algorithm accounting for all perturbations known to cause significant variations in ground track. Perturbations include oblateness of Earth, luni-solar gravitation, drag, thrusts associated with impulsive maneuvers, and unspecified fixed forces acting on satellite in direction along trajectory. Written in VAX-FORTRAN.

Shapiro, Bruce↗

Imaging Asteroid 4 Vesta Using the Framing Camera

The Framing Camera (FC) onboard the Dawn spacecraft serves a dual purpose. Next to its central role as a prime science instrument it is also used for the complex navigation of the ion drive spacecraft. The CCD detector with 1024 by 1024 pixels provides the stability for a multiyear mission and its high requirements of photometric accuracy over the wavelength band from 400 to 1000 nm covered by 7 band-pass filters. Vesta will be observed from 3 orbit stages with image scales of 227, 63, and 17 m/px, respectively. The mapping of Vesta s surface with medium resolution will be only completed during the exit phase when the north pole will be illuminated. A detailed pointing strategy will cover the surface at least twice at similar phase angles to provide stereo views for reconstruction of the topography. During approach the phase function of Vesta was determined over a range of angles not accessible from earth. This is the first step in deriving the photometric function of the surface. Combining the topography based on stereo tie points with the photometry in an iterative procedure will disclose details of the surface morphology at considerably smaller scales than the pixel scale. The 7 color filters are well positioned to provide information on the spectral slope in the visible, the depth of the strong pyroxene absorption band, and their variability over the surface. Cross calibration with the VIR spectrometer that extends into the near IR will provide detailed maps of Vesta s surface mineralogy and physical properties. Georeferencing all these observation will result in a coherent and unique data set. During Dawn s approach and capture FC has already demonstrated its performance. The strong variation observed by the Hubble Space Telescope can now be correlated with surface units and features. We will report on results obtained from images taken during survey mode covering the whole illuminated surface. Vesta is a planet-like differentiated body, but its surface gravity and escape velocity are comparable to those of other asteroids and hence much smaller than those of the inner planets or

Keller, H. Uwe↗

Achieving superior carbon transfer efficiency and pH control using membrane carbonation with a wide range of CO 2 contents for the coccolithophore Emiliania huxleyi

The economic viability of microalgal-derived products relies on rapid CO 2 transfer in a cost-effective manner. Many industrial gas streams contain concentrated CO 2 that, if converted to useful products, would lower greenhouse gas emissions and valorize the wasted CO 2 . Membrane carbonation (MC) uses non-porous hollow-fiber gas-transfer membranes to deliver CO 2 without bubble formation, which makes it possible to achieve a high carbon-transfer efficiency (CTE). However, inert gasses in the industrial streams (e.g., N 2 , O 2 , and H 2 O) can significantly lower the CO 2 -delivery rate. The means to overcome the buildup of inert gases in the membrane lumen is to manage the distal end of the membranes to sweep out inert gases while not wasting significant CO 2 . A MC-venting strategy was evaluated for CO 2 inputs from 5% to 100%. Abiotic tests using a restricted exit flow could achieve >95% CTE abiotic for industrial CO 2 streams. When integrated with semi-continuous cultivation of a marine coccolithophore, Emiliania huxleyi , CO 2 delivery and venting were on-demand based on a pH set points and pH-actuated feed and venting valves. MC using the venting strategy achieved 100% CTE biotic when delivering 100% and 50% CO 2 , which was better than 50% CTE biotic obtained from pH-controlled sparging of 100% CO 2 -sparging. E. huxleyi consistently fixed ~80% of the delivered CO 2 into biomass, and the remaining ~20% to calcite coccoliths. Finally, the compact size of MC modules, stable pH control, and no shear forces from bubble agitation during the CO 2 delivery made MC an ideal match for cultivation of coccolithophores, which are sensitive to shear forces and pH fluctuations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Integrated Experimental and Computational K-Edge X-ray Absorption Near-Edge Structure Analysis of Vanadium Catalysts

X-ray Absorption Near-Edge Structure (XANES) spectroscopy is a powerful tool to reveal key structural and electronic features of isolated catalytic sites, yet insights into molecular structure and more detailed orbital analysis through a combination of experimental and computed XANES analysis are necessary for accurate interpretation of the spectra, especially when significant heterogeneity exits among the catalytic sites. Herein, we present an integrated computational and experimental strategy to determine both primary and secondary bonding interactions within the XANES pre-edge region for organovanadium complexes, which was developed using a series of well-defined molecular vanadium complexes and then applied to the characterization of a supported organovanadium olefin hydrogenation catalyst. Time-dependent density functional theory is used to predict the energy of pre-edge XANES features for a series of vanadium complexes with a variety of oxidation states and local coordination environments. Further, a calibration scheme incorporating different density functionals and basis sets is established, resulting in an optimized scheme that accurately predicts pre-edge energies with a mean absolute error of 0.40 eV. Second-shell coordination (e.g., V---V) effects within XANES are identified through the analysis of the computed dominant orbital contributions for multi-vanadium complexes. Orbital analysis also provided confirmation that the vanadium-hydride formation combined with the heterogeneity of the catalytic active species in ole-fin hydrogenation caused the energy shift and broadening of the pre-edge peak after hydrogen treatment of the silica-supported organovanadium pre-catalyst. This work further elucidates computational XANES simulations and techniques potentially guiding characterization in surface organometallic chemistry.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Study of a Plug Nozzle for Supersonic Aircraft Concepts

Nozzles with external plugs are candidates for the exhaust system of supersonic aircraft concepts in an ongoing research effort at NASA. As part of that effort a fundamental study is being conducted at NASA Glenn Research Center (GRC). Experimental and limited numerical simulation results from this study, for a plug nozzle with a convergent nozzle (cowl),have been reported in recent publications[1,2]. Conventional method-of-characteristics (MoC) design for the plug requires that the flow is choked at the nozzle exit. This is why a sharp convergence of the cowl is invoked in such a design in most previous studies [3-5], leading to the earlier choice of the convergent cowl. Such a nozzle, however, is not suitable for supersonic flights because of large boat tail drag suffered by its outer surface. The boat tail drag consideration dictates that the cowl be more or less cylindrical in shape. While various other shapes have been studied in the past [6], essentially a cylindrical shape is adopted in the larger research program at NASA. The cylindrical shape has certain advantages. With the plug crown located somewhat inside the nozzle, the flow experiences convergence and divergence as with a C-D nozzle. By translating the plug, different throat-to-exit area ratio could be achieved to obtain fully expanded condition at different values of NPR. This offers a relatively easy active control strategy for the nozzle geometry throughout the flight regime from landing and takeoff (LTO) to cruise conditions. A plug nozzle model mimicking the geometry being considered in the NASA program, i.e., having a cylindrical exit, have been fabricated recently for continued fundamental studies. Some of the plugs used with the earlier convergent cowl [1] are readily adopted to this model. In addition, a few other plugs have been obtained following a numerical optimization study [7]. The various configurations are to be investigated for thrust, noise and flow fields, with complementing numerical simulations. Thrust data for a variety of configurations as well as limited noise data are in hand. Further explorations including schlieren visualization are to be conducted in the near future. The proposed paper is to summarize all these results. In the following, a few key results obtained so far are described.

jets↗

The measurement of the earth's radiation budget as a problem in information theory - A tool for the rational design of earth observing systems

The measurement of the earth's radiation budget has been chosen to illustrate the technique of objective system design. The measurement process is an approximately linear transformation of the original field of radiant exitances, so that linear statistical techniques may be employed. The combination of variability, measurement strategy, and error propagation is presently made with the help of information theory, as suggested by Kondratyev et al. (1975) and Peckham (1974). Covariance matrices furnish the quantitative statement of field variability.

Barkstrom, B. R.↗

PSA: A program to streamline orbit determination for launch support operations

An interactive, menu driven computer program was written to streamline the orbit determination process during the critical launch support phase of a mission. Residing on a virtual memory minicomputer, this program retains the quantities in-core needed to obtain a least squares estimate of the spacecraft trajectory with interactive displays to assist in rapid radio metric data evaluation. Menu-driven displays allow real time filter and data strategy development. Graphical and tabular displays can be sent to a laser printer for analysis without exiting the program. Products generated by this program feed back to the main orbit determination program in order to further refine the estimate of the trajectory. The final estimate provides a spacecraft ephemeris which is transmitted to the mission control center and used for antenna pointing and frequency predict generation by the Deep Space Network. The development and implementation process of this program differs from that used for most other navigation software by allowing the users to check important operating features during development and have changes made as needed.

Legerton, V. N.↗