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At least 19 records

Grid Value Investigation of Medium-Voltage Back-to-Back Converters: Preprint

This paper presents the work which investigates the value that the medium voltage back to back (MVB2B) converter can bring to the grid, through two potential applications: voltage regulation powered by the reactive power adjustment function, and the distributed energy resource (DER) adoption enhancement powered by the quantitative power transfer function. Two groups of distribution systems have been prepared for the value investigation, including IEEE 123-bus system for voltage regulation study and two utility provided realistic distribution systems for DER adoption enhancement study. The analysis results have demonstrated that the MVB2B converter can bring significant value to the grid through the two aforementioned applications. Particularly, with MVB2B converter transferring power between two feeders, a substantial amount of backfeeding solar power can be avoided, and the size of the energy storage which is used to store the extra solar power can be significantly reduced.

28 EE - Advanced Manufacturing Office (EE-5A)↗

Characterization of the Cherenkov Photon Background for Low-noise Silicon Detectors in Space

Future space observatories that seek to perform imaging and spectroscopy of faint astronomical sources will require ultra-low-noise detectors that are sensitive over a broad wavelength range. Silicon charge-coupled devices (CCDs), such as EMCCDs, skipper CCDs, multi-amplifier sensing CCDs, and single-electron sensitive read out CCDs have demonstrated the ability to detect and measure single photons from X-ray energies to near the silicon band gap (∼1.1 μm), making them candidate technologies for this application. Here, in this context, we study a relatively unexplored source of low-energy background coming from Cherenkov radiation produced by energetic cosmic rays traversing a silicon detector. We present a model for Cherenkov photon production and absorption that is calibrated to laboratory data, and we use this model to characterize the residual background rate for ultra-low-noise silicon detectors in space. We study how the Cherenkov background rate depends on detector thickness, variations in solar activity, and the contribution of heavy cosmic ray species (Z > 2). We find that for thick silicon detectors, such as those required to achieve high quantum efficiency at long wavelengths, the rate of cosmic-ray-induced Cherenkov photon production is comparable to other detector and astrophysical backgrounds. We apply our Cherenkov background model to simulated spectroscopic observations of extra-solar planets, and we find that thick detectors continue to outperform their thinner counterparts at longer wavelengths despite a larger Cherenkov background rate. Furthermore, we find that minimal masking of cosmic-ray tracks continues to maximize the signal-to-noise ratio of very faint sources despite the existence of extended halos of Cherenkov photons.

Astronomical detectors↗

Melting of magnesium oxide up to two terapascals using double-shock compression

Constraining the melting behavior of magnesium oxide, a major constituent of gaseous and rocky planets, is key to benchmarking their evolutionary models. Using a double-shock technique, we extended the MgO melt curve measurements to 2 TPa; this is twice the pressure achieved by previous melting experiments on any material. A temperature plateau is observed between 1218 and 1950 GPa in the second shock states, which is attributed to latent heat of melting. At 1950 GPa, the measured melting temperature is 17,600 K, 17% lower than recent theoretical predictions. Furthermore, the melting curve is steeper than that of MgSiO 3 , indicating that MgO is likely solid in the interior of Saturn-sized gas giants and extra-solar super-Earth planets.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Cherenkov photon background for low-noise silicon detectors in space

Future space observatories dedicated to direct imaging and spectroscopy of extra-solar planets will require ultra-low-noise detectors that are sensitive over a broad range of wavelengths. Silicon charge-coupled devices (CCDs), such as EMCCDs, Skipper CCDs, and Multi-Amplifier Sensing CCDs, have demonstrated the ability to detect and measure single photons from ultra-violet to near-infrared wavelengths, making them candidate technologies for this application. In this context, we study a relatively unexplored source of low-energy background coming from Cherenkov radiation produced by energetic charged particles traversing a silicon detector. In the intense radiation environment of space, energetic cosmic rays produce high-energy tracks and more extended halos of low-energy Cherenkov photons, which are detectable with ultra-low-noise detectors. We present a model of this effect that is calibrated to laboratory data, and we use this model to characterize the residual background rate for ultra-low noise silicon detectors in space. We find that the rate of cosmic-ray-induced Cherenkov photon production is comparable to other detector and astrophysical backgrounds that have previously been considered.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Cherenkov Photon Background for Low-Noise Detectors in Space

Future space observatories dedicated to the direct imaging and spectroscopy of extra-solar planets require ultra-low-noise detectors sensitive at ultraviolet (UV) to infrared (IR) wavelengths. When observing faint sources, detector noise must be studied and minimized in order to maximize signal-to-noise (SNR). However, due to the intense radiation environment of space and the demonstrated ultra-low-noise achievable by modern detectors, Cherenkov radiation emerges as a relatively unexplored source of low-energy background.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

NOvA as a Supernova Observatory

Extra-solar system neutrino astronomy was born in February 1987 when a supernova in a nearby satellite galaxy deposited a couple dozen neutrino events across three solar neutrino and nucleon decay experiments. This marked the first-ever observation of supernova neutrinos, as well as the first supernova in our galactic neighborhood visible to the naked eye in nearly 400 years. There is still much we do not know about the dynamics of these powerful explosions, but one thing is certain: neutrinos play a central role in driving a supernova. They also provide a unique opportunity for probing the interior conditions of a collapsing stellar core. Since 1987, the number of neutrino detectors around the world has grown. When the next supernova occurs, detectors must be ready to seize the moment and record data from this rare event that only happens a couple times per century. The NOvA experiment has been prepared for this for some time, but it has been unclear how well NOvA will be ab le to se parate supernova-like events from the large cosmogenic backgrounds and extract meaningful physical insight. In this thesis, I show that the cosmic-induced backgrounds in the NOvA detectors---especially the far detector---can be reduced to an acceptable level for core-collapse supernovae within $\sim$15 kpc and that a determination of the neutrino mass ordering can be made for nearby supernovae under certain conditions. This thesis paves the way for future sensitivity studies and eventual analyses of real supernova data, and shows that NOvA's liquid scintillator neutrino detectors are a capable supernova observatory.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

NOvA as a Supernova Observatory

Extra-solar system neutrino astronomy was born in February 1987 when a supernova in a nearby satellite galaxy deposited a couple dozen neutrino events across three solar neutrino and nucleon decay experiments. This marked the first-ever observation of supernova neutrinos, as well as the first supernova in our galactic neighborhood visible to the naked eye in nearly 400 years. There is still much we do not know about the dynamics of these powerful explosions, but one thing is certain: neutrinos play a central role in driving a supernova. They also provide a unique opportunity for probing the interior conditions of a collapsing stellar core. Since 1987, the number of neutrino detectors around the world has grown. When the next supernova occurs, detectors must be ready to seize the moment and record data from this rare event that only happens a couple times per century. The NOvA experiment has been prepared for this for some time, but it has been unclear how well NOvA will be ab le to se parate supernova-like events from the large cosmogenic backgrounds and extract meaningful physical insight. In this thesis, I show that the cosmic-induced backgrounds in the NOvA detectors---especially the far detector---can be reduced to an acceptable level for core-collapse supernovae within $\sim$15 kpc and that a determination of the neutrino mass ordering can be made for nearby supernovae under certain conditions. This thesis paves the way for future sensitivity studies and eventual analyses of real supernova data, and shows that NOvA's liquid scintillator neutrino detectors are a capable supernova observatory.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Constraining the destruction rate of K 40 in stellar nucleosynthesis through the study of the Ar 40 ( p , n ) K 40 reaction

Background: We present that K 40 plays a significant role in the radiogenic heating of Earth-like exoplanets, which can affect the development of a habitable environment on their surfaces. The initial amount of K 40 in the interior of these planets depends on the composition of the interstellar clouds from which they formed. Within this context, nuclear reactions that regulate the production of K 40 during stellar evolution can play a critical role. Purpose: In this study, we constrain for the first time the astrophysical reaction rate of K 40 ( n , p ) Ar 40 , which is responsible for the destruction of K 40 during stellar nucleosynthesis. We provide to the nuclear physics community high-resolution data on the cross section and angular distribution of the Ar 40 ( p , n ) K 40 reaction. These are important to various applications involving Ar 40 . The associated reaction rate of the Ar 40 ( p , n ) K 40 process addresses a reaction rate gap in the Joint Institute for Nuclear Astrophysics REACLIB database in the region of intermediate-mass isotopes. Methods: We performed differential cross-section measurements on the Ar 40 ( p , n ) K 40 reaction, for six energies in the center-of-mass system between 3.2 and 4.0 MeV and various angles between 0 ° and 135 ° . The experiment took place at the Edwards Accelerator Laboratory at Ohio University using the beam swinger target location and a standard neutron time-of-flight technique. We extracted total and partial cross sections by integrating the double differential cross sections we measured. Results: The total and partial cross sections varied with energy due to the contribution from isobaric analog states and Ericson type fluctuations. The energy-averaged neutron angular distributions were symmetrical relative to 90 ° . Based on the experimental data, local transmission coefficients were extracted and were used to calculate the astrophysical reaction rates of Ar 40 ( p , n ) K 40 and K 40 ( n , p ) Ar 40 reactions. The new rates were found to vary significantly from the theoretical rates in the REACLIB library. We implemented the new rates in network calculations to study nucleosynthesis via the slow neutron capture process, and we found that the produced abundance of K 40 is reduced by up to 10% compared to calculations with the library rates. At the same time, the above result removes a significant portion of the previous theoretical uncertainty on the K 40 yields from stellar evolution calculations. Conclusions: Our results support a destruction rate of K 40 in massive stars via the K 40 ( n , p ) Ar 40 reaction that is larger compared to previous estimates. The rate of K 40 destruction via the K 40 ( n , p ) Ar 40 reaction now has a dramatically reduced uncertainty based on our measurement. Lastly, this result directly affects the predicted stellar yields of K 40 from nucleosynthesis, which is a critical input parameter for the galactic chemical evolution models that are currently employed for the study of significant properties of exoplanets.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Lithium and boron isotopic compositions of olivine in chondrules from carbonaceous and ordinary chondrite meteorites: Implications for the origin of solar 11 B/ 10 B ratio

We report the origin of solar 11 B/ 10 B ratio ~4 remains an open question. It has been thought that a significant portion of boron in the Solar System was derived from continuous spallation nucleosynthesis during interactions between Galactic Cosmic Rays and C—N—O nuclei in the interstellar medium. However, because GCR-produced boron is characterized by 11 B/ 10 B ~2.5, an endmember with 11 B/ 10 B > 4 is required to account for the solar 11 B/ 10 B ratio. Two leading hypotheses for the sources of 11 B-rich components include low energy spallation in the Sun’s parental molecular cloud and the neutrino process during the supernova explosions. In this study, lithium and boron elemental and isotopic compositions of seven porphyritic olivine chondrules and one isolated olivine crystal from four meteorites (Allende, Yamato 81020, Asuka 12236, and QUE 97008) were determined in-situ to help constrain which of the two nucleosynthetic mechanisms has most likely supplied the forming Solar System with extra 11 B. Apparent isotopic variations in Li/Si, B/Si, δ 7 Li and δ 11 B were found in chondrule olivine crystals, but only three chondrules exhibit statistically resolved δ 11 B heterogeneities. Using these three chondrules as a basis for discussion, we evaluated the processes that could potentially cause elemental and isotopic variations of Li and B. We argue that the data can be best understood in the context of condensation of lithium-boron-rich material onto chondrule precursors in (an) initially heterogeneous gaseous reservoir(s), which could be realized if the Solar System derived 11 B-rich components from a supernova or supernovae.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Black textile with bottom metallized surface having enhanced radiative cooling under solar irradiation

We discuss the cooling performance of garments can play an important role of enabling comfortable human activities under extreme environments. Imparting extra cooling performance to a garment in a passive way is extremely challenging under the sunlight which provides a huge energy influx to the garment, especially made of black colored textile. In this study, a solar-adaptive-textile (SAT) has been designed and experimentally demonstrated. Near-infrared (NIR) transmittance to the human skin from the solar irradiance has been intercepted by incorporating a nanoscale sputtered thin aluminum metal film underneath the textile layer facing the skin. The high-pressure sputtering employed allows a deep penetration of aluminum into the fabric structure for enhanced solar-energy-blocking effect and film stability. The aluminum layer effectively reduces the solar irradiance as well as the thermal radiation from the textile, which gets heated in lieu of the human skin. The outdoor, under-the-sun measurements with a simulated skin showed an outstanding 2 °C cooling effect compared to the normal textile without the metal film, while preserving most of the given textile properties such as colors, air permeability and wicking behavior.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Optically thick GaInAs/GaAsP strain-balanced quantum-well tandem solar cells with 29.2% efficiency under the AM0 space spectrum

GaAs is often used as a multijunction subcell due to its high material quality on GaAs substrates, despite having a non-optimal bandgap. The bandgap can be beneficially reduced using many layers of thin, strain-balanced GaInAs in a superlattice or quantum well device, but achieving excellent carrier collection without increased recombination has proven challenging. Here, we develop and demonstrate high performance, optically thick GaInAs/GaAsP strain-balanced solar cells. Excellent material quality is achieved in thick superlattices by using growth conditions that limit progressive thickness and composition fluctuations. Bandgap-voltage offsets as low as 0.31V are shown in superlattice cells using thin, highly strained GaP barriers. Optically thick superlattice cells with over 2500 nm of total GaInAs in the depletion region are developed, enabling 3.8 mA/cm 2 of extra photocurrent beyond the GaAs band edge under the AM0 space spectrum. Optimized superlattice solar cells are incorporated into two-junction devices that achieve 29.2% efficiency under the AM0 space spectrum due to their improved bandgap combination and high subcell voltages.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Multiport Control with Partial Power Processing in Solid-State Transformer for PV, Storage, and Fast-Charging Electric Vehicle Integration

This article proposes a multiport control method to enable partial power processing (PPP) in a medium-voltage (MV) multiport solid-state transformer (SST). MV multiport SSTs are promising in integrating low-voltage DC sources or loads such as solar photovoltaic, energy storage, and electric vehicles into smart grids without bulky line-frequency transformers. Compared to voltage-source SST, current-source (CS) SST features single-stage isolated bidirectional AC/AC, AC/DC, or DC/DC conversion using an inductive DC link. For a multiport CS SST, it is revealed in this article that the PPP capability can be enabled through the proposed control without extra hardware, different from the case of voltage-source converters where special hardware architecture is required for the PPP. With the PPP, most power exchange between LV ports is processed by only a fraction of the entire conversion stage, leading to reduced DC-link current, volume, loss, and improved efficiency. The proposed multiport PPP control scheme is analyzed to verify the advantages across a wide voltage and power range against conventional full power processing (FPP) multiport control, using the soft-switching solid-state transformer (S4T) with reduced conduction loss as an example. Comparative experimental results based on a SiC three-port S4T prototype verify the effectiveness of the proposed PPP scheme against the FPP scheme under both steady state and dynamic conditions. Here, the DC-link current reduction is measured to be more than 36%. Significantly, the proposed multiport PPP control scheme is generic and applicable to any hard-switching or soft-switching CS SSTs without extra hardware.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Self-Aligned Fluorinated-Organic Ligand for Boosting the Performance of Perovskite Solar Cells

Surface passivation is evident to be one of the most efficient approaches to achieve high efficiency with superior stability of perovskite solar cells (PeSCs). However, most previous approaches to surface passivation involve adding an additional coating process either before or after perovskite film fabrication, thereby introducing an extra processing step and significantly increasing production costs. Here, a simple yet novel one-step interfacial passivation approach was implemented by utilizing the self-aligning properties of fluorinated organic ligands (F4TmI) within a perovskite precursor solution. The inherent propensity of the ligand to spontaneously anchor onto the surface of perovskite guides the crystallization process of perovskites, thus largely enhancing the device performance and humidity stability. The optimized F4TmI-based devices achieved an efficiency of 21.1%, surpassing that of the control (19.8%). Furthermore, the device stability significantly improved after the incorporation of F4TmI, maintaining 78.9 and 95.1% of its initial efficiency after aging at 60 °C and 60% relative humidity, respectively, for 330 h.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Inverted organic tandem solar cells with a charge recombination stack employing spatially confined p-type electrical doping

We report on the application of solution-based p-type electrical doping using 12-molybdophosphoric acid hydrate (PMA) to the fabrication of organic tandem solar cells. Such a doping approach leads to a spatially confined vertical doping profile down to a limited depth from the surface of polymer films, thus allowing the hole-collecting component of the charge recombination stack to be embedded in the photoactive layer of the bottom sub-cell. This simplifies the device architecture by removing the need for an extra dedicated hole-collecting layer. It is shown that this novel charge recombination stack comprising a PMA-doped bottom photoactive layer and a trilayer of Ag/AZO/PEIE is compatible with a solution-processed top photoactive layer. Here, the fabricated inverted organic tandem solar cells exhibit an open-circuit voltage that is close to the sum of the open-circuit voltages of the individual sub-cells, and a fill factor that is close to the better fill factor of the two sub-cells.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Improved Performance of Cu(InGa)(SeS) 2 PV Modules Using the Reaction of Metal Precursors. Final Report

This project “Improved Performance of Cu(InGa)(SeS) 2 PV Modules using the Reaction of Metal Precursors” was a partnership led by the Institute of Energy Conversion (IEC) at the University of Delaware with Columbia University and the Molecular Foundry at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. The aim was to develop pathways to improve Cu(InGa)(SeS) 2 (CIGSS) thin film photovoltaic modules using processes compatible with low manufacturing cost. The CIGSS approach investigated was a two-step process including deposition of metal precursor films following by reaction in hydride gases utilizing IEC’s novel reactor. The process was similar to that under commercial development by the project’s industry partner Stion. When Stion went out of business mid-project the focus changed to a rapid thermal process considered more commercially viable. Approaches to improve the performance of solar cells using the reacted films focused on two material innovations. First, the overall Ga content was increased to increase the operating voltage, which is desirable for scale-up to commercial modules. Second, the processing and performance advantages arising from Ag alloying were investigated. Advanced characterization guided process and material development including control of relative composition gradients. Research on the formation of Cu-Ga-In metal precursors utilized sputtering deposition which is normally used in commercial applications. The work resulted in processes for deposition of precursor stacks with increased relative Ga content and effects of deposition parameters on morphology and phase composition were established. It was shown that the metal precursor films have comparable phase composition and morphology so subsequent reaction follows from the same starting point. The addition of Ag to the metal precursors gave more uniform morphology and improved adhesion of reacted films which enable higher reaction temperature for faster processing. A novel outcome was the discovery of a previously undocumented material phase in sputter-deposited and evaporated Ag-Cu-In-Ga thin films. Hydride gas reaction processes including time-temperature-concentration profiles were developed for different precursor compositions. This enables control of composition profiles to engineer through-film gradients for solar cell optimization with characterization and simulations used to correlate measured film composition profiles to measurements of devices. In particular, the gradient of sulfur at the front of the CIGSS film was found to be critical. The simulations guided process development leading to improved reproducibility of devices improved performance with higher Ga content and higher voltage. With Ag-alloyed precursors, the reaction pathways leading were determined. A significant finding was that Ag-alloying increases the reaction rate to completely convert precursor films to the final chalcopyrite which could enable reduced reaction time to benefit manufacturability. To maintain potential commercial viability, the process under investigation was refocused to a rapid thermal process that could potentially be incorporated into an in-line process for manufacturing. Precursors with different composition were capped with an extra selenium layer and reacted in hydrogen sulfide 5-15 minutes, compared to typically 2 hours in the previous multi-step batch process. Critical RTP parameters were identified to control the reaction. Further optimization would be needed for high efficiency solar cells but pathways to high quality devices with further optimization and improved heating uniformity were developed. The project also developed new optoelectronic characterization approaches with a focus on development and application of spatial- and time-resolved photoluminescence and a custom mapping photoluminescence microscope built. It was shown how critical electronic transport properties strongly depend on the chemical composition of the material and that a wide range of samples show inhomogeneity on a length scale larger than the grains in the films. Additionally, two-photon excitation capability was developed to distinguish bulk vs surface losses. The project advances the state-of-the -art for precursor reaction processes in several ways that could impact manufacturing. This includes validation of approaches to increase voltage and establishment of model-guided control to form optimal composition profiles. The application of process control approaches with knowledge of phase formation and reaction pathways can be critically valuable in designing a large-scale process.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Pb dimerization greatly accelerates charge losses in MAPbI 3 : Time-domain ab initio analysis

Metal halide perovskites constitute a new type of semiconducting materials with long charge carrier lifetimes and efficient light-harvesting. The performance of perovskite solar cells and related devices is limited by nonradiative charge and energy losses, facilitated by defects. Combining nonadiabatic molecular dynamics and time-domain density functional theory, we demonstrate that charge losses depend strongly on the defect chemical state. By considering an extra Pb atom in CH 3 NH 3 PbI 3 , which is a common defect in lead halide perovskites, we investigate its influence on charge trapping and recombination. In a chemically inert form as a Pb interstitial, the extra Pb atom has only a mild influence on charge recombination. However, if the extra Pb atom binds to a native Pb atom to form a dimer, the charge trapping and recombination are greatly accelerated because the Pb-dimer creates a localized midgap trap state that couples strongly to the perovskite valence band edge. Holes disappear from the valence band two orders of magnitude faster than in the pristine perovskite and recombine with conduction band electrons one order of magnitude faster. The simulations identify the phonon modes involved in the nonradiative charge trapping and recombination and highlight the importance of rapid decoherence within the electronic subsystem for long carrier lifetimes. The detailed atomistic analysis of the charge trapping and recombination mechanisms enriches the understanding of defect properties and provides theoretical guidance for improving perovskite performance.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Tradeoff between Intermolecular Interaction and Backbone Disorder by High Molecular Dipole Block for Improving Blend Morphology of Polymer Solar Cells

Constructing terpolymer has attracted increasing attention as a strategy to improve the performance of polymer solar cell. Terpolymer usually offers an opportunity to lower the frontier molecular orbital energy level, introduces additional absorption band and sometimes optimizes the morphology of the active blend. Generally, the additional segment in terpolymer backbone inevitably introduces backbone disorder, which causes entropy rises. However, selecting a suitable dipole unit introduces extra driving forces for crystallization by enhancing intermolecular interactions. This provides a handy knob for tradeoff between intermolecular interaction and backbone disorder, thus regulating the blend morphology. In this study, a high dipole and electron-deficient group of pyrrolo[3,4-f ]benzotriazole-5,7(6H)-dione (TzBI) is incorporated into the high-performance donor polymer and a series of terpolymers with different content of TzBI are designed. As expected, the morphology is optimized gradually for improving charge generation and charge transport, also suppressing charge recombination. The champion device with 10% TzBI exhibited a power conversion efficiency (PCE) of 18.36%, which is 5% increase compared to the controlled device. This study presents a charming terpolymer strategy by highly electron-deficient and high dipole segment to realize a tradeoff between intermolecular interaction and backbone disorder, facilitating the optimization of morphology and elevation of fill factor and device efficiency.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Recursive Blind Forecasting of Photovoltaic Generation and Consumer Load for Microgrids

Existing forecasting frameworks that predict time-series photovoltaic (PV) generation and consumer load for micro-grids' operation and control assume near-continuous availability of real-time predictors from the field. The incoming data are used to periodically re-train the models and update forecast snapshots over a moving horizon window. However, such frameworks are not resilient to disruptions in data availability caused by losses in communications between the field sensors and data loggers. This paper bridges the shortcoming by leveraging a previously proposed forecasting framework that is resilient to abrupt changes in data quality caused by communication losses. Assuming no availability of real-time field system data, which is typical in extreme weather events such as hurricanes, the framework uses lightweight recursive time-series models to independently forecast solar irradiance, ambient temperature, PV power, and consumer load for three horizon windows: 24 hours, 12 hours, and 1 hour. Four types of ensemble-based regression trees-simple gradient boosted trees (GBR), GBR with an adaptive component (A-GBR), random forests (RF), and extra trees (ExTR)-are leveraged and their performances are compared against a simple historical weekly mean. Numerical results show that A-GBR performs better on average by 32% for 24-hour horizon and 39% for 12-hour horizon, whereas ExTR outdoes the other models on average by 10% for 1-hour horizon.

Sundararajan, Aditya↗