Results for “implicit deep learning”

NASA NTRS2024

3D Cloud Masking Across A Broad Swath Using Multi-Angle Polarimetry and Deep Learning

Understanding the 3-dimensional structure of clouds is of crucial importance to modeling our changing climate. Active sensors, such as radar and lidar, provide accurate vertical cloud profiles, but are mostly restricted to along-track sampling. Passive sensors can capture a wide swath, but struggle to see beneath cloud tops. In essence, both types of products are restricted to two dimensions: as a cross-section in the active case, and an image in the passive case. However, multi-angle sensor configurations contain implicit information about 3D structure, due to parallax and atmospheric path differences. Extracting that implicit information can be challenging, requiring computationally expensive radiative transfer techniques. Machine learning, as an alternative, may be able to capture some of the complexity of a full 3D radiative transfer solution with significantly less computational expense. In this work, we make three contributions towards understanding 3D cloud structure from multi-angle polarimetry. First, we introduce a large-scale, publicly available dataset that fuses existing cloud products into a format more amenable to machine learning. This dataset treats multi-angle polarimetry as an input, and radar-based vertical cloud profiles as an output. Second, we describe and evaluate strong baseline machine learning models based that predict these profiles from the passive imagery. Notably, these models are trained only on center-swath labels, but can predict cloud profiles over the entire passive imagery swath. Third, we leverage the information-theoretic nature of machine learning to draw conclusions about the relative utility of various sensor configurations, including spectral channels, viewing angles, and polarimetry. These findings have implications for Earth-observing missions such as NASA’s Plankton, Aerosol, Cloud-ocean Ecosystem (PACE) and Atmosphere Observing System (AOS) missions, as well as in informing future applications of computer vision to atmospheric remote sensing.

clouds↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Variance Decomposition of MEDLI2 Reconstructed Heating Using Neural Networks

The Mars Entry, Descent, and Landing Instrumentation (MEDLI2) sensor suite collected data during entry of the Mars 2020 Perseverance rover into Mars’ atmosphere. This suite included a network of MEDLI2 Instrumented Sensor Plugs (MISPs). Each MISP was comprised of a cylinder made of Thermal Protection System (TPS) material with 1-3 embedded thermocouples (TCs), and it was flush mounted into the heatshield or backshell. Data from these in-depth TCs were used to reconstruct the aeroheating environment of the vehicle throughout entry. Surface heating was posed as an inverse problem, with the goal of estimating the surface heating by minimizing an objective function of the difference between MISP temperature measurements during flight and the temperature predictions derived from the Fully Implicit Ablation and Thermal response (FIAT) program. Given an aerothermal environment, FIAT calculates the material response and provides in-depth temperatures throughout the TPS material. To achieve the reverse, an internal tool called FIAT_Opt runs through multiple different environments until the output temperature at the TC depth closely matches the flight data. 95% confidence intervals on the reconstructed surface heating were obtained using Monte Carlo analysis, in which uncertainties in the thermocouple depth and the TPS material properties (e.g., density, thermal conductivity, heat capacity, emissivity) based on flight-lot material testing were included. A variance decomposition method using Sobol indices was employed to assess the sensitivity of the reconstructed peak heating to the TC placement and material property uncertainties. Variance decomposition was found to require tens of thousands of FIAT_Opt runs in order for the Sobol indices to converge. With a single FIAT_Opt run taking on the order of 40 minutes, the required number of computations would take months to complete, even if using multiple CPUs. To mitigate this problem, three machine learning models (ridge regression with cross-validation, random forest regression, and a deep neural network) were trained and tested using the 2000 Monte Carlo runs that were already completed. A subset of 1600 runs were used to train the model (i.e., training set), while the remaining 400 runs were used as the test set. The predictions from the deep neural network (DNN) on the test set showed nearly perfect agreement to the actual values computed with FIAT_Opt (R2 > 0.99). Using the DNN as a surrogate model, the variance decomposition using 50,000 runs was completed within minutes. The resulting Sobol indices showed that the reconstructed peak surface heating was most sensitive to the uncertainties in the thermal conductivity (ST = 0.37) and heat capacity (ST = 0.26). This method can be leveraged to provide requirements for material property measurements needed to improve the accuracy of surface heating prediction and ultimately lead to the reduction of design margins in the future. This presentation will include background on the MEDLI2 suite; the method used for inverse heating estimation; the way that material property uncertainties were accounted for using Monte Carlo analysis; a brief background on variance decomposition; the motivation for using machine learning in this context; how a neural network was trained on the data to enable variance decomposition in a fraction of the time; and the variance decomposition results for one of the MISPs.

Hannah Alpert↗