Tracking of Tropical Intraseasonal Convective Anomalies: 1. Seasonality of the Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillations
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Bohar Singh↗
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Intraseasonal Oscillations over South America: A Study with a Regional Climate Model
The National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) regional climate model version 2 (RegCM2) is used to investigate the observed characteristics of intraseasonal oscillations over South America. Our study is mainly concentrated on an intraseaonal mode, which is observed to account for a large portion of the intraseasonal variation, to have a standing feature and to be independent of the MJO. The NCEPDOE AMIP-II reanalysis is utilized to provide initial and lateral boundary conditions for the RegCM2 based upon the OOZ, 062, 122 and 182 data.Our results indicate that the intraseasonal oscillation still exists with time- averaged lateral boundary condition, which prevents the MJO and other outside disturbances from entering the model's domain, suggesting a locally forced oscillation responsible for ths intraseasonal mode independent of the MJO. Further experiments show that the annual and daily variabilities and a radiative-convective interaction are not essential to the locally forced intraseasonal oscillation. The intraseasonal oscillations over Amazon in our model essentially result from interactions among atmospheric continental- scale circulation, surface radiation, surface sensible and latent heat fluxes, and cumulus convection. The wavelet analyses of various surface energy fluxes and surface energy budget also verify that the primary cause of intraseasonal oscillation is the interaction of land surface processes with the atmosphere.
Chen, Baode↗
Intraseasonal variability in a barotropic model with seasonal forcing
It has recently been suggested that oscillatory topographic instability could contribute to low-frequency variability over the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes. A barotropic potential vorticity model, with a hierarchy of forcing and topography configurations on the sphere, is used to investigate the nature of low-frequency oscillations induced by such instabilities. Steady-state solutions of the model include multiple unstable equilibria that sustain oscillatory instabilities with periods of 10 - 15 days, and 150 - 180 days, for a realistic forcing pattern, Time-dependent solutions exhibit chaotic behavior with episodic oscillations, featuring both the intraseasonal (35 - 50 day) and biweekly (10 - 15 day) modes. The former is dominated by standing spatial patterns, the latter by traveling wave patterns. The phases of the intraseasonal oscillation are robust for all cases, exhibiting a clear oscillatory exchange of atmospheric angular momentum with the solid earth via mountain troque. It is demonstrated, through linear stability analysis on the sphere, that the intraseasonal oscillations are induced by topographic instabilities. The role of the seasonal cycle is studied by prescribing an annual cycle in the forcing. In this case, the winter forcing is more favorable than the summer for the occurrence of episodic intraseasonal oscillations. Recent observations are consistent with this model result.
Strong, Christopher M.↗
Intraseasonal Variations of Nonmigrating Tides Observed Near the Mesopause
Nonmigrating tides excited in the tropical troposphere by latent heat release from deep convection are known to be responsible for introducing the longitudinal structures in the upper atmosphere and the ionosphere. This study presents for the first time an extensive analysis of the prominent wave-3 and wave-4 longitudinal structures using nearly 14 years of temperature observations by the Microwave Limb Sounder instrument operated on the Aura satellite from 2004 to 2017. The observations reveal significant intraseasonal (~30-60 days) periodic variations in the amplitudes of these wave structures at ~97-km altitude near the mesopause. Some large wave amplitudes accompany strong activity of the Madden-Julian Oscillation. Rainfall data from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission are used as a proxy of latent heating to investigate the source of these variations. Intraseasonal signatures in the wave structures are observed to coincide with the rainfall variations, indicating that the tropospheric 30- to 60- day oscillation is an important driver of the same periodic changes in the upper atmosphere. Given that not all intraseasonal oscillations in the lower atmosphere have corresponding signatures in the longitudinal wave structures, the atmospheric conditions and other influences are important. This study provides evidence on the connection between intraseasonal variations of tides in the upper atmosphere and the changes in the forcing by latent heat release in the troposphere.
Liu, Guiping↗
Intraseasonal oscillation of convective activity in the tropical Southern Hemisphere - May 1984-April 1986
This paper studies the intraseasonal oscillation of convection and related variables in the Southern Hemisphere tropics utilizing European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts analyses of 1984 to 1986. One aspect of the research was that the original, unfiltered, time series of various variables was first analyzed to determine if a statistically significant signal occurred on the intraseasonal time scale. The analysis showed that two variables, outgoing longwave radiation and velocity potential at 200 hPa, provided the best evidence of an intraseasonal oscillation. The oscillation propagated eastward, and the convective activity for both years was more intense over the Indian Ocean-Indonesia-western Pacific region than elsewhere.
Vincent, Dayton G.↗
Zonal contributions to global momentum variations on intraseasonal through interannual time scales
The variability in a 13-year time series of daily values of the relative angular momentum of the atmosphere (M) is separated into three frequency bands: intraseasonal, seasonal, and interannual. Two methods are used to achieve this separation, and the amount of variance attributable to intraseasonal fluctuations, in particular, is sensitive to the choice made. Seasonal time scales clearly dominate the global momentum series; included in this frequency band is a notable dip in the series early in almost every calendar year. To localize the sources of the frequency band-dependent fluctuations in M, the data were decomposed into series of angular momentum values within each of 46 equal-area zonal belts over the globe and covariances were formed between these belt series and M. Seasonal variations in M represent the residual of opposing contributions from the subtropical jets of the Northern and the Southern Hemispheres. Both intraseasonal and interannual variations in M result mostly from behavior in the tropics.
Rosen, Richard D.↗
Impact of a Cold Pool Parameterization on the Diurnal Cycle and Intraseasonal Variability in the GEOS AGCM
A gradual transition from shallow to deep convection may be important both to the continental diurnal cycle of precipitation and to the tropical Madden-Julian Oscillation. However, many existing convection parameterizations transition too readily, with corresponding diurnal and intraseasonal biases. High entrainment rates can be used to delay deep convection, but typically produce mean state biases; this is the "entrainment dilemma." Cold pools and sub-grid organization offer a potential solution to this dilemma, and recent work shows parameterized cold pools can effectively modulate deep convection, with improvements to the diurnal cycle and intraseasonal variability. Here we investigate the effects of a simple prognostic cold pool scheme coupled to the Grell-Freitas convection parameterization, in a set of global simulations with the NASA GEOS model. Air detrained from parameterized downdrafts is maintained in vertically resolved cold pools, which evolve with simplified dynamics. We test several options for cold pool feedbacks on convection, including modifications to deep convective entrainment rates, convective source air properties, and thermodynamic profiles, based on the level of cold pool activity. Cold pool impacts on the diurnal cycle are evaluated against TRMM, and moisture and moist static energy budgets are used to understand changes in tropical intraseasonal variability. Preliminary results show delays in the diurnal cycle of precipitation.
Arnold, Nathan↗
Intraseasonal Variability of the Equatorial Indian Ocean Observed from Sea Surface Height, Wind, and Temperature Data
The forcing of the equatorial Indian Ocean by the highly periodic monsoon wind cycle creates many interesting intraseasonal variabilities. The frequency spectrum of the wind stress observations from the European Remote Sensing Satellite scatterometers reveals peaks at the seasonal cycle and its higher harmonics at 180, 120, 90, and 75 days. The observations of sea surface height (SSH) from the Jason and Ocean Topography Experiment (TOPEX)/Poseidon radar altimeters are analyzed to study the ocean's response. The focus of the study is on the intraseasonal periods shorter than the annual period. The semiannual SSH variability is characterized by a basin mode involving Rossby waves and Kelvin waves traveling back and forth in the equatorial Indian Ocean between 10(deg)S and 10(deg)N. However, the interference of these waves with each other masks the appearance of individual Kelvin and Rossby waves, leading to a nodal point (amphidrome) of phase propagation on the equator at the center of the basin. The characteristics of the mode correspond to a resonance of the basin according to theoretical models. The theory also calls for similar modes at 90 and 60 days.
wind stress observations↗
Origin of low-frequency (intraseasonal) oscillations in the tropical atmosphere. I - Basic theory
A theory for the origin of intraseasonal oscillations of the tropical atmosphere is presented. The theoretical background for and main features of the intraseasonal variability of the tropical atmosphere are discussed. The theory is validated for the 40-50 day oscillation using a simple model. The transient response of the tropical atmosphere to a local oscillating heat source and an internally forced heat source is studied. The structure and mechanism of the eastward propagation are examined. It is noted that the eastward propagation of low-frequency oscillation is the result of the interaction between convection and dynamics via the mobile wave-CISK mechanism. It is suggested that the low-frequency oscillations are an intrinisic atmospheric phenomena that exist without a dynamically interactive ocean.
Lau, K.-M.↗
Seasonal and intraseasonal climatology of summer monsoon rainfall over East Asia
This paper presents a documentation of the seasonal and intraseasonal rainfall climatology of summer monsoon rainfall over East Asia, using monthly and 10-d precipitation data from East Asian stations. These data are then related to satellite measurements of longwave radiation and large-scale circulation field. Major rainfall regimes and multiple monsoon onsets are identified, indicating that, in general, monsoon rainfall over East Asia evolves with wavelike progression from north to south from April to September. Abrupt changes in the major rainbands are related to the phase-locking between intraseasonal oscillations found in this study, such as the 40-d and 20-d rainfall fluctuations, and the seasonal monsoon cycle.
Lau, K.-M.↗
On the dynamics of intraseasonal oscillations and ENSO
This paper investigates some basic properties of low-frequency phenomena in the tropical atmosphere and the coupled ocean-atmosphere system, with an aim of seeking a unified dynamical framework for studies of the mechanisms of intraseasonal oscillations and the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The role of specific processes leading to intraseasonal oscillations and to ENSO, both separately and collectively, are considered, using a simple shallow-water system. The results demonstrated the effect of including a time-dependent moist atmosphere in studies of the coupled atmosphere-ocean system. It is suggested that the interaction of several atmospheric processes and oceanic processes through evaporation-SST feedback and wind stress at the atmosphere-ocean interface may be important for the onset and evolution of an ENSO event.
Lau, K.-M.↗
Origin of low-frequency (intraseasonal) oscillations in the tropical atmosphere. II - Structure and propagation of mobile wave-CISK modes and their modification by lower boundary forcings
An improved treatment of diabatic heating due to moist convection is introduced into the dynamical model of Lau and Peng (1987) to study the origin of intraseasonal oscillations in the tropics. It is found that the periods of slow-moving wave-CISK disturbances in the tropical troposphere with fixed sea surface temperature vary from 20 to 50 days. The results suggest that heating in the lower troposphere may be important in slowing down the wave-CISK modes. Also, it is shown that the intraseasonal oscillation can propagate around the globe even when the associated deep convection is only confined over warm sea surface temperatures.
Sui, Chung-Hsiung↗
Origin of low frequency (intraseasonal) oscillations in the tropical atmosphere. III - Monsoon dynamics
The issue of the interaction of the monsoon large-scale circulation and intraseasonal oscillations is addressed, showing that, as a result of the interaction of the large scale monsoon flow with the near-equatorial intraseasonal oscillation, unstable baroclinic disturbances are generated over the monsoon region. From a linear stability analysis of quasi-geostrophic motion in a two-level model, it is shown that the westward propagating disturbances generated over the monsoon region are the manifestation of heat-induced unstable Rossby waves. The instability is favored in the region with large vertical wind shear and reduced effective static stability. The monsoon large scale circulation over India and southeast Asia and the plentiful supply of moisture in the region appear to be favorable for the development of these unstable waves.
Lau, K.-M.↗
An evaluation of the structure of tropical intraseasonal oscillations in three general circulation models
The attributes for the simulation of tropical intraseasonal oscillations in the 30 to 60 day range by three GCMs are compared with analyses of the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Models under consideration include the Goddard Laboratory of Atmospheric sciences (GLAS), Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres (GLA), and UCLA GCMs. They are characterized by the same resolutions of four degrees latitude by five degrees longitude with 9 levels. Observations reveal that the eastward traveling planetary scale structure becomes more stationary over the Indonesian region and accelerates over the Central Pacific. In the tropics a Kelvin wave-type structure is found to be dominant near the center of the oscillation. The simulated winds are realistic although the meridional component is too strong, especially in the GLA GCM. The differences in the structure of the oscillation in the GLAS GCM and GLA GCM are considered to be a consequence of the different numerical schemes used. The GCMs are characterized by preferred zones for diabatic heating, with a turn-on heating occurring when the rising branch of the intraseasonal oscillation passes over these convective regions.
Park, Chung-Kyu↗
Observational aspects of the low-frequency intraseasonal variability of the atmosphere in middle latitudes
An integrated description of the planetary-scale structures that emerge as organized entities on intraseasonal temporal scales in the middle latitudes is developed. Spatial scales of atmospheric motions involved in the generation of variability in the LF range are specified. An overview of the 3D structure of the seasonally averaged eddies in which the intraseasonal fluctuations are superposed is presented. The generation and maintenance mechanisms possibly responsible for the existence of the seasonal, quasi-stationary disturbances are discussed. It is shown that in the LF, low-zonal wavenumber part of the spectrum, the power displayed by standing variance exceeds that of propagating variance and vice versa for HFs and wavenumbers.
Pandolfo, Lionel↗
Relationship Between Intraseasonal Oscillation and Subtropical Wind Maxima Over the South Pacific Ocean
The significance of tropical heat sources on higher latitude jet streams has been examined by numerous investigators. Hurrell and Vincent (1990) provide a summary of many of these investigations in their observational case study of the relationship between tropical heating and subtropical wind maxima in the Southern Hemisphere during SOP-1, FGGE. They showed that the divergent outflow from tropical heating associated with the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ), acted on by the coriolis force, was an important factor in maintaining the subtropical jet on the poleward side of the SPCZ during the period, 6-20 January 1979. They found a similar, but weaker relationship, over the southern Indian Ocean from 3-17 February 1979, a period when the SPCZ heating was greatly reduced and the jet was essentially non-existent. Since their findings were based on a case study and involved the use of the highly-specialized FGGE data set, the natural questions which arose were: (1) Is this relationship a regular feature of the circulation over the South Pacific? and, (2) If so, can it be detected with a routine data set? Another question posed by Hurrell and Vincent in their papers was:(3) How important was the intraseasonal oscillation in causing the enhanced heating and divergent outflow in the Pacific Ocean in January and southern Indian Ocean in February? The purpose of the present paper is to address the answer to these three questions. To accomplish this, some circulation features for an entire warm season in the Southern Hemisphere were examined. The year selected was 1984-85, and the warm season consisted of the 6-month period, 1 November 1984 - 30 April 1985. This period was chosen because there were numerous cases of the westerly wind maxima over the South Pacific and the intraseasonal oscillation was well documented.
Vincent, Dayton G.↗
Intraseasonal Variations of the Tropical Total Ozone and their Connection to the Madden-Julian Oscillation
We investigate the intraseasonal (30-90 day) variations in satellite-observed tropical total ozone (O3) and their connection to the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO). Tropical total O3 intraseasonal variations are large (approximately +/- 10 DU) and comparable to those in annual and interannual time scales. These O3 anomalies are mainly evident in the subtropics over the Pacific an eastern; hemisphere and propagate slowly eastward (approximately 5 m s-1). The subtropical negative (positive) O3 anomalies are typically collocated with the subtropical upper troposphere anticyclones (cyclones) generated by equatorial MJO convection and flank or lie to the west of the equatorial enhanced (suppressed) MJO convection. The subtropical O3 are anticorrelated with geopotential height anomalies near the tropopause and thus mainly associated with the O3 variability in the stratosphere rather the troposphere. Over the equatorial regions, total O3 anomalies are small.
Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS)↗
Intraseasonal Variations in Tropical Deep Convection, Tropospheric Mean Temperature and Cloud-Induced Radiative Fluxes
Intraseasonal variability of deep convection represents a fundamental mode of variability in the organization of tropical convection. While most studies of intraseasonal oscillations (ISOs) have focused on the spatial propagation and dynamics of convectively coupled circulations, we examine the projection of ISOs on the tropically-averaged temperature and energy budget. The area of interest is the global oceans between 20oN/S. Our analysis then focuses on these questions: (i) How is tropospheric temperature related to tropical deep convection and the associated ice cloud fractional amount (ICF) and ice water path (IWP)? (ii) What is the source of moisture sustaining the convection and what role does deep convection play in mediating the PBL - free atmospheric temperature equilibration? (iii) What affect do convectively generated upper-tropospheric clouds have on the TOA radiation budget? Our methodology is similar to that of Spencer et al., (2007) with some modifications and some additional diagnostics of both clouds and boundary layer thermodynamics. A composite ISO time series of cloud, precipitation and radiation quantities built from nearly 40 events during a six-year period is referenced to the atmospheric temperature signal. The increase of convective precipitation cannot be sustained by evaporation within the domain, implying strong moisture transports into the tropical ocean area. While there is a decrease in net TOA radiation that develops after the peak in deep convective rainfall, there seems little evidence that an "Infrared Iris"- like mechanism is dominant. Rather, the cloud-induced OLR increase seems largely produced by weakened convection with warmer cloud tops. Tropical ISO events offer an accessible target for studying ISOs not just in terms of propagation mechanisms, but on their global signals of heat, moisture and radiative flux feedback processes.
Ramey, Holly S.↗