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At least 19 records

Optimal estimation for discrete time jump processes

Optimum estimates of nonobservable random variables or random processes which influence the rate functions of a discrete time jump process (DTJP) are obtained. The approach is based on the a posteriori probability of a nonobservable event expressed in terms of the a priori probability of that event and of the sample function probability of the DTJP. A general representation for optimum estimates and recursive equations for minimum mean squared error (MMSE) estimates are obtained. MMSE estimates are nonlinear functions of the observations. The problem of estimating the rate of a DTJP when the rate is a random variable with a probability density function of the form cx super K (l-x) super m and show that the MMSE estimates are linear in this case. This class of density functions explains why there are insignificant differences between optimum unconstrained and linear MMSE estimates in a variety of problems.

Vaca, M. V.

Optimal estimation for discrete time jump processes

Optimum estimates of nonobservable random variables or random processes which influence the rate functions of a discrete time jump process (DTJP) are derived. The approach used is based on the a posteriori probability of a nonobservable event expressed in terms of the a priori probability of that event and of the sample function probability of the DTJP. Thus a general representation is obtained for optimum estimates, and recursive equations are derived for minimum mean-squared error (MMSE) estimates. In general, MMSE estimates are nonlinear functions of the observations. The problem is considered of estimating the rate of a DTJP when the rate is a random variable with a beta probability density function and the jump amplitudes are binomially distributed. It is shown that the MMSE estimates are linear. The class of beta density functions is rather rich and explains why there are insignificant differences between optimum unconstrained and linear MMSE estimates in a variety of problems.

Vaca, M. V.

Comparison of characteristics and shock capturing methods with application to the space shuttle vehicle.

A critical appraisal is presented of a method-of-characteristics (MOC) and a shock-capturing technique (SCT) for calculating three-dimensional supersonic flow. Detailed comparisons are made for pointed and blunt-nosed bodies with a thick delta wing at angles of attack from 5 to 15 deg. The results show excellent agreement between the methods and with experiment. It is established that the SCT code yields accurate shock locations and jump conditions. The SCT code typically requires about three times as many mesh points as the MOC code in order to resolve the bow shock, but the total computation time is about the same. On a point for point basis, the SCT code is about four times faster than the MOC code.

Rakich, J. V.

Distant Bow Shock Observations by Explorer 33

Locations, orientations and magnetic field changes are given for 135 bow shock crossings at distances downstream from earth between 84 and 117 earth radii. The shock locations are dependent on the spacecraft trajectory and agree with locations calculated for the hypersonic analogue for a Mach number of 3.8. The shock normal vectors have been calculated using magnetic coplanarity. The average normal vectors have a greater inclination by approximately 17 + or - 5 deg from the symmetry axis than the Dryer and Heckman shock orientations for a 3.8 Mach number. Over a range of downstream distances from 60 to 115 earth radii, the median magnetic field magnitude jump across the shock changes from 1.90 to 1.70 times.

Mihalov, J. D.

Distant bow shock observations by Explorer 33

Locations, orientations and magnetic field changes are given for 135 bow shock crossings at distances downstream from earth between 84 and 117 earth radii. The shock locations bracket those calculated for the hypersonic analogue by Dryer and Heckman (1967) for a Mach number of 3.8. The shock normal vectors have been calculated using magnetic coplanarity. The average normal vectors have a greater inclination by about 17 plus or minus 5 deg from the symmetry axis than the Dryer and Heckman shock orientations for a 3.8 Mach number. Over a range of downstream distances from 60 to 115 earth radii, the median magnetic field magnitude jump across the shock changes from 1.90 to 1.70 times.

Mihalov, J. D.

Prediction of jump phenomena in rotationally-coupled maneuvers of aircraft, including nonlinear aerodynamic effects

An analytical method has been developed for predicting critical control inputs for which nonlinear rotational coupling may cause sudden jumps in aircraft response. The analysis includes the effect of aerodynamics which are nonlinear in angle of attack. The method involves the simultaneous solution of two polynomials in roll rate, whose coefficients are functions of angle of attack and the control inputs. Results obtained using this procedure are compared with calculated time histories to verify the validity of the method for predicting jump-like instabilities.

Young, J. W.

Numerical computation of transonic flows with shock waves

Some recent developments in numerical methods for calculating solutions to the transonic potential flow equation are reviewed, including (1) the construction of the stable coordinate independent difference schemes; (2) the use of conservation form to insure proper shock jump conditions; (3) analysis of the relaxation method by the time dependent analogy; (4) accelerated iterative schemes.

Jameson, A.

Hard X-ray time profiles and acceleration processes in large solar flares

The hard X-ray time profiles of the (1972) August 4 and 7 flares are investigated, taking into account a comparison of the time profiles of different energy channels. It is shown that for these flares the temporal features of the intensity profiles of higher energy channels are delayed with respect to those of channel 1. The delay time gradually increases to approximately 5 sec as the channel number increases from 1 to 5, and it jumps to approximately 15 sec for channels 6 and 7. A description is presented of a model in which the delay and other characteristics of the observed time profiles in channels 1-5 are self-consistently explained by the increase of the electron energy loss time with electron energy.

Bai, T.

A comparison between an empirical technique for the prediction of cyclogenesis and the LFM II

Preliminary empirical results are given of a study to determine the present-day utility of the George (1960) technique for predicting cyclogenesis. Surface and constant pressure charts are examined to determine the frequency and preferred locations for the occurrence of cold air injections. The accuracy of the empirical technique and the LFM II are compared for a limited number of cases. No consistent relationship between cold air injections and other atmospheric features is found. After the appearance of a cold air injection, cyclogenesis, a center jump, or a deepening of an existing cyclone occurs 77% of the time.

Atlas, R.

Viscous reacting flows with wall slip and catalysis applied to spheres in arc jets and flight

The influence of wall slip and catalytic atom-recombination on the flow field and wall heat flux are calculated for high altitude flight and arc jet flow conditions. Boundary equations, which include velocity slip, temperature jump, and wall catalytic atom recombination, are coupled to the viscous reacting multicomponent Navier-Stokes equations. These equations are solved using a time-dependent finite difference technique applied to spheres in an arc jet flow (Reynolds number of 550) and a high altitude flight case representative of the Space Shuttle Orbiter (Reynolds number of 450). The results indicate that catalysis strongly influences the temperature jump, but not the velocity slip. Slip increases the atom fraction and temperature at both the wall and the flow field. Likewise, the shock stand-off distance, the wall heat flux, and friction coefficient are increased over the nonslip cases. The reacting gas calculations confirm the chemically frozen nature of the shock layer in arc jet flows.

Scott, C. D.

Propagation of waves in a medium with high radiation pressure

The propagation and mutual transformation of acoustic and thermal waves are investigated in media with a high radiative pressure. The equations of hydrodynamics for matter and the radiative transfer equations in a moving medium in the Eddington approximation are used in the investigation. Model problems of waves in a homogeneous medium with an abrupt jump in opacity and in a medium of variable opacity are presented. The characteristic and the times of variability are discussed. Amplitude for the brightness fluctuations for very massive stars are discussed.

Bisnovatyy-Kogan, G. S.

Energy management during the space shuttle transition

An approach to calculating optimal, gliding flight paths of the type associated with the space shuttle's transition from entry to cruising flight is presented. Kinetic energy and total energy (per unit weight) replace velocity and time in the dynamic equations, reducing the dimension and complexity of the problem. The capability for treating integral and terminal penalties (as well as Mach number effects) is retained in the numerical optimization; hence, stability and control boundaries can be observed as trajectories to the desired final energy, flight path angle, and range are determined. Numerical results show that the jump to the front-side of the L/D curve need not be made until the end of the transition and that the dynamic model provides a conservative range estimate. Alternatives for real time trajectory control are discussed.

Stengel, R. F.

Energy management during the space shuttle transition.

An approach to calculating optimal, gliding flight paths of the type associated with the space shuttle's transition from entry to cruising flight is presented. Kinetic energy and total energy (per unit weight) replace velocity and time in the dynamic equations, reducing the dimension and complexity of the problem. The capability for treating integral and terminal penalties (as well as Mach number effects) is retained in the numerical optimization; hence, stability and control boundaries can be observed as trajectories to the desired final energy, flight path angle, and range are determined. Numerical results show that the 'jump' to the 'front-side of the L/D curve' need not be made until the end of the transition and that the dynamic model provides a conservative range estimate. Alternatives for real-time trajectory control are discussed.

Stengel, R. F.

On the structure of contact binaries. I - The contact discontinuity

The problem of the interior structure of contact binaries is reviewed, and a simple resolution of the difficulties which plague the theory is suggested. It is proposed that contact binaries contain a contact discontinuity between the lower surface of the common envelope and the Roche lobe of the cooler star. This discontinuity is maintained against thermal diffusion by fluid flow, and the transition layer is thin to the extent that the dynamical time scale is short in comparison with the thermal time scale. The idealization that the transition layer has infinitesimal thickness allows a simple formulation of the structure equations which are closed by appropriate jump conditions across the discontinuity. The further imposition of the standard boundary conditions suffices to define a unique model for the system once the chemical composition, the masses of the two stars, and the orbital separation are specified.

Shu, F. H.

Analysis of embedded shock waves calculated by relaxation methods.

The requirements for uniqueness of the calculated jump conditions across embedded shock waves are investigated for type-dependent difference systems used in transonic flow studies. A mathematical analysis shows that sufficient conditions are (1) the equations should be differenced in conservative form and (2) a special difference operator should be used when switching from a hyperbolic to an elliptic operator. The latter results in a consistency condition on the integral equations, rather than the differential, at these points. Calculated jump conditions for several embedded and detached shock waves are analyzed in the physical and hodograph planes. Comparisons are made with previous results, a time-dependent calculation, and data.

Murman, E. M.