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Results for “limits of machine learning”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Human limits in machine learning: prediction of potato yield and disease using soil microbiome data

Abstract Background The preservation of soil health is a critical challenge in the 21st century due to its significant impact on agriculture, human health, and biodiversity. We provide one of the first comprehensive investigations into the predictive potential of machine learning models for understanding the connections between soil and biological phenotypes. We investigate an integrative framework performing accurate machine learning-based prediction of plant performance from biological, chemical, and physical properties of the soil via two models: random forest and Bayesian neural network. Results Prediction improves when we add environmental features, such as soil properties and microbial density, along with microbiome data. Different preprocessing strategies show that human decisions significantly impact predictive performance. We show that the naive total sum scaling normalization that is commonly used in microbiome research is one of the optimal strategies to maximize predictive power. Also, we find that accurately defined labels are more important than normalization, taxonomic level, or model characteristics. ML performance is limited when humans can’t classify samples accurately. Lastly, we provide domain scientists via a full model selection decision tree to identify the human choices that optimize model prediction power. Conclusions Our study highlights the importance of incorporating diverse environmental features and careful data preprocessing in enhancing the predictive power of machine learning models for soil and biological phenotype connections. This approach can significantly contribute to advancing agricultural practices and soil health management.

Aghdam, Rosa↗
DOE OSTI2026

Expanding the Domain of Applicability of Machine Learning Models with Limited Data for Drug Property Prediction

Accurate machine learning models for predicting small molecule interactions with biological targets are essential for therapeutic discovery, biothreat response, and computational drug design, but their performance is often limited for understudied targets with sparse experimental data. To address this challenge, we developed and evaluated methods to improve molecular property prediction under low-data conditions, using the NimA-related kinase (NEK) family as a proof-of-concept. This work focused on two complementary goals within the ATOM Modeling PipeLine (AMPL) and the Generative Molecular Design (GMD) loop: expanding model applicability through transfer learning, representation learning, feature scaling, sampling strategies, and active-learning-inspired compound selection; and enabling efficient virtual screening to prioritize compounds that balance predicted activity, design objectives, and synthetic accessibility.

organic↗
DOE OSTI2020

Initial Implementation Of Machine Learning System for SRF Cavity Fault Classification at CEBAF

The Continuous Electron Beam Accelerator Facility (CEBAF) at Jefferson Laboratory is high power CW electron accelerator. It uses a mixture of two types of SRF modules, older, lower energy C20/C50 modules and newer higher energy C100 modules, arrayed in two anti-parallel linear accelerators. Accurately classifying the type of cavity faults is essential to maintaining and improving accelerator performance. Each C100 cryomodule contains eight 7-cell cavities. When a cavity fault occurs within a cryomodule, all eight cavities generate 17 waveforms each containing 8192 points. This data is exported from EPICS and saved for review. Analysis of these waveforms is time intensive and requires subject matter expertise (SME). SMEs examine the data from each event and label it according to one of several known cavity fault types. Multiple machine learning models have been developed on this labeled dataset with sufficient performance to warrant the creation of a limited machine learning software system for use by accelerator operations staff. This paper discusses the transition from model development to implementation of a prototype system.

Carpenter, A.↗
DOE OSTI2018

Membrane Filtration with Liquids: A Global Approach with Prior Successes, New Developments and Unresolved Challenges

After 70 years, modern pressure-driven polymer membrane processes with liquids are mature and accepted in many industries due to their good performance, ease of scale-up, low energy consumption, modular compact construction, and low operating costs compared with thermal systems. Successful isothermal operation of synthetic membranes with liquids requires consideration of three critical aspects or “legs” in order of relevance: selectivity, capacity (i.e. permeation flow rate per unit area) and transport of mass and momentum comprising concentration polarization (CP) and fouling (F). Major challenges remain with respect to increasing selectivity and controlling mass transport in, to and away from membranes. Thus, prediction and control of membrane morphology and a deep understanding of the mechanism of dissolved and suspended solute transport near and in the membrane (i.e. diffusional and convective mass transport) is essential. Here, we focus on materials development to address the relatively poor selectivity of liquid membrane filtration with polymers and discuss the critical aspects of transport limitations. Machine learning could help optimize membrane structure design and transport conditions for improved membrane filtration performance.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2015

Machine Learning for Big Data: A Study to Understand Limits at Scale

This report aims to empirically understand the limits of machine learning when applied to Big Data. We observe that recent innovations in being able to collect, access, organize, integrate, and query massive amounts of data from a wide variety of data sources have brought statistical data mining and machine learning under more scrutiny, evaluation and application for gleaning insights from the data than ever before. Much is expected from algorithms without understanding their limitations at scale while dealing with massive datasets. In that context, we pose and address the following questions How does a machine learning algorithm perform on measures such as accuracy and execution time with increasing sample size and feature dimensionality? Does training with more samples guarantee better accuracy? How many features to compute for a given problem? Do more features guarantee better accuracy? Do efforts to derive and calculate more features and train on larger samples worth the effort? As problems become more complex and traditional binary classification algorithms are replaced with multi-task, multi-class categorization algorithms do parallel learners perform better? What happens to the accuracy of the learning algorithm when trained to categorize multiple classes within the same feature space? Towards finding answers to these questions, we describe the design of an empirical study and present the results. We conclude with the following observations (i) accuracy of the learning algorithm increases with increasing sample size but saturates at a point, beyond which more samples do not contribute to better accuracy/learning, (ii) the richness of the feature space dictates performance - both accuracy and training time, (iii) increased dimensionality often reflected in better performance (higher accuracy in spite of longer training times) but the improvements are not commensurate the efforts for feature computation and training and (iv) accuracy of the learning algorithms drop significantly with multi-class learners training on the same feature matrix and (v) learning algorithms perform well when categories in labeled data are independent (i.e., no relationship or hierarchy exists among categories).

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗
DOE OSTI2026

Real-time avoidance of the L-mode and H-mode density limit via machine-learned stability metrics

Reliable operation of burning plasma tokamaks will require robust control strategies to avoid macroscopic instability limits such as the L-mode and H-mode density limits (LDL, HDL). In this work, we explore closed-loop avoidance of these phenomena at DIII-D using machine-learned risk metrics. Feedback control is implemented via the ‘DL Supervisor’ scheme, which regulates the chosen risk metric by reducing the density target or increasing NBI heating in real-time. Using the LDL 25 risk metric, the LDL is reproducibly suppressed. We also introduce an HDL risk metric in this study, HDL 25 , which reduces the False Positive Rate by 2x compared to the Greenwald fraction. Applying this scaling to a plasma current ramp-down, we successfully avoid an HDL-driven H/L back-transition. These experiments constitute the first demonstration of real-time DL avoidance using machine-learned risk metrics. These instability metrics outline a path to safer high-density operation, more reliable ramp-down scenarios, and improved off-normal control for next-step devices such as ITER and SPARC.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Machine learning changes the rules for flux limiters

Learning to integrate non-linear equations from highly resolved direct numerical simulations has seen recent interest for reducing the computational load for fluid simulations. Here, we focus on determining a flux-limiter for shock capturing methods. Focusing on flux limiters provides a specific plug-and-play component for existing numerical methods. Since their introduction, an array of flux limiters has been designed. Using the coarse-grained Burgers' equation, we show that flux-limiters may be rank-ordered in terms of their log-error relative to high-resolution data. We then develop a theory to find an optimal flux-limiter and present flux-limiters that outperform others tested for integrating Burgers' equation on lattices with [Formula: see text], and 2x, 3x, 4x, and 8x coarse-grainings. We train a continuous piecewise linear limiter by minimizing the mean-squared misfit to six-grid point segments of high-resolution data, averaged over all segments. While flux limiters are generally designed to have an output of φ(r) = 1 at a flux ratio of r = 1, our limiters are not bound by this rule and yet produce a smaller error than standard limiters. Here we find that our machine learned limiters have distinctive features that may provide new rules-of-thumb for the development of improved limiters. Additionally, we use our theory to learn flux-limiters that outperform standard limiters across a range of values (as opposed to at a specific fixed value) of coarse-graining, number of discretized bins, and diffusion parameter. This demonstrates the ability to produce flux limiters that should be more broadly useful than standard limiters for general applications.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Evaluating Limits of Machine Learning-Assisted Raman Spectroscopy in Classification of Biological Samples

Machine learning (ML)-assisted Raman spectroscopy has become a powerful analytical tool for the classification and identification of analytes; however, technical challenges impacting its detection accuracy have not been thoroughly investigated. This study explores experimental factors affecting classification performance. Among the evaluated ML models, ML algorithms show minimal impact on classification accuracy. Instead, experimental factors, including spectral similarity between tested samples and data quality, dominate detection performance. Increases in spectral noise and spectral similarity significantly reduce classification accuracy. In well-controlled samples with low experimental noise, ML-assisted Raman spectroscopy can discriminate lipid mixtures with a composition difference of 1.85 mol %. To assess the effect of biological heterogeneity, we analyzed single-cell Raman spectra from Saccharomyces cerevisiae strains carrying single, double, or triple gene mutations. Intrinsic cell-to-cell variability introduced substantial spectral differences, severely reducing the accuracy of multiclass classification of these genetically similar strains at the single-cell level. Averaging Raman spectra across multiple cells improved classification accuracy by reducing this spectral variability. We also assess the effectiveness of transfer learning across different Raman spectrometers, specifically by applying an ML model trained on one instrument to another Raman spectrometer. Transfer learning can be improved with proper instrument calibration, highlighting the importance of instrument standardization. Overall, our results demonstrate that data quality and spectral similarity are the primary bottlenecks in ML-assisted Raman spectroscopy. Careful attention to sample preparation, data acquisition, measurement conditions, and instrument calibration is critical to achieving robust and reliable classification performance.

Fungi↗
DOE OSTI2019

Machine learning in a data-limited regime: Augmenting experiments with synthetic data uncovers order in crumpled sheets

Machine learning has gained widespread attention as a powerful tool to identify structure in complex, high-dimensional data. However, these techniques are ostensibly inapplicable for experimental systems where data are scarce or expensive to obtain. Here, we introduce a strategy to resolve this impasse by augmenting the experimental dataset with synthetically generated data of a much simpler sister system. Specifically, we study spontaneously emerging local order in crease networks of crumpled thin sheets, a paradigmatic example of spatial complexity, and show that machine learning techniques can be effective even in a data-limited regime. This is achieved by augmenting the scarce experimental dataset with inexhaustible amounts of simulated data of rigid flat-folded sheets, which are simple to simulate and share common statistical properties. This considerably improves the predictive power in a test problem of pattern completion and demonstrates the usefulness of machine learning in bench-top experiments where data are good but scarce.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

A ModEx Framework for Watershed Subsurface Investigation With Limited Geophysical Data Using Machine Learning and Hydrologic Modeling

Abstract Subsurface heterogeneity influences watershed hydrology strongly but remains difficult to characterize at catchment scales with sparse and costly field data. Geophysical surveys such as electromagnetic induction (EMI) provide local spatial subsurface images yet scaling them to watershed scales and converting EMI‐derived resistivity into hydraulic properties remains a challenge. We present a Model–Experiment (ModEx) framework that integrates limited EMI data with machine learning (ML) and hydrologic modeling to improve process representation and guide field investigations. Sparse EMI surveys were scaled to the catchment scale using a Random Forest model, and the resulting resistivity fields were combined with nearby borehole constraints to parameterize a hydrologic model. The EMI‐informed hydrological simulations improved predictions of streamflow sustained by subsurface flow and shallow saturation patterns. By combining EMI data and ML with hydrologic modeling, the ModEx framework guides future subsurface surveys, providing a transferable and efficient strategy for data–model integration across diverse watersheds. Plain Language Summary Mapping the underground network of soil and rock that controls water is essential for predicting floods and droughts, but seeing underground is difficult and expensive. We cannot drill everywhere, so scientists use geophysical tools to scan broad areas. There are two key challenges: these geophysical scans are often sparse across the whole watershed, and the geophysical data is hard to translate into water‐related properties. We used artificial intelligence to solve these problems. We taught a computer to find patterns linking the limited geophysical data to the land surface properties. This allowed it to fill in the gaps and create a complete, useful subsurface map for the entire watershed. This new map improves hydrologic simulations, leading to more accurate predictions of water movement in the watershed. It also helps scientists build better models with less data and generates a priority map showing where to measure next, making future investigations more efficient. Key Points Limited EMI scaled with ML improves catchment‐scale subsurface parameterization for hydrologic models The framework integrates hydrologic modeling with limited geophysical data to support subsurface investigation design ModEx framework offers a transferable data–model integration strategy that quantifies and reduces uncertainty guiding watershed studies

Chen, Hang↗
DOE OSTI2021

equivariant_electron_density

SAND2022-3548 O This code contains scripts that allow users to generate molecular electron densities, train a machine learning model to predict electron densities, and analyze the accuracy of machine learned electron densities. It accompanies a publication titled "Cracking the Quantum Scaling Limit with Machine Learned Electron Densities.” Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Rackers, Joshua↗
DOE OSTI2018

An automated isotope identification and quantification algorithm for isotope mixtures in low-resolution gamma-ray spectra

There is a need to develop an automated isotope identification and quantification algorithm that can perform well using low-resolution gamma-ray detectors. The algorithm should be able to perform well on spectra that contain a mixture of many isotopes as well as in cases where spectral features are difficult to analyze. Due to the low resolution of these detectors, spectra of isotope mixtures becomes complicated to identify when features overlap. Previous research applying machine learning algorithms to isotope identification has been promising. Further work is needed to demonstrate the limits of machine learning algorithms when applied to identifying mixtures of isotopes and spectra where features are not obvious. Because machine learning algorithms use abstract features of the spectrum, such as the shape of overlapping peaks and Compton continuum, they are a natural choice for analyzing isotope mixtures. In this work, an artificial neural network (ANN) has be trained to calculate the relative activities of 29 isotopes in a spectrum. The ANN is trained with simulated gamma-ray spectra, allowing custom datasets to be generated for specific identification tasks. The algorithms performance on simulated spectra without apparent features and on simulated isotope mixtures are both analyzed.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗