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At least 19 records

Thermal Overloading Risk Mitigation With a Semi-Analytical Probabilistic Model on Branch Current

A semi-analytical formulation is presented in this paper for the probability computation of branch current in multiphase systems. The developed formula is derived based on the linear power flow model in rectangular coordinates. The system uncertainty injections can be renewable energy resources or loads and are modeled using a Gaussian mixture model (GMM). The developed formula can be used to compute the line current violation probability as well as integrate into optimal power flow problem as chance-constraint relaxation. Here, the proposed formula is first compared with the Matlab embedded numerical integration function to show its performance. Besides, the semi-analytical formula is validated and compared with the Monte Carlo simulation method using the IEEE 123-bus system, EPRI Ckt5, and Ckt7 systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

The near-earth cross-tail current sheet - Detailed ISEE 1 and 2 case studies

Three near geomagnetic tail current sheet crossings of the ISEE 1 and 2 satellites, on April 5, 1979, are examined in detail. All are assoicated with the passage of an interplanetary shock and the region of variable solar wind pressure behind it. The general geometry of field reversing current sheets is discussed, and this geometry is examined for the cases studied, by using the ISEE 1 and 2 coorbiting satellite data sets. A new technique is employed which removes the effects of a variable sheet normal velocity for the first time. This allows us to calculate firm upper bounds on the current sheet thicknesses, and by utilizing certain physically motivated assumptions, determine the most probable actual sheet thicknesses, and inclinations of the field lines within these sheets. Current density profiles derived with this technique show the main cross-tail current sheet to be a structure that is many thermal ion-gyroradii thick and which is sometimes imbedded in a region that is three or more times thicker and contains much smaller current densities. These profiles also exhibit a considerable amount of fine structure in the sheet which appears as narrow peaks in the current density distributions. Possible explanations for these structures, and for the overall sheet structure itself, are examined.

Mccomas, D. J.↗

Observations in the vicinity of substorm onset: Implications for the substrom process

Multi-instrument data sets from the ground and satellites at both low and high altitude have provided new results concerning substorm onset and its source region in the magnetosphere. Twenty-six out of 37 substorm onset events showed evidence of azimuthally spaced auroral forms (AAFs) prior to the explosive poleward motion associated with optical substorm onset. AAFs can span 8 hours of local time prior to onset and generally propagate eastward in the morning sector. Onset itself is, however, more localized spanning only about 1 hour local time. AAF onset occur during time periods when the solar wind pressure is relatively high. AAFs brighten in conjunction with substorm onset leading to the conclusion that they are a growth phase activity casually related to substorm onset. Precursor activity associated with these AAFs is also seen near geosynchronous orbit altitude and examples show the relationship between the various instrumental definitions of substorm onset. The implied mode number (30 to 135) derived from this work is inconsistent with cavity mode resonances but is consistent with a modified flute/ballooning instability which requires azimuthal pressure gradients. The extended source region and the distance to the open-closed field line region constrain reconnection theory and local mechanisms for substorm onset. It is demonstrated that multiple onset substorms can exist for which localized dipolarizations and the Pi 2 occur simultaneously with tail stretching existing elsewhere. These pseudobreakups can be initiated by auroral streamers which originate at the most poleward set of arc systems and drift to the more equatorward main UV oval. Observations are presented of these AAFs in conjunction with low- and high-altitutde particle and magnetic field data. These place the activations at the interface between dipolar and taillike field lines probably near the peak in the cross-tail current. These onsets are put in the context of a new scenario for substorm morphology which employs individual modules which operate independently or couple together. This allows particular substorm events to be more accurately described and investigated.

Elphinstone, R. D.↗

On the need for spectroscopic data in ultraviolet stellar spectral synthesis calculations

A general discussion of the quality of spectroscopic data for ultraviolet (less than 3000 A) spectral synthesis calculations is presented. It is pointed out that progress in the generation of complete and accurate lists of atomic lines, and in the computation and measurement of accurate transition probabilities of the spectra of many elements is lagging behind current and near-term observational capabilities. Theoretical syntheses of the line profiles in the spectra of three middle-to-late B type stars (Pi Cet, 134 Tau, and vCap) are computed. The computations are found to be complicated and ambiguous due to the low accuracy of the oscillator strengths used in the analysis. Some characteristics of star-to-star variations in elemental abundances are discussed.

Adelman, S. J.↗

Extreme energetic particle decreases near geostationary orbit - A manifestation of current diversion within the inner plasma sheet

A qualitative model of magnetic field reconfiguration as might result from neutral line formation in the central plasma sheet late in a substorm growth phase is considered. It is suggested that magnetic reconnection probably begins before the substorm expansion phase and that cross-tail current is enhanced across the plasma sheet both earthward and tailward of a limited region near the neutral line. Such an enhanced cross-tail current earthward of the original X line region may contribute to thinning the plasma sheet substantially, and this would in turn affect the drift currents in that location, thus enhancing the current even closer toward the earth. In this way a redistribution and progressive diversion of normal cross-tail current throughout much of the inner portion of the plasma sheet could occur. The resulting intensified current, localized at the inner edge of the plasma sheet, would lead to a very thin plasma confinement region. This would explain the very taillike field and extreme particle dropouts often seen late in substorm growth phases.

Baker, D. N.↗

Noncollinear ground states of solids with a source-free exchange correlation functional

In this paper, we expand upon the source-free (SF) exchange correlation (XC) functional developed by Sangeeta Sharma and coworkers to plane-wave density functional theory (DFT) based on the projector augmented wave (PAW) method. This constraint is implemented by the current authors within the VASP source code, using a fast Poisson solver that capitalizes on the parallel three-dimensional fast Fourier transforms (FFTs) implemented in VASP. Using this modified XC functional, we explore the improved convergence behavior that results from applying this constraint to the GGA-PBE+U+J functional. In the process, we compare the noncollinear magnetic ground state computed by each functional and their SF counterpart for a select number of magnetic materials in order to provide a metric for comparing with experimentally determined magnetic orderings. We observe significantly improved agreement with experimentally measured magnetic ground-state structures after applying the source-free constraint. Furthermore, we explore the importance of considering probability current densities in spin-polarized systems, even under no applied field. We analyze the XC torque as well, in order to provide theoretical and computational analyses of the net XC magnetic torque induced by the source-free constraint. Along these lines, we highlight the importance of properly considering the real-space integral of the source-free local magnetic XC field. Our analyses on probability currents, net torque, and constant terms draw additional links to the rich body of previous research on spin-current density functional theory (SCDFT), and pave the way for future extensions and corrections to the SF corrected XC functional.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Constraining Cross Section and Beam Systematics for Future NOvA Sterile Neutrino Search

he NOvA (NuMI Off-axis $\nu_e$ Appearance) experiment measures neutrino oscillations in a nearly pure muon (anti)neutrino beam over a 810 km baseline. We search for sterile neutrino driven oscillations in both neutral current (NC) and charged current (CC) muon neutrino samples. A deficit of NC interactions at the Far Detector could occur since sterile neutrinos do not couple to the Z boson. A modulation of the muon neutrino disappearance probability is possible due to a new mass splitting. The NuMI beam line is capable of running in forward or reverse horn current modes, which creates a neutrino or antineutrino beam, respectively. Samples collected in forward horn current (FHC) or reverse horn current (RHC) modes are subject to beam optics uncertainties, in addition to cross section and hadron production uncertainties. We explore the ategories. To tackle reduction of cross section uncertainties, we study how splitting the neutral current (NC) samples can impact the systematic reduction and its implications on oscillation parameters, leveraging results from Monte Carlo simulations. Additionally, we look at the possibility of using a $\nu$-on-e scattering sample. The $\nu$-on-e scattering process has minimal cross section uncertainties compared to that of neutrino-nucleus interactions, which can help constrain the overall flux normalizations. Using both the ZHC sample, NC split sample, and $\nu$-on-e scattering sample jointly with FHC samples would reduce the focusing uncertainties and the hadron production uncertainties in the future sterile analysis.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Observations of SN 1986J in NGC 891

Supernova SN 1986J was discovered at radio wavelengths with the VLA. The object is currently strongest at 6 cm wavelength and probably turned on at 6 cm wavelength in early 1984 and at 20 cm wavelength one or two years later. H I absorption-line observations show that the SN is about 7.7 kpc from the center and within 170 pc of the plane of NGC 891. SN 1986J is, in the radio, both the brightest and most luminous supernova yet found.The supernova has been identified optically with a 20th-magnitude (September, 1986) point source in NGC 891, and was approximately 1 mag brighter in January, 1984. The spectrum is dominated by emission lines; H I, He I, forbidden O I, and probably Fe I and Fe II are seen. The Balmer decrement is very large, with an H-alpha/H-beta flux ratio of about 60. The He I line spectrum and the current optical brightness both suggest that only a small amount of this decrement can be attributed to extinction. The spectrum is similar to those seen in the late phases of type II supernovae; however, the small linewidth (FWHM of about 1000 km/s) suggests that SN 1986J is actually type V.

Rupen, M. P.↗

The starburst ring around the Seyfert nucleus in NGC 7469

High-resolution radio continuum, optical emission line, and optical continuum images of the luminous Seyfert plus circumnuclear starburst hybrid galaxy NGC 7469 are presented. The radio emission from the starburst is largely confined to a ring of diameter 3 arcsec, or 1.0 kpc. There is clear evidence for optical continuum emission and probably optical line emission from the ring. The disks of NGC 1068 and NGC 7469 exhibit a strong similarity in almost all observed properties. Current star formation models can account for the luminous far-infrared emission and the strength of the nonthermal radio emission in NGC 7469, with an expected supernova rate of about one per year. The starburst ring is probably a result of concentration of gas into a ring via resonances between orbital motion and a rotating barlike or ovally distorted potential.

Wilson, A. S.↗

Stellar winds and mass-loss rates from Be stars

An analysis for the effects of stellar winds concerning Copernicus scans of Si III and Si IV resonance lines in the spectra of 22 early B stars, of which 19 have Be characteristics, yields line asymmetries in all but one of the stars to which theoretical profiles were fitted. The resulting wind parameters were used to calculate mass-loss rates. Most of the silicon in the winds of the cooler stars is in the form of Si III and Si IV, leading to a mass loss rate value ranging from 10 to the -11th to 3 x 10 to the -9th solar masses/year. Equatorial gravity darkening is seen in the relative velocity widths of ultraviolet and visible photospheric lines. The measured photospheric Si III and Si IV resonance-line equivalent widths do not agree with those predicted by current stellar atmosphere calculations. Be star mass loss rates are probably insufficient to affect either their own evolution or that of the galaxy, since their winds do not significantly contribute to the enrichment of the interstellar medium.

Snow, T. P., Jr.↗

Power Grid Reliability Estimation via Adaptive Importance Sampling

Electricity production currently generates approximately 25% of greenhouse gas emissions in the USA. Thus, increasing the amount of renewable energy is a key step to carbon neutrality. However, integrating a large amount of fluctuating renewable generation is a significant challenge for power grid operating and planning. Grid reliability, i.e., an ability to meet operational constraints under power fluctuations, is probably the most important of them. In this letter, we propose computationally efficient and accurate methods to estimate the probability of line overflow, i.e., reliability constraints violation, under a known distribution of renewable energy generation. To this end, we investigate an importance sampling approach, a flexible extension of Monte-Carlo methods, which adaptively changes the sampling distribution to generate more samples near the reliability boundary. The approach allows to estimate overload probability in real-time based only on a few dozens of random samples, compared to thousands required by the plain Monte-Carlo. Our study focuses on high voltage direct current power transmission grids with linear reliability constraints on power injections and line currents. Herein, we propose a novel theoretically justified physics-informed adaptive importance sampling algorithm and compare its performance to state-of-the-art methods on multiple IEEE power grid test cases.

power system faults↗

Bounds on galaxy stochasticity from halo occupation distribution modeling

The joint probability distribution of matter overdensity and galaxy counts in cells is a powerful probe of cosmology, and the extent to which variance in galaxy counts at fixed matter density deviates from Poisson shot noise is not fully understood. The lack of informed bounds on this stochasticity is currently the limiting factor in constraining cosmology with the galaxy–matter probability distribution function (PDF). We investigate stochasticity in the conditional distribution of galaxy counts along lines of sight with fixed matter density, and we present a halo occupation distribution (HOD)-based approach for obtaining plausible ranges for stochasticity parameters. To probe the high-dimensional space of possible galaxy–matter connections, we derive a set of HODs that conserve the galaxies’ linear bias and number density to produce RED M A G I C-like galaxy catalogs within the A BACUS S UMMIT suite of N -body simulations. We study the impact of individual HOD parameters and cosmology on stochasticity and perform a Monte Carlo search in HOD parameter space subject to the constraints on bias and density. In mock catalogs generated by the selected HODs, shot noise in galaxy counts spans both sub-Poisson and super-Poisson values, ranging from 80% to 133% of Poisson variance for cells with mean matter density. Nearly all of the derived HODs show a positive relationship between local matter density and stochasticity. For galaxy catalogs with higher stochasticity, modeling galaxy bias to second order is required for an accurate description of the conditional PDF of galaxy counts at fixed matter density. The presence of galaxy assembly bias also substantially extends the range of stochasticity in the super-Poisson direction. This HOD-based approach leverages degrees of freedom in the galaxy–halo connection to obtain informed bounds on nuisance model parameters and can be adapted to study other parametrizations of shot noise in galaxy counts, in particular to motivate prior ranges on stochasticity for cosmological analyses.

Britt, Dylan (ORCID:000000019905601X)↗

Electrochemical behavior of the boron anode in aqueous solutions

The electrochemical oxidation of p-type boron in 0.2 N NaNO3 solutions of pH 0.4 to 13.1 was studied by galvanostatic techniques. The capacitance of the electrode, Tafel slopes, and a limited analysis of reaction mechanisms are reported. The anodic dissolution in acid solution is a charge-transfer-limited one-electron reaction to form a monovalent species in the over-potential region of 0.25 to 0.70 V. The dissolution in basic solution is most probably a one-electron charge-transfer reaction from a monovalent to divalent species involving three hydroxyl ions. Open circuit potentials were mixed potentials, probably due to hydrogen formation at open circuit but not contributing to the electrochemical reaction at the applied overpotential. Exchange current, estimated by extrapolation of the Tafel line to the standard oxidation potential for the boron reaction, were of the order of 10 to the minus 6th power A/cm2 in acid solution and 10 to the minus 12th power A/cm2 in basic solution. The reaction order of the rate determining acidic and basic reactions was determined with regard to (H+) and (OH-). The level of illumination had no effect on the electrochemical behavior of the electrode.

Delduca, B. S.↗

The probability distributions of S/+/ gyrospeeds in the Io torus

The first detailed thermal speed probability distribution for a Jovian plasma ion is presented. The distribution of heavy ion thermal speeds appears to be highly significant for an evaluation of the processes by which the particle and energy budgets of the Io plasma torus are maintained. Attention is given to the measurement, reduction, and analysis procedures which yield the reported probability distribution. A kinetic energy inventory of the Jovian plasma heavy ion component can be obtained from high-resolution, high-precision spectrophotometry of emission lines. The current S(+) study finds that detection of the line wings results in a mean energy (approximately 60 eV) which is higher by a factor of approximately 10 than is implied by the line core. This illustrates that a dispersive measurement may provide only a lower limit to the kinetic energy content.

Brown, R. A.↗

Identification of the Ga interstitial in Al(x)Ga(1-x)As by optically detected magnetic resonance

A new optically detected magnetic resonance spectrum in Al(x)Ga(1-x)As is reported and assigned to native Ga interstitials. Luminescence-quenching signals were observed over the energy region from 0.75 to 1.1 eV. The optically detected magnetic resonance is nearly isotropic, with spin-Hamiltonian parameters g = 2.025 + or - 0.006, central hyperfine splitting A(Ga-69) = 0.050 + or - 0.001/cm, and A(Ga-71) = 0.064 + or - 0.001/cm for H near the 001 line. The strong hyperfine coupling denotes an electronic state of A1 symmetry, which current theories predict for the Ga interstitial but not the Ga antisite. The slight anisotropy probably indicates that the Ga(i) is paired with a second, unknown defect.

Kennedy, T. A.↗

Simulating the Trajectory and Biomass Growth of Free-Floating Macroalgal Cultivation Platforms along the U.S. West Coast

Trajectory tracking and macroalgal growth models were coupled to support a novel macroalgae-harvesting concept known as the Nautical Off-shore Macroalgal Autonomous Device (NOMAD). The NOMAD consists of 5 km long carbon-fiber longlines that are seeded and free float southward along the U.S. West Coast for approximately 3 months before harvesting off the California coast, taking advantage of favorable environmental conditions. The trajectory and macroalgal growth models were applied to answer planning questions pertinent to the techno-economic analysis such as identifying the preferred release location, approximate pathway, timing until harvest, and estimated growth. Trajectories were determined with the General NOAA Operational Modeling Environment (GNOME) model, using 11 years of current and wind data, determining probabilities by running nearly 40,000 Monte Carlo simulations varying the start time and location. An accompanying macroalgal growth model was used to estimate the growth of macroalgae based on the trajectory tracks and environmental forcing products, including light, temperature and nutrients. Model results show that NOMAD lines transit south in the months of April to September due to seasonal currents, taking approximately 3 months to reach Southern California. During transit, NOMAD lines are dispersed but typically avoid beaching or passing through marine sanctuaries. NOMAD lines can yield up to 30 kg wet weight per meter of cultivation line.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Mechanistic Insights to Degradation of PERC Minimodules with Differentiated Packaging Materials & Module Architectures

In this paper, we study the degradation behavior of glass-backsheet (GB) and double glass (DG) multicrystalline sil- icon monofacial PERC minimodules, fabricated using polyolefin elastomer (POE) and ethylene vinyl acetate (EVA) encapsulants, undergoing exposures of modified damp-heat (80 °C / 85% RH), with and without full spectrum light. The completed exposure time, at this time, is 1512 hours with each step of 504 hours. Step- wise measurements are conducted throughout exposures including current-voltage (I-V ) curves, Suns-V oc , electroluminescence (EL) images, and four-point proof loading with EL for tracking changes in mechanical properties in encapsulants by cell fracture probability. The results show that GB minimodules of both encapsulants, compared to DG minimodules, experience more changes in features of I-V and Suns-V oc measurements. There is no development of PV cell cracking during proof loading as seen from EL images and the load versus load line displacement plots currently.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The Neutral Gas Desorption and Breakdown on a Metal-Dielectric Junction Immersed in a Plasma

New results are presented of an experimental study and theoretical analysis of arcing on metal-dielectric junctions immersed in a low-density plasma. Two samples of conventional solar arrays have been used to investigate the effects of arcing within a wide range of neutral gas pressures, ion currents, and electron number densities. All data (except video) were obtained in digital form that allowed us to study the correlation between external parameters (plasma density, additional capacitance, bias voltage, etc) and arc characteristics (arc rate, arc current pulse width and amplitude, gas species partial pressures, intensities of spectral lines, and so on). Arc sites were determined by employing a video-camera, and it is shown that the most probable sites for arc inception are trip le-junctions, even though some arcs were initiated in gaps between cells. The effect of surface conditioning (decrease of arc rate due to outgassing) was clearly demonstrated. Moreover, a considerable increase in arc rate due to absorption of molecules from atmospheric air has been confirmed. The analysis of optical spectra (240-800 nm) reveals intense narrow atomic lines (Ag, H) and wide molecular bands (OH, CH, SiH, SiN) that confirm a complicated mechanism of arc plasma generation. The rate of plasma contamination due to arcing was measured by employing a mass-spectrometer. These measurements provided quite reliable data for the development of a theoretical model of plasma contamination, In conclusion, the arc threshold was increased to above 350 V (from 190 V) by keeping a sample in vacuum (20 micronTorr) for seven days. The results obtained are important for the understanding of the arc inception mechanism, which is absolutely essential for progress toward the design of high voltage solar arrays for space applications.

Vayner, Boris↗