Effects of Sea Salt Aerosol Emissions for Marine Cloud Brightening on Atmospheric Chemistry: Implications for Radiative Forcing
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Hannah M. Horowitz↗
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Substantial Cooling Effect From Aerosol-Induced Increase in Tropical Marine Cloud Cover
With global warming currently standing at approximately +1.2 °C since preindustrial times, climate change is a pressing global issue. Marine cloud brightening is one proposed method to tackle warming through injecting aerosols into marine clouds to enhance their reflectivity and thereby planetary albedo. However, because it is unclear how aerosols influence clouds, especially cloud cover, both climate projections and the effectiveness of marine cloud brightening remain uncertain. Here, we use satellite observations of volcanic eruptions in Hawaii to quantify the aerosol fingerprint on tropical marine clouds. We observe a large enhancement in reflected sunlight, mainly due to an aerosol-induced increase in cloud cover. This observed strong negative aerosol forcing suggests that the current level of global warming is driven by a weaker net radiative forcing than previously thought, arising from the competing effects of greenhouse gases and aerosols. This implies a greater sensitivity of Earth’s climate to radiative forcing and therefore a larger warming response to both rising greenhouse gas concentrations and reductions in atmospheric aerosols due to air quality measures. However, our findings also indicate that mitigation of global warming via marine cloud brightening is plausible and is most effective in humid and stable conditions in the tropics where solar radiation is strong.
Atmospheric science↗
Abrupt Reduction in Shipping Emission as an Inadvertent Geoengineering Termination Shock Produces Substantial Radiative Warming
Human activities affect the Earth’s climate through modifying the composition of the atmosphere, which then creates radiative forcing that drives climate change. The warming effect of anthropogenic greenhouse gases has been partially balanced by the cooling effect of anthropogenic aerosols. In 2020, fuel regulations abruptly reduced the emission of sulfur dioxide from international shipping by about 80% and created an inadvertent geoengineering termination shock with global impact. Here we estimate the regulation leads to a radiative forcing of +0.2±0.11Wm-2 averaged over the global ocean.The amount of radiative forcing could lead to a doubling (or more) of the warming rate in the 2020s compared with the rate since 1980 with strong spatiotemporal heterogeneity.The warming effect is consistent with the recent observed strong warming in 2023 and expected to make the 2020s anomalously warm. The forcing represents 80% to the measured increase in planetary heat uptake since 2020. The radiative forcing also has strong hemispheric contrast, which has important implications for precipitation pattern changes. Our result suggests marine cloud brightening may be a viable geoengineering method in temporarily cooling the climate that has its unique challenges due to inherent spatiotemporal heterogeneity.
Tianle Yuan↗
Water and the Martian W cloud.
The diurnal brightening of the W cloud region of Mars during the flyby of Mariners 6 and 7 is likely due to the formation of water ice clouds. The water required in the cloud and as vapor in the atmosphere to produce the observed brightening is estimated to be roughly between 0.1 and 10 microns. Either a qualified local source with this daily production over the W cloud area or a more probable daily uplift and saturation of existing atmosphere are compatible with observations.
Peale, S. J.↗
Mars atmosphere during the Mariner 9 Extended Mission - Television results.
The Extended Mission of Mariner 9 provided data from 23 revolutions and recorded seasonal changes in the atmosphere of Mars during northern spring and early summer. The visibility of the surface was exceptional, indicating atmospheric clarity greater than that previously observed by Mariner 9 or by Mariner 6 and 7. Cloud systems were observed over both polar regions and indicated westerly winds in the -45 to -65 deg latitude zone (southern winter) and easterly winds in the vicinity of +75 deg (northern summer). The puzzling brightening phenomena that recur seasonally and diurnally over Tharsis, Amazonis, and Nix Olympica were seen to be clouds of a generally diffuse character but with some indications of convective activity. These clouds show a remarkable degree of topographic control, and their large-scale patterns are closely duplicated from day to day.
Leovy, C. B.↗
Long-Term Trends in Aerosols, Low Clouds, and Large-scale Meteorology over the Western North Atlantic from 2003 to 2020
A continuous decrease of aerosol over the western North Atlantic Ocean (WNAO) on decadal timescales provides a long-term experiment to evaluate how other natural and anthropogenic processes affect the manifestation of aerosol-cloud interactions in this region. Furthermore, the WNAO is a natural laboratory with diverse aerosol sources, marine boundary layer clouds that are more variable than marine stratocumulus deck regions, and unique flow regimes set up by the Gulf Stream and semi-permanent Bermuda High. We investigate how satellite-retrieved macrophysical and microphysical properties of low clouds and the surface shortwave irradiance changed from 2003 to 2020, in tandem with this aerosol decrease. The decadal changes in large-scale meteorology relating to the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are also examined. We find no significant changes in low-cloud fraction but a widespread reduction in low-cloud optical depth attributed to fewer and larger cloud droplets with almost no change in cloud liquid water path. Despite robust signals in low-cloud optical properties together with aerosol decrease, a corresponding increase in the surface shortwave irradiance trends, also called surface brightening, is lacking. This absence of brightening is potentially due to concomitant changes found in large-scale meteorology associated with NAO— a Bermuda High strengthening, sea surface warming, and atmospheric moistening— as well as an increase in high cloud fraction that can counteract the surface brightening. Ultimately, our findings suggest that spatial patterns in the decadal meteorological variability, likely set up by NAO, contribute more to the surface cloud radiative effect over the WNAO than aerosol-cloud interactions.
J Minnie Park↗