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At least 19 records

Monthly Mean DNI and GTI Derived from Monthly Mean GHI and DHI Using Two Methods: Comparisons with the BSRN Data and the Results Derived from the CERES Hourly Data

Monthly mean Global Horizontal Irradiances (GHI) and Diffuse Horizontal Irradiances (DHI) are more widely available than monthly mean Direct Normal Irradiances (DNI) and Global Tilted Irradiances (GTI). Empirical methods have been developed to derive monthly mean DNI and GTI from monthly mean GHI or from GHI and DHI. In this paper, we evaluate two such methods. The first one was the Whitlock Method developed by Charles H. Whitlock (2005) for the NASA POWER project by means of regression of the BSRN data. The method expresses the monthly mean DHI-to-GHI ratio as polynomial functions of monthly mean clearness index, sunset hour angle and noon solar elevation angle on the monthly-average-day. The monthly mean DNI is calculated by dividing the monthly mean GHI-DHI difference, or DirHI, by the cosine of the solar zenith angle at the mid-time between sunrise and solar noon on the monthly-average-day. The second method is the LJCR Method developed by Liu and Jorden (1960) and Collares-Pereira and Rabl (1979), and this method empirically splits monthly mean GHI and DHI into hourly means on the monthly-average-day, and the resulting hourly mean GHI and DHI and their difference, DirHI, can then be used to compute the monthly mean DNI, GTI and the global solar tracker irradiance (GTrI). This method is also used by RETScreen. We recently produced a set of hourly DNI and DHI by bias-correcting the CERES hourly DNI and DHI, and computed hourly GTI and GTrI as well. The data span twenty plus years from March 2000 to near present on a 1 by 1 grid system. The monthly mean CERES GHI and the corrected DHI are used as inputs to the above two methods to compute monthly mean DNI, GTI and GTrI. Through comparisons with the BSRN data, it is found that the Whitlock Method, with slight modification, and the LJCR Method can produce results that are nearly as good as the results derived from the CERES hourly data.

Taiping Zhang↗

Accurate Predictions of Mean Geomagnetic Dipole Excursion and Reversal Frequencies, Mean Paleomagnetic Field Intensity, and the Radius of Earth's Core Using McLeod's Rule

The geomagnetic spatial power spectrum R(sub n)(r) is the mean square magnetic induction represented by degree n spherical harmonic coefficients of the internal scalar potential averaged over the geocentric sphere of radius r. McLeod's Rule for the magnetic field generated by Earth's core geodynamo says that the expected core surface power spectrum (R(sub nc)(c)) is inversely proportional to (2n + 1) for 1 less than n less than or equal to N(sub E). McLeod's Rule is verified by locating Earth's core with main field models of Magsat data; the estimated core radius of 3485 kn is close to the seismologic value for c of 3480 km. McLeod's Rule and similar forms are then calibrated with the model values of R(sub n) for 3 less than or = n less than or = 12. Extrapolation to the degree 1 dipole predicts the expectation value of Earth's dipole moment to be about 5.89 x 10(exp 22) Am(exp 2)rms (74.5% of the 1980 value) and the expected geomagnetic intensity to be about 35.6 (mu)T rms at Earth's surface. Archeo- and paleomagnetic field intensity data show these and related predictions to be reasonably accurate. The probability distribution chi(exp 2) with 2n+1 degrees of freedom is assigned to (2n + 1)R(sub nc)/(R(sub nc). Extending this to the dipole implies that an exceptionally weak absolute dipole moment (less than or = 20% of the 1980 value) will exist during 2.5% of geologic time. The mean duration for such major geomagnetic dipole power excursions, one quarter of which feature durable axial dipole reversal, is estimated from the modern dipole power time-scale and the statistical model of excursions. The resulting mean excursion duration of 2767 years forces us to predict an average of 9.04 excursions per million years, 2.26 axial dipole reversals per million years, and a mean reversal duration of 5533 years. Paleomagnetic data show these predictions to be quite accurate. McLeod's Rule led to accurate predictions of Earth's core radius, mean paleomagnetic field intensity, and mean geomagnetic dipole power excursion and axial dipole reversal frequencies. We conclude that McLeod's Rule helps unify geo-paleomagnetism, correctly relates theoretically predictable statistical properties of the core geodynamo to magnetic observation, and provides a priori information required for stochastic inversion of paleo-, archeo-, and/or historical geomagnetic measurements.

Voorhies, Coerte V.↗

A Lagrangian mean theory of wave, mean-flow interaction with applications to nonacceleration and its breakdown

A review is given of new Lagrangian mean theory of wave transport. Attention is focused on the so-called 'nonacceleration' theorem, and it is shown that such a theorem arises naturally in the Lagrangian mean framework. Also discussed is a simple example of the Stokes drift, a concept which is central to nonacceleration. The Lagrangian mean theory substantially simplifies and unifies the understanding of wave driving in cases where nonacceleration is violated because of wave transience and dissipation. Moreover, the theory has given new insights in one particular case, that of Rossby gravity wave, mean-flow interaction. These insights have successfully explained some hitherto unresolved paradoxes in the theory of the quasi-biennial oscillation of zonal wind in the equatorial stratosphere. Some brief remarks are also made concerning some of the outstanding difficulties of the theory in need of future investigation.

Dunkerton, T.↗

Accuracy of the determination of mean anomalies and mean geoid undulations from a satellite gravity field mapping mission

Improved knowledge of the Earth's gravity field was obtained from new and improved satellite measurements such as satellite to satellite tracking and gradiometry. This improvement was examined by estimating the accuracy of the determination of mean anomalies and mean undulations in various size blocks based on an assumed mission. In this report the accuracy is considered through a commission error due to measurement noise propagation and a truncation error due to unobservable higher degree terms in the geopotential. To do this the spectrum of the measurement was related to the spectrum of the disturbing potential of the Earth's gravity field. Equations were derived for a low-low (radial or horizontal separation) mission and a gradiometer mission. For a low-low mission of six month's duration, at an altitude of 160 km, with a data noise of plus or minus 1 micrometers sec for a four second integration time, we would expect to determine 1 deg x 1 deg mean anomalies to an accuracy of plus or minus 2.3 mgals and 1 deg x 1 deg mean geoid undulations to plus or minus 4.3 cm. A very fast Fortran program is available to study various mission configurations and block sizes.

Jekeli, C.↗

Stratospheric warmings diagnosed using the transformed Eulerian-mean equations and the effect of the mean state on wave propagation

Terms for the transformed Eulerian equations are calculated in order to characterize the phenomenom of sudden stratospheric warming. The transformed diagnostics are applied to data for warmings during Dec. and Jan. 1976-1977, as well as cross sections for the directions of the Eiliassen-Palm (EP) fluxes and residual mean meridional circulations. The convergence of the EP flux was determined to provide a strong approximation to the total effect of waves in forcing the zonal mean flow. The EP fluxes change from an upward and equatorward direction to an upward and poleward direction during the warmings, and indications are reported that the effect is due to a feedback on wave propagation of an evolving mean flow. Ray paths in the meridional plane are computed for different mean wind fields to determine the direction of wave propagation according to linear theory based on the WKB approximation.

Oneill, A.↗

Behavior of zonal mean aerosol extinction ratio and its relationship with zonal mean temperature during the winter 1978-1979 stratospheric warming

The behavior of the zonal mean aerosol extinction ratio in the lower stratosphere near 75 deg N and its relationship with the zonal mean temperature during the January-February 1979 stratospheric sudden warming have been investigated based on the satellite sensor SAM II (Stratospheric Aerosol Measurement) and auxiliary meteorological measurements. The results indicate that distinct changes in the zonal mean aerosol extinction ratio occurred during this stratospheric sudden warming. It is also found that horizontal eddy transport due to planetary waves may have played a significant role in determining the distribution of the zonal mean aerosol extinction ratio.

Wang, P.-H.↗

Data Descriptions and Vertical Structure Plots for Mean, Diurnal, and Semidurnal Components of Eastward and Northward (ordered by Latitude). Mean Winds and Tides over Poker Flat, Alaska (65 Deg N, 147 Deg W), During November 1981

The mean zonal and meridional winds and the amplitude and phase structures for the tidal harmonics for the month of November, 1981 are given. The mean winds are weak westerlies and weak southerlies. The westerlies are approximately 10 ms (-1) lower than those during November 1980 and 1982. The diurnal amplitudes are small in both the zonal and meridional wind components. The diurnal phase structures are characteristic of a propagating wave having a ertical wavelength of approximately 50 km. The semidiurnal tidal harmonic amplitudes are slightly larger than the diurnal amplitudes. However, the phase structures are different for the zonal and meridional components. The meridional phase structure appears evanescent. The zonal phase structure has a phase reversal at 88 km with downward phase progression below that level and upward phase progression above that level. The vertical wavelength is roximately 12 km. This short vertical wavelength occurs during other months of the year but longer wavelengths are more common.

Avery, S. K.↗

Application of the BSRN Data in Validating the GEWEX SRB Data: Quality-Control and Resulting Available Monthly Means

The BSRN data have been used in validation of the satellite-based GEWEX SRB data, and the recent Release 4.0-IP data cover the 34-year period from July 1983 to June 2017. Here we focus on the validation of the shortwave monthly means from 1992 to 2017 against the BSRN Global 1. We first perform the BSRN-recommended quality-control on the original data. We then calculate the monthly-hourly means from which we calculate the monthly means. Twenty-four (24) monthly-hourly means are required to calculate a monthly mean. To guarantee the quality of the monthly mean, we also require that 95% or more hourly means be available in order for a monthly-hourly mean to be calculated. Since the above quality-control significantly reduces the number of available monthly means, we are curious how many monthly means we would get if we relax the quality-control, and how the resulting monthly means would compare with the GEWEX SRB data. In a version we experimented, only constant upper and lower bounds are imposed on various fluxes, and the original data are largely retained. We found that many more monthly means would be available, and the overall bias and RMS would not be significantly different from that of the strict quality-control. With the strict quality-control, if we let Avail (minimum percentage of available hourly means required for a monthly-hourly mean to be computed) change from 3.2% to 95%, the Bias/RMS/N change from -2.77/20.56/9756 to -0.35/13.41/4581, where N is the number of available monthly means, and Bias and RMS are in the unit of W/sq. m. On the other hand, with the lax quality-control, when Avail changes from 3.2% to 95%, the Bias/RMS/N change from -0.82/19.53/9819 to -0.21/14.41/5875. South Pole (SPO) is one of the sites we are particularly interested in. With the strict quality-control, and when Avail changes from 3.2% to 95%, the Bias/RMS/N change from 5.89/15.85/283 to 1.23/5.52/133; with the lax quality-control, the Bias/RMS/N change from 1.17/11.21/284 to 1.88/7.9/177.

Taiping Zhang↗

Model Determined for Predicting Fatigue Lives of Metal Matrix Composites Under Mean Stresses

Aircraft engine components invariably are subjected to mean stresses over and above the cyclic loads. In monolithic materials, it has been observed that tensile mean stresses are detrimental and compressive mean stresses are beneficial to fatigue life in comparison to a base of zero mean stress. Several mean stress models exist for monolithic metals, but each differ quantitatively in the extent to which detrimental or beneficial effects are ascribed. There have been limited attempts to apply these models to metal matrix composites. At the NASA Lewis Research Center, several mean stress models--the Smith-Watson- Topper, Walker, Normalized Goodman, and Soderberg models--were examined for applicability to this class of composite materials. The Soderberg approach, which normalizes the mean stress to a 0.02-percent yield strength, was shown to best represent the effect of mean stresses over the range covered. The other models varied significantly in their predictability and often failed to predict the composite behavior at very high tensile mean stresses. This work is the first to systematically demonstrate the influence of mean stresses on metal matrix composites and model their effects. Attention also was given to fatigue-cracking mechanisms in the Ti-15-3 matrix and to micromechanics analyses of mean stress effects.

Lerch, Bradley↗

The determination of the mass and mean density of Enceladus from its observed shape

Application of limb-fitting methods to the 11 best Voyager 2 images of Enceladus has shown that the shape of this satellite is closely represented by a triaxial ellipsoid. The observed ratio of the differences of the principal axes F = (b - c)/(a - c) is 0.23 (sup +0.04 sub - 0.01), consisting with the value F = 0.23 expected for a synchronously rotating satellite in hydrostatic equilibrium. We also deduce from the Voyager observations, after allowing for limb topography, that the mean radius of the satellite is 249.4 +/- 0.2 km. For satellites of known mass, measurement of the size and shape leads to a determination of the satellite's mean density and moment of inertial. We have used this method to determine the moments of inertia of Mimas (1988) and Tethys (1991). Enceladus appears to be hydrostatically relaxed, making it an ideal candidate for this type of analysis. However, none of the Pioneer or Voyager spacecraft had a close encounter with this satellite and thus its mass is effectively unknown. Enceladus is trapped in a 2:1 orbit-orbit resonance with Dione, but the amplitudes of libration are too small to allow a useful mass determination. Using the observed shape alone, without any other assumptions other than that the satellite is in hydrostatic equilibrium at its present orbital radius, we place an upper bound on the mean density of 1.12 +/- 0.05 g/cu cm. Thus, the mean density of Enceladus is probably little more than that of water-ice and we conclude that this satellite is markedly deficient in rock. If the mass of a satellite is unknown, but the satellite is differentiated and has a deep mantle of known composition, then we show that measurement of the shape alone can lead to a determination of the satellite's mass, mean density, and moment of inertia. Application of this method to Enceladus, assuming that the satellite has a deep mantle of water-ice of density 0.93 g/cu cm, gives the result that the mean density of the satellite is 1.00 +/- 0.03 g/cu cm. This result fills the one remaining gap in our knowledge of the structure of the Saturnian satellite system. We now know the mean densities of all the primary Saturnian satellites in the sequence from the coorbital satellites, Janus and Epimetheus, through to the outer satellite Iapetus (the densities of the small, secondary satellites in Trojan-type orbits are still unknown). The Saturnian system possesses two striking features. (1) Because of significant porosity, the mean material densities of the satellites Janus, Epimetheus, and Mimas could be substantially greater than the apparent mean densities of these satellies. (2) The densities of the satellites are not correlated with their distances from the planet; in particular, the satellites Enceladus and Tethys have lower mean densities than their interior and exterior neighbors, Mimas and Dione. This may be the result of gross postformation redistribution of rock and ice, possibly due to satellite disruptions are suggested by Smith et al. (1982).

Dermott, Stanley F.↗

Mean sea surface and geoid gradient comparisons with TOPEX altimeter data

Cycles 4 to 54 of TOPEX data have been analyzed through comparisons with the mean sea surface given on the disturbed geophysical data record (GDR). Two inverted barometer correction procedures were considered for the data reduction. One used a constant atmospheric pressure for all data while the one adopted for use, for most computations, introduced a cycle average pressure. The maximum difference between the two estimates was 3.0 cm with a clear annual signal. With the modified correction the TOPEX sea surface was compared to The Ohio State University (OSU) mean sea surface, given on the GDR, to estimate three translations ( delta x = -2.3 cm; delta y = 25.0 cm; delta z = -0.3 cm) and a bias (43.3 cm) between the two surfaces. The only significant translation is delta y which indicates the reference frame of the TOPEX system differs from that used in the OSU mean sea surface system. The bias between the TOPEX mean sea surface and the OSU mean sea surface was used to estimate an equatorial radius of 6,378,136.55 m based on an 18-cm biased estimate of the TOPEX altimeter. Examination of the average difference, by cycle, between the TOPEX sea surface and the OSU mean sea surface suggested a bias change of 3.1 +/- 2.2 mm/yr with a positive sign indicating the average ocean surface is rising or the altimeter measured distance is decreasing. Models were implemented that solved directly for a bias, bias rate annual/semiannual, and tide correction terms. The computations indicated that a simultaneous solution for this bias, bias rate, and annual/semiannual terms gave the most accurate results. Nonsimultaneous solutions led to slightly different bias rate values. The root mean square difference between the TOPEX sea surface and OSU sea surface, after translation and bias correction, was +/- 17 cm for a typical cycle. Some locations were indentified where the difference could reach 2.3 cm and were repeated over several cycles indicating errors in the mean sea surface. Most of the large differences occur in regions lacking altimeter data prior to the TOPEX/POSEIDON mission and/or areas of significant bathymetric signature. Geoid gradients are needed for the reduction of individual track data to a reference track. The accuracy of the determination of such gradients was determined through the comparison of predicted along-track gradients to the observed gradients. Among four mean sea surfaces tested the best agreement was found with the OSU mean sea surface placed on the TOPEX geophysical data record.

Rapp, Richard H.↗

The Lagrangian-mean motions forced by steady, dissipating equatorial waves. I

Waves are treated with a normal mode structure in order to determine the steady mean motion of the atmosphere that can be induced by dissipating equatorial waves. A model is developed which comprises a continuously stratified atmosphere at rest on the equatorial beta-plane. It is assumed that waves are excited by the corrugated bottom and are in a steady state, that dissipation is due to Newtonian cooling and Rayleigh friction, steadiness in wave magnitude is up to the second order, the waves have a long wave length, wave induced mean flows do not affect the waves, mean flows are steady, and dissipation mechanisms for the mean flows are the same as for the waves. Disturbance equations are formulated, along with Eulerian- and Lagrangian-mean flows, and the nonexistence of cross equatorial mean flows is demonstrated. Kelvin waves are shown to possess a Lagrangian-mean meridional circulation which is the same as the Eulerian-mean circulation. In the Boussinesq limit, however, neither the Eulerian- nor the Lagrangian-mean meridional circulations are caused by Kelvin waves. Further examination is made of Rossby-gravity waves and n = 1 westward propagating inertio-gravity waves.

Takahashi, M.↗

Turbulent Compressible Convection with Rotation: Mean Flows and Differential Rotation - 2

The effects of rotation on turbulent, compressible convection within stellar envelopes are studied through three-dimensional numerical simulations conducted within a local f-plane model. This work seeks to understand the types of differential rotation that can be established in convective envelopes of stars like the Sun, for which recent helioseismic observations suggest an angular velocity profile with depth and latitude at variance with many theoretical predictions. This paper analyzes the mechanisms that are responsible for the mean (horizontally averaged) zonal and meridional flows that are produced by convection influenced by Coriolis forces. The compressible convection is considered for a range of Rayleigh, Taylor, and Prandtl (and thus Rossby) numbers encompassing both laminar and turbulent flow conditions under weak and strong rotational constraints. When the nonlinearities are moderate, the effects of rotation on the resulting laminar cellular convection leads to distinctive tilts of the cell boundaries away from the vertical. These yield correlations between vertical and horizontal motions that generate Reynolds stresses that can drive mean flows, interpretable as differential rotation and meridional circulations. Under more vigorous forcing, the resulting turbulent convection involves complicated and contorted fluid particle trajectories, with few clear correlations between vertical and horizontal motions, punctuated by an evolving and intricate downflow network that can extend over much of the depth of the layer. Within such networks are some coherent structures of vortical downflow that tend to align with the rotation axis. These yield a novel turbulent alignment mechanism, distinct from the laminar tilting of cellular boundaries, that can provide the principal correlated motions and thus Reynolds stresses and subsequently mean flows. The emergence of such coherent structures that can persist amidst more random motions is a characteristic of turbulence with symmetries broken by rotation and stratification. Such structure is here found to play a crucial role in defining the mean zonal and meridional flows that coexist with the convection. Though they are subject to strong inertial oscillations, the strength and type of the mean flows are determined by a combination of the laminar tilting and the turbulent alignment mechanisms. Varying the parameters produces a wide range of mean motions. Among these, some turbulent solutions exhibit a mean zonal velocity profile that is nearly constant with depth, much as deduced by helioseismology at midlatitudes within the Sun. The solutions exhibit a definite handedness, with the direction of the persistent mean flows often prescribing a spiral with depth near the boundaries, also in accord with helioseismic deductions. The mean helicity has a profile that is positive in the upper portion of the domain and negative in the lower portion, a property bearing on magnetic dynamo processes that may be realized within such rotating layers of turbulent convection.

Brummell, Nicholas H.↗