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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

What Is the Value of Alternative Methods for Estimating Ramping Needs?

Power system operators procure and deploy flexibility reserves or ramping products to address balancing needs caused by uncertainty and variability of load and generation. Existing methods estimate ramping needs using calendar information and historical forecast errors. Novel methods investigate if real-time weather information could inform ramping and other balancing requirements. This paper compares estimation methods for ramping requirements in theory and practice. The theoretical framework indicates when an alternative method could yield improved economic or reliability performance than existing methods by requiring lower or higher levels of ramping products. Preliminary simulations on a 118-bus test system for 4 days in May 2019 illustrate how system performance improves or deteriorates when ramping requirements are weather-informed (alternative) instead of calendar-based (baseline). Preliminary results suggest high variability in change of performance and underline the impact of additional factors, such as system conditions, on the realized performance change.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗
DOE OSTI2023

Numerical Studies of the On-Line Reactivity Monitoring Techniques in Subcritical Systems: Revisit of the Area-Ratio Method, the Neutron Source-Modulation Method, and the Flux-to-Current Ratio Method

In the subcritical systems, the subcriticality level must be monitored continuously to ensure the safe operation of the systems. Techniques such as the neutron source-modulation method and the flux-to-current ratio method have been proposed for on-line reactivity measurements of the subcritical systems. However, the accuracy of these methods is unknown in the actual applications. In this report, the fundamental concepts of these techniques are visited, with numerical simulation techniques developed to validate these on-line reactivity monitoring methodologies. Specifically, the Monte Carlo numerical simulation results show that the neutron source-modulation method is not accurate in determining the reactivity of the subcritical systems. The flux-to-current ratio method can provide on-line reactivity measurements, and its spatial effects have been studied and well understood through the numerical simulations of the fuel loading of the neutron source facility of Ukraine. In addition, a modified version of the area-ratio method is proposed for the on-line measurements of the absolute reactivity of the subcritical systems. Monte Carlo numerical simulations showed that this method can provide the absolute reactivity of the subcritical systems within ~5% error, if the neutron detectors are placed close to the fuel assembly interface with the reflector zone or in the reflector zones away from the neutron source.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2019

The Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Quantifying Uncertainties in Atmospheric River Climatology

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are now widely known for their association with high-impact weather events and long-term water supply in many regions. Researchers within the scientific community have developed numerous methods to identify and track of ARs—a necessary step for analyses on gridded data sets, and objective attribution of impacts to ARs. These different methods have been developed to answer specific research questions and hence use different criteria (e.g., geometry, threshold values of key variables, and time dependence). Furthermore, these methods are often employed using different reanalysis data sets, time periods, and regions of interest. The goal of the Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP) is to understand and quantify uncertainties in AR science that arise due to differences in these methods. This paper presents results for key AR-related metrics based on 20+ different AR identification and tracking methods applied to Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications Version 2 reanalysis data from January 1980 through June 2017. We show that AR frequency, duration, and seasonality exhibit a wide range of results, while the meridional distribution of these metrics along selected coastal (but not interior) transects are quite similar across methods. Furthermore, methods are grouped into criteria-based clusters, within which the range of results is reduced. AR case studies and an evaluation of individual method deviation from an all-method mean highlight advantages/disadvantages of certain approaches. For example, methods with less (more) restrictive criteria identify more (less) ARs and AR-related impacts. Finally, this paper concludes with a discussion and recommendations for those conducting AR-related research to consider.

Rutz, Jonathan J.↗
DOE OSTI2020

Exploring topography-based methods for downscaling subgrid precipitation for use in Earth System Models

Topography exerts major control on land surface processes. To improve representation of topographic impacts on land surface processes, a new topography-based subgrid structure has been introduced to the Energy Exascale Earth System Model to represent the subgrid heterogeneity of surface elevation. To take advantage of the new subgrid structure for improving land surface modeling, this study explores four variations of topography-based methods for downscaling grid precipitation to the corresponding subgrids. In the first three methods, the deviation of the subgrid precipitation from the grid’s is equal to the grid precipitation multiplied by the ratio of the elevation difference between the subgrid and grid mean to a specified elevation equals to the grid elevation, the difference between the maximum and minimum subgrid elevation, and the maximum subgrid elevation, respectively. The second method limits the ratio to 0.5 to avoid extreme values on mountains and the third method accounts for the slope effect. The fourth method is similar to the third method except that the Froude Number is used to limit the numerator in a blocking regime of the ambient flow. The downscaled precipitation is evaluated using the PRISM precipitation data over the U.S. using statistical metrics. Results show that by accounting for topographic slope besides elevation, the third and fourth methods show clear advantages over the first and second methods. Furthermore, introducing the Froude Number in the fourth method improves downscaling skill and shows consistent advantages over the third method in areas with larger subgrid heterogeneity across different grids sizes.

Tesfa, Teklu K.↗
DOE OSTI2026

Data for Clumping Index Estimation With 30°-tilted Cameras in Row Crops: Evaluation of Methods and Segment Size Effects

The clumping index (CI) quantifies the spatial distribution of foliage elements and is essential for accurately estimating the plant area index (PAI), canopy radiative transfer, and photosynthesis. Traditionally, the finite-length averaging method (LX), the gap size distribution method (CC), and a combined approach of CC and LX (CLX) have been applied to instruments like TRAC and digital hemispherical photography to estimate CI. However, a comprehensive evaluation of these methods in row crops remains limited, especially regarding the influence of segment size on CI. Meanwhile, digital cameras offer a cost-effective and user-friendly solution for canopy measurements in row crops, yet their application in this context remains underexplored. In this study, we employed a new approach using a 30°-tilted digital camera to estimate CI in corn and soybean fields, applying the LX, CC, and CLX methods. We systematically assessed the performance of these three methods by combining field measurements in real-world fields with simulations using the LESS 3D radiative transfer model. Our results showed that CLX applied to the whole image and 45° segment offered accurate estimation of CI (bias within ±0.1, RMSE < 0.2) and PAI (bias within ±0.4, RMSE < 1) in real-world fields and LESS simulations. The accuracy of the LX method was highly sensitive to segment size, with the best performance observed at the 15° segment (PAI bias within ±0.4). In contrast, the CC method remained stable across different segment sizes, and its performance was generally comparable to that of LX, except at the 15° segment. Across view zenith angles, CI derived from CC generally showed a continuous increase, while those from LX and CLX followed a rising trend at small zenith angles but began to decline at 68°, likely due to an increasing proportion of no-gap segments. Seasonally, LX tended to show decreasing CI during early growth stages but increased as the canopy matured, whereas CC and CLX showed gradually increasing CI before plateauing at peak PAI. The 30°-tilted camera effectively captured CI variations across different angles and growth stages, making it a practical and robust instrument for row crop canopy structure analysis. Applying these CI methods to digital cameras offers a low-cost and accessible CI estimation alternative, improving canopy structure monitoring accuracy in row crops.

Modeling↗
DOE OSTI2022

Evaluating Methods for Measuring Grid Frequency in Low-Inertia Power Systems: Preprint

Accurate measurement of grid frequency is a critical component of reliable grid control. Traditionally, methods such as phase locked loops (PLLs) and discrete Fourier transforms (DFTs) have been used in inverters and phasor measurement units (PMUs) to measure frequency. However, as the percentage of inverter-based resources (IBRs) such as solar and wind has increased, these conventional frequency measurement methods are proving unable to guarantee reliable control in some cases. One challenge is measuring frequency during transient events, where there is a disruption in the steady state sinusoidal voltage. During these events, the underlying frequency of the grid may barely change, but measurement methods report a large spike in frequency due to the disrupted waveform. New methods must balance between suppressing spikes in frequency during faults, and providing fast, accurate, measurements in all other grid operation conditions, especially during events with high rate-of-change-of frequency (ROCOF), which are more prevalent in high-IBR power systems. This paper first surveys frequency measurement methods that have been proposed to reduce measurement errors during transient events. Then, both conventional and more novel frequency measurement methods are tested against an IEEE standard and industry recommendations, and their performance is evaluated for events simulated in PSCAD. Results quantify the trade-offs in performance during different grid conditions and lead to suggestions for the most appropriate frequency and ROCOF measurement methods for low inertia grids.

frequency↗
DOE OSTI2024

On the compatibility of established methods with emerging artificial intelligence and machine learning methods for disaster risk analysis

Abstract There is growing interest in leveraging advanced analytics, including artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), for disaster risk analysis (RA) applications. These emerging methods offer unprecedented abilities to assess risk in settings where threats can emerge and transform quickly by relying on “learning” through datasets. There is a need to understand these emerging methods in comparison to the more established set of risk assessment methods commonly used in practice. These existing methods are generally accepted by the risk community and are grounded in use across various risk application areas. The next frontier in RA with emerging methods is to develop insights for evaluating the compatibility of those risk methods with more recent advancements in AI/ML, particularly with consideration of usefulness, trust, explainability, and other factors. This article leverages inputs from RA and AI experts to investigate the compatibility of various risk assessment methods, including both established methods and an example of a commonly used AI‐based method for disaster RA applications. This article utilizes empirical evidence from expert perspectives to support key insights on those methods and the compatibility of those methods. This article will be of interest to researchers and practitioners in risk‐analytics disciplines who leverage AI/ML methods.

Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences↗
DOE OSTI2023

The Legendre Polynomial Axial Expansion Method

This work presents a new formulation of the axial expansion transport method explicitly using Legendre polynomials for arbitrarily high-order expansions. This new formulation also features an alternative method of axial leakage calculation to allow for nonextruded flat source region meshes. This alternative axial leakage is introduced alongside a balance equation requirement to ensure that neutron balance is preserved in the coarse mesh for a given axial leakage formulation, which allows for effective coarse mesh finite difference acceleration. A matrix exponential table method is derived to allow for fast computations of arbitrarily high-order matrix exponentials for this work and precludes the need for further research into matrix exponential calculations for this method. Numerical results are presented that demonstrate the stability of the axial expansion method in systems with voidlike regions, showcase the speedup from matrix exponential tables, and investigate the axial convergence of the method in terms of both expansion order and mesh size.

Herring, Nicholas↗
DOE OSTI2023

Enhanced Large-Signal Stability Method for Grid-Forming Inverters During Current Limiting: Preprint

Grid-forming (GFM) inverters are a promising technology for the widespread integration of renewable energy sources in future power systems. As a key element of GFM inverter control, the primary controller governs the internal reference voltage and angle. During contingencies in the grid---such as faults, voltage drops, or frequency and phase jumps---an inverter can be forced into a current-limiting mode of operation modulating inverter dynamics, and, as a result, it is prone to losing synchronism with the grid. In this paper, we propose a novel GFM primary control method with an additional synchronization term that naturally activates during contingencies to improve the dynamic response. The method allows the inverter to remain synchronized with the grid, which improves the inverter's dynamic behavior both during and after current-limiting grid conditions and enhances grid support, including voltage support using full current capacity. The method is demonstrated for voltage, frequency, and phase jumps both in a single-machine-to-infinite-bus and a network-wide electromagnetic transient simulation of the IEEE 14-bus system with 5 GFM inverters. The simulations provide insights into the proposed synchronization method and confirm the high potential of the method, which robustly secures synchronism under severe contingencies.

current limiting↗
DOE OSTI2020

Improvements to a class of hybrid methods for radiation transport: Nyström reconstruction and defect correction methods

In this study, two modifications are introduced for improving the accuracy, versatility, and robustness of a class of hybrid methods for radiation transport. In general, such methods are constructed by splitting the radiative flux into collided and uncollided components to which low- and high-resolution angular approximations are applied, respectively. In this work we focus on discrete ordinates discretizations of high and low order. The first modification we introduce changes the way in which the collided component is mapped into the uncollided component at the end of each time step in a simulation. The new mapping is a Nyström-type reconstruction that is applicable to arbitrary discrete ordinates quadratures, is guaranteed to preserve positivity of the solution provided that all ordinate weights are positive, is significantly more accurate than previous methods, and can be readily extended to other discretizations such as moment methods, finite element methods, and diffusion approximations. The second modification leverages integral deferred correction (IDC) to iteratively correct for the splitting error introduced by the inconsistency in angular discretization between the collided and uncollided components, in addition to improving the accuracy of the low-order temporal error that is treated by traditional IDC methods. Numerical tests in one- and two-dimensional geometries are used to demonstrate the increased accuracy and efficiency of the proposed modifications. It is found that the two techniques combined yield methods with solution accuracy and memory requirements comparable to that of monolithic discrete ordinates methods while reducing runtime by as much as a factor of between two and ten, depending on the problem.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Comparison of Surface Tension Generation Methods in Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics for Dynamic Systems

Developing robust numerical models of dynamic surface tension dominated multiphase systems is an ongoing challenge, especially in scenarios with large density and viscosity ratios. This is critical to the design and understanding of various physical and engineering systems, such as fluidized beds, fuel injectors, and drug delivery schemes. Much of the computational work in surface tension dominated multiphase flows has employed the continuum surface force method (CSF) of Brackbill et al. [1], which recasts surface tension from a surface force to a volumetric force that can be imposed in the vicinity of an interface. The CSF method produces accurate results across a variety of systems, however it relies on the identication of surface normals, which can be unreliable under certain conditions. Alternative methods of simulating surface tension have been proposed. Here the advantages and disadvantages of the CSF method in comparison to a pairwise forces (PF) method proposed by Tartakovsky and Panchenko [2] are explored. The CSF and PF methods are used in a smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) framework to model dynamic systems. Results are compared to existing test cases from the literature and to analytic solutions derived from fundamental normal mode behavior of bubbles and droplets. A physical system for which the PF method is more stable and physically appropriate than the CSF method is identied.

smoothed particle hydrodynamics, multiphase flow↗
DOE OSTI2022

A Fast and Accurate Transient Stability Assessment Method Based on Deep Learning: WECC Case Study

Transient stability is one of the critical aspects of power system stability assessment. The increasing integration of inverter-based resources and the retirement of conventional synchronous generators result in the decreasing system inertia and growing complexity of system operating conditions. Using a few selected typical operating conditions cannot guarantee system transient stability in all operating conditions, and the time-domain simulation of all operating conditions requires tremendous time and is often infeasible. This paper proposes a more efficient transient stability assessment method based on deep learning. The binary search method is used to determine the critical clearing time (CCT) in creating training databased by time-domain simulation. This method is fast and accurate with 1 ms resolution. The buses whose CCTs are lower than 200 ms are considered critical buses. Buses close to each other are grouped based on their mutual admittance matrix to reduce the search space of the critical buses. This paper also proposes the generator feature normalization based on the physical model. Case study on the reduced 240-bus WECC system model demonstrates that the proposed method can predict CCT accurately and efficiently.

critical clearing time↗
DOE OSTI2023

Methods for the Automated Determination of Sustained Maximum Amplitudes in Oscillating Signals

Machine condition monitoring has been proven to reduce machine downtime and increase productivity. The state-of-the-art research uses vibration monitoring for tasks such as maintenance and tool wear prediction. A less explored aspect is how vibration monitoring might be used to monitor equipment sensitive to vibration. In a manufacturing environment, one example of where this might be needed is in monitoring the vibration of optical linear encoders used in high-precision machine tools and coordinate measuring machines. Monitoring the vibration of sensitive equipment presents a unique case for vibration monitoring because an accurate calculation of the maximum sustained vibration is needed, as opposed to extracting trends from the data. To do this, techniques for determining sustained peaks in vibration signals are needed. Here, this work fills this gap by formalizing and testing methods for determining sustained vibration amplitudes. The methods are tested on simulated signals based on experimental data. Results show that processing the signal directly with the novel Expire Timer method produces the smallest amounts of error on average under various test conditions. Additionally, this method can operate in real-time on streaming vibration data.

Industrial Internet of Things↗
DOE OSTI2020

Physics-Informed Deep Neural Network Method for Limited Observability State Estimation

The precise knowledge regarding the state of the power grid is important in order to ensure optimal and reliable grid operation. Specifically, knowing the state of the distribution grid becomes increasingly important as more renewable energy sources are connected directly into the distribution network, increasing the fluctuations of the injected power. In this paper, we consider the case when the distribution grid becomes partially observable, due to for example cyber attacks, and the state estimation problem is under-determined. We present a new methodology that leverages a deep neural network (DNN) to estimate the grid state. The standard DNN training method is modified to explicitly incorporate the physical information of the grid topology and line/shunt admittance. We show that our method leads to a superior accuracy of the estimation when compared to the case when no physical information is provided. Finally, we compare the performance of our method to the standard state estimation approach, which is based on the weighted least squares with pseudo-measurements, and show that our method performs significantly better with respect to the estimation accuracy.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2020

Toward a scalable robust security-constrained optimal power flow using a proximal projection bundle method

Robust security-constrained optimal power flow (rSCOPF) aims to find the worst-case contingencies of alternating current optimal power flow (ACOPF) in power systems. With the rise of GPU architectures on the upcoming supercomputer architectures, optimization algorithms that rely on sparse linear algebra and indefinite linear systems are becoming increasingly hard to solve efficiently (e.g. interior-point method). To address this we revisit a maximin optimization formulation of the rSCOPF and the single-level mixed-integer semidefinite programming (MISDP) reformulation, which is obtained by taking the Lagrangian relaxation of the inner minimization ACOPF problem. In this paper, we focus on the development of a proximal projection bundle method (PPBM) for solving continuous relaxation node subproblems of the MISDP problem, based primarily on the well-known alternating direction method of multipliers. Cutting planes reminiscent of bundle method ideas are also applied in coordination with updates of the proximal parameter. The cutting-plane method can generate a large number of linear inequalities, leading to a large scale but decomposable quadratic programming (QP) subproblem that is amenable to GPUs. We present the numerical results on the IEEE 30, 57, 118, and 300-bus systems by using our PBMM method. We discuss the main computational bottleneck of our method, which is the time taken to solve each iteration of a QP subproblem instance of the PPBM, and how GPU architectures can accelerate this solution process.

bundle method↗
DOE OSTI2019

Validation of SE-EPI-based T2 mapping for characterization of prostate cancer: a new method compared with the traditional CPMG method

Purpose: We aim to compare the results of spin echo–echo planar imaging (SE-EPI)-based T2 mapping with those of the conventional Carr–Purcell–Meiboom–Gill (CPMG) method and to investigate the potential validity of SE-EPI-T2 mapping for the characterization of prostate cancer (PCa). Methods: Our retrospective study included 42 PCa patients and 42 noncancer patients who underwent 3.0T MRI with b values ranging from 0 to 2000 s/mm{sup 2} and echo times (TEs) ranging from 32 to 100 ms before biopsies. Bland–Altman analysis was used to compare the agreement between the two methods. The correlations between CPMG-T2 values and SE-EPI-T2 values at different b values were determined by Spearman’s rho analysis or Pearson analysis. The Mann–Whitney U test and two-sample t tests were used to analyze the differences between the cancerous and noncancerous groups. Results: Substantial agreement regarding the measurements was observed between the two methods. The average correlation between the CPMG-T2 values and SE-EPI-T2 values was moderate and positive, and the best correlations were found at b = 200 s/mm{sup 2} in the noncancer group (r = 0.557, P = 0.000) and at b = 100 s/mm{sup 2} in the cancer group (r = 0.537, P = 0.000). In addition, statistically significant differences were found between the noncancer and cancer groups in T2 values and ADC values (diff TEs) (P = 0.000). Conclusions: Substantial agreement in the measurements was found between the SE-EPI method and CPMG method. SE-EPI-based T2 mapping has potential clinical value for the prostate and can be considered an alternative to the traditional CPMG-T2 mapping method.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗