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At least 19 records

Explicitly determined sea ice emissivity and emission temperature over the Arctic for surface–sensitive microwave channels

Data assimilation of satellite microwave measurements is one of the important keys to improving weather forecasting over the Arctic region. However, the use of surface-sensitive microwave-sounding channel measurements for data assimilation or retrieval has been limited, especially during winter, due to the poorly constrained sea ice emissivity. In this study, aiming at more use of those channel measurements in the data assimilation, we propose an explicit method for specifying the surface radiative boundary conditions (namely emissivity and emitting layer temperature of snow and ice). These were explicitly determined with a radiative transfer model for snow and ice and with snow/ice physical parameters (i.e., snow/ice depths and vertical distributions of temperature, density, salinity, and grain size) simulated from the thermodynamically-driven snow/ice growth model. Here we conducted 1-D Var experiments in order to examine whether this approach can help to use the surface-sensitive microwave temperature channel measurements over the Arctic sea ice region for data assimilation. Results show that (1) the surface-sensitive microwave channels can be used in the 1-D Var retrieval, and (2) the specification of the radiative boundary condition at the surface using the snow/sea ice emission model can significantly improve the atmospheric temperature retrieval, especially in the lower troposphere (500 hPa to surface). The successful retrieval suggests that useful information can be extracted from surface-sensitive microwave-sounding channel radiances over sea ice surfaces through the explicit determination of snow/ice emissivity and emitting layer temperature.

1-D Var retrieval↗

Effect of data assimilation in the Polar WRF with 3DVAR on the prediction of radiation, heat flux, cloud, and near surface atmospheric variables over Svalbard

Although the Polar Weather Research and Forecasting (PWRF) model has been developed for polar environments, simulations of atmospheric states in the polar region still have large uncertainties. Therefore, the effects of data assimilation (DA) to improve forecasts in the polar region were investigated for September 2017 using PWRF and the three-dimensional variational (3DVAR) DA method. The experiments without DA and those with DA assimilating only conventional observations and both conventional observations and satellite radiance data were performed. The forecasts from all experiments both without and with DA underestimated (overestimated) the downward longwave (shortwave) radiation flux due to the underestimation of the amount of Arctic clouds. When satellite radiance data (i.e., the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) and Microwave Humidity Sounder (MHS)) were assimilated in addition to conventional observations in the PWRF, the distribution and amount of water vapor became closer to observations, which improves cloud liquid water forecasts. Therefore, when both conventional observations and radiance data were assimilated, the 25–30 h forecast errors of the downward longwave and shortwave radiation fluxes and sensible and latent heat fluxes decreased by 12.7%, 8.1%, 3.2%, and 7.8% with the WSM5 scheme and by 17.1%, 4.7%, 2.5%, and 3.1% with the 2-moment Morrison scheme, respectively, compared to those in the experiments without DA. The forecast errors of the 10 m wind and 2 m temperature with DA were smaller than those without DA at most observation stations. Therefore, the uncertainties of the Arctic forecasts in the PWRF decreased when using DA. To further improve Arctic forecasts, the assimilation of various additional satellite data is necessary.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluating the Representations of Atmospheric Rivers and Their Associated Precipitation in Reanalyses With Satellite Observations

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are filaments of enhanced horizontal moisture transport in the atmosphere. Due to their prominent role in the meridional moisture transport and regional weather extremes, ARs have been studied extensively in recent years. Yet, the representations of ARs and their associated precipitation on a global scale remains largely unknown. In this study, we developed an AR detection algorithm specifically for satellite observations using moisture and the geostrophic winds derived from 3D geopotential height field from the combined retrievals of the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder and the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit on NASA Aqua satellite. This algorithm enables us to develop the first global AR catalog based solely on satellite observations. The satellite–based AR catalog is then combined with the satellite–based precipitation (Integrated Muti–SatellitE Retrievals for GPM) to evaluate the representations of ARs and AR–induced precipitation in reanalysis products. Here our results show that the spreads in AR frequency and AR length distribution are generally small across data sets, while the spread in AR width is relatively larger. Reanalysis products are found to consistently underestimate both mean and extreme AR–related precipitation. However, all reanalyses tend to precipitate too often under AR conditions, especially over low latitude regions. This finding is consistent with the “drizzling” bias which has plagued generations of climate models. Overall, the findings of this study can help to improve the representations of ARs and associated precipitation in reanalyses and climate models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Passive Microwave Radiometry and Active Radar Sounding as Complementary Tools for Geophysical Investigations of Icy Ocean Worlds

Juno Microwave Radiometer (MWR) observations of Europa and Ganymede offer critical insights into the icy shells of these moons ahead of NASA's Europa Clipper and ESA's JUpiter ICy moons Explorer (JUICE) missions. Both missions are equipped with active radar sounders designed to address key unknowns such as ice shell thickness, thermal state, and composition. In this study, we explore how passive microwave radiometry and active radar sounding can constrain ice shell properties, focusing on Europa. Using modeled microwave brightness temperature observations at 0.6 and 1.2 GHz alongside simulated radar attenuation rate observations, we show that each instrument can independently produce robust ice shell thickness constraints under idealized conditions. We then relax these assumptions, quantifying how uncertainties from non-ideal properties—including convective layers, freezing-point depression, and chloride-doped ice—affect thickness estimates. Finally, we demonstrate how combining observations from these complementary techniques breaks degeneracies between ice shell properties, enabling more robust constraints than either method alone. This approach will maximize the science return of Europa Clipper and JUICE, advancing our understanding of the thermophysical structure and habitability of icy ocean worlds.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

microbase.c1

MICROBASE is a baseline retrieval of cloud microphysical properties. It uses a combination of observations from the cloud radar, ceilometer, micropulse lidar, microwave radiometer, and balloon-borne radiosonde soundings in order to produce instantaneous vertical profiles of cloud liquid water content (LWC), cloud ice water content (IWC), liquid cloud particle effective radius (LIQRE), and ice cloud particle effective radius (ICERE). Uncertainites are also produced by the VAP. The inputs are by the following VAPs: Active Remote Sensing of Clouds (ARSCL) Merged Sounding (MERGESONDE) Microwave Radiometer Retrievals (MWRRET) The output are daily files.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

KAZRARSCL-c0-Cloud Boundaries subset

The KAZR-ARSCL VAP provides cloud boundaries and best-estimate time-height fields of radar moments. The VAP merges corrected, but uncalibrated, KAZR moments from all active radar modes with cloud base and cloud mask observations from the micropulse lidar (MPL), cloud base from the ceilometer, as well information from soundings, rain gauge, and microwave radiometer instruments to produce two data streams, one with best-estimate cloud base and cloud layer boundaries, and another which also includes best-estimate time-height fields of radar moments. This DOI is for the data stream that contain cloud layer boundaries only. Please note that the reflectivity used in this level c0 product is uncalibrated.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Sensitivity of thermodynamic profiles retrieved from ground-based microwave and infrared observations to additional input data from active remote sensing instruments and numerical weather prediction models

Accurate and continuous estimates of the thermodynamic structure of the lower atmosphere are highly beneficial to meteorological process understanding and its applications, such as weather forecasting. In this study, the Tropospheric Remotely Observed Profiling via Optimal Estimation (TROPoe) physical retrieval is used to retrieve temperature and humidity profiles from various combinations of input data collected by passive and active remote sensing instruments, in situ surface platforms, and numerical weather prediction models. Among the employed instruments are microwave radiometers (MWRs), infrared spectrometers (IRSs), radio acoustic sounding systems (RASSs), ceilometers, and surface sensors. TROPoe uses brightness temperatures and/or radiances from MWRs and IRSs, as well as other observational inputs (virtual temperature from the RASS, cloud-base height from the ceilometer, pressure, temperature, and humidity from the surface sensors) in a physical iterative retrieval approach. This starts from a climatologically reasonable profile of temperature and water vapor, with the radiative transfer model iteratively adjusting the assumed temperature and humidity profiles until the derived brightness temperatures and radiances match those observed by the MWR and/or IRS instruments within a specified uncertainty, as well as within the uncertainties of the other observations, if used as input. In this study, due to the uniqueness of the dataset that includes all the above-mentioned sensors, TROPoe is tested with different observational input combinations, some of which also include information higher than 4 km above ground level (a.g.l.) from the operational Rapid Refresh numerical weather prediction model. These temperature and humidity retrievals are assessed against independent collocated radiosonde profiles under non-cloudy conditions to assess the sensitivity of the TROPoe retrievals to different input combinations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

microbasew.c1

The continuous baseline microphysical retrieval, Wacr-based (MICROBASEW) VAP is a baseline retrieval of cloud microphysical properties. MICROBASEW uses a combination of observations from the W-band, zenith pointing radar (WACR), the ceilometer, the micropulse lidar (MPL), the microwave radiometer (MWR) and a merged thermodynamic profile (MERGED SOUNDING) VAP in order to determine the profiles of liquid/ice water content (L/IWC), liquid/ice cloud particle effective radius (re) and cloud fraction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Interpolated Sounding and Gridded Sounding Value-Added Products

Standard Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Climate Research Facility sounding files provide atmospheric state data in one dimension of increasing time and height per sonde launch. Many applications require a quick estimate of the atmospheric state at higher time resolution. The INTERPOLATEDSONDE (i.e., Interpolated Sounding) Value-Added Product (VAP) transforms sounding data into continuous daily files on a fixed time-height grid, at 1-minute time resolution, on 332 levels, from the surface up to a limit of approximately 40 km. The grid extends that high so the full height of soundings can be captured; however, most soundings terminate at an altitude between 25 and 30 km, above which no data is provided. Between soundings, the VAP linearly interpolates atmospheric state variables in time for each height level. In addition, INTERPOLATEDSONDE provides relative humidity scaled to microwave radiometer (MWR) observations.The INTERPOLATEDSONDE VAP, a continuous time-height grid of relative humidity-corrected sounding data, is intended to provide input to higher-order products, such as the Merged Soundings (MERGESONDE; Troyan 2012) VAP, which extends INTERPOLATEDSONDE by incorporating model data. The INTERPOLATEDSONDE VAP also is used to correct gaseous attenuation of radar reflectivity in products such as the KAZRCOR VAP.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Measured Performance of Over the Range Microwave Range Hoods

The California residential building code requires kitchen exhaust ventilation to protect indoor air quality. The requirement can be met with a kitchen exhaust fan or a range hood that conforms to airflow and sound specifications based on certified, standard test results. Appliances that integrate an exhaust fan with an over the range microwave (OTRs) are popular for their space saving utility; but for years there were none with the certified performance data required for building code compliance. This project, initiated during that period, aimed to evaluate OTR models found in new California homes and compare their performance to range hoods that minimally met code requirements. The study aimed to expand on limited information available about OTR performance with a particular focus on measuring the fraction of cooktop-generated air pollutants that are captured and removed by the exhaust devices, a parameter called “capture efficiency”. Airflow and capture efficiency (CE) were measured in a simulated kitchen in Berkeley Lab’s FLEXLAB facility. Airflows were measured using several variations of a balanced-pressure flow method (Walker et al. 2001) including a protocol that had been used in the California Healthy Efficient New Gas Homes (HENGH) field study. Measurements were made for six OTRs observed in the field study, including three with certified test results (published after the start of this project) for airflow and sound. Measurements were also made on two standard range hoods with comparable airflows and costs to the OTRs, when accounting for the microwave functionality. CE was measured using the CO 2 emitted from burners while heating pots of water (POW) as a tracer and calculating the ratio of added CO 2 in the exhaust flow over the total CO 2 generated from burning fuel. Results show that OTRs generally met the California code requirements for airflow, which are the same as those of the residential ventilation standard of ASHRAE. It was determined that the field protocol used in HENGH study homes was biased low by ~14% on average. The CE performance of OTRs tested in this study were consistent with those tested under controlled conditions in prior studies, showing CE increasing with airflow and being higher for emissions occurring at the back cooktop burner(s) compared with front burner emissions. The measured CE covered a range of 40% to 85% for the front burners and 60% to 100% for the back burners. The relationship of CE to airflow for OTRs was within the range of those found for standard range hoods in this study and prior studies, with the key caveat that OTRs appear to have more consistent CE performance for emissions on the front burner.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

ARM Radiosondes for SNPP/JPSS Validation Field Campaign Report

This field campaign extension has been a coordinated effort involving the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) User Facility, the University of Wisconsin at Madison, and the Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) project to validate NOAA Unique Combined Atmospheric Processing System (NUCAPS) temperature and moisture sounding products from the Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS) and the Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) instruments on board the NOAA-20 and NOAA-21 satellite platforms. In this arrangement, funding for radiosondes and balloons was provided by the JPSS project to ARM. These radiosondes were launched coincident with NOAA-20 and NOAA-21 satellite overpasses at the ARM field sites at Eastern North Atlantic (ENA), North Slope Alaska (NSA), and Southern Great Plains (SGP). Combined with other ARM data, an assessment of the radiosonde data quality was performed and post-processing corrections applied. The dedicated radiosondes were integrated into the NOAA Products Validation System (NPROVS+), which collocated the radiosondes with satellite products (NOAA, National Aeronautics and Space Administration [NASA], European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites [EUMETSAT], Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite [GOES], Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate [COSMIC]) and numerical weather prediction (NWP) forecasts for use in product assessment and algorithm development. This work is a part of the NOAA-20 and NOAA-21 satellite retrieval validation efforts and provides critical accuracy assessments of the temperature and water vapor soundings.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Linear point and sound horizon as purely geometric standard rulers

The baryon acoustic oscillations feature (BAO) imprinted in the clustering correlation function is known to furnish us cosmic distance determinations that are independent of the cosmological-background model and the primordial perturbation parameters. These measurements can be accomplished rigorously by means of the purely geometric BAO methods. To date two different purely geometric BAO approaches have been proposed. The first exploits the linear-point standard ruler. The second, called correlation-function model-fitting, exploits the sound-horizon standard ruler. A key difference between them is that, when estimated from clustering data, the linear point makes use of a cosmological-model-independent procedure to extract the ratio of the ruler to the cosmic distance, while the correlation-function model-fitting relies on a phenomenological cosmological model for the correlation function. Nevertheless the two rulers need to be precisely defined independently of any specific observable (e.g., the BAO). We define the linear point and sound horizon and we fully characterize and compare the two rulers’ cosmological-parameter dependence. We find that they are both geometrical (i.e., independent of the primordial cosmological parameters) within the required accuracy, and that they have the same parameter dependence for a wide range of parameter values. We estimate the rulers’ best-fit values and errors, given the cosmological constraints obtained by the Planck Satellite team from their measurements of the cosmic microwave background temperature and polarization anisotropies. We do this for three different cosmological models encompassed by the purely geometric BAO methods. In each case we find that the relative errors of the two rulers coincide and they are insensitive to the assumed cosmological model. Interestingly both the linear point and the sound horizon shift by 0.5σ when we do not fix the spatial geometry to be flat in Λ CDM. Finally, this points toward a sensitivity of the rulers to different cosmological models when they are estimated from the cosmic microwave background.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Superhorizon isocurvature fluctuations relax tensions

Here, we present a new class of models that have potential to alleviate tensions present in the cosmological data today. We postulate about variation in the sound horizon scale on superhorizon scales, i.e., on scales that are larger than that of the present observable low-redshift Universe (≳ 1Gpc) while at the same time smaller than the largest scales probed by the cosmic microwave background (CMB) (≲ 10Gpc). In this scenario, CMB peaks are naturally smoothed as preferred by the Planck data, while at the same time the low-redshift baryon acoustic oscillation calibration is partially decoupled from the CMB. Taking superhorizon variations in baryon fraction as an example and using approximate modeling, we find improvement in the best fit Planck power spectrum model Δχ 2 ~ 6 for 1 extra degree of freedom with the relevant extension parameter 10 3 σ b = 2.10 ± 0.60, implying about 10% variations in baryon fraction across the Universe. At the same time, S 8 drops by about 1 sigma, easing tension with weak lensing surveys. We find that the combination of Planck 2018 data, eBOSS BAO data, and Riess et al. distance ladder Hubble parameter determination produce a satisfactory fit in our model if we allow for a phantom dark energy equation of state.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Atacama Cosmology Telescope: Constraints on prerecombination early dark energy

The early dark energy (EDE) scenario aims to increase the value of the Hubble constant (H0) inferred from cosmic microwave background (CMB) data over that found in the standard cosmological model (Λ CDM ), via the introduction of a new form of energy density in the early Universe. The EDE component briefly accelerates cosmic expansion just prior to recombination, which reduces the physical size of the sound horizon imprinted in the CMB. Previous work has found that nonzero EDE is not preferred by Planck CMB power spectrum data alone, which yield a 95% confidence level (C.L.) upper limit f EDE < 0.087 on the maximal fractional contribution of the EDE field to the cosmic energy budget. In this paper, we fit the EDE model to CMB data from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT) data release 4. We find that a combination of ACT, large-scale Planck TT (similar to WMAP), Planck CMB lensing, and BAO data prefers the existence of EDE at >99.7 % C .L . : f EDE = 0.091$^{+0.020}_{-0.036}$, with H 0 = 70.9$^{+1.0}_{-2.0}$ km/s/Mpc (both 68% C.L.). From a model-selection standpoint, we find that EDE is favored over Λ CDM by these data at roughly 3 σ significance. In contrast, a joint analysis of the full Planck and ACT data yields no evidence for EDE, as previously found for Planck alone. We show that the preference for EDE in ACT alone is driven by its TE and EE power spectrum data. The tight constraint on EDE from Planck alone is driven by its high-ℓ TT power spectrum data. Understanding whether these differing constraints are physical in nature, due to systematics, or simply a rare statistical fluctuation is of high priority. Here, the best-fit EDE models to ACT and Planck exhibit coherent differences across a wide range of multipoles in TE and EE, indicating that a powerful test of this scenario is anticipated with near-future data from ACT and other ground-based experiments.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A Step in understanding the S 8 tension

Models of dark sectors with a mass threshold can have important cosmological signatures. If, in the era prior to recombination, a relativistic species becomes nonrelativistic and is then depopulated in equilibrium, there can be measurable impacts on the cosmic microwave background as the entropy is transferred to lighter relativistic particles. In particular, if this “step” occurs near z~20, 000, the model can naturally accommodate larger values of H 0 . If this stepped radiation is additionally coupled to dark matter, there can be a meaningful impact on the matter power spectrum as dark matter can be coupled via a species that becomes nonrelativistic and depleted. This can naturally lead to suppressed power at scales inside the sound horizon before the step, while leaving conventional cold dark matter signatures for power outside the sound horizon. We study these effects and show such models can naturally provide lower values of S 8 than scenarios without a step. Furthermore, this suggests these models may provide an interesting framework to address the S 8 tension, both in concert with the H 0 tension and without.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DESI DR1 Ly$α$ forest: 3D full-shape analysis and cosmological constraints

We perform an analysis of the full shapes of Lyman-$α$ (Ly$α$) forest correlation functions measured from the first data release (DR1) of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI). Our analysis focuses on measuring the Alcock-Paczynski (AP) effect and the cosmic growth rate times the amplitude of matter fluctuations in spheres of $8$$h^{-1}\text{Mpc}$, $fσ_8$. We validate our measurements using two different sets of mocks, a series of data splits, and a large set of analysis variations, which were first performed blinded. Our analysis constrains the ratio $D_M/D_H(z_\mathrm{eff})=4.525\pm0.071$, where $D_H=c/H(z)$ is the Hubble distance, $D_M$ is the transverse comoving distance, and the effective redshift is $z_\mathrm{eff}=2.33$. This is a factor of $2.4$ tighter than the Baryon Acoustic Oscillation (BAO) constraint from the same data. When combining with Ly$α$ BAO constraints from DESI DR2, we obtain the ratios $D_H(z_\mathrm{eff})/r_d=8.646\pm0.077$ and $D_M(z_\mathrm{eff})/r_d=38.90\pm0.38$, where $r_d$ is the sound horizon at the drag epoch. We also measure $fσ_8(z_\mathrm{eff}) = 0.37\; ^{+0.055}_{-0.065} \,(\mathrm{stat})\, \pm 0.033 \,(\mathrm{sys})$, but we do not use it for cosmological inference due to difficulties in its validation with mocks. In $Λ$CDM, our measurements are consistent with both cosmic microwave background (CMB) and galaxy clustering constraints. Using a nucleosynthesis prior but no CMB anisotropy information, we measure the Hubble constant to be $H_0 = 68.3\pm 1.6\;\,{\rm km\,s^{-1}\,Mpc^{-1}}$ within $Λ$CDM. Finally, we show that Ly$α$ forest AP measurements can help improve constraints on the dark energy equation of state, and are expected to play an important role in upcoming DESI analyses.

Cuceu, Andrei [LBL, Berkeley; Chicago U., KICP] (O↗

Concordance cosmology?

ABSTRACT We propose a new intuitive metric for evaluating the tension between two experiments, and apply it to several data sets. While our metric is non-optimal, if evidence of tension is detected, this evidence is robust and easy to interpret. Assuming a flat Lambda cold dark matter (ΛCDM) cosmological model, we find that there is a modest 2.2σ tension between the Dark Energy Survey (DES) Year 1 results and the Planck measurements of the cosmic microwave background. This tension is driven by the difference between the amount of structure observed in the late-time Universe and that predicted from fitting the Planck data, and appears to be unrelated to the tension between Planck and local estimates of the Hubble rate. In particular, combining DES, baryon acoustic oscillations, big bang nucleosynthesis, and supernovae measurements recover a Hubble constant and sound horizon consistent with Planck, and in tension with local distance–ladder measurements. If the tension between these various data sets persists, it is likely that reconciling all current data will require breaking the flat ΛCDM model in at least two different ways: one involving new physics in the early Universe, and one involving new late-time Universe physics.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗