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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

On the Moral Hazard of Autonomy

This paper describes the concept of moral hazard as applied to technologies that incorporate automation and autonomy. Moral hazard is said to exist when a party to a transaction feels more comfortable taking undue risks because another party will bear the costs if things go badly. As opposed to regular physical hazards, a moral hazard comes from within a person. In this paper, we reveal two categories of moral hazards related to autonomy. The first category of moral hazard occurs when the owner of the autonomy introduces an autonomous system without accepting the full responsibility for improper operation thereby shifting the risks from one party to another party. This category of moral hazard is similar to moral hazards experienced in other industries and can often be addressed through appropriate policy and establishing liability for irresponsible behavior. The issue becomes more complicated in cases where the operator of the autonomy may not have a full understanding of the system behavior. In the second category of moral hazard, risks are shifted from people to autonomy. In this category, the humans in proximity to the autonomous system begin to trust its behavior. Their behavior may change in that they may believe they are more insulated from harm and subsequently exhibit more risky behavior towards increasingly autonomous technologies. Mitigating this type of moral hazard may require the autonomy to possess certain design features to discourage this type of harmful human behavior so that humans do not suffer needlessly in their interactions with autonomous systems by placing inappropriate trust where that trust is neither warranted nor deserved.

Cybernetics↗
NASA NTRS2012

The Economics of NASA Mission Cost Reserves

Increases in NASA mission costs are well-noted but not well-understood, and there is little evidence that they are decreasing in frequency or amount over time. The need to control spending has led to analysis of the causes and magnitude of historical mission overruns, and many program control efforts are being implemented to attempt to prevent or mitigate the problem (NPR 7120). However, cost overruns have not abated, and while some direct causes of increased spending may be obvious (requirements creep, launch delays, directed changes, etc.), the underlying impetus to spend past the original budget may be more subtle. Gaining better insight into the causes of cost overruns will help NASA and its contracting organizations to avoid .them. This paper hypothesizes that one cause of NASA mission cost overruns is that the availability of reserves gives project team members an incentive to make decisions and behave in ways that increase costs. We theorize that the presence of reserves is a contributing factor to cost overruns because it causes organizations to use their funds less efficiently or to control spending less effectively. We draw a comparison to the insurance industry concept of moral hazard, the phenomenon that the presence of insurance causes insureds to have more frequent and higher insurance losses, and we attempt to apply actuarial techniques to quantifY the increase in the expected cost of a mission due to the availability of reserves. We create a theoretical model of reserve spending motivation by defining a variable ReserveSpending as a function of total reserves. This function has a positive slope; for every dollar of reserves available, there is a positive probability of spending it. Finally, the function should be concave down; the probability of spending each incremental dollar of reserves decreases progressively. We test the model against available NASA CADRe data by examining missions with reserve dollars initially available and testing whether they are more likely to spend those dollars, and whether larger levels of reserves lead to higher cost overruns. Finally, we address the question of how to prevent reserves from increasing mission spending without increasing cost risk to projects budgeted without any reserves. Is there a "sweet spot"? How can we derive the maximum benefit associated with risk reduction from reserves while minimizing the effects of reserve spending motivation?

Whitley, Sally↗
NASA NTRS2012

The Economics of NASA Mission Cost Reserves

Increases in NASA mission costs have led to analysis of the causes and magnitude of historical mission overruns as well as mitigation and prevention attempts. This paper hypothesizes that one cause is that the availability of reserves may reduce incentives to control costs. We draw a comparison to the insurance concept of moral hazard, and we use actuarial techniques to better understand the increase in mission costs due to the availability of reserves. NASA's CADRe database provided the data against which we tested our hypothesis and discovered that there is correlation between the amount of available reserves and project overruns, particularly for mission hardware cost increases. We address the question of how to prevent reserves from increasing mission spending without increasing cost risk to projects.

Whitley, Sally↗
NASA NTRS2004

Radiation Hazards and Countermeasures for Human Space Flight

The protection of astronauts from the hazards of ionizing radiation in space is a moral and legal obligation of NASA. If there are to be manned deep-space missions, means must be found to provide this protection. There are two parts to providing this protection: understanding the effects of space radiation on humans so that radiation exposure limits can be established; and developing countermeasures so that exposures can be kept below these limits. This talk will cover both parts of this problem.

Adams, James↗
NASA NTRS2004

Radiation Hazards and Countermeasures for Human Space Flight

Protection of the astronauts from space radiation is NASA's moral and legal responsibility. There can be no manned deep space missions without adequate protection from the ionizing radiation in space. There are tow parts to radiation protection, determining the effects of space radiation on humans so that adequate exposure limits can be set and providing radiation protection that insures those limits will not be exceeded. This talk will review the status of work on these two parts and identify areas that are currently being investigated and gaps in the research that have been identified.

Adams, James H., Jr.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Establishing Cleaning Methods For Cleanroom And Safety Suits At Remote Sites With Available Resources

The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) spent considerable time in multiple clean facilities during its launch campaign at the Centre Spatial Guyanais (CSG) in French Guiana. Throughout this time, it was imperative that personnel wear approved cleanroom or safety suits when working in proximity to the JWST observatory. This proved to be challenging for two reasons: 1) A large quantity of NASA cleanroom suits needed to be shipped to CSG to account for the heavy volume of NASA and ESA personnel requiring access to the clean facilities. It became evident that shipping clean suits from the US to CSG in a timely fashion during the launch campaign would be challenging. Consequently, a backup plan needed to be established to avoid running out. 2) For safety purposes, Self-Contained Atmospheric Protection Ensemble (SCAPE) and Splash suits were required for hazardous operations. Neither type of suit was cleanroom compatible; therefore, a viable cleaning process needed to be developed to ensure both types of suits met JWST’s approved cleanliness standards. The NASA Contamination Control (CC) team partnered with CSG’s S5E cleanroom and suit processing team. The teams were able to make modifications to the S5E facility to create a NASA approved makeshift clean environment where NASA cleanroom suits and CSG Splash suits were inspected, folded, and bagged for cleanroom use once they were washed and dried. Since SCAPE suits could not be cleaned using conventional methods, a procedure was developed to clean and inspect the suits by the CC team in a temporary clean environment prior to fueling.

James Webb Space Telescope↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Establishing Cleaning Methods for Cleanroom and Safety Suits at Remote Sites with Available Resources

"The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) spent considerable time in multiple clean facilities during its launch campaign at the Centre Spatial Guyanais (CSG) in French Guiana. Throughout this time, it was imperative that personnel wear approved cleanroom or safety suits when working in proximity to the JWST observatory. This proved to be challenging for two reasons: 1) A large quantity of NASA cleanroom suits needed to be shipped to CSG to account for the heavy volume of NASA and ESA personnel requiring access to the clean facilities. It became evident that shipping clean suits from the US to CSG in a timely fashion during the launch campaign would be challenging. Consequently, a backup plan needed to be established to avoid running out. 2) For safety purposes, Self-Contained Atmospheric Protection Ensemble (SCAPE) and Splash suits were required for hazardous operations. Neither type of suit was cleanroom compatible; therefore, a viable cleaning process needed to be developed to ensure both types of suits met JWST’s approved cleanliness standards. The NASA Contamination Control (CC) team partnered with CSG’s S5E cleanroom and suit processing team. The teams were able to make modifications to the S5E facility to create a NASA approved makeshift clean environment where NASA cleanroom suits and CSG Splash suits were inspected, folded, and bagged for cleanroom use once they were washed and dried. Since SCAPE suits could not be cleaned using conventional methods, a procedure was developed to clean and inspect the suits by the CC team in a temporary clean environment prior to fueling. "

James Webb Space Telescope↗
NASA NTRS2012

Laser Ablation Surface Preparation of Ti-6A1-4V for Adhesive Bonding

Adhesive bonding offers many advantages over mechanical fastening, but requires certification before it can be incorporated in primary structures for commercial aviation without disbond-arrestment features or redundant load paths. Surface preparation is widely recognized as the key step to producing robust and predictable bonds. Laser ablation imparts both topographical and chemical changes to a surface which can lead to increased bond durability. A laser based process provides an alternative to chemical-dip, manual abrasion and grit blast treatments which are expensive, hazardous, polluting, and less precise. This report documents preliminary testing of a surface preparation technique using laser ablation as a replacement for the chemical etch and abrasive processes currently applied to Ti-6Al-4V alloy adherends. Failure mode, surface roughness, and chemical makeup were analyzed using fluorescence enhanced visualization, microscopy, and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy, respectively. Single lap shear tests were conducted on bonded and aged specimens to observe bond strength retention and failure mode. Some promising results showed increasing strength and durability of lap shear specimens as laser ablation coverage area and beam intensity increased. Chemical analyses showed trends for surface chemical species which correlated with improved bond strength and durability. Combined, these results suggest that laser ablation is a viable process for inclusion with or/and replacement of one or more currently used titanium surface treatments. On-going work will focus on additional mechanical tests to further demonstrate improved bond durability.

Palmieri, Frank L.↗
NASA NTRS2009

Enhancing SERS by Means of Supramolecular Charge Transfer

In a proposed method of sensing small quantities of molecules of interest, surface enhanced Raman scattering (SERS) spectroscopy would be further enhanced by means of intermolecular or supramolecular charge transfer. There is a very large potential market for sensors based on this method for rapid detection of chemical and biological hazards. In SERS, the Raman signals (vibrational spectra) of target molecules become enhanced by factors of the order of 108 when those molecules are in the vicinities of nanostructured substrate surfaces that have been engineered to have plasmon resonances that enhance local electric fields. SERS, as reported in several prior NASA Tech Briefs articles and elsewhere, has remained a research tool and has not yet been developed into a practical technique for sensing of target molecules: this is because the short range (5 to 20 nm) of the field enhancement necessitates engineering of receptor molecules to attract target molecules to the nanostructured substrate surfaces and to enable reliable identification of the target molecules in the presence of interferants. Intermolecular charge-transfer complexes have been used in fluorescence-, photoluminescence-, and electrochemistry-based techniques for sensing target molecules, but, until now, have not been considered for use in SERS-based sensing. The basic idea of the proposed method is to engineer receptor molecules that would be attached to nanostructured SERS substrates and that would interact with the target molecules to form receptor-target supramolecular charge-transfer complexes wherein the charge transfer could be photoexcited.

Wong, Eric↗