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Global Nuclear Explosion Discrimination Using a Convolutional Neural Network

Using P-wave seismograms, we trained a seismic source classifier using a Convolutional Neural Network. We trained for three classes: earthquake P-wave, underground nuclear explosion (UNE) P-wave, and noise. With the current absence of nuclear testing by countries that have signed the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, high quality seismic data from UNEs is limited. Even with limited training data, our model can accurately characterize most events recorded at regional and teleseismic distances, finding over 95% signals in the validation set. We applied the model on holdout datasets of the North Korean test explosions to evaluate the performance on unique region and station-source pairs, with promising results. Additionally, we tested on the Source Physics Experiment events to investigate the potential for chemical explosions to act as a surrogate for nuclear explosions. We anticipate that machine-learning models like our classifier system can have broad application for other seismic signals including volcanic and non-volcanic tremor, anomalous earthquakes, ice-quakes or landslide-quakes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Discoveries in Blast-Driven Turbulence of Astrophysical Relevance

The fluid mixing caused by variable-density instabilities is important in a wide variety of scenarios from ocean mixing and astrophysical phenomena to nuclear fusion techniques and atomic weapons. This thesis explores the mixing resulting from a specific instability known as the Blast Driven Instability (BDI). This work investigates the variable density mixing in an explosively driven environment due to the fluid instabilities at the material interfaces. Specifically, diverging Richtmyer-Meshkov (impulsive-acceleration environment) and Rayleigh-Taylor (variable-acceleration environment) instabilities (present in supernova and inertial confinement fusion) are studied using advanced high-speed diagnostics in carefully designed laboratory experiments. The BDI morphology is presented through a time development of Mie scattering images, and steps through the parameter space (varying density ratio and driver speed), highlighting the development of the structures that form during mixing. A scaling criterion is used to relate the two systems of vastly different spatiotemporal scales. Velocity fields in the BDI have been captured for the first time using the high temporal resolution PIV technique. Subsequent analysis of the dynamics of the instability from the velocity fields illustrates the distribution of kinetic energy, the transition to turbulence, and the characteristic growth of the instability are discussed. This study furthers understanding of how blast-driven instability pertains to supernova and inertial confinement fusion science. The morphology of the BDI has been characterized for the first time. This work steps through the parameter space covered in Mie scattering experiments, and how the different parameters contribute to development of structures and mixing. It also examines a scaling of the Atwood number for expanding predictive capabilities to other experimental conditions and simulations. The first collection of velocity fields acquired for the BDI are recorded, and subsequent analysis evaluating the distribution of kinetic energy throughout space and time for two density ratios from the overall parameter space, as well as the transition to turbulence, estimated from a Reynolds number calculated based on momentum mixing are all presented. This information is useful in advancing the development of models to predict physics of high energy density applications where experiments are not always readily available. This research has successfully demonstrated understanding for the time criteria defining regimes where the shock driven (Richtmyer-Meshkov instability) and the buoyancy driven (Rayleigh-Taylor instability) dominates through a parametric study of density variation (Atwood number) and driver speed (Mach number). All this furthers understanding of how the BDI pertains to SN and ICF.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Characterization of blast waves induced by femtosecond laser irradiation in solid targets

Blast waves have been produced in solid target by irradiation with short-pulse high-intensity lasers. The mechanism of production relies on energy deposition from the hot electrons produced by laser–matter interaction, producing a steep temperature gradient inside the target. Hot electrons also produce preheating of the material ahead of the blast wave and expansion of the target rear side, which results in a complex blast wave propagation dynamic. Several diagnostics have been used to characterize the hot electron source, the induced preheating and the velocity of the blast wave. Results are compared to numerical simulations. These show how blast wave pressure is initially very large (more than 100 Mbar), but it decreases very rapidly during propagation.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Measurement of 3 Λ H production in Pb–Pb collisions at √ s NN = 5.02 TeV

The first measurement of 3 Λ H and $^{3}_{\overline{Λ}}$$\overline{H}$ differential production with respect to transverse momentum and centrality in Pb–Pb collisions at √ s NN = 5.02 TeV is presented. The 3 Λ H has been reconstructed via its two-charged-body decay channel, i.e., 3 Λ H → 3 He → π - . A Blast-Wave model fit of the p T -differential spectra of all nuclear species measured by the ALICE collaboration suggests that the kinetic freeze-out surface is consistent with that of other nuclei. The ratio between the integrated yields of 3 Λ H and 3 He is compared to predictions from the statistical hadronisation model and the coalescence model, with the latter being favoured by the presented measurements.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Inferring the Focal Depths of Small Earthquakes in Southern California Using Physics-Based Waveform Features

Determining the depths of small crustal earthquakes is challenging in many regions of the world, because most seismic networks are too sparse to resolve trade-offs between depth and origin time with conventional arrival-time methods. Precise and accurate depth estimation is important, because it can help seismologists discriminate between earthquakes and explosions, which is relevant to monitoring nuclear test ban treaties and producing earthquake catalogs that are uncontaminated by mining blasts. Here, we examine the depth sensitivity of several physics-based waveform features for ~8000 earthquakes in southern California that have well-resolved depths from arrival-time inversion. We focus on small earthquakes (2 < M L < 4) recorded at local distances (<150 km), for which depth estimation is especially challenging. We find that differential magnitudes (M w /M L –M c ) are positively correlated with focal depth, implying that coda wave excitation decreases with focal depth. We analyze a simple proxy for relative frequency content, Φ≡log 10 (M 0 )+3log 10 (f c ), and find that source spectra are preferentially enriched in high frequencies, or “blue-shifted,” as focal depth increases. Here, we also find that two spectral amplitude ratios Rg 0.5–2 Hz/Sg 0.5–8 Hz and Pg/Sg at 3–8 Hz decrease as focal depth increases. Using multilinear regression with these features as predictor variables, we develop models that can explain 11%–59% of the variance in depths within 10 subregions and 25% of the depth variance across southern California as a whole. We suggest that incorporating these features into a machine learning workflow could help resolve focal depths in regions that are poorly instrumented and lack large databases of well-located events. Some of the waveform features we evaluate in this study have previously been used as source discriminants, and our results imply that their effectiveness in discrimination is partially because explosions generally occur at shallower depths than earthquakes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Creation of Speed-of-Sound Inject Data for Technical Nuclear Forensics

Technical Nuclear Forensics (TNF) exercises simulate a detonation of a nuclear device within the United States, usually in a city. Speed-of-sound (SOS) phenomenology are the atmospheric overpressure and ground shock mechanical motions that are observed at over-pressure (air-blast and infrasound) and seismic sensors, respectively (Figure 1). Amplitudes of SOS data are related to the explosive yield (Kinney and Graham, 1985; Koper et al., 2002; Bonner et al., 2013ab; Ford et al., 2014, 2021; Templeton et al., 2018; Schnurr et al., 2020). Within the country, the United States Prompt Diagnostics System (USPDS) includes a network of geophysical sensors to capture such SOS signals. During the TNF exercise, the event data will be analyzed by the players who know nothing about the technical details of the source (e.g. location, yield, explosive). Specifically, they will use the Integrated Yield Determination Tool (IYDT) to estimate the yield and height-of-burst or depth-of-burial (HOB/DOB). The IYDT allows the user to measure features on the overpressure and seismic channels, evaluate the consistency of features and jointly estimate yield and HOB/DOB. For these exercises, SOS data are simulated for the location, emplacement and yield of the device and signals are propagated to the observing stations. This document describes the steps undertaken in the simulation, validation, preparation and verification of SOS signals for TNF exercises.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Energy Requirements for Integration of Nuclear Reactors with Iron and Steel Plants

This report identifies energy needs of heavy energy users within the domestic iron and steel industry and suggests solutions for integrating nuclear energy. The iron and steel industry, composed of several types of plants which perform different processes with varied energy demands and vectors, is a heavy consumer of electric power and fossil fuels including coke and natural gas. Almost all major process temperatures exceed the temperatures of direct heat available from advanced reactors, and so electricity and hydrogen were considered instead. Reference units were adopted and estimated energy demands computed for the blast furnace (BF), direct reduced iron (DRI) unit, electric arc furnace (EAF), and reheat furnaces. By utilizing production capacity data from industry reports, the ranges of power demands were estimated, including for hydrogen production by high temperature steam electrolysis (HTSE). For the EAF and DRI unit, more detailed integration studies with thermodynamic modeling were also conducted and determined a possible solution with a specific reactor design and number of modules. Furthermore, because many unit processes are co-located, entire plants were considered by adding the energy demands of the unit processes to form four hypothetical reference plants. The range of power needs for the reference plants is compatible with multi-unit banks of microreactors at the low end, and would create a need for multiple larger-capacity SMRs at the high end (1 GWe plus 0.14 GWt). Although the overall power need at the high end is well-matched with one present-day large reactor offering (1.1 GWe), redundancy considerations may require a minimum of two reactors, potentially eliminating the single large reactor from consideration. Auxiliary or house loads would increase the reference plant estimates. Finally, the report provides total estimated energy needs under integration of all U.S. units of each process (BF, DRI, EAF, and reheat furnaces), representing a national potential for nuclear energy in the industry. U.S. iron and steel plants may be candidates for integration with nuclear reactors via electricity and hydrogen, and many sites have energy requirements that correspond well to the capacities of several advanced nuclear power designs.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Expansion of Hazards and Probabilistic Risk Assessments of a Light-Water Reactor Coupled with Electrolysis Hydrogen Production Plants

This report builds upon the body of work sponsored by the Department of Energy (DOE) Light-Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Flexible Power Operation and Generation (FPOG) program that presented generic probabilistic risk assessments (PRAs) for the addition of a heat extraction system (HES) to light-water reactors to support the co-location of a high temperature hydrogen electrolysis facility (HTEF). Probabilistic and deterministic hazards assessments and risk analyses are leveraged throughout this report. Several improvements and new analyses are included in this report. First, higher amounts of detail in the specifications of the generic HTEFs are used to produce scaled results for a 100, 500, and 1000 MW nominal hydrogen production facility. An additional hazard assessment of 1000 kg of hydrogen storage is performed. The facility hazards and footprint are assessed to determine the safe distance required for placement near the nuclear power plant (NPP). Second, specific designs for corresponding HESs for the different levels of support required by the HTEFs are analyzed in the PRA model. Third, a hazards analysis of the specified HTEFs leads not only to effects of the quantified risk assessment for the NPP, but also qualitative hazards assessment for the community. Finally, a seismic analysis and a high winds analysis have each been added to the PRA. The results investigate the applicability of the potential licensing approaches which do not require a full United States (U.S.) Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) licensing review. The PRAs are generic and include listed assumptions. The HTEF design built for this project has further eliminated many conservative assumptions from the prior PRAs in this series. The PRA results indicate that the 10 CFR 50.59 licensing approach is justified due to the minimal increase in initiating event frequencies for all design basis accidents, with none exceeding 7.7%. The PRA results for core damage frequency and large early release frequency support the use of NRC Regulation Guide 1.174 as further risk information that supports a change without a full licensing amendment review. The hazard analyses and PRA confirm the need for engineered blast barriers of storage tanks and the common production header leaving the HTEF. The hazards analyses and PRA also confirm with high confidence that using the assumptions of design in this report that the safety case for licensing an HES addition and an HTEF sited with its unprotected high-pressure stage components 187 meters from the NPP’s transmission towers (the most fragile structure, system, and component) is strong.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Poplar

SAND2025-00683O Poplar is a software tool that generates a phylogenetic tree from input gene and genome sequences. It integrates established tools to identify genes within genomes, group sequences, construct gene trees, and infer a species tree. Poplar processes nucleotide sequences, identifies similar sequences using Nucleotide BLAST, groups them with DBSCAN, aligns sequences with MAFFT, constructs gene trees with RAxML-NG, and infers a species tree using ASTRAL-Pro3. This pipeline provides a structured approach to phylogenetic analysis, facilitating the study of evolutionary relationships among species. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Krishnakumar, Raga↗

Predicting multiphase flow and tracer transport for an underground chemical explosive test

Detecting radionuclide gas seepage from clandestine underground nuclear tests is central to nonproliferation explosion monitoring research. Yet, early-time (<6 day) gas transport driven by the explosive pressure wave remains poorly constrained due to scarcity of field data. We simulate multi-phase gas transport in the vadose zone using pre-shot data from a recent chemical explosion in P-Tunnel at the Nevada National Security Site, USA. Despite using a simplified 2D-radial model, predictions of tracer arrival matched observations within one order-of-magnitude. Our results show how transient blast forcing rapidly mobilizes gases from the cavity into surrounding rock – critical for optimizing sensor placement and test planning. This unique integration of field data and modeling represents a significant improvement in our ability to predict gas migration from underground explosions. More broadly, it offers insights into the coupled dynamics of pressure waves and contaminant transport in the vadose zone, with implications for monitoring and hazard assessment.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effect of supplementary cementitious materials on the degradation of cement-based barriers in radioactive waste repository: A case study in Korea

This study focuses on investigating the chemical degradation characteristics of cementitious barriers used in low- and intermediate-level radioactive waste repository by reactive transport modeling. The impact of the blending with supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs) in the barriers on the chemical degradation was evaluated to find the optimum barrier design. A number of different barrier designs were examined by replacing ordinary Portland cement (OPC) by SCMs (i.e., fly ash, silica fume, and blast-furnace slag). The simulation results showed that silica fume blended barrier has better durability against chemical degradation by rainwater compared to fly ash or blast-furnace slag blended barriers. In addition, the chemical durability of silica fume-based barrier increased with increasing replacement level up to about 20 %. It seems that the amount of formed calcium silicate hydrate (CSH) in the initial cement-based barrier highly affects the overall chemical durability. The newly developed reactive transport model demonstrated its capability for understanding the barrier performance and investigating the optimal design of the barrier system.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Particle‐In‐Cell Simulations of Starfish Prime

The Starfish Prime high altitude nuclear test created a transient diamagnetic cavity in the Earth's magnetic field above Johnston Island and launched an electromagnetic pulse (EMP) that was detected around the globe. For this work, we use the ion‐kinetic particle‐in‐cell code Topanga to simulate diamagnetic cavity evolution and the E3 EMP signal for Starfish Prime out to over a minute of physical time. The simulation domain has a longitudinal and latitudinal extent of 60° X 60° and a vertical extent of 2,000 km from the surface of the Earth. We compare our simulated results to magnetometer measurements taken in space and on the ground, finding good agreement in both cases. The diamagnetic cavity in the simulation forms in about a second, while the associated debris flux tube takes approximately 30 s to decay. The debris flux tube undergoes significant motion during this timeframe, rising upward. The measured E3 EMP signal on the ground consists of several components, all of which are present in our simulations. We discuss the physical origin of these components in relation to E3a (blast) and E3b (heave).

Belyaev, Mikhail A. [Lawrence Livermore National L↗

Review of Mercury Sequestration in Cementitious Waste Forms

Decontaminated salt solution from Tank 50 at the Savannah River Site (SRS) is known to contain dissolved mercury species which are present as hydroxides and oxides. These species are reported in analytical measurements as the organic cation [CH 3 Hg] + and the inorganic cation Hg 2+ . The salt solution is mixed with cementitious reagents, blast-furnace slag (BFS) and thermally beneficiated Class F fly ash in the Saltstone Processing Facility and pumped into engineered Saltstone Disposal Units, (SDUs), to produce a solidified waste form. The solidified waste form, saltstone, encapsulates and chemically stabilizes the mercury and other contaminants, sequestering them from release into the environment. With the discovery of methylmercury in the salt solution, testing was performed to determine the extent to which saltstone prepared with methylmercury (MeHg) retains mercury in the Toxicity Characteristic Leaching Procedure (TCLP). Results from this testing indicated that the amount of mercury extracted remained below the regulatory limit, and that the saltstone formulation with a greater proportion of BFS performed slightly better at retaining Hg in the solid.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

LDR Inorganic Spiked Simulants in Pozzolan-Substituted Cast Stone for Hanford Pretreated Low-Activity Tank Waste

Pretreated Low Activity Waste (PTW/LAW) at the Hanford Site, is currently projected for disposition through a cementitious waste form. The current standard formulation, Cast Stone, uses Class F fly ash, blast furnace slag, and Portland cement. However, the future availability of Class F fly ash is uncertain, as many coal-fired power plants—the source of this byproduct—are being decommissioned or converted to natural gas. This issue has prompted research into identifying and evaluating suitable alternative materials to replace fly ash in the cementitious waste forms used by the Department of Energy (DOE). The Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) successfully identified four natural pozzolans for the replacement of Class F fly ash in the current Savannah River Site (SRS) low-level waste (LLW) form, Saltstone.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

STILGAR: Subsurface Models for Graymont Pleasant Gap Mine

The detection, location, and monitoring of underground structures are of great importance to national and global security. Tunnels and voids generate seismic signatures detectable at the surface, but using non-invasive seismic data to image near-surface presents several challenges in real-world applications. In this report, we describe the use of a dense surface seismic deployment to generate subsurface models of the Graymont Pleasant Gap mine - a single-layer mine with a complex structure embedded in a high-velocity P-wave limestone bedrock. Our approach consists of three key methods. We use P-wave arrival times from local blast events to perform a tomography inversion with the tomoTD method, constructing a P-wave velocity model of the subsurface. We model the layer above the mine using Rayleigh wave ellipticity and inversion techniques. We leverage ongoing anthropogenic activities to identify and locate noise sources both on the surface and within the subsurface. With this integrated approach we aim to overcome the challenges and enhance our ability to non-invasively characterize underground structures, contributing to improved seismic monitoring techniques.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Search for the Chiral Magnetic Effect with charge-dependent azimuthal correlations in Xe–Xe collisions at s NN = 5.44 TeV

Charge-dependent two- and three-particle correlations measured in Xe–Xe collisions at $\sqrt{s_{NN}}$ = TeV are presented. Results are obtained for charged particles in the pseudorapidity range |η| and transverse momentum interval 02. ≤ p T < GeV/c for different collision centralities. The three-particle correlator γ αβ ≡ $\langle$cos(φ α + φ β - 2Ψ a )$\rangle$, calculated for different combinations of charge sign α and β, is expected to be sensitive to the presence of the Chiral Magnetic Effect (CME). Its magnitude is similar to the one observed in Pb–Pb collisions in contrast to a smaller CME signal in Xe–Xe collisions than in Pb–Pb collisions predicted by Monte Carlo (MC) calculations including a magnetic field induced by the spectator protons. These observations point to a large non-CME contribution to the correlator. Furthermore, the charge dependence of γ αβ can be described by a blast wave model calculation that incorporates background effects and by the Anomalous Viscous Fluid Dynamics model with values of the CME signal consistent with zero. The Xe–Xe and Pb–Pb results are combined with the expected CME signal dependence on the system size from the MC calculations including a magnetic field to obtain the fraction of CME contribution in γ αβ , $f$ CME . The CME fraction is compatible with zero for the 30% most central events in both systems and then becomes positive. This yields an upper limit of 2% (3%) and 25% (32%) at 95% (99.7%) confidence level for the CME signal contribution to γ αβ in the 0–70% Xe–Xe and Pb–Pb collisions, respectively.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗