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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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Online MCMC Thinning with Kernelized Stein Discrepancy

A fundamental challenge in Bayesian inference is efficient representation of a target distribution. Many nonparametric approaches do so by sampling a large number of points using variants of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Here, we propose an MCMC variant that retains only those posterior samples which exceed a kernelized Stein discrepancy (KSD) threshold, which we call KSD thinning. We establish the convergence and complexity trade-offs for several settings of KSD thinning as a function of the KSD threshold parameter, sample size, and other problem parameters. We provide experimental comparisons against other online nonparametric Bayesian methods that generate low-complexity posterior representations. We observe superior consistency/complexity trade-offs across a range of settings including MCMC sampling on two Bayesian inference problems from the biological sciences, and 10 × inference speedup and storage reduction for Bayesian neural networks with no loss of accuracy and no increase in training time. Our code is available at https://github.com/colehawkins/KSD-Thinning.

Bayesian inference↗

Online Bayesian State Estimation for Real-Time Monitoring of Growth Kinetics in Thin Film Synthesis

Rapid validation of newly predicted materials through autonomous synthesis requires real-time adaptive control methods that exploit physics knowledge, a capability that is lacking in most systems. Here, in this study, we demonstrate an approach to enable real-time control of thin film synthesis by combining in situ optical diagnostics with a Bayesian state estimation method. We developed a physical model for film growth and applied the direct filter (DF) method for real-time estimation of nucleation and growth rates during pulsed laser deposition (PLD). We validated the approach using simulated and experimental reflectivity data for WSe 2 growth and ultimately deployed the algorithm on an autonomous PLD system during the growth of 1T'-MoTe 2 . The DF robustly estimates growth parameters in real time at early stages of growth, down to 15% monolayer area coverage. This fusion of in situ diagnostics, data assimilation, and physical modeling opens new opportunities in adaptive control of synthesis trajectories toward desired material states.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Analysis of Liquids Using the Submerged Plasma for Isotopic Detection and Elemental Resolution (SPIDER)

We developed a sensor called the Submerged Plasma for Isotopic Detection and Elemental Resolution (SPIDER) probe, which uses an atmospheric pressure glow discharge below the surface of liquids to excite species in the liquid. Through emission spectroscopy of molten salts, liquid metals, and heavy water, we demonstrated the SPIDER probe’s high resolution, accuracy, and versatility. We successfully identified trace concentrations of transition and rare-earth metals in molten salts and detected the isotopic shift of the H β → D β emission line. Our analysis revealed unconventional spectral alkali line shapes, indicating two competing excitation modes: film explosion and droplet vaporization. The film explosion mode, characterized by dense plasma, exhibited self-reversal and broadband continuum emission, while the droplet vaporization mode, associated with diffusive plasma, produced narrow-line emissions. Furthermore, by analyzing circuit transients alongside individual plasma events, we observed that film explosions generate higher currents, likely due to a shorter plasma length as the current preferentially flows through the thin liquid layer. Altogether, our results highlight the SPIDER probe’s efficacy and flexibility, making it well-suited for online material quantification of liquids in extreme environments.

AES↗

Electrolyte-driven interphase stabilization in high-voltage sodium-ion full cells

Sodium-ion batteries with a high-voltage O3-type layered oxide cathode paired with a hard carbon anode can offer high energy density; however, significant interfacial instabilities driven by electrode/electrolyte reactions limit a broader industrial adoption. Localized high concentration electrolytes (LHCEs) are a rational choice as they promote salt decomposition over solvent, forming stable, inorganic-rich electrode-electrolyte interphases (EEIs). We present here a comparison of high-voltage (4.2 V) hard carbon | NaNi 1/3 Fe 1/3 Mn 1/3 O 2 pouch cells in LHCEs and in a standard carbonate-based electrolyte by (i) examining the influence of diluent choice on the electrochemical performance of LHCEs and (ii) investigating how the electrolyte chemistry affects the composition and structure of EEIs formed. Importantly, LHCEs demonstrate superior electrochemical performance, achieving 37% higher capacity after 200 cycles (119 vs. 87 mA h g -1 ) compared to the carbonate-based electrolyte. The enhanced stabilization provided by LHCEs at the interface with high-voltage sodium layered oxide cathode is revealed by gas evolution measurements obtained through online electrochemical mass spectrometry (OEMS). Time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry paired with focused ion beam and advanced statistical analyses reveal that the superior performance of LHCE stems from a robust, thin cathode electrolyte interphase formed on the sodium layered oxide cathode and a homogeneous solid electrolyte interphase formation on the hard carbon anode. Furthermore, this study highlights the critical importance of electrolyte design in interphase stabilization, which plays a key role in advancing sodium-ion batteries toward commercial viability.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Insights into Tetravalent Np Speciation in HNO 3 through Spectroelectrochemistry and Multivariate Analysis

In situ optical spectroscopy, spectropotentiometry, and multivariate analysis were applied to the Np(IV) nitrate system to better understand speciation and quantify HNO 3 concentration. Thin-layer spectropotentiometry, or spectroelectrochemistry, was leveraged to isolate and stabilize Np(IV) without compromising the solution conditions and generate representative Vis-NIR absorption spectra from 0.5 to 10 M HNO 3 and benchmark the corresponding Np(IV) molar absorptivity coefficients. Spectra were described with principal component analysis (PCA) to identify the purest Np(IV) absorbance spectra among other oxidation states [e.g., Np(V/VI)] at each acid concentration and then to identify the primary sources of variance within each Np(IV) spectrum with respect to Np(IV) nitrate complexes. Then, partial least-squares regression (PLSR) and support vector regression (SVR) models were built to predict HNO 3 concentration from the Np(IV) spectral data. The nonlinear SVR model outperformed the linear PLSR model for the HNO 3 concentration predictions. Finally, the inclusion of spectra collected in edge and center point HNO 3 concentrations in the calibration set was determined to be crucial for producing models with strong predictive capabilities. The multivariate approach used in this study makes it possible to quantify HNO 3 concentration solely based on Np(IV) absorption spectra, which is essential to quantifying processing streams in various online monitoring applications.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Quantifying neptunium oxidation states in nitric acid through spectroelectrochemistry and chemometrics

Controlled-potential in situ thin-layer spectropotentiometry was leveraged to generate visible/near-infrared (VIS/NIR) absorption spectral data sets for the development of chemometric models to quantify Np(III/IV/V/VI) oxidation states in HNO 3 . This technology would be valuable in laboratory studies and when monitoring process solutions to guide feed adjustments for radiochemical separations—the performance of which depends on oxidation state. This approach successfully isolated and stabilized Np species in pure (~99%) oxidation states without compromising solution optical properties. Multivariate curve resolution–alternating least squares models were evaluated to resolve spectral and component concentrations from a scan that sequentially produced Np(VI), Np(V), Np(IV), and Np(III) spectra with mixtures of two valences at a time. Although it provided a useful approximation, the method was not able to quantitively resolve each component likely because of rotational ambiguity. Additionally, partial least squares regression models were built from artificial and electrochemically generated VIS/NIR spectral training sets to study the effect of interionic interactions on spectral characteristics. Models built with true Bi-chemical mixtures of coexisting Np oxidation states and spectra generated from additive combinations of pure end points had similar prediction performance. This methodology can be used to directly quantify Np concentration and the ratio of Np oxidation states and other actinides in remote settings such as hot cells.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗