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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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NASA NTRS2020

Building a standardized Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) framework for Mars

We advocate that the Decadal Survey recommends the NASA Science Mission Directorate to develop a rigorous Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) framework for Mars, to optimize future atmospheric observations. Atmospheric conditions on Mars are a potential hazard source for landing missions. Errors in the estimates of atmospheric density profiles, inadequate knowledge of wind vertical structure and dust concentration as a function of height are likely causes of uncertainty at the landing site on the order of kilometers. An operational real-time weather forecasting capability for Mars would reduce such uncertainties, carrying enormous benefits to future robotic missions, and would be an invaluable prerequisite for human missions.A real-time forecasting capability relies upon three fundamental components: a critical mass of observing systems, a data assimilation system (DAS), and a global forecast model. The DAS allows the model to ingest the data effectively, optimizing the observational information content,and transforming them into a gridded representation of the atmosphere at a given time, called an ‘analysis’. The analysis is the best estimate of the atmospheric state for that time, and also represents a set of ‘initial conditions’ from which a global model can be initialized, to predict a future state of the atmosphere. The connection between analysis and forecast represents the foundation of modern weather forecasting. However, from the point of view of a forecast system,not all observations are equally impactful, partially because of the problem of “observational error correlation”, one important research topic in data assimilation development. For the Earth, partly due to the spontaneous and deregulated development of observations and forecast capabilities worldwide for more than half a century,the use of observations in contemporary operational forecast systems is suboptimal, with many potentially useful data being underutilized. On the contrary, Mars atmospheric scientists are in the unique situation of designing the next-generation observing systems by learning from the experience gathered on the Earth, so as to assure that the future instruments are specifically optimized to give the maximum benefit to a future weather forecast capability.An immensely powerful tool that has been firmly established by atmospheric scientists on the Earth is represented by a properly designed OSSE framework. A realistic OSSE framework cannot only quantify the benefit of future data types, be them surface based or space borne, but can also help design and optimize an entire observational network. Furthermore, OSSEs can provide deep insights into an atmosphere’s behavior, by addressing conceptual problems of its intrinsic predictability and delineating the regions or features of the atmosphere which are more sensitive to additional data and would benefit from a denser sampling. The difficulties posed by OSSEs are fundamentally different for Earth and Mars. For Earth, the enormous data volume imposes a tremendous constraint on any innovation in the observing systems: it is very hard for a single sensor to impact the skill. For Mars, the problem is the opposite: almost any additional instrument will exert some impact. However, OSSEs can help to evaluate the cost/benefit for every sensor and suggest optimal data configuration and density.The purpose of this white paper is to provide an introduction to a rigorously designed OSSE framework, explain the underlying problems and challenges, and engage the Mars community to collaborate with Earth Atmospheric scientists in order to develop a joint-OSSE framework for Mars with the largest consensual basis possible. An OSSE infrastructure would increase the understanding of the Martian atmosphere, would help NASA to optimize instrument specifications and orbit choice, providing the maximium benefit for a given expenditure of resources, and could even help establishing a roadmap for a future real-time weather forecasting capability.

Oreste Reale↗
NASA NTRS2018

Some General and Fundamental Requirements for Designing Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs)

The intent of this white paper is to inform WMO projects and working groups, together with the broader weather research and general meteorology and oceanography communities, regarding the use of Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs). This paper is not intended to be either a critical or cursory review of past OSSE efforts. Instead, it describes some fundamental, but often neglected, aspects of OSSEs and prescribes important caveats regarding their design, validation, and application. Well designed, properly validated, and carefully conducted OSSEs can be invaluable for examining, understanding, and estimating impacts of proposed observing systems and new data assimilation techniques. Although significant imperfections and limitations should be expected, OSSEs either profoundly complement or uniquely provide both qualitative and quantitative characterizations of potential analysis of components of the earth system.

WMO↗
NASA NTRS2010

An Atmospheric Science Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) Environment

An atmospheric sounding mission starts with a wide range of concept designs involving measurement technologies, observing platforms, and observation scenarios. Observing system simulation experiment (OSSE) is a technical approach to evaluate the relative merits of mission and instrument concepts. At Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL), the OSSE team has developed an OSSE environment that allows atmospheric scientists to systematically explore a wide range of mission and instrument concepts and formulate a science traceability matrix with a quantitative science impact analysis. The OSSE environment virtually creates a multi-platform atmospheric sounding testbed (MAST) by integrating atmospheric phenomena models, forward modeling methods, and inverse modeling methods. The MAST performs OSSEs in four loosely coupled processes, observation scenario exploration, measurement quality exploration, measurement quality evaluation, and science impact analysis.

mission concepts↗
NASA NTRS2012

Development of an OSSE Framework for a Global Atmospheric Data Assimilation System

Observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs) are powerful tools for estimating the usefulness of various configurations of envisioned observing systems and data assimilation techniques. Their utility stems from their being conducted in an entirely simulated context, utilizing simulated observations having simulated errors and drawn from a simulation of the earth's environment. Observations are generated by applying physically based algorithms to the simulated state, such as performed during data assimilation or using other appropriate algorithms. Adding realistic instrument plus representativeness errors, including their biases and correlations, can be critical for obtaining realistic assessments of the impact of a proposed observing system or analysis technique. If estimates of the expected accuracy of proposed observations are realistic, then the OSSE can be also used to learn how best to utilize the new information, accelerating its transition to operations once the real data are available. As with any inferences from simulations, however, it is first imperative that some baseline OSSEs are performed and well validated against corresponding results obtained with a real observing system. This talk provides an overview of, and highlights critical issues related to, the development of an OSSE framework for the tropospheric weather prediction component of the NASA GEOS-5 global atmospheric data assimilation system. The framework includes all existing observations having significant impact on short-term forecast skill. Its validity has been carefully assessed using a range of metrics that can be evaluated in both the OSSE and real contexts, including adjoint-based estimates of observation impact. A preliminary application to the Aeolus Doppler wind lidar mission, scheduled for launch by the European Space Agency in 2014, has also been investigated.

Gelaro, Ronald↗
NASA NTRS1992

OSSE spectral analysis techniques

Analysis of the spectra from the Oriented Scintillation Spectrometer Experiment (OSSE) is complicated because of the typically low signal to noise (approx. 0.1 percent) and the large background variability. The OSSE instrument was designed to address these difficulties by periodically offset-pointing the detectors from the source to perform background measurements. These background measurements are used to estimate the background during each of the source observations. The resulting background-subtracted spectra can then be accumulated and fitted for spectral lines and/or continua. Data selection based on various environmental parameters can be performed at various stages during the analysis procedure. In order to achieve the instrument's statistical sensitivity, however, it will be necessary for investigators to develop a detailed understanding of the instrument operation, data collection, and the background spectrum and its variability. A brief description of the major steps in the OSSE spectral analysis process is described, including a discussion of the OSSE background spectrum and examples of several observational strategies.

Purcell, W. R.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Initial results from OSSE on the Compton Observatory

The Oriented Scintillation Spectrometer Experiment (OSSE) was launched on NASA's Compton Observatory on 1991 April 5. OSSE uses large area scintillation detectors to undertake gamma-ray line and continuum observations in the 0.05-10 MeV energy range. During the first months of the mission, OSSE has obtained observations on a number of high priority sources including AGNs, SN1991T, the galactic center region, and several discrete galactic sources. The capabilities and performance of OSSE are discussed and initial results for several of the early observations are presented.

Johnson, W. N.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Recent results from OSSE on the Compton observatory

The Oriented Scintillation Spectrometer Experiment (OSSE) on the COMPTON Observatory was designed to undertake a broad range of high energy astronomical observations. Many of these have been realized during the first three years of the mission. In this paper we present several of the recent results from OSSE. We highlight recent OSSE results on the galactic center region and on transient galactic X-ray sources. In addition, we present OSSE results on the average spectrum of Seyfert galaxies, the search for Ti-44 emission from Cas A, and hard X-ray emission from SN1993j.

Kurfess, J. D.↗
NASA NTRS1995

OSSE observations of 1E 1740.7-2942 in 1992 September

We present data on the galactic X-ray source 1E 1740.7-2942 from the Oriented Scintillation Spectrometer Experiment (OSSE) on board NASA's Compton Gamma Ray Observatory (CGRO). Episodes of increased low-energy gamma radiation have been reported from this source, including 1-day events in 1990 October and 1992 September. These events, of intensity 7 x 10(exp -3) and 4 x 10(exp -3) photons/sq cm/s, respectively, have been interpreted as broadened and redshifted positron annihilation radiation. OSSE conducted observations of the Galactic Center region during a 21-day interval from 1992 September 17 thru 1992 October 8. This includes the time of increased 200-450 keV emission from 1E 1740.7-2942 reported by SIGMA. The OSSE observations do not confirm this event. For the specific outburst recorded by SIGMA, 1992 Sep. 19.42-20.58 (UT), OSSE data provide an upper limit (3 sigma) of 2.4 x 10(exp -3) photons/sq cm/s.

Jung, G. V.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Search for Compton-backscattered annihilation radiation from the galactic center with the OSSE

An emission feature near 170 keV, interpreted as Compton-backscattered 511 keV positron-annihilation radiation, has been reported twice by balloon-borne germanium spectrometers from within approximately 15 deg of the Galactic center (Leventhal, MacCallum, & Stang 1978; Smith et al. 1993). Upper limits on this feature set by HEAO 3 (Mahoney, Ling, & Wheaton 1993) and other instruments indicate that it must be transient. We have searched data from the Oriented Scintillation Spectrometer Experiment (OSSE) on the Compton Gamma Ray Observatory (CGRO) for this feature, using daily spectral accumulations from all pointings near the Galactic center up to 1993 August, and covering most of the region viewed by the balloon instruments. We find no evidence for backscatter emission. Under the hypothesis that the source is 1E 1740.7-2942, the OSSE data set (186 days) disagrees with the balloon measurements with 99.3% confidence. The average daily 3 sigma OSSE upper limit on bakscatter flux from 1E 1740.7-2942 is 6.8 x 10(exp -4) photons/sq cm/s, compared to the 1.3 x 10(exp -3) photons/sq cm reported by the balloon observations. We also saw no evidence in 186 days for linelike emission from the point source EXS 1737.9-2952 recently discovered by Grindlay, Covault, & Manandhar (1993). This source exhibited bright emission from 83-111 keV, which has been interpreted as doubly backscattered 511 keV radiation. The average daily 3 sigma upper limit from OSSE for this line is 9.8 x 10(exp -4) photons/sq cm/s, or approximately 8% of the reported flux.

Smith, D. M.↗
NASA NTRS2017

The OSSE Framework at the NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO)

This abstract summarizes the OSSE framework developed at the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA/GMAO). Some of the OSSE techniques developed at GMAO including simulation of realistic observations, e.g., adding errors to simulated observations, are now widely used by the community to evaluate the impact of new observations on the weather forecasts. This talk presents some of the recent progresses and challenges in simulating realistic observations, radiative transfer modeling support for the GMAO OSSE activities, assimilation of OSSE observations into data assimilation systems, and evaluating the impact of simulated observations on the forecast skills.

Moradi, Isaac↗
NASA NTRS2018

Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs): Relevance to ACE and A-CCP

In this talk we present an overview of Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs) of relevance to the Aerosol-Cloud-Ecosystems (ACE) pre-formulation study and to the Aerosols and Cloud, Convection & Precipitation (A-CCP) Designated Observables recommended by the 2017 Decadal Survey. We start by defining the scope of OSSEs that are applicable to climate and atmospheric composition missions, followed by a theoretical discussion of retrieval error chacterizations. We conclude some examples of retrieval OSSEs and a summary of other OSSE activities of relevance.

Da Silva, Arlindo↗
NASA NTRS2018

Some General and Fundamental Requirements for Designing Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs)

There is an increasing demand to provide OSSE support when seeking funding for new atmospheric observing instruments. Various individuals and groups are running or developing OSSEs with little experience in OSSEs in particular or DA in general. In this presentation we will describe some key issues that are often neglected and some of the poor practices to be avoided. These include issues regarding NR and OSSE validation, consideration of instrument, observation operator, and forecast model error, relationships between observations and synoptic conditions, and conflicts of interest.

Errico, Ronald M.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

The GMAO Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) Framework

We present the current status of the OSSE system at the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA/GMAO). Some of the OSSE techniques developed at GMAO including simulation of realistic observations, e.g., adding errors to simulated observations, are now widely used by the community to evaluate the impact of new observations on the weather forecasts. This talk presents some of the recent progresses and challenges in simulating realistic observations, radiative transfer modeling support for the GMAO OSSE activities, assimilation of OSSE observations into data assimilation systems, and evaluating the impact of simulated observations on the forecast skills.

Isaac Moradi↗
NASA NTRS2014

Introduction to Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs)

This presentation gives a brief overview of Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs), including what OSSEs are, and how and why they are performed. The intent is to educate the audience in light of the OSSE-related sections of the Forecast Improvement Act (H.R. 2413).

GMAO↗
NASA NTRS2014

Development, Validation, and Application of OSSEs at NASA-GMAO

The GMAO OSSE framework has two general classes of applications. One is to estimate the potential improvements to weather forecasting and analysis by using new proposed instruments that are not as yet built or deployed. This exploits the simulated nature of the OSSE. The other is to assess various aspects of the GMAO data assimilation system. This exploits the availability of truth provided by the OSSE. Two examples of the first class of application will be offered. One concerns deployment of constellations of passive MW sounders on small CUBESATs placed in very low orbits. The other concern is increasing the frequency of radiosonde observations to 4-times daily at all current stations. Several examples of the second class will also be presented. One is an estimation of analysis error characteristics. Another is a comparison between covariances directly determined from explicitly known background errors and those estimated by computing differences between lagged forecasts using the NMC-method prior to tuning. A third is a comparison of effects of model and observation errors on analysis and forecast skill. The last is an examination of spectra of forecast errors in a study of predictability. This latter is an ongoing study.

OSSE↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

The OSSE Framework at the NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO)

The Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) has been developing an Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) framework. The OSSE system is currently based on the Nature Run (NR) developed by GMAO called G5NR. The G5NR is currently being tested for use in the GMAO OSSE framework. Synthetic observations have been generated based on the G5NR fields, including conventional observations, GPS, and satellite radiances. These synthetic observations are ingested using the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation data assimilation system, with forecasts performed by the GEOS-5 model at 55 km/72L.

OSSE Framework↗
NASA NTRS2022

Using OSSEs to Evaluate the Impacts of Geostationary Infrared Sounders

An observing system simulation experiment (OSSE) was performed to assess the impact of assimilating hyperspectral infrared (IR) radiances from geostationary orbit on numerical weather prediction, with a focus on the proposed sounder on board the Geostationary Extended Observations (GeoXO) program’s central satellite. Infrared sounders on a geostationary platform would fill several gaps left by IR sounders on polar-orbiting satellites, and the increased temporal resolution would allow the observation of weather phenomena evolution. The framework for this OSSE was the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) OSSE system, which includes a full suite of meteorological observations. The experiment additionally assimilated four identical IR sounders from geostationary orbit to create a “ring” of vertical profiling observations. Based on the experimentation, assimilation of the IR sounders provided a beneficial impact on the analyzed mass and wind fields, particularly in the tropics, and produced an error reduction in the initial 24–48 h of the subsequent forecasts. Specific attention was paid to the impact of the GeoXO Sounder (GXS) over the contiguous United States (CONUS) as this is a region that is well-observed and as such difficult to improve. The forecast sensitivity to observation impact (FSOI) metric, computed across all four synoptic times over the CONUS, reveals that the GXS had the largest impact on the 24-h forecast error of the assimilated hyperspectral infrared satellite radiances as measured using a moist energy error norm. Based on this analysis, the proposed GXS has the potential to improve numerical weather prediction globally and over the CONUS.

OSSE↗