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At least 19 records

Formation of stored heat by means of bled steam during times of load reduction and its use in peak load times

Technical possibilities and economic advantages of integrating hot water storage systems into power plants fired with fossil fuels are discussed. The systems can be charged during times of load reduction and then used for back-up during peak load periods. Investment costs are higher for such systems than for gas turbine power plants fired with natural gas or light oil installed to meet peak load demand. However, by improving specific heat consumption by about 1,000 kcal/k ohm, which thus reduces the related costs, investment costs will be compensated for, so that power production costs will not increase.

Bitterlich, E.

Calibration of urban building energy model using smart meter data for district peak load prediction

Urban building energy modeling (UBEM) is a powerful approach to assessing baseline building energy performance and retrofits with new technologies across building stocks in cities. However, the accuracy of UBEM is often constrained by the limited availability of reliable data about building characteristics and operations, such as envelope efficiency levels, HVAC system performance, and end-use load patterns. Existing research has performed UBEM calibration using annual or monthly energy consumption data, which falls short when higher-resolution time series applications are needed, such as peak load prediction for utility operation planning. This study presents a new framework for calibrating building energy models at urban scale using smart meter data, targeting the accurate prediction of summer peak electricity loads to support robust grid planning. The framework first integrates various data sources to enhance baseline input assumptions for building models, and then calibrates the baseline models through a pattern-matching approach. A case study using CityBES and two years of AMI data from over 9000 residential customers in Portland, Oregon, demonstrated the workflow and its effectiveness. The calibrated models achieved a daily peak load mean absolute percentage error of 2.6 % during the heatwave in the calibration year, and 2.0 % in the validation year using another year of AMI data. Using the calibrated models, we analyzed the demand flexibility potential of the district building stock as an application of UBEM calibration. The findings affirm the appropriate use of UBEM for peak electric load forecasting and demand side management at the utility distribution system level.

AMI data

Molten salt thermal energy storage for utility peaking loads

This paper considers the use of thermal energy storage (TES) in molten salts to increase the capacity of power plants. Five existing fossil and nuclear electric utility plants were selected as representative of current technology. A review of system load diagrams indicated that TES to meet loads over 95% of peak was a reasonable goal. Alternate TES heat exchanger locations were evaluated, showing that the stored energy should be used either for feedwater heating or to generate steam for an auxiliary power cycle. Specific salts for each concept are recommended. Design layouts were prepared for one plant, and it was shown that a TES tube/shell heat exchanger system could provide about 7% peaking capability at lower cost than adding steam generation capacity. Promising alternate heat exchanger concepts were also identified.

Ferrara, A.

Dual Impacts of Space Heating Electrification and Climate Change Increase Uncertainties in Peak Load Behavior and Grid Capacity Requirements in Texas

Around 60% of households in Texas currently rely on electricity for space heating. As decarbonization efforts increase, non‐electrified households could adopt electric heat pumps, significantly increasing peak (highest) electricity demand in winter. Simultaneously, anthropogenic climate change is expected to increase temperatures, the potential for summer heat waves, and associated electricity demand for cooling. Uncertainty regarding the timing and magnitude of these concurrent changes raises questions about how they will jointly affect the seasonality of peak demand, firm capacity requirements, and grid reliability. This study investigates the net effects of residential space heating electrification and climate change on long‐term demand patterns and load shedding potential, using climate change projections, a predictive load model, and a direct current optimal power flow (DCOPF) model of the Texas grid. Results show that full electrification of residential space heating by replacing existing fossil fuel use with higher efficiency heat pumps could significantly improve reliability under hotter futures. Less efficient heat pumps may result in more severe winter peaking events and increased reliability risks. As heating electrification intensifies, system planners will need to balance the potential for greater resource adequacy risk caused by shifts in seasonal peaking behavior alongside the benefits (improved efficiency and reductions in emissions).

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI

0D, 1D, 2D, and 3D simulations of an idealized coaxial impedance-matched Marx generator

We have conducted 0D, 1D, 2D, and 3D simulations of an idealized coaxial impedance-matched Marx generator (IMG) []. The 0D calculations were conducted with a four-element circuit model; the 1D, 2D, and 3D calculations were conducted with highly resolved, fully electromagnetic representations. The IMG consists of 30 stages distributed axially and connected electrically in series. Each stage is powered by two bricks separated by 180° and connected electrically in parallel. Each brick comprises two opposite-polarity capacitors in series with a single switch. The bricks drive an internal impedance-matched coaxial transmission line terminated by a resistive load. The simulations neglect effects due to the switch-triggering circuit, the capacitor-charging circuit, external conducting boundaries, and reactive components of the load. We find dimensionality does not significantly affect the electrical power delivered by the IMG to its load: peak load powers estimated by the 0D, 1D, 2D, and 3D simulations agree to within 1%. The 3D calculations demonstrate that electromagnetic power radiated by the bricks, and axial gaps between stages, reduces the peak load power by less than ∼ 1 % . Each simulation assumes the load impedance is 34% above that at which the load power is maximized. Operating an IMG with such an overmatched load offers several advantages while decreasing the peak load power by only 2%. The 0D, 1D, 2D, and 3D models outlined herein could be adapted to assess computationally competing IMG designs, and conduct a variety of numerical IMG experiments, an IMG is constructed. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS

Comparison of computer codes for calculating dynamic loads in wind turbines

Seven computer codes for analyzing performance and loads in large, horizontal axis wind turbines were used to calculate blade bending moment loads for two operational conditions of the 100 kW Mod-0 wind turbine. Results were compared with test data on the basis of cyclic loads, peak loads, and harmonic contents. Four of the seven codes include rotor-tower interaction and three were limited to rotor analysis. With a few exceptions, all calculated loads were within 25 percent of nominal test data.

Spera, D. A.

Comparison of computer codes for calculating dynamic loads in wind turbines

Seven computer codes for analyzing performance and loads in large, horizontal-axis wind turbines were used to calculate blade bending moment loads for two operational conditions of the 100 kW Mod-O wind turbine. Results are compared with test data on the basis of cyclic loads, peak loads, and harmonic contents. Four of the seven codes include rotor-tower interaction and three are limited to rotor analysis. With a few exceptions, all calculated loads were within 25% of nominal test data.

Spera, D. A.

Interlaminar R-Curve Effects in Thermoplastic Composites: Experiments and Model Correlations

The interlaminar fracture behavior of thermoplastic composites under Mode-I and Mode-II static loading is investigated in this research. The material system under consideration is a carbon fiber reinforced low melt semi-crystalline resin TC1225 LMPAEK T700G (T700/LMPAEK)†. Characterization experiments were conducted to measure the load-displacement response, peak load, and propagation of delamination from a pre-implanted Kapton® insert. The Mode-I response was characterized using a double cantilever beam (DCB) test according to the ASTM D5528-22 standard. It was observed that the propagation exhibited significant resistance to delamination growth, i.e., an R-Curve effect. The test data indicated that the steady-state fracture toughness, G SS I , was approximately twice the mean initiation fracture toughness, G Ic . The Mode-II response of an end notch flexure (ENF) specimen tested according to the ASTM D7905-19 standard exhibited an unexpected stable behavior upon attaining peak load. Prior to attaining peak load, the Mode-II response exhibited some non-linearity, which may be attributed to nonlinear bulk material response, e.g., hyper-elasticity, viscoelasticity, plasticity, etc., and potentially friction at the load/support rollers and R-Curve effects. Finite element models based on the Cohesive Zone Method (CZM) and the Virtual Crack Closure Technique (VCCT) were used to predict the DCB and ENF specimen responses. DCB analysis results obtained using G SS I predicted propagation consistent with experimental data. However, results obtained with the as characterized G Ic were inaccurate in predicting delamination growth onset and peak load. ENF analysis results obtained with the as-characterized Mode-II fracture toughness, G IIc , were inaccurate in predicting the peak load and propagation. Hence, R-Curve effects were included in both DCB and ENF simulations, which enabled improved predictions. The experimentally determined Mode-I R-Curve was used for the DCB simulations, whereas an R-Curve was derived for Mode-II assuming that the change in compliance of the specimen was associated with crack growth only.

Prabhakar M Rao

Interlaminar R-Curve Effects in Thermoplastic Composites: Experiments and Model Correlations

The interlaminar fracture behavior of thermoplastic composites under Mode-I and Mode-II static loading is investigated in this research. The material system under consideration is a carbon fiber reinforced low melt semi-crystalline resin TC1225 LMPAEK T700G (T700/LMPAEK)†. Characterization experiments were conducted to measure the load-displacement response, peak load, and propagation of delamination from a pre-implanted Kapton® insert. The Mode-I response was characterized using a double cantilever beam (DCB) test according to the ASTM D5528-22 standard. It was observed that the propagation exhibited significant resistance to delamination growth, i.e., an R-Curve effect. The test data indicated that the steady-state fracture toughness, G SS I , was approximately twice the mean initiation fracture toughness, G Ic . The Mode-II response of an end notch flexure (ENF) specimen tested according to the ASTM D7905-19 standard exhibited an unexpected stable behavior upon attaining peak load. Prior to attaining peak load, the Mode-II response exhibited some non-linearity, which may be attributed to nonlinear bulk material response, e.g., hyper-elasticity, viscoelasticity, plasticity, etc., and potentially friction at the load/support rollers and R-Curve effects. Finite element models based on the Cohesive Zone Method (CZM) and the Virtual Crack Closure Technique (VCCT) were used to predict the DCB and ENF specimen responses. DCB analysis results obtained using G SS I predicted propagation consistent with experimental data. However, results obtained with the as characterized G Ic were inaccurate in predicting delamination growth onset and peak load. ENF analysis results obtained with the as-characterized Mode-II fracture toughness, G IIc , were inaccurate in predicting the peak load and propagation. Hence, R-Curve effects were included in both DCB and ENF simulations, which enabled improved predictions. The experimentally determined Mode-I R-Curve was used for the DCB simulations, whereas an R-Curve was derived for Mode-II assuming that the change in compliance of the specimen was associated with crack growth only.

Prabhakar Rao

Applications of Power Spectral Analysis Methods to Maneuver Loads Obtained on Jet Fighter Airplanes During Service Operations

Power spectral densities of normal load factor have been obtained for two service operational training flights of a Republic F-84G airplane and three service operational training flights of a North American F-86A airplane in order to indicate the load-factor frequency content and possible uses of power spectral methods in analyzing maneuver load data. It was determined that the maneuvering load-factor time histories appeared to be described by a truncated normal distribution. The power spectral densities obtained were relatively level at frequencies below 0.03 cycle per second and varied inversely with approximately the cube of the frequency at the higher frequencies. In general, the frequency content was very low above 0.2 cycle per second. The load-factor peak distributions were estimated fairly well from the spectrum analysis. In addition, peak load data obtained during service operations of fighter-type airplanes with flight time totaling about 24,000 hours were examined and appeared to agree reasonably well with the type of equations obtained from spectrum peak-load distributions.

Mayer, John P.

Magnetized liner inertial fusion platform development to assess performance scaling with drive parameters

Magnetized liner inertial fusion (MagLIF) experiments have demonstrated fusion-relevant ion temperatures up to 3.1 keV and thermonuclear production of up to 1.1 × 1013 deuterium–deuterium neutrons. This performance was enabled through platform development that provided increases in applied magnetic field, coupled preheat energy, and drive current. Advanced coil designs with internal reinforcement enabled an increase from 10 to 20 T. An improved laser pulse shape, beam smoothing, and thinner laser entrance foils increased preheat energy coupling from less than 1 to 2.3 kJ. A redesign of the final transmission line and load region increased peak load current from 16 to 20 MA. The wider range of input parameters was leveraged to study target performance trends with preheat energy, applied magnetic field, and peak load current. Ion temperature and neutron yield generally followed trends in two-dimensional clean Lasnex calculations. Stagnation performance improved with peak load current when other input parameters were also increased such that convergence was maintained. This dataset suggests that reducing convergence to less than 30 would improve predictability of target performance. Lasnex was used to identify a simulation-optimized scaling path, which suggests 10+ kJ of fusion yield is possible on the Z facility with achievable input parameters. This path also indicates >10 MJ could be generated through volume burn on a future facility with a path to high yield (>200 MJ) using cryogenic dense fuel layers. The newly developed MagLIF platform enables exploration of both this simulation optimized scaling path and a recently developed similarity-scaling path.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

Thermal energy storage heat exchanger: Molten salt heat exchanger design for utility power plants

The use of thermal energy storage (TES) in the latent heat of molten salts as a means of conserving fossil fuels and lowering the cost of electric power was evaluated. Public utility systems provided electric power on demand. This demand is generally maximum during late weekday afternoons, with considerably lower overnight and weekend loads. Typically, the average demand is only 60% to 80% of peak load. As peak load increases, the present practice is to purchase power from other grid facilities or to bring older less efficient fossil-fuel plants on line which increase the cost of electric power. The widespread use of oil-fired boilers, gas turbine and diesel equipment to meet peaking loads depletes our oil-based energy resources. Heat exchangers utilizing molten salts can be used to level the energy consumption curve. The study begins with a demand analysis and the consideration of several existing modern fossil-fuel and nuclear power plants for use as models. Salts are evaluated for thermodynamic, economic, corrosive, and safety characteristics. Heat exchanger concepts are explored and heat exchanger designs are conceived. Finally, the economics of TES conversions in existing plants and new construction is analyzed. The study concluded that TES is feasible in electric power generation. Substantial data are presented for TES design, and reference material for further investigation of techniques is included.

Ferarra, A.

New non-geosynchronous orbits for communications satellites to off-load daily peaks in geostationary traffic

The potential for satellites in two orbits, the sun-synchronous 12-hour equatorial orbit (STET) and the apogee at constant time-of-day equatorial orbit (ACE), to off-load peaks in the CONUS geostationary communications traffic is discussed. These orbits are found to require maneuvers of smaller magnitudes for insertion than geostationary orbits. Advantages of the ACE orbit over the STET orbit are discussed, including larger satellite mass capability for a given launch vehicle, lower slant ranges, and larger angular separation from the geostationary arc for a nonequatorial ground observer.

Turner, A. E.

Economic Storage Size Optimization for Electric Vehicle Extreme-Fast Charging Stations

En-route charging infrastructure for electric vehicles is critical to support transportation needs. These charging stations are likely to have high loads and especially sharp peak loads given fast charging capabilities needed to meet transportation schedules. In order to reduce both strain on distribution grid infrastructure and charging station operational costs, many stations are likely to employ behind the meter storage. This paper demonstrates a behind the meter storage sizing optimization that employs an open-source agent-based vehicle behavior model (BEAM) to determine the best sizing across many scenarios. This optimization and analysis is novel in that it examines how storage size impacts not only charging station cost and peak load, but also vehicle queue times. The optimization is also applied across a wide analysis region with sufficient diversity and numbers to provide novel statistical analysis of optimal sizes.

Aka, Julius

Design and performance assessment of a dual-mode latent thermal storage integrated heat pump across multiple climate zones

The electrification of space cooling and heating systems risks overloading the existing electrical grid during peak hours. Heat pumps integrated with thermal energy storage (HP-TES) offer a promising solution by shifting peak loads to off-peak hours, reducing grid strains. This work presents the design and assessment of a dual-mode HP-TES that uses a single 22°C phase-change material (PCM) as a heat source or sink in heating and cooling modes, respectively. Performance assessment was conducted using Modelica-based transient models, and full-year simulations were conducted across eight US climate zones using typical weather data. Two HP-TES performance metrics: peak energy reduction and recharge energy increases, were defined by comparing HP-TES energy consumption with base HP peak consumptions. Annual heating demand reductions (40–65%) exceeded cooling demand reductions (15–20%) due to the elimination of peak-hour backup heating. Cooling mode recharge energy requirements (0–10%) were reduced in locations with lower summer nighttime temperatures, while heating recharge requirements were lower than the high base-peak energy demand from backup heating. Simplified rapid methods that were 10 7 times faster than annual simulations were developed to predict seasonal cooling and heating energy reductions, and recharge energy requirements, with maximum deviations of ±2.5% and ±3.5% points. These methods enabled rapid parametric studies that identified optimal location-specific PCM temperatures between 22°C and 27°C, highlighting the need to consider both discharge and recharge energy requirements to achieve sustainable, energy-efficient peak load shifting across various climate zones.

25 ENERGY STORAGE

A Momentum-Based Indicator for Predicting the Peak Opening Load of Supersonic Parachutes

In this paper, a new empirical indicator for predicting the peak opening loads of supersonic parachutes is presented. The proposed indicator is proportional to twice the free-stream dynamic pressure and the projected area of the parachute, which is equivalent to estimating the opening load as a percentage of the free-stream momentum flux through the projected area at the moment of peak inflation. The form of this expression is motivated by a classical control volume analysis of the aerodynamic forces acting on a parachute during inflation, under the simplifying assumptions of quasi-static and one-dimensional flow. For parachute geometries and flight conditions typical of Mars Entry, Descent, and Landing systems, the largest contribution to the total drag is shown to be a momentum flux term that is associated with the entrainment of atmosphere within the inflating parachute volume. Using this new method, empirical constants are calculated from existing flight reconstruction data and are shown to have a smaller standard deviation than similar constants determined using the customary indicator form, which is based on the steady-state subsonic drag and proportional to the parachute reference area. These empirical constants are also compared to an analytic estimate, derived from the control volume analysis, and shown to have excellent agreement across a wide range of Mach numbers and dynamic pressures for several parachute geometries. While opening loads estimated using both methods produce similar results at low supersonic Mach numbers typical of past inflations, the proposed method predicts notably larger loads at higher Mach numbers, those above Mach 2.0, due to the omission of any Mach Efficiency Factor. Several current Mars EDL projects have adopted this new indicator.

Way, David W.

Material Variability Effects on Damage Development Within Composite Adhesively Bonded Joints

Use of composite adhesively bonded joints (ABJ) is of critical importance to the adoption of composite materials in the automotive industry, as ABJ enable lower stress concentrations as compared to conventional mechanically fastened joints. ABJ are better suited for joining composite materials as compared to fastened joints because fastened joints require drilling of holes which locally affect composite material structure. Composite materials and adhesives are subject to unavoidable stochastic local material variations which make different failure scenarios possible. An experimentally tested ABJ configuration is simulated using finite element analysis (FEA). Experimentally, under tension, the joints failed by three major failure modes, with peak loads ranging from 13.0-16.1 kips. Progressive failure analysis tools are used to simulate damage development within each material within the joint. The simulation agreed well with the average experimental peak load. Stochastically occurring adhesive porosity and matrix-fiber micro-disbonding were numerically simulated. The simulations revealed a similar trend as observed experimentally: joints which failed at higher peak loads had lower levels of damage within the face-sheets of the composite panels which were adhesively bonded; these joints which failed at higher peak loads also had greater damage in the doubler of the experimentally tested double lap joint configuration.

Richard Larson