Search NASASearch

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “permeability prediction”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 19 records

Permeability Prediction Using Vision Transformers

Accurate permeability predictions remain pivotal for understanding fluid flow in porous media, influencing crucial operations across petroleum engineering, hydrogeology, and related fields. Traditional approaches, while robust, often grapple with the inherent heterogeneity of reservoir rocks. With the advent of deep learning, convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have emerged as potent tools in image-based permeability estimation, capitalizing on micro-CT scans and digital rock imagery. This paper introduces a novel paradigm, employing vision transformers (ViTs)—a recent advancement in computer vision—for this crucial task. ViTs, which segment images into fixed-sized patches and process them through transformer architectures, present a promising alternative to CNNs. We present a methodology for implementing ViTs for permeability prediction, its results on diverse rock samples, and a comparison against conventional CNNs. The prediction results suggest that, with adequate training data, ViTs can match or surpass the predictive accuracy of CNNs, especially in rocks exhibiting significant heterogeneity. This study underscores the potential of ViTs as an innovative tool in permeability prediction, paving the way for further research and integration into mainstream reservoir characterization workflows.

58 GEOSCIENCES

Controlled Enzyme Cargo Loading in Engineered Bacterial Microcompartment Shells

Bacterial microcompartments (BMCs) are nanometer-scale organelles with a protein-based shell that serve to colocalize and encapsulate metabolic enzymes. They may provide a range of benefits to improve pathway catalysis, including substrate channeling and selective permeability. Several groups are working toward using BMC shells as a platform for enhancing engineered metabolic pathways. The microcompartment shell of Haliangium ochraceum (HO) has emerged as a versatile and modular shell system that can be expressed and assembled outside its native host and with non-native cargo. Further, the HO shell has been modified to use the engineered protein conjugation system SpyCatcher–SpyTag for non-native cargo loading. Here, we used a model enzyme, triose phosphate isomerase (Tpi), to study non-native cargo loading into four HO shell variants and begin to understand maximal shell loading levels. We also measured activity of Tpi encapsulated in the HO shell variants and found that activity was determined by the amount of cargo loaded and was not strongly impacted by the predicted permeability of the shell variant to large molecules. All shell variants tested could be used to generate active, Tpi-loaded versions, but the simplest variants assembled most robustly. We propose that the simple variant is the most promising for continued development as a metabolic engineering platform.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

AnisONet: A deep neural operator-based anisotropic permeability upscaler from pore to Darcy scale

Directional permeability variations, which govern directional fluid flow in porous media with anisotropy, are important to accurately predict flow behavior, reactive transport, and fluid–solid interactions for various processes such as enhanced geothermal systems, energy storage devices, and biological systems. However, the intricate architecture of porous media makes it difficult to predict directional permeabilities. In this work, we present a novel machine learning (ML) framework, AnisONet, built upon an integration of a convolutional neural network, Swin transformer, and the deep operator network architecture, designed to predict anisotropic permeability and upscale predictions to larger spatial domains. First, AnisONet was evaluated with three classes of two-dimensional (2D) porous media, including synthetic circular and elliptical grains and natural sandstone grains from micro-computed tomography images. A lattice Boltzmann model (LBM) was used to calculate directional permeabilities at every 10° angle, producing 19 data points per image of porous media. AnisONet is then trained to predict permeability as a function of rotation angle. AnisONet showed strong predictive capability of directional permeability. Second, we tested our model for five upscaling cases with a large image size in the finite-element method (FEM) for 2D Darcy flow with various permeability tensor construction methods. Overall, upscaled permeability tensors in FEM simulations produce a reasonably good match with LBM results, highlighting the importance of selecting appropriate tensor formation strategies for accurate permeability upscaling. AnisONet, as a directional permeability estimator, could be further developed for more complex geometries, with the potential to develop a foundational ML model for various applications in porous media.

42 ENGINEERING

Fault Slip and Fluid Flow: Seismic Source Analysis to Assess Role of Multiple Slip Patches in Fault Permeability

The relationship between fault reactivation, microearthquakes (MEQs), and permeability evolution during fluid injection plays a critical role in energy harvesting and waste disposal. Recent studies have demonstrated the possibility of predicting fault permeability using cumulative seismic moments of MEQs quantitatively. To understand the underlying physical processes, we conduct fault reactivation experiments using Utah FORGE granitoid and analyze acoustic emission (AE) signals generated during stepwise increases in fluid injection pressure. Frequency analysis of thousands of calibrated AE signals reveals that fault reactivation produces multiple AE source patches with millimeter-scale radii—smaller than the sample fault radius. The cumulative area of the reactivated patches covers the fault multiple times over (∼10x–50x area) for each pressure step. These findings provide mechanistic insight that measured permeability enhancement is not driven by a single large slip event, but by the sequential and interacting activation of multiple slip patches that create a continuous flow pathway.

Nurshal, M. E. M. [Pennsylvania State University,

Facilitating Screening of MOFs for Mixed Matrix Membranes Using Machine Learning and the Maxwell Model

Metal organic framework (MOF)-based mixedmatrix membranes (MMMs), which embed MOF particles in polymer matrices, combine the advantages of polymeric and inorganic membranes. Multiple previous studies have used the Maxwell model together with molecular simulations and machine learning (ML) to predict the performance of MOF/polymer MMMs. However, the assumption of rigid MOF frameworks in molecular simulations limited the accuracy of the data used in the predictions, particularly in predicting molecular diffusivities. We developed a novel workflow integrating ML models with consideration of MOF flexibility to predict the permeability and selectivity of 131,722 MMMs for CO 2 /CH 4 , O 2 /N 2 and He/H 2 separations. The full range of achievable MMM performance within the Maxwell model was analyzed, and several promising MOFs were identified using this workflow. This approach offers an efficient tool for screening any polymer and MOF combination in gas separation applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Compressibility and permeability of particulated non-recyclable municipal solid waste

Biofuels from non-recyclable municipal solid waste (NMSW) stand at the forefront of energy sustainability. However, their widespread adoption is hampered by persistent material handling issues stemming from the variability in NMSW material properties. An enhanced understanding of particulated NMSW properties, particularly compressibility and permeability, is essential to address the feedstock handling challenges and optimize the handling equipment. This study measures the compressibility and gas permeability of five streams of NMSW materials (i.e., rigid plastics, cardboard, thin film, paper, and foam) and their mixtures under different stress conditions. The results highlight the significant variability in compressibility and gas permeability among different streams, as well as the impacts of particle sizes. A semi-empirical model capable of predicting the gas permeability of NMSW mixtures is established and validated. Here, the results also highlight that reduced NMSW particle size helps promote consistency in NMSW feedstock’s physical and mechanical properties, which is favored for handling equipment design in waste-to-energy recovery facilities.

09 BIOMASS FUELS

Evaluating the Transport Mechanism for Lignocellulosic Inhibitors in Zymomonas mobilis

The conversion of lignocellulosic biomass to biofuels and bioproducts is limited by small inhibitory molecules generated during the pretreatment process. The diverse compounds within the cell wall hydrolysate including aldehydes, carboxylic acids, phenolics, and alcohols inhibit microbial growth by disrupting microbial membranes. Although Zymomonas mobilis combines high ethanol productivity with hopanoid-rich membranes that confer solvent tolerance, hydrolysate compounds still inhibit microbial growth. One proposed mitigation strategy is to pump these molecules out through active transport processes, reducing direct toxicity. However, if passive permeation rates are high, active transport would create a futile cycle where the exported molecules diffuse back in, creating a net drag on fitness. To investigate this hypothesis, we measure the passive permeation for thirty-three lignocellulose derived compounds using atomistic molecular dynamics simulations with enhanced sampling. Permeability coefficients determined spanned more than eight orders of magnitude driven largely by the balance between hydrophobicity and polarity. Hydrophobic inhibitors such as aromatic acids, aldehydes, and short chain alcohols readily partitioned into the membrane and showed high permeability consistent with rapid passive influx and strong toxicity. Most polar molecules have lower but still appreciable permeation rates, with only the most polar sugars having low permeabilities. By integrating these predictions together with hydrolysate composition information, we find that most of these molecules are so permeable that futile cycles where passive permeation overwhelms efflux is highly likely. These findings provide a predictive framework for strain engineering, highlighting that, for highly permeable inhibitors, reducing extracellular inhibitor concentrations through hydrolysate detoxification, pretreatment optimization, or dilution may be necessary to mitigate futile cycling and improve microbial productivity in industrial biorefineries.

Zymomonas mobilis

Prediction and Analysis of Utah FORGE Injection Activities using a Coupled Thermo-hydro-mechanical and Earthquake (THM+E) Modeling Workflow

A coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical (THM) numerical workflow that is capable of modeling seismic slip is critical for the successful development of enhanced geothermal systems (EGS). By integrating key physical processes, this workflow enables accurate simulation of temperature and pressure diffusions, stress changes, and induced seismicity. As a result, it serves as a vital tool for predicting induced seismicity and optimizing reservoir stimulation strategies. The Utah FORGE (Frontier Observatory for Research in Geothermal Energy) project, located near Milford, Utah, is a U.S. Department of Energy initiative aimed at advancing EGS technology. In April 2024, eight new stimulation stages (Stages 3R-10) were conducted in well 16A (injection well) subsequent to the first series of stimulation (Stages 1-3) performed in April, 2022. To monitor the induced seismicity, geophones were deployed in wells 58-32, 56-32, and 78B-32, while fiber optic cables were also installed in wells 16B, 78-32, and 78B-32 to collect microseismic data and detect frac hits Preliminary analyses of microseismic catalogs and fiber optic data suggest that the stimulated fractures in Stages 3R–6 closely align with that generated during Stage 3, indicating that the new stimulations were likely reactivating the previously stimulated fracture. To better understand the underlying process, a comprehensive modeling approach that can accurately capture thermal, hydrological, mechanical, and seismic responses is essential. In this work, we propose and utilize a coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical and earthquake (THM+E) simulation workflow to numerically investigate the stimulation activities on well 16A. The specific objective is to confirm whether the new stimulation stages (Stages 3R–6) reactivated fractures previously stimulated during Stage 3. For this purpose, we perform THM+E simulations individually for Stages 3, 3R, 4, and 5, incorporating the discrete fracture networks (DFNs) created by the plane-fitting technique based on the microseismic catalogs. The simulation workflow consists of two separate models: a THM model and an earthquake model, coupled in a one-way manner. Detailed descriptions of the workflow are provided in Section 3. Simulation results are presented in terms of injection pressure, permeability evolution, and predicted seismic catalogs, which are then compared with field data for further analyses. This report is structured as follows. In Section 2, we present detailed analyses of the field data and propose the hypothesis that the new stimulation stages (Stages 3R–6) were probably reactivating the previously stimulated fractures in Stage 3. In Section 3, we introduce the coupled THM+E workflow and the problem setup to validate our hypothesis, followed by the simulation results for each stage in Section 4. Meanwhile, discussions are included to analyze the model predictions and their comparison with field data. Lastly, we conclude the report and outline future plans in Section 5.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY

Understanding Fracture Aperture and Permeability Evolution due to Carbonate Mineralization Utilizing 3D Printing

Caprock formations are a crucial part of subsurface-engineered systems. Composed largely of shale, caprocks act as natural barriers that prevent the upward migration of fluids, thereby ensuring the containment of stored substances in subsurface formations. Fractures in these formations are potential leakage pathways for stored fluids. Mineral precipitation reactions in these fractures, particularly calcite, can significantly restrict the fluid permeability, reducing leakage potential. However, predictive capabilities of mineral precipitation in fractures and associated permeability evolution are limited due to a lack of fundamental understanding of such reactions in natural samples, complicated by mineral heterogeneity and the complexity of the fracture structure. In this study, 3D-printed fracture samples are used to understand the impact of carbonate mineralization on fracture aperture and permeability evolution. Samples were printed using a digital light processing (DLP) 3D printer and commercial liquid resin. Calcite precipitation was first tested on printed 2D films before conducting plug flow column experiments aimed to understand fracture permeability changes due to mineral precipitation. Contact angle measurement and Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy on printed 2D films show evidence of a substantial amount of surface energy for calcite nucleation and precipitation. Surface topography analysis of printed fractured surfaces reveals comparable values, highlighting the high replicability of the printed samples. During the column experiments, the permeability reduces exponentially due to a decrease in fracture aperture. Reductions in fracture aperture estimated from effluent concentration and 3D X-ray computed tomography (CT) show comparable results. Moreover, 3D X-ray CT images suggest the impact of local flow velocities on precipitation. The insights gained from this research contribute to a deeper understanding of the permeability evolution due to carbonate mineralization in caprock formations.

3D printing

Coupled Investigation of Fracture Permeability Impact on Reservoir Stress and Seismic Slip Behavior (Final Technical Report)

Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) produce clean energy by circulating fluid through hot rock deep underground and bringing that heat to the surface to generate electricity. For this process to work reliably, fluids must be able to move efficiently through networks of natural or engineered fractures in the rock. Enhancing and maintaining subsurface permeability over time is essential for sustainable energy production. However, fluid injection changes the underground temperature, pressure, rock stress, and chemistry, which can alter permeability and sometimes trigger earthquakes. Predicting these interconnected processes remains a key challenge. To address this, we combined high-temperature laboratory experiments with high-fidelity simulations to better understand how fractures in geothermal reservoirs evolve over time. Our experiments measured how fractures respond to stress, slip, slip rate, and chemical reactions under geothermal conditions. These data were integrated into coupled thermal-hydrological-mechanical-chemical and earthquake (THMC+E) models tailored to the Utah FORGE site. The validated modeling framework improves predictions of reservoir performance and seismic response and helps guide operational decisions. This work reduces technical risk and strengthens the scientific foundation needed to make geothermal energy a reliable and scalable clean energy resource.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY

Differentiable multiphase flow model for physics-informed machine learning in reservoir pressure management

Accurate subsurface reservoir pressure control is extremely challenging due to geological heterogeneity and multiphase fluid-flow dynamics. Predicting behavior in this setting relies on high-fidelity physics-based simulations that are computationally expensive. Yet, the uncertain, heterogeneous properties that control these flows make it necessary to perform many of these expensive simulations, which is often prohibitive. To address these challenges, we introduce a physics-informed machine learning workflow that couples a fully differentiable multiphase flow simulator, which is implemented in the DPFEHM framework with a convolutional neural network (CNN). The CNN learns to predict fluid extraction rates from heterogeneous permeability fields to enforce pressure limits at critical reservoir locations. By incorporating transient multiphase flow physics into the training process, our method enables more practical and accurate predictions for realistic injection-extraction scenarios compared to previous works. To speed up training, we pretrain the model on single-phase, steady-state simulations and then finetune it on full multiphase scenarios, which dramatically reduces the computational cost. We demonstrate that high-accuracy training can be achieved with fewer than three thousand full-physics multiphase flow simulations – compared to previous estimates requiring up to ten million. This drastic reduction in the number of simulations is achieved by leveraging transfer learning from much less expensive single phase simulations.

25 ENERGY STORAGE

Diagenesis is key to unlocking outcrop fracture data suitable for quantitative extrapolation to geothermal targets

Exceptionally large, well-exposed sandstone outcrops in New York provide insights into folds, deformation bands, and fractures that could influence permeability, heat exchange, and stimulation outcomes of geothermal reservoir targets. Cambrian Potsdam Sandstone with <5% porosity contains decimeter-scale open, angular-limbed monoclines <0.5 km apart with associated low-porosity mm-wide cataclastic deformation bands. Crossing and abutting relationships among sub-vertical opening-mode fractures show four chronological Sets A–D, striking NNW, NE, NW, and ENE, respectively. Fracture lengths and heights range from millimeters to tens of meters. Sets A and C macro-fractures, and possibly B and D, contain quartz deposits. All sets have abundant associated quartz cemented microfractures that also record set orientations and crosscutting relations. Quartz cement deposits—evidence of diagenesis—are the key to identifying attributes of outcrop fractures suitable for extrapolation to geothermal targets in sandstones because they show which fractures formed in the subsurface. Set A fluid inclusion homogenization temperatures (120°C–129°C) are compatible with fracture at >3 km depth. Fractures are stiff and those ≥0.05 mm (Set C) and ≥0.1 mm (Set A) are open and potentially conducive to flow. Sets A and D are abundant in outcrops with close fracture spacing—0.18 m and 0.68 m, respectively—and define a rectangular connectivity network dominated by crossing and abutting X and Y nodes. Set A aperture distributions follow a power law with slope –0.8 up to 0.15 mm; other sets have lognormal distributions. Set A and D microfractures are weakly clustered, while macro-fractures commonly have 1D anticlustered (regular or periodic) arrangements at shorter length scales (<0.2 m). Sub-horizontal fractures are barren and may have formed near the surface. Fracture heights, lengths, and spatial arrangements show good trace connectivity but low open connectivity. For geothermal applications, outcrop results predict low initial well-test permeabilities owing to quartz disconnecting open fractures, but stimulation of closely spaced microfractures and partly open macro-fractures could yield high surface area for heat exchange. Quantitative extrapolation of key fracture attributes like abundance, orientation, spatial arrangement, length, and open fracture connectivity is possible from outcrops to fractured reservoirs if differing thermal histories and diagenesis are accounted for.

02 PETROLEUM

Oil in Alaska North Slope Gas Hydrate Reservoir: Micro-CT and Flow Simulation Insights into Permeability

Gas hydrate-bearing sands on the Alaska North Slope (ANS) host minor volumes of crude oil whose impact on formation permeability has never been quantified relative to a gas hydrate reservoir system. Here, we combine in situ pressure-core microcomputed-tomography (μ-CT), thermogravimetric analysis (TGA), gas-chromatography–mass-spectrometry (GC–MS), scanning-electron microscopy coupled with energy-dispersive spectroscopy (SEM-EDS), and Stokes-flow simulation to (i) quantify oil saturation, (ii) infer its source, and (iii) evaluate its influence on permeability after gas-hydrate dissociation. μ-CT and SEM-EDS imaging identify the host sediment as silty, with some grain-coating clay present. Eight representative 3003-voxel subvolumes extracted from a preserved pressure core (Core 15P-3c, from the B1 sand (unit B), HYDRATE 02 Geo Data Well (GDW), 886.96–887.29 m measured depth, MD) exhibit porosities of 0.34–0.37 and an average oil saturation of 0.09 ± 0.03, in comparison to an independent TGA-based estimate of 0.16. GC-MS fingerprints obtained from an adjacent depressurized core (Core 17P-1, 891.37–891.44 m MD), together with oil pore habit revealed by μ-CT, suggest that the oil is partly native but also includes contributions from mineral oil-based drilling fluid contamination. Further analysis of oil–porewater interactions and flushing tests confirms that native oil saturation in the analyzed samples ranges from 0.04 to 0.08 with an average of approximately 0.06, and the oil is highly immobile. Flow simulations demonstrate that the native oil saturation of ≈0.06 reduces permeability by approximately 50% due to both pore blockage and increased flow-path tortuosity. These findings reveal the potential presence of native oil within the ANS gas hydrate reservoir and suggest that future simulation models may need to account for its impact on permeability to improve long-term performance predictions of gas and water production.

02 PETROLEUM

Nanorod Pair Complexes Manipulated via Magnetic Casimir Forces

Here, we demonstrate a route to modulate Casmir–Lifshitz interactions between anisotropic nanoparticles and magnetic fluids. By semiclassical quantum electrodynamics, we study ground state dispersion forces for cylindrical dielectric nanorods made of polystyrene (PS) and zinc oxide (ZnO) embedded in toluene-based host media with gold-coated magnetite nanoparticles and also predict magnetic contributions to the fully retarded excited state interaction. The variation in magnetic permeability enables tuning between repulsive and attractive interactions, and measurable magnetic Casimir traps are predicted between a pair of ZnO–PS nanoparticles whose equilibrium position can be modulated over an order of magnitude with a small variation in the size of the magnetite nanoparticle. This provides an alternative magnetic Casimir-effect pathway to reversibly tune quantum electromagnetic forces at the nanoscale for the assembly and enhancement of colloidal stability.

Excited-state interaction

Hot Springs and Geysers: Exploring Historical and Modern Impacts of Geothermal Energy Production on Associated Natural Surface Systems and Standardizing Management Practices

Surface thermal features, most notably hot springs and geysers are increasingly being recognized for their importance to ecosystems, indigenous cultures, and in some cases agriculture, recreation, and tourism. Geothermal project development poses a potential risk to these natural features but current regulatory requirements for assessing and managing these risks during exploration, permitting and monitoring are somewhat inconsistent and unpredictable across different geothermal fields. This has resulted in uncertainty and increases in exploration risk for geothermal energy developers that have led to costly project delays, cancellations, or hesitation to commit. Varying regulatory requirements may also influence public perception, fostering confusion, distrust and ultimately opposition to geothermal projects, further contributing to project delays or cancellations. At a time when there is an increasing urgency for reliable baseload clean energy, geothermal is a net-zero, renewable solution that additionally provides access to more equitable and environmentally just clean power. Continued integration of geothermal energy into the national energy roadmap can be facilitated through consistent and predictable permitting, providing regulators the framework they need, developers a clear path forward, and transparency that the public deserves. This project, currently in its beginning phases, seeks to address this important issue by providing a technical basis from which to build a preliminary protocol for assessing and managing potential impacts from new or existing geothermal energy projects to surface thermal features and their associated ecosystems. Development of this preliminary protocol will be informed by (1) a literature review of well-documented case studies in the western U.S. and New Zealand to understand the range of conditions that exemplify geothermal-surface thermal systems; (2) development of generic illustrative conceptual-numerical models to quantify, understand, and predict the first-order controls (e.g., pressure and permeability) on surface flows; and (3) additional independent and scientifically rigorous evaluations of geothermal-surface thermal system case studies from the Basin and Range Province that incorporate publicly available data as well as data provided by industry through data-sharing agreements. Learning from the successes of the process used to develop the Induced Seismicity Management Protocol (ISMP), we ultimately aim to use these initial efforts as a springboard for establishing a surface thermal feature management working group that will work collaboratively to finalize the protocol as well as co-create recommended best practices for implementation. We envision that the working group will primarily be composed of representatives from regulatory entities, government agencies, Tribes, academia, national laboratories, and industry, and will include early and regular engagement with community organizations and environmental groups. This will help ensure broad acceptance and implementation of the protocol, which will facilitate a more consistent, predictable, and standardized regulatory process, and help to ensure that geothermal energy continues to provide a reliable source of clean energy, and a pathway to achieving greater energy equity in the U.S.

Best Practices

Thermal loading effects on chalk hydromechanical behavior for nuclear waste disposal

Safe disposal of heat-generating nuclear waste depends on host rock stability under thermal, hydrological, and mechanical stresses. This study investigates the effect of thermal loading on mechanical behavior of the shallowly buried Ghareb formation chalk through triaxial and hydrostatic constant strain rate and creep tests at temperatures up to 100 ˚C and effective pressures up to 20.7 MPa. Experimental results show that thermal loading reduces the elastic moduli of chalk by 50–75%, and a transition occurs above 60 ˚C where creep rates increase rapidly. Water saturation nearly doubles the thermally induced strain compared to dry conditions and strongly decreases material rigidity. Thermal loading also leads to significant pore pressure increases under undrained conditions and leads to reductions in the apparent permeability during drained conditions. Laboratory experimental data were used to parameterize and develop a preliminary constitutive model for predicting future deformation during repository operations in the Ghareb. The strongly coupled effects – mechanical weakening, fluid pressure fluctuations, and permeability modification – demonstrate that elevated repository temperatures will have a pronounced effect on the near field Ghareb behavior during waste disposal operations. The findings indicate that the coupled interactions must be considered in predictive models and repository design to ensure long-term nuclear waste isolation and safety.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W