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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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DOE OSTI2022

Machine learning for postprocessing ensemble streamflow forecasts

Skillful streamflow forecasts can inform decisions in various areas of water policy and management. We integrate numerical weather prediction ensembles, distributed hydrological model, and machine learning to generate ensemble streamflow forecasts at medium-range lead times (1–7 days). We demonstrate the application of machine learning as postprocessor for improving the quality of ensemble streamflow forecasts. Our results show that the machine learning postprocessor can improve streamflow forecasts relative to low-complexity forecasts (e.g., climatological and temporal persistence) as well as standalone hydrometeorological modeling and neural network. The relative gain in forecast skill from postprocessor is generally higher at medium-range timescales compared to shorter lead times; high flows compared to low–moderate flows, and the warm season compared to the cool ones. Overall, our results highlight the benefits of machine learning in many aspects for improving both the skill and reliability of streamflow forecasts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Numerical minimization of neoclassical poloidal viscosity for supersonic equilibria in tokamak geometry

Extensive experimental evidence has shown that the presence of poloidal flow in tokamaks can dramatically improve transport properties. However, theory indicates that poloidal flows are damped by poloidal viscosity, thus necessitating external drivers, such as neutral beam injection or radio frequency heating. In this work, ideal magnetohydrodynamic equilibria are calculated via the FORTRAN code FLOW [Guazzotto et al., Phys. Plasmas 11, 604 (2004)] and a postprocessor is used to estimate the neoclassical poloidal viscosity. The equilibrium inputs, which correspond to intuitive physical quantities, are then numerically optimized to reduce a viscosity figure of merit. We present supersonic equilibria in tokamak geometry with minimized neoclassical poloidal viscosities for various velocity free function inputs, plasma aspect ratios, and collisionality regimes. Benchmarks are made against an analytic theory as well as a classical expression of poloidal viscosity. Numerical confirmation of the analytic theory is obtained in the high aspect ratio and high collisionality limit. Good agreement is also seen near the plasma core and edge, with discrepancies arising in the intermediate region. Outside of these limits, rotation input function profiles are found that provide ∼order of magnitude improvements over the analytic theory, with additional progress being made toward predictions for tokamak-relevant equilibria.

Physics↗

DOE OSTI2025

Interpreting scattered neutron spectra on omega cryogenic implosions with measured backgrounds and higher-order scattering

Measurements of the areal density (⁠ρR⁠) of inertially confined implosions are critical to evaluate their performance. On OMEGA, ρR is inferred from measurements of the scattered neutron spectrum via neutron-time-of-flight (nTOF) and magnetic recoil spectrometer detectors. The nTOF measurements, in particular, have the ability to measure a wide range of neutron energies and thus scattering angles, with high precision. However, the neutrons that are backscattered into the detector must transit through the entire dense fuel assembly, and as a result are subject to rescattering effects, which have been heretofore neglected in the interpretation of OMEGA neutron spectra. At the backscatter edge, neglecting rescattering on OMEGA can lead to a ~10 to 20% reduction of the apparent areal density and therefore must be included in the analysis. The low ρR s on OMEGA also mean that backgrounds from non-target physics effects, such as scattering in the target chamber or slow scintillator decays, can significantly alter the measured signal. Here, we discuss how the Monte Carlo neutron spectrum postprocessor IRIS is used to include second-order scattering effects in the interpretation of the scattered neutron spectrum in OMEGA implosion experiments, and how dedicated implosion experiments are used to measure nTOF backgrounds in order to infer backscattered areal densities on OMEGA.

Deuterium↗

DOE OSTI2024

NSTXU Diagnostic Disruption Dynamic Loading Represented by Response Spectra

This article presents the results of transient dynamic simulations of loads due to disruption eddy currents on the NSTXU vacuum vessel. Dynamic loading at diagnostic mounting locations is expressed as response spectra derived from the time history results of the dynamic structural simulations of a variety of disruption scenarios. The disruption simulations draw on a history of the project assessments of worst case disruptions for specific components. Major efforts to assess disruption loading have included the vacuum vessel which is the major structural support for the machine, as well as the passive plates (PPs), high harmonic fast wave (HHFW) antenna, and centerstack casing. Each one of these efforts included transient electromagnetic simulations producing time-dependent eddy current Lorentz loads (and in some cases halo loads) which then were applied to time-dependent structural dynamic analyses intended to obtain the proper dynamic amplification factors. In some instances, the EM model and structural model were identical allowing direct transfer of EM forces to the structural model. In other cases, the EM and structural model were not identical and the vector potential (VP) transfer method was used. The results files from these analyses were available (or re-run) to post process in ANSYS Classic time history postprocessor. In conclusion, the ANSYS command is used to create response spectra from time history data at desired points on the vessel.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

The Functor system: a new on-the-fly take on Material Properties based on C++ functions

In the context of solving multiphysics problems, the discretization of the partial differential equations (PDE) at hand often takes the spotlight. However, for most engineering users and even application developers, the discretization of the equations has already been performed. Instead, they are tasked with implementing specific closure relations and material properties. MOOSE has long enabled this using the Materials system. This system relied on the pre-computation of all properties before they are used in the PDE or in postprocessing. In this talk we will introduce the Functor system, which was deployed in MOOSE in 2021, then present a few applications of functors in flow modeling simulations by the NEAMS program. Functors first offer great flexibility in their evaluation. Rather than storing various arrays for material properties, they are evaluated on the fly at the location and state, e.g. current or old value, requested. Unlike regular material properties, several operations such as the time derivative, the divergence and the curl can be requested from a functor. Similar to material properties, functors can be made to depend on arbitrary combinations of variables, functions, postprocessors and other properties. However, unlike material properties, any of these can be substituted for a functor material property. Thanks to this, objects no longer need to be duplicated based on the types of their parameters.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗