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Quantum computing for finance

Quantum computers are expected to surpass the computational capabilities of classical computers and have a transformative impact on numerous industry sectors. Here, we present a comprehensive summary of the state of the art of quantum computing for financial applications, with particular emphasis on stochastic modelling, optimization and machine learning. This Review is aimed at physicists, so it outlines the classical techniques used by the financial industry and discusses the potential advantages and limitations of quantum techniques. Finally, we look at the challenges that physicists could help tackle. Quantum computers are expected to surpass classical computers and transform industries. This Review focuses on quantum computing for financial applications and provides a summary for physicists on potential advantages and limitations of quantum techniques, as well as challenges that physicists could help tackle.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Classical versus quantum models in machine learning: insights from a finance application

Although several models have been proposed towards assisting machine learning (ML) tasks with quantum computers, a direct comparison of the expressive power and efficiency of classical versus quantum models for datasets originating from real-world applications is one of the key milestones towards a quantum ready era. Here, we take a first step towards addressing this challenge by performing a comparison of the widely used classical ML models known as restricted Boltzmann machines (RBMs), against a recently proposed quantum model, now known as quantum circuit Born machines (QCBMs). Both models address the same hard tasks in unsupervised generative modeling, with QCBMs exploiting the probabilistic nature of quantum mechanics and a candidate for near-term quantum computers, as experimentally demonstrated in three different quantum hardware architectures to date. To address the question of the performance of the quantum model on real-world classical data sets, we construct scenarios from a probabilistic version out of the well-known portfolio optimization problem in finance, by using time-series pricing data from asset subsets of the S&P500 stock market index. It is remarkable to find that, under the same number of resources in terms of parameters for both classical and quantum models, the quantum models seem to have superior performance on typical instances when compared with the canonical training of the RBMs. Our simulations are grounded on a hardware efficient realization of the QCBMs on ion-trap quantum computers, by using their native gate sets, and therefore readily implementable in near-term quantum devices.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Classical optimization with imaginary-time block encoding on quantum computers: The MaxCut problem

Optimization problems in finance, physics, and computer science are typically very hard to tackle in classical computing; quantum computing could help speed up computations and provide efficient methods for tackling large problems. Typically, to treat a problem with a quantum computer, the optimal solution is cast as the ground state of a diagonal Hamiltonian. Here, we develop a method, called imaginary-time evolution block encoding (ITE-BE), based on a recent imaginary-time algorithm, which requires no variational parameter optimization, as all parameters can be derived analytically from the target Hamiltonian. We also demonstrate that our method can be successfully combined with other quantum algorithms such as the quantum approximate optimization algorithm (QAOA). For illustration, here we study the MaxCut problem. We find that the QAOA ansatz increases the postselection success of ITE-BE, and shallow QAOA circuits, when boosted with ITE-BE, achieve better performance than deeper QAOA circuits. For the special case of the transverse initial state, we adapt our block-encoding scheme to allow for a deterministic application of the first layer of the circuit.

Zhong, Dawei [University of Southern California, L↗

TQEA: Temporal Quantum Error Analysis

For the last few years quantum computers have captured researchers’ interest in solving complicated problems in finance, chemistry, machine learning, and many other NP problems. Quantum computing benefits from parallel computation, entanglement, and calculation speedup compared to classical computing. Even though the operations and number of qubits in quantum computers are limited, previous research showed that using quantum computers can be beneficial. These benefits gained researchers’ interest to work on the improvement of quantum computers and overcome the limitations by building more advanced quantum computers with fault tolerance capability, more physical qubits, and better operational gates. In practice, Quantum applications would be translated into Quantum Circuits and each circuit can contain one or many entanglements (s), single qubits operations, and readouts. The importance of running Quantum applications with controlled errors or without errors is critical to the desired result from Quantum readout. In this paper, we study the characteristics of superconducting quantum machines along with the previously proposed methods of Quantum error detection/correction and in order to build a better error model we propose a temporal method for analyzing the the behavior of qubits errors (T1 and T2), frequency of operation, entanglement errors, and readout errors. In order to detect and predict the behavior of each machine, we use simple exponential smoothing analysis on heuristic calibration data. Finally, based on observation, we show that based on frequency, qubits, readout and single operation errors we can build a temporal based model to study and predict the outcome of runs on each Quantum machine.

Baheri, Betis↗

Parallel hybrid quantum-classical machine learning for kernelized time-series classification

Supervised time-series classification garners widespread interest because of its applicability throughout a broad application domain including finance, astronomy, biosensors, and many others. Here, in this work, we tackle this problem with hybrid quantum-classical machine learning, deducing pairwise temporal relationships between time-series instances using a timeseries Hamiltonian kernel (TSHK). A TSHK is constructed with a sum of inner products generated by quantum states evolved using a parameterized time evolution operator. This sum is then optimally weighted using techniques derived from multiple kernel learning. Because we treat the kernel weighting step as a differentiable convex optimization problem, our method can be regarded as an end-to-end learnable hybrid quantum-classical-convex neural network, or QCC-net, whose output is a data set-generalized kernel function suitable for use in any kernelized machine learning technique such as the support vector machine (SVM). Using our TSHK as input to a SVM, we classify univariate and multivariate time-series using quantum circuit simulators and demonstrate the efficient parallel deployment of the algorithm to 127-qubit superconducting quantum processors using quantum multi-programming.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Quantum Computing Market Report

The quantum computing market is entering a rapid growth phase. Growth was originally driven by private investment interest in high value applications such as drug discovery, materials science, and finance. Currently the main market drivers include technical advances, continued private investment, and rising public funding. The quantum computing market is poised for explosive growth — with its market size estimated at $1.42 billion USD in 2024, and an expected compound annual growth rate of 20.5% from 2025 to 2030 [4]. Superconducting qubits are the largest qubit type by revenue. However, alternative approaches such as trapped ion, neutral atom, spin based, and photonic qubits are also attracting investment.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Introduction to the Special Issue on Software Tools for Quantum Computing: Part 1

Quantum computing is emerging as a remarkable technology that offers the possibility of achieving major scientific breakthroughs in many areas. Here, by leveraging the unique features of quantum mechanics, quantum computers may be instrumental in advancing many areas, including science, energy, defense, medicine, and finance. This includes solving complex problems whose solution lies well beyond the capacity of contemporary and even future supercomputers that are based on conventional computing technologies. As a foundation for future generations of computing and information processing, quantum computing represents an exciting area for developing new ideas in computer science and computational engineering.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Introduction to the Special Issue on Software Tools for Quantum Computing: Part 2

Quantum computing is emerging as a remarkable technology that offers the possibility of achieving major scientific breakthroughs in many areas. By leveraging the unique features of quantum mechanics, quantum computers may be instrumental in advancing many areas, including science, energy, defense, medicine, and finance. This includes solving complex problems whose solution lies well beyond the capacity of contemporary and even future supercomputers that are based on conventional computing technologies. As a foundation for future generations of computing and information processing, quantum computing represents an exciting area for developing new ideas in computer science and computational engineering.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Quantum Optimization: Potential, Challenges, and the Path Forward

Recent advances in quantum computers are demonstrating the ability to solve problems at a scale beyond brute force classical simulation. As such, a widespread interest in quantum algorithms has developed in many areas, with optimization being one of the most pronounced domains. Across computer science and physics, there are a number of algorithmic approaches, often with little linkage. This is further complicated by the fragmented nature of the field of mathematical optimization, where major classes of optimization problems, such as combinatorial optimization, convex optimization, non-convex optimization, and stochastic extensions, have devoted communities. With these aspects in mind, this work draws on multiple approaches to study quantum optimization. Provably exact versus heuristic settings are first explained using computational complexity theory — highlighting where quantum advantage is possible in each context. Then, the core building blocks for quantum optimization algorithms are outlined to subsequently define prominent problem classes and identify key open questions that, if answered, will advance the field. The effects of scaling relevant problems on noisy quantum devices are also outlined in detail, alongside meaningful benchmarking problems. We underscore the importance of benchmarking by proposing clear metrics to conduct appropriate comparisons with classical optimization techniques. Lastly, we highlight two domains – finance and sustainability – as rich sources of optimization problems that could be used to benchmark, and eventually validate, the potential real-world impact of quantum optimization.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Continuous-variable quantum Boltzmann machine

Here, we propose a continuous-variable quantum Boltzmann machine (CVQBM) using a powerful energy-based neural network. It can be realized experimentally on a continuous-variable (CV) photonic quantum computer. We used a CV quantum imaginary time evolution (QITE) algorithm to prepare the essential thermal state and then designed the CVQBM to proficiently generate continuous probability distributions. We applied our method to both classical and quantum data. Using real-world classical data, such as synthetic-aperture radar (SAR) images, we generated probability distributions. For quantum data, we used the output of CV quantum circuits. We obtained high fidelity and low Kullback–Leibler (KL) divergence showing that our CVQBM learns distributions from given data well and generates data sampling from that distribution efficiently. We also discussed the experimental feasibility of our proposed CVQBM. Our method can be applied to a wide range of real-world problems by choosing an appropriate target distribution (corresponding to, e.g., SAR images, medical images, and risk management in finance). Moreover, our CVQBM is versatile and could be programmed to perform tasks beyond generation, such as anomaly detection.

SAR images↗