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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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Learning planar Ising models

Inference and learning of graphical models are both well-studied problems in statistics and machine learning that have found many applications in science and engineering. However, exact inference is intractable in general graphical models, which suggests the problem of seeking the best approximation to a collection of random variables within some tractable family of graphical models. In this paper, we focus on the class of planar Ising models, for which exact inference is tractable using techniques of statistical physics. Based on these techniques and recent methods for planarity testing and planar embedding, we propose a greedy algorithm for learning the best planar Ising model to approximate an arbitrary collection of binary random variables (possibly from sample data). Given the set of all pairwise correlations among variables, we select a planar graph and optimal planar Ising model defined on this graph to best approximate that set of correlations. Finally, we demonstrate our method in simulations and for two applications: modeling senate voting records and identifying geo-chemical depth trends from Mars rover data.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Simulated laser-induced breakdown spectra of graphite and synthetic shergottite glass under Martian conditions

We report the results of a simulation of the laser-induced breakdown spectra of graphite and synthetic shergottite glass in an atmosphere similar to that of Mars using a 1-D, Lagrangian hydrodynamic model, a spherical geometry description of the laser ablation and plume expansion and a local thermodynamic equilibrium (LTE) approach for the emission spectra. We compare the LIBS spectra of two calibration targets on board of the Curiosity rover to the simulated ones calculated under nominally the same conditions as those encountered on Mars. The simulations provide an additional way, to laboratory based comparative studies, to better understand the effects of laser parameters and atmospheric pressures. We report on the effect of laser irradiance and ambient pressure on the electron and ion temperature, electron number density, and fluid velocity parameters characterizing the plasma. Lastly, we show the effects of laser irradiance and ambient pressure on the simulated emission spectra of graphite and shergottite and compare them to those acquired by ChemCam. The agreement between the two is good, particularly for the prominent emission lines.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Early Lab scientists had questions, Plastic Man gave them answers

He was a willing subject in countless scientific experiments, a superstar of health physics, as well as a favorite photo prop -- and not just around Halloween time. He was Plastic Man. Beginning in the mid-1950s, the Lab (then called Los Alamos Scientific Laboratory) often relied on several life-sized synthetic test subjects to avoid experimenting on people. In the early days of the Laboratory, not much was known about how different radioisotopes interacted with the human body and how much it absorbed from different radiation sources. Answering queries like these is where Plastic Man came in. For example, during the 1950s and 1960s, the Lab was tasked with developing nuclear rockets for space exploration under the Rover Program. One of the concerns was how astronauts might be affected when exposed to radiation from these rocket engines. So, the Lab’s health group set up an experiment in which Plastic Man was placed in close proximity to an experimental Rover nuclear rocket engine. Running experiments like this using Plastic Man kept humans safer. How life-like was he? There were actually two variations of Plastic Man. Both had hard plastic exteriors, but one of the models encased a real human skeleton. They also had movable joints and simulated organs, such as a liver, a spleen, kidneys, lungs and a thyroid. Although Plastic Man in its entirety was used in experiments, much of the data collected were from research conducted inside on these replicated organs. In time, technology advanced and Plastic Man was able to retire from the Lab. He found a new home in 1964 as a display at the Laboratory’s science museum, and is sometimes displayed today in the Bradbury Science Museum in downtown Los Alamos.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

Simulating evaporative wet and dry cycles in Gale crater, Mars using thermochemical modeling techniques

The aim of this work is to provide a model‐backed hypothesis for the formation of evaporites—sulfates, borates—in Gale crater using thermochemical modeling to determine constraints on their formation. We test the hypothesis that primary evaporites required multiple wet–dry cycles to form, akin to how evaporite assemblages form on Earth. Starting with a basalt‐equilibrated Mars fluid, Mars‐relevant concentrations of B and Li were added, and then equilibrated with Gale lacustrine bedrock. We simulated the cycles of evaporation followed by groundwater recharge/dilution to establish an approximate minimum number of wet–dry cycles required to form primary evaporites. We determine that a minimum of 250 wet–dry cycles may be required to start forming primary evaporites that consist of borates and Ca‐sulfates. We estimate that ~14,250 annual cycles (~25.6 k Earth years) of wet and dry periods may form primary borates and Ca‐sulfates in Gale crater. These primary evaporites could have been remobilized during secondary diagenesis to form the veins that the Curiosity rover observes in Gale crater. No Li salts form after 14,250 cycles modeled for the Gale‐relevant scenario (approximately 10 6 cycles would be needed) which implies Li may be leftover in a groundwater brine after the time of the lake. No major deposits of borates are observed to date in Gale crater which also implies that B may be leftover in the subsequent groundwater brine that formed after evaporites were remobilized into Ca‐sulfate veins.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The Widom line and dynamical crossover in supercritical water: Popular water models versus experiments

In a previous study [Gallo et al., Nat. Commun. 5, 5806 (2014)], we have shown an important connection between thermodynamic and dynamical properties of water in the supercritical region. In particular, by analyzing the experimental viscosity and the diffusion coefficient obtained in simulations performed using the TIP4P/2005 model, we have found that the line of response function maxima in the one phase region, the Widom line, is connected to a crossover from a liquid-like to a gas-like behavior of the transport coefficients. This is in agreement with recent experiments concerning the dynamics of supercritical simple fluids. We here show how different popular water models (TIP4P/2005, TIP4P, SPC/E, TIP5P, and TIP3P) perform in reproducing thermodynamic and dynamic experimental properties in the supercritical region. In particular, the comparison with experiments shows that all the analyzed models are able to qualitatively predict the dynamical crossover from a liquid-like to a gas-like behavior upon crossing the Widom line. Some of the models perform better in reproducing the pressure-temperature slope of the Widom line of supercritical water once a rigid shift of the phase diagram is applied to bring the critical points to coincide with the experimental ones.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Convective Vortices and Dust Devils Detected and Characterized by Mars 2020

Abstract We characterize vortex and dust devils (DDs) at Jezero from pressure and winds obtained with the Mars Environmental Dynamics Analyzer (MEDA) instrument on Mars 2020 over 415 Martian days (sols) ( Ls = 6°–213°). Vortices are abundant (4.9 per sol with pressure drops >0.5 Pa correcting from gaps in coverage) and they peak at noon. At least one in every five vortices carries dust, and 75% of all vortices with Δ p > 2.0 Pa are dusty. Seasonal variability was small but DDs were abundant during a dust storm ( Ls = 152°–156°). Vortices are more frequent and intense over terrains with lower thermal inertia favoring high daytime surface‐to‐air temperature gradients. We fit measurements of winds and pressure during DD encounters to models of vortices. We obtain vortex diameters that range from 5 to 135 m with a mean of 20 m, and from the frequency of close encounters we estimate a DD activity of 2.0–3.0 DDs km −2 sol −1 . A comparison of MEDA observations with a Large Eddy Simulation of Jezero at Ls = 45° produces a similar result. Three 100‐m size DDs passed within 30 m of the rover from what we estimate that the activity of DDs with diameters >100 m is 0.1 DDs km −2 sol −1 , implying that dust lifting is dominated by the largest vortices in Jezero. At least one vortex had a central pressure drop of 9.0 Pa and internal winds of 25 ms −1 . The MEDA wind sensors were partially damaged during two DD encounters whose characteristics we elaborate in detail.

Hueso, R.↗

Measurements of sound propagation in Mars' lower atmosphere

Acoustics has become extraterrestrial and Mars provides a new natural laboratory for testing sound propagation models compared to those ones on Earth. Owing to the unique combination of a microphone and two sound sources, the Ingenuity helicopter and the SuperCam laser-induced sparks, the Mars 2020 Perseverance rover payload enables the in situ characterization of unique sound propagation properties of the low-pressure CO 2 -dominated Mars atmosphere. In this study, we show that atmospheric turbulence is responsible for a large variability in the sound amplitudes from laser-induced sparks. This variability follows the diurnal pattern of turbulence. In addition, acoustic measurements acquired over one Martian year reveal a variation of the sound intensity by a factor of 1.8 from a constant source due to the seasonal cycle of pressure and temperature that significantly modifies the acoustic impedance and shock-wave formation. Finally, we show that the evolution of the Ingenuity tones and laser spark amplitudes with distance is consistent with one of the existing sound absorption models, which is a key parameter for numerical simulations applied to geophysical experiments on CO 2 -rich atmospheres. Overall, these results demonstrate the potential of sound propagation to interrogate the Mars environment and will therefore help in the design of future acoustic-based experiments for Mars or other planetary atmospheres such as Venus and Titan.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The sound of a Martian dust devil

Dust devils (convective vortices loaded with dust) are common at the surface of Mars, particularly at Jezero crater, the landing site of the Perseverance rover. They are indicators of atmospheric turbulence and are an important lifting mechanism for the Martian dust cycle. Improving our understanding of dust lifting and atmospheric transport is key for accurate simulation of the dust cycle and for the prediction of dust storms, in addition to being important for future space exploration as grain impacts are implicated in the degradation of hardware on the surface of Mars. Here we describe the sound of a Martian dust devil as recorded by the SuperCam instrument on the Perseverance rover. The dust devil encounter was also simultaneously imaged by the Perseverance rover’s Navigation Camera and observed by several sensors in the Mars Environmental Dynamics Analyzer instrument. Combining these unique multi-sensorial data with modelling, we show that the dust devil was around 25 m large, at least 118 m tall, and passed directly over the rover travelling at approximately 5 m s –1 . Acoustic signals of grain impacts recorded during the vortex encounter provide quantitative information about the number density of particles in the vortex. The sound of a Martian dust devil was inaccessible until SuperCam microphone recordings. This chance dust devil encounter demonstrates the potential of acoustic data for resolving the rapid wind structure of the Martian atmosphere and for directly quantifying wind-blown grain fluxes on Mars.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

ATOMIC Simulations and Experimental Data for Sodium and Copper Mixtures

This data consists of simulations and experimental measurements of laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS). The simulations are produced by ATOMIC, a general purpose plasma modeling and kinetics code that has been designed to compute emission (or absorption) spectra from plasmas [1]. Our overall suite of simulations contains 12 sets of simulations: training and validation sets of simulations for each of two resolutions of each of sodium, copper, and mixtures of the two. The training data were produced using a 500-run design that varies input parameters temperature (T), electron density (Ne), proportion of sodium (pNa), and proportion of copper (pCu). The latter two variables sum to one and are unused in the single-element simulations. The validation data was produced with a 25-run design. The coarse simulations produce spectra over a range of 240nm - 880nm that roughly mimics the range collected by the ChemCam instrument on the Mars rover Curiosity. The fine resolution simulations produce spectra over a range of 550nm to 600nm and were produced to mimic the included experimental results. The experimental results cover four mixtures of sodium and copper. All data sets are kept in zip files whose names indicate the elemental composition (NaCu, Na, or Cu), resolution (coarse or fine), and purpose (training or validation) with file names numbered to indicate the line in the design files used to produce the simulation. The designs are provided as text files with names indicating their purpose. The experimental data is provided as a CSV file. See attached abstract for figures.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

A compact, low-power epithermal neutron counter for lunar water detection

The detection and characterization of lunar water are critical for enabling sustainable human and robotic exploration of the Moon. Orbital neutron spectrometers, such as instruments on Lunar Prospector and the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter, have revealed hydrogen-rich regions near the poles but are limited by coarse spatial resolution and low counting efficiency. We present a compact, lightweight, and low-power epithermal neutron detector based on boron-coated silicon imagers, designed to probe subsurface hydrogen at decimeter scales from mobile platforms such as lunar rovers. This instrument leverages the high neutron capture cross-section of 10 B to convert epithermal neutrons into detectable α and 7 Li ions in a fully-depleted silicon imager, providing a unique event topology to identify neutrons while suppressing backgrounds. Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate that a 3 μm boron layer achieves optimal neutron detection efficiency, further enhanced with polyethylene moderation to improve sensitivity to the 0.4 eV–500 keV epithermal energy range. For a 10 cm 2 active area, the detector achieves sensitivity to H 2 O weight fractions as low as 0.01 wt% in a 15 minute measurement. This scalable, portable, low-mass design is well-suited for integration into upcoming Artemis and commercial lunar rovers, providing a transformative capability for in-situ resource prospecting and ground-truth validation of orbital measurements.

Detector modelling and simulations I (interaction ↗

An initial exploration of Bayesian model calibration for estimating the composition of rocks and soils on Mars

The Mars Curiosity rover carries an instrument, ChemCam, designed to measure the composition of surface rocks and soil using laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS). The measured spectra from this instrument must be analyzed to identify the component elements in the target sample, as well as their relative proportions. This process, which we call disaggregation, is complicated by so-called matrix effects, which describe nonlinear changes in the relative heights of emission lines as an unknown function of composition due to atomic interactions within the LIBS plasma. In this work, we explore the use of the plasma physics code ATOMIC, developed at Los Alamos National Laboratory, for the disaggregation task. ATOMIC has recently been used to model LIBS spectra and can robustly reproduce matrix effects from first principles. The ability of ATOMIC to predict LIBS spectra presents an exciting opportunity to perform disaggregation in a manner not yet tried in the LIBS community, namely via Bayesian model calibration. However, using it directly to solve our inverse problem is computationally intractable due to the large parameter space and the computation time required to produce a single output. Therefore, we also explore the use of emulators as a fast solution for this analysis. We discuss a proof of concept Gaussian process emulator for disaggregating two-element compounds of sodium and copper. The training and test datasets were simulated with ATOMIC using a Latin hypercube design. After testing the performance of the emulator, we successfully recover the composition of 25 test spectra with Bayesian model calibration.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Mechanistic studies on the radiolytic decomposition of perchlorates on the Martian surface

Perchlorates—inorganic compounds carrying the perchlorate ion (ClO{sub 4}{sup −})—were discovered at the north polar landing site of the Phoenix spacecraft and at the southern equatorial landing site of the Curiosity Rover within the Martian soil at levels of 0.4–0.6 wt%. This study explores in laboratory experiments the temperature-dependent decomposition mechanisms of hydrated perchlorates—namely magnesium perchlorate hexahydrate (Mg(ClO{sub 4}){sub 2}·6H{sub 2}O)—and provides yields of the oxygen-bearing species formed in these processes at Mars-relevant surface temperatures from 165 to 310 K in the presence of galactic cosmic-ray particles (GCRs). Our experiments reveal that the response of the perchlorates to the energetic electrons is dictated by the destruction of the perchlorate ion (ClO{sub 4}{sup −}) and the inherent formation of chlorates (ClO{sub 3}{sup −}) plus atomic oxygen (O). Isotopic substitution experiments reveal that the oxygen is released solely from the perchlorate ion and not from the water of hydration (H{sub 2}O). As the mass spectrometer detects only molecular oxygen (O{sub 2}) and no atomic oxygen (O), atomic oxygen recombines to molecular oxygen within the perchlorates, with the overall yield of molecular oxygen increasing as the temperature drops from 260 to 160 K. Absolute destruction rates and formation yields of oxygen are provided for the planetary modeling community.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

MODELING THE VARIATIONS OF DOSE RATE MEASURED BY RAD DURING THE FIRST MSL MARTIAN YEAR: 2012–2014

The Radiation Assessment Detector (RAD), on board Mars Science Laboratory’s (MSL) rover Curiosity, measures the energy spectra of both energetic charged and neutral particles along with the radiation dose rate at the surface of Mars. With these first-ever measurements on the Martian surface, RAD observed several effects influencing the galactic cosmic-ray (GCR) induced surface radiation dose concurrently: (a) short-term diurnal variations of the Martian atmospheric pressure caused by daily thermal tides, (b) long-term seasonal pressure changes in the Martian atmosphere, and (c) the modulation of the primary GCR flux by the heliospheric magnetic field, which correlates with long-term solar activity and the rotation of the Sun. The RAD surface dose measurements, along with the surface pressure data and the solar modulation factor, are analyzed and fitted to empirical models that quantitatively demonstrate how the long-term influences ((b) and (c)) are related to the measured dose rates. Correspondingly, we can estimate dose rate and dose equivalents under different solar modulations and different atmospheric conditions, thus allowing empirical predictions of the Martian surface radiation environment.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

ATOMIC Simulations and Experimental Data for Basalt-like Compounds

This data consists of simulations and experimental measurements of laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS). The simulations are produced by ATOMIC, a general purpose plasma modeling and kinetics code that has been designed to compute emission (or absorption) spectra from plasmas [2]. The makeup of the plasma was considered to be divided into some proportion water, some proportion Martian atmosphere (CO2), and some proportion target (from the rock or object impacted by the laser), where these proportions add to 1. Based on expert knowledge, the proportion of water was kept in the range [0.0,0.5] and the proportion of atmosphere was kept in the range [0.02, 0.9]. Our overall suite of simulations contains six sets of simulations that differ in which elements were considered to make up the target. Within each set, we used uniformly drawn temperatures and log mass densities within pre-specified ranges. The temperature range was [0.5,1.5] eV and the log (base 10) mass density range was [-7,-4]. The proportion of water, atmosphere, and target were drawn from a symmetric Dirichlet distribution, but draws in which the propor- tion of water or atmosphere exceeded the pre-specified limits were rejected from the design. Up to eleven constituent elements (Si, Al, Fe, Mg, Ca, O, Ti, Mn, Na, K, P) were considered for the target, as they are the most common elements found in basalt compounds and were used in [1]. For each run, the proportions of the constituent elements making up the target were drawn from a symmetric Dirichlet distribution. We ran 1,350 simulations that included nonzero proportions of all eleven elements. We also ran simulations which excluded some of these elements. In particular, we ran 1,000 simulations that only included nonzero proportions for the six most common elements (Si, Al, Fe, Mg, Ca, O). We also ran five sets, each with 500 simulations, that only included nonzero proportions for five of the six most common elements (but where all sets included O). Thus, we generated a total of 4,850 spectra representing basalt-like compounds in which the target was comprised of oxygen and between four and ten other elements. The ATOMIC code produced spectra over a range of 240nm - 880nm that roughly mimics the range collected by the ChemCam instrument on the Mars rover Curiosity. Each spectra had 32,000 wavelengths split across three spectrometer ranges (to mimic ChemCam). The experimental data, described in [1], measures a prepared basalt sample. All files are kept in directories whose names indicate the set of elements considered for the target with file names numbered to indicate the line in the design files used to produce the simulation. The designs are provided as text files with names indicating their purpose. The experimental data is provided as a CSV file which contains a header with measurement information, followed by a collection of 50 shots across a collection of wavelengths, along with the computed median and mean across shots.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗