Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “sensitivity methods”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods and Applications in the GDSA Framework (FY2025)

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology Campaign (SFWST) of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE) is conducting research and development on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). Two priorities for SFWST are design concept development and disposal system modeling. These priorities are directly addressed in the Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) control account, which is charged with developing a geologic repository system modeling and analysis capability, and the associated software, GDSA Framework, for evaluating disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media. This report describes specific activities in the Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 associated with the GDSA Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods work package. This report fulfills the GDSA Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods work package (SF-25SN01030407) level 3 milestone, Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods and Applications in GDSA Framework (FY2025) (M3SF-25SN010304072). This work was closely coordinated with the other Sandia National Laboratory GDSA work packages: the GDSA Framework Development work package (SF-25SN01030408), the GDSA Repository Systems Analysis work package (SF-25SN01030409), and the GDSA PFLOTRAN Development work package (SF-25SN01030410). This report builds on developments reported in previous GDSA Framework milestones, particularly M3SF-24SN010304072.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2024

Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods and Applications in the GDSA Framework (FY2024)

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology Campaign (SFWST) of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE) is conducting research and development on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). Two priorities for SFWST are design concept development and disposal system modeling. These priorities are directly addressed in the Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) control account, which is charged with developing a geologic repository system modeling and analysis capability, and the associated software, GDSA Framework, for evaluating disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2025

Hybrid Method for Eigenvalue Sensitivity Coefficient Calculations: Part II [Slides]

The hybrid method stemmed from a need to develop a way for CLUTCH to generate more accurate sensitivity coefficients for systems with large fissionable reflectors (i.e., HMF-028-001). For additional systems, the method has been shown to generate accurate sensitivity coefficients for a variety of systems with different fissile nuclides, fissile forms, and neutron energy spectra.

CLUTCH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Improvement and generalization of ABCD method with Bayesian inference

To find New Physics or to refine our knowledge of the Standard Model at the LHC is an enterprise that involves many factors, such as the capabilities and the performance of the accelerator and detectors, the use and exploitation of the available information, the design of search strategies and observables, as well as the proposal of new models. We focus on the use of the information and pour our effort in re-thinking the usual data-driven ABCD method to improve it and to generalize it using Bayesian Machine Learning techniques and tools. We propose that a dataset consisting of a signal and many backgrounds is well described through a mixture model. Signal, backgrounds and their relative fractions in the sample can be well extracted by exploiting the prior knowledge and the dependence between the different observables at the event-by-event level with Bayesian tools. We show how, in contrast to the ABCD method, one can take advantage of understanding some properties of the different backgrounds and of having more than two independent observables to measure in each event. In addition, instead of regions defined through hard cuts, the Bayesian framework uses the information of continuous distribution to obtain soft-assignments of the events which are statistically more robust. To compare both methods we use a toy problem inspired by pp\to hh\to b\bar b b \bar b p p → h h → b b ‾ b b ‾ , selecting a reduced and simplified number of processes and analysing the flavor of the four jets and the invariant mass of the jet-pairs, modeled with simplified distributions. Taking advantage of all this information, and starting from a combination of biased and agnostic priors, leads us to a very good posterior once we use the Bayesian framework to exploit the data and the mutual information of the observables at the event-by-event level. We show how, in this simplified model, the Bayesian framework outperforms the ABCD method sensitivity in obtaining the signal fraction in scenarios with 1% and 0.5% true signal fractions in the dataset. We also show that the method is robust against the absence of signal. We discuss potential prospects for taking this Bayesian data-driven paradigm into more realistic scenarios.

Alvarez, Ezequiel↗
DOE OSTI2025

Visualizing the Three-Dimensional Arrangement of Hydrogen Atoms in Organic Molecules by Coulomb Explosion Imaging

Structure-sensitive methods based on femtosecond light or electron pulses are now making it possible to measure how molecular structures change during light-induced processes. Despite significant progress, high-fidelity imaging of nuclear positions remains a challenge even for relatively small molecular systems and, notably, regarding the positions of hydrogen atoms. As demonstrated in recent work, X-ray-induced Coulomb explosion imaging (CEI) may overcome this obstacle, as its sensitivity does not depend on the mass of the imaged atoms. The photoinduced ring opening of the heterocyclic molecule 2(5 H )-thiophenone has attracted recent interest. Here, in this work, we show that CEI offers a powerful route to imaging the peripheral H atoms in this molecule and thus, more generally, to tracking detailed nuclear motions (e.g., isomerizations) in organic molecules on ultrafast time scales. Specifically, we record momentum-space Coulomb explosion images that report on the three-dimensional positioning of all nuclei within the molecule, for instance, distinguishing H atoms in C–H bonds that lie within or are directed out of the plane defined by the heavy atoms. The prospect of imaging peripheral H atoms to probe photochemical dynamics is explored by coupling ab initio molecular dynamics with classical Coulomb explosion simulations, thereby differentiating potential photoproduct isomers, including those whose structures primarily differ in the position of the hydrogens.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Calculation of machine precision second order derivatives using dual-complex numbers

It is well known that both complex and dual numbers can be employed to obtain machine precision first-order derivatives; however, neither, on their own, can compute machine precision 2nd order derivatives. To address this limitation, it is demonstrated in this paper that combined dual-complex numbers can be used to compute machine precision 1st and 2nd order derivatives. The dual-complex approach is simpler than utilizing multicomplex or hyper-dual numbers as existing dual libraries can be used as is or easily augmented to accept complex numbers, and the complexity of developing, integrating, and deploying multicomplex or hyper-dual libraries is avoided. The efficacy of this approach is demonstrated for both univariate and multivariate functions. Finally, source code examples using the Python, Julia, and Mathematica languages are provided as supplemental material.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Symmetrization of Strong Hydrogen Bond under High Pressure in Bihydroxide-Ion-Containing NaCu 2 (SO 4 ) 2 ·H 3 O 2 Revealed by Experimental Charge Density, Single-Crystal Electron Diffraction, and Neutron Diffraction Studies

In minerals and inorganic compounds, strong hydrogen bonding can lead to the formation of complex ionic species such as the H 3 O 2 – bihydroxide anion and Zundel cation H 5 O 2 + . We studied [NaCu 2 (SO 4 ) 2 ·H 3 O 2 ] natrochalcite, which contains bihydroxide anions and undergoes hydrogen bond symmetrization at the lowest pressure reported so far among inorganic compounds. Hydrogen bond symmetrization leads to changes in the bulk modulus, seismic wave velocities, and proton mobility and plays a primary role in high-temperature superconductivity, but its characteristics are not well understood due to a lack of systematic studies and limitations of experimental methods sensitive to this subtle change. In this work, we applied experimental charge density analysis based on in situ single-crystal X-ray diffraction data, along with the single-crystal neutron and electron diffraction experiments, to probe the behavior of hydrogen atoms during the hydrogen bond symmetrization process under high-pressure conditions. On the way to the symmetrical H-bonding, natrochalcite undergoes a series of complex redistributions of electron density, which we trace with multipole refinement and detailed analysis of changes in the Laplacian of electron density values. Additionally, we deconvoluted the equation of state (volume of the unit cell vs pressure relation) into the atomic equation of states describing dependencies of atomic charges or volumes vs pressure.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

High-energy synchrotron X-ray multimodal computed tomography: enabling multiscale materials characterization at NSLS-II

We report the commissioning of a multimodal computed tomography experimental setup at the 28-ID-2 (XPD) beamline of the National Synchrotron Light Source II. This high-energy (>60 keV) resource features a tunable X-ray beam size ranging from several millimetres to a few micrometres and enables comprehensive characterization of high-Z materials—an essential capability for nuclear and advanced materials research. It provides four complementary computed tomography modalities: X-ray absorption, X-ray fluorescence, X-ray diffraction, and pair distribution function tomography. A case study using a custom-made heterogeneous sample demonstrates these abilities to simultaneously capture atomic, elemental, and morphological information. This unique combination of imaging, structural, and chemical sensitive methods provides a holistic approach to study complex materials with amorphous and crystalline systems across multiple length scales.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Editors’ Choice—Rapid Deactivation Convolutes Electrochemical CO 2 Reduction Selectivity Measurements on Gold Rotating Ring Disk Electrodes

Voltammetric measurements of electrochemical CO 2 reduction reaction (CO 2 RR) selectivity on rotating ring disk electrodes (RRDE) are a rapid and sensitive method for quantifying an electrocatalyst’s selectivity, i.e. faradaic efficiency (FE). This method has been applied to polycrystalline Au electrocatalysts where a Au disk electrode catalyzes both the CO 2 RR and hydrogen evolution reaction while the concentric Au ring electrode selectively senses CO by oxidizing CO back to CO 2 . Such measurements enabled fundamental mechanistic studies but suffer from poor inter-laboratory reproducibility. This work identifies causes of variability in RRDE selectivity measurements by comparing protocols with different electrochemical methods, reagent purities, and glassware cleaning procedures. We observed FE CO decrease by 56% during 5 min chronoamperometry measurements, a phenomenon that is not readily apparent in voltammetric scans due to their dynamic nature. Electroplating of electrolyte impurities onto the disk and ring surfaces were identified as a major contributor to Au deactivation. Additionally, the oxygen reduction reaction may lead to higher disk currents in inadequately purged electrolytes, causing an apparent underestimation of FE CO at low overpotentials. Lastly, we propose operational bounds for CO 2 RR selectivity measurements on Au using the RRDE method and provide suggestions on steps for improving the accuracy of this technique.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Automated Algorithms for Screening Electronic Parts for Aging using Power Spectra Analysis (PSA) Data

Understanding the age of semiconductor parts being built into devices and systems is of interest for manufacturing quality control. Power spectrum analysis (PSA) is a fast, non-destructive, sensitive method for examining semiconductor parts. This talk will cover the use of multivariate analysis on both PSA data and conventional current-voltage data generated prior to PSA analysis to create algorithms that can be automated to screen semiconductor parts for aging.

Multari, Rosalie A↗
DOE OSTI2025

A simple and practical wax-encapsulation method for air-sensitive XAS samples

To facilitate X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) measurements of air-sensitive samples, we present a simple method in which materials are encased in common paraffin wax to protect them from air and moisture. We demonstrate the efficacy of this approach using a highly reducing, air- and moisture-sensitive uranium(III) complex, the tris(amide) U[N(SiMe 3 ) 2 ] 3 (1). When finely dispersed in a boron nitride matrix and subsequently encased in inert paraffin wax, samples of 1 remain stable with no visible or spectroscopic degradation after several days under ambient conditions. The viability of this method for XAS measurements was further evaluated across a series of uranium compounds, ranging from uranyl species to highly air- and moisture-sensitive molecular complexes, at the uranium L 3 -edge. Edge energy determinations were highly reproducible (±0.1 eV between replicates) and, where available, showed excellent agreement with literature values. In conclusion, this low-cost, effective, and versatile method offers a viable solution for XAS studies of air-sensitive compounds and materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Review and Comparison of Different Sensitivity Analysis Techniques in Practice

There exist many methods for sensitivity analysis readily available to the practitioner. While each seeks to help the modeler answer the same general question – How do sources of uncertainty or changes in the model inputs relate to uncertainty in the output? – different methods are associated with different assumptions, constraints, and required resources, leading to conclusions that may vary in interpretability and level of detail. Thus, it is crucial that the practitioner selects the desired sensitivity analysis method judiciously, making sure to match the selected approach to the specifics of their problem and to their desired objectives. In this chapter, we provide a practical overview of a collection of widely used, widely available sensitivity analysis methods. We focus on global sensitivity approaches, which seek to characterize how uncertainty in the model output may be allocated to sources of uncertainty in model inputs across the entire input space. Generally, this will require the practitioner to specify a probability distribution over the input space. On the other hand, methods for local sensitivity analysis do not require this specification but they have more limited utility, providing insight into sources of uncertainty associated only with a particular, specified location in the input space. Our hope is that this chapter may serve as a decision-making tool for practitioners, helping to guide the selection of a sensitivity analysis approach that will best fit their needs. To support this goal, we have selected a suite of approaches to cover, which, while not exhaustive, we believe provides a flexible and robust sensitivity analysis toolkit. All methods included are widely used and available in standard software packages.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Beyond the two-point correlation: Constraining primordial non-Gaussianity with density-perturbation moments

Constraining primordial non-Gaussianity (PNG) on the large-scale cosmic structure (LSS) is an important step in understanding properties of the early Universe, specifically in distinguishing between different inflationary models. Measuring PNG relies on evaluating the scale-dependent correlations in the density field. New summary statistics beyond the two- and three-point correlation functions in configuration space and their Fourier-space counterparts, the power- and bispectrum may provide increased sensitivity. We introduce a new method for extracting the PNG signal imprinted on the LSS by using the first three Gaussian moments of the normalized correlation in density perturbations, evaluated on varying distance scales. We aim to assess this method’s sensitivity to local PNG, parameterized by f NL . We performed spherical convolutions on a range of scales on dark-matter-halo simulations to measure the scale-dependent correlations in the density field. From these, we computed the first three moments and compared them to a model expectation vector, parameterized to the second power in f NL . Our method provides about 21% improvement in sensitivity to f NL with respect to using the two-point correlation function alone. Notably, we find that the second moment alone carries nearly as much constraining power as the mean, highlighting the potential of higher order statistics. Given its simplicity and efficiency, this framework is well suited for application to current and upcoming large-scale surveys such as the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI).

early universe↗
DOE OSTI2024

Assessing convergence in global sensitivity analysis: a review of methods for assessing and monitoring convergence

In global sensitivity analysis (GSA) of a model, a proper convergence analysis of metrics is essential for ensuring a level of confidence or trustworthiness in sensitivity results obtained, yet is somewhat deficient in practice. The level of confidence in sensitivity measures, particularly in relation to their influence and support for decisions from scientific, social and policy perspectives, is heavily reliant on the convergence of GSA. We review the literature and summarize the available methods for monitoring and assessing convergence of sensitivity measures based on application purposes. The aim is to expose the various choices for convergence assessment and encourage further testing of available methods to clarify their level of robustness. Furthermore, the review identifies a pressing need for comparative studies on convergence assessment methods to establish a clear hierarchy of effectiveness and encourages the adoption of systematic approaches for enhanced robustness in sensitivity analysis.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

A fast and sensitive size-exclusion chromatography method for plasma extracellular vesicle proteomic analysis

Extracellular vesicles (EVs) carry diverse biomolecules derived from their parental cells, making their components excellent biomarker candidates. However, purifying EVs is a major hurdle in biomarker discovery since current methods require large amounts of samples, are time-consuming and typically have poor reproducibility. Here we describe a simple, fast, and sensitive EV fractionation method using size exclusion chromatography (SEC) on a fast protein liquid chromatography (FPLC) system. Our method uses a Superose 6 Increase 5/150, which has a bed volume of 2.9 mL. The FPLC system and small column size enable reproducible separation of only 50 µL of human plasma in 15 min. To demonstrate the utility of our method, we used longitudinal samples from a group of individuals who underwent intense exercise. A total of 838 proteins were identified, of which, 261 were previously characterized as EV proteins, including classical markers, such as cluster of differentiation (CD)9 and CD81. Quantitative analysis showed low technical variability with correlation coefficients greater than 0.9 between replicates. The analysis captured differences in relevant EV proteins involved in response to physical activity. Our method enables fast and sensitive fractionation of plasma EVs with low variability, which will facilitate biomarker studies in large clinical cohorts.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗