Assessing Several Modeling Approaches in Depletion Studies of a TRISO-Fueled Microreactor [Slides]
Abstract not provided.
22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
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Assessing Several Modeling Approaches in Depletion Studies of a TRISO-Fueled Microreactor
The impact of MCNP6 depletion resolution on core lifetime is examined in the context of the Snowflake microreactor with explicit TRISO fuel. The change in core lifetime and isotope mass as a result of different tracked isotopes, timesteps, and spatial regions is discussed. Calculation speed of a prototype MCNP delta tracking module is compared to a reactivity equivalent physical transformation (RPT). Using a single depletion material underpredicts core lifetime by 15%, and the resolution necessary to converge isotope mass greatly depends on the specific isotope, in addition to the size (and location) of the depletion region. The prototype delta tracking module decreases the CPU time of explicit TRISO criticality calculations by 30%, but does not always result in a speedup when used with depletion. Significant depletion speedup is obtained using RPT (50% faster), and all isotope masses agreed within three percent.
11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
Recent Developments of the MELCOR Integral Code for Modeling Severe Accidents.
Abstract not provided.
Humphries, Larry L.↗
(U) PRAD0697 & PRAD0698: Complex Loading of CeO₂ Powder
Cerium(IV) oxide (CeO₂) powder is shock compressed using the Precision High Energy-density Liner Implosion eXperiment (PHELIX) platform. Experimental results are compared against several modeling approaches. Compaction behavior is best captured with a P-∝ model, which calculates CeO₂ powder bulk densities within 80-99% of experimental values but overpredicts densi cation at the cylindrical target's outer radius and center by up to 20%. Preliminary calculations suggest that accuracy could be increased with the inclusion of a coupled strength model. Several common computational modeling approaches for the shock compression response of granular materials and the magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) force upon the impactor/liner in pulsed power compression experiments are investigated and analyzed for their validity. The Bi-linear Ramp, P-∝ PACXP, and P-∝ Menikoff-Kober continuum compaction models are calibrated to planar impact Hugoniot data for CeO₂ powder and used to predict the powder's shock compaction response under non-planar shock wave compression. MHD calculations of the PHELIX pulsed power driver are performed using an idealized resistor-inductor-capacitor (RLC) circuit calibrated to previous experiments. All simulations are performed using the LANL code FLAG. Two validation experiments are computationally designed using the calibrated compaction and circuit models, executed using the PHELIX platform on CeO₂ targets with initial porous densities of 3.95 and 4.03 g/cm³, measured with proton radiography, and analyzed against the model predictions. The two P-∝ models more accurately describe CeO₂ powder densi cation than the Bi-linear Ramp model. However, the two P-∝ models overpredict bulk density of the shock compressed CeO₂ powder by up to 20% when the appropriate impact velocities are applied. MHD calculations for both validation experiments underpredict liner impact velocities by 4-11% when using the idealized RLC circuit model calibrated to previous experiments. Compensating underpredictions of impact velocity and overpredictions of powder densication lead to a false accuracy in pre-shot calculations compared to experimental data. To improve correlation between simulations and experiments, the following improvements are suggested: 1. A coupled strength model for CeO₂ powder that updates strength as a function of porosity and applied stress. 2. An improved MHD circuit model that more accurately captures the PHELIX machine.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
A parametric study of slow dynamic nonlinear elasticity with comparisons to models
Several phenomenological models that aspire to quantitative description of anomalous nonlinear mesoscopic elasticity are reviewed and compared with laboratory measurements. This class of nonlinearity, best known perhaps for slow dynamics and aging, is seen widely in imperfectly consolidated granular solids but is not well understood. Typical slow dynamic tests show that a modest conditioning oscillatory "pump" strain depresses material stiffness, which then recovers like the logarithm of time after conditioning ceases. Several phenomenological models based on physical arguments have been proposed that predict the material stiffness response to arbitrary pump strain histories during conditioning and recovery. Approximate closed form and numerical solutions to the models are presented that predict the quantitative influence of three key pump parameters: the pump's strain amplitude, the pump's strain rate, and the pump’s duration. Laboratory measurements on Berea sandstone, concrete and a confined single aluminum bead find that slow dynamic responses are linear in pump strain and independent of pump frequency. Measurements also show that, after pump-off, stiffness recovers over times far longer than the pump duration. These observations and others are compared to model predictions. One of the considered models, based on a picture of fast brittle damage and slow healing, successfully matches all these behaviors.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Severe Accident Modeling for Cyber Scenarios
A generic severe accident model of a PWR is developed to support analyses of cyber-fault scenarios that may lead to extensive core damage. For this purpose, a MELCOR 2.1 model of a generic PWR is created that is capable of simulating primary and secondary thermal-hydraulics, core heatup and fuel degradation, RPV failure, containment response, and radionuclide release and transport to the environment. The size and detail of the severe accident model are intended to facilitate scoping analyses of various cyber-based scenarios in an automated, dynamic framework. A dynamic job scheduler such as ADAPT will be used to evaluate many accident scenarios in an automated fashion utilizing parallel computing. Individual test calculations are first conducted of a basic unmitigated scenario (i.e. no significant operator intervention) with a cyber-based accident initiator. This preliminary assessment is used to gauge modelling capabilities for further, expanded cyber accident scenarios in conjunction with ADAPT. (authors)
21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
Posterior comparison of model dynamics in several hybrid turbulence model forms
Hybrid turbulence models that can accurately reproduce unsteady three-dimensional flow physics across the entire range of grid scales and turbulence dynamics from Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS), through large-eddy simulation (LES), down to direct numerical simulations (DNS) are of increasing interest to the turbulence modeling community. However, despite decades of research and development, the basic tasks of eliminating poor-performing hybrid RANS-LES models and accelerating adoption of superior models through well-designed validation and verification have yet to occur. As a step in this direction, in this work we evaluate thirteen different hybrid RANS-LES models via systematic grid refinement of decaying homogeneous isotropic turbulence. We further derive a novel mathematical framework for assessing the energy partitioning dynamics of each Hybrid RANS-LES model, wherein model-to-model variations in energy partitioning can be interpreted as different feedback mechanisms operating on a low-dimensional nonlinear dynamical system. We found that model forms similar to the flow simulation methodology—also often termed very-large eddy simulation—are dynamically inconsistent with DNS at all resolutions. Additionally, we found a strong dynamical similarity in the feedback mechanisms of all models related to detached eddy simulation and partially averaged Navier–Stokes that is inherent to their general model forms.
71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
Simulating groundwater uptake and hydraulic redistribution by phreatophytes in a high-resolution, coupled subsurface-land surface model
Several new functions representing groundwater dependent vegetation were incorporated into a coupled subsurface-land surface model, ParFlow.CLM, in order to adequately describe groundwater water uptake, hydraulic redistribution, and plant water stress. The modified model was used to conduct three-dimensional, stand-scale simulations of a Mediterranean oak savanna in California. It performed well and captured daily, hourly and spatial water and energy dynamics, as well as groundwater evapotranspiration rates. The new model was then compared to various approaches, the original ParFlow.CLM and a version using a root water uptake compensation equation. During the dry season, the modified model closely predicted the measured transpiration rate while the original model predicted that it would become zero and the compensation approach overestimated it by nearly double. The modified model also allowed for analysis of several key ecohydrological processes, namely the hydraulic redistribution when plants were both active and dormant, the leaf water potential, and xylem cavitation.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Functional Data Analysis Applied to Modeling of Severe Acute Mucositis and Dysphagia Resulting From Head and Neck Radiation Therapy
Purpose: Current normal tissue complication probability modeling using logistic regression suffers from bias and high uncertainty in the presence of highly correlated radiation therapy (RT) dose data. This hinders robust estimates of dose-response associations and, hence, optimal normal tissue–sparing strategies from being elucidated. Using functional data analysis (FDA) to reduce the dimensionality of the dose data could overcome this limitation. Methods and Materials: FDA was applied to modeling of severe acute mucositis and dysphagia resulting from head and neck RT. Functional partial least squares regression (FPLS) and functional principal component analysis were used for dimensionality reduction of the dose-volume histogram data. The reduced dose data were input into functional logistic regression models (functional partial least squares–logistic regression [FPLS-LR] and functional principal component–logistic regression [FPC-LR]) along with clinical data. This approach was compared with penalized logistic regression (PLR) in terms of predictive performance and the significance of treatment covariate–response associations, assessed using bootstrapping. Results: The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the PLR, FPC-LR, and FPLS-LR models was 0.65, 0.69, and 0.67, respectively, for mucositis (internal validation) and 0.81, 0.83, and 0.83, respectively, for dysphagia (external validation). The calibration slopes/intercepts for the PLR, FPC-LR, and FPLS-LR models were 1.6/−0.67, 0.45/0.47, and 0.40/0.49, respectively, for mucositis (internal validation) and 2.5/−0.96, 0.79/−0.04, and 0.79/0.00, respectively, for dysphagia (external validation). The bootstrapped odds ratios indicated significant associations between RT dose and severe toxicity in the mucositis and dysphagia FDA models. Cisplatin was significantly associated with severe dysphagia in the FDA models. None of the covariates was significantly associated with severe toxicity in the PLR models. Dose levels greater than approximately 1.0 Gy/fraction were most strongly associated with severe acute mucositis and dysphagia in the FDA models. Conclusions: FPLS and functional principal component analysis marginally improved predictive performance compared with PLR and provided robust dose-response associations. FDA is recommended for use in normal tissue complication probability modeling.
62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗
Algebraic compression of quantum circuits for Hamiltonian evolution
Here unitary evolution under a time-dependent Hamiltonian is a key component of simulation on quantum hardware. Synthesizing the corresponding quantum circuit is typically done by breaking the evolution into small time steps, also known as Trotterization, which leads to circuits the depth of which scales with the number of steps. When the circuit elements are limited to a subset of SU(4) - or equivalently, when the Hamiltonian may be mapped onto free fermionic models - several identities exist that combine and simplify the circuit. Based on this, we present an algorithm that compresses the Trotter steps into a single block of quantum gates using algebraic relations between adjacent circuit elements. This results in a fixed depth time evolution for certain classes of Hamiltonians. We explicitly show how this algorithm works for several spin models, and demonstrate its use for adiabatic state preparation of the transverse field Ising model.
71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
Pajarito models
Pajarito models are developed to perform various types of model analyses related to the LANL-site groundwater contamination problems. Pajarito models include several models representing the LANL Chromium (Cr) and RDX sites. Pajarito models also include a model that is at the scale of the Pajarito Plateau. The models are designed to perform model prediction of groundwater flow and contaminant transport. The models are bundled in repositories. The model repositories include scripts, input control files, and drivers. A detailed description of the various files included in the repositories is provided in electronic form within the repositories.
Vesselinov, Velimir↗
Identification of therapeutic targets in a murine model of severe exertional heat stroke
Exertional heat stroke (EHS) is a potentially lethal condition resulting from high core body temperatures (T C ) in combination with a systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) with varying degrees of severity across victims, and limited understanding of the underlying mechanism(s). We established a mouse model of severe EHS to identify mechanisms of hyperthermia/inflammation that may be responsible for organ damage. Mice were forced to run on a motorized wheel in a 37.5°C chamber until loss of consciousness and were either removed immediately (exertional heat injury or EHI; T CMax = 42.4 ± 0.2°C) or remained in the chamber an additional 20 min (EHS; T CMax = 42.5 ± 0.4°C). Exercise control mice (ExC) experienced identical procedures to EHS at 25°C. At 3 h post-EHS, there was evidence for an immune/inflammatory response as elevated blood chemokine [interferon γ-induced protein 10 (IP-10), keratinocytes-derived chemokine (KC), macrophage inflammatory proteins (MIP-1α), MIP-1β, MIP-2] and cytokine [granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF), interleukins (IL-10), IL-6] levels peaked and were highest in EHS mice compared with EHI and ExC mice. Immunoblotting of organs susceptible to EHS damage indicated that several kinases were sensitive to stress associated with heat/inflammation and exercise; specifically, phosphorylation of liver c-Jun NH 2 -terminal kinase (JNK) at threonine 183/tyrosine 185 immediately (0 h) postheating related to heat illness severity. We have established a mouse EHS model, and JNK [or its downstream target(s)] could underlie EHS symptomatology, allowing the identification of molecular pathways or countermeasure targets to mitigate heat illness severity, enable complete recovery, and decrease overall EHS-related fatalities.
Physiology↗
Stripe correlations in the two-dimensional Hubbard-Holstein model
Several state-of-the-art numerical methods have observed static or fluctuating spin and charge stripes in doped two-dimensional Hubbard models, suggesting that these orders play a significant role in shaping the cuprate phase diagram. Many experiments, however, also indicate that the cuprates have strong electron-phonon (e-ph) coupling, and it is unclear how this interaction influences stripe correlations. We study static and fluctuating stripe orders in the doped single-band Hubbard-Holstein model using zero temperature variational Monte Carlo and finite temperature determinant quantum Monte Carlo. We find that the lattice couples more strongly with the charge component of the stripes, leading to an enhancement or suppression of stripe correlations, depending on model parameters like the next-nearest-neighbor hopping t' or phonon energy Ω. Our results help elucidate how the e-ph interaction can tip the delicate balance between stripe and superconducting correlations in the Hubbard-Holstein model with implications for our understanding of the high-T c cuprates.
71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
Carbon neutrality in Malaysia and Kuala Lumpur: Insights from stakeholder-driven integrated assessment modeling
Several cities in Malaysia have established plans to reduce their CO2 emissions, in addition to Malaysia submitting a Nationally Determined Contribution to reduce its carbon intensity (against GDP) by 45% in 2030 compared to 2005. Meeting these emissions reduction goals will require a joint effort between governments, industries, and corporations at different scales and across sectors. In collaboration with national and sub-national stakeholders, we developed and used a global integrated assessment model to explore emissions mitigation pathways in Malaysia and Kuala Lumpur. Guided by current climate action plans, we created a suite of scenarios to reflect uncertainties in policy ambition, level of adoption, and implementation for reaching carbon neutrality. Through iterative engagement with all parties, we refined the scenarios and focus of the analysis to best meet the stakeholders’ needs. We found that Malaysia can reduce its carbon intensity and reach carbon neutrality by 2050, and that action in Kuala Lumpur can play a significant role. Decarbonization of the power sector paired with extensive electrification, energy efficiency improvements in buildings, transportation, and industry, and the use of advanced technologies such as hydrogen and carbon capture and storage will be major drivers to mitigate emissions, with carbon dioxide removal strategies being key to eliminate residual emissions. This study highlights the participatory process in which stakeholders contributed to the development of the model and guided the analysis, as well as insights into Malaysia’s decarbonization potential and the role of multilevel governance.
cities↗
What to measure and report in studies of discomfort from glare for pedestrian applications
We report in outdoor environments after dark, pedestrians may experience discomfort from glare caused by lighting. Several models to predict discomfort from glare have been proposed or extended for pedestrian applications; these models use different luminous and geometrical quantities to predict discomfort. Consistent measurements and reporting in studies of discomfort from glare are important for identifying best performing models; however, previous studies proposing a new model tended to only report the performance of the new model and its quantities. This practice makes it difficult to evaluate how a new model performs compared to other existing models. To promote more consistent and complete reporting, this research note proposes measuring and reporting all relevant quantities that are used in existing models. This can make it easier for researchers to use a study dataset to compare the performance of several models or to combine datasets from several studies to address between-study variance.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Self-accelerated corrosion of nuclear waste forms at material interfaces
The US plan for high-level nuclear waste includes the immobilization of long-lived radionuclides in glass or ceramic waste forms in stainless-steel canisters for disposal in deep geological repositories. Here we report that, under simulated repository conditions, corrosion could be significantly accelerated at the interfaces of different barrier materials, which has not been considered in the current safety and performance assessment models. Severe localized corrosion was found at the interfaces between stainless steel and a model nuclear waste glass and between stainless steel and a ceramic waste form. The accelerated corrosion can be attributed to changes of solution chemistry and local acidity/alkalinity within a confined space, which significantly alter the corrosion of both the waste-form materials and the metallic canisters. The corrosion that is accelerated by the interface interaction between dissimilar materials could profoundly impact the service life of the nuclear waste packages, which, therefore, should be carefully considered when evaluating the performance of waste forms and their packages. Moreover, compatible barriers should be selected to further optimize the performance of the geological repository system.
Guo, Xiaolei↗
Post-landing major element quantification using SuperCam laser induced breakdown spectroscopy
The SuperCam instrument on the Perseverance Mars 2020 rover uses a pulsed 1064 nm laser to ablate targets at a distance and conduct laser induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) by analyzing the light from the resulting plasma. SuperCam LIBS spectra are preprocessed to remove ambient light, noise, and the continuum signal present in LIBS observations. Prior to quantification, spectra are masked to remove noisier spectrometer regions and spectra are normalized to minimize signal fluctuations and effects of target distance. In some cases, the spectra are also standardized or binned prior to quantification. To determine quantitative elemental compositions of diverse geologic materials at Jezero crater, Mars, we use a suite of 1198 laboratory spectra of 334 well-characterized reference samples. The samples were selected to span a wide range of compositions and include typical silicate rocks, pure minerals (e.g., silicates, sulfates, carbonates, oxides), more unusual compositions (e.g., Mn ore and sodalite), and replicates of the sintered SuperCam calibration targets (SCCTs) onboard the rover. For each major element (SiO 2 , TiO 2 , Al 2 O 3 , FeO T , MgO, CaO, Na 2 O, K 2 O), the database was subdivided into five “folds” with similar distributions of the element of interest. One fold was held out as an independent test set, and the remaining four folds were used to optimize multivariate regression models relating the spectrum to the composition. We considered a variety of models, and selected several for further investigation for each element, based primarily on the root mean squared error of prediction (RMSEP) on the test set, when analyzed at 3 m. In cases with several models of comparable performance at 3 m, we incorporated the SCCT performance at different distances to choose the preferred model. Shortly after landing on Mars and collecting initial spectra of geologic targets, we selected one model per element. Subsequently, with additional data from geologic targets, some models were revised to ensure results that are more consistent with geochemical constraints. The calibration discussed here is a snapshot of an ongoing effort to deliver the most accurate chemical compositions with SuperCam LIBS.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗