A likelihood ratio test for shrinkage covariance estimators
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Rock, concrete, and other engineered materials are often composed of several minerals that change volumetrically in response to variations in the moisture content of the local environment. Such differential shrinkage is caused by varying shrinkage rates between mineral compositions during dehydration. Using both 3D X-ray imaging of geo-architected samples and peridynamic (PD) numerical simulations, we show that the spatial distribution of the clay affects the crack network geometry with distributed clay particles yielding the most complex crack networks and percent damage (99.56%), along with a 60% reduction in material strength. We also demonstrate that crack formation, growth, coalescence, and distribution during dehydration, are controlled by the differential shrinkage rates between a highly shrinkable clay and a homogeneous mortar matrix. Sensitivity tests performed with the PD models show a clay shrinkage parameter of 0.4 yields considerable damage, and reductions in the parameter can result in a significant reduction in fracturing and an increase in material strength. Additionally, isolated clay inclusions induced localized fracturing predominantly due to debonding between the clay and matrix. These insights indicate differential shrinkage is a source of potential failure in natural and engineered barriers used to sequester anthropogenic waste.
Devitrification and shrinkage of three batches of silica fibers were investigated in the temperature range of 1200 to 1350 C. Fibers with high water and impurity content devitrified rapidly to cristobalite and quartz and exhibited rapid, but the least amount of, shrinkage. A batch with low water and impurity content devitrified more slowly to cristobalite only and underwent severe shrinkage by the mechanism of viscous flow. A third batch of intermediate purity level and low water content devitrified at a moderate rate mainly to cristobalite but shrunk very rapidly. Completely devitrified silica fibers did not exhibit any further shrinkage.
We consider problem of nonlinear shrinkage of the metal part during bound metal deposition manufacturing on the ground and in zero-G. To analyze this problem we developed multi-scale physics-based approach that spans atomistic dynamics at the scale of nanoseconds and the full part shrinkage at the time scale of hours. Using this approach we estimated the key parameters of the problem including grain boundary width, coefficient of surface diffusion, initial redistribution of particles during debinding stage, micro-structure evolution from round particles to densely packed grains and corresponding change of the total and chemical free energy, and sintering stress. The introduced method was used to predict shrinkage at the level of two particles, filament cross-section, sub-model, and the whole green, brown, and metal parts. To further improve accuracy and reliability of the shrinkage predictions we propose concept of intelligent additive manufacturing of metal powders in space that combines the strengths of both physics-based and data-driven methods of analysis of AM.
Thermal curing induces shrinkage in material extrusion based additive manufacturing silicone elastomer samples, resulting in discrepancies between as printed and final geometries. Knowing the extent to which the samples change in shape and size allows us to make appropriate modifications to the printing design to better control the geometry of the samples. We present an X-ray computed tomography (CT) based approach to determine filament-level shrinkage due to thermal curing of silicone elastomer samples printed with direct ink writing (DIW). The approach relies on custom-designed build plates that are resistant to the elevated curing temperatures and that have sufficiently distinct X-ray absorption characteristics from the silicone elastomer to ensure adequate segmentation of the latter in X-ray imaging data. We implement the approach to evaluate shrinkage in DIW ‘log pile’ samples with three distinct strand arrangements and demonstrate of how filament-level information can be extracted from the X-ray CT data.
Simultaneous shrinkage, dissolution and breakage are important particle size reduction phenomena that characterize processes like the reactive degradation of solid chemicals. The dynamics of the particle size distribution (PSD) for such processes are non-trivial to model due to the number expending processes brought about by the eventual dissolution of particles. To this end, Population Balance Model (PBM) resolved through the sectional techniques is the natural approach. Here, we introduce a modified Moving Grid technique (m-MGT) to accurately resolve the particle size reduction phenomena. Our technique mimics the perpetual particle shrinkage through a continuously left-moving size grid and incorporates a strategic grid removal routine to capture the disappearance of particles. Coupled with the Fixed Pivot (FP) discretization for breakage, our m-MGT not only preserves the moment-related properties, but also benchmarked very well against the analytical number densities and exhibited a minimum of first-order convergence in all assessed case studies.
The Ensemble Kalman Filters (EnKF) employ a Monte-Carlo approach to represent covariance information, and are affected by sampling errors in operational settings where the number of model realizations is much smaller than the model state dimension. To alleviate the effects of these errors EnKF relies on model-specific heuristics such as covariance localization, which takes advantage of the spatial locality of correlations among the model variables. This work proposes an approach to alleviate sampling errors that utilizes a locally averaged-in-time dynamics of the model, described in terms of a climatological covariance of the dynamical system. We use this covariance as the target matrix in covariance shrinkage methods, and develop a stochastic covariance shrinkage approach where synthetic ensemble members are drawn to enrich both the ensemble subspace and the ensemble transformation. We additionally provide for a way in which this methodology can be localized similar to the state-of-the-art LETKF method, and that for a certain model setup, our methodology significantly outperforms it.
An experimentally based methodology that determines the effective gap shrinkage and lifetime in the emitter of a p-n junction solar cell is described which provides an experimental means for assessing the importance of gap shrinkage relative to that of large recombination rates in the highly doped emitter. The base lifetime is also determined. The methodology pertains to a solar cell after the junction is formed, so that each material parameter determined includes the effects of the processing used in junction fabrication. The methodology consists of strategy and procedures for designing experiments and interpreting data consistently with the physical mechanisms governing device behavior. This careful linking to the device physics uncover the material parameters concealed in the data. To illustrate the procedures, they are applied to an n(+)-p solar cell having substrate resistivity of about 0.1 ohm-cm.
A condition is derived under which a localized shrinkage factor estimator will be minimax. A specific localized shrinkage factor estimator is described. The nonapplicability of the derived condition to some estimators is shown. Several comments concerning these results are made.
A method is shown analytically which reduces the effects of epoxy shrinkage for an ultra-high precision X-ray telescope to within the system error budget. The three-dimensional shrinkage effects are discussed with reference to this telescope. The results of the analysis point to the use of an interrupted rather than continuous bond line as the best solution. Discussion of the finite element modelling techniques is included.
A numerical investigation of the conditions influencing the onset of convection during Bridgman vertical directional solidification of NH4Cl- 72 wt percent H2O has been made using a linear stability model. The effects of shrinkage flow and gravity level on the transition from diffusion-dominated to convection-dominated solidification are shown to be significant. Both shrinkage flow opposite the direction of growth and increased gravity levels tend to decrease the stability limits defining the onset of convection for the solidifying NH4Cl-H2O system.
Low-enthalpy geothermal wells are considered a sustainable energy source, particularly for district heating in the Netherlands. The cement sheath in these wells experiences thermal cycles. The stability of cement recipes under such conditions is not well understood. In this work, thermal cycling experiments for intermediate- and low-temperature geothermal well cements have been conducted. The samples were cured either under ambient conditions or under realistic pressure and temperature for 7 days. The samples did not show any signs of failure after performing 10 cycles of thermal treatment between 100 °C and 18 °C. We also tested cement formulations under drying conditions. Drying shrinkage is caused by a reduction in the water content of cement, which leads to capillary forces that can damage cement. Such circumstances lead to tensile stresses causing radial cracks. Most samples exhibited cracks under low humidity conditions (drying). Fiber reinforcement, especially using short PP fibers, improved the cement’s resilience to temperature and humidity changes. Such additives can improve the longevity of cement sheaths in geothermal wells.
Void formation is an important aspect of irradiation response of metals. In situ transmission electron microscopy observation for void evolution during irradiation is an effective technique for studying void evolution. However, the amount of data collected during in situ studies drastically overwhelm the current capability for manual data analyses. Here, we used a data-driven approach where a convolutional neural network combined with greedy matching to detect and track nanovoid evolutions and migrations. This approach was able to discover the surprising phenomena of void size fluctuation and shrinkage during irradiation of Cu with pre-existing nanovoids. Phase–field simulations revealed the fundamental mechanism behind this in situ observed phenomenon of void size fluctuation.
Network complexity and computational efficiency have become increasingly significant aspects of deep learning. Sparse deep learning addresses these challenges by recovering a sparse representation of the underlying target function by reducing heavily overparameterized deep neural networks. Specifically, deep neural architectures compressed via structured sparsity (e.g., node sparsity) provide low-latency inference, higher data throughput, and reduced energy consumption. In this article, we explore two well-established shrinkage techniques, Lasso and Horseshoe, for model compression in Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). To this end, we propose structurally sparse BNNs, which systematically prune excessive nodes with the following: 1) spike-and-slab group Lasso (SS-GL) and 2) SS group Horseshoe (SS-GHS) priors, and develop computationally tractable variational inference, including continuous relaxation of Bernoulli variables. We establish the contraction rates of the variational posterior of our proposed models as a function of the network topology, layerwise node cardinalities, and bounds on the network weights. Furthermore, we empirically demonstrate the competitive performance of our models compared with the baseline models in prediction accuracy, model compression, and inference latency.
Stereolithography has been used to create ceramic parts with complex geometry that is difficult to achieve with conventional fabrication techniques. Here this study used stereolithography to print silica honeycomb structures with a commercial Formlabs Form2 printer. The printed samples were sintered at different temperatures, and the print shape was retained up to 1300°C, but significant distortion from partial melting occurred at 1400°C. Higher sintering temperatures lead to more shrinkage, but it is non-uniform among directions, with the open cell plane shrinking more than the dense plane of the sample. As expected, the density of samples also increases with the sintering temperature. At higher sintering temperatures, there is an increase in cristobalite and a decrease in quartz, tridymite, and amorphous silica. Regarding mechanical properties, the out-of-plane compressive strength is approximately one order of magnitude higher than the in-plane compressive strength. When compressed along the out-of-plane direction, the samples sintered at lower temperatures surprisingly exhibit higher strength, which is explained by the micro-cracking mechanism. As expected, the samples sintered at higher temperatures display higher strength when compressed along the in-plane direction.
Numerical analysis of restrained shrinkage stresses in ablation heat shields
Voyager I data provide detailed information on the latitudinal dependence of velocities in the Jovian atmosphere. In the present paper, pre-Voyager velocity data are summarized, and gross differences with the Voyager I results are revealed. Analytical expressions are derived for the shrinkage rates and acceleration of the Great Red Spot and white ovals (located at -23 degrees and -34 degrees latitude, respectively) for the period from 1943 to 1979.
By the application of a new technique, the viscosity of amorphous silica fibers was determined in the 1100-1350 C temperature range. An equation was derived that describes the kinetics of shrinkage of the fibers in terms of their radius, viscosity, and surface tension.