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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Simulations of X-59 Sonic Thumps and Traditional Sonic Booms Propagated Around the World for Three Atmospheric Models

Propagation simulations of sonic booms from supersonic aircraft through atmospheric data over time at fixed locations provides the opportunity to assess noise exposure statistics for different climate regions. Knowledge of climate-based differences in sonic boom noise exposure statistics is important to ensure that future civil supersonic aircraft noise certification standards are globally applicable and effective. In this presentation, simulated sonic booms from the NASA X-59 Quesst quiet supersonic aircraft and conventional supersonic aircraft were propagated through atmospheric data at 100 locations across the world using PCBoom. Noise exposure statistics are compared for propagation results from three different atmospheric databases (NOAA Global Forecast System, NOAA Climate Forecast System Version 2, and the ECMWF Reanalysis Version 5). These atmospheric models were chosen due to their global coverage, popularity, and database availability. Preliminary statistical models are fit to assess the impact of several factors including flight direction, season, ground elevation, and climate on noise exposure size and loudness. Areas with prevalence of higher noise due to their climate are identified, which could help inform future supersonic aircraft noise standards.

X-59↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Toward High-Quality X-59 Sonic Thump Measurements

Brigham Young University has been investigating best practices for recommendation to NASA in upcoming X-59 sonic thump measurements. This preparatory work has focused both on obtaining high-fidelity data and standardizing signal analysis techniques for sonic thumps. Included in the research are topics such as whether to use a ground-based or elevated microphone, how to use low-noise microphones and still recover high-fidelity data at low frequencies, and estimating the uncertainty in a given measurement due to local atmospheric turbulence effects. Also included is a study of windowing techniques, zero padding, and the removal of high-frequency ambient noise contamination.

sonic boom↗
NASA NTRS2020

How Loud is X-59's Shaped Sonic Boom?

NASA’s X-59 Quiet SuperSonic Technology low boom flight demonstrator aircraft is designed to produce a shaped sonic boom or “sonic thump” of 75 dB Perceived Level (PL) at the ground. One communication challenge that NASA’s Low Boom Flight Demonstration Mission faces is how to describe the sonic thump to the public, most of whom have never heard a sonic thump or a sonic boom. Furthermore, the public is unfamiliar with the acoustic metrics such as PL used to describe impulsive sounds. One technique to describe unfamiliar sounds using words and graphics only is to put them in the context of more familiar sounds, both in terms of acoustical level and in terms of sound type (continuous vs. impulsive). In this work, a database of recordings of familiar impulsive noise sources at known distances and their associated PL values was assembled and is available online. The comparison of these sounds can be framed as a “thermometer” of acoustic levels. An example acoustic thermometer graphic is presented. Additionally, the impulsive sounds’ one-third octave band sound pressure levels and sone spectra are compared to that of a simulated X-59 ground waveform. These show the origin of differences in the PL of each sound.

sonic boom↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Updated Noise Dose Range of NASA’s X-59 Aircraft Estimated from Propagation Simulations

A follow-on study to Doebler and Loubeau, “The noise dose range of the X-59 estimated from propagation simulations,” JASA 150(4), A208 (2021); doi:10.1121/10.0008134 is described. In the previous work, propagation simulations of NASA’s X-59 sonic thump were conducted using two near-field pressure solutions from NASA’s Cart3D computational fluid dynamics (CFD) code. The near-fields were propagated through realistic atmospheric profiles from the Climate Forecast System Version 2 database across the USA, and Perceived Level statistics of the thumps were presented. The current work repeats the previous analyses, instead using near-field CFD solutions from NASA’s Fully Unstructured Navier-Stokes (FUN3D) code for the same aircraft conditions (Mach 1.4 at 53,200 feet and Mach 1.3 at 43,000 feet), which achieve the minimum and maximum cruise loudness. NASA and contractors in the X-59 development and community noise testing project mutually agreed upon using FUN3D for generating near-field pressures. Sonic thump loudness statistics using the FUN3D near-fields are similar to those of Cart3D. The min loudness condition is about 1 dB (PL) greater when using the FUN3D solution, and the max loudness condition results are nearly identical. Understanding the X-59’s dose range for various flight and atmospheric conditions is important for planning X-59 community noise surveys.

X-59↗
NASA NTRS2022

Consistency of Annoyance Perception of Sonic Booms and Survey Satisficing

There is a potential in community sonic boom tests for survey measurement error due to recall errors. This occurs when a reported value differs from a participant’s true experience. The two topics examined in this paper are 1) recall bias: how consistently participants recall their annoyance to sonic thump events and 2) survey satisficing: whether participants opt for early survey termination if the option is available. Data from QSF18 were examined for evidence of recall bias and survey satisficing via inconsistencies between single event and daily summary survey reports. In terms of recall bias, when only one single event survey and daily summary survey were submitted by a participant on a particular day, both the single event and daily summary annoyance ratings match in the majority of instances (167 of 186). In terms of survey satisficing, there were fewer questions in the daily summary survey if the participant reported not hearing any sonic thumps during the day. Nevertheless, the instances of participants inconsistently reporting boom audibility between the single event and daily summary survey are relatively few (66 of 767). Therefore, the results of this study provide evidence to rule out recall bias and satisficing as sources of error in the QSF18 study.

Recall bias↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Global Variability in Sonic Boom Exposure due to Macroscopic Effects

Supersonic flight over land has been prohibited since 1973 due to the loudness of sonic booms. NASA is building the X-59 aircraft as part of its Quesst mission to demonstrate low-loudness shaped sonic booms, or “sonic thumps.” The Quesst mission will gather human perception data via a series of community noise surveys across the USA. The noise dose and perceptual response data will be provided to the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) and the Federal Aviation Administration for use in determining potential future supersonic aircraft noise certification standards, effectively changing the prohibition from a speed limit to a noise limit. These noise regulations must be globally effective, as long travel distances see the largest benefit to supersonic flight. The state of the atmosphere through which a sonic boom travels affects the size of the region exposed to sound, the “carpet width” (CW), as well as the loudness. The focus of this dissertation is to understand and quantify the expected loudness and CW of sonic booms due to the macroscopic atmospheric effects around the world. A pair of large-scale propagation simulation studies were conducted using the NASA PCBoom code to compare predicted sonic boom loudness and CW statistics first across the USA and then across the world. For the USA study, near-field data of the X-59 in steady cruise was propagated at 4 cardinal headings at 138 locations through 5 years of Climate Forecast System Version 2 (CFSv2) atmospheric profiles. Results of a bootstrap forest predictor screening model indicated the importance of climate zone, latitude, ground elevation, season, and heading. It also noted the unimportance of time of day for predicting loudness and CW. The data is visualized in aggregate, and then broken out geographically, by season and heading, and by climate zone. Multiple linear regression models were fit to the data from the 138 locations so that estimates of the loudness and CW can be produced anywhere in the US. The results can aid in planning when and where to fly the X-59. For the global study, near-field data from three aircraft, the X-59 in a quiet and loud configuration, B-58, and Concorde, were propagated at four cardinal headings through data from three atmospheric models, the CFSv2, the Global Forecast System (GFS), and the ECMWF Reanalysis Version 5 (ERA5), at 100 global locations over 1 year. Results of a bootstrap forest predictor screening model indicated the importance of climate zone, ground elevation, season, and heading. Similar to the US study, the model indicated time of day was not an important predictor. The model also indicated that choice of weather model was not important, so the atmospheric model data are effectively interchangeable. The ERA5 model was chosen for use in an extension of the study to include 18 additional locations to ensure sampling of every climate zone. Loudness and CW results are shown in aggregate, and split geographically and by heading, season, and climate. Multiple linear regression models were fit to the data from the 118 locations so that estimates of loudness and CW can be produced around the world. N-waves and shaped booms did not have the same global variability. Koppen-Geiger climate zones were used as the climate zone definition for the global study. These are available as present-day and future climate projections. Making use of the multiple linear regression models, the future climate zones were input to estimate the effect of the changing climate on sonic boom loudness and CW. Results indicate that a changing climate would have little impact on the effectiveness of noise regulations.

X-59↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Effects of Dose Error and Sample Size on Sonic Boom Dose-Response Curves

NASA will soon be collecting noise-annoyance community survey data as the X-59 aircraft flies supersonically over several communities in the USA. Sparse measurements of the X-59 sonic thumps will be used together with physics-based simulations to estimate noise doses at survey participant locations. These dose estimates have associated error that affects the accuracy of modeled dose-response curves, which can result in misestimation of annoyance. The precision in dose-response curves is also a consideration in selecting the number of survey participants. To enable pretest studies of dose error and precision, simulated dose-response data were generated based on NASA’s Quiet Supersonic Flights 2018 test. The data included various degrees of dose error and sample size. Frequentist multilevel logistic regression models were fit to the true and perturbed dose-response data. Simple proportional relationships were identified between the model parameters and the perturbation standard deviation. The summary dose-response curves illustrate the impact on accuracy if dose error is not accounted for in the model. The precision in the dose-response curves is also shown as the number of participants and degree of participation is varied. Finally, sampling variability is illustrated by showing the dose-response curves for several replicates with random draws of participants and errors.

X-59↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Effects of Dose Error and Sample Size on Sonic Boom Dose-response Curves

NASA will soon be collecting noise-annoyance community survey data as the X-59 aircraft flies supersonically over several communities in the USA. Sparse measurements of the X-59 sonic thumps will be used together with physics-based simulations to estimate noise doses at survey participant locations. These dose estimates have associated error that affects the accuracy of modeled dose-response curves, which can result in misestimation of annoyance. The precision in dose-response curves is also a consideration in selecting the number of survey participants. To enable pretest studies of dose error and precision, simulated dose-response data were generated based on NASA’s Quiet Supersonic Flights 2018 test. The data included various degrees of dose error and sample size. Frequentist multilevel logistic regression models were fit to the true and perturbed dose-response data. Simple proportional relationships were identified between the model parameters and the perturbation standard deviation. The summary dose-response curves illustrate the impact on accuracy if dose error is not accounted for in the model. The precision in the dose-response curves is also shown as the number of participants and degree of participation is varied. Finally, sampling variability is illustrated by showing the dose-response curves for several replicates with random draws of participants and errors.

X-59↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Mitigating the Impacts of Measurement Error in the Quesst Mission Community Noise Study

Beginning in 2025, the NASA Quesst mission will conduct a series of community response tests involving flyovers of the X-59 aircraft at select localities across the United States. Several waves of a longitudinal survey will be administered over approximately one month of testing in order to capture perceptual responses to low-amplitude sonic booms, or “sonic thumps”. Simultaneously, noise exposure levels will be estimated by fusing model-based predictions with measurements taken from a sparse network of monitors in the region. As one of the aims of the study is to produce a dose-response curve, a regression model relating perceptual response to noise exposure levels, it is important to acknowledge the potential attenuation bias that results from measurement error in the estimated noise exposure levels. In this presentation we review and compare several methods for dealing with measurement error in generalized linear mixed models. The methods are demonstrated on simulated data and real data collected during past NASA risk reduction studies.

measurement error↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

TPSAS-NF1676L-33626-DND

NASA is conducting a series of computational experiments to quantify atmospheric effects on low noise sonic booms. In the current study, simulated cruise nearfield pressure data from NASA?s X-59 Quiet Supersonic Technology aircraft was propagated from the aircraft to the ground at four cardinal headings through five years of realistic atmospheric profiles at 30 locations across the eastern USA. Statistical design of experiments was used to select the locations where primary sonic thump carpet widths (CW) and metric levels at the ground were computed. Atmospheric profiles were taken from the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis database, which contains reanalyzed atmospheric profiles four times daily. Decision tree analyses were performed to determine relative importance of predictors for CW and metric levels. Predictors included were latitude, longitude, date, time of day, season, climate, aircraft heading, and ground elevation. Results of this study indicate the propagation resolution needed to adequately characterize the distributions of CW and ground metric data, i.e., necessary separation distance between propagation locations and total number of atmospheres through which to propagate. This resolution will be used for a follow-on study of simulated X-59 carpets across the entire US mainland.

Will Doebler↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Statistical Considerations for the Design and Execution of NASA's Community Noise Surveys

The World Health Organization defines community noise as noise emitted from all sources apart from noise at an industrial workplace. Example sources include neighborhood and construction noise, noise from road and rail, and air traffic noise. In particular, overland supersonic flights have been banned in the United States since the 1970s based on data accumulated during the 1960s; the degree of reported annoyance from the resulting sonic booms was a key factor leading to the prohibition. In subsequent years, scientific and engineering understanding has led to the potential to produce low amplitude sonic booms, or ‘sonic thumps’, during supersonic flight through aircraft design choices. Aircraft manufacturers have expressed renewed interest in producing supersonic commercial aircraft, but without appropriate changes to regulation, only overseas routes can be traveled supersonically. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) will be flying the X-59 demonstrator aircraft in a series of community tests to begin in the 2024 fiscal year. In this presentation we provide some historical context for the current prohibitions on supersonic commercial flight. Using data collected during earlier NASA risk reduction tests, we demonstrate how generalized linear mixed models can be used to inform the functional dose-response response curve. Finally, we discuss some of the challenges in designing the future community studies and generalizing them to a nationally-representative dose-response curve. The study effort will be of national and international importance as the data and models prepared during the community tests will be provided to the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) in order to help noise regulators determine if supersonic flight will be permitted over land once again and at what demonstrable noise levels.

Nathan B Cruze↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Dose-Response Data Considerations for the NASA Quesst Community Test Campaign

Key outcomes for NASA's Quesst mission are noise dose and perceptual response data to inform regulators on their decisions regarding noise certification standards for the future of overland commercial supersonic flight. Dose-response curves are commonly utilized in community noise studies to describe the annoyance of a community to a particular noise source. The X-59 aircraft utilizes shaped-boom technology to demonstrate low noise supersonic flight. For X-59 community studies, the sound level from X-59 overflights constitutes the dose, while the response is an annoyance rating selected from a verbal scale, e.g., “slightly annoyed” and “very annoyed.” Dose-response data will be collected from individual flyovers (single event dose) and an overall response to the accumulation of single events at the end of the day (cumulative dose). There are quantifiable sources of error in the noise dose due to uncertainty in microphone measurements of the sonic thumps and uncertainty in predicted noise levels at survey participant locations. Assessing and accounting for error in the noise dose is essential to obtain an accurate dose-response model. There is also a potential for error in the perceptual response. This error is due to the ability of participants to provide their response in a timely manner and participant fatigue after responding to up to one hundred surveys over the course of a month. This talk outlines various challenges in estimating noise dose and perceptual response and the methods considered in preparation for X-59 community tests.

dose-response↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Developing Rationale for Experimental Designs Employed During Forthcoming NASA Quesst Mission Community Noise Campaigns

Since the publication of R.A. Fisher’s “The Arrangement of Field Experiments” in 1926, the enumerated principles that contributed to the improvement of agricultural field experiments in the early 20th century (randomization, replication, blocking, and appropriate variation of factors) remain hallmarks of all well-designed clinical trials and scientific endeavors in the 21st century. Beginning in 2026, NASA will conduct community noise campaigns with the first-of-kind X-59 experimental aircraft to 1) demonstrate the possibility of quiet supersonic flight over land and 2) to collect live data about annoyance (a categorical response) in relation to estimated noise levels (an experimental factor) produced by the new noise phenomenon, a low-noise “sonic thump”. The resulting predicted relationship between perceptual response and estimated noise level, e.g., mixed logistic regression or related models in the class of generalized linear (mixed) models, is believed to be a useful policy tool that domestic and international regulators can use when deciding whether existing prohibitions of supersonic flight over land can be replaced with a noise-based limit. The X-59 is engineered with the expectation that annoyance in the tested ranges should be a rare outcome, and, consequently, NASA convened an interdisciplinary team to examine and refine the rationale underlying the experimental design for future community campaigns. In this presentation, we review relevant literature on experiments with rare binary outcomes, relate the deliberations of the NASA team to tenets of good experimental design, and highlight several challenges and operational realities of this ambitious campaign.

Design of Experiments; blocking; randomization; co↗
NASA NTRS2021

Simulations and case study of X-59 low-booms propagated through measured atmospheric profiles

NASA's X-59 Quiet Supersonic Technology aircraft will soon be used to collect data to support the development of a dose-response relationship between low-boom level and human perception. The X-59's low-boom level will depend on aircraft conditions and trajectory, which can be controlled, and on atmospheric conditions, which cannot be controlled. To assess variability in low-boom levels produced by realistic atmospheres, NASA's PCBoom code was used to simulate propagation of an X-59 nearfield pressure condition through atmospheric profiles measured during NASA's Quiet Supersonic Flights 2018 (QSF18) test. Despite QSF18 lasting only 11 days, substantial weather variability occurred including snow and record high temperatures. A PL range of about 8.5 dB was predicted due to the QSF18 atmospheric variability. These results demonstrate the necessity for X-59's flight condition to be adjusted based on atmospheric conditions in order to achieve desired loudness levels during community surveys. Undertrack booms' Perceived Levels (PL) were predicted not to exceed 75 dB, X-59's target level in a standard atmosphere. Attenuation rate, ray tube area, path length, and other quantities are presented throughout propagation for the atmospheres that produce the loudest and quietest booms. Humidity differences below 15kft were a primary driver of the PL differences.

X-59↗
NASA NTRS2020

Quiet Supersonic Flights 2018 (QSF18) Test: Galveston, Texas Risk Reduction for Future Community Testing with a Low-Boom Flight Demonstration Vehicle

The Quiet Supersonic Flights 2018 (QSF18) Program was designed to develop tools and methods for demonstration of overland supersonic flight with an acceptable sonic boom, and collect a large dataset of responses from a representative sample of the population. Phase 1 provided the basis for a low amplitude sonic boom testing in six different climate regions that will enable international regulatory agencies to draft a noise-based standard for certifying civilian supersonic overland flight. Phase 2 successfully executed a large scale test in Galveston, Texas, developed well documented data sets, calculated dose response relationships, yielded lessons, and identified future risk reduction activities.

Galveston↗
NASA NTRS2020

Quiet Supersonic Flights 2018 (QSF18) Test: Galveston, Texas Risk Reduction for Future Community Testing with a Low-Boom Flight Demonstration Vehicle

The Quiet Supersonic Flights 2018 (QSF18) Program was designed to develop tools and methods for demonstration of overland supersonic flight with an acceptable sonic boom, and collect a large dataset of responses from a representative sample of the population. Phase 1 provided the basis for a low amplitude sonic boom testing in six different climate regions that will enable international regulatory agencies to draft a noise-based standard for certifying civilian supersonic overland flight. Phase 2 successfully executed a large scale test in Galveston, Texas, developed well documented data sets, calculated dose response relationships, yielded lessons, and identified future risk reduction activities.

Galveston↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Experiment Design and Visualization Techniques for an X-59 Low-boom Variability Study

This presentation outlines the design of experiments approach and data visualization techniques for a simulation study of sonic booms from NASA’s X-59 supersonic aircraft. The X-59 will soon be flown over communities across the contiguous USA as it produces a low-loudness sonic boom, or low-boom. Survey data on human perception of low-booms will be collected to support development of potential future commercial supersonic aircraft noise regulatory standards. The macroscopic atmosphere plays a critical role in the loudness of sonic booms. The extensive sonic boom simulation study presented herein was completed to assess climatological, geographical, and seasonal effects on the variability of the X-59’s low-boom loudness and noise exposure region size in order to inform X-59 community test planning. The loudness and extent of the noise exposure region make up the “sonic boom carpet.” Two spatial and temporal resolutions of atmospheric input data to the simulation were investigated. A Fast Flexible Space-Filling Design was used to select the locations across the USA for the two spatial resolutions. Analysis of simulated X-59 low-boom loudness data within a regional subset of the northeast USA was completed using a bootstrap forest to determine the final spatial and temporal resolution of the countrywide simulation study. Atmospheric profiles from NOAA’s Climate Forecast System Version 2 database were used to generate over one million simulated X-59 carpets at the final selected 138 locations across the USA. Effects of aircraft heading, season, geography, and climate zone on low-boom levels and noise exposure region size were analyzed. Models were developed to estimate loudness metrics throughout the USA for X-59 supersonic cruise overflight, and results were visualized on maps to show geographical and seasonal trends. These results inform regulators and mission planners on expected variations in boom levels and carpet extent from atmospheric variations. Understanding potential carpet variability is important when planning community noise surveys using the X-59.

X-59↗