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At least 19 records

Online Static Load Model Estimation in Distribution Systems: Preprint

The paper focuses on parameter identification for time varying voltage dependent polynomial load models, namely the constant impedance (Z), constant current (I), and constant power (P), in the distribution systems. Typically, parameter identification has been done for aggregated loads at substations for the transmission planning studies. Given the higher voltage volatility faced by active distribution systems, this paper takes the load model estimation to the distribution networks. The paper assumes the presence of measurements at the distribution nodes from various sources, each at varying temporal resolutions. Least squares estimation (LSE) method with bounded variables is used to convert the measurements into ZIP parameter estimations for loads at various locations of the feeder. The results and discussions focus on some of the estimation issues faced in a distribution system due to varying voltage sensitivities of loads along a feeder, measurement resolution, impact of window size and sampling rate of measurement data, and the use of dynamic simulations to create synthetic measurement data in the absence of real ones.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Subsetted model output for static variables from a LASSO-CACTI WRF simulation

Static model output from a Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) simulation from the Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Symbiotic Simulation and Observation (LASSO) deep-convection scenario for the Cloud, Aerosol, and Complex Terrain Interactions (CACTI) field campaign. The LASSO-CACTI simulations span grid spacings from 7.5 km to 100 m through the use of four nested domains, labeled d1 through d4. The simulations are of convection near the Sierras de Córdoba mountain range, roughly centered on the ARM Mobile Facility. More information can be found at https://www.arm.gov/capabilities/modeling/lasso. This version of the output is a collection of variables subsetted from the raw WRF output to reduce the file overhead for users not needing the full raw dataset. The subset files are in netCDF format with the height-based variables on the raw, model eta and soil levels. The variables in this file are ones that do not change during a simulation, such as the terrain height and map-scale factors.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Dynamic Probabilistic Safety Assessment Studies for Advanced Reactor Using RAVEN

Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) is used extensively to evaluate the risks associated with complex engineering systems like Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs). Current PSA models are based on the Event-Tree/Fault-Tree (ET/FT) methodology. ET and FT models are static and are based on Boolean logic approaches. In the past, concerns have been raised in the literature regarding the capability of the traditional static modelling approaches to adequately account for the impact of process, hardware, software, firmware and human interactions on the stochastic system behaviour. To overcome the limitations of the traditional approach to PSA, several dynamic PSA methodologies have been proposed. One of the dynamic PSA methodologies used for dynamic evaluations is Dynamic Event Tree (DET) framework which can be used to assess the impact of the parameter variability and scenario dynamics on the PSA model for the initiating event. The DET framework couples the stochastic model (number of component/trains that start on demand, operator action timing, etc.) with a Thermal-Hydraulic (TH) model of the plant. This paper explores the use of DET along with a case study on advanced reactor. The initiating event selected for the study was Class IV power supply failure event. The TH analysis considering uncertainty in various parameters was performed using RELAP5 and Reactor Analysis and Virtual control ENvironment (RAVEN) tool. Based on the uncertainty analysis, it is concluded that the peak clad temperatures (PCT) are within the limits in all the code runs implying a high-degree of safety margin. However, variation in time to reach the PCT was observed among the code runs and the mean time to reach the PCT was found to be around 8590sec (approximately 2.4 hours). Hence, sufficient time margin is available for human intervention and the operator might have a relatively stress-free state during such an accident scenario. Due to the static nature of the traditional PSA models, the safety margin available was lesser, whereas, with the help of dynamic PSA models, one can demonstrate that the actual available safety margin is more in the present case study and is valuable input from the design point of view.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Data-driven Quasi-static Surrogate Model for Nuclear-powered Integrated Energy Systems

The integration of nuclear power into energy systems presents a promising avenue to address the growing global energy demands while minimizing greenhouse gas emissions. In this paper, we introduce a data-driven quasi-static surrogate model for nuclear-powered Integrated Energy Systems (IES) that comprises various components, including a small modular reactor (SMR), energy manifold (EM), balance of plant (BOP), high-temperature steam electrolysis (HTSE), and district heating (DH) system. Traditional physics-based models for these components often entail significant computational overhead and time consumption, necessitating the development of efficient surrogate models. The development of a complete surrogate model for the IES involves the creation of individual surrogate models for each component, leveraging machine learning techniques and simulated data. These isolated surrogate models are subsequently integrated, enabling a holistic view of the IES and reducing the computational burden associated with detailed physics-based simulations. This paper outlines the development process, validation, and the performance evaluation of the surrogate models. The findings shed light on the accuracy and applicability of the surrogate models in practical scenarios, demonstrating their potential to expedite the analysis of nuclear-powered IES and inform future research and development efforts.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Data-driven Quasi-static Surrogate Models for Nuclear-powered Integrated Energy Systems

The integration of nuclear power into energy systems presents a promising avenue to address the growing global energy demands while minimizing greenhouse gas emissions. In this paper, we introduce a data-driven quasi-static surrogate model for nuclear-powered Integrated Energy Systems (IES) that comprises various components, including a small modular reactor (SMR), steam manifold, balance of plant (BOP), high-temperature steam electrolysis (HTSE), and district heating (DH) system. Traditional physics-based models for these components often entail significant computational resource and time consumption, necessitating the development of efficient surrogate models. The development of a complete surrogate model for the IES involves the creation of individual surrogate models for each component, leveraging machine learning techniques and simulated data. These isolated surrogate models are subsequently integrated, enabling a holistic view of the IES and reducing the computational burden associated with detailed physics-based simulations. This paper outlines the development process, validation, and the performance evaluation of the surrogate models. The exceptional performance, with low root-mean-squared errors and R-squared scores of at least 99.8% across all individual surrogate models, underscores their accuracy and practical applicability. These results demonstrate the potential of these models to expedite the analysis of nuclear-powered IES, offering insights that can shape future research and development efforts.

08 HYDROGEN↗

A helical actuator driven by biased SMA: design, model, and experiment

A helical actuator driven by biased shape memory alloy (SMA) patterns embedded into a soft composite ribbon base is presented in this work. Instead of common U-shape SMA wires, a single SMA wire is woven into planar patterns, which enable helical deformation of the composite ribbon from an initially flat geometry. An analytical static model is established for accurate and rapid prediction of the helical reconfiguration arising from the shape memory effect of woven SMA patterns, followed by validation of the static model using the finite element method (FEM). The finite element results are compared with the analytical solutions given by this static model, which show a high agreement. Parametric study of the influences of eight independent design variables on the dependent helical parameters, such as combined curvatures, pitches, and helical angles, is completed. It is found that the helically deformed geometry is mainly dominated by diameters, biased positions, inclined angles, and numbers of skewed segments of the SMA wire. Fabrication and in-situ experimental test of a prototype of such helical actuators qualitatively demonstrate its dramatic three-dimensional (3D) spiral reconfiguration from a two-dimensional (2D) flat ribbon. In conclusion, such SMA patterns will allow more diverse designs of soft actuators for a wider range of robotic applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

University of Illinois Campus Deep Direct-Use Feasibility Study - Preliminary Geothermal Reservoir Model

Preliminary geothermal reservoir simulations were performed using a homogeneous static model to evaluate and understand the effects of fluid and rock properties that could influence the delivery of thermal energy in a doublet system. A 5000 feet by 5100 feet by 500 feet homogeneous model having a constant porosity and permeability of 20% and 100 mD was used to perform preliminary geothermal reservoir simulations. The model was discretized in the x-, y-, and z-directions into 100, 101, and 100, gridblocks. Two wells were placed on the opposite ends of the central column of the discretized model. One of the wells was designated as a producer and the other an injector. Equal volumes of water was extracted and then injected into the reservoir via the production and injection wells. Water was extracted at a temperature of 109 deg F and re-injected at 50 deg F at the 1000 bbl/day. The files attached contains the input and output files of this simulation case. The input and some of the output files can be viewed in any text editor.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Static Strain Modelling, Calibration, and Measurements for High-Temperature Wireless SAW Resonator Operation

Static strain measurements are relevant for Integrated System Health Monitoring of civil structures, aircrafts, power plants and advanced manufacturing equipment, with implications for safety, process efficiency, and maintenance costs. Wireless strain sensing is highly desirable where the presence of wires poses significant safety concerns, increases maintenance, and thus overall costs, or where they are not feasible, such as in applications which contain moving parts. This paper presents wireless interrogation of surface acoustic wave resonators (SAWRs) fabricated on langasite (LGS) along Euler angles (0°, 138.5°, 32.9°) and aimed at the detection of static strain at hightemperature (HT, above 100°C). Both commercial HT strain gauges and finite element analysis (FEA Abaqus software) were used and compared for SAWR strain calibration from room temperature (RT) to HT. In addition, this work investigated a compromise between high temperature operation vs. sensitivity based on the thickness of ceramic adhesive used. For instance, a reduction in the adhesive thickness from about 150 μm to 135 μm, resulted in a 39% increase in sensitivity at RT. It was also observed that the sensitivity dropped up to 34% from RT to 200°C. Furthermore, wireless operation, calibration, and increase in sensitivity constitute important advances in the use of LGS SAW devices to monitor static stress in high-temperature harsh environments.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Reduced-Order Models of Static Power Grids based on Spectral Clustering

For large-scale interconnected power systems that cover large geographical areas, certain electrical studies are required so that appropriate decisions ensure system reliability and low cost. For such studies, it is often neither practical nor necessary to model in detail the entire power system, which is increasingly complex due to a more diverse range of grid assets to choose from in both short and long-term planning. The goal of this paper is to present a methodology to reduce the order of large-scale power networks based on spectral graph theory given that current methods for static network reduction are not scalable. A brief analysis of some spectral clustering properties to determine which graph Laplacian matrix should be used and why is included. The analysis shows that the utilization of the normalized graph Laplacian is more advantageous for clustering purposes. Techniques are proposed to approximate cost functions for the aggregated generators. This is done via linear regression. The reduced-order model obtained with the proposed methodology has an accuracy above 94% and solves the scalability issue commonly present in other reduction methods. If the utilization of the reduced-order model is either constrained to load levels above mid-peak demand, or cost functions of aggregated units are approximated via a piecewise quadratic approach, then the error distribution is in the order of 10^-3. .

Baquedano-Aguilar, Mario D.↗

Interactions and Dynamics Within CHIP/Hsp70 Complexes

Interactions between the E3 ubiquitin ligase CHIP (C‐terminus of Hsp70 interacting protein) and the chaperone Hsp70 represent the physical intersection of two competing protein quality control efforts: refolding, and degradation. Interaction with CHIP allows for the formation of a productive encounter complex that facilitates ubiquitination of Hsp70‐bound substrates, thereby targeting those proteins for proteasomal degradation. Central to the CHIP/Hsp70 interaction are changes in structure and dynamics that occur upon binding. Although recruitment of Hsp70 to CHIP via interaction with the CHIP tetratricopeptide repeat (TPR) domain is well established, alterations in structure and dynamics of CHIP and Hsp70 upon binding are not well understood. Using NMR we describe residue‐level changes in dynamics to the CHIP‐TPR domain that occur upon binding Hsp70. We also utilize small angle X‐ray scattering (SAXS) and electron paramagnetic resonance (EPR) to identify motions with the CHIP/Hsp70 complex. Independent SAXS and EPR experiments both point to a mobile Hsp70 substrate binding domain that is only partially constrained through interactions with the CHIP‐TPR. Building upon static models of the full‐length CHIP/Hsp70 complex, afforded by our recent crystal structure of the CHIP‐TPR/Hsp70‐lid‐tail complex, we have assembled a dynamic model of the CHIP‐Hsp70 complex. This dynamic model sheds light on the function of the CHIP/Hsp70 chaperoned ubiquitination complex and how CHIP harnesses dynamics of Hsp70 to overcome significant distance separations identified in earlier static models of the CHIP/Hsp70 complex. Support or Funding Information The authors acknowledge financial support from the US National Science Foundation (Award No. MCB 1552113 to RCP), the American Heart Association (Award No. 16SDG26960000 to RCP), the Burroughs Wellcome Fund (Award No. 1014031 to RCP), and institutional support from Miami University through the Robert H. and Nancy J. Blayney Professorship (to RCP). The Advanced Light Source is supported by the US Department of Energy under contract number DE‐AC03‐76SF00098 at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.

Mannion, Matthew M.↗

Static Thermochemical Model of COREX Melter Gasifier

COREX is one of the commercial smelting reduction processes. It uses the finer size ore and semi-soft coal instead of metallurgical coke to produce hot metal from iron ore. The use of top gas with high calorific value as a by-product export gas makes the process economical and green. The predictive thermochemical model of the COREX process presented here enables rapid computation of process parameters such as (1) required amount of ore, coal, and flux; (2) amount of slag and gas generated; and (3) gas compositions (based on the raw material and desired hot metal quality). The model helps in predicting the variations in process parameters with respect to the (1) degree of metallization and (2) post-combustion ratio for given raw material conditions. In general reduction in coal, flux, and oxygen, the requirement is concomitant with an increase in the degree of metallization and post-combustion ratio. The model reported here has been benchmarked using industrial data obtained from the JSW Steel Plant, India.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Thermo-Hydro-Chemical Simulation of Mid-Ocean Ridge Hydrothermal Systems: Static 2D Models and Effects of Paleo-Seawater Chemistry

Decades of research have resulted in characterization of the ocean floor manifestations of mid-ocean ridge (MOR) hydrothermal systems, yet numerical models accounting for the connections between heat transfer, hydrology and geochemistry have been slow to develop. The Thermo-hydro-chemical code ToughReact can be used to describe the coupled effects of fluid flow, heat transfer, and fluid-rock chemical interactions that occur in MOR systems. We describe the results of 2-dimensional simulations of steady state flow in fractured diabase with mineral-fluid chemical reactions. Basal heating and specified permeability yield maximum temperature of 400°C. Total fluid flux and high fracture flow velocities are in accord with observations. Fluid chemistry, mineralogical changes and 87 Sr/ 86 Sr ratios can be compared to observations to assess and calibrate models. Simulated high temperature fracture fluids have Mg and SO 4 near zero, elevated Ca and 87 Sr/ 86 Sr of about 0.7040. Total alteration is 10%–50% for simple models of spreading. Anhydrite forms mainly near the base of the upwelling zone and results in substantial local fracture porosity reduction. A calibrated model is used to predict how Sr isotopes and other features of altered oceanic crust would be different in the Cretaceous (95 Ma) early Proterozoic (1,800 Ma) and Archean (3,800 Ma), when seawater may have had high Ca and Sr concentrations, lower pH, higher temperature, and lower Na, Mg, and SO 4 . The simulations are offered as a start on what ultimately may require a longer-term community effort to better understand the role of MOR thermo-hydro-chemical systems in Earth evolution.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Convolution Correction Factor Adjustments on Static PRA Models for Event Assessment

Current probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) models will contain cut sets that have time-constrained basic events such as switched components, recovery of failed components, and failures in time. For these cut sets that have multiple time-constrained events that interact (e.g., offsite power recover at the same time as multiple diesel generators fail to run), there is the possibility that the minimal cut set quantified result is too large. Since current PRA models typically assume that the accident scenario starts at “time zero,” the fails-to-run basic events use this starting time as the basis for their respective reliability models. Over time, the standard practice was to recognize this issue and accept it as part of the conservatism built into the event tree/fault tree PRA models. However, now that these same PRA models are being used in a regulatory forum, this conservatism needs to be addressed. Further, this issue exists not only for the baseline PRA results, but for deficiencies that have been observed or those that have the potential of occurrence, whether the deficiency is complete failure or just a degraded condition. We have found that this conservatism becomes very important when evaluating scenarios such as station blackout sequences and other loss of offsite power sequences. This paper will address the theory and implemented process used by the Systems Analysis Programs for Hands-on Integrated Reliability Evaluations (SAPHIRE) PRA software. Starting with SAPHIRE version 8, the process that was developed is to calculate a “convolution correction factor” based on three distinct calculations. The first calculation is the cut set based frequency calculated via the standard event tree/fault tree PRA model (assuming all run failures start at time equal to zero). The second calculation is to perform the exact time-constrained calculation by integrating the component failure models over the time period of interest (e.g., time to recover, a mission time). For example, this exact calculation for the case of the diesel generators is to convolve their failure models with the offsite power recovery model to obtain the exact frequency. The third calculation is to produce the convolution correction factor by dividing the exact frequency calculation by the standard cut set frequency. This convolution correction factor is then applied to the PRA cut sets in order to remove the time-constrained conservatism. The process used to obtain the convolution correction factor for the baseline PRA is important; however, in this paper we also describe what happens when there is degradation of a component or a potential deficiency. These issues become very important in order to ensure that the convolution correction factor is re-calculated correctly. If the correction factor does not get re-calculated and the same baseline convolution correction factor is used, the final analysis result could be over conservative or under conservative. This paper will discuss how these issues are addressed and provide examples on how SAPHIRE automatically makes the necessary adjustments. MathCad verification results can be computed using the provided equations and input data.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Online Static Load Model Estimation in Distribution Systems

This paper focuses on parameter identification for time-varying voltage-dependent polynomial load models in distribution systems—namely, the constant impedance (Z), constant current (I), and constant power (P). The paper assumes the presence of measurements at the distribution nodes from various sources, each at varying temporal resolutions. The least- squares estimation method with bounded variables is used to convert the measurements into ZIP parameter estimations for loads at various locations on the feeder. The results and discussions focus on some of the estimation issues faced in a distribution system caused by varying voltage sensitivities of loads along a feeder, measurement resolution, impact of window size and sampling rate of measurement data. Finally, the paper uses dynamic simulations data (synthetic high-resolution measurements) to further improve the estimation results.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Doppler-free, Stark broadened profiles at low plasma densities in helium

This paper utilizes Doppler-free saturation spectroscopy to measure Doppler-free, Stark broadened spectral profi les for the π-polarization of the HeI 2¹P → 6¹D transition in a low density (10¹⁰ ₋ 10¹² cm⁻³) helium plasma. The measurements were performed in an electron-cyclotron resonance discharge at 23 mTorr with electron density being diagnosed using a combination of Langmuir probe and microwave interferometry techniques. The Doppler-free pro files were observed to be nearly symmetric at n e < 10¹⁰ cm⁻³ but markedly asymmetric above this transition point. Electron density is extracted from the spectral data via fi tting to a spectral model based on quasi-static Stark broadening and compared to the measured n e . The quasi-static model is shown to be valid in the low-density regime for 2¹P → 6¹D helium transition.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Generalized Quasi-Static Mooring System Modeling with Analytic Jacobians

This paper presents a generalized and efficient method for quasi-static analysis of mooring systems, including complex scenarios such as when shared mooring lines interconnect multiple floating wind or wave energy devices. While quasi-static mooring models are well established, most published formulations are focused on specific applications, and no publicly available implementations provide efficient handling of large mooring system networks. The present formulation addresses these gaps by: (1) formulating solutions for edge cases not typically supported by quasi-static models; (2) creating a fully generalized model structure such that any combination of mooring lines, point masses, and floating bodies can be assembled; and (3) deriving analytic expressions for the system Jacobians (stiffness matrices) so that systems with many degrees of freedom can be solved efficiently. These techniques form the theory basis of MoorPy, an open-source mooring analysis library. The model is demonstrated on nine scenarios of increasing complexity with features of interest for offshore renewable energy applications. When compared with steady-state results from a lumped-mass dynamic model, the results show that the quasi-static formulation accurately calculates profiles and tensions and that its analytic approach provides more efficient and reliable computation of system stiffness matrices than finite-differencing methods. These results verify the accuracy of the MoorPy model.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Economic and operational investigation of CO 2 sequestration through enhanced oil recovery in unconventional reservoirs in Colorado, USA

The ongoing CCUS commercial projects are highly relied on the support of government incentives due to massive capital investment. Here, this study analyzes the economics of carbon capture utilization and sequestration (CCUS) projects, shows a state-wide CCUS deployment exercise, followed by simulation results of enhanced oil recovery (EOR) based CO 2 storage in unconventional reservoirs. The comprehensive economic analysis of capture, transportation, sequestration costs, enhanced 45Q tax credits, and EOR revenue implies the practicality of CO 2 -EOR to offset the high CCUS costs. With the economics understanding, we study the top CO 2 sources, existing CO 2 pipelines, and sequestration sinks in the state of Colorado, USA. This paper next presents results from EOR simulation in one section of the unconventional Denver-Julesburg (DJ) Basin Niobrara and Codell reservoirs. The simulation model is based on a geological static model, incorporated with hydraulic fracture stimulation, history matched to production, and calibrated to the microseismic and time-lapse surface seismic data. The CO 2 -EOR simulation results show that oil production can be increased and more CO 2 stored with: a longer primary production period; the presence of a shut-in period; higher injection rates; and multi-well injectors. The modeling results show that about 7–10 Mscf of CO 2 will be stored when recovering 1 stb of EOR oil. By adding the enhanced oil revenue and the carbon credits together, it is estimated that the most economic case can generate $\$13$ MM when oil price is assumed to be $\$80$/stb, and the EOR oil revenue is 3.4 times greater than that generated from 45Q incentives. It corresponds to the scenario that a five-year primary production is followed by CO 2 injection into four wells with the sequence of injection (4 MMscf/day for 6 months), shut-in (6 months) and production (12 months). The best practices in this study will provide valuable insights for similar CCUS projects in other unconventional fields. Furthermore, this study defines a term named “Carbon Neutrality Index (CNI)” by comparing the amount of CO 2 stored with that burned by EOR oil. The CNI value of 0 indicates the enhanced oil is carbon neutral; a negative CNI value implies there is a net reduction in carbon emission. The 4-year huff-n-puff (HnP) simulation leads to a positive CNI value, indicating that the EOR oil generated in this process is not carbon neutral yet.

03 NATURAL GAS↗