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At least 19 records

Executing Temporal Networks With Uncertainty

Simple Temporal Networks (STNs) have proved useful in applications that involve metric time. However, many applications involve events whose timing is uncertain in the sense that it is not controlled by the execution agent. In this paper we consider execution algorithms for temporal networks with events of uncertain duration. We present two such algorithms. The first retains maximum flexibility, but requires potentially costly updates during execution. The second surrenders some flexibility in order to obtain a fast execution comparable to that available for ordinary STNs.

Morris, Paul↗

Syntgen: a system to generate temporal networks with user-specified topology

Abstract In the last few years, the study of temporal networks has progressed markedly. The evolution of clusters of nodes (or communities) is one of the major focus of these studies. However, the time dimension increases complexity, introducing new constructs and requiring novel and enhanced algorithms. In spite of recent improvements, the relative scarcity of timestamped representations of empiric networks, with known ground truth, hinders algorithm validation. A few approaches have been proposed to generate synthetic temporal networks that conform to static topological specifications while in general adopting an ad hoc approach to temporal evolution. We believe there is still a need for a principled synthetic network generator that conforms to problem domain topological specifications from a static as well as temporal perspective. Here, we present such a system. The unique attributes of our system include accepting arbitrary node degree and cluster size distributions and temporal evolution under user control, while supporting tunable joint distribution and temporal correlation of node degrees. Theoretical contributions include the analysis of conditions for graphic sequences of inter- and intracluster node degrees and cluster sizes and the development of a heuristic to search for the cluster membership of nodes that minimizes the shared information distance between clusterings. Our work shows that this system is capable of generating networks under user controlled topology with up to thousands of nodes and hundreds of clusters with strong topology adherence. Much larger networks are possible with relaxed requirements. The generated networks support algorithm validation as well as problem domain analysis.

Pereira, Luis Ramada↗

ITeM: Independent temporal motifs to summarize and compare temporal networks

We report networks are a fundamental and flexible way of representing various complex systems. Many domains such as communication, citation, procurement, biology, social media, and transportation can be modeled as a set of entities and their relationships. Temporal networks are a specialization of general networks where every relationship occurs at a discrete time. The temporal evolution of such networks is as important to understand as the structure of the entities and relationships. We present the Independent Temporal Motif (ITeM) to characterize temporal graphs from different domains. ITeMs can be used to model the structure and the evolution of the graph. In contrast to existing work, ITeMs are edge-disjoint directed motifs that measure the temporal evolution of ordered edges within the motif. For a given temporal graph, we produce a feature vector of ITeM frequencies and the time it takes to form the ITeM instances. We apply this distribution to measure the similarity of temporal graphs. We show that ITeM has higher accuracy than other motif frequency-based approaches. We define various ITeM-based metrics that reveal salient properties of a temporal network. We also present importance sampling as a method to efficiently estimate the ITeM counts. We present a distributed implementation of the ITeM discovery algorithm using Apache Spark and GraphFrame. We evaluate our approach on both synthetic and real temporal networks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Lila: Optimal Dispatching in Probabilistic Temporal Networks using Monte Carlo Tree Search

Executing a Probabilistic Simple Temporal Network (PSTN) amounts at scheduling, i.e. \textit{dispatch}, a set of events under time uncertainty. This constitutes a NP-hard online optimization problem. The right execution time must be dynamically assigned to each event of the PSTN such that the temporal constraints are met, whereas activity durations are progressively observed as the execution unfolds. We propose a dispatching algorithm based on Monte Carlo Tree Search, called Lila, with the following characteristics: (i) it is an anytime algorithm, both offline and online, proven asymptotically optimal; (ii) it returns the current probability of success, either before or at any moment during operations; (iii) it handles any possible continuous or discrete, even non-parametric, probability distributions, as well as inter-dependencies between random variables, exogenous and endogenous uncertainty; and (iv) can be easily extended to handle probabilistic external events, PSTNs with resources, PSTNs with cutoff times and precondition chains, etc. Lila is universal in the sense that it can handle any dispatching protocol, simply by specifying it to the algorithm. It has the unlimited flexibility offered by the simulation paradigm, whilst it asymptotically converges to optimal decisions and/or robustness approximations.

Chien, Steve A.↗

Robustness Computation of Dynamic Controllability in Probabilistic Temporal Networks with Ordinary Distributions

Most existing works in Probabilistic Simple Temporal Networks (PSTNs) base their frameworks on well-defined probability distributions. This paper addresses on PSTN Dynamic Controllability (DC) robustness measure, i.e. the execution success probability of a network under dynamic control.We consider PSTNs where the probability distributions of the contingent edges are ordinary distributed (e.g. non-parametric, non-symmetric). We introduce the concepts of dispatching protocol (DP) as well as DP-robustness, the probability of success under a predefined dynamic policy.We propose a fixed-parameter pseudo-polynomial time algorithm to compute the exact DP-robustness of any PSTN under \textit{NextFirst} protocol, and apply to various PSTN datasets, including the real case of planetary exploration in the context of the Mars 2020 rover, and propose an original structural analysis.

Saint-Guillain, Michael↗

Bayesian Physics Informed Spatio-Temporal Network for Streamflow Data Imputation

Reliable reconstruction of incomplete streamflow records is critical for improving hydrological forecasting, flood preparedness, and water resource management. However, large observational gaps and uncertainties in governing physical parameters limit the accuracy of traditional statistical and machinelearning imputation frameworks. To address these challenges, we develop a Bayesian Physics-Informed Spatio-Temporal Network (BPI-STNet) that jointly captures spatial and temporal dependencies while enforcing hydrologic consistency through embedded physical constraints. The framework integrates a GraphSAGE-LSTM architecture to model spatial connectivity across gauges and temporal flow dynamics, coupled with a Bayesian update mechanism to estimate uncertain parameters in a simplified water-balance framework. Unlike conventional physics-informed networks that rely on sampling-based posterior estimation, BPI-STNet derives an analytic solution to the inverse problem, allowing closed-form Bayesian updates of uncertain parameters Λ={α,β,k} using Gaussian priors and likelihoods. Applied to daily observations from the Susquehanna River Basin (1980-2022), BPI-STNet achieves substantial improvements over a purely data-driven RGNN baseline, which reduced RMSE by 23 % and MAE by 9 %, and achieving an average NSE values up to 0.96. The results demonstrate that coupling Bayesian inference with physics-informed learning yields physically consistent, uncertainty-aware reconstructions that preserve the temporal persistence and statistical distribution of observed flows. The proposed framework establishes a generalizable paradigm for data-sparse hydrologic systems where both data fidelity and physical interpretability are essential.

Krishnan Kutty Ambika, Anukesh [ORNL] (ORCID:00000↗

Temporal network alignment via GoT-WAVE

Abstract Motivation Network alignment (NA) finds conserved regions between two networks. NA methods optimize node conservation (NC) and edge conservation. Dynamic graphlet degree vectors are a state-of-the-art dynamic NC measure, used within the fastest and most accurate NA method for temporal networks: DynaWAVE. Here, we use graphlet-orbit transitions (GoTs), a different graphlet-based measure of temporal node similarity, as a new dynamic NC measure within DynaWAVE, resulting in GoT-WAVE. Results On synthetic networks, GoT-WAVE improves DynaWAVE’s accuracy by 30% and speed by 64%. On real networks, when optimizing only dynamic NC, the methods are complementary. Furthermore, only GoT-WAVE supports directed edges. Hence, GoT-WAVE is a promising new temporal NA algorithm, which efficiently optimizes dynamic NC. We provide a user-friendly user interface and source code for GoT-WAVE. Availability and implementation http://www.dcc.fc.up.pt/got-wave/ Supplementary information Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

Aparício, David↗