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Meeting the Challenges of Modern Transit through the Integration of Traditional Transit, On-Demand Micro-Transit Services and Vehicle Automation - A Case Study in Chandler, Arizona

Current technology trends of vehicle automation, electrification and on-demand transit are providing new tools to develop effective public mobility services, yet need to be balanced with traditional modes to serve the spectrum of demand effectively and efficiently. Automated vehicle transportation network company (TNC) services, better known as 'Robotaxis' are beginning to proliferate and scale across the US, with Waymo as the lead commercial entity. Chandler, AZ was the first fully automated deployment of Waymo technology. Chandler was also one of the first municipalities in Arizona to roll out micro-transit service to its citizens in 2022. At present the Chandler Flex micro-transit program is beginning to partner with Waymo to augment micro-transit services during peak demands, another first in the nation. However, the mix of services in Chandler relies not only on new technology, but also on traditional modes including fixed route transit and para-transit services. These are blended and balanced such that both old and new modes are applied within the context in which each excel. This presentation will provide background on the Chandler, AZ public mobility services, and the performance metrics that govern their use and selection within the spectrum of development and population density as well as socio-demographics within Chandler. Additionally, the behavioral response of the use of unmanned, automated vehicles employed to augment micro-transit is novel, the first in the nation - and initial feedback from public transit constituents in Chandler will be shared.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION

A-B Transition in Superfluid $^3$He and Cosmological Phase Transitions

First-order phase transitions in the very early universe are a prediction of many extensions of the Standard Model of particle physics and could provide the departure from equilibrium needed for a dynamical explanation of the baryon asymmetry of the Universe. They could also produce gravitational waves of a frequency observable by future space-based detectors such as the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna. All calculations of the gravitational wave power spectrum rely on a relativistic version of the classical nucleation theory of Cahn-Hilliard and Langer, due to Coleman and Linde. The high purity and precise control of pressure and temperature achievable in the laboratory made the first-order A to B transition of superfluid $^3$He ideal for test of classical nucleation theory. As Leggett and others have noted, the theory fails dramatically. The lifetime of the metastable A phase is measurable, typically of order minutes to hours, far faster than classical nucleation theory predicts. If the nucleation of B phase from the supercooled A phase is due to a new, rapid intrinsic mechanism that would have implications for first-order cosmological phase transitions as well as predictions for gravitational wave production in the early universe. Here we discuss studies of the A-B phase transition dynamics in $^3$He, both experimental and theoretical, and show how the computational technology for cosmological phase transition can be used to simulate the dynamics of the A-B transition, support the experimental investigations of the A-B transition in the QUEST-DMC collaboration with the goal of identifying and quantifying the mechanism(s) responsible for nucleation of stable phases in ultra-pure metastable quantum phases.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS

Proton and neutron contributions to the quadrupole transition strengths in 39 Ca and 39 K studied by lifetime measurements of mirror transitions

The E2 transition matrix elements of isobaric multiplets are expected to follow a linear trend as a function of isospin projection. However, measurements of the 2 + → 0 + transitions in the A = 38 triplet of Ca, K, and Ar show a deviation from this trend with an enhanced transition strength in 38 Ca with respect to its mirror 38 Ar. We have studied analogue 11/2 – → 7/2 – E2 transitions in 39 Ca and its mirror partner 39 K to determine if this enhancement persists in neighboring Ca isotopes. Recoil-distance lifetime measurements of 39 Ca and 39 K were performed utilizing a 42 Sc secondary beam, the TRIPLEX plunger, the GRETINA array, and the S800 spectrograph. Our data provide a lifetime measurement of the (11/2 – ) state in 39 Ca as well as an improved lifetime result for the (9/2 – ) state, while the 39 K data are used to validate the present analysis. Furthermore, a comparison of the present data to shell-model calculations suggests an enhanced transition strength in 39 Ca, pointing to both proton and neutron contributions to core excitations across the Z = N = 20 shell gaps in close proximity to 40 Ca.

39 ≤ A ≤ 58

Insights Into On-Demand Transit: A Case Study of Houston METRO's curb2curb Transit Services: Preprint

As modern on-demand transit (ODT) deployments increase, the insights gained from studying real-world systems prove more useful. In this study, a shared ODT system called "METRO curb2curb" in the suburbs of Houston, Texas was studied, with a particular focus on the Missouri City zone, which has the highest ridership out of the four total zones in which the system operates. The Missouri City zone spans 18 square miles with an average daily ridership of nearly 400 as of November 2024. In order to gain a passenger perspective, data collection was performed through using the ODT system first-hand, completing 50 rides in March and April of 2023. These rides included a mix of three different types of on-demand travel accommodations - 1.) advance bookings (30 min - 2 hours ahead), 2.) as-soon-as-possible / real-time dispatch bookings, and 3.) no-reservation trips at two designated "anchor points." Wait and travel time were collected for each ride. Anecdotal findings related to ease of locating the driver/vehicle, the process of booking a ride, and popular trip purposes were also documented. This study provides an overview of the METRO curb2curb system, including its history, service provider, service area, ridership, booking options, wait time, and travel time. Intricacies related to different definitions of wait time are included. Finally, relevant considerations for automating the on-demand transit system and discussed.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS

Ligand Hole Driven Metal–Insulator Transition Exemplified in a Layered Transition Metal Oxide

The interplay of cooperative Jahn–Teller (JT) distortions and charge-disproportionation (CD) with a strong electronic correlation in transition metal oxides leads to structural symmetry breaking. Both JT and CD often manifest in the form of significant modifications in electronic and structural properties such as band splitting, metal–insulator transitions (MIT), and enhanced electron lattice interactions. Notably, the charge-disproportionation is a key electronic feature that drives the MIT. Here, we demonstrate and quantify it using first-principles calculations combining density-functional theory, dynamical mean-field theory, and spin–lattice Monte Carlo simulations. Taking Ca 2 FeMnO 6 as a prototypical example of a correlated oxide, our ab initio study shows that MIT in Ca 2 FeMnO 6 arises from the partial localization of oxygen ligand holes at alternate Fe sites that control both charge and magnetic ordering. Interestingly, the band gap was found to be fundamentally controlled by the strength of the charge-transfer energy and not by the Mott–Hubbard interactions. The novel physics and insights presented in this work reveal promising routes for tuning the electronic functionality in transition-metal oxides.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE

Observing the effects of numbers of valence nucleons on 0$^{+}_{𝑔⁡𝑠}$ → 2$^{+}_{1}$ transitions in deformed nuclei by comparing proton and neutron transition matrix elements

We examined the ratios of neutron and proton transition matrix elements, 𝑀 𝑛 /𝑀 𝑝 , for the 0$^{+}_{𝑔⁡𝑠}$ → 2$^{+}_{1}$ transitions in 48 even-even stable nuclei with 𝑁 > 20 for which electromagnetic matrix elements were compiled by Pritychenko et al. and for which high-quality inelastic proton-scattering data were available. Several deformed rare-earth nuclei have (𝑀 𝑛 /𝑀 𝑝 )/(𝑁/𝑍) values significantly below 1.0, which is not consistent with a simple liquid-drop picture. However, this phenomenon can be explained using a schematic picture in which 𝑀 𝑝 reaches a maximum at proton midshell (𝑍 = 66) and 𝑀𝑛 reaches its maximum at neutron midshell (𝑁 = 104). Several midmass vibrational nuclei have 𝑀 𝑛 /𝑀 𝑝 values significantly below 𝑁/𝑍, which is not consistent with the expectation that 𝑀 𝑛 /𝑀 𝑝 = 𝑁/𝑍 in such nuclei. As a result, a shell-model investigation of these observations might yield insights about this behavior.

Collective levels

Reaching the prolate-oblate boundary at 𝑁=116 via first fragmentation of a 198 Pt beam: Sharp transition to triaxiality in 189 Ta

High-spin isomers in very-neutron-rich 𝐴≈190 Hf-Ta-W nuclei were populated via the pioneering fragmentation of a 198 Pt primary beam at the National Superconducting Cyclotron Laboratory. The nuclei were implanted in a Si detector stack surrounded by the Gamma-Ray Energy Tracking In-beam Nuclear Array (GRETINA) to detect delayed 𝛾 rays, providing first level schemes using 𝛾−𝛾 coincidence data from isomeric decays in this previously inaccessible region of the nuclear chart. Here, a sudden transition to a strong triaxial shape is observed in the very-neutron-rich 189 Ta (𝑁 = 116) nucleus from axially prolate shapes in lighter Ta isotopes, providing a critical experimental benchmark for competing theoretical predictions of nuclear-shape evolution.

150 ≤ A ≤ 189

Data for Propagation Method and Planting Density Influence Canopy Developmental Transition and Biomass Productivity in Miscanthus × giganteus

Understanding how establishment practices influence the mechanisms underlying Miscanthus × giganteus (miscanthus) productivity and canopy development is critical for optimizing management. Data was collected during the juvenile (2011–2013) and mature (2024) phases of a long-term field experiment established in Urbana, Illinois, to evaluate the effects of propagation method (plug propagation [PP] and rhizome propagation [RP]), planting density (1.0, 0.75, and 0.25 plants m⁻²), and nitrogen application (0 and 67 kg N ha⁻¹) on end-of-season biomass yield, tiller mass, tiller density, and tiller height. Linear regression models identified the dominant predictors of yield across stand ages and management regimes. Planting density, nitrogen (N) application, and propagation method significantly influenced early yield and canopy development. During the juvenile phase, biomass yield was driven by tiller density due to canopy expansion; in the mature phase, yield became driven by tiller mass. The PP plots produced higher tiller density than the RP plots, resulting in faster canopy closure and higher juvenile-phase yields. Rhizome-propagated (RP) plots produced lower tiller density, but individual tillers were 3.3–6.4 g tiller−1 heavier than PP tillers. After the canopy reached equilibrium, the PP and RP yields were similar because greater RP tiller mass compensated for its lower tiller density. Higher planting density resulted in greater yield and tiller density during the second year (2012), but this effect was absent from the third year (2013) onward. In the juvenile phase, N fertilization enhanced yield by 1.6–3.4 Mg ha−1. Initiating fertilization in 2013 on unfertilized plots produced biomass similar to that in fertilized plots, suggesting yield recovery in the mature phase. These findings revealed that establishment strategies, including propagation method and planting density, influence juvenile miscanthus canopy development and productivity, transitioning from tiller-density- to mass-dominated yields, but not mature phase productivity.

Miscanthus

A Spectroscopic and Computational Evaluation of Uranyl Oxo Engagement with Transition Metal Cations

Here, we report the synthesis and characterization of five novel Cd 2+ /UO 2 2+ heterometallic complexes that feature Cd-oxo distances ranging from 78 to 171% of the sum of the van der Waals radii for these atoms. This work marks an extension of our previously reported Pb 2+ /UO 2 2+ and Ag + /UO 2 2+ complexes, yet with much more pronounced structural and spectroscopic effects resulting from Cd-oxo interactions. We observe a major shift in the U═O symmetric stretch and significant uranyl bond length asymmetry. The ρbcp values calculated using Quantum Theory of Atoms in Molecules (QTAIM) support the asymmetry displayed in the structural data and indicate a decrease in covalent character in U═O bonds with close Cd-oxo contacts, more so than in related compounds containing Pb 2+ and Ag + . Second-order perturbation theory (SOPT) analysis reveals that O sp x → Cd s is the most significant orbital overlap and U═O bonding and antibonding orbitals also contribute to the interaction (U═O σ/π → Cd d and Cd s → U═O σ/π*). The overall stabilization energies for these interactions were lower than those in previously reported Pb 2+ cations, yet larger than related Ag + compounds. Analysis of the equatorial coordination sphere of the Cd 2+ /UO 2 2+ compounds (along with Pb 2+ /UO 2 2+ complexes) reveals that 7-coordinate uranium favors closer, stronger M n+ -oxo contacts. These results indicate that U═O bond strength tuning is possible with judicious choice of metal cations for oxo interactions and equatorial ligand coordination.

cations

Tonoplast Sucrose Transporter SUT4-Dependent Sugar Partitioning Modulates Phenological Transitions and Reproductive Success in Poplar

Climate uncertainty is intensifying the need for greater plasticity in carbohydrate reserve utilization to support winter survival and spring growth in woody perennials. In poplar, the single-copy SUT4, which encodes a tonoplast-localized sucrose transporter, and the SUT5/SUT6 genome duplicates, which encode plasma membrane-localized transporters, are expressed year-round, with SUT4 showing the highest expression during cool seasons. Given its role in vacuolar sucrose efflux and winter-predominant expression, SUT4 may play a key role in modulating seasonal carbohydrate dynamics. While SUT4-knockdown and knockout effects have been studied under greenhouse conditions, their impact under field conditions remains unexplored. Here, we report a field-based study comparing CRISPR knockout mutants of winter-expressed SUT4 and SUT5/SUT6 in Populus tremula x alba. We show that sut4, but not sut5/6, mutants exhibited earlier autumn leaf senescence, delayed spring bud flush, reduced stem growth, and altered sugar partitioning in winter xylem and bark relative to controls. After 2 years in the field, all genotypes flowered before leaf flush in early spring; however, sut4 mutants produced sterile ovules despite developing normal-looking catkins. Metabolic profiling revealed disrupted sucrose and raffinose dynamics in elongating sut4 catkins. This was accompanied by transcriptomic signatures of elevated stress and downregulation of proanthocyanidin biosynthesis and circadian clock genes. These findings highlight the critical role of SUT4 in coordinating sugar allocation, stress responses, and seasonal development in poplar.

09 BIOMASS FUELS

Investigation of magnetic fluctuations in L-H and H-L transition dynamics on DIII-D

The dynamics of the L-H transition is not fully understood, with many parameters changing the threshold power to enter H-mode and the self-regulation between zonal flows and turbulence in the plasma edge. This paper is primarily a presentation of experimental results for DIII-D L-H and H-L transitions and speculation on the observations made. Power threshold analysis and measurements of pedestal temperatures for these transitions are presented. A comparison is made between an L-H transition and H-L transition of comparable Psep exhibiting oscillatory behaviour, showing symmetry between forward and backward transition dynamics. This paper shows the first observations of magnetic fluctuations during L-H and H-L transitions on DIII-D, and shows that L-H and H-L transitions have similar magnetic fluctuation dynamics. Information geometry analysis has been performed on measurements of plasma density fluctuations, perpendicular plasma velocity fluctuations, and magnetic field fluctuations to investigate the self-regulation and evolution of these variables during the transitions. Perpendicular flow evolution is shown to dominate the transition dynamics in both directions, but self-regulation behaviour is observed between all three variables. A strong correlation between magnetic fluctuation information rate and density fluctuation information rate for these two shots shows the strong influence of magnetic behaviour on both the L-H and H-L transition, and that these transition dynamics necessarily include electromagnetic effects.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

Zero-Emission Transit Bus Needs Assessment

The transition to zero-emissions vehicles (ZEVs) in public transit has gained traction due to significant federal investments from the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL) and the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). This needs assessment, commissioned by the Joint Office of Energy and Transportation and conducted by researchers at the Idaho National Laboratory, explores the current state of electrification in transit agencies, identifying barriers to implementation, potential funding sources, and operational considerations necessary for a successful transition. The assessment involved qualitative interviews with representatives from 19 transit service providers across diverse geographic regions. Key findings highlight the challenges related to bus facilities and operations, which require careful planning for charging infrastructure and maintenance capabilities to accommodate battery electric buses (BEBs) and hydrogen fuel cell buses (HFCBs). Agencies reported operational hurdles due to the shorter range of BEBs compared to diesel buses, necessitating revised scheduling and routing strategies. Despite these challenges, many agencies expressed optimism about their capacity to adapt. Funding availability emerged as a critical factor influencing the transition to ZEVs. While agencies welcomed increased financial support, particularly from the Low or No Emission Grant Program (Lo-No), concerns about the sustainability of this funding and the ongoing operational costs were prevalent. The need for a comprehensive funding inventory was underscored to ensure transit agencies are aware of all available resources. Technological constraints were significant barriers to ZEV adoption. The limited range of BEBs was frequently cited as a concern, leading to operational challenges and reliability issues. Agencies reported difficulties in sourcing replacement parts, which exacerbated downtime and maintenance challenges. Workforce development and training were identified as pivotal for a successful transition. Many agencies rely heavily on manufacturers for technician training, highlighting the need for scalable training programs that equip staff with the necessary skills to maintain electric powertrains effectively. This assessment offers actionable recommendations for the Joint Office, including enhancing outreach to transit agencies, developing resources for effective utility partnerships, and facilitating comprehensive training programs. Establishing a zero-emission bus evaluation program to track performance metrics such as cost, range, and reliability could provide valuable insights for transit agencies. The needs assessment provides a detailed examination of the challenges and opportunities facing transit agencies in their transition to zero-emissions bus fleets. By addressing these issues through targeted support, stakeholders can collaboratively work towards a cleaner, more sustainable public transportation system that benefits all communities.

33 - ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS

Modeling-Based Design and Optimization of a Gradient Composite Transition Joint

An innovative additively manufactured gradient composite transition joint (AM-GCTJ) has been designed to join dissimilar metals, to address the pressing issue of premature failure observed in conventional dissimilar metal welds (DMWs) when subjected to increased cyclic operating conditions of fossil fuel power plants. The transition design, guided by computational modeling, developed a gradient composite material distribution, facilitating a smooth transition in material volume fraction and physical properties between different alloys. This innovative design seeks to alleviate structural challenges arising from distinct material properties, including high thermal stress and potential cracking issues resulting from the thermal expansion mismatch typically observed in conventional DMWs. In this study, we investigated the creep properties of transition joints comprising Grade 91 steel and 304 stainless steel through a combination of simulations and creep testing experiments. The implementation of a gradient composite design in the plate transition joint resulted in a significant enhancement of creep resistance when compared to the baseline conventional DMW. For instance, the creep rupture life of the transition joint was improved by > 400% in a wide range of temperature and stress testing conditions. Meanwhile, the failure location shifted to the base material of Grade 91 steel. Such enhancement can be primarily attributed to the strong mechanical constraint facilitated by the gradient composite design, which effectively reduced the stresses on the less creep-resistant alloy in the transition zone. Beyond examining plate joints, it is crucial to assess the deformation response of tubular transition joints under pressure loading and transient temperature conditions to substantiate and demonstrate the effectiveness of the design. The simulation results affirm that the tubular transition joint demonstrates superior resistance compared to its counterpart DMW when subjected to multiaxial stresses in tubular structures. In addition, optimization of the transition joint’s geometry dimensions has been conducted to diminish the accumulated deformation and enhance the service life. Lastly, the scalability and potential of the innovative transition joints for large-diameter pipe applications are addressed.

Zhang, Wei

High Pressure–Temperature Study of MgF 2 , CaF 2 , and BaF 2 by Raman Spectroscopy: Phase Transitions and Vibrational Properties of AF 2 Difluorides

The phase transition of AF 2 difluorides strongly depends on pressure, temperature, and cationic radius. Here, we have investigated the phase transition of three difluorides, including MgF 2 , CaF 2 , and BaF 2 , at simultaneously high pressures and temperatures using Raman spectroscopy and X-ray diffraction in externally heated diamond anvil cells up to 55 GPa at 300–700 K. Rutile-type difluoride MgF 2 with a small cationic radius undergoes a transition to the CaCl 2 -type phase at 9.9(1) GPa and 300 K, to the HP-PdF 2 -type phase at 21.0(2) GPa, and to the cotunnite-type phase at 44.2(2) GPa. The phase transition pressure to the HP-PdF 2 and cotunnite structure at 300 K for our single crystal was found to be higher than that in previous studies using polycrystalline samples. Elevating the temperature increases the transition pressure from rutile- to the CaCl 2 -type phase but has a negative influence on the transition pressure when MgF 2 transforms from the HP-PdF 2 - to cotunnite-type phase. Meanwhile, the transition pressure from the CaCl 2 - to HP-PdF 2 -type phase for MgF 2 was identified to be independent of the temperature. Raman peaks suspected to belong to the α-PbO 2 -type phase were observed at 14.6–21.0(1) GPa and 400–700 K. At 300 K, difluorides CaF 2 and BaF 2 in the fluorite structure with larger cationic radii transform to the cotunnite-type phase at 9.6(3) and 3.0(3) GPa at 300 K, respectively, and BaF 2 further undergoes a transition to the Ni 2 In-type phase at 15.5(4) GPa. For both CaF 2 and BaF 2 , elevating the temperature leads to a lower transition pressure from fluorite- to the cotunnite-type phase but has little influence on the transition to the Ni 2 In structure. Raman data provide valuable insights for mode Grüneisen parameters. We note that the mode Grüneisen parameters for both difluorides and dioxides vary linearly with the cation radius. Further calculations for the mode Grüneisen parameters at high pressures for MgF 2 , CaF 2 , and BaF 2 yield a deeper understanding of the thermodynamic properties of the difluorides.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Proliferation transitions from a topological phase in 2+1 dimensions

We consider phase transitions out of a general topological phase in 2+1 dimensions. We assume that the transition is triggered by a single Abelian anyon, which becomes light near the transition and whose worldlines proliferate after the transition. (This proliferation is often referred to as “condensation.”) We describe the transition using a continuum field theory obtained by coupling the corresponding topological quantum field theory (TQFT) to a single complex scalar field associated with this anyon. With these assumptions, we find the most general relativistic field theory for such a transition. Even though for a given TQFT and a choice of anyon, there are infinitely many such field theories, the transition theory depends on only a single additional integer parameter. We analyze all these theories, their global symmetries, and their phases. In generic cases, the theory after the transition can be related to the original one via an Abelian hierarchy construction. In special cases, the theory after the transition is gapless, and with a particular deformation, it is related to the original TQFT by gauging an anomaly-free one-form global symmetry. We also explore the enrichment of this setup by a global U⁡(1) symmetry. In some cases, enriching the original TQFT is incompatible with the full transition theory. Lastly, we demonstrate our construction with many specific examples.

Anyons

Vehicle-Cycle Inventory for Type C School Buses & Intra-City Transit Buses

This report documents the new inventory incorporated into the Research and Development version of Greenhouse gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy use in Technologies (R&D GREET) 2025 model for the vehicle cycle of Type C school buses and intracity transit buses. The transportation sector contributes significantly to the United States’ energy consumption and resultant emissions (EPA, 2025a). However, public transit plays an important role in mitigating these impacts because it consumes a relatively low amount of energy per passenger (Congressional Budget Office, 2022). Public transit is widely used in the United States; more than 500,000 school buses (EPA, 2025b) and ~75,000 service buses (American Public Transportation Association, 2025) operate in the nation. These are primarily internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) powered by diesel. Original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) are making efforts to electrify U.S. bus fleets by using batteries as a propulsion system to replace internal combustion engines. Electrification can reduce tailpipe emissions, such as particulate matter (with a diameter ≤10 µm [PM 10 ] and with a diameter ≤2.5 µm [PM 2.5 ]) and nitrogen oxides (Jonas et al., 2025; Martinez and Samaras, 2024; EPA, 2025b; Wayne et al., 2009). Hence, any energy and emission impact analysis of public transit must consider both conventional ICEVs and upcoming electric vehicle (EV) options for the school and transit buses that dominate this landscape. To understand the detailed environmental impact profiles of ICEV and EV school and transit buses, it is necessary to conduct a thorough analysis covering both vehicle manufacturing and vehicle use stages. The current literature lacks a detailed vehicle-cycle inventory for school and transit buses, which makes this kind of comparison difficult. To overcome this gap, we developed a comprehensive vehicle-cycle model for school and transit buses in Argonne’s R&D GREET 2025 model. The model is flexible in handling user inputs for key assumptions, such as component weights and material compositions, upstream energy sources for material processing, and vehicle operating parameters, to understand their impacts on energy use and emissions for both school and transit buses. This report is organized as follows: Section 2 provides details on the modeling approach and vehicle specifications (weights and composition of different vehicle components, and vehicle operating parameters) for both school and transit buses. Section 3 provides details on vehicle assembly, disposal, and recycling (ADR) approaches for the two buses. Section 4 includes details about their incorporation into the R&D GREET model.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI

Circular Economy for Photovoltaics in Service of Energy Transition

The challenge of energy transition is immediate and immense; current projections target 75 TW of photovoltaics (PV) capacity by 2050. While any transition to renewable energy technology is preferable to the current fossil-based system, it is ideal to improve the sustainability of PV to minimize negative environmental and social impacts. Circular economy (CE) has been proposed as a method to improve the sustainability of PV, especially for emerging materials like perovskites. CE is a set of actions, principles, and systems which aim to design out waste and keep products and materials in use, to reduce environmental impacts and enable sustainable development. At the most basic level, CE is "reduce, reuse, recycle", the R-actions, in ranked order. CE of a PV technology can be metricized in a variety of ways, such as the Material Circularity Indicator (Smith and Jones, Ellen MacArthur Foundation, 2019) or recycling rates. Unfortunately, standard CE metrics have several shortcomings for measuring renewable energy technologies in the context of deployment for energy transition (Figge 2018, Saidani 2019): 1) Only measure mass flows; 2) De-prioritization of the use phase in favor of mass circularity when scoring; and 3) Tight focus on a single product scale The use phase and energy flows of PV are key to energy transition, and therefore need to be quantified. Additionally, correlating product-scale to system-scale is necessary for quantifying the environmental impacts of energy transition. Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) can address some of these concerns, but also focuses on a single product scale and has trouble capturing the dynamics of system-scale energy transition, such as the interaction of module lifetime with manufacturing demands for energy transition deployment schedules. Therefore, we developed an open-source Python-based system dynamics model to quantify the mass, energy and carbon impacts of CE R-actions for PV technologies in the energy transition; PV in the CE (PV ICE) (Ovaitt & Mirletz 2021). The tool captures supply chains from material extraction through end of life, incorporating 5 circular end of life pathways. PV ICE takes in any evolving bill of materials, module properties and deployment schedule to support researchers and decision makers with data-backed insights. In this work, we quantify and compare proposed CE sustainable PV module designs and lifecycle management strategies, spanning currently commercialized technologies, government and industry technology targets, and several low Technology Readiness Level (TRL) emerging PV technologies, including perovskites. Our analyses capture the projected evolutions of lifetime, efficiency and material circularity of these PV technologies, as well as their material supply chains. Our analyses emphasize the importance of examining a suite of metrics to identify priorities and tradeoffs, and inform design or lifecycle management decisions holistically. Previous analyses have demonstrated the central importance of PV module lifetime to support energy transition while minimizing impacts. High levels of material circularity (>90%) enable minimizing lifecycle wastes, can reduce virgin material demands if paired with improving efficiency, but demonstrate tradeoffs in energy return on investment. In the fervor of new material and technology development, it is important to remember that CE is not the end goal; decarbonization and energy transition are the end goal. CE should be used in service to improve the sustainability of PV, and R-actions evaluated for their usefulness and efficacy to this end.

carbon

Assessment and Improvement of the SST-Gamma Transition Model in Nalu-Wind

We conduct laminar–turbulent boundary-layer transition simulations using a local correlation-based transition model for two-dimensional incompressible flow and present enhancements to improve the accuracy of transition predictions. Menter’s Galilean-invariant 𝛾 transition model is implemented in the incompressible, unstructured-grid flow solver Nalu-Wind and is validated against experimental data and results from NASA’s flow solvers. The test cases of the AIAA Transition Prediction and Modeling Workshop are investigated, namely, the T3A/T3B flat plates and the NLF(1)-0416 and S809 airfoils. Based on the results, best practices for transition simulations, particularly for an unstructured-grid flow solver, are identified. Additional airfoil simulations are conducted for two wind turbine airfoils, S822 at Reynolds numbers of 𝑂⁡(10 5 ) and DU00-W-212 at Reynolds numbers of 𝑂⁡(10 7 ), to assess the model at low and high Reynolds numbers. Furthermore, through this work, we propose several approaches to enhance transition simulations, including 1) enforcing positivity of the implicit operator for the source terms of the transition model, 2) employing a constant turbulence intensity in stationary external flow simulations, and 3) recommending meshing for unstructured-grid flow solvers. Finally, we provide detailed documentation of the validation and data for the canonical cases to the transition modeling community.

17 WIND ENERGY