An Implicit Correlation Method for Cross-Correlation Sampling, with MCNPX-PoliMi Validation

Abstract

Monte Carlo particle transport codes used to model detector response are traditionally run in analog mode. However, analog simulations of cross-correlation measurements are extremely time-consuming because the probability of coincident detection is small, approximately equal to the product of the probabilities of a single detection in each detector. The new “implicit correlation” method described here increases the number of correlated event scores, thereby reducing variance and required computation times. The cost of the implicit correlation method is comparable to the cost of simulating single-event detection for the lowest absolute detector efficiency in the problem. The new method is especially useful in the nuclear nonproliferation and safeguards fields for simulating correlation measurements of shielded special nuclear material. The new method was implemented in MCNPX-PoliMi for neutron-neutron cross-correlations with a Cf-252 spontaneous fission source measured by 14 detectors at various angles. The method demonstrated good agreement with analog simulation and reference measurement results. Small differences between nonanalog and analog cross-correlation distributions are attributed to discretization errors that are often not present in practical applications. Improvement in the figure of merit was greater than a factor of 100 in all tested cases.