DOE OSTI · 2481392
Dark energy survey year 3 results: likelihood-free, simulation-based w CDM inference with neural compression of weak-lensing map statistics
Abstract
We present simulation-based cosmological wcold dark matter (wCDM) inference using dark energy survey year 3 weak-lensing maps, via neural data compression of weak-lensing map summary statistics: power spectra, peak counts, and direct map-level compression/inference with convolutional neural networks (CNN). Using simulation-based inference, also known as likelihood-free or implicit inference, we use forward-modelled mock data to estimate posterior probability distributions of unknown parameters. This approach allows all statistical assumptions and uncertainties to be propagated through the forward-modelled mock data; these include sky masks, non-Gaussian shape noise, shape measurement bias, source galaxy clustering, photometric redshift uncertainty, intrinsic galaxy alignments, non-Gaussian density fields, neutrinos, and non-linear summary statistics. We include a series of tests to validate our inference results. This paper also describes the Gower Street simulation suite: 791 full-sky pkdgrav3 dark matter simulations, with cosmological model parameters sampled with a mixed active-learning strategy, from which we construct over 3000 mock dark energy survey lensing data sets. For wCDM inference, for which we allow –1 < w < –$\frac{1}{3}$, our most constraining result uses power spectra combined with map-level (CNN) inference. Using gravitational lensing data only, this map-level combination gives Ω m = 0.283$^{+0.020}_{–0.027}$, S 8 = 0.804$^{+0.025}_{–0.017}$, and w < –0.80 (with a 68 per cent credible interval); compared to the power spectrum inference, this is more than a factor of two improvement in dark energy parameter (Ω DE , w) precision.
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Jeffrey, N [Department of Physics & Astronomy, University College London , Gower Street, London, WC1E 6BT ,], Whiteway, L [Department of Physics & Astronomy, University College London , Gower Street, London, WC1E 6BT ,], Gatti, M [Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Pennsylvania , Philadelphia, PA 19104 ,], Williamson, J [Department of Physics & Astronomy, University College London , Gower Street, London, WC1E 6BT ,], Alsing, J [Oskar Klein Centre for Cosmoparticle Physics, Stockholm University , Stockholm SE-106 91 ,] (ORCID:0000000346183546), Porredon, A [Faculty of Physics and Astronomy, Astronomical Institute, Ruhr University Bochum, German Centre for Cosmological Lensing , D-44780 Bochum ,], Prat, J [Nordita, KTH Royal Institute of Technology and Stockholm University , Hannes Alfvéns väg 12, SE-10691 Stockholm ,; Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, University of Chicago , Chicago, IL 60637 ,; Kavli Institute for Cosmological Physics, University of Chicago , Chicago, IL 60637 ,] (ORCID:0000000259335150), Doux, C [Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Pennsylvania , Philadelphia, PA 19104 ,; Université Grenoble Alpes , CNRS, LPSC-IN2P3, F-38000 Grenoble ,] (ORCID:0000000344800096), Jain, B [Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Pennsylvania , Philadelphia, PA 19104 ,], Chang, C [Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, University of Chicago , Chicago, IL 60637 ,; Kavli Institute for Cosmological Physics, University of Chicago , Chicago, IL 60637 ,] (ORCID:0000000278870896), Cheng, T -Y [Nordita, KTH Royal Institute of Technology and Stockholm University , Hannes Alfvéns väg 12, SE-10691 Stockholm ,], Kacprzak, T [Department of Physics, ETH Zurich , Wolfgang-Pauli-Strasse 16, CH-8093 Zurich ,], Lemos, P [Nordita, KTH Royal Institute of Technology and Stockholm University , Hannes Alfvéns väg 12, SE-10691 Stockholm ,], Alarcon, A [Argonne National Laboratory , 9700 South Cass Avenue, Lemont, IL 60439 ,; Institute of Space Sciences (ICE, CSIC), Campus UAB , Carrer de Can Magrans, s/n, E-08193 Barcelona ,], Amon, A [Institute of Astronomy, University of Cambridge , Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0HA ,; Kavli Institute for Cosmology, University of Cambridge , Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0HA ,], Bechtol, K [Physics Department, 2320 Chamberlin Hall, University of Wisconsin-Madison , 1150 University Avenue Madison, WI 53706-1390 ,], Becker, M R [Argonne National Laboratory , 9700 South Cass Avenue, Lemont, IL 60439 ,], Bernstein, G M [Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Pennsylvania , Philadelphia, PA 19104 ,], Campos, A [Department of Physics, Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh, PA 15312 ,], Rosell, A Carnero [Instituto de Astrofisica de Canarias , E-38205 La Laguna, Tenerife ,; Laboratório Interinstitucional de e-Astronomia – LIneA , Rua Gal. José Cristino 77, Rio de Janeiro , RJ- 20921-400 ,; Universidad de La Laguna, Dpto. Astrofísica , E-38206 La Laguna, Tenerife ,], Chen, R [Department of Physics, Duke University Durham , NC 27708 ,], Choi, A [NASA Goddard Space Flight Center , 8800 Greenbelt Rd, Greenbelt, MD 20771 ,], DeRose, J [Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory , 1 Cyclotron Road, Berkeley, CA 94720 ,], Drlica-Wagner, A [Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, University of Chicago , Chicago, IL 60637 ,; Kavli Institute for Cosmological Physics, University of Chicago , Chicago, IL 60637 ,; Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory , P.O. Box 500, Batavia, IL 60510 ,], Eckert, K [Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Pennsylvania , Philadelphia, PA 19104 ,], Everett, S [Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology , 4800 Oak Grove Dr, Pasadena, CA 91109 ,], Ferté, A [SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory , Menlo Park, CA 94025 ,], Gruen, D [University Observatory, Faculty of Physics, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität , Scheinerstr. 1, D-81679 Munich ,], Gruendl, R A [Center for Astrophysical Surveys, National Center for Supercomputing Applications , 1205 West Clark St., Urbana, IL 61801 ,; Department of Astronomy, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign , 1002 W. Green Street, Urbana, IL 61801 ,], Herner, K [Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory , P.O. Box 500, Batavia, IL 60510 ,], Jarvis, M [Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Pennsylvania , Philadelphia, PA 19104 ,], McCullough, J [Kavli Institute for Particle Astrophysics & Cosmology , P.O. Box 2450, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305 ,], Myles, J [Department of Astrophysical Sciences, Princeton University , Peyton Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544 ,], Navarro-Alsina, A [Instituto de Física Gleb Wataghin, Universidade Estadual de Campinas , SP-13083-859, Campinas ,], Pandey, S [Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Pennsylvania , Philadelphia, PA 19104 ,], Raveri, M [Department of Physics, University of Genova and INFN , Via Dodecaneso 33, I-16146 Genova ,], Rollins, R P [Jodrell Bank Center for Astrophysics, School of Physics and Astronomy, University of Manchester , Oxford Road, Manchester M13 9PL ,], Rykoff, E S [Kavli Institute for Particle Astrophysics & Cosmology , P.O. Box 2450, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305 ,; SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory , Menlo Park, CA 94025 ,], Sánchez, C [Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Pennsylvania , Philadelphia, PA 19104 ,], Secco, L F [Kavli Institute for Cosmological Physics, University of Chicago , Chicago, IL 60637 ,], Sevilla-Noarbe, I [Centro de Investigaciones Energéticas, Medioambientales y Tecnológicas (CIEMAT) , Madrid ,], Sheldon, E [Brookhaven National Laboratory , Bldg 510, Upton, NY 11973 ,], Shin, T [Department of Physics and Astronomy, Stony Brook University , Stony Brook, NY 11794 ,], Troxel, M A [Department of Physics, Duke University Durham , NC 27708 ,], Tutusaus, I [Institut de Recherche en Astrophysique et Planétologie (IRAP), Université de Toulouse , CNRS, UPS, CNES, 14 Av. Edouard Belin, F-31400 Toulouse ,], Varga, T N [Excellence Cluster Origins , Boltzmannstr. 2, D-85748 Garching ,; Max Planck Institute for Extraterrestrial Physics, Giessenbachstrasse , D-85748 Garching ,; Universitäts-Sternwarte, Fakultät für Physik, Ludwig-Maximilians Universität München , Scheinerstr. 1, D-81679 München ,], Yanny, B [Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory , P.O. Box 500, Batavia, IL 60510 ,], Yin, B [Department of Physics, Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh, PA 15312 ,], Zuntz, J [Institute for Astronomy, University of Edinburgh , Edinburgh EH9 3HJ ,], Aguena, M [Laboratório Interinstitucional de e-Astronomia – LIneA , Rua Gal. José Cristino 77, Rio de Janeiro, RJ-20921-400 ,], Allam, S S [Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory , P.O. Box 500, Batavia, IL 60510 ,], Alves, O [Department of Physics, University of Michigan , Ann Arbor, MI 48109 ,], Bacon, D [Institute of Cosmology and Gravitation, University of Portsmouth , Portsmouth PO1 3FX ,], Bocquet, S [University Observatory, Faculty of Physics, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität , Scheinerstr. 1, D-81679 Munich ,], Brooks, D [Department of Physics & Astronomy, University College London , Gower Street, London, WC1E 6BT ,], da Costa, L N [Laboratório Interinstitucional de e-Astronomia – LIneA , Rua Gal. José Cristino 77, Rio de Janeiro, RJ-20921-400 ,], Davis, T M [School of Mathematics and Physics, University of Queensland , Brisbane, QLD 4072 ,], De Vicente, J [Centro de Investigaciones Energéticas, Medioambientales y Tecnológicas (CIEMAT) , Madrid ,], Desai, S [Department of Physics, IIT Hyderabad , Kandi, Telangana 502285 ,], Diehl, H T [Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory , P.O. Box 500, Batavia, IL 60510 ,], Ferrero, I [Institute of Theoretical Astrophysics , University of Oslo, P.O. Box 1029 Blindern, NO-0315 Oslo ,], Frieman, J [Kavli Institute for Cosmological Physics, University of Chicago , Chicago, IL 60637 ,; Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory , P.O. Box 500, Batavia, IL 60510 ,], García-Bellido, J [Instituto de Fisica Teorica UAM/CSIC, Universidad Autonoma de Madrid , E-28049 Madrid ,], Gaztanaga, E [Institute of Space Sciences (ICE, CSIC), Campus UAB , Carrer de Can Magrans, s/n, E-08193 Barcelona ,; Institute of Cosmology and Gravitation, University of Portsmouth , Portsmouth PO1 3FX ,; Institut d’Estudis Espacials de Catalunya (IEEC) , E- 08034 Barcelona ,], Giannini, G [Kavli Institute for Cosmological Physics, University of Chicago , Chicago, IL 60637 ,; Institut de Física d’Altes Energies (IFAE), The Barcelona Institute of Science and Technology , Campus UAB, E-08193 Bellaterra (Barcelona) ,], Gutierrez, G [Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory , P.O. Box 500, Batavia, IL 60510 ,], Hinton, S R [School of Mathematics and Physics, University of Queensland , Brisbane, QLD 4072 ,], Hollowood, D L [Santa Cruz Institute for Particle Physics , Santa Cruz, CA 95064 ,], Honscheid, K [Center for Cosmology and Astro-Particle Physics, The Ohio State University , Columbus, OH 43210 ,; Department of Physics, The Ohio State University , Columbus, OH 43210 ,], Huterer, D [Department of Physics, University of Michigan , Ann Arbor, MI 48109 ,], James, D J [Center for Astrophysics|Harvard & Smithsonian , 60 Garden Street, Cambridge, MA 02138 ,], Lahav, O [Department of Physics & Astronomy, University College London , Gower Street, London, WC1E 6BT ,], Lee, S [Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology , 4800 Oak Grove Dr, Pasadena, CA 91109 ,], Marshall, J L [George P. and Cynthia Woods Mitchell Institute for Fundamental Physics and Astronomy, and Department of Physics and Astronomy, Texas A&M University , College Station, TX 77843 ,], Mena-Fernández, J [LPSC Grenoble - 53 , Avenue des Martyrs, F-38026 Grenoble ,], Miquel, R [Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats , E-08010 Barcelona ,; Institut de Física d’Altes Energies (IFAE), The Barcelona Institute of Science and Technology , Campus UAB, E-08193 Bellaterra (Barcelona) ,], Pieres, A [Laboratório Interinstitucional de e-Astronomia – LIneA , Rua Gal. José Cristino 77, Rio de Janeiro , RJ- 20921-400 ,; Observatório Nacional , Rua Gal. José Cristino 77, Rio de Janeiro , RJ- 20921-400 ,], Malagón, A A Plazas [Kavli Institute for Particle Astrophysics & Cosmology , P.O. Box 2450, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305 ,; SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory , Menlo Park, CA 94025 ,], Roodman, A [Kavli Institute for Particle Astrophysics & Cosmology , P.O. Box 2450, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305 ,; SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory , Menlo Park, CA 94025 ,], Sako, M [Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Pennsylvania , Philadelphia, PA 19104 ,], Sanchez, E [Centro de Investigaciones Energéticas, Medioambientales y Tecnológicas (CIEMAT) , Madrid ,], Cid, D Sanchez [Centro de Investigaciones Energéticas, Medioambientales y Tecnológicas (CIEMAT) , Madrid ,], Smith, M [School of Physics and Astronomy, University of Southampton , Southampton SO17 1BJ ,], Suchyta, E [Computer Science and Mathematics Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory , Oak Ridge, TN 37831 ,], Swanson, M E C [Center for Astrophysical Surveys, National Center for Supercomputing Applications , 1205 West Clark St., Urbana, IL 61801 ,], Tarle, G [Department of Physics, University of Michigan , Ann Arbor, MI 48109 ,], Tucker, D L [Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory , P.O. Box 500, Batavia, IL 60510 ,], Weaverdyck, N [Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory , 1 Cyclotron Road, Berkeley, CA 94720 ,; Department of Physics, University of Michigan , Ann Arbor, MI 48109 ,], Weller, J [Max Planck Institute for Extraterrestrial Physics, Giessenbachstrasse , D-85748 Garching ,; Universitäts-Sternwarte, Fakultät für Physik, Ludwig-Maximilians Universität München , Scheinerstr. 1, D-81679 München ,], Wiseman, P [School of Physics and Astronomy, University of Southampton , Southampton SO17 1BJ ,], Yamamoto, M [Universidad de La Laguna, Dpto. Astrofísica , E-38206 La Laguna, Tenerife ,]. 2024-11-27. Dark energy survey year 3 results: likelihood-free, simulation-based w CDM inference with neural compression of weak-lensing map statistics. https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stae2629
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