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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 199 records · Page 11
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Demand Response Under Stochastic, Price-Dependent User Behavior

This letter focuses on price-based demand response (DR) implemented through dynamic adjustments of electricity prices. It extends existing DR models to a stochastic framework in which customer response is represented by price-dependent random variables, leveraging models and tools from the theory of stochastic optimization with decision-dependent distributions. The inherent epistemic uncertainty in the customers' responses renders open-loop, model-based DR strategies impractical. We propose a stochastic, feedback-based pricing strategy to compensate for estimation errors and uncertainty in customer response, establish theoretical results demonstrating the stability and near-optimality of the proposed approach, and validate its effectiveness through numerical simulations.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Assessing the Reliability Benefits of Energy Storage as a Transmission Asset

Utilizing energy storage solutions to reduce the need for traditional transmission investments has been recognized by system planners and supported by federal policies in recent years. This work demonstrates the need for detailed reliability assessment for quantitative comparison of the reliability benefits of energy storage and traditional transmission investments. First, a mixed-integer linear programming expansion planning model considering candidate transmission lines and storage technologies is solved to find the least-cost investment decisions. Next, operations under the resulting system configuration are simulated in a probabilistic reliability assessment which accounts for weather-dependent forced outages. The outcome of this work, when applied to TPPs, is to further equalize the consideration of energy storage compared to traditional transmission assets by capturing the value of storage for system reliability.

co-optimization↗
DOE OSTI2024

Leverage modern artificial intelligence (AI) enabled systems for waste reduction

Manufacturing industries continue to face challenges in reducing waste, as upstream strategies such as source reduction and product redesign require a deeper understanding of processes compared to conventional recycling methods. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have opened new opportunities to integrate modern computational techniques with traditional waste minimization strategies. This paper explores AI-enabled approaches for product redesign, source reduction, and recycling that can significantly reduce waste generation while improving efficiency and sustainability. AI-driven material substitution and lightweighting in product design enable discovery of novel materials with optimized properties, reducing waste without compromising performance. Reinforcement learning models optimize process parameters, raw material specifications, and machine sequencing to minimize production losses, while Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) systems paired with AI analytics enhance real-time waste tracking, predictive maintenance, and quality inspection. Furthermore, AI-based demand forecasting and production planning reduce overproduction and excess inventory, as demonstrated in industrial applications. In recycling, ML-powered pattern recognition and robotic sorting technologies achieve higher accuracy in waste segregation, directly improving recycling efficiency. Complementary solutions such as smart bins and AI-enabled waste pickup scheduling optimize collection logistics, reducing both costs and emissions. Although implementation requires upfront investment in infrastructure and training, the long-term benefits include higher material efficiency, reduced waste, improved product quality, and stronger sustainability outcomes across the supply chain. By leveraging AI-enabled systems, manufacturers can align waste minimization efforts with circular economy principles, creating scalable solutions for both industry and society.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2025

Discovery of hybrid chemical synthesis pathways with DORAnet

Developing efficient tools for discovering novel synthesis pathways is essential to advance chemical production methods that maximize the use of resources and energy. We introduce DORAnet (Designing Optimal Reaction Avenues Network Enumeration Tool), an open-source computational framework that addresses key limitations in current computer-aided synthesis planning (CASP) tools. DORAnet integrates both chemical/chemocatalytic (i.e., non-enzymatic) and enzymatic transformations, enabling the discovery of hybrid synthesis pathways. With 390 expert-curated chemical/chemocatalytic reaction rules and 3606 enzymatic rules derived from MetaCyc, it provides extensive flexibility for synthetic chemists and biotechnologists. The framework features customizable network expansion strategies, advanced filtering, and pathway search, ranking, and visualization tools. Validated against known reaction data, DORAnet successfully identified both established and novel synthesis routes for key industrial chemicals. In a case study involving 51 high-volume targets, DORAnet frequently ranked known commercial pathways among the top three results, demonstrating its practical relevance and ranking accuracy, while also uncovering numerous alternative (hybrid) synthesis pathways that were highly ranked.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Financial-technical co-design for capital-intensive, resource-responsive energy systems

Because of their capital-intensive operation, wind energy systems that are competitive in terms of the cost of the energy that they produce lead to risk-reward trade-offs that make their business cases less favorable than those of conventional energy generation technologies. However, wind energy systems tend to be designed to maximize energy production or minimize cost of energy rather than to maximize their business cases. In this work, we attempt to exploit designs specifically tailored to business cases. We develop a novel framework for analyzing energy systems that ties their design variables to monthly operating incomes using simple models and historical hourly market and resource data. Using this approach, we demonstrate that for a wind site with abundant wind resource in the California Independent System Operator market, we can control the trade-off between mean and 5th percentile monthly returns by choosing the specific power of the turbine at a fixed modeled initial capital cost. Our framework gives a measure of the risk-reward spectrum of energy generation assets that could be built at a given site with respect to the sub-annual resource/market variation.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2026

A Hierarchical Optimization Method for Electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing Aircraft Network Design

Electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft (eVTOLs) are expected to serve urban air mobility in a station-to-station configuration, which makes the optimal network design of eVTOL stations a critical question to explore. Existing approaches often face limitations, such as the inability to interact station locations with demand or difficulty in finding the optimal solution for large study regions. Here, this paper first proposes a mathematical model to generate optimal eVTOL station locations while considering associated potential eVTOL demand, and then proposes a heuristic algorithm, Hierarchical Optimization MEthod (HOME), to efficiently solve the model. With a case study of Southern California, HOME was compared to 1) directly solving the original integer linear programming-based network design problem, and 2) employing the widely used genetic algorithm. Results suggest that HOME can find optimal solutions with limited computational resources. The proposed framework powered by HOME provides a computationally efficient way to support urban air mobility planning.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Techno-Economic Analysis of Photovoltaics and Battery Storage for Maine [Slides]

Maine GEO was interested in a small-scale pilot using REopt to expand on previous resilience efforts and better understand the most useful information to gather from facilities to maximize the efficacy of the analysis. The pilot began with identification of three pilot facilities from the existing Maine Community Resilience Partnership (MCRP) cohort, selection of the facilities prioritizing: social vulnerability, community led planning work and commitment to ongoing work. The technical assistance focused on working with identified facilities to help scope the project and identify their goals and then provide technical specifications on optimal energy generation and storage strategies for each community. At the conclusion of the project, participating facilities received a REopt analysis report, including optimal generation and storage strategies to address identified goals and next steps and considerations for implementation.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2024

Optimizing and Exploring Untapped Micro-Hydro Hybrid Systems: a Multi-Objective Approach for Crystal Lake as a Large-Scale Energy Storage Solution

Increasing electricity demand and concerns about climate change and fossil fuel consumption have highlighted the importance of renewable energy resources and storage systems. This paper proposes a method for exploring untapped pumped hydro storage potentials to accommodate intermittent renewable energy generation profiles. Hourly measured data from 2022 in Benzie County, Michigan, United States, were gathered for system sizing and a thorough, realistic analysis. By employing the multi-objective grey wolf optimization algorithm, we formulated optimal sizing and energy-management strategies for three different scenarios. Unlike similar studies, the 3rd with triple objective functions (OFs) scenario aims to maximize both reliability and ecological OFs while minimizing the cost OF. It has shown promising results with multiple solutions, considering economic, environmental, and reliability factors. A case study conducted in Crystal Lake, Michigan, revealed that although Crystal Lake would function only as a micro-hydro power facility, it is a promising and huge storage unit with a substantial storage capacity of around 14.9734GWh. The system investigated is significant in the USA due to its rapid deployment capabilities, minimal construction requirements, and ease of integration with the distribution grid. The fuzzy logic method was employed to identify the best non-dominant solution among the other solutions. Furthermore, these outcomes include a notably low levelized cost of energy at 0.046147$/kWh, a robust index of reliability of 99.705%, and a significant reduction in CO₂ emissions amounting to 7.9142×10 3 tons/year, when considering the triple OFs. The paper’s methodology provides valuable insights for regions aiming to utilize renewable energy from untapped storage sources.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Multi-Timescale Optimal Operation Framework for Integrated Economic and Reliability Analysis of Hybrid Power Plants

This paper introduces a hierarchical modeling framework for hybrid power plants (HPP) to facilitate the operation of HPP in power systems similar to conventional generators (Congens) in the integrated multi-timescale optimal operation framework. To consider the uncertainties of HPP renewable power in the day-ahead scheduling, distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is used. To ensure that the state-of-charge (SOC) of energy storage systems in HPPs aligns closely with the planned value for long-term reliability, real-time SOC management is incorporated. In addition, an adjustable real-time control is designed for the robust delivery of HPP real-time services. Case studies performed on a revised IEEE 39-bus system demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework for HPP operation. Simulation results highlight that the proposed framework not only can help operators schedule HPP similar to Congens in varying weather conditions but can also maintain the frequency reliability of the system.

frequency stability↗
DOE OSTI2024

Optimal Managed Fast-Charging Model for Electric Vehicle Fleets with High Utilization and Multiple Charge-Acceptance Curves

A predictive control/scheduling optimization model is proposed for managed charging of an electric vehicle (EV) fleet - under time-of-use energy and demand prices, high vehicle utilization frequency (short dwell times), multiple charge- acceptance curves (configurable charging rates), and flexible vehicle demand. This context is particularly relevant for flight schools (small electric aircraft) or other commercial facilities where an EV fleet performs multiple operating and fast-charging sessions on the same day. The proposed model performs both the operational and charging scheduling of the vehicles, which is not typically done for residential managed charging and significantly increases problem complexity. The problem is formulated as a MILP model and a case study of a small fast-charging station is presented. Results demonstrate a significant reduction in operating cost, mainly from peak shaving during high demand price periods, achieved by coordinating the operation of different vehicles, chargers and charging rates.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗
DOE OSTI2025

Toward Drilling the Perfect Geothermal Well: An International Research Coordination Network for Geothermal Drilling Optimization Supported by Deep Machine Learning and Cloud Based Data Aggregation

The EDGE project, supported by the U.S. Department of Energy Geothermal Technologies Office under award DE-EE0008793, established a data-driven framework for improving the efficiency, cost-effectiveness, and reliability of geothermal well drilling. The project focused on developing scalable data infrastructure, advanced machine learning and probabilistic models, and integrated analytics tools to support continuous drilling optimization. A central objective was to reduce geothermal drilling costs by up to seventy percent while minimizing the risk of well failure through predictive diagnostics and adaptive planning. Over the project period, a comprehensive data repository was designed and deployed, incorporating records from over one hundred geothermal wells across varied geological settings. This repository supported both structured and unstructured data and adhered to FAIR data principles, enabling provenance tracking, quality control, and standardized metadata. The project introduced automated ingestion pipelines and a cloud-hosted platform that facilitated access to raw, processed, and derived datasets. This infrastructure served as the foundation for model development and analysis. Machine learning workflows were developed to predict key drilling metrics including rate of penetration, non-productive time, and total drilling costs. Self-organizing maps and dimensionality reduction methods were used to uncover operational patterns and outliers, while supervised learning algorithms such as random forests and deep neural networks were applied to forecast performance outcomes. The models were validated on heterogeneous datasets from both U.S. and Icelandic fields, demonstrating variable but significant predictive accuracy. The results indicated that finer temporal resolution, inclusion of lithological data, and consistency in operational annotations could substantially improve model performance. The project also implemented process mining techniques to reconstruct state-transition models from drilling event logs. These models enabled the identification of deviations from optimal workflows and provided insights into recurring failure modes. Analysis of non-productive time highlighted the impact of equipment failures, geological challenges, and human factors, offering opportunities for targeted mitigation strategies. The EDGE Dashboard was developed as a web-based expert system integrating data visualization, model outputs, and user-driven queries. It provided an accessible interface for operators to explore historical data, evaluate predicted outcomes, and compare drilling scenarios. Initial feedback from project partners suggested that the dashboard could serve as a foundation for more advanced advisory and optimization tools. Overall, the EDGE project demonstrated the feasibility and value of applying modern data science techniques to geothermal drilling. It delivered a set of interoperable tools and models that can support more efficient, lower-risk well development. The findings point toward a viable path for transitioning from advisory analytics to semi-autonomous drilling systems, contingent on continued collaboration, expanded datasets, and field validation. The project results have immediate relevance for drilling operations, data management practices, and future geothermal R&D efforts aimed at achieving reliable, cost-competitive geothermal energy at scale.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Enhanced Power Grid Maintenance Planning and Quantum-Inspired Combinatorial Prospects

Efficient and reliable scheduling of maintenance for power generation and transmission infrastructure is essential for minimizing operational costs and ensuring grid stability. This paper introduces an integrated optimization framework for coordinated maintenance scheduling of generators and transmission lines under resource and reliability constraints. The model minimizes a composite cost function including maintenance and generation costs, as well as penalties for delayed maintenance, while satisfying N−1 security constraints, operational limits, and crew availability. Case studies on the IEEE 300-bus test system demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in producing feasible and cost-effective maintenance schedules. To address scalability and combinatorial complexity, the model is mapped into a Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization (QUBO) problem, enabling exploration of solution approaches based on Quantum Imaginary Time Evolution (QITE). While the QUBO reformulation provides a foundation for future quantum-inspired optimization, this study focuses primarily on the development and demonstration of the classical optimization framework and illustrates the potential applicability of QITE in large-scale maintenance scheduling.

Chen, Yang [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000271693874)↗
DOE OSTI2025

Science acceleration and accessibility with self-driving labs

In the evolving landscape of scientific research, the complexity of global challenges demands innovative approaches to experimental planning and execution. Self-Driving Laboratories (SDLs) automate experimental tasks in chemical and materials sciences and the design and selection of experiments to optimize research processes and reduce material usage. This perspective explores improving access to SDLs via centralized facilities and distributed networks. We discuss the technical and collaborative challenges in realizing SDLs’ potential to enhance human–machine and human–human collaboration, ultimately fostering a more inclusive research community and facilitating previously untenable research projects.

Canty, Richard B. [North Carolina State University↗
DOE OSTI2025

Nanoscopic cross-grain cation homogenization in perovskite solar cells

Multiscale cation inhomogeneity has been a major hurdle in state-of-the-art formamidinium–caesium (FA–Cs) mixed-cation perovskites for achieving perovskite solar cells with optimal power conversion efficiencies and durability. Although the field has attempted to homogenize the overall distributions of FA–Cs in perovskite films from both plan and cross-sectional views, our understanding of grain-to-grain cation inhomogeneity and ability to tailor it—that is, spatially resolving the FA–Cs compositional difference between individual grains down to the nanoscale—are lacking. Here we reveal that as fundamental building blocks of a perovskite film, individual grains exhibit cationic compositions deviating from the prescribed ideal composition, severely limiting the interfacial optoelectronic properties and perovskite layer durability. This performance-limiting nanoscopic factor is linked to thermodynamic-driven morphological grooving, leading to a segmented surface landscape. At the grain triple junctions, grooves form nanoscale groove traps that hinder the mixing of solid-state cations across grains and thus retard inter-grain FA–Cs mixing. By rationally modulating the heterointerfacial energies, we reduced the depth of these nanoscale groove traps by a factor of three, significantly improving cation homogeneity. Perovskite solar cells with shallower nanoscale groove traps demonstrate enhanced power conversion efficiencies (25.62%) and improved stability under various standardized international protocols. In conclusion, our work highlights the significance of resolving surface nano-morphologies for homogeneous properties of perovskites.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Exploring impacts of electricity tariff on charging infrastructure planning: An activity-based approach

In the past decade, electric vehicles (EVs) have gained popularity for their efficiency and environmental benefits. Advances in battery technology and charging equipment have yielded long-range EVs and fast-charging. However, many major cities lack adequate charging infrastructure for daily EV use. This study addresses this gap by integrating activity-based modeling, charging behavior simulation, and charging infrastructure optimization. The research utilizes the POLARIS agent-based transportation model to accurately capture user activities, trip patterns, and traffic flows. Additionally, the study investigates the impact of fixed and spatiotemporal electricity rate distributions on optimal charging infrastructure deployment. The framework is applied to the Chicago regional area network and analyzed under various EV ownership scenarios. Further, the results reveal significant impacts of the charging pricing strategy on user decision-making and charging demand distribution. There is also a need for consistent pricing policies in charging infrastructure planning and operational phases to avoid drops in service quality.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Error field predictability and consequences for ITER

Abstract ITER coil tolerances are re-evaluated using the modern understanding of coupling to least-stable plasma modes and an updated center-line-traced model of ITER’s coil windings. This reassessment finds the tolerances to be conservative through a statistical, linear study of n = 1 error fields (EFs) due to tilted, shifted misplacements and nominal windings of central solenoid and poloidal field coils within tolerance. We also show that a model-based correction scheme remains effective even when metrology quality is sub-optimal, and compare this to projected empirical correction schemes. We begin with an analysis of the necessity of error field correction (EFC) for daily operation in ITER using scalign laws for the EF penetration threshold. We then consider the predictability of EF dominant mode overlap across early planned ITER scenarios and, as measuring EFs in high power scenarios can pose risks to the device, the potential for extrapolation to the ITER Baseline Scenario (IBS). We find that carefully designing a scenario matching currents proportionally to those of the IBS is far more important than plasma shape or profiles in accurately measuring an optimal correction current set.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Carbon dioxide pipeline network transportation cost model: evaluating economic and geographic factors for efficient carbon capture, storage, and utilization

This study presents a comprehensive pipeline network modeling framework to estimate the CO 2 delivery cost for CO 2 utilization and geologic CO 2 storage across the United States. We developed a Python-based CO 2 pipeline transportation cost model leveraging Argonne National Laboratory’s pipeline engineering expertise and detailed natural gas transmission pipeline cost data across U.S. regions. Using existing road corridors as practical routing guides, the model designs pipeline networks that aggregate CO 2 from one or multiple sources and deliver it to selected destinations. It then minimizes the total transportation cost by optimizing pipeline diameters and incorporating booster pumps. A key contribution is the incorporation of up-to-date, region-specific cost factors with itemized components for materials, labor, miscellaneous construction expenses, and right-of-way acquisition. Results emphasize that regional variation and economies of scale associated with CO 2 pipeline costs are significant and should be explicitly accounted for in screening and planning studies. By combining realistic routing constraints with regionalized cost inputs, the model provides transparent design methodology and location-specific insights into source–destination delivery costs, including the effects of routing complexity along existing road networks. We demonstrate the model with two illustrative case studies – one for CO 2 storage and one for CO 2 utilization – in which the model designs pipeline networks spanning hundreds of miles across the states, collecting CO 2 from multiple sources and delivering it to designated endpoints while minimizing levelized cost of delivery via diameter and compression optimization. The model offers a practical, scalable approach for alternative design option screening and early-stage CO 2 transportation planning.

CCS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Least-cost Optimal Distribution Grid Expansion (LODGE) v1

LODGE finds the least-cost portfolio of traditional distribution system upgrades to integrate new loads and behind-the-meter DERs in combination with advanced non-wire alternative (NWA) planning solutions, such as utility-owned storage and distributed PV. Working with a set of least-cost solutions per feeder/substation allows us to benchmark and compare techno-economic performance of different traditional and NWA planning solutions. An important aspect of the LODGE model is that it includes power flow operation constraints. This means that the least-cost planning solutions delivered by LODGE are technically feasible. Available projects in LODGE portfolio include: 1) feeder reconductoring; 2) transformers upgrades; 3) non-wire alternatives, such as strategic siting and sizing of storage and distributed PV; 4) voltage regulators.

Heleno, Miguel↗