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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 217 records · Page 12
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Innovations in Direct Air Capture: Unveiling a Simple and Robust Synthesized Fibrous Amine-functionalized Matrix (FAM) Sorbent for Commercial Scale-up

The escalating challenge of climate change necessitates innovative solutions in the realm of carbon management, particularly in mitigating the impact of fossil fuel emissions. Direct Air Capture (DAC) technology emerged as a critical component within the spectrum of Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS) solutions, offering the distinct advantage of directly removing CO2 from the atmosphere irrespective of the source. This attribute grants DAC systems unparalleled flexibility in deployment locations and the potential to make substantial contributions to lowing atmospheric CO2 levels. The success of DAC technologies significantly depends on the development of an efficient, economical sorbent capable of selective and durable CO2 capture from ambient air. Recent advancements in material science have led to the exploration of amine-functionalized sorbents, hollow fiber sorbents and membranes, and other novel materials designed to meet these criteria. This study explores a novel Fibrous Amine-functionalized Matrix (FAM) sorbent. The FAM sorbent distinguished itself through its mechanical robustness, a streamlined synthesis process, and the capability for low-temperature regeneration (is 90 oC really low temperature?). FAM’s exceptional adsorption-desorption kinetics enable swift CO2 capture and release, crucial for the viability of DAC on a commercial scale. The synthesis process involves a simple dip-coating technique, allowing crosslinked amines to coat glass substrates.

Wang, Qiuming↗
DOE OSTI2024

Enhancing the Functionality of a Hollow Scaffold Solid State Bioreactor via Computer Aided Design Optimization

The concern over greenhouse gases, methane (CH 4 ) and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), is increasing rapidly. There have been strides to find solutions to this global issue but there is not a clear path to a successful end goal. The concentration of CH 4 and CO 2 in the atmosphere has increased significantly over the last 60 years, methane is a great source of concern due to its ability to trap a high amount of heat in the atmosphere. These greenhouse gases contribute to global warming which has caused changes in the environment, including the melting of ice caps, and altered weather patterns. Solutions for these pressing challenges have led to different avenues of methane mitigation one of which is the development of solid-state bioreactors. These reactors harness the power of biological species that have evolved to use methane as an energy source. The development and optimization of Hollow Scaffold Solid State Bioreactors (HS-SSBR) has become readily available due to the advancements in additive manufacturing technology and accessibility of computer aided design (CAD) software. With laboratory scale experiments, time and effort are of great importance. Enhancing the design of the HS-SSBR to create a more user-friendly interface, but also increase the functionality of the reactor. The reactor's design improvements focus on better dispersion of methane and circulation of media.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Advancements in Direct Air Capture: Unveiling a Simple and Robust Synthesized Fibrous Amine-functionalized Matrix (FAM) Sorbent for Commercial Scale-up

The escalating challenge of climate change necessitates innovative solutions in the realm of carbon management, particularly in mitigating the impact of fossil fuel emissions. Direct Air Capture (DAC) technology emerges as a critical component within the spectrum of Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS) solutions, offering the distinct advantage of directly removing CO2 from the atmosphere irrespective of the source. This attribute grants DAC systems unparalleled flexibility in deployment location sand the potential to make substantial contributions to lowing atmospheric CO2 levels. The success of DAC technologies significantly depends on the development of efficient, economical sorbent capable of selective and durable CO2 capture from ambient air. Recent advancements in material science have led to the exploration of amine-functionalized sorbents, hollow fiber sorbents and membranes, and other novel materials designed to meet these criteria. This study introduces a significant advancement in DAC technology with the development of a Fibrous Amine-functionalized Matrix (FAM) sorbent. The FAM sorbent distinguished itself through its mechanical robustness, a streamlined synthesis process, and the capability for low-temperature regeneration. Its exceptional adsorption-desorption kinetics enable swift CO2 capture and release, crucial for the viability of DAC on a commercial scale.

Wang, Qiuming↗
DOE OSTI2024

Land Use Change Alters Soil Organic Carbon: Constrained Global Patterns and Predictors

Abstract Land use change (LUC) alters the global carbon (C) stock, but our estimation of the alteration remains uncertain and is a major impediment to predicting the global C cycle. The uncertainty is partly due to the limited number and geographical bias of observations, and limited exploration of its predictors. Here we generated a comprehensive global database of 5,980 observations from 790 articles. The number of sites evaluated is at least seven times larger than in previous meta‐analyses. Our constrained estimates of different LUC's effects on soil organic C (SOC) and their variations across global climates reveal underestimation/overestimation in previous estimates. Converting forests and grasslands to croplands reduced SOC by 24.5% ± 1.53% (−11.03 ± 1.06 Mg ha −1 ) and 22.7% ± 1.22% (−8.09 ± 0.67 Mg ha −1 ), while 28.0% ± 1.56% (4.46 ± 0.42 Mg ha −1 ) and 33.5% ± 1.68% (5.8 ± 0.38 Mg ha −1 ) increases, respectively, were obtained in the reverse processes. Converting forests to grasslands decreased SOC by 2.1% ± 1.22% (−1.13 ± 0.44 Mg ha −1 ), while the reverse process increased SOC by 18.6% ± 1.73% (3.31 ± 0.51 Mg ha −1 ). Modeled relative importance of 10 drivers of LUC's impact on SOC revealed that higher initial SOC (iSOC) does not solely determine SOC loss in SOC‐negative LUC scenarios as previously proposed. Across four decades, reconverting croplands to forests and grasslands recovered only 49.5% (6.1 ± 0.51 Mg ha −1 ) and 75.3% (7.0 ± 0.38 Mg ha −1 ) of the iSOC, respectively, indicating the need for protecting C‐rich ecosystems. Our global data set advances information on LUC's effect on SOC and can be valuable to constrain Earth system models to reliably estimate global SOC stocks and plan climate change mitigation strategies.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗
DOE OSTI2022

Parametric model-order reduction for radiation transport using multi-resolution proper orthogonal decomposition

For parametric high-fidelity simulations, it is often desirable to utilize a reduced-order model (ROM) to emulate, at a reduced computational cost, parametric solutions of the governing partial differential equations (PDEs) for unseen parameter values. One commonly employed option is to utilize a data-driven, projection-based ROM supplemented with subspace identification via proper orthogonal decomposition (POD). POD discovers the ROM subspace by computing the singular value decomposition (SVD) of a set of training data from the full-order model (FOM). In streaming-dominated radiation transport simulations with localized sources, solutions often greatly vary over the spatial domain by many orders of magnitude. In such cases, machine-precision arithmetic can be insufficient to obtain an accurate SVD, resulting in a poorly performing ROM. We present a method called multiresolution POD (mrPOD) that mitigates these inaccuracies. The mrPOD method works by decomposing the spatial domain into regions and performing proper orthogonal decomposition on the training dataset separately in each region. In conclusion, mrPOD is tested on single energy group and multigroup atmospheric shielding transport problems and is shown to outperform classic POD.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

How can we combine urban cooling strategies to effectively cool cities over the entire diurnal cycle?

The urban heat island effect generally peaks in the night/evening hours and, in some cases, an urban cool island effect during daytime has been reported. These patterns are observed mainly because of the widespread use of impervious and thermally massive materials (like concrete and asphalt) in the built environment and their ability to store energy during the daytime and release it at night. Unfortunately, most urban cooling strategies, such as cool (white), green, and blue spaces, provide better thermal performance during the daytime than at night. Hence, such solutions are not ideal for nighttime heat mitigation. In this study, we investigate the effect of the thermal storage capacity of existing buildings on nighttime urban air temperature for a hot arid city—Phoenix, and a hot humid city—Atlanta. The study uses regional scale atmospheric modeling to compare the nighttime urban cooling capability of thermally light buildings (Cross-laminated timber buildings in this case) with concrete buildings. The results show that the adoption of thermally light buildings reduce nighttime air temperatures, and slightly increases daytime air temperatures. On the other hand, cool roof adaption could reduce urban air temperature significantly during the daytime and slightly at night. Therefore, together with cool roofs, thermally light buildings may be able to cool the surrounding air by an average of about 1°C throughout the diurnal cycle, providing thermal comfort and reducing cooling demand during all hours.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2025

E3SM‐GCAM: A Synchronously Coupled Human Component in the E3SM Earth System Model Enables Novel Human‐Earth Feedback Research

Abstract Modeling human‐environment feedbacks is critical for assessing the effectiveness of climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies under a changing climate. The Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) now includes a human component, with the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM) at its core, that is synchronously coupled with the land and atmosphere components through the E3SM coupling software. Terrestrial productivity is passed from E3SM to GCAM to make climate‐responsive land use and CO 2 emission projections for the next 5‐year period, which are interpolated and passed to E3SM annually. Key variables affected by the incorporation of these feedbacks include land use/cover change, crop prices, terrestrial carbon, local surface temperature, and climate extremes. Regional differences are more pronounced than global differences because the effects are driven primarily by differences in land use. This novel system enables a new type of scenario development and provides a powerful modeling framework that facilitates the addition of other feedbacks between these models. This system has the potential to explore how human responses to climate change impacts in a variety of sectors, including heating/cooling energy demand, water management, and energy production, may alter emissions trajectories and Earth system changes. Plain Language Summary Earth system models help us understand how humans are changing the climate. Currently, these models do not include human systems, so predetermined greenhouse gas, aerosol, and land use change data are input to these models. These data do not reflect human responses to changes projected by Earth system models. We have added a human component to an Earth system model to represent human responses to environmental change and calculate corresponding greenhouse gas and land use change data instead of using predetermined data. Including this human component changes projections of land use, land carbon storage, and regional climate. Key Points We have incorporated a novel, advanceable human component in an Earth system model to simulate human‐Earth feedbacks Including terrestrial productivity feedbacks from the Earth to the human systems affects land change, crop prices, carbon, and climate Regional effects of including terrestrial productivity feedbacks are greater than global effects because land change is the main driver

E3SM↗
DOE OSTI2025

Evolutionary and functional relationships between plant and microbial C 1 metabolism in terrestrial ecosystems

One-carbon (C 1 ) metabolism, centered on the universal methyl donor S-adenosyl methionine (SAM), plays critical roles in biosynthesis, redox regulation, and stress responses across plants and microbes. A recently proposed photosynthetic C 1 pathway links SAM methyl groups directly to RuBisCO-mediated CO 2 assimilation and integrates with nitrogen and sulfur metabolism. Light-dependent SAM synthesis may regulate the methylation of biopolymers and specialized metabolites and help mitigate photorespiratory stress under elevated temperature and drought. Phylogenetic analysis of two core enzymes suggests evolutionary continuity from methylotrophic microbes to land plants, supporting microbial origins via endosymbiotic gene transfer. Beyond intracellular roles, C 1 metabolism drives biosphere–atmosphere exchange via gases such as methane, methanol, formic acid, and formaldehyde, and numerous specialized volatiles synthesized through SAM methylation. S-methylmethionine, a mobile C 1 metabolite, may mediate phloem transport of reduced sulfur, nitrogen, and methyl groups, linking above- and belowground C 1 cycling in plants. Advances in real-time gas sensing now allow the high-frequency quantification of C 1 fluxes from leaves, stems, and soils, highlighting C 1 metabolism as a critical and underrecognized component of terrestrial carbon and nutrient cycling. Given its microbial ancestry and the production of diverse volatile biosignatures, C 1 metabolism may also offer unique insights into life's origins and biosignature detection on exoplanets.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Plant Biosystems Design for a Carbon-Neutral Bioeconomy

Our society faces multiple daunting challenges including finding sustainable solutions towards climate change mitigation; efficient production of food, biofuels, and biomaterials; maximizing land-use efficiency; and enabling a sustainable bioeconomy. Plants can provide environmentally and economically sustainable solutions to these challenges due to their inherent capabilities for photosynthetic capture of atmospheric CO 2 , allocation of carbon to various organs and partitioning into various chemical forms, including contributions to total soil carbon. In order to enhance crop productivity and optimize chemistry simultaneously in the above- and belowground plant tissues, transformative biosystems design strategies are needed. Concerted research efforts will be required for accelerating the development of plant cultivars, genotypes, or varieties that are cooptimized in the contexts of biomass-derived fuels and/or materials aboveground and enhanced carbon sequestration belowground. Here, we briefly discuss significant knowledge gaps in our process understanding and the potential of synthetic biology in enabling advancements along the fundamental to applied research arc. Ultimately, a convergence of perspectives from academic, industrial, government, and consumer sectors will be needed to realize the potential merits of plant biosystems design for a carbon neutral bioeconomy.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Ce- and Ni-Codoped Double PrBaMn 2 O 5 Perovskite as a Ceramic SOFC Anode

This study explores the efficacy of cerium introduction, both on its own and in combination with nickel, into PrBaMn 2 O 5+δ (PBM) structures to enhance solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) anodes. We synthesized Pr 1–x Ce x BaMn 2 O 5+δ compositions for x values of 0.05 (PrCe5) and 0.1 (PrCe10), as well as a nickel-doped variant (PrCe5Ni), assessing their performance under H 2 – 3% H 2 O reducing conditions pertinent to SOFC anode operations. Our findings reveal that the PrCe5 composition exhibits a thermal expansion coefficient (TEC) that not only improves upon that of the Ce-free counterpart but also aligns closely with the TEC standards of prevalent SOFC electrolytes. A notable advancement was achieved with the application of a 3.5 μm gadoliniadoped ceria (GDC) buffer layer through physical vapor deposition, effectively mitigating chemical interactions between PBM-based anodes and yttria-stabilized zirconia (YSZ) electrolytes, a concern highlighted by in situ neutron diffraction analyses. Electrochemical impedance spectroscopy, conducted over 220 h in a H 2 –3% H 2 O atmosphere at 750 °C, demonstrated that the optimal 3.5 μm thickness of the GDC buffer layer significantly minimizes the area-specific resistance (ASR) degradation rate to 0.002 Ω cm 2 /h, markedly outperforming both thinner (1 μm) and thicker (8 μm) GDC layers, which showed higher degradation rates of 0.15–0.2 Ω cm 2 /h due to the diffusion of Ba ions or delamination. Moreover, cerium doping fosters superior microstructural stability and obviates barium diffusion, thereby suggesting an enhanced durability of the doped anodes over their lifespan. Integrating nickel into the PrCe5 structure halved the ASR to 0.5 Ω cm 2 at 750 °C, situating it well within the ideal performance range for SOFC anodes. Furthermore, the enhancement brought about by simultaneously doping PBM with cerium and nickel, which fundamentally relies on the critical contributions of defect chemistry and crystal structure, highlights the significance of these fields in creating sophisticated materials for energy related applications.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2021

DIRT/3D: 3D root phenotyping for field-grown maize ( Zea mays )

The development of crops with deeper roots holds substantial promise to mitigate the consequences of climate change. Deeper roots are an essential factor to improve water uptake as a way to enhance crop resilience to drought, to increase nitrogen capture, to reduce fertilizer inputs, and to increase carbon sequestration from the atmosphere to improve soil organic fertility. A major bottleneck to achieving these improvements is high-throughput phenotyping to quantify root phenotypes of field-grown roots. We address this bottleneck with Digital Imaging of Root Traits (DIRT)/3D, an image-based 3D root phenotyping platform, which measures 18 architecture traits from mature field-grown maize (Zea mays) root crowns (RCs) excavated with the Shovelomics technique. DIRT/3D reliably computed all 18 traits, including distance between whorls and the number, angles, and diameters of nodal roots, on a test panel of 12 contrasting maize genotypes. The computed results were validated through comparison with manual measurements. Overall, we observed a coefficient of determination of r 2 > 0.84 and a high broad-sense heritability of H$_{mean}^{2}$ < 0.6 for all but one trait. The average values of the 18 traits and a developed descriptor to characterize complete root architecture distinguished all genotypes. DIRT/3D is a step toward automated quantification of highly occluded maize RCs. Therefore, DIRT/3D supports breeders and root biologists in improving carbon sequestration and food security in the face of the adverse effects of climate change.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Forest Carbon Storage in the Western United States: Distribution, Drivers, and Trends

Abstract Forests are a large carbon sink and could serve as natural climate solutions that help moderate future warming. Thus, establishing forest carbon baselines is essential for tracking climate‐mitigation targets. Western US forests are natural climate solution hotspots but are profoundly threatened by drought and altered disturbance regimes. How these factors shape spatial patterns of carbon storage and carbon change over time is poorly resolved. Here, we estimate live and dead forest carbon density in 19 forested western US ecoregions with national inventory data (2005–2019) to determine: (a) current carbon distributions, (b) underpinning drivers, and (c) recent trends. Potential drivers of current carbon included harvest, wildfire, insect and disease, topography, and climate. Using random forests, we evaluated driver importance and relationships with current live and dead carbon within ecoregions. We assessed trends using linear models. Pacific Northwest (PNW) and Southwest (SW) ecoregions were most and least carbon dense, respectively. Climate was an important carbon driver in the SW and Lower Rockies. Fire reduced live and increased dead carbon, and was most important in the Upper Rockies and California. No ecoregion was unaffected by fire. Harvest and private ownership reduced carbon, particularly in the PNW. Since 2005, live carbon declined across much of the western US, likely from drought and fire. Carbon has increased in PNW ecoregions, likely recovering from past harvest, but recent record fire years may alter trajectories. Our results provide insight into western US forest carbon function and future vulnerabilities, which is vital for effective climate change mitigation strategies.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗
DOE OSTI2022

Improved Representation of Horizontal Variability and Turbulence in Mesoscale Simulations of an Extended Cold-Air Pool Event

Abstract Cold-air pools (CAPs), or stable atmospheric boundary layers that form within topographic basins, are associated with poor air quality, hazardous weather, and low wind energy output. Accurate prediction of CAP dynamics presents a challenge for mesoscale forecast models in part because CAPs occur in regions of complex terrain, where traditional turbulence parameterizations may not be appropriate. This study examines the effects of the planetary boundary layer (PBL) scheme and horizontal diffusion treatment on CAP prediction in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model. Model runs with a one-dimensional (1D) PBL scheme and Smagorinsky-like horizontal diffusion are compared with runs that use a new three-dimensional (3D) PBL scheme to calculate turbulent fluxes. Simulations are completed in a nested configuration with 3-km/750-m horizontal grid spacing over a 10-day case study in the Columbia River basin, and results are compared with observations from the Second Wind Forecast Improvement Project. Using event-averaged error metrics, potential temperature and wind speed errors are shown to decrease both with increased horizontal grid resolution and with improved treatment of horizontal diffusion over steep terrain. The 3D PBL scheme further reduces errors relative to a standard 1D PBL approach. Error reduction is accentuated during CAP erosion, when turbulent mixing plays a more dominant role in the dynamics. Last, the 3D PBL scheme is shown to reduce near-surface overestimates of turbulence kinetic energy during the CAP event. The sensitivity of turbulence predictions to the master length-scale formulation in the 3D PBL parameterization is also explored. Significance Statement In this article, we demonstrate how a new framework for modeling atmospheric turbulence improves cold pool predictions, using a case study from January 2017 in the Columbia River basin (U.S. Pacific Northwest). Cold pools are regions of cold, stagnant air that form within valleys or basins, and improved forecasts could help to mitigate the risks they pose to air quality, transportation, and wind energy production. For the chosen case study, our tests show a reduction in temperature and wind speed errors by up to a factor of 2–3 relative to standard model options. These results strongly motivate continued development of the framework as well as its application to other complex weather events.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Quantized electronic transitions in electrodeposited copper indium selenide nanocrystalline homojunctions

Pairing semiconductors with electrochemical processing offers an untapped opportunity to create novel nanostructures for practical devices. Here we report the results of one such pairing: the in-situ formation of highly-doped, interface-matched, sharp nanocrystalline homojunctions (NHJs) with single step electrodeposition of two copper-indium-selenide (CISe) compounds on flexible foil. It produces a homogenous film, comprising inherently ordered, 3-dimensional interconnected network of pn -CISe NHJs. These CISe NHJs exhibit surprising non-linear emissions, quantized transitions, large carrier mobility, low trap-state-density, long carrier lifetime and possible up-conversion. They facilitate efficient separation of minority carriers, reduce recombination and essentially function like quantum materials. This approach mitigates the material issues and complex fabrication of incumbent nanoscale heterojunctions; it also overcomes the flexibility and scale-up challenges of conventional planar pn junctions. The self-stabilized CISe NHJ film can be roll-to-roll processed in ambient atmosphere, thus providing a promising platform for a range of optoelectronic technologies. This concept exemplified by CISe compounds can be adapted to create nano-scale pn junctions with other inorganic semiconductors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Mitigation of Cosmic Rays-Induced Errors in Superconducting Quantum Processors

Environmental radioactivity and cosmic-rays have recently been identified as a source of decoherence in super-conducting quantum bits (qubits). In particular, the absorption of cosmic-ray muons and gamma rays emitted by naturally occurring radioactive isotopes in the qubit substrate leads to correlated errors in superconducting quantum processors, posing significant challenges to quantum error correction. To enable quantum computing to scale, it is therefore necessary the devel-opment of mitigation strategies to prevent, or keep under control, error bursts due to particle impacts in the chip. While most environmental radioactive sources can be effectively suppressed using dedicated shielding, cosmic-ray muons, with their high penetration capability, can only be mitigated by moving the entire facility in a deep underground laboratory. This work explores the potential for developing a novel class of quantum processors equipped with an active veto system to protect superconducting-based quantum computers from the detrimental effects of atmospheric muons. Such a device would enable the identification of an atmospheric muon interaction within the processor and veto all operations performed during the occurrence of such an interaction. By demonstrating high detection efficiency and negligible dead time, we aim to establish that the future of quantum processors can be envisioned in above-around facilities.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2026

A Global Methane Observation System to Reduce Uncertainty for Anthropogenic and Natural Sources and Sinks for Detecting and Attributing Climate Feedbacks

Atmospheric methane (CH4) concentrations are accelerating global warming as net emissions increase. Observing systems that quantify sources remain too sparse and fragmented to detect trends—especially in remote regions where climate‐driven natural emissions may be rising. We provide a framework for quantifying uncertainty reductions through the implementation of a global ecosystem‐methane observing system designed to: (i) substantially lower uncertainty in sectoral and regional emissions, (ii) separate co‐occurring anthropogenic and natural fluxes, and (iii) trend detection at regional scales to verify mitigation progress and provide early warning of natural feedbacks. Using bottom‐up inventories and process‐model ensembles for 2014–2023, we show that anthropogenic emissions remain uncertain by ∼32% globally, while natural sources—tropical and boreal‐arctic wetlands, fires, and inland waters—carry far larger uncertainties (+ 70%) and trend uncertainties reaching ∼200%. Additional observations must match spatial emission structure to increase observability of emissions: high‐resolution satellite constellations for point sources combined with expanded flux networks and wetland mapping for diffuse sources, and denser ground‐based atmospheric column measurements to restore observability in under‐sampled tropics and high latitudes. Notional analyses indicate that targeted additions of flux towers and ∼20 in situ atmospheric column concentration instruments per key tropical region could reduce continental‐scale uncertainties at modest cost. Conceptual illustration of a Global Ecosystem Methane Observing System (GEM‐OS) integrating satellites, aircraft, atmospheric networks, and ecosystem measurements to quantify methane emissions from anthropogenic and natural sources. The multi‐scale observing framework improves source attribution, reduces uncertainty in regional methane budgets, and enables early detection of climate‐driven feedbacks from wetlands, fires, permafrost, agriculture, and fossil‐fuel emissions.

Ciais, P↗
DOE OSTI2024

Increased Asian Sulfate Aerosol Emissions Remarkably Enhance Sahel Summer Precipitation

Observational evidence shows that Sahel summer precipitation has experienced a considerable increase since the 1980s, coinciding with significant diverging trends of increased sulfate emissions in Asia and decreased emissions in Europe (dipole pattern of aerosols between Asia and Europe). The decrease in European sulfate aerosols has substantial effects on the Sahel summer precipitation increase, but the corresponding effect of increased Asian sulfate is unknown. Multi-model simulations in the Precipitation Driver and Response Model Intercomparison Project (PDRMIP) show, compared to decreased European aerosols, that increased Asian aerosols similarly enhance the Sahel summer precipitation but with different large-scale atmospheric circulation changes. Further analysis of the Sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) simulations under historical attribution and various emission scenarios reinforces the results about the climate impacts of anthropogenic aerosols and suggests that in future scenarios with strong international cooperation and rapid climate mitigations (SSP2-45), the Sahel drought will be intensified likely due to the decline in Asian aerosol emissions. Our results suggest that Asian anthropogenic aerosols are likely a non-negligible driver of the recent recovery in Sahel precipitation amounts

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗