Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Choice model”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 235 records · Page 13

Numerical Investigation of the Effect of Trailing Edge Thickness of Simulated CMC Blades on Loss Profiles

To understand such an aerodynamic characteristic of the CMC blades, we numerically simulated three different CMC blades with varying trailing edge thicknesses. We utilized both Large Eddy simulation (LES) with the dynamic subgrid closure as well a recently implemented Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) coupled with an intermittency function-based transition model. We considered two sets of experimental test points with different Reynolds numbers at a given high-free stream turbulence range (Tu=~10-13%). The LES was previously validated by comparing with experimental data. We validated the RANS transition model against the ERCOFTAC experimental zero-pressure gradient smooth flat plate boundary layer at low- and high freestream turbulence offered by the experimental data of the Stripf’s for a turbine blade. We confirmed that the predicted skin friction and the heat flux agree well with the data. Finally, we computed the predicted pressure loading profiles, total loss distributions, and integrated loss of the three different CMC blades and made comparisons against the experimental data acquired at NASA Glenn Transonic Turbine Blade Cascade Rig. Our paper will present the aforementioned results and discuss the ability of LES and RANS model of our choice to predict salient aerodynamic characteristics of the blades with the various trailing edge thickness effects.

LES↗

Application of a new X-ray reflection model to V1223 Sagittarii

In intermediate polars (IPs), the intrinsic thermal emissions from white dwarfs (WDs) have typically been studied. Few reports have analysed X-ray reflections from WDs. We recently developed an elaborate IP-reflection spectral model. Herein, we report the first application of a reflection model with an IP thermal model to the spectra of the brightest typical IP V1223 Sagittarii observed by the Suzaku and Nuclear Spectroscopic Telescope Array satellites. The model reasonably reproduces the spectra within the range of 5–78 keV and estimates the WD mass as 0.92 ± 0.02 Mꙩ. The WD mass estimated by the proposed model is consistent with that measured using an active galactic nucleus reflection model and a partial covering absorption model. However, the choice of incorrect parameter values, such as an unsuitable fitting energy band and an incorrect metal abundance, was found to introduce systematic errors (e.g. ≲0.2 Mꙩ in the WD mass) in the WD mass measurement. Our spin-phase-resolved analysis resulted in discoveries regarding the modulations of the equivalent width of the fluorescent iron K α line and the angle between the post-shock accretion column and the line of sight (viewing angle). The viewing angle anticorrelates approximately with the X-ray flux and has average and semi-amplitude values of 55° and 7°, respectively, which points towards two WD spin axis angles from the line of sight of 55° and 7°, respectively. Both estimated spin axis angles are different from the reported system inclination of 24°.

Takayuki Hayashi↗

Numerical Investigation of the Effect of Trailing Edge Thickness of Simulated CMC Blades on Loss Profiles

To understand such an aerodynamic characteristic of the CMC blades, we numerically simulated three different CMC blades with varying trailing edge thicknesses. We utilized both Large Eddy simulation (LES) with the dynamic subgrid closure as well a recently implemented Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) coupled with an intermittency function-based transition model. We considered two sets of experimental test points with different Reynolds numbers at a given high-free stream turbulence range (Tu=~10-13%). The LES was previously validated by comparing with experimental data. We validated the RANS transition model against the ERCOFTAC experimental zero-pressure gradient smooth flat plate boundary layer at low- and high freestream turbulence offered by the experimental data of the Stripf’s for a turbine blade. We confirmed that the predicted skin friction and the heat flux agree well with the data. Finally, we computed the predicted pressure loading profiles, total loss distributions, and integrated loss of the three different CMC blades and made comparisons against the experimental data acquired at NASA Glenn Transonic Turbine Blade Cascade Rig. Our paper will present the aforementioned results and discuss the ability of LES and RANS model of our choice to predict salient aerodynamic characteristics of the blades with the various trailing edge thickness effects.

LES↗

Infusing Statistical Thinking into the NASA Quesst Community Test Campaign

Statistical thinking permeates many important decisions as NASA plans its Quesst mission, which will culminate in a series of community overflights using the X-59 aircraft to demonstrate low-noise supersonic flight. Month-long longitudinal surveys will be deployed to assess human perception and annoyance to this new acoustic phenomenon. NASA works with a large contractor team to develop systems and methodologies to estimate noise doses, to test and field socio-acoustic surveys, and to study the relationship between the two quantities, dose and response, through appropriate choices of statistical models. This latter dose-response relationship will serve as an important tool as national and international noise regulators debate whether overland supersonic flights could be permitted once again within permissible noise limits. In this presentation we highlight several areas where statistical thinking has come into play, including issues of sampling, classification and data fusion, and analysis of longitudinal survey data that are subject to rare events and the consequences of measurement error. We note several operational constraints that shape the appeal or feasibility of some decisions on statistical approaches, and we identify several important remaining questions to be addressed.

Bayesian model↗

Automobile and Technology Lifecycle-Based Assignment (ATLAS) v2.0.12

ATLAS is a comprehensive vehicle transaction and technology adoption microsimulator. ATLAS evolves the fleet mix of individual households by simulating the transaction (vehicle addition, disposal, and replacement) and choice (vehicle type, vintage, powertrain, and tenure) decisions in response to the co-evolving demographics, land use, and vehicle technology simulations. Different from the existing vehicle models that are either static or aggregated (e.g. stock model), ATLAS is fully disaggregated and dynamic following a sequential and circumstantial decision-making trajectory. This fine-grained approach not only enhances the realism of the simulation but also provides a nuanced understanding of the dynamics inherent in vehicle fleet evolution. ATLAS outputs are fully compatible with subsequent agent-based transportation modeling system and can enable distributional effect analysis regarding the fleet turnover among heterogeneous populations. ATLAS expands the typical new sale focused vehicle choice modeling to including used vehicle transactions that are of increasing interests to understanding the vehicle adoption behavior among lower income households.

Jin, Ling↗

Revenue-Maximizing Shared Parking and Electric Vehicle Charging Management in Multi-Unit Dwellings

In urban areas, searching for parking and electric vehicle (EV) charging can result in cruising, congestion, and environmental externalities. Recognizing the business opportunity of offering private parking and charging infrastructure access within multi-unit dwellings (MUDs) during daytime, we model a shared parking and EV charging management system. We maximize the revenue of MUD charging hubs in mixed land use, catering to public demand. Our approach accounts for the objectives of the two stakeholders involved: a demand model is fitted on the choices of EV charging users, and the supply model optimizes the allocation of parking and charging requests in an MUD parking lot. A binary integer linear programming model for the allocation of parking and charging spaces with a rolling horizon is integrated with matching rules that handle both parking and charging requests. In our numerical experiments in a neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois, we estimate the performance of the MUD parking and charging system with metrics that include revenue, number of matchings, and utilization rates. At any given time, MUDs with lower prices attract more charging requests, particularly those of longer duration, resulting in higher revenue and greater charging utilization. Dynamic pricing facilitates a more equitable distribution of requests; as MUD parking lots reach capacity and their fees increase, other MUDs become more competitive, attracting additional requests. Comparing our method against first-come-first-served and optimal-solution benchmarks, we demonstrate our model’s effectiveness in dynamically managing mixed parking and charging demand in MUD charging hubs.

electric vehicle, multi-unit dwelling, charging in↗

Comparison of U.S. and Russian Slow Crack Growth Data and Models

Both the US and Russian space programs use similar predictive models for design of fused silica windows on the International space station. The Russian model can be derived from the power expression for slow crack growth (SCG) or “static fatigue.” The US uses both power and exponential models. Despite the similarity of models and data fitting approach (linear regression and right censoring), different SCG parameters have been derived by US and Russian parties for the same material (Russian fused silica) tested in a similar manner. The difference appears to be related to the use of short-term strength data along with the longer-term static fatigue data, with the power law parameter n being very sensitive to the conversion of strength data into equivalent static data. This hybrid approach is feasible if strength data is measured with a constant stress rate and is appropriately converted to a static equivalent. More research into the approach is needed. However, because of the nonlinear behavior of fused silica in log(v) – log(K(I) ) space and the sensitivity of parameter estimation to fit range, the exponential model is a better choice regardless of test method. Functions are given to convert parameters from the Russian model to those in the US model. However, accurate conversion is hampered by the lack of inert strength data. When the same test technique is used, US and Russian materials exhibit very similar parameters.

Silica, strength, impact, crack growth, windows, I↗

Systematic uncertainties in the measurement of the neutron lifetime using the Lunar Prospector neutron spectrometer

The lifetime of free neutrons measured in the laboratory has a longstanding disparity of ≈9 s. A space-based technique has recently been proposed to independently measure the neutron lifetime using interactions between the galactic cosmic rays and a low atmosphere planetary body. This technique has not produced competitive results yet due to constraints of nonoptimized data that contain large systematic errors. We use data from the neutron spectrometer on-board NASA's Lunar Prospector, and study two large systematics in the measurement of neutron lifetime: the lunar subsurface temperature and the lunar surface composition. We use the HeCd and HeSn neutron spectrometer data when the spacecraft was in a highly elliptical orbit during the orbit insertion period. We report the neutron lifetime using four different models that each have different choices of surface temperature and composition. The 5° [Prettyman et al ., J. Geophys. Res.: Planets 111, 2005JE002656 (2006)] and 2° [Wilson et al., Phys. Rev. C 104, 045501 (2021)] rebinned maps result in 777.6±11.7 s and 739.6±10.8 s, respectively. For the 20° map (Prettyman et al., 2006), constant equatorial and a latitude-dependent temperature model result in 738.6±10.8 s and 767.3±11.2 s, respectively. Increasing the complexities of the models accounting for the systematic effects increase the measured lifetime. However, the reported measurements are not competitive with the laboratory results due to large unaccounted systematics resulting from nonoptimized measurements and modeling assumptions. This work serves as a study of systematic uncertainties for future neutron lifetime measurements using the space-based technique. We estimate the effect on the lifetime from the choice of temperature model to be to be 28.7 ±15.5 s, and choice of compositional map (for 20° and 5° maps) to be 10.3 ±12.2 s.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Determining Ice-Sheet Uplift Surrounding Subglacial Lakes with a Viscous Plate Model

We develop a viscous model of plate bending suitable for studying ice-sheet flexure due to subglacial lake filling and draining, and apply this model to determine the area of ice-sheet uplift surrounding a subglacial lake. The choice of a viscous model reflects our interest in Antarctic subglacial lakes, which can fill and drain on time scales of months to decades. Experiments with idealized lake shapes show that the size of the uplift area relative to lake area depends on subglacial water pressure and ice-sheet thickness, with the viscous material parameters scaling the magnitude of uplift rate within this area. The water pressure therefore has a strong control on the evolution of the lake shape and related subglacial hydrological development, but is not yet well constrained by observations. Due to the likelihood that ice flexure will affect subglacial lake filling and draining, we suggest that the insights of this study should be applied to development of a realistic ice sheet-hydrological coupled model.

ice sheets↗

A Fast, Accurate Prediction for System-Wide Damage Due to Dynamic Wind Loading

The complex relationship between photovoltaic (PV) hardware configurations, overall system dynamics, and turbulent aerodynamic phenomena generates highly unsteady, non-uniform loads that can lead to damaging instabilities. These effects may result in glass breakage, cell cracking, and structural failures in frames and mounting systems, even under moderate wind conditions. Addressing industry concerns about premature system failures in field conditions deemed survivable, our research aims to develop a fast and accurate predictive model for system damage. This model integrates configurable hardware choices with advanced simulation tools to represent the overall system-specific dynamics effectively. Using this model, we predict responses under varying weather conditions and hardware setups, translating these predictions into pre-trained surrogate models capable of accurately identifying failure risks and rapidly testing new system hardening measures. In this presentation, we will showcase preliminary results in capturing system dynamics through our customizable library of PV hardware configurations. Additionally, we will highlight how these new tools build upon PVade's established wind load modeling capabilities and foster the development of advanced AI/ML surrogates for improving system robustness.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Analysis of a water table simulation of a transpirationally cooled nozzle

Two flow models were formulated: for a no-mixing and a complete-mixing boundary layer. The approach taken assumes inviscid flow and constant pressure in the transverse direction. The models are simple enough so that extending them to apply to a gas nozzle, including heat transfer and density differences, should be possible. Both models predict experimental photographic data with similar results; but inherent two dimensional and parallax errors preclude choice of the best model. In general, the boundary layer thickens rapidly near the start of injection because of low acceleration forces; it thins near the throat because of high acceleration forces. The transpiration fluid increases the radius of curvature near the throat and decreases the divergence angle of the free flow downstream of the throat.

Kascak, A. F.↗

KRESKA: A compression system for small and very large images

An effective lossless compression system for grayscale images is presented using finite context variable order Markov models. A new method to accurately estimate the probability of the escape symbol is proposed. The choice of the best model order and rules for selecting context pixels are discussed. Two context precision and two symbol precision techniques to handle noisy image data with Markov models are introduced. Results indicate that finite context variable order Markov models lead to effective lossless compression systems for small and very large images. The system achieves higher compression ratios than some of the better known image compression techniques such as lossless JPEG, JBIG, or FELICS.

Ohnesorge, Krystyna W.↗

CFD Simulations of the Space Launch System Ascent Aerodynamics and Booster Separation

This paper presents details of Computational Fluid Dynamic modeling of the Space Launch System during ascent. The primary focus of the paper is the flow simulation of the vehicle during ascent using the Overflow Navier-Stokes code. Computations of 739 first-stage flight conditions covering a range of Mach numbers, angles of attack, and roll angles were computed. The overset grid system contained 375 million grid points, and over 28 mil- lion CPU hours were used in the simulations. The simulations were run on the Pleiades supercomputer at the NASA Advanced Supercomputer Center at Ames Research Center. The data products from this work include integrated line-loads, surface pressure coefficients, venting pressures, and protuberance air-loads. Detailed comparisons were made of the aerodynamic performance predicted by Overflow and the wind-tunnel derived aero- dynamic database. A small number of the cases were run with two different turbulence models and with two differencing schemes. These results were used to quantify the sensitivity to the choice of the turbulence model and to the differencing scheme. The paper also introduces an effort to use the inviscid, unstructured Cartesian solver Cart3D to compute the aerodynamics during booster separation. Adaptive mesh refinement is being used to enable accurate simulations of sixteen booster-separation-motor plumes. The use of this tool is explored in preparation for building a booster-separation aerodynamic database.

Ascent Aerodynamics↗

Nonconservative force model parameter estimation strategy for TOPEX/Poseidon precision orbit determination

The TOPEX/Poseidon spacecraft was launched on August 10, 1992 to study the Earth's oceans. To achieve maximum benefit from the altimetric data it is to collect, mission requirements dictate that TOPEX/Poseidon's orbit must be computed at an unprecedented level of accuracy. To reach our pre-launch radial orbit accuracy goals, the mismodeling of the radiative nonconservative forces of solar radiation, Earth albedo an infrared re-radiation, and spacecraft thermal imbalances cannot produce in combination more than a 6 cm rms error over a 10 day period. Similarly, the 10-day drag modeling error cannot exceed 3 cm rms. In order to satisfy these requirements, a 'box-wing' representation of the satellite has been developed in which, the satellite is modelled as the combination of flat plates arranged in the shape of a box and a connected solar array. The radiative/thermal nonconservative forces acting on each of the eight surfaces are computed independently, yielding vector accelerations which are summed to compute the total aggregate effect on the satellite center-of-mass. Select parameters associated with the flat plates are adjusted to obtain a better representation of the satellite acceleration history. This study analyzes the estimation of these parameters from simulated TOPEX/Poseidon laser data in the presence of both nonconservative and gravity model errors. A 'best choice' of estimated parameters is derived and the ability to meet mission requirements with the 'box-wing' model evaluated.

Luthcke, S. B.↗

Advanced Technology Lifecycle Analysis System (ATLAS) Technology Tool Box (TTB)

The Advanced Technology Lifecycle Analysis System (ATLAS) is a decision support tool designed to aid program managers and strategic planners in determining how to invest technology research and development dollars. It is an Excel-based modeling package that allows a user to build complex space architectures and evaluate the impact of various technology choices. ATLAS contains system models, cost and operations models, a campaign timeline and a centralized technology database. Technology data for all system models is drawn from a common database, the ATLAS Technology Tool Box (TTB). The TTB provides a comprehensive, architecture-independent technology database that is keyed to current and future timeframes.

Doyle, Monica↗

Earth Global Reference Atmospheric Model 2007 (Earth-GRAM07) Applications for the NASA Constellation Program

Engineering models of the atmosphere are used extensively by the aerospace community for design issues related to vehicle ascent and descent. The Earth Global Reference Atmosphere Model version 2007 (Earth-GRAM07) is the latest in this series and includes a number of new features. Like previous versions, Earth-GRAM07 provides both mean values and perturbations for density, temperature, pressure, and winds, as well as monthly- and geographically-varying trace constituent concentrations. From 0 km to 27 km, thermodynamics and winds are based on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Global Upper Air Climatic Atlas (GUACA) climatology. For altitudes between 20 km and 120 km, the model uses data from the Middle Atmosphere Program (MAP). Above 120 km, EarthGRAM07 now provides users with a choice of three thermosphere models: the Marshall Engineering Thermosphere (MET-2007) model; the Jacchia-Bowman 2006 thermosphere model (JB2006); and the Naval Research Labs Mass Spectrometer, Incoherent Scatter Radar Extended Model (NRL MSIS E-OO) with the associated Harmonic Wind Model (HWM-93). In place of these datasets, Earth-GRAM07 has the option of using the new 2006 revised Range Reference Atmosphere (RRA) data, the earlier (1983) RRA data, or the user may also provide their own data as an auxiliary profile. Refinements of the perturbation model are also discussed which include wind shears more similar to those observed at the Kennedy Space Center than the previous version Earth-GRAM99.

Leslie, Fred W.↗

Modeling Errors in Daily Precipitation Measurements: Additive or Multiplicative?

The definition and quantification of uncertainty depend on the error model used. For uncertainties in precipitation measurements, two types of error models have been widely adopted: the additive error model and the multiplicative error model. This leads to incompatible specifications of uncertainties and impedes intercomparison and application.In this letter, we assess the suitability of both models for satellite-based daily precipitation measurements in an effort to clarify the uncertainty representation. Three criteria were employed to evaluate the applicability of either model: (1) better separation of the systematic and random errors; (2) applicability to the large range of variability in daily precipitation; and (3) better predictive skills. It is found that the multiplicative error model is a much better choice under all three criteria. It extracted the systematic errors more cleanly, was more consistent with the large variability of precipitation measurements, and produced superior predictions of the error characteristics. The additive error model had several weaknesses, such as non constant variance resulting from systematic errors leaking into random errors, and the lack of prediction capability. Therefore, the multiplicative error model is a better choice.

Modeling↗