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At least 235 records · Page 13

Simple, low-cost and accurate data-driven geophysical forecasting with learned kernels

Modelling geophysical processes as low-dimensional dynamical systems and regressing their vector field from data is a promising approach for learning emulators of such systems. We show that when the kernel of these emulators is also learned from data (using kernel flows, a variant of cross-validation), then the resulting data-driven models are not only faster than equation-based models but are easier to train than neural networks such as the long short-term memory neural network. In addition, they are also more accurate and predictive than the latter. When trained on geophysical observational data, for example the weekly averaged global sea-surface temperature, considerable gains are also observed by the proposed technique in comparison with classical partial differential equation-based models in terms of forecast computational cost and accuracy. When trained on publicly available re-analysis data for the daily temperature of the North American continent, we observe significant improvements over classical baselines such as climatology and persistence-based forecast techniques. Although our experiments concern specific examples, the proposed approach is general, and our results support the viability of kernel methods (with learned kernels) for interpretable and computationally efficient geophysical forecasting for a large diversity of processes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Low-cost Manufacturing of Semitransparent CdTe PV for Building Integration

Solar has been demonstrated to be a robust renewable energy source, constituting a significant portion of the United States’ renewable energy portfolio. Despite its growth across residential, commercial, and utility sectors over the past decades, it remains a small fraction of the overall energy infrastructure. Challenges persist in fully harnessing solar power to meet the nation's escalating energy demands. Among these challenges lies the hurdle of efficiently distributing large quantities of solar-generated electricity to densely populated regions with the highest energy needs and costs. Traditional utility-scale arrays demand extensive land, a luxury often unavailable in metropolitan areas. Consequently, installations must be situated at a distance, necessitating additional infrastructure for electricity transmission to service areas. While metropolitan landscapes lack sprawling open spaces suitable for conventional utility-scale solar deployment, they offer a different resource: windows. Semitransparent photovoltaic window technology has the potential to not only bolster the grid's energy capacity, but to also provide HVAC and economic advantages to building owners. However, commercial availability of building-integrated photovoltaic windows remains limited. Silicon based photovoltaics currently dominate the solar market but adapting them for use in windows poses a variety of engineering and economic challenges such as relatively low power density, high costs associated with custom manufacturing, and aesthetic considerations. Addressing these challenges, this project explored the use of laser ablation patterning to manufacture cost-effective, high-efficiency, semitransparent Cadmium Telluride photovoltaic modules. Results showcased the potential of this methodology in developing photovoltaic windows and other innovative semitransparent PV applications. The ablation manufacturing technique demonstrated great versatility in achieving different patterns and levels of visible light transmission, and the power loss due to ablation was nearly directly proportional to the amount of material removed. Furthermore, the manufacturing process for Cadmium Telluride modules already has established advantages in material and energy efficiency, and the conversion of a standard submodule to semitransparent essentially requires a single additional process step, ensuring scalability. It is important to note that during this work, Toledo Solar experienced substantial organizational upheaval stemming from a lawsuit with First Solar. An external investigation led the board of directors to remove and replace the previous management team, and several other members of the staff elected to depart as well, including the then acting Principle Investigator on this project. The remaining Toledo Solar team attempted to recover from the disruption and deliver on the remaining tasks, but upon its own review, the Department of Energy ruled the project in default and terminated the contract in December 2023.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Case Study: Field Evaluation of a Low-Cost Circuit-Level Electrical Submetering System

Circuit-level metering technologies provide the ability to monitor individual circuits within an electrical panel in a building, providing detailed power and energy consumption data at a much more granular level than was previously achievable in a cost-effective manner. While the fundamental hardware components of circuit-level—split-core current transformers (CTs) and power monitoring meters—have existed for some time, the new offerings in the market have tightly integrated these components, lower costs, and have streamlined data organization, transport, and access via software solutions accessible through web and application programming interfaces (API). NREL evaluated Meazon’s single-circuit metering system. The evaluation of the equipment under test (EUT) focused on three aspects: (1) accuracy of the data provided by the system, (2) ease of installation of this technology and ease of data integration into existing U.S. General Services Administration (GSA) analytics platforms, and (3) total cost of ownership and cost-effectiveness of the technology. The metering technology was tested in a field deployment where it was installed in low and high-voltage commercial electrical panels in the César E. Chávez Memorial Building in Denver, Colorado. The goals were to assess the metering accuracy, the ease of installation and data retrieval, and the total cost of ownership and cost-effectiveness. This technology proved easy to install by a certified electrician who completed the install of 6 meters in 2 separate panels (120/208 V and 277/480 V) and 2 circuit disconnects (along with associated commissioning) at the César E. Chávez Memorial Building in less than one day. The technology was installed in high- and low-voltage panels and with limited space in the electrical room, demonstrating the applicability of this technology to almost all commercial buildings in the GSA portfolio. Primary considerations for this technology include appropriate sizing of CTs for each circuit, selection of loads/circuits/panels that are of high value for detailed submetering (e.g., tailored for high-load devices), and how GSA would like to integrate these data with its existing energy management infrastructure. Through the field evaluation, we demonstrated data integration from the vendor system into the primary software component on the GSA enterprise-level energy management and information system, GSA Link. Data from the circuit-level metering were integrated into this platform and used to perform FDD. This demonstrated the ability of the EUT to augment existing energy management and information systems in buildings where GSA Link is deployed and provides a pathway for delivering FDD at other buildings throughout the portfolio.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

A New Low-Temperature Approach for Efficient and Low-Cost Group V Doping in CdTe Thin Film Solar Cells (Final Technical Report)

The goal of this project is to develop a highly efficient low-temperature ex-situ Group V diffusion doping approach in the CdCl 2 treated polycrystalline CdTe film using the group V chlorides (i.e., PCl 3 , AsCl 3 , SbCl 3 , and BiCl 3 ) as dopants source. For the first time, our innovative doping strategies through the low-temperature ex-situ Group V doping process in polycrystalline CdSeTe successfully demonstrated a promising power conversion efficiency of ~19% compared to the Cu-doped counterparts. Our newly developed low-temperature ex-situ group V doping allows dedicated control of group V diffusion amount, generates a desirable depth profile, and is completely compatible with commercial CdTe module manufacturing. We built the partnership with the largest CdTe solar module manufacturing in the US, e.g., First Solar, Inc to further develop these low-temperature diffusion doped CdSeTe solar cells. Our technology was granted US Patent No. US11257977B2. In this project, we systematically investigate and characterize the new ex-situ group V doping mechanisms, defect chemistry, microstructure, and device physics in CdTe solar cells by combining experimental and theoretical means to pave the way to achieve lower cost toward $\$$0.02/kWh and higher power conversion efficiency (PCE) toward 25% in polycrystalline CdTe solar technology. This project will benefit the public by providing more affordable solar electricity and provide an effective way to address climate change.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Low-Cost Cellulosic Sugars Produced by NREL's Deacetylation and Mechanical Refining Process

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory has developed a deacetylation and mechanical refining (DMR) process that combines low-severity chemical pretreatment and mechanical refining to sidestep the expenses and challenges of traditional pretreatments, such as hydrothermal and dilute acid technologies. The DMR process is an important step in turning agricultural waste to sustainable aviation fuel.

biofuel↗

Low-cost buffer storage for solar industrial steam applications

Motivation and importance: Many industrial process heat consumers operate throughout the day, and deep decarbonization with solar energy requires thermal energy storage. Thermal energy storage provides an additional operational benefit of firm delivery of steam – essential to reducing the risk of costly production interruptions. The group of process heat consumers that use steam for biofuels production for the California transportation fuels market is incentivized through the Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) to reduce their carbon intensity through the use of solar steam. Examples include ethanol and dimethyl ether production. The production of these and other fuels involves distillation driven by steam reboilers with steam pressures in the range 100-280 psig. These pressures can be delivered from the type of thermal energy storage that has been the focus of this project – a steam accumulator Sunvapor, Inc. (SVI) calls a “Bullet Steam Accumulator” or “BSA TM ”. Our project adds to the understanding of the design and integration of steam accumulators charged by solar thermal energy in a biofuels production facility, and similar facilities that consume process steam. The fuel application requires a demanding level of Process Safety Management not found in other steam applications. The type of steam accumulator SVI engineered and built integrates steam generation and storage in one vessel to reduce cost. Achieving a first of a kind permit to operate such a first device has also added to the understanding of the industrial application of such systems. Goals: The overall goal of the project has been to demonstrate the advantages that a “Bullet Steam Accumulator” (BSA™) can provide to solar steam integration with a manufacturing process. The industrial host has already been convinced of the potential of the available solar steam to lower than carbon intensity score. They have been interviewed for a number of publications such as that tout the advantages SVI’s system brings to their operations. Accomplishments: At the end of 2023 Sunvapor placed in service the country’s first industrial solar boiler with thermal energy storage. At the same time, this placement in service represents the first pilot commercial system to decarbonize biofuels production through the use of solar thermal energy. While the full technical effectiveness will be shown as soon as the customer’s plant is able to consume the available steam, the economic feasibility was indicated early in the project when the combination of costs and steam pricing required to meet investor expectations was determined. The project represents a reference pilot from which a full-scale commercial system may be expanded. This pilot is a necessary first step in providing the full potential benefits to the public, including decarbonization of transportation fuels. The decarbonization of the separation steps in fuels production may be the most cost-effective and nearest term solar fuel. Co-benefits include a reduction of air pollutants such as NOx and particulate matter, and job creation for the construction, operation and maintenance of industrial solar facilities.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Advanced electrode manufacturing to enable low cost PEM electrolysis

A critical challenge for the implementation of proton exchange membrane (PEM)-based water electrolyzers for the H2@Scale vision is the capital cost, which is largely driven by related factors of overdesign and highly manual legacy manufacturing methods. Typical electrolyzer cells have an order of magnitude higher membrane thickness and catalyst loading vs. fuel cells, in part because the manufacturing methods being used are not capable of producing uniform and reliable electrodes on thin membranes with low loading. Advanced electrode manufacturing is therefore the key enabler to reduce the cost of the electrolyzer stack, particularly roll-to-roll (R2R) manufacturing of catalyst coated layers (CCLs) and catalyst coated membranes (CCMs). The electrolyzer manufacturing process still relies on traditional sheet-to-sheet (S2S) processes, which requires intensive labor to make parts to meet the specification requirements. This project leverages fuel cell expertise (GM) with Proton’s knowledge of electrolyzer components to develop the electrocatalyst ink formulations and coating processes using slot die (ORNL) and gravure (NREL) coatings, with proof of concept at the pilot-scale (Kodak).

08 HYDROGEN↗

Substitution of virgin carbon fiber with low-cost recycled fiber in automotive grade injection molding polyamide 66 for equivalent composite mechanical performance with improved sustainability

Recycled carbon fiber has historically proven challenging to integrate into composite manufacturing due in no small part to the low-density, randomly oriented, discontinuous fiber format that results from typical recycling. Discontinuous fiber requires the use of alternative technologies than those traditionally applied to continuous fiber (e.g., hand lay-up, winding). Extrusion compounding is one such applicable technology, but material transfer into the system requires alternative feeding equipment or the use of an altered procedure as trialed in this research. In this study, an injection molding compound for automotive applications was prepared with recycled carbon fiber and compared against an existing commercial compound. Input fibers and molded compound were evaluated for mechanical performance, while relevant variables such as compounded fiber alignment and aspect ratio were compared to the existing baseline material to confirm a like-for-like composite material structure. Overall, analysis indicates that recycled fiber performs similarly to virgin fiber reinforcement, demonstrating that recycled fiber may be a viable drop-in replacement for short-fiber discontinuous applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Harnessing plant‐based platform for low‐cost cellulosic sugar recovery from bioenergy crops

The price of pure cellulase enzyme for the recovery of fermentable cellulosic sugars is one of the major challenges that limit the commercialization of second-generation biofuels and bio-based products. This work shows a means to greatly reduce the cost of cellulases. The abundant capacity of plants to synthesize and hyperaccumulate transgenic proteins in their plastids has been demonstrated for two gene constructs using either NPT II or Tet C to regulate the expression of bacterial cellulase Cel6A. Previously, the expression of Cel6A to 20–35% of total soluble leaf protein in tobacco was shown in two consecutive field trials. Moving forward, the key challenge was the extraction of active enzymes from the transgenic tobacco leaves hyperaccumulating bacterial cellulases in a cost-effective manner. The study showed that unpurified crude extracts of NPT II and Tet C transgenic tobacco leaves recovered ~23% and ~29% w/w cellulosic sugars from energycane bagasse, respectively. A supplementation of as low as 25% of purified commercial cellulase improved the glucose recovery by 2.9 times (~85% w/w) compared to 100% crude extract, which is comparable to the glucose recovery obtained by commercial cellulases, thereby suggesting a reduced requirement of commercial cellulases leading to a cost reduction of 75% for biorefineries. Assuming a stable 40% cellulase yield in total soluble protein under field conditions and multiple harvests (one to three) a year, the study estimates that the potential cost for saccharification of 1 t of lignocellulosic biomass can be reduced to 67–200 USD by using crude leaf extracts of transgenic tobacco.

biofuel↗

Towards a Unified Low-Cost Flow Plate, Flow-Field, PTL Solution for Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolyzers

Proton exchange membrane (PEM) water electrolysis is a highly efficient method for hydrogen production. Research cells typically consist of one proton exchange membrane, two catalyst layers, two porous transport layers, two flow-field plates, and two endplates. In commercial systems, the machined flow-field plates that are employed in research cells are typically replaced by stamped parts or open mesh material solutions to reduce manufacturing cost at scale. Nonetheless, the cell contains about 8 total interfaces: bipolar plate / flow plate material / porous transport medium / electrode / membrane / electrode / porous transport medium / flow plate material / bipolar plate. All these materials and interfaces need to be optimized for maximum performance and efficiency. Reducing the amount of interfaces by combining individual cell components directly benefits the fabrication cost (by reducing the parts count and the needs for surface coatings) and the electrochemical performance (by reducing ohmic losses). We have designed a novel PEM electrolysis cell with a piece of channeled titanium felt functioning as both the anode flow-field and the PTL, referred to as the channeled diffusion layer (CDL). The pores of the felt facilitate both in-plane and through-plane diffusion, ensuring maximum catalyst utilization while also minimizing mass transport loss. The titanium felt can be mass manufactured with existing stamping and forming methods and is therefore a promising candidate to reduce the capital cost of PEM electrolyzers whilst improving hydrogen production efficiency. Experiments conducted with 3mg IrOx/cm2 loading MEAs have shown a approximately 40% boost in peak current by implementing the CDL design. Low catalyst-loading MEAs are being tested in ongoing experiments and their results will be discussed and compared.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Development and Validation of Low-Cost, High-Reflectance Composite CSP Facets: SIPS Final Report

This work investigates the various challenges associated with developing heliostat structural composite facets using 1 mm glass mirrors. Such facets are desirable for Concentrating Solar Power because 1 mm glass mirrors provide an absolute increase in reflectivity of 2-3 % over the industry standard of 4 mm glass mirrors. Prototypes of paraboloid composite facets with 1 mm glass mirrors were constructed that have a root mean square slope error on the order of 2 mrad while achieving greater than 96% reflectivity. These facets were constructed using a low-quality aluminum mold and a bill of materials that show potential to achieve cost parity with existing 4 mm glass mirrors supported by structural steel. The facets produced were able to survive up to 50 mm hail ball impacts and were robust against accelerated environmental cycling designed to expose durability concerns. Further work is needed to develop a scalable and cost-effective manufacturing process with a similar bill of materials.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A Low Cost SIPM Evaluation and Control Prototyping System including accurate bias voltage generation, leakage current measurement, and temperature control using Peltier cooling

We describe an electronics system to operate SIPMs in the laboratory. The system is comprised of a single channel amplifier board (SIPM Amp) and a 4-channel control board to which up to 4 SIPM Amp boards can be connected. The control board supplies a common low voltage power for the amplifiers. All channels feature individually regulated bias and Peltier power voltages, along withPt10K RTD readout. A graphical user interface allows control of the bias voltages, amplifier voltage, Peltier voltages, and also provides for readback of leakage currents and other voltages. The GUI app has a feedback loop to measure the SIPM temperature (with the PT10K) and generate correction voltages to the Peltier to regulate the temperature. The temperatures, which can be achieved by Peltier cooling depend on the thermal design of the setup, the practical limit being about 50C below ambient. The SIPM Amp. board is a small (3x5cm) PCB that has a single SIPM readout channel. The SIPM scan be surface mounted on the pcb or connected to a 2-pin 0.100" socket. The area around the SIPM footprint is thermally isolated by perforations in the PCB. The RTD is located inside the thermal break. Onboard is BV and LV filtering. The 10X amplifier is based on MiniCircuits' GALI-S66+ integrated circuit, tweaked for a 6V power. The amplifier was selected for a combination of high bandwidth, low noise, and low power. An accoupled amplifier output is connected to an SMA connector. For best operation of this inverting amplifier the output signal should be in the range of 0 to -1V.The Amplifier board is connected to the Control board with a 10-conductor 0.025" pitch ribbon cable, carrying all the services. Peltier power for currents more than 1A should use a separate 2-contact connector.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Significant improvement of conversion efficiency by passivation of low-angle grain boundaries in flexible low-cost single-crystal-like GaAs thin-film solar cells directly deposited on metal tape

We develop an easily implementable yet effective process to achieve high power conversion efficiency in newly-developed flexible single-crystal-like GaAs thin-film photovoltaic solar cells on cheap metal tape. We study various techniques on the fabricated devices to passivate the defect states associated with dangling bonds at low-angle grain boundaries (LA-GBs) existing in the single-crystal-like GaAs material. We report that sulfur by trioctylphosphine sulfide (TOP:S) solution treatment can partially but effectively passivate the defect states at the LA-GBs to increase all the solar cell performance parameters of open-circuit voltage VOC (33.2%), short-circuit current JSC (19.5%), and fill factor FF (25.8%), resulting in the improvement of the power conversion efficiency more than double. The material and device characterizations and numerical modeling are performed to propose a mechanism, also suggesting that the power conversion efficiency higher than 20%, which is an important target milestone in emerging solar cell technologies, can be achieved. This work presents the first effective passivation of the bulk defects in GaAs at the device level and can also offer a solution for other photonic and electronic devices using non-single-crystalline GaAs films for flexible electronics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

H2 Materials Compatibility of Low Cost, High Pressure, Polymer H2 Dispensing Hoses

NanoSonic was recently awarded a DOE Phase IIB SBIR program for the commercialization of an innovative metal-free polymer based H2 dispensing hose to make H2 an economically viable fuel alternative to gasoline. During the Phase I and Phase II base programs, NanoSonic's H2 hose demonstrated ultra-high hydrostatic burst strength values > 31,000 psi where failure occurred due to fitting slippage, rather than hose burst. Additionally, our hoses survived > 51,000 pressure impulse cycles at 12,000 psi over a thermal cycle of -40 °C to 85 °C. These hoses also failed due to fitting slippage. Thus, our Phase IIB program is centralized on the addition of a new fitting, polymer hose refinement, and validation of a complete hose and fitting system certified for use with H2. While NanoSonic has partnered with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) to test our hose on their robotic H2 dispensing system, we are also seeking durability with the H2 environment at the molecular level. Here, NanoSonic proposes a CRADA with Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), who has expertise in H2 polymer materials compatibility. Together, we will determine the lifetime of our H2 hose polymer and composite constituents via: 1) time-temperature superposition (TTS) studies via dynamic mechanical analysis (DMA) under H2, 2) friction and wear resistance under in situ H2 tribometry, and 3) multi-axis strain testing under cryogenic conditions. PNNL has the unique test equipment essential to gain this type of insight and lifetime prediction data. Importantly, the work conducted under the proposed CRADA will increase the safety and reliability of our H2 hoses while expanding the market for use of our low H2 permeation polymers and durable cryogenic composites to realize the H2@Scale objectives to reduce the cost of H2.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Development of Stable Solid Oxide Electrolysis Cells for Low-Cost Hydrogen Production

The project objective was to demonstrate a solid oxide cell-based steam electrolysis stack that exhibits robustness, reliability, endurance, hydrogen purity, and produces hydrogen at elevated pressure of 2 to 3 bar. Innovative materials and processing methods were evaluated to improve degradation characteristics. Performance improvement focused on nearly all layers involved in the cell and stack assembly. Primary attention was paid to zirconia-ceria interface resistance control via sintering optimization and decrease in degradation from the oxygen electrode by evaluating low strontium (Sr) or Sr-free composition for both the oxygen electrode and current collection layer. Stack robustness was addressed by validating redox tolerance of fuel electrode, confirming capability of cells to survive repeated thermal cycles, studying the effect of pressure on performance and degradation, evaluating the effect of contamination on fuel and oxygen electrode performance and degradation, and identifying mitigation strategies to improve performance. The characterization included evaluation of electrochemical performance and stability followed by microstructural analysis. At the cell level, performance and stability improvements were achieved by incorporating a Sr-free oxygen electrode and a denser oxygen electrode barrier layer. At the stack level, pressurized operation reduces demand on first stage compression, the redox tolerant fuel electrode mitigates risk from service interruptions, and improvements to interconnect coating alleviate chromium (Cr) contamination effects. The denser barrier layer was achieved by adding a sintering aid to the samaria-doped ceria (SDC) composition that reduced sintering temperature by 150 °C. The resulting density was on par with the baseline SDC barrier layer density and the lower sintering temperature resulted in less resistive phase formation during sintering. Button cell tests did not demonstrate a change in performance when exposed to silicon (Si) or manganese (Mn) impurities to the fuel electrode and Cr impurity to the oxygen electrode. More detailed study however is warranted. The project addressed SOEC performance and stability at the cell and stack levels through a systematic approach to known sources of degradation that were combined and tested in three stack tests using an electrolyte supported cell design to allow for evaluation of a variety of fuel and oxygen electrode compositions. STK-82 and STK-83 had identical compositions. STK-100 incorporated the best materials and processing variables developed under this and concurrent projects, and was tested at elevated pressure in steam electrolysis. • STK-82 recovered performance after redox and thermal cycling, demonstrating the robustness of the stack and seals. It exhibited stable performance in testing for 500 hours in SOEC mode, followed by 300 hours of cycling between SOEC and SOFC tests. Degradation during SOEC operation was 1.8 %/ 1,000 hours. • STK-83 generated hydrogen at >80% steam conversion, and oxygen above 98.5 % purity during pressurized operation. Both hydrogen and oxygen were generated at 3 barg pressure without the use of a pressure vessel. In addition to balanced pressure, electrolysis operation at 1 bar differential pressure across anode and cathode was also demonstrated to substantial the robustness of the cell and seal. • STK-100 measured at initial ambient pressure conditions showed an area specific resistance of 1.1 ohm-cm 2 , and STK-83 had 1.3 ohm-cm 2 .

08 HYDROGEN↗