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At least 235 records · Page 13

SAIL-Isotopologue (SAIL-iso) Field Campaign Report

The SAIL-iso project took place from November 19, 2022 to June 3, 2023 as part of the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility’s Surface Atmosphere Integrated Field Laboratory (SAIL) project at the main project site in Gothic, Colorado. The project sought to use measurements of the stable isotopic composition of water vapor to better understand cloud-aerosol interactions in a remote mountainous watershed. Water vapor isotopologue and humidity measurements were determined using a Los Gatos Research Triple Water Vapor Isotope Analyzer (TWVIA). The instrument was deployed in the guest van and consists of three main components: a water vapor isotope analyzer, a Los Gatos Research Water Vapor Isotope Standard Source (WVISS), and a Los Gatos Research Dry Air Source. Ambient air samples were collected through an inlet located about one meter above roof of the shipping container. Samples were then delivered to the analyzer through Teflon tubing by use of an external pump to minimize the transport time between the inlet and analyzer. The inlet tubing was surrounded by a Briskheat heat trace and insulating material to ensure ambient air samples did not fall below the dew point and result in condensation. The analyzer uses cavity ringdown spectroscopy to report isotopic ratios of ambient air samples at a frequency of 1 Hz. The calibration unit of the instrument was used in conjunction with the dry air source to periodically measure the δ values of standard waters. It uses a nebulizer to push small water droplets into a hot chamber that vaporizes the water without fractionation. This vapor was then transported to the analyzer using a built-in compressor and the dry air source, which allows each standard with known δ values to be measured at a wide range of humidity values for post-measurement calibration of ambient air samples. Multiple sources of uncertainty are introduced at different stages during the data collection and processing. These include (1) instrument precision, (2) uncertainty in the secondary standards, (3) humidity-correction uncertainty, and (4) Vienna Standard Mean Ocean Water – Standard Light Antarctic Precipitation (VSMOW-SLAP) calibration uncertainty. Uncertainty from each step is propagated in quadrature to calculate a total uncertainty of each isotopologue. Uncertainty was determined to be 2.3‰ for δD and 0.4‰ for δ 18 O.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Community Solar and Community Solar+Storage: A Roadmap of Barriers and Solutions for Commercial Systems in NYC

Sustainable CUNY worked with decision makers and subject matter experts (SME's) to identify the barriers to and solutions for advancing commercial Community Solar (CS) and CS+Storage (CS+S) in urban areas. This roadmap captures the key challenges and solutions identified by New York City (NYC) stakeholders, including the Real Estate Board of New York (REBNY), through a collaborative process. Solar, as well as storage, are among the fastest growing energy segments in the United States, with CS, also known as Community Distributed Generation (CDG), gaining popularity with those who may not own or have access to a viable roof. Urban areas like NYC, which have a large population of renters, are particularly well suited for CS projects where credits from the power produced by a large remote installation are offered on a subscription basis to residents or businesses in the community. However, CS and CS+S projects have stalled at the doorstep of many cities. Host site owners, particularly those with large rooftops, have been slow to commit to installing CS due to competing rooftop usage and programs, limited knowledge about incentives, lack of economic data, and a complicated implementation process.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Non-Refrigerated Warehouse Design Guide [Slides]

Warehouses typically have a low energy use relative to their floor area. This make warehouses ideal to install solar panels and offset on-site energy use and have a surplus of energy if roof area is maximized. This surplus can be used to provide things like grid services or charge electric vehicle fleets. This document is intended to provide owners and operators of warehouse information on designing efficient/decarbonized warehouses and maximize on-site generation. The information here references outside publications to provide specific guidance, such as the ASHRAE Advanced Energy Design Guides, but tailors the information specifically to warehouses. This guide provides owners a better understanding of warehouse design as well as more specific information for themselves or outside designers to reference.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Rare Earth Elements (REE) and Critical Minerals (CM) in Middle Pennsylvanian-Age Coals and Associated Sediments in the Central Appalachian Basin, Eastern U.S.A.

The Central Appalachian Basin (CAB) of Kentucky, Tennessee, West Virginia and Virginia has a long history of coal mining and oil and gas extraction that has empowered the regional and national economies, the development of infrastructure, and a highly trained energy resources work force. As our societal demands for advanced technologies have rapidly increased in recent years, coal-related materials are viewed as an important new unconventional domestic source of critical minerals (CM) that are required for telecommunications, aerospace and transportation industries, electronics, the transition to low-carbon emissions energy production, and many consumer products. Coal-related materials encompass coal, associated sediments, coal mining waste materials, produced waters, and ash residues from coal-fired power plants. An important objective of the Evolve Central Appalachia Project (Evolve CAPP), sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) is to assess the quantity and distribution of CM resources in the CAB region. The rare earth elements (REE) are considered highest priority, although other important CM such as niobium, gallium, and zirconium are known to occur in the Middle Pennsylvanian-age coals and sediments. Working with coal industry partners who provided access to drill cores, coal-related sediments and waste materials, over 600 samples have been collected for laboratory analysis, and over 730 materials have been scanned using portable x-ray fluorescence (pXRF) equipment. The application of pXRF provides the means for real-time semiquantitative analysis of CM content at very close spacings (typically 2-3 inch intervals) along drill core and in-situ channel samples that span the roof, coal seam, and floor rock. The comparison of pXRF geochemical data with laboratory results, geologic data, and downhole spectral gamma logs can provide high resolution input to lithologic and depositional models for future CM resource evaluations. The preliminary findings show that pXRF is capable of accurately measuring low concentrations of many of the CM with a high level of confidence (Ba, Cr, Ga, K, Nb, Rb, Sr, Th, Y), whereas for others (La, Ce, Co, Mn, Nd, Ni, Sc, Ti, V) the detection limits are very high or spectral interferences increase the uncertainty. Notably, the mean abundances of Y (34 ppm), La (86 ppm), Ga (40 ppm), and V (146 ppm) in coal underclays in the CAB region are up to 7X enriched compared with the overlying coal. These values also exceed the reported concentrations in published reference materials for upper continental crustal rocks (Rudnick and Gao, 2003), North American Shale Composite (Gromet et al., 1984), and North American coal (Finkelman, 1993). The pXRF data are in part verified by laboratory results that indicate the mean Y abundance (36 ppm) is highly correlated (R2 = 0.807) with total REE (ΣREE). The correlation is even higher (R2 = 0.957) with heavy REE (ΣHREE). Applying these correlations to the pXRF data for the coal underclays, the mean estimated values for ΣREE+Y and ΣHREE+Y are 270 ppm and 58 ppm, respectively. Although these average values are not considered high, the range of Y measured by pXRF in the coal underclays extended as high as 114 ppm, which would suggest ΣREE+Y equal to 847 ppm. The mean abundances of Zr (192 ppm) and Th (21 ppm) in coal underclays are also enriched compared with the overlying coal and these results likely reflect the presence of resistant detrital heavy minerals such as monazite, xenotime, and zircon in the underclay matrix. Several of the profiled coal seams and associated wall rocks contained thin volcanic ash layers up to 4-5 inches in thickness. The extent to which these ash fall layers provided a source for CM under the paleoenvironmental conditions that resulted in coal deposits in the CAB remains to be fully studied. Continuing investigations in the Evolve CAPP study area will include laboratory determinations of mineralogic and clay compositions, and evaluations of CM geochemical mobility in the coal and coal underclays.

Lassetter, Billy↗

Evaluation of Rooftop Solar Potential in Chernihiv and Lviv, Ukraine, and Efficacy of High-Resolution 3D Data Digital Twins [Slides]

NREL evaluated rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) siting opportunities in the cities of Chernihiv and Lviv, Ukraine, leveraging very-high-resolution 3D elevation data to calculate technical potential. The study assessed total rooftop solar capacity and annual energy production. In Chernihiv and Lviv, 116,503 buildings were analyzed for their rooftop solar potential. The buildings in the study areas include a mixture of residential, commercial, and industrial buildings, characterized by diverse roof shapes and sizes. The total estimated rooftop solar capacity is 332 MWDC in Chernihiv and 873 MWDC in Lviv with annual energy production up to 376.2 GWhDC in Chernihiv and 995.5 GWhDC in Lviv. This accounting provides a clear estimate of the potential rooftop solar installations that could be realized under optimal conditions, considering both technical constraints and the geographic distribution of available rooftop space. Related to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, NREL estimates loss from buildings damaged or destroyed of 2,754 buildings, 20.15 MWDC of capacity, and 22,869 MWhDC of annual energy production in Chernihiv as well as a loss of 1,316 buildings, 34.49 MWDC of capacity, and 39,369 MWhDC of annual energy production in Lviv. The study also assessed the feasibility of adapting this methodology on a national scale using either simulated digital surface models (DSMs) or a digital twin approach. While the very-high-resolution DSM provided more precise results, the simulated DSM demonstrated reasonable accuracy for broader applications in modeling aggregated distributed solar supply. The feasibility of using a digital twin for Ukraine's national rooftop solar potential is considered promising, with certain limitations in areas with highly variable building stock and heavy war damage.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Si-Cr-Al-Mn Alloy for High Specific Resistivity

Laboratory material produced in budget period one met the target resistivity, mechanical and magnetic requirements for the Go/No-Go decision to move to industrial trials. The chosen chemistry settled on a high Cr strategy, with moderate Mn and Al additions, providing a good comprise on core loss and induction with minimal impact on mechanical properties, important to successful downstream processing. Industrial trials began in budget period two with the chosen chemistry, referred to as Alloy X. Difficulties occurred during initial hot rolling trials. Reheating the material using the standard NOES practice caused slab cracking from high thermal gradients in areas exposed to the roof burners, this was solved using a modified reheat practice. High Cr caused poor dynamic recrystallization during hot rolling, which was solved using a modified hot rolling practice. The high Cr content of the steel also caused poor decarburization during final annealing, which necessitated lowering the melt carbon aim for the final heat, together with a modified decarburization practice. Steel was finished to final thicknesses of 0.20 – 0.50 mm and evaluated for magnetic and mechanical properties. Although the target core loss for the 0.25 and 0.35 mm material was not achieved, significant reductions in high frequency core loss were measured, compared to equivalent commercially available material. Alloy X at 0.35 mm showed a 26 % and 23 % improvement at 400 HZ and 1000 Hz respectively, over Cliffs’ M-19 (0.35 mm) commercially available NOES. At 0.25 mm, Alloy X showed a 23 % and a 26 % improvement at 400 HZ and 1000 Hz respectively, over Cliffs’ HF-10 (0.25 mm) commercially available NOES. The 0.25 mm product was chosen for motor efficiency evaluation. ORNL collaborated with Cleveland-Cliffs (CC) to build, assemble, and test two 5HP motors: a baseline motor with M19 steel and a motor made with high efficiency steel (Alloy X) developed for the project. Overall, results were as expected with comparable performance at low speeds, and with more than 8% efficiency improvement for high speeds. Increased motor steel efficiency at high frequencies not only results in direct efficiency improvements but can yield reductions in motor size and cost by facilitating higher operation speeds, or by increasing the number of poles in the machine. This allows the production of more power-dense motors which are sometimes avoided with conventional material due to increased core losses. The material developed on this project provides more viable options for achieving improved motor efficiency or reduced motor size and cost.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Helium recovery system at IB3a

The increasing need for optimal and sustainable use of cryogenic resources to support Fermilab’s scientific mission has highlighted the necessity of improving the Laboratory’s helium management practices. An assessment of cryogenic test facilities identified the Technical Division’s Industrial Building 3a (IB3A) as a key site requiring upgrades to integrate a helium recovery system. The IB3A facility is essential for characterizing and testing superconductors, cables, and coils for various R&D projects, including the US High-Luminosity LHC Accelerator Upgrade Project (AUP), Mu2e, and other external collaborations. Currently, the facility relies on 500 L helium Dewars and vents the vaporized helium directly into the atmosphere, leading to significant helium loss. Given the non-renewable nature of helium, recovering and reusing this resource is critical for the sustainability of Fermilab’s operations. To address this challenge, a project has been initiated to connect IB3A to an existing helium purification station and refrigeration system located in another building via a dedicated pipeline pass over the roof of several buildings. This solution will enable the efficient capture of vented helium, its transfer to the purification station, and subsequent liquefaction for reuse in future operations. The project includes a detailed design phase, specifying the pipeline route, flow control mechanisms, and integration with the existing cryogenic infrastructure, followed by phased implementation and commissioning. By implementing this pipeline connection and upgrading IB3A, Fermilab aims to significantly reduce helium waste, lower operational costs, and align with its commitment to sustainability. This initiative provides a model for resource-efficient cryogenic operations and reinforces the Laboratory’s capacity to support its science mission for the long term.

Porwisiak, D. [Fermilab]↗

Alaska's Rural Building Stock: a Validation Study Using ResStock and Field Data

The availability of accurate national data on demographics, building stock, and energy use is vital for modeling residential buildings and evaluating decarbonization strategies. However, rural and Indigenous populations, including those in rural Alaska, are typically underrepresented in these datasets. These communities face unique challenges due to their remote locations, severe weather conditions, and limited access to resources, resulting in high energy burden. This report examines how rural Alaskan communities are underrepresented in the ResStock housing model and highlights the need for improved data to address their unique housing and energy challenges. Thus, this report examines the representation of rural Alaskan communities within the national housing stock model, ResStock. A validation study was conducted, considering ResStock, Field Data and Aerial and 3D-view data collection (A3DDC) datasets. The validation process started by using the down selecting approach on the ResStock building stock dataset. For the purpose of this study, only the rural Alaska Boroughs and Census areas located in ASHRAE IECC Climate Zone 8 were considered to ensure a more accurate and fair comparison with the field data, which was collected in rural areas located in climate zone 8, specifically within the Nome Census area. While ResStock may accurately represent several characteristics of the building stock for rural Alaska, some differences between modeled, field data, and aerial and 3D-view data collection datasets were identified. The following building characteristics have a high impact on modeled energy consumption and demonstrated large differences: Revisit heating setpoints and consider a substantially higher setpoint distribution, it could potentially address "missing loads" if this is the case. Develop and include Toyo heating in future modeling for ResStock and EnergyPlus. Remove natural gas as a water heater fuel type outside of North Slope County. Foundation type updated to have more crawlspaces rather than basements. Infiltration rates need reexamination for a larger distribution toward higher infiltration rates. Include more vinyl and less brick in exterior wall type and revise wall color for greater proportion of light rather than dark color. Roof material revised from majority shingles to majority metal. Update number of occupants to higher number of occupant count. Building orientation represents a higher proportion of south facing buildings rather than relatively equal. The findings suggest that updating ResStock's probability logic could better represent rural Alaskan buildings. ResStock can be utilized to identify the best upgrades or energy efficiency and energy efficiency improvements, helping community leaders in making more informed decisions.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

LightMat Seedling Project: Enabling the Development of High Strength Magnesium Alloy Sheet for Light-Weighting Applications

It is well known that a 10% reduction in vehicle weight can result in a 6-8% fuel economy improvement in gasoline/diesel vehicles. Replacing steel and aluminum with magnesium can result in weight savings between 25 and 75% and hence magnesium alloys have been considered for multiple body-in-white components to reduce the weight of the glider. For example, magnesium sheet has been considered for decklid inner panels, rear seatback panels, roof panels, and door inners.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

ComStock Measure Documentation: Photovoltaics With 40% Rooftop Coverage

This study investigates the impact of adding 40% rooftop coverage of photovoltaics to the U.S. commercial building stock. Panels are modeled as higher performance with 21% rated efficiency, 96% inverter efficiency, 1.10 DC/AC ratio,14% system losses, and azimuth/tilt angles that vary by location. Total panel area is modeled at 40% of the roof area for each model. Total rated PV power for a building is based on the calculated total panel area and the assumed efficiency of 21%. This measure is applied to all buildings modeled in ComStock.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Community Center and Administration Solar PV Project

The Tribe installed two (2) roof mounted solar PV systems with a total production of approximately 146 kW on the Paskenta Band of Nomlaki Indians’ Community Center in Corning, CA. One of the two solar PV arrays provided 90% of the Community Center’s energy, while the second array provided nearly 100% of the adjacent administration building’s energy.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Low Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Vehicle Technologies Research, Development, Demonstration and Deployment Topic 5 Natural Gas Engine Enabling Technologies

A 10 liter natural gas engine has been developed with significant improvements in efficiency while maintaining ultra low NOx emissions and meeting all other EPA criteria emissions limits. This was accomplished through design and analysis of performance components specifically for operation with natural gas in contrast to current production engines which are a minimally modified diesel engine that retain most diesel design features including a flat deck swirl head. The architecture developed here includes a pent roof cylinder head with tumble charge motion and cooling passages specifically optimized for effective cooling around the spark plug and valve bridges. Also in contrast to current production natural gas engines, EGR was not used, in part to avoid the initial cost and warranty expense associated with EGR systems, but also for performance benefits of faster combustion, reduced risk of misfire and high open cycle efficiency due to the turbocharger’s ability to extract energy from the high temperature exhaust. The exhaust manifold uses high temperature material and thermal mechanical fatigue analysis was completed to ensure the ability to withstand high exhaust temperatures without EGR. Other features include dual overhead cam with late intake valve closing Miller cycle and 14:1 compression ratio steel pistons. Low NOx emissions are achieved with stoichiometric combustion and application of a close coupled plus underfloor three way catalysts. The program target of peak brake thermal efficiency of 42% has been demonstrated along with bsNOx of 0.02 g/hp-hr over HD-FTP and RMCSET emissions cycles.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

STILGAR End-of-Project Report

The Subsurface Tunnel Imaging LeveraGed by Analysis of Rayleigh wave ellipticity (STILGAR) project demonstrated an integrated geophysical approach for detecting, locating, and characterizing underground structural changes using dense seismic arrays and advanced inversion techniques. Field campaigns were conducted at two operational mines—the Redmond salt mine (Utah) and Graymont Pleasant Gap limestone mine (Pennsylvania)—providing real-world testbeds for monitoring anthropogenic subsurface activity. At the Redmond salt mine, seismic interferometry combined with back-projection inversion successfully identified continuous, low-amplitude signals from mining operations. The approach differentiated stationary from migrating anthropogenic sources, captured daily operational cycles, and validated the potential of passive seismic monitoring for remote detection of underground activity. At the Graymont Pleasant Gap mine, two dense seismic deployments in the spring and fall of 2023 generated over 4 TB of high-resolution data. Key outcomes included the relocation of 199 underground and 8 surface explosions with accuracies within tens of meters and the development of a 3D P-wave velocity model using the triple-difference tomography algorithm (tomoTD) that resolved major structural features such as the mine entrance, low-velocity tunnels, and roof-collapse areas. Ambient noise cross-correlation and back-projection analyses revealed persistent sources linked to ongoing mining activity, whereas horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio (HVSR) and ellipticity studies confirmed stable site responses across seasons and identified soil thickness trends consistent with regional erosional and depositional processes. Checkerboard and sensitivity tests further validated the robustness of the tomographic results. Overall, the findings emphasize that although significant progress has been made in subsurface imaging, further work is needed to enhance the detection and localization of underground structures. Accurate imaging requires higher frequencies, yet anthropogenic sources tend to dominate the seismic record at those frequencies, and high-frequency surface waves are affected by higher modes that complicate interpretation. The improved detection and localization of human-induced signals enabled detailed temporal and spatial mapping of daily mine operations, demonstrating the feasibility of continuous anthropogenic source monitoring. Sensitivity to signals from nontraditional sources, such as fan operations, highlights the broader applicability of this approach to other industrial environments in which continuous and impulsive signals are present. The field campaigns produced a substantial volume of high-quality seismic data, supporting the development and testing of new methods for seismic source characterization and subsurface imaging. Future deployments should include sensors capable of recording lower frequencies to probe deeper structures, increase bandwidth to enhance resolution and sensitivity to both shallow and deep targets, and collect additional large-scale datasets to refine imaging and source characterization techniques. Moreover, conducting 3D modeling studies of seismic wavefields at higher frequencies will provide a better understanding of wave scattering and cavity–wavefield interactions in complex underground environments. In conclusion, the STILGAR project demonstrated that integrated seismic monitoring can effectively characterize underground operations, capturing both natural and anthropogenic signals. The approaches developed provide a foundation for improved detection, localization, and imaging of subsurface structures and are directly transferable to broader industrial monitoring applications.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Computer vision-based rock bolt detection in orthomosaic imagery obtained in the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant underground facility

Assessing structural integrity of large underground tunnel facilities is often a time consuming and human-labor intensive task. Thus, research using various modes of sensing and automated detection of key structural components in mines is posed to aid in safety assessments and establishing overall structural health. We propose an approach utilizing off-the-shelf camera and lidar technology fixed to a custom sensing platform, image stitching techniques, fine-tuned object detection models, and specialized model-inference methods to automatically detect, count, and map roof bolts for assessment of structural safety in man-made underground tunnels. Results show a novel workflow for effective object counting in orthomosaic tunnel ceiling images generated from collections in GPS-denied mining environments. Additionally, we demonstrate effective fine-tuning of EfficientDet object detectors utilizing state-of-the-art image augmentation techniques known as the mosaic and mixup transformations. Our work is demonstrated on sensed data and imagery collected from the Department of Energy (DOE) Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) where miles of tunnel ceiling must be assessed for structural integrity.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Solar Thermal Energy Planner (STEP 1): A New Decision Support Tool for Solar Industrial Process Heat Applications

Solar thermal technologies are a promising technology to supply low-cost thermal energy to industrial processes, but there are often significant barriers to entry to industrial owners considering these technologies for their energy demands. To overcome this barrier and convey economic value to customers, NREL and Sandia National Laboratories developed Solar Thermal Energy Planner (STEP 1), a new web-based decision support tool for solar industrial process heat systems. At SolarPACES 2024, the STEP 1 tool was still under development; progress, methodologies, and a preliminary case study was presented. With the STEP 1 tool launch in May 2025, in this work, the initial version of the full public tool will be presented with demonstrations of its capabilities using a few case studies. First, the user's process heat needs such as location, process media (e.g., steam, air), process temperature, land availability, electricity and fuel costs, among other parameters. STEP 1 features a mapping interface that allows users to draw land and roof boundaries. The process media and temperature inform technology selection criteria modules that determine the appropriate solar thermal collection technologies, as well as congruent heat transfer media (e.g., hot water, oil, salt). Once the solar thermal technology selected, its nominal thermal production for the given site is characterized using NREL's System Advisor Model (SAM). Then, a modified version of NREL's REopt optimal sizing and dispatch optimization tool determines cost-optimal sizing. Within minutes, the user receives the results of the technoeconomics analysis, including the size and performance of the cost-optimal solar-plus-storage system. The cost of the system is compared to business-as-usual (e.g., an existing, standalone natural gas boiler). Users can download key results to store for sensitivity analyses. Examples of flat plate collector, parabolic trough, and molten salt tower applications with and without PV hybridization for different industrial facility types are presented in this work. The STEP 1 tool aims to reduce barriers to the adoption of solar heating solutions stemming from a lack of familiarity and technical background with solar system design options and costs among industry stakeholders.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Improbability of Post-Closure Criticality in Compacted Criticality Control Overpacks after Room Closure at Waste Isolation Pilot Plant

As part of its periodic re-certification of the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), an operating repository in bedded salt for the disposal of transuranic (TRU) waste from atomic energy defense activities, the United States Environmental Protection Agency expects a re-evaluation of features, events, and processes, such as post-closure nuclear criticality. Although salt creep beneficially encapsulates the TRU waste in the closed WIPP repository, the spacing between an array of waste packages is disrupted as the salt creep closes disposal rooms and containers lose structural integrity. For most TRU waste, the possibility of post-closure criticality is exceedingly small either because the salt neutronically isolates TRU waste canisters or because closure of a disposal room from salt creep does not sufficiently compact the low mass of fissile material. The criticality evaluation was updated, however, because of the introduction of criticality control overpack (CCO) containers, which may dispose up to 380 fissile gram equivalent plutonium-239 in each container. The criticality potential is evaluated through high-fidelity geomechanical modeling of a disposal room filled with CCO containers during two representative conditions: (1) large salt block fall, and (2) gradual disposal room closure from salt creep. Geomechanical models of roof fall demonstrate three tiers of CCO containers are not greatly disrupted. Geomechanical models of gradual room closure from salt creep (without brine seepage and subsequent gas generation to permit maximum room closure) were used to predict irregular arrays of closely packed CCOs after 1000 years, when room closure has asymptotically approached maximum compaction. Models of spheres or cylinders with 380 fissile gram equivalent of plutonium (as oxide) at the predicted irregular compacted spacing demonstrate that an array of CCO containers is not critical when surrounded by salt and magnesium oxide, provided the mass of hydrogenous material shipped in CCO containers (usually plastics) is controlled or boron carbide (a neutron poison) is mixed with the fissile contents.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗