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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 235 records · Page 13
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Predictive outlook for experiments resolving prompt vs local redeposition of high- Z materials in tokamaks

High-Z plasma facing components redeposit within the sheath through a combination of two distinct mechanisms: prompt (or geometric-driven) and local (or sheath-driven) redeposition. Experimental efforts are needed to determine the leading-order parameters influencing prompt-vs-local trade-off, which sets the fraction of material entering the scrape-off layer. In preparation for such experiments, leading-order parameters are isolated within the PYEAD-RustBCA-GITR coupled net erosion code using Sobol’ sensitivity analysis. Then, experiments resolving prompt-vs-local trade-off under variation of these leading-order parameters are proposed using an isotopic coupon design with multifaceted diagnostic coverage. The measurability of these experiments is evaluated using synthetic diagnostics.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Identifying high-impact and high-uncertainty parameters in MiniFuel model predictions

The MiniFuel irradiation platform at Oak Ridge National Laboratory's High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) is a flexible, high-throughput separate effects test capability. Finite element thermal models are relied upon to design MiniFuel experiments and to achieve experimental objectives. Recent reports show good agreement in the model prediction of target fuel temperatures, but as the capability of the experiments is extended to higher temperatures, the uncertainty in the model predictions must be quantified. To that end, high-impact, high-uncertainty parameters that contribute the most uncertainty to the model are identified. The uncertainty quantification was accomplished through a series of screening and sensitivity analyses. The first analysis utilizes the method of Morris to perform a computationally efficient preliminary screening that considers uncertainty in a large number of the model inputs. The most important parameters identified in the Morris screening study were then considered in a Sobol sensitivity analysis that more robustly ranks and quantifies the uncertainty associated with each parameter. From these analyses, it was determined that thermal contact conductance between components is the parameter that contributes the highest uncertainty. The estimated uncertainty of the MiniFuel model fuel temperature predictions is ±80 °C in the removable beryllium and ±40 °C in the vertical experiment facilities. In conclusion, the framework established by the series of sensitivity analyses presented herein could easily be adapted to fit the needs of accelerated fuel qualification processes.

Fuel, Irradiation↗
DOE OSTI2024

Sensitization and Mechanical Response of Cu‐Containing Steel Rods

The iron and steel manufacturing sector significantly adds to global greenhouse gas emissions, caused primarily by the carbothermic reduction of iron ore. Recycling scrap steel offers an effective decarbonization strategy but introduces impurities like copper (Cu) that can negatively impact mechanical properties. This study investigates the effects of Cu content and heat treatment on the mechanical performance and sensitization of steel wire rods for tire manufacturing. Steel rods with 0.04 and 0.21 wt% Cu are heated to 1050 or 1200 °C, then air quenched, or furnace cooled. Tensile testing coupled with microscopic analysis is used to evaluate mechanical properties and assess the sensitization effects. Higher Cu content leads to larger sensitized zones with increased Cu precipitation along grain boundaries. Ductility and toughness, crucial for wire drawability, are found to be reduced, despite higher ultimate strength. Slower furnace cooling is seen to result in smaller sensitized zones compared to air quenching, suggesting a pivotal role of cooling rate in sensitization control. The findings provide insights into optimize heat treatment parameters and Cu content limits, balancing mechanical performance and maintaining drawability for enhanced scrap steel recycling in tire production.

copper↗
DOE OSTI2024

Bayesian analysis of (3 +1)⁢D relativistic nuclear dynamics with the RHIC beam energy scan data

This work presents a Bayesian inference study for relativistic heavy-ion collisions in the beam energy scan program at the BNL Relativistic Heavy-Ion Collider. The theoretical model simulates event-by-event (3+1)-dimensional [(3+1)⁢D] collision dynamics using hydrodynamics and hadronic transport theory. We analyze the model's 20-dimensional posterior distributions obtained using three model emulators with different accuracy and demonstrate the essential role of training an accurate model emulator in the Bayesian analysis. Our analysis provides robust constraints on the quark-gluon plasma's transport properties and various aspects of (3+1)⁢D relativistic nuclear dynamics. By running full model simulations with 100 parameter sets sampled from the posterior distribution, we make predictions for p T -differential observables and estimate their systematic theory uncertainty. Here, a sensitivity analysis is performed to elucidate how individual experimental observables respond to different model parameters, providing useful physics insights into the phenomenological model for heavy-ion collisions.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Speed Variation Based Power Regulation Concept for Dynamic Wireless Charging

On-road wireless charging of electric vehicles (EVs) in-motion could potentially reduce range anxiety or battery size with wide-spread deployment. The planning and implementation of such systems are greatly complicated due to their susceptibility to load variation inherent to traffic flow. Here, this paper proposes a method for derisking the potential for traffic slowdowns by compensating for reduced vehicle speed and investigates how implementation may affect system performance. A load modeling case study is presented at 200kW for a mile of high-speed roadway employing speed-based power regulation with results indicating average power usage and maximum car hosting capability can be reduced by 20% and increased by 30% respectively. An 85kHz power electronics model is developed based on designs and prototypes for an 11kW, 190m airgap static system and a 200kW dynamic wireless track. The simulation is validated in the 11kW experimental prototype and modified for 200kW operation to compare with simulated performance. Sensitivity studies are performed in MATLAB/Simulink to evaluate how parameters influence system performance and confirm the capability to reduce output power and maintain efficiency at 11 and 200kW. The static 11kW experimental system operates at 93.6% efficiency and multiple options exist to reduce power while maintaining efficiency greater than 90%. The capability to dynamically modify power output from WPT coils, in an experimentally validated simulation, enables techniques to significantly mitigate load variability due to reductions in vehicle speed.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Sensitivity of Next-Generation CMB Surveys to Neutrinos and Other Light Relics

Neutrinos and other light relics leave characteristic imprints in the cosmic microwave background anisotropies, making their observation a sensitive probe of the particle content and thermal history of the early universe. The energy density in these relativistic species is parameterized by their effective number $N_\mathrm{eff}$. Measuring this parameter at the percent level, which is a long-standing science goal of CMB-S4 and other experiments, would test a wide range of well-motivated physics within and beyond the Standard Model of particle physics. In this paper, we present Fisher-matrix forecasts of the projected sensitivity to $N_\mathrm{eff}$ of several CMB-S4 survey configurations considered during its extensive design phase. The conceptual design reaches $σ(N_\mathrm{eff}) < 0.03$ over its seven-year observing period, while the revised configuration achieves the same precision over a longer timescale. We complement these results with a cosmic-variance-limited survey over the same multipole range to quantify the room for improvement accessible with additional instrumental, observational, and theoretical efforts. Finally, we discuss the broad implications of precise $N_\mathrm{eff}$ measurements for the radiation sector, big bang nucleosynthesis, light thermal relics, and other early-universe physics. The forecasts presented in this work are performed with the publicly released DRAFT (Dark Radiation Anisotropy Flowdown Team) tool. It provides an end-to-end pipeline from simulated foreground maps and component separation to delensing and projected sensitivities for any cosmological parameter, and it can be directly applied to other cosmic microwave background survey designs.

Trendafilova, Cynthia [Case Western Reserve U., CE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Modeling the differential rate for signal interactions in coincidence with noise fluctuations or large rate backgrounds

The characteristic energy of a relic dark matter interaction with a detector scales strongly with the putative dark matter mass. Consequently, experimental search sensitivity at the lightest masses will always come from interactions whose size is similar to noise fluctuations and low energy backgrounds in the detector. In this paper, we correctly calculate the net change in measured differential event rate due to low rate signal interactions that overlap in time with noise and backgrounds, accounting for both periods of time when the signal is coincident with noise/backgrounds and for the decreased amount of time in which only noise/backgrounds occur and we show that the introduction of random simulated signal events into the continuous raw data stream (a form of “salting”) provides a correct and practical implementation to estimate this net linear signal sensitivity. Unfortunately this does not apply to the situation with non negligible pileups as we show through explicit examples. Consequently, this exclusion technique should be complemented by less sensitive techniques that can separately exclude large rate, high pileup signal parameter space. An analysis threshold above the Gaussian-like noise component of the measured differential rate spectrum should also likely produce conservative limits. Though previous light mass dark matter searches did not correctly account for decreased background only live time effects in their signal sensitivity, conservative analysis choices likely protected their published limits from being nonconservative.

Li, Xinran↗
DOE OSTI2026

IER-620 CED-3b: Experiment Execution Summary for the Pulsed-Neutron Die-Away Experiments (PNDA) with Propylene Glycol and Mobilmet 423

There is a strong need for new benchmarks to validate neutron thermal scattering laws (TSLs). Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) has designed a Pulsed-Neutron Die Away (PNDA) testbed for this purpose. The experiment has a deuterium-tritium (D-T) neutron generator that impinges a 10 -4 s, mono-energetic pulse of 14.1 MeV neutrons on a target sample. After the pulse, the neutron population moderates and establishes a thermal equilibrium within the sample, with a fundamental spatial mode and characteristic decay-time eigenvalue, ⍺. The ⍺ eigenvalue can be extracted from the experimental measurements of the time-dependent neutron flux coming off the surface of the sample and can then be used as an integral parameter (similar to k eff ) to validate nuclear data involved with neutron migration, thermalization, and absorption. For moderating materials and geometric configurations, the ⍺ eigenvalue is heavily dependent on thermal neutron scattering of the target material. For that reason, a PNDA experiment can have a higher sensitivity to TSLs than is commonly available with the k eff parameter in critical experiments.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Advanced surrogate model for electron-scale turbulence in tokamak pedestals

We derive an advanced surrogate model for predicting turbulent transport at the edge of tokamaks driven by electron temperature gradient (ETG) modes. Our derivation is based on a recently developed sensitivity-driven sparse grid interpolation approach for uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis at scale, which informs the set of parameters that define the surrogate model as a scaling law. Our model reveals that ETG-driven electron heat flux is influenced by the safety factor q, electron beta β e and normalized electron Debye length λ D , in addition to well-established parameters such as the electron temperature and density gradients. To assess the trustworthiness of our model's predictions beyond training, we compute prediction intervals using bootstrapping. The surrogate model's predictive power is tested across a wide range of parameter values, including within-distribution testing parameters (to verify our model) as well as out-of-bounds and out-of-distribution testing (to validate the proposed model). Overall, validation efforts show that our model competes well with, or can even outperform, existing scaling laws in predicting ETG-driven transport.

fusion plasma↗
DOE OSTI2026

Application and performance of the novel Elcomat 5000 autocollimator in slope-measuring profilometry of beamline optics

Autocollimators are used in profilometers for the precise form measurement of beam-shaping optics for synchrotron light sources and x-ray free-electron lasers. This application requires using an aperture stop, typically 2.5 mm in diameter, which limits the footprint of the autocollimator’s measuring beam on the optics to achieve a sufficiently high lateral resolution. Central to the development of profilometry has been the availability of commercial autocollimators, such as the Elcomat 3000 from Möller–Wedel Optical. Although autocollimators are generally not designed for use with small apertures, this device has proven capable and has become the de facto standard. Now that it has been replaced by the Elcomat 5000, we evaluate the performance of several autocollimators of this type at small apertures, including the characterization of instrument transfer functions with a chirped height profile. We demonstrate that the Elcomat 5000 is capable of repeatable angle measurements with a standard deviation of 0.014 arcsec at an aperture diameter of 1.6 mm, whereas the Elcomat 3000 achieves 0.03 arcsec at 2.5 mm, comparing models with modified reticle designs. Here, we also investigate the influence of optical aberrations of the autocollimator’s objective and their changes with the path length to the surface under test. We characterize the sensitivity of the angle measurement to changes in environmental parameters, in particular, barometric pressure. These efforts are aimed at approaching fundamental limits in the characterization of the shape of optical surfaces with autocollimator-based profilometers so that these are ready for characterizing the next generation of synchrotron and XFEL beamline optics.

angle metrology↗
DOE OSTI2026

Three-nucleon lepton-number-violating potentials in chiral effective field theory and their matrix elements in light nuclei

Here, we derive the three-nucleon neutrinoless double-𝛽 decay potential in a Δ-full chiral effective field theory through next-to-next-to-next-to leading order in Weinberg's power counting. The matrix elements of the resulting operators are computed in light nuclei using variational Monte Carlo with wave functions constructed from the Norfolk family of nuclear interactions. We find that three-nucleon corrections induce a modest quenching of the total nuclear matrix elements. We discuss model dependencies and the potential impact of these corrections on the sensitivity of experimental programs to probe lepton number violating parameters. These results provide a benchmark for many-body methods capable of reaching heavier nuclei of experimental interest.

Chambers-Wall, Graham [Washington University, St. ↗
DOE OSTI2025

Advanced Photovoltaic Module Characterization: Using Image Transformers for Current–Voltage Curve Prediction From Electroluminescence Images

Individual photovoltaic (PV) module health monitoring can be a daunting task for operation and maintenance of solar farms. Modules can be inspected through luminescence, thermal imaging, and current–voltage (I–V) curve analyzes for identification of damage and power loss. I–V curves provide easily interpretable data to determine module health as they directly provide electrical performance metrics. However, in order to obtain these curves, modules must be disconnected from the array and either removed to a solar simulator or characterized in situ with corrections for module temperature, the incident solar spectrum, and intensity. Luminescence or thermal images of a module are relatively easy to acquire in situ. Electroluminescence (EL) images highlight physical defects in the modules but do not provide easily interpretable features to correlate with electrical performance. This work presents a SWin transformer network to predict I–V curves for PV modules from their corresponding EL images. The predicted I–V curves allow the accurate prediction of the maximum power point (MPP), short-circuit current I sc , and open-circuit voltage V oc with a mean error less of than 1%. Comparing single diode model (SDM) parameters extracted from the predicted curves to those extracted from the true curves, the series resistance R s demonstrates a mean error of 5.19%, and the photocurrent I a mean error of 0.197%. The shunt resistance R sh and dark current Io parameters are predicted with larger errors because of their sensitivity to small changes in the I–V curve.

Byford, Brandon K. [New Mexico State Univ., Las Cr↗
DOE OSTI2024

Reweighting Monte Carlo predictions and automated fragmentation variations in Pythia 8

This work reports on a method for uncertainty estimation in simulated collider-event predictions. The method is based on a Monte Carlo-veto algorithm, and extends previous work on uncertainty estimates in parton showers by including uncertainty estimates for the Lund string-fragmentation model. This method is advantageous from the perspective of simulation costs: a single ensemble of generated events can be reinterpreted as though it was obtained using a different set of input parameters, where each event now is accompanied with a corresponding weight. This allows for a robust exploration of the uncertainties arising from the choice of input model parameters, without the need to rerun full simulation pipelines for each input parameter choice. Such explorations are important when determining the sensitivities of precision physics measurements. Accompanying code is available at https://gitlab.com/uchep/mlhad-weights-validation.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Test cavity and Iris-to-Coax transition for tuning and high-power verification of SNS DTL iris couplers

The Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) Drift Tube Linac (DTL) employs iris couplers to efficiently deliver RF power into the accelerating structure. To support the development, tuning, and high‑power conditioning of these couplers prior to installation in the actual DTLs, a dedicated test cavity and an iris‑to‑coaxial transition structure have been designed. This work presents the electromagnetic design, simulation, and optimization of the test setup, enabling precise characterization of the iris coupler’s performance. The transition structure allows for tuning of the iris opening dimensions without requiring a waveguide taper or full‑size waveguide transitions, while maintaining impedance matching between the coaxial feed and the iris geometry to minimize reflection and power loss. During low‑power tests, the iris opening di-mensions can be evaluated using the iris‑to‑coax transi-tion attached to the test cavity. For high‑power condi-tioning, full‑size waveguides with ceramic vacuum win-dows are connected to the test cavity to replicate opera-tional conditions. Key design parameters were optimized using computer-aided simulation, and sensitivity studies were conducted to assess the impact of mechanical toler-ances on RF performance. The resulting test platform provides a reliable and efficient means for tuning and validating iris couplers, contributing to improved opera-tional stability in the SNS DTL.

Lee, Sung-Woo [ORNL] (ORCID:000000030915835X)↗
DOE OSTI2025

Sensitivity study of hydrogen Soret transport in yttrium Hydride-Based nuclear fuel

Yttrium hydride is an excellent solid neutron moderator material for high temperature nuclear reactor applications due to its high hydrogen density and exceptional hydride stability at high temperatures. Despite these attractive characteristics, the details of how hydrogen behaves within yttrium hydride while temperature gradients exist are still not well understood. The evolution of the hydrogen composition profile resulting from a temperature gradient requires knowledge of hydrogen’s heat of transport, a critical parameter that has not yet been measured for this material. In this work, we perform hydride redistribution, hydrogen dissociation, and hydrogen leakage calculations while varying the Soret heat of transport of hydrogen in yttrium hydride to elucidate the sensitivity of hydride stability under temperature gradients to this parameter. This study analyzes hydride stability of a hypothetical uranium-yttrium hydride nuclear fuel design during operation of a high temperature liquid metal-cooled nuclear reactor. Assuming U-YH x could be fabricated in a physically stabilized manner, this fuel system can likely maintain hydride stability while operating at very high power densities and temperatures. We find that even though the hydrogen dissociation pressure in the gas gap does vary by several percent as the heat of transport temperature parameter is varied, the hydrogen content in the U-YH x fuel meat is relatively insensitive to this parameter over the course of a high burnup fuel cycle; this is due to yttrium hydride’s excellent hydrogen retention under the high temperature conditions considered here. Here, this suggests that hydride stability analyses are insensitive to the value of the Soret heat of transport in U-YH x under steady state liquid metal-cooled reactor conditions. However, the susceptibility to internal gas overpressurization-induced stress-rupture of the cladding during a high temperature transient is more sensitive to this parameter due to the non-linear dependence of hydrogen gas dissociation pressure vs. composition and temperature.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Toward real-time optimization through model reduction and model discrepancy sensitivities

Optimization problems arise in a range of scenarios, from optimal control to model parameter estimation. In many applications, such as the development of digital twins, it is essential to solve these optimization problems within wall-clock-time limitations. However, this is often unattainable for complex systems, such as those modeled by nonlinear partial differential equations. One strategy for mitigating this issue is to construct a reduced-order model (ROM) that enables more rapid optimization. In particular, the use of nonintrusive ROMs—those that do not require access to the full-order model at evaluation time—is popular because they facilitate the computation of optimization solutions within the wall-clock time requirements. However, the optimization solution will be unreliable if the iterates move outside the ROM training data. This article proposes the use of hyper-differential sensitivity analysis with respect to model discrepancy (HDSA-MD) as a computationally efficient tool to augment ROM-constrained optimization and improve its reliability. The proposed approach consists of two phases: (i) an offline phase where several full-order model evaluations are computed to train the ROM, and (ii) an online phase where a ROM-constrained optimization problem is solved, a limited number of full-order model evaluations are computed, and HDSA-MD is used to enhance the optimization solution. Numerical results are demonstrated for two examples, atmospheric contaminant control and wildfire ignition location estimation, in which a ROM is trained offline using inaccurate atmospheric data. In conclusion, the HDSA-MD update yields a significant improvement in the ROM-constrained optimization solution using only one full-order model evaluation online with corrected atmospheric data.

PDE-constrained optimization↗
DOE OSTI2024

$\overline{TKE}$ Parameterization and $\bar{v}$ Uncertainty Analysis for CGMF

Previous work was performed on tuning CGMF parameters for 235 U, 238 U, and Plutonium isotopes. Now work is being done to tune minor uranium isotopes. However, uranium isotopes like 232 U and 236 U have almost no experimental data. We are applying cross-isotope models to extrapolate and tune CGMF on isotopes that lack experimental data. There exist several internal CGMF physics quantities that affect the output of CGMF—multi-chance fission probability, excitation energy sharing, spin-cutoff factor, spin scaling, and fragment total kinetic energy to name a few. The mean fragment total kinetic energy, $\overline{TKE}$, is particularly interesting because of its strong anti-correlation with $\bar{v}$. We are most interested in the mean fragment total kinetic energy before neutron emissions. $\overline{TKE}$ is assumed to be pre-neutron emission unless otherwise stated. Currently in CGMF, the $\overline{TKE}$ model for 233,234,235,238 U are tuned independently to reproduce ν for the associated isotopes. In this report, we will tune a cross-isotope $\overline{TKE}$ model to experimental $\overline{TKE}$ data for 232,233,234,235,236,238 U. Because of the unreliable and sparse nature of $\overline{TKE}$ experimental data, future work will use more reliable experimental $\bar{v}$ data to infer the $\overline{TKE}$ model (and likely other internal CGMF parameters) for uranium isotopes. Such work has been performed previously using a sensitivity analysis and Kalman filter methods.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Prospects for exploring non-standard neutrino properties with argon-based CEvNS experiments

Coherent elastic neutrino-nucleus scattering (CEvNS) provides a powerful frame-work for testing the Standard Model (SM) and searching for new physics at low energies. In this work, we examine the prospects for argon-based CEvNS experiments at stopped-pion sources to perform precision measurements of weak interactions and probe non-standard neutrino properties. Our study focused on the CENNS-10 and CENNS-750 detectors at the Spallation Neutron Source at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, the Coherent Captain Mills (CCM) detector at Los Alamos National Laboratory, and the proposed PIP2-BD detector at Fermilab’s Facility for Dark Matter Discovery (F2D2). Using realistic neutrino fluxes and detector configurations corresponding to these facilities, we evaluate event rates and sensitivities to a range of observables. Within the SM, argon-based CEvNS detectors enable precision tests of electroweak parameters, including the weak mixing angle, at momentum transfers well below the electroweak scale. We also investigate the sensitivity of these experiments to neutrino electromagnetic properties, such as the magnetic moment and effective charge radius, as well as to possible non-standard neutrino interactions with quarks. Together, these studies highlight the potential of argon-based CEvNS experiments as a clean and versatile platform for precision exploration of non-standard neutrino properties.

Carey, Sam [Wayne State U.] (ORCID:000900029607531↗