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At least 253 records · Page 14

Exploring Multiscale Earth System and Human-Earth System Dynamics in the Puget Sound Region

With its mountain-to-coast hydroclimate, strong influence of Pacific Ocean weather systems and climate patterns, and unique land use history with strong rural-to-urban gradients, the Puget Sound region is a natural laboratory for studying a number of complex processes in, and interactions among, different Earth and human systems. A 1-year scoping study was initiated by the Earth and Environmental Systems Modeling program of the Department of Energy’s Office of Science Biological and Environmental Research. It was intended to elucidate and highlight the rich opportunities Puget Sound offers to advance our understanding of and ability to simulate Earth system changes and human-Earth system interactions. A literature review, multi-day community workshop, and external input were used to develop this scoping study report. The report first summarizes scientific understanding and knowledge gaps associated with major regional systems, including atmosphere and climate, the land surface, coastal and marine processes, and human systems, as well as how these systems are changing over time. It then highlights some of the most notable extreme events in the region, including heat waves, atmospheric rivers, droughts, and wildfires. Finally, key research opportunities for Earth and environmental systems modeling in, above, and around Puget Sound are highlighted.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A stochastic model of future extreme temperature events for infrastructure analysis

Applying extreme temperature events for future conditions is not straightforward for infrastructure resilience analyses. This work introduces a stochastic model that fills this gap. The model uses at least 50 years of daily extreme temperature records, climate normals with 10%-90% confidence intervals, and shifts/offsets for increased frequency and intensity of heat wave events. Intensity and frequency are shifted based on surface temperature anomaly from 1850-1900 for 32 models from CMIP6. A case study for Worcester, Massachusetts passed 85% of cases using the two-sided Kolmogorov-Smirnov -value test with 95% confidence for both temperature and duration. Future shifts for several climate scenarios to 2020, 2040, 2060, and 2080 had acceptable errors between the shifted model and 10- and 50-year extreme temperature event thresholds with the largest error being 2.67 degrees C. The model is likely to be flexible enough for other patterns of extreme weather such as extreme precipitation and hurricanes.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Electric Vehicle Supply Equipment (EVSE) Site Assessment Report for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Chena Site Near Fairbanks, Alaska

This report presents an analysis of the requirements for charging station installation and electric vehicle operation at the US Army Corps of Engineers - Chena Site, located in a cold weather climate in the Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK. The report includes findings from a site visit, and a detailed electric vehicle (EV) charging site plan with cost estimates. Cost for three 50-ampere pedestal chargers located on the edge of the existing parking lot is estimated at $\$$53,100, and the cost of three 80-ampere chargers is estimated at $\$$89,400. The authors did not assess the cost of a heated garage. The USACE Chena site reaches extreme cold temperatures of -40 Degrees Celsius (-40 Degrees Fahrenheit) and below in a typical winter, often for days on end. Considerations of operating EVs as well as electrical vehicle supply equipment (EVSE) at this site can be applicable to other cold or extremely cold locations. Interviews with EV users in cold climates and a literature review indicated that EVs operate well but have significantly decreased range compared to 21 Degrees Celsius (70 Degrees Fahrenheit) operations. Some strategies such as prewarming the vehicle while it is plugged in and using heated seats and steering wheel instead of cabin heat, can improve cold weather performance. Storing the EV in a garage would mean the battery and cabin are automatically preheated, the battery would not age as rapidly as when the vehicle is stored outside, and problems with charging the vehicle are less likely. Lowest temperate-rated Electric Vehicle Supply Equipment (EVSE), as electric vehicle chargers are known as, are rated to -40 Degrees Celsius (-40 Degrees Fahrenheit), and sometimes malfunction. No EVSE is rated to the temperatures that USACE Chena site experienced for more than a week in winter 2023-4, of -50 Degrees Celsius (-45 Degrees Fahrenheit) and which are typical for the area. If reliability is a must, entities may want to consider a heated garage to minimize potential problems with charging equipment. There is a companion technical report to this titled "Electric Vehicle and Charging Infrastructure Assessment in Cold-Weather Climates: A Case Study of Fairbanks, Alaska" that examines the data on EV and EVSE cold-weather functionality in more detail. (Esparza, Truffer Moudra, and Hodge 2024).

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Optimization and Techno-Economic Comparison of Regenerators and Recuperators in sCO2 Recompression Brayton Cycles for Concentrating Solar Power Applications

Supercritical CO2 power cycles might be capable of providing the cost reductions and efficiency improvements necessary to reach concentrating solar power (CSP) cost targets, but require large, highly effective recuperators. Fixed-bed regenerators are a periodic heat exchanger that could be an effective yet low-cost alternative to these recuperators. This study presents a techno-economic comparison of regenerators and recuperators for a 100 MWe supercritical CO2 power cycle for CSP applications. We quantify the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) for the power plant with both types of heat exchangers, and explore sensitivity of LCOE to parameters such as CSP-specific capital costs, power cycle component capital costs, and regenerator valve replacements costs. Results indicate that the incumbent printed circuit heat exchangers achieve the lowest LCOE, unless the upper extreme of PCHE capital cost and lower extremes of regenerator and valve capital and O&M costs are realized. Sensitivity analysis also illustrates that the primary heat exchanger cost is the most influential of power cycle components, and that CSP component capital cost is more influential than power cycle capital costs. This illustrates the importance of reducing the cost of heliostats, receivers, and thermal energy storage for achieving CSP LCOE targets.

OTHER INSTRUMENTATION,SOLAR ENERGY↗

Probing the Role of Multi-scale Heterogeneity in Graphite Electrodes for Extreme Fast Charging

Electrode-scale heterogeneity can combine with complex electrochemical interactions to impede lithium-ion battery performance, particularly during fast charging. This research investigates the influence of electrode heterogeneity at different scales on the lithium-ion battery electrochemical performance under operational extremes. We employ image-based mesoscale simulation in conjunction with a three-dimensional electrochemical model to predict performance variability in 14 graphite electrode X-ray computed tomography data sets. Our analysis reveals that the tortuous anisotropy stemming from the variable particle morphology has a dominating influence on the overall cell performance. Cells with platelet morphology achieve lower capacity, higher heat generation rates, and severe plating under extreme fast charge conditions. On the contrary, the heterogeneity due to the active material clustering alone has minimal impact. Our work suggests that manufacturing electrodes with more homogeneous and isotropic particle morphology will improve electrochemical performance and improve safety, enabling electromobility.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The right conditions for high-precision dynamic temperature and heat capacity measurement via pyrometry and conductivity

The pursuit of accurate bulk temperature T under extreme conditions has been a long-standing goal of the high pressure science community, complicated by a lack of data to inform models. To reach these extremely high-pressure, high-temperature (high P − T) conditions, a combination of dynamic and heated static experiments (e.g., diamond or gem anvil cel experiments) are used. For example, in a diamond anvil cell (DAC) experiment, a sample placed in the DAC is first pressurized. Following pressurization, the sample T is increased either by heating the entire DAC (usually using resistive heating, and limited to ∼1000K) or by applying intense laser power to the sample surfaces. In a dynamic experiment, the process of pressurizing the sample also heats it. In the case of shock physics experiments, such heating is substantial, easily reaching thousands of Kelvin; in our work we have seen T ∼17000K. Most methods of measuring temperature at ambient are not compatible with experiments under these high-pressure, high-temperature conditions: thermocouples break, melt, or have conductivity properties that differ from ambient where they are calibrated; thermometers would melt; both are too slow. As a result most methods are based on non-contact techniques such as x-ray diffraction broadening, neutron scattering, or optical methods. Of these, optical methods using the visible and near-infrared region of the spectrum are the most commonly used as the sources and detectors are readily available. In the case of optical methods the optical depth, and therefore the measurement location, is limited to the surface. When a window or anvil material is used, heat flows from the sample into the window/anvil. Likewise, if the sample undergoes a change in thermodynamic state, such as expansion upon release, different T may be expected. As a result, the surface or apparent temperature T app measurement will differ from the bulk or interior temperature that is desired. This surface measurement must be related to the bulk measurement using thermal transport models and material models. While it is tempting to conclude that one should just use x-ray methods that directly probe the interior, even these methods have been shown to depend on thermal transport and material models. Regardless of the method used to create the high P − T condition, therefore, we must understand the role of thermal transport and material models upon our interpretation of the T measurement, as well as the errors and uncertainties associated with the choice of models used in the analysis. This is a substantial area of research and this paper is by no means a complete survey of the relevant sources of uncertainty. For example, we have yet to begin to address alternate transport models in a detailed manner (e.g., Tan-Ahrens), or the many models that use additional layers to approximate melting, turbulence, or epitaxial phenomena). Likewise, we have not explored the impact upon uncertainty of thermal models that use temperature-dependent thermal transport coefficients, or the wide range of material models that can be applied. Instead, this paper focuses on using one simple model, the Urtiew-Grover model, to understand the sources of error in T measurement so that we may identify how best to focus future research efforts to return the best improvements and avoid working on over-optimizing a single type of measurement. To this end, we work through some of the best and worst case scenarios for T measurement.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Microscale drivers and mechanisms of fracture in post-processed additively manufactured Ti–6Al– 4 V

Herein, we focus on understanding the microstructure-fracture correlations in a Ti–6Al– 4 V alloy additively manufactured via electron beam melting (EBM) and subjected to various post-process heat-treatments. Specifically, the as fabricated material is subjected to a sub-transus heat-treatment followed by air-cooling and a super-transus heat-treatment followed by either air- or furnace-cooling. Next, a series of in-situ single edge notch tension (SENT) tests are carried out under a high-resolution digital optical microscope. The panoramic high-resolution images captured during the in-situ tests are then used to characterize the planar deformation on the specimen surface using microstructure-based digital image correlation (DIC). Additionally, the results of the in-situ SENT tests together with DIC and post-mortem fractographic analyses provided us with a better understanding of the microstructure-fracture correlations in these materials. Our results show that the fracture mechanism of the as fabricated and sub-transus heat-treated materials is essentially the same, while the changes in the microstructure following the super-transus heat-treatments significantly affects the fracture mechanism. In this case, several microcracks of hundreds of microns in length first nucleate away from the deformed notch following extreme plastic deformation at discrete locations. Furthermore, the location of these microcracks in the super-transus heat-treated materials is extremely sensitive to the details of the underlying microstructure.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Why Do Oceanic Nonlinearities Contribute Only Weakly to Extreme El Niño Events?

Abstract Extreme El Niño events have outsized global impacts and control the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) warm/cold phases asymmetries. Yet, a consensus regarding the relative contributions of atmospheric and oceanic nonlinearities to their genesis remains elusive. Here, we isolate the contribution of oceanic nonlinearities by conducting paired experiments forced with opposite wind stress anomalies in an oceanic general circulation model, which realistically simulates extreme El Niño events and oceanic nonlinearities thought to contribute to ENSO skewness (Tropical Instability Waves (TIWs), Nonlinear Dynamical Heating (NDH)). Our findings indicate a weak contribution of oceanic nonlinearities to extreme El Niño events in the eastern Pacific, owing to compensatory effects between lateral (NDH and TIWs) and vertical processes. These results hold across different vertical mixing schemes and modifications of the upper‐ocean heat budget mixed layer criterion. Our study reinforces previous research underscoring the pivotal role of atmospheric nonlinearities in shaping extreme El Niño events.

Geology↗

High-performance windows improve thermal survivability of occupants during cold snaps

Exposure to low indoor air temperature is a major contributor to temperature-related mortality during extreme cold events, especially when power outages disrupt operation of space heating systems. This study explores the impact of high-performance windows on the thermal resilience of residential buildings during extreme cold weather and grid power outages, as well as their long-term benefits through energy efficiency and reduced risk of property damage. Building performance simulations were conducted for reference residential buildings in three construction vintages and two major U.S. cities located in cold climate zones, considering two types of extreme cold events: short and severe, and long and milder. Our research found that even houses compliant with current energy codes struggle to maintain safe indoor temperatures for more than a few hours during power outages, necessitating rapid evacuations. High-performance windows can extend the thermal survivability time by up to 3.8 days within a 7-day cold snap and significantly reduce risk of bursting frozen water pipes, depending on the building’s insulation and infiltration level, cold event severity, and occupant vulnerability. This extended thermal safety time is crucial in scenarios where reduced mobility complicates emergency responses in senior housing. In addition to boosting thermal resilience, upgrading older homes with high-performance windows can reduce heating energy consumption by over 18% and cooling energy by 15%. Our findings highlight the need to incorporate thermal resilience assessments into new designs or major retrofits, including the use of typical and extreme weather scenarios and advanced technologies like high-performance windows.

Krelling, Amanda F↗

Gyrokinetic benchmark of the electron temperature-gradient instability in the pedestal region

Transport from turbulence driven by the electron temperature-gradient (ETG) instability is likely a major source of electron heat losses through the pedestal. Due to extreme gradients and strong shaping, ETG instabilities in the pedestal are distinct from those in the core, having, for example, multiple branches (toroidal and slab) in different wavenumber ranges. Due to its importance for pedestal transport, and its rather exotic character, a rigorous multi-code benchmarking exercise is imperative. In this work, we describe such an exercise, wherein we have carried out a detailed comparison of local linear pedestal ETG simulations using three gyrokinetic codes, CGYRO, GEM, and GENE and testing different geometric parameters (such as circular, Miller, and equilibrium EFIT geometry). The resulting linear frequencies, growth rates, and eigenfunctions show very good agreement between the codes in the three types of employed geometries. A nonlinear benchmark between CGYRO and GENE is also described, exhibiting good agreement (a maximum of 20% difference in the heat fluxes computed) at two locations in the pedestal. This lays the foundation for confidently modeling ETG turbulence in the pedestal

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Markets and Economic Requirements for Fission Batteries and Other Nuclear Systems

Fission Batteries (FBs) are nuclear reactors defined by five characteristics which enable large-scale deployment: cost competitive, standardized sizes for economic mass production, easy installation and removal, secure and safe unattended operation with high reliability. FBs are not defined by technology or power level. Technical and market considerations suggest that most FBs will produce 20 to 30 MWt. This proceedings reports on the outcomes of two workshops that were held in January 2021 to better define markets and economic challenges for FBs. Three major markets were identified. The largest market is the industrial and commercial heat market. There are about 4000 industrial users (excluding utilities) that require more than one megawatt of heat. The number of customers versus size of heat demand was determined. In a low-carbon world there is the potential for many additional customers—including expanded biofuels production and district heat. The second market is for non-grid electricity. This includes co-generation plants that produce heat and electricity for a single customer. The third market is the maritime market with ~100,000 ships worldwide. In the United States, natural gas is the low-cost energy option today and will remain so unless constraints or taxes impact its use. If restrictions on greenhouse gas emissions, the FB competition includes natural gas with carbon capture, biofuels, hydrogen and grid electricity. Natural gas with carbon capture is not economically viable on a small scale. Biofuels may be expensive but may be the economically preferred option for locations with small energy demands of a few megawatts. Hydrogen is a potential competitor with many of the characteristics of natural gas. Grid electricity is not a competitive source of heat. For FBs to be economically competitive, the price of delivered heat must be $20-50/MWh ($6-15/million BTU). The economically competitive range for non-grid electricity is estimated at $70-100/MWh. These electricity prices are competitive with the retail prices of electricity in many parts of the United States for the customer. FBs are not expected to be competitive selling wholesale electricity to the grid. To achieve the aforementioned cost targets for heat and electricity markets, FB designers must (1) maximize the power output within the constraints of a FB (e.g., truck transportability, passive decay heat removal), (2) drastically reduce the size of onsite staff, (3) adopt core designs with low fuel costs (enrichment and fabrication), and (4) develop a system design that is efficiently manufactured in factories. The business case depends upon more than being just a replacement for natural gas. The largest incentives for adoption of FBs is where they create new markets and new sources of revenue. An example is the paper and pulp industry that burns biomass wastes to provide heat and electricity to make paper. An external heat source could meet the demand for heat and electricity by the paper process and enable converting waste biomass into liquid biofuels rather than burning to provide heat. Other markets, such as data centers, are driven by special energy requirements such as extreme reliability. Most customers are not in the energy business but need heat and electricity to produce a product—a manufactured good, education, retail sales (shopping malls), marine transport or some other product. As a consequence, there will be large incentives to lease rather than own FBs. Leasing avoids the regulatory challenges that remain with the owner of the FB. Leasing creates large incentives for FP standardization of sizes and transportability to maintain the value of the FB at the end of the lease—similar to the leasing of jet engines and aircraft. The economic constraints combined with technical constraints suggest competitive FBs will likely have outputs exceeding 10 MWt. There appear to be little incentives for very long-lived reactor cores because such machines require much larger inventories of fuel. Maintenance requirements and the options to provide technology updates may favor shorter lifetimes (~5 years). The assessment is that there is the potential for FBs to be economically viable and play a major role in global decarbonization in three markets: heat, non-grid electricity and maritime applications.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Experimental investigations of Critical Heat Flux re-occurrence on post-CHF surfaces

Under the extreme environments of light water reactors, the cladding materials demonstrate evolutionary transformations in terms of material compositions, surface morphologies, and thermal-physical properties. This study investigates how the temperature overshooting of Critical Heat Flux (CHF) affects the re-occurrence of CHF on the post-CHF surfaces. Experimental results reveal that the CHF difference between as-received and post-CHF surfaces can be significant, which depends on materials. CHF is enhanced on post-CHF Stainless Steel (SS 316) specimens while it deteriorates on post-CHF Inconel-600 specimens. In comparison with the as-received surfaces, the post-CHF surface of SS 316 is more hydrophobic, while Inconel 600 is more hydrophilic. The scanning electron microscope micrographs of post-CHF surfaces show that surface morphologies that are structured by oxide crystals are formed on SS 316 samples but not on Inconel 600 samples. The physical rationale behind the CHF difference could be boiling heat transfer conjugated with thermal-physical proprieties of investigated surface materials and surface morphologies features. In conclusion, the results imply that it is indispensable to bookkeep the evolutionary changes of cladding surface materials, especially for cladding candidates of Accident Tolerant Fuel since operation histories can leave footprints on cladding surfaces, thus resulting in CHF re-occurrence differences.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Systems Biology-Based Optimization of Extremely Thermophilic Lignocellulose Conversion to Bioproducts

This was a collaborative project involving researchers at the University of Georgia, North Carolina State University, Sanford‐Burnham‐Prebys Med. Discovery Institute and the University of Rhode Island. The over-arching goal was to demonstrate that non-model microorganisms, specifically extreme thermophiles, can be a strategic metabolic engineering platform for industrial biotechnology. We engineered the most thermophilic lignocellulose-degrading organism known, Caldicellulosiruptor bescii (Cbes) , which grows optimally near 80°C, and the most thermophilic fermentative organism known, Pyrococcus furiosus (Pfu) , which grows optimally at 100°C, to produce several key industrial chemicals. This work leveraged recent breakthrough advances in the development of molecular genetic tools for these organisms, complemented by a deep understanding of its metabolism and physiology gained over the past decade of study in the PIs’ laboratories. We applied the latest metabolic reconstruction and modeling approaches to optimize biomass to product conversion. Bio-processing above 70°C can have important advantages over near-ambient operations. Highly genetically-modified microorganisms usually have a fitness disadvantage and can be easily overtaken in culture when contaminating microbes are present. The high growth temperature of extreme thermophiles precludes growth or survival of virtually any contaminating organism or phage. This reduces operating costs associated with reactor sterilization and maintaining a sterile facility. In addition, at industrial scales, heat production from microbial metabolic activity vastly outweighs heat loss through bioreactor walls such that cooling is required. Extreme thermophiles have the advantage that non-refrigerated cooling water can be used if needed, and heating requirements can be met with low-grade steam typically in excess capacity on plant sites. We assembled a highly interdisciplinary team that brought together all of the expertise for the project to have successful outcomes. This project also built upon and utilized extensive information already available in the PIs’ labs for both Cbes and Pfu to develop models that provide a comprehensive description of these organisms’ physiology and metabolism that were utilized to inform metabolic engineering strategies. The models were validated with experimental data and the results demonstrated that unpretreated lignocellulose has the potential to be converted into value-added industrial chemicals at high loading at bioreactor scale. The data generated from this research were published in twenty-one peer-reviewed papers in international journals with online access.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Field Validation of Air-Source Heat Pumps for Cold Climates

Heating energy is the largest end-use for U.S. residential buildings accounting for approximately one-third of residential building energy consumption (EIA 2021). Historically, air-source heat pumps have been limited to temperate climates because of subpar performance at extremely cold outdoor air temperatures. However, recent advances to cold-climate air-source heat pump technology, which typically rely on inverter-driven, variable-speed compressors and variable-speed fans, have significantly improved low-temperature heat pump performance enabling the technology to save energy for many homes in cold climates. The primary objective of this project was to measure in-field performance of centrally ducted, variable-capacity air-source heat pumps in cold climates to validate performance and develop field-based performance maps. The project focused on quantifying heat pump performance at cold temperatures. The sites identified for the study were primarily located in the Northwest United States since homes in the region tend to have all-electric space heating systems and high-efficiency heat pumps have been incentivized in the region for several years. NREL partnered with Ecotope, Inc., a small energy consulting firm located in Seattle, WA, for site recruitment, monitoring equipment installation, data quality management. All the sites included in the study had previously installed a high-efficiency, central heat pump system. One site was in a Denver, CO suburb, which was the only dual fuel heat pump in the study. We used airside and power measurements, collected at 5-second intervals, to quantify heat pump capacity, coefficient of performance (COP), and auxiliary heater energy consumption. We developed algorithms to automatically determine the heat pump operating mode including defrost and auxiliary heating operation. A whole-house thermal and duct audit was completed during the initial site visit to estimate winter heating loads and assess heat pump sizing. Whole-home heating design loads were calculated at ASHRAE 99% design temperatures and compared to manufacturer-reported maximum capacities to assess the heat pump sizing at each site.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Cooling dynamics of two titanium alloys during laser powder bed fusion probed with in situ X-ray imaging and diffraction

Metal parts produced by laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) additive manufacturing exhibit characteristic microstructures comparable to those observed in laser welding. The primary cause of this characteristic microstructure is rapid, localized heating and cooling cycles, which result in extreme thermal gradients where material solidification is followed by fast cooling in the solid state. The final microstructure and mechanical performance are also influenced by pore formation caused by melt pool fluid dynamics. Here, we use high speed, in situ X-ray diffraction to probe the kinetics of cooling and solid-solid phase transitions after laser melting in two aerospace titanium alloys: Ti-6Al-4V, an α + β alloy; and Ti-5Al-5V-5Mo-3Cr, a near-β alloy. We complement these diffraction studies with in situ X-ray imaging to probe melt pool dynamics and pore formation. From these two complementary probes, we quantify pore formation during melting and the subsequent microstructural evolution as the material rapidly cools after solidification. These results are critical for understanding defect formation and residual stress development in different titanium alloys under LPBF conditions and can help inform process models to predict final part performance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Experimental and Multiscale Modeling Insights for Radiation-Driven Neptunium Redox Processes at Elevated Temperatures

Studies of the radiation-driven reactions of actinide elements at elevated temperatures are extremely limited, but important given that radiation heating of used nuclear fuel can affect the radiolytically promoted actinide redox processes occurring in hydroprocessing environments. Under these conditions, the high concentration of nitric acid present makes the reaction of actinides, such as neptunium, with nitric acid radiolysis products significant. Therefore, here we present derivation of the rate coefficients for the reaction of pentavalent neptunium with the nitrate radical at elevated temperature, resulting in Eyring and Arrhenius parameters for this important reaction. Here, we also revisit our previously published multiscale model predictions for radiation-induced neptunium redox chemistry and present an iteration which successfully operates over a wider range of nitric acid concentrations, 0.1–6.0 M.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

The accuracy of multi-group models for nonlocal electron transport in magnetized plasmas

In the extreme conditions of inertial confinement fusion experiments, heat flow plays a vital role, but local diffusive models frequently break down and overestimate the heat flow. The situation becomes more complicated again in the significant magnetic fields generated during laser–plasma interactions or in magnetized fusion schemes. Accurate non-local and magnetized heat flow computations can be carried out using Vlasov–Fokker–Planck (VFP) simulations, but these are computationally expensive. There is, therefore, significant interest in using faster multi-group models to accurately calculate the non-local heat flow in magnetized plasmas. We benchmark two such multi-group models for calculating the heat flow, M1 and hybrid-AWBS-BGK, against diffusive models and full VFP simulations, before applying the models to realistic example test cases, both magnetized and unmagnetized. We find that the multi-group models generally perform very well for moderate non-localities up to kλmfp∼0.01, but the computational cost increases dramatically. hybrid-AWBS-BGK performs more effectively than M1 at high non-localities, up to kλmfp∼1, due to its adaptive solver and robust P1 closure, but tends to fail in very strong magnetic fields. Both codes are much faster than VFP simulations but are still slow in steep temperature gradients.

Arran, C. (ORCID:0000000286448118)↗

Snow-eater heat waves of the western United States

Abrupt snowmelt, triggered by rain-on-snow events or "snow-eater heat waves," can cause flooding, initiate or accelerate snow drought, and affect water availability. However, the characteristics (e.g., area, duration, and frequency), impacts, and trends of snow-eater heat waves have received little attention. To address this gap, we developed a method to identify snow-eater heat waves and estimate their melt potential using 20th Century Reanalysis version 3 air temperature data, the TempestExtremes algorithm, and an operational snowmelt model (SNOW-17) across 1850-2015. Melt season snow-eater heat waves typically last 3 to 5 days, with three to five events, doubling snowmelt rates. Seven of 11 spring superfloods are shown to coincide with snow-eater heat waves. Since the 1850s, snow-eater heat waves have increased in area and frequency, decreased in duration, and shifted earlier in the melt season. Incorporating snow-eater heat-wave impacts into SNOW-17 enhances extreme melt estimates, improving water management support tools.

Rhoades, Alan M↗