Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Reactor robustness”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 253 records · Page 14
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Identifying Regimes During Plasma Catalytic Ammonia Synthesis

Herein, we demonstrate that the performance of mesoporous silica SBA-15 and SBA-15-Ag during plasma ammonia synthesis depends on the plasma conditions. At high power, the mesoporous silica SBA-15 without Ag produces the largest amount of ammonia, but the addition of Ag provides a minor benefit at lower powers. Plasma conditions were analyzed through optical emission spectroscopy using N 2 , N 2 + , and NH molecular bands and H α line. Stark broadening of H α line was used to find electron density, and N 2 molecular bands were used to assess N 2 vibrational excitation, important for plasma nitrogen decomposition. At similar input conditions, reactors with SBA-15 have higher electron density and higher N 2 vibrational temperature. Consistent with higher electron density, SBA-15 reactors have stronger N 2 + emission intensity relative to the neutral N 2 . The addition of Ag results in higher N 2 rotational temperature, possibly due to localized heating. From the materials point of view, SBA-15 is a more robust catalyst with good surface area retention after plasma exposure due to the lack of local heating generated when a metal is in the structure. Furthermore, we identify two possible regimes during ammonia synthesis, a metal and a surface-plasma driven. At lower plasma densities, the addition of metal is beneficial, while at higher power and plasma density, the best performance is achieved without the aid of a metal catalyst.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Development Plan for Ultrasonic Pressure Sensors [Slides]

Current light water reactors (LWRs) utilize differential pressure cells, based on strain gauges, which are remotely located from the reactor vessel via impulse lines. These pressure sensors are used to measure liquid level within the vessel and to give a general indication of system health with regard to leaks and flow system fouling. The advanced reactor types currently under development generally operate at higher temperatures than light-water reactors and utilize coolants that may be highly corrosive (i.e., liquid metals). They will use pressure measurements for varied measurands, such as level and flow rate, as well as indications of accident conditions or off-normal operating conditions. More robust pressure sensors are needed to address these more challenging conditions.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2025

REDOTHERM: a thermodynamic modeling framework for redox-based thermochemical processes

Two-step thermochemical redox cycles are being developed as a potential pathway for the production of hydrogen and syngas. While there are many possible reactor and system configurations, moving oxide systems are considered promising in terms of the redox thermodynamics, due to the potential implementation of a countercurrent system that can achieve higher performance compared to other configurations. There is a lack of a robust thermodynamic modeling framework in the field, with multiple models incorporating incorrect thermodynamic assumptions that violate the second law of thermodynamics. We present in this work REDOTHERM, an open-source system model for moving oxides that incorporates the correct thermodynamic limits, as well as various options for the system auxiliary units including product separation, heat recovery, and oxygen removal. The model is agnostic to the energy source, and could be used for solar thermal or other configurations. We highlight the uses of this model, presenting some of the tradeoffs and challenges in redox-active material selection and how they affect the entire thermochemical hydrogen production process. This model could be easily adapted and used for material exploration, system/reactor design, and technoeconomic analysis.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2023

Modeling a Gas-Cooled Microreactor Balance of Plant for the Virtual Test Bed

High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors (HTGRs) are one of the technology considered for microreactor designs because of their high performance and technological maturity. Several designs are being developed. These microreactor cores are connected to power conversion system (PCS) through a heat exchanger. For transient analysis, the feedback of the PCS or of the primary loop can be important, therefore, it is necessary to develop robust models for the balance of plant that can be coupled to a core model. In this work, a balance of plant model using the MOOSE Thermal Hydraulics module (THM) is presented and demonstrated for startup and load-follow transients. This model can be seamlessly coupled with any MOOSE-based multi-physics core model using the MOOSE multi-app approach.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Anderson acceleration stability in NDA-accelerated k-eigenvalue problems

Anderson acceleration (AA) has been used to improve the stability and convergence rate of multiphysics iterative methods for reactor analysis. Most applications studied assume a tightly converged solution for the different physics problems, and AA is usually applied to state variables like temperature, density, and heat generation rate. In this paper, we study the theoretical performance of AA in NDA-accelerated k-eigenvalue problems. The problems and algorithms studied are simplified from the coupled iteration scheme adopted by MPACT and many other high-fidelity whole-core reactor codes. Compared to previous analyses of AA for these iteration schemes, we study the case with a partially converged neutronics solution and possibly partially converged nonlinear diffusion acceleration (NDA)/coarse mesh finite difference (CMFD) solutions. We observe that the performance of the iteration scheme with AA is very sensitive to the initial guess and is affected by the partially converged CMFD solutions. When the NDA solution is fully converged, using AA cannot achieve the optimal convergence rate in large-sized problems. Conversely, if the NDA solution is partially converged, the iteration scheme with AA can diverge or converge extremely slowly. It is found that the loss of robustness for AA is due to the fact that it is applied to the iterative subspace of state variables rather than the fundamental unknowns of the governing equations. To improve the robustness, the scalar flux should also be considered in the implementation of AA. After considering the residuals of flux, we observe that the stability is regardless of the partial convergence of NDA solutions. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Nuclear Criticality Safety Training: Needs and Efforts

Nuclear criticality safety (NCS) training is essential and required for NCS professionals to ensure that fissionable materials outside of nuclear reactors are safely processed, handled, stored, and transported. Furthermore, the requirement of training in NCS is mandated in several international and domestic documents. In this regard, management has an obligation to establish an NCS training program that provides confidence in the continuing proficiency of personnel, and supervisors must ensure that their staff is suitably trained. Training of all personnel in nuclear facilities is required to support the robust performance of operations. There is a continuing need to maintain, enhance, and develop new training courses to support the NCS community. This paper provides an outline of some of the ongoing and future training courses in the United States to support the field of NCS.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2023

Verification of the DIF3D Software to Support Fast Reactor Analysis (Rev. 3)

Ongoing design activities at Argonne National Laboratory are requiring a thorough verification of the Argonne Reactor Computation codes be performed. DIF3D is central to this system. The driver for this effort requires the 3D Cartesian, triangular-Z, and hexagonal-Z core geometry options of DIF3D be verified. Previous work identified the DIF3D features required to be verified to support current design activities, features of which are generally applicable to hexagonal-Z fast reactor designs. The scope of this verification effort includes verifying DIF3D’s ability to correctly translate the user’s model in to DIF3D’s preferred format, verifying that options planned for use have the desired effect, and verifying the correctness of the eigenvalue, fixed-source, forward, and adjoint solvers in DIF3D-FD and DIF3D-VARIANT. This manuscript provides the verification tasks and their results with respect to the features needed for current design activities. Since analytic solutions of the neutron diffusion and transport equations are either limited in scope or not possible, multiple tiers of problems unique to each solver and geometry type were implemented. Each of these tiers tests features independent and complementary arguments for why the separate testing of functionalities is acceptable. Finally, this separate testing was also supplemented with a high-level integral check of each the diffusion and transport capabilities and applicable geometries. To accommodate cases which an analytic solution is not feasible, MCNP6.2 was relied upon to provide a higher-order reference solution. This therefore required that the capabilities within MCNP6.2 which were relied upon for this work are also verified in this work. No MCNP discrepancies were noted in this effort. Note that the MCNP6.2 verification included in this work does not stand as a full verification of MCNP6.2, but merely verifies the features used in verifying DIF3D. The verification effort identified no issues that are debilitating or otherwise impactful to design usage of DIF3D, and thus DIF3D version 11.0, release 3012 is considered verified. As some additional changes have been made to the ARC software since this point all versions between release 3012 and 3266 can be considered verified as version 3253 was used for all updates in this revision. The types of issues that were identified were predominantly in the areas of: unclear documentation, software bugs which were inconsequential to final results, editing options which were ignored in favor of printing more information than requested, bugs in the outputs of intermediate results, or secondary output binary file information which was not present. While not a bug, this verification report also identified that the algorithm used to evaluate the peak fast flux in a nodal transport solution can be quite unreliable due to the methodology used and the location of the peak within the mesh. The authors of the report therefore recommend the usage of the EvaluateFlux software (distributed with ARC) as a more robust alternative noting that DIF3D will properly notify the user when the peaking values it is providing are potentially incorrect.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Analysis of temperature effects on self-powered neutron detectors in a gamma field

Self-powered neutron detectors (SPND) are small, robust, in-core radiation sensors that have the potential to operate in high temperature environments (above 600°C). However, previous experiments indicated temperature related effects in the form of displacement currents. Given the recent irradiation at The Ohio State University Research Reactor using a delayed-response rhodium-based SPND alongside a prompt-response tantalum-based SPND, it was concluded that only low-energy electrons from gamma interactions were the cause of these temperature effects. A series of heated gamma irradiations with temperatures up to 750°C of SPNDs were performed at the Advanced Test Reactor Gamma Facility in order to better characterize these displacement currents. The results from the experiments demonstrated a strong relation between the displacement currents that occurred during temperature ramps to thermoluminescence (TL) glow peaks—the SPND with Al2O3 insulation has one glow peak within 750°C and the SPND with MgO has three. A demonstration was performed to calculate the trap energy levels of the displacement currents through TL glow peak analysis. Unfortunately, the methods employed provided inconsistent results, requiring an updated model based on ongoing irradiation instead of post-irradiation measurements.

46 - INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AN↗
DOE OSTI2022

Implications of Microstructure in Helium-Implanted Nanocrystalline Metals

Helium bubbles are known to form in nuclear reactor structural components when displacement damage occurs in conjunction with helium exposure and/or transmutation. If left unchecked, bubble production can cause swelling, blistering, and embrittlement, all of which substantially degrade materials and—moreover—diminish mechanical properties. On the mission to produce more robust materials, nanocrystalline (NC) metals show great potential and are postulated to exhibit superior radiation resistance due to their high defect and particle sink densities; however, much is still unknown about the mechanisms of defect evolution in these systems under extreme conditions. Here, the performances of NC nickel (Ni) and iron (Fe) are investigated under helium bombardment via transmission electron microscopy (TEM). Bubble density statistics are measured as a function of grain size in specimens implanted under similar conditions. While the overall trends revealed an increase in bubble density up to saturation in both samples, bubble density in Fe was over 300% greater than in Ni. To interrogate the kinetics of helium diffusion and trapping, a rate theory model is developed that substantiates that helium is more readily captured within grains in helium-vacancy complexes in NC Fe, whereas helium is more prone to traversing the grain matrices and migrating to GBs in NC Ni. Our results suggest that (1) grain boundaries can affect bubble swelling in grain matrices significantly and can have a dominant effect over crystal structure, and (2) an NC-Ni-based material can yield superior resistance to irradiation-induced bubble growth compared to an NC-Fe-based material and exhibits high potential for use in extreme environments where swelling due to He bubble formation is of significant concern.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

MSR Proliferation Resistance and Physical Protection White Paper

This document represents the status of Proliferation Resistance and Physical Protection (PR&PP) characteristics for the Molten Salt Reactor designs selected by the Generation IV International Forum (GIF) Molten Salt Reactor (MSR) provisional System Steering Committee (pSSC) as representatives of three broad classes of MSRs. The three classes of MSRs are: (1) Liquid-fueled with integrated salt processing, (2) Liquid-fueled without integrated salt processing, (3) Solid-fueled with salt coolant. The intent is to generate preliminary information about the PR&PP merits of the MSR Reactor Technology and to provide insights for optimizing their PR&PP performance for the benefit of MSR system designers. It updates the MSR analysis published in the 2011 report “Proliferation Resistance and Physical Protection of the Six Generation IV Nuclear Energy Systems”, prepared Jointly by the Proliferation Resistance and Physical Protection Working Group (PRPPWG) and the System Steering Committees of the Generation IV International Forum, taking into account the evolution of both the systems and the GIF R&D activities since its publication. The document, prepared jointly by the GIF PRPPWG and the GIF MSR pSSC, follows the high-level paradigm of the GIF Proliferation Resistance and Physical Protection Evaluation Methodology to investigate the Proliferation Resistance and Physical Protection features of the GIF MSR representative designs. For PR, the document analyses and discusses the proliferation resistance aspects in terms of robustness against State-based threats associated with diversion of materials, misuse of facilities, breakout scenarios, and production in clandestine facilities. Similarly, for physical protection, the document discusses the robustness against theft of material and sabotage by non-State actors.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Surrogate Model Integration with MOOSE XFEM for Creep Crack Growth

Ferritic-martensitic steels are key structural materials for advanced reactors but experience time-dependent deformation and damage under prolonged high temperature and irradiation, leading to creep-driven crack initiation and growth. High-fidelity models—crystal plasticity with irradiation mechanisms, phase-field for microstructural evolution, and continuum-damage viscoplasticity—capture the underlying physics but are too computationally intensive for broad design-space exploration and uncertainty quantification. This milestone advances a scalable alternative by integrating a microstructure-sensitive surrogate creep model into the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) finite element framework and extending it to fracture via the extended finite element method (XFEM). The surrogate model, developed with collaborators at Sandia and Los Alamos National Laboratories, maps relevant microstructural descriptors to the viscoplastic response of HT9. We embed this surrogate within a coupled deformation-damage workflow in MOOSE/XFEM to simulate creep-driven crack initiation and propagation. Implementation enhancements include updates to the material interface, a plastic correction phase involving microstructure evolution, and fracture criteria to ensure numerical robustness and compatibility with the surrogate structure. Demonstrations on canonical creep benchmarks spanning uniaxial and multiaxial states show that the surrogate reproduces key trends of high-fidelity models while substantially reducing computational cost. The resulting capability bridges physics fidelity and performance, providing a practical path to a predictive, microstructure-aware assessment of creep and fracture in reactor materials.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Enhanced LWR High Burnup Transient Simulation Capabilities to Support AOO Margin Identification

As part of ongoing efforts to support the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program’s development of a fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD) screening methodology, a number of improvements are required for the NEAMS core simulation capabilities, namely the Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA). Three areas of improvement were identified in VERA which are important for continued development and application of the FFRD screening methodology. First, the FFRD screening methodology will soon be extended to boiling water reactors (BWRs), requiring development and validation of the VERA BWR capabilities. Second, the screening methodology occasionally requires that VERA be used to simulate a transient in addition to nominal operations. Thus, improvements to both accuracy and performance of the VERA transient capabilities are necessary. Third, the VERAOneWay component of VERA is used to develop BISON fuel performance inputs using the rod-by-rod histories calculated by VERA. Prior use of VERAOneWay exposed significant accuracy, robustness, and performance issues with VERAOneWay; these must be addressed for it to be an effective tool in the NEAMS FFRD methodology. This report documents the efforts in FY23 in each of these three areas to enable successful use of VERA and VERAOneWay for FFRD calculations in FY24 and following years.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Quantifying Uncertainty of Deep Reinforcement Learning Based Decision Making for Operations and Maintenance of Nuclear Power Plant

This paper summarizes research that integrates condition monitoring and prognostics with decision making for nuclear power plant operations and maintenance. As part of this research, we have developed an online asset management tool to help reduce life-cycle maintenance and repair costs. Using the latest advancements in condition monitoring, supply chain analytics, and deep reinforcement learning, we have created a predictive maintenance tool that can optimize the maintenance and spare-part management of a repairable nuclear system. To demonstrate these methods, preliminary studies were conducted on a simple, representative maintenance system undergoing a stochastic degradation process that requires repairs or replacement to continue operation. Through Monte Carlo simulations, we were able to reduce maintenance spending by approximately 50% compared to optimized, time-based maintenance strategies. Not only does the decision maker reduce the average life-cycle costs, it also minimizes the chance of high cost scenarios, lowering the variance of the expected cost distributions, and reducing overall financial risk. Furthermore, this work also studies the ability of the decision maker to handle various levels of noise from observation uncertainty. By introducing uncertainty into the decision-making process, we have quantified the robustness and resiliency of the decision maker, as well as identified necessary levels of observability to demonstrate cost effectiveness.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

HFIRCON Version 1.0.5 User Guide

The High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) Controller (HFIRCON) code is a collection of python routines and C plugins that automate the workflow for fuel and single- or multicycle target depletion analyses for HFIR at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). This code calls the LAVAMINT (LAVA Model Interrogator) parallel (MCNP) Monte Carlo N-Particle model interrogator to stochastically calculate cell volumes and bounding boxes, the ADVANTG (Automatic Variance Reduction Generation) code package for all variance reduction and source biasing calculations, the ORNL-Transformative Neutronics/MCNP5 transport solver for all transport solutions, and the MSX_DEPLETE module to perform all depletion calculations via the ORIGEN (Oak Ridge Isotope Generation) application programming interface. It also performs a robust set of postprocessing functions to automatically provide summaries of several key metrics that are common to a wide variety of typical HFIR design and safety-basis analyses.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Considerations for Managing DOE Standard Canisters within an Over-canister as Part of an Integrated Waste Management System

To better enable informed decision making regarding the back end of the nuclear fuel cycle, the Integrated Waste Management Program within the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Nuclear Energy (DOE-NE) has been sponsoring the research into a comprehensive integrated waste management system (IWMS) that considers all major back-end aspects of the nuclear fuel cycle (i.e., transportation, storage, and disposal). An important aspect of the IWMS is DOE-managed SNF. DOE and its predecessor agencies have generated, transported, received, stored, and reprocessed SNF at DOE facilities nationwide, and DOE is responsible for managing the SNF currently in its possession. These fuels come from a wide range of reactor types that employ various cladding materials, fuel materials, and enrichments. To enable interim, road-ready dry storage (RRDS) of the wide variety of SNF types found in the DOE inventory, a standardized canister system (i.e., the DOE Standard Canister) was proposed. This robust, welded canister system is designed to confine radionuclides, prevent criticality by precluding content moderation, and satisfy other requirements as part of a larger storage, transportation, and disposal system. While SNF has yet to be loaded into a DOE Standard Canister, DOE Standard Canister designs were included in past storage facility and disposal facility design licensing endeavors. In a renewed effort to evaluate packaging SNF at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) in a RRDS configuration, researchers are planning the RRDS Packaging Demonstration. This demonstration is supplemented by analytical structural, criticality, and material compatibility evaluations that support management of SNF in DOE Standard Canisters, taking advantage of past analysis work to the extent possible. One of the largest differences between the current Packaging Demonstration and past analytical evaluations is the inclusion of an over-canister containing multiple DOE Standard Canisters. For the Packaging Demonstration, DOE Standard Canisters loaded with SNF are planned to be placed in a larger diameter over-canister. The sealed over-canister could then be placed in a storage overpack for onsite storage, or in a transportation overpack for shipment to an offsite storage location or disposal site once one becomes available. This paper examines the relevant considerations and provides a preliminary evaluation of integrating the over-canister configuration into the storage, transportation, and disposal processes of the overall waste management system. For storage and transportation, the over-canister can be considered analogous to a multi-purpose canister (MPC) for commercial SNF. For disposal, the DOE Standard Canisters could be removed from the over-canister and placed in a co-disposal waste package with canisters containing vitrified HLW similar to configurations examined previously, or the sealed over-canisters might be capable of direct disposal in a waste package.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Finite Volume Discretization of the Euler Equations in Pronghorn

Modeling flow and heat transfer in high temperature gas reactors (HTGR) requires the ability to model a wide range of flow speeds from slow (natural convection), to intermediate (forced-flow conditions), to supersonic regimes (depressurization) for a wide range of geometries including the pebble bed, upper and lower plenum, and risers. In previous work, Pronghorn has effectively modeled low-to-medium speed flows in scenarios such as the one described in the two-dimensional PBMR-400 benchmark, using its finite-element-based streamline-upwind Petrov-Galerkin (SUPG) stabilized implementation of the Euler equations. However, limitations of this method become apparent when dealing with more complicated geometries (e.g. imposing slip boundary conditions at nodes belonging to two different boundaries) and when gas speeds are fast enough for shocks and supersonic flow to occur. For these problems, the finite-element-based solver lacks robustness and is plagued by slow iterative convergence or even divergence. In order to address these challenges, the Pronghorn code at INL has been updated with new, modified versions of its original equations. The new Pronghorn models are built on the finite volume method with a Harten-Lax-van Leer-Contact (HLLC) Riemann solver based numerical flux method, which (1) allows imposing slip boundary conditions much more robustly and (2) performs well for a wide range of flow speeds. The finite-volume-based flow solver will form the basis for a robust coarse-mesh thermal-hydraulics capability in Pronghorn.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Towards standardized nuclear reactors: Seismic isolation and the cost impact of the earthquake load case

We report nuclear energy has a key role to play in global decarbonization. Impediments to the widespread deployment of reactors are their projected high capital cost and levelized cost of energy, and time required to analyze, design, license, construct, and commission them. The earthquake load case is a key cost driver for a new build nuclear plant, because near-surface soils and seismic hazard are different at each site, requiring site-specific analysis, design, engineering, qualification, licensing, and regulatory review, essentially making every design First-of-a-Kind (FoaK). To enable deployment at the scale needed for deep decarbonization, the cost and time impact of the seismic load case must be significantly mitigated, and plants must be standardized. Seismic base isolation has been proven to considerably reduce the earthquake response of structures and equipment but has yet to be applied to a nuclear power plant in the United States, in part because the financial impacts, positive or negative, are not known. Because there are no recent non-proprietary data to characterize the influence of the seismic load case on capital cost, it is difficult to confidently quantify the financial benefits of seismic isolation. Scheme-level designs of two fundamentally different advanced reactor buildings were developed to assemble cost data on the influence of the seismic load case. Both buildings were equipped with three bespoke pieces of safety-related equipment and analyzed for incremented levels of earthquake shaking to quantify the seismic penalty on equipment, in terms of vessel weights and horizontal accelerations. Using analysis results, a questionnaire was developed and transmitted to nuclear utilities, reactor developers, engineers, and equipment suppliers to collect cost data on engineering and fabrication costs for these unique pieces of safety-class equipment. Synthesis of the cost data showed that the seismic load case significantly affects the capital cost (sum of engineering and fabrication cost) of safety-class equipment, with engineering costs being comparable to fabrication costs. Standardization of safety-class equipment is made possible by seismic isolation, that is, equipment designed for minimal seismic robustness can resist earthquake shaking at a site of much higher seismic hazard. The average reduction in the capital cost of the safety-related equipment, enabled by seismic isolation, is a factor of two for FoaK equipment and a factor of five for standardized equipment.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2023

A game-theoretic approach to nuclear fuel cycle transition analysis under uncertainty

We present a novel methodology for optimizing nuclear fuel cycle transitions that incorporates a game-theoretic approach and captures interactions among multiple decision makers. The methodology is demonstrated using a two-person sequential game with uncertainty, where the two players represent a policy maker and an electric utility company, though the method generalizes to any number and type of individual decision making entities. Coupled with a sophisticated nuclear fuel cycle simulator, rich transition scenarios may be analyzed to identify robust transition strategies. These strategies explicitly treat uncertainties using a stochastic programming approach, devising optimal near-term hedging strategies that simultaneously consider all possible states of the world, maintaining flexibility to allow for intelligent recourse decisions once uncertainties are resolved. In the demonstration game, reactor technology and fuel cycle scheme adopted by the electric utility are shown to depend on both the policy maker’s decisions and the distributions over uncertain technological and economic outcomes.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗