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At least 253 records · Page 14

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DOE OSTI2022

Advancing river corridor science beyond disciplinary boundaries with an inductive approach to catalyse hypothesis generation

Abstract A unified conceptual framework for river corridors requires synthesis of diverse site‐, method‐ and discipline‐specific findings. The river research community has developed a substantial body of observations and process‐specific interpretations, but we are still lacking a comprehensive model to distill this knowledge into fundamental transferable concepts. We confront the challenge of how a discipline classically organized around the deductive model of systematically collecting of site‐, scale‐, and mechanism‐specific observations begins the process of synthesis. Machine learning is particularly well‐suited to inductive generation of hypotheses. In this study, we prototype an inductive approach to holistic synthesis of river corridor observations, using support vector machine regression to identify potential couplings or feedbacks that would not necessarily arise from classical approaches. This approach generated 672 relationships linking a suite of 157 variables each measured at 62 locations in a fifth order river network. Eighty four percent of these relationships have not been previously investigated, and representing potential (hypothetical) process connections. We document relationships consistent with current understanding including hydrologic exchange processes, microbial ecology, and the River Continuum Concept, supporting that the approach can identify meaningful relationships in the data. Moreover, we highlight examples of two novel research questions that stem from interpretation of inductively‐generated relationships. This study demonstrates the implementation of machine learning to sieve complex data sets and identify a small set of candidate relationships that warrant further study, including data types not commonly measured together. This structured approach complements traditional modes of inquiry, which are often limited by disciplinary perspectives and favour the careful pursuit of parsimony. Finally, we emphasize that this approach should be viewed as a complement to, rather than in place of, more traditional, deductive approaches to scientific discovery.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Chloride modification of vacuum-assisted blade-coated perovskite solar cells and mini-modules in ambient environment

Scalable deposition of perovskite thin films under ambient conditions remains a key challenge for the commercialization of perovskite photovoltaics, primarily due to the difficulty of controlling crystallization kinetics and suppressing non-radiative recombination during film formation. In this work, we present an effective strategy to modulate crystallization kinetics and non-radiative recombination in vacuum-quenched blade-coated perovskite films processed in air using chloride-based additives. By systematically comparing PbCl 2 and 3-chloropropylamine hydrochloride (Cl-PACl), we elucidate how different chloride incorporation pathways influence crystallization behavior and optoelectronic properties. In situ transmission and in situ photoluminescence measurements reveal that PbCl 2 acts as a transient additive that slows intermediate/perovskite phase formation while suppressing non-radiative recombination, leading to improved film quality. In contrast, Cl-PACl introduces additional trap states that deteriorate optoelectronic performance. As a result, PbCl 2 -modified perovskite solar cells achieve a champion power conversion efficiency (PCE) of 24.2% and remarkable operational stability, retaining over 90% of their initial performance after 800 hours of continuous illumination. Furthermore, we successfully scaled the process, fabricating a perovskite mini-module that delivered a champion efficiency of 18.0%. This study underscores the critical importance of coupling vacuum-assisted blade coating with transient additive engineering for achieving high-performance, stable, and scalable perovskite photovoltaics processed in ambient air.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Accurate and uncertainty-aware multi-task prediction of HEA properties using prior-guided deep Gaussian processes

Surrogate modeling techniques have become indispensable in accelerating the discovery and optimization of high-entropy alloys (HEAs), especially when integrating computational predictions with sparse experimental observations. This study systematically evaluates the training and testing performance of four prominent surrogate models—conventional Gaussian processes (cGP), Deep Gaussian processes (DGP), encoder-decoder neural networks for multi-output regression and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost)—applied to a hybrid dataset of experimental and computational properties of the 8-component HEA system Al-Co-Cr-Cu-Fe-Mn-Ni-V. We specifically assess their capabilities in predicting correlated material properties, including yield strength, hardness, modulus, ultimate tensile strength, elongation, and average hardness under dynamic/quasi-static conditions, alongside auxiliary computational properties. The comparison highlights the strengths of hierarchical deep modeling approaches in handling heteroscedastic, heterotopic, and incomplete data commonly encountered in materials science. Our findings illustrate that combined surrogate models such as DGPs infused with machine-learned priors outperform other surrogates by effectively capturing inter-property correlations and by assimilating prior knowledge. This enhanced predictive accuracy positions the combined surrogate models as powerful tools for robust and data-efficient materials design.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Gaussian processes for inferring parton distributions

The extraction of parton distribution functions (PDFs) from experimental or lattice QCD data is an ill-posed inverse problem, where regularization strongly impacts both systematic uncertainties and the reliability of the results. We study a framework based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) to reconstruct PDFs from lattice QCD matrix elements. Within a Bayesian framework, Gaussian processes serve as flexible priors that encode uncertainties, correlations, and constraints without imposing rigid functional forms. We investigate a wide range of kernel choices, mean functions, and hyperparameter treatments. We quantify information gained from the data using the Kullback-Leibler divergence. Synthetic data tests demonstrate the consistency and robustness of the method. Our study establishes GPR as a systematic and non-parametric approach to PDF reconstruction, offering controlled uncertainty estimates and reduced model bias in lattice QCD analyses.

hadronic spectroscopy↗

DOE OSTI2026

Measurement of the $\bar ν_μ-$Hydrogen Charged-Current Quasi-Elastic Cross Section using the NOvA Near Detector

We report a measurement of the total cross section for muon antineutrino charged-current quasi-elastic scattering on hydrogen, $\bar ν_μ{\rm H} \to μ^+ n$, in the NOvA near detector using a $1.2\times10^{21}$ proton-on-target exposure in the NuMI beam. A selection based on topological and kinematic constraints yields 35,509 signal events in the hydrogen-rich ($10.8\%$) detector, providing the highest statistics of (anti)neutrino--hydrogen interactions measured to date. Backgrounds from (anti)neutrino interactions on heavier nuclei are constrained using dedicated data control samples, significantly reducing the related systematic uncertainties. We obtain a value $σ(\bar ν_μ{\rm H} \to μ^+ n) = 0.538 \pm 0.009 ({\rm stat}) \pm 0.010 ({\rm syst}) \pm0.055 ({\rm flux}) \times 10^{-38}$ cm$^2$ for the total cross section at an average energy of 1.9 GeV, the most precise total cross-section measurement of this process to date. The combined statistical and non-flux systematic uncertainty is more than four times smaller than the flux uncertainty, allowing a future use of this measurement to constrain the absolute $\bar ν_μ$ flux.

Abubakar, S. [Erciyes U.]↗

DOE OSTI2026

Measurement of the $\bar ν_μ-$Hydrogen Charged-Current Quasi-Elastic Cross Section using the NOvA Near Detector

Abubakar, S. [Erciyes U.]↗

DOE OSTI2026

Process-level cost analysis of hybrid manufacturing pathways for aerospace structural components

Hybrid manufacturing is a promising route for producing complex aerospace components, yet systematic cost benchmarking across multiple additive-subtractive pathways remains limited. This study presents a comprehensive process-based cost analysis of seven hybrid manufacturing routes, including laser powder bed fusion (L-PBF), powder- and wire-directed energy deposition (DED), wire arc additive manufacturing (WAAM), additive friction stir deposition (AFSD), metal binder jetting (MBJ), and agility forging, followed by scanning and finish machining. Parametric cost models incorporating direct material, labor, and energy costs were developed. L-PBF results are discussed in detail for a pickle fork component and directly compared with commercial pricing. Across all hybrid routes, labor emerged as the dominant cost driver, contributing more than 70% of total manufacturing cost in some cases. AFSD exhibited the lowest cost for aluminum components, with MBJ being its 316 L stainless steel counterpart, after accounting for geometric scaling. Benchmarking against industrial quotes suggests that hybrid manufacturing can achieve cost levels comparable to those of commercial services, although labor-intensive processes exhibit greater deviation. The analysis highlights automation of material handling, setup, and supervision as key opportunities for improving economic competitiveness. Overall, the proposed framework provides a quantitative basis for evaluating and optimizing hybrid manufacturing pathways for aerospace applications.

Baruah, Sweta [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000174256207)↗

DOE OSTI2020

BeyondPlanck I. Global Bayesian analysis of the Planck Low Frequency Instrument data

We describe the BeyondPlanck project in terms of motivation, methodology and main products, and provide a guide to a set of companion papers that describe each result in fuller detail. Building directly on experience from ESA's Planck mission, we implement a complete end-to-end Bayesian analysis framework for the Planck Low Frequency Instrument (LFI) observations. The primary product is a joint posterior distribution P(omega|d), where omega represents the set of all free instrumental (gain, correlated noise, bandpass etc.), astrophysical (synchrotron, free-free, thermal dust emission etc.), and cosmological (CMB map, power spectrum etc.) parameters. Some notable advantages of this approach are seamless end-to-end propagation of uncertainties; accurate modeling of both astrophysical and instrumental effects in the most natural basis for each uncertain quantity; optimized computational costs with little or no need for intermediate human interaction between various analysis steps; and a complete overview of the entire analysis process within one single framework. As a practical demonstration of this framework, we focus in particular on low-l CMB polarization reconstruction, paying special attention to the LFI 44 GHz channel. We find evidence of significant residual systematic effects that are still not accounted for in the current processing, but must be addressed in future work. These include a break-down of the 1/f correlated noise model at 30 and 44 GHz, and scan-aligned stripes in the Southern Galactic hemisphere at 44 GHz. On the Northern hemisphere, however, we find that all results are consistent with the LCDM model, and we constrain the reionization optical depth to tau = 0.067 +/- 0.016, with a low-resolution chi-squared probability-to-exceed of 16%. The marginal CMB dipole amplitude is 3359.5 +/- 1.9 uK. (Abridged.)

Andersen, KJ↗

DOE OSTI2023

Comparing quantile regression forest and mixture density long short-term memory models for probabilistic post-processing of satellite precipitation-driven streamflow simulations

Abstract. Deep learning (DL) and machine learning (ML) are widely used in hydrological modelling, which plays a critical role in improving the accuracy of hydrological predictions. However, the trade-off between model performance and computational cost has always been a challenge for hydrologists when selecting a suitable model, particularly for probabilistic post-processing with large ensemble members. This study aims to systematically compare the quantile regression forest (QRF) model and countable mixtures of asymmetric Laplacians long short-term memory (CMAL-LSTM) model as hydrological probabilistic post-processors. Specifically, we evaluate their ability in dealing with biased streamflow simulations driven by three satellite precipitation products across 522 nested sub-basins of the Yalong River basin in China. Model performance is comprehensively assessed using a series of scoring metrics from both probabilistic and deterministic perspectives. Our results show that the QRF model and the CMAL-LSTM model are comparable in terms of probabilistic prediction, and their performances are closely related to the flow accumulation area (FAA) of the sub-basin. The QRF model outperforms the CMAL-LSTM model in most sub-basins with smaller FAA, while the CMAL-LSTM model has an undebatable advantage in sub-basins with FAA larger than 60 000 km2 in the Yalong River basin. In terms of deterministic predictions, the CMAL-LSTM model is preferred, especially when the raw streamflow is poorly simulated and used as input. However, setting aside the differences in model performance, the QRF model with 100-member quantiles demonstrates a noteworthy advantage by exhibiting a 50 % reduction in computation time compared to the CMAL-LSTM model with the same ensemble members in all experiments. As a result, this study provides insights into model selection in hydrological post-processing and the trade-offs between model performance and computational efficiency. The findings highlight the importance of considering the specific application scenario, such as the catchment size and the required accuracy level, when selecting a suitable model for hydrological post-processing.

Geology↗

DOE OSTI2025

Radical Treatment of Haloacetonitriles in Aqueous Systems: A Kinetic Study

Haloacetonitriles (HANs) are important drinking water disinfection byproducts formed through the chlorination and chloramination of amino acids. Although HAN concentrations in treated water are usually lower than trihalomethanes, they are still of major concern due to their higher cyto- and genotoxicity. HANs undergo chemical transformations by hydrolysis on the hour to week time scales; however, for possible direct water reuse situations, their active removal using advanced oxidation/reduction processes (AO/RPs) may be required. We report here our systematic kinetic study of the four major AO/RP radiolysis species, oxidizing hydroxyl (·OH) and sulfate (SO 4 −· ) radicals and reducing hydrated electron (e aq − ) and hydrogen atoms (H · ) with five HANs (mono-, di-, and trichloroacetonitriles and mono- and dibromoacetonitriles) in water measured using electron pulse radiolysis techniques. At ambient temperatures and pH 1−7, significant reactivity was found for e aq − ( k = (1−5) × 10 10 M −1 s −1 ) and H · atoms ( k = (1 − 40 × 10 7 M −1 s −1 ), but only minimal oxidation by ·OH ( k = (0.6−10) × 10 7 M −1 s −1 ) and SO 4 −· ( k = (0.2−4) × 10 6 M −1 s −1 ) occurred. These data suggest that the large-scale AO/RP treatment of these contaminants will be effective for deaerated reducing systems, where the reductive electron-induced degradation of HANs will occur.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Evaluating the factors influencing accuracy, interpretability, and reproducibility in the use of machine learning classifiers in biology to enable standardization

The complexity and variability of biological data has promoted the increased use of machine learning methods to understand processes and predict outcomes. These same features complicate reliable, reproducible, interpretable, and responsible use of such methods, resulting in questionable relevance of the derived. outcomes. Here we systematically explore challenges associated with applying machine learning to predict and understand biological processes using a well- characterized in vitro experimental system. We evaluated factors that vary while applying machine learning classifers: (1) type of biochemical signature (transcripts vs. proteins), (2) data curation methods (pre- and post-processing), and (3) choice of machine learning classifier. Using accuracy, generalizability, interpretability, and reproducibility as metrics, we found that the above factors significantly mod- ulate outcomes even within a simple model system. Our results caution against the unregulated use of machine learning methods in the biological sciences, and strongly advocate the need for data standards and validation tool-kits for such studies.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Lattice misorientation evolution and grain refinement in Al-Si alloys under high-strain shear deformation

The starting microstructure of an alloy can be tailored to achieve varying degrees of microstructural refinement and enhance mechanical properties through severe plastic shear deformation during solid-phase processing. Crystal plasticity-based grain misorientation modeling, coupled with systematic pin-on-disk tribometry-based subsurface shear deformation experiments on as-cast Al-xSi alloys (x = 0, 1, 4 at %), was conducted. The post-deformation microstructural analysis, through a combined computational and experimental approach, conclusively shows that the initial volume fraction of the hard Si phase enhances the evolution of local lattice misorientation, leading to efficient grain refinement during severe plastic shear deformation. The shear–deformation-induced nanostructure resulted in more than double the nanoindentation hardness in the processed alloy.

Gwalani, Bharat↗

DOE OSTI2025

Efficient Perovskite Solar Cells Achieved via Rapid Photonic Annealing of all Stacking Layers: Unveiling the Crystallization Energy Window

In this study, we report high-performance perovksite solar cells (PSCs) with rapid photonic annealing (RPA) of all stacking layers, enabled by ultraviolet (UV) light-emitting diode (LED) sources, to replace lengthy and energy-intensive thermal annealing (TA). The UV-LED annealing technique allows for layer-specific annealing, where the selected light source provides a precise UV wavelength for maximizing the amount of light absorption by the target layer. The disparity in optical absorption between the target layer and the underlying films allows the stack of the underlying films to remain relatively unaffected, making this process ideal for heating sensitive substrates. Along with a systematic investigation into the layer-specific annealing mechanism of RPA, the results demonstrated that this UV-LED-based photonic annealing of all stacking layers (7 s for perovskite absorber) can produce PSCs with the power conversion efficiency (PCE) of over 23%, the highest reported among optically annealed PSCs. Moreover, the RPA device retains over 80% of the initial PCE over 1000 h under continuous 1 sun illumination at 55 °C and 30%–60% relative humidity (RH), while TA control device drops to 50% of its initial efficiency. Furthermore, these findings represent significant strides toward achieving rapid, cost-effective, and scalable manufacturing of commercial perovskite photovoltaics (PV).

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

The influence of cooling rates on strain phase diagrams and domain structures of ferroelectric thin films: A case study of PbTiO 3

Strain engineering has been established as an effective approach to control phase equilibria, domain configurations, and functional properties of ferroelectric thin films. Temperature-strain phase diagrams have been used as powerful tools for providing insights into strain engineering. However, almost all existing phase diagrams established using the phase-field approach assume quenching conditions without considering actual cooling rates during the post-deposition annealing process of ferroelectric thin films. Within this work, we systematically investigate the influence of cooling rates on domain structures and the strain-phase diagram of ferroelectric thin films using phase-field simulations, taking PbTiO 3 thin films as a model system. We found that both the position of phase boundaries in the strain phase diagrams and the domain morphology are significantly influenced by the cooling rates. It is revealed that while the paraelectric-ferroelectric phase boundary remains invariant, the phase boundaries between single-phase and multi-phase regions tend to shift toward the corresponding multi-phase region as the cool rate reduces. Slow cooling generally leads to more ordered domain structures with increased domain size. Using the obtained equilibrium domain structures, we calculated effective thermal conductivities and found significant variations that can be tuned by the cooling rates. In conclusion, this work reveals an underexplored yet critical impact of cooling rates on phase equilibria and domain structures in ferroelectric thin films, which may inspire further fine-tuning of domains and domain walls in low-dimensional ferroelectrics for multifunctional applications.

Domain structures↗

DOE OSTI2023

A scalable framework for quantifying field-level agricultural carbon outcomes

Agriculture contributes nearly a quarter of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, which is motivating interest in adopting certain farming practices that have the potential to reduce GHG emissions or sequester carbon in soil. The related GHG emission (including N 2 O and CH 4 ) and changes in soil carbon stock are defined here as “agricultural carbon outcomes”. Accurate quantification of agricultural carbon outcomes is the basis for achieving emission reductions for agriculture, but existing approaches for measuring carbon outcomes (including direct measurements, emission factors, and process-based modeling) fall short of achieving the required accuracy and scalability necessary to support credible, verifiable, and cost-effective measurement and improvement of these carbon outcomes. Here we propose a foundational and scalable framework to quantify field-level carbon outcomes for farmland, which is based on the holistic carbon balance of the agroecosystem: Agroecosystem Carbon Outcomes = Environment (E) × Management (M) × Crop (C). Following a comprehensive review of the scientific challenges associated with existing approaches, as well as their tradeoffs between cost and accuracy, we propose that the most viable path for the quantification of field-level carbon outcomes in agricultural land is through an effective integration of various approaches (e.g. diverse observations, sensor/in-situ data, and modeling), defined as the “System-of-Systems” solution. Such a “System-of-Systems” solution should simultaneously comprise the following components: (1) scalable collection of ground truth data and cross-scale sensing of environment variables (E), management practices (M), and crop conditions (C) at the local field level; (2) advanced modeling with necessary processes to support the quantification of carbon outcomes; (3) systematic Model-Data Fusion (MDF), i.e. robust and efficient methods to integrate sensing data and models at each local farmland level; (4) high computation efficiency and artificial intelligence (AI) to scale to millions of individual fields with low cost; and (5) robust and multi-tier validation systems and infrastructures to ensure solution fidelity and true scalability, i.e. the ability of a solution to perform robustly with accepted accuracy on all targeted fields. In this regard, we provide here the detailed scientific rationale, current progress, and future research and development (R&D) priorities to achieve different components of the “System-of-Systems” solution, thus accomplishing the Environment×Management×Crop framework to quantify field-level agricultural carbon outcomes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Liquid to crystal Si growth simulation using machine learning force field

Machine learning force field (ML-FF) has emerged as a potential promising approach to simulate various material phenomena for large systems with ab initio accuracy. However, most ML-FFs have been used to study the phenomena relatively close to the equilibrium ground states. In this work, we have studied a far from equilibrium system of liquid to crystal Si growth using ML-FF. Here, we found that our ML-FF based on ab initio decomposed atomic energy can reproduce all the aspects of ab initio simulated growth, from local energy fluctuations to transition temperatures, to diffusion constant, and growth rates. We have also compared the growth simulation with the Stillinger-Weber classical force field and found significant differences. A procedure is also provided to correct a systematic fitting bias in the ML-FF training process, which exists in all training models, otherwise critical results like transition temperature will be wrong.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2024

On-demand fabrication of piezoelectric sensors for in-space structural health monitoring

Abstract Inflatable structures, promising for future deep space exploration missions, are vulnerable to damage from micrometeoroid and orbital debris impacts. Polyvinylidene fluoride-trifluoroethylene (PVDF-trFE) is a flexible, biocompatible, and chemical-resistant material capable of detecting impact forces due to its piezoelectric properties. This study used a state-of-the-art material extrusion system that has been validated for in-space manufacturing, to facilitate fast-prototyping of consistent and uniform PVDF-trFE films. By systematically investigating ink synthesis, printer settings, and post-processing conditions, this research established a comprehensive understanding of the process-structure-property relationship of printed PVDF-trFE. Consequently, this study consistently achieved the printing of PVDF-trFE films with a thickness of around 40 µ m, accompanied by an impressive piezoelectric coefficient of up to 25 pC N −1 . Additionally, an all-printed dynamic force sensor, featuring a sensitivity of 1.18 V N −1 , was produced by mix printing commercial electrically-conductive silver inks with the customized PVDF-trFE inks. This pioneering on-demand fabrication technique for PVDF-trFE films empowers future astronauts to design and manufacture piezoelectric sensors while in space, thereby significantly enhancing the affordability and sustainability of deep space exploration missions.

Instruments & Instrumentation↗

DOE OSTI2025

Anode sensitivity calibration of photomultiplier tubes used as a readout of the ELOSS detector

We present and discuss the methodology and results for an anode sensitivity calibration of Photomultiplier Tubes (PMTs) that serve as the optical readout of the Energy Loss Optical Scintillation System (ELOSS). The ELOSS detector, under development at the Facility for Rare Isotope Beams (FRIB), is a gaseous Xe scintillation-based detector designed to identify the atomic number (Z) of nuclear reaction fragments by energy-loss measurement. Variation in the anode sensitivity from tube to tube of commercially available PMTs limits ELOSS from reaching its ultimate Z resolution. A methodical approach to calibrating PMT anode sensitivities to a single target value by systematic PMT gain corrections is presented. Although the calibration process is discussed in terms of its impact on ELOSS performance, the presented method is applicable to any optical detector system composed of a large number of PMTs needing anode sensitivity calibration.

Instrumentation for heavy-ion accelerators↗