Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “change management”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 253 records · Page 14

Using Satellite‐Derived Fire Arrival Times for Coupled Wildfire‐Air Quality Simulations at Regional Scales of the 2020 California Wildfire Season

Abstract Wildfire frequency has increased in the Western US over recent decades, driven by climate change and a legacy of forest management practices. Consequently, human structures, health, and life are increasingly at risk due to wildfires. Furthermore, wildfire smoke presents a growing hazard for regional and national air quality. In response, many scientific tools have been developed to study and forecast wildfire behavior, or test interventions that may mitigate risk. In this study, we present a retrospective analysis of 1 month of the 2020 Northern California wildfire season, when many wildfires with varying environments and behavior impacted regional air quality. We simulated this period using a coupled numerical weather prediction model with online atmospheric chemistry, and compare two approaches to representing smoke emissions: an online fire spread model driven by remotely sensed fire arrival times and a biomass burning emissions inventory. First, we quantify the differences in smoke emissions and timing of fire activity, and characterize the subsequent impact on estimates of smoke emissions. Next, we compare the simulated smoke to surface observations and remotely sensed smoke; we find that despite differences in the simulated smoke surface concentrations, the two models achieve similar levels of accuracy. We present a detailed comparison between the performance and relative strengths of both approaches, and discuss potential refinements that could further improve future simulations of wildfire smoke. Finally, we characterize the interactions between smoke and meteorology during this event, and discuss the implications that increases in regional smoke may have on future meteorological conditions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Biogeochemical and community ecology responses to the wetting of non-perennial streams

Transitions between dry and wet hydrologic states are the defining characteristic of non-perennial rivers and streams, which constitute the majority of the global river network. Although past work has focused on stream drying characteristics, there has been less focus on how hydrology, ecology and biogeochemistry respond and interact during stream wetting. Wetting mechanisms are highly variable and can range from dramatic floods and debris flows to gradual saturation by upwelling groundwater. This variation in wetting affects ecological and biogeochemical functions, including nutrient processing, sediment transport and the assembly of biotic communities. Here, in this work, we synthesize evidence describing the hydrological mechanisms underpinning different types of wetting regimes, the associated biogeochemical and organismal responses, and the potential scientific and management implications for downstream ecosystems. This combined multidisciplinary understanding of wetting dynamics in non-perennial streams will be key to predicting and managing for the effects of climate change on non-perennial ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Defect formation and microstructure tuning via proton irradiation to control electrochemical and phase reversibility in layered battery materials

The reversibility of phase transformation influences the functionality of electrode materials in batteries. In many battery materials, nanosized grains favor phase reversibility but at the cost of cyclability due to aggravated side reactions with the electrolyte. Here, in this study, we present a novel approach to enhance the phase transformation reversibility of layered oxide cathodes, exemplified by Na 2/3 Fe 1/2 Mn 1/2 O 2 through proton irradiation. In addition to forming defects, proton irradiation at sufficiently high doses can subdivide single grains into multiple nanodomains without physically rupturing them. Hence, the single grains of the material assume a pseudo-secondary particle nature without reducing the overall grain size. Preserving the grain size is advantageous, as it reduces side reactions, which is not possible with conventional grain size reduction methods. While chemical transformations and defect formation induced through proton irradiation can influence the stability of battery materials, it is expected that structural reorganization due to cycling-induced phase transformation will be contained within these nanodomains. Such confinement of phase transformation is potentially responsible for enhancing the reversibility of layered oxide materials in our study. Thus, our study suggests that grain subdivision could become an effective microstructure tuning strategy for managing electrochemical cycling-induced phase changes in battery electrodes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

A novel construct for scaling groundwater–river interactions based on machine-guided hydromorphic classification

Hydrologic exchange between river channels and adjacent subsurface environments is a key process that influences water quality and ecosystem function in river corridors. Predictive numerical models are needed to understand responses of river corridors to environmental change and to support sustainable watershed management. We posit that systematic hydromorphic classification provides a scaling construct that facilitates extrapolation of outputs from local-scale mechanistic models to reduced-order models applicable at reach and watershed scales. This in turn offers the potential to improve large-scale predictions of river corridor hydrobiogeochemical processes. Here we present a new machine-guided hydromorphic classification methodology that addresses the key requirements of this objective, and we demonstrate its application to a segment of the Columbia River in the northwestern United States. The resulting hydromorphic classes form spatially coherent and physically interpretable hydromorphic units that exhibit distinct behaviors in terms of distributions of subsurface residence times (a primary control on critical biogeochemical reactions). This approach forms the basis of ongoing research that is evaluating the formulation of reduced-order models and transferability of results to other river reaches and larger scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Quantifying Energy Justice Goals in the Power Sector: Developing and Using Metrics

New policy goals are explicitly guiding the future grid toward greater energy equity. At the same time, policy goals also guide the grid toward decarbonization and resilience, while maintaining cost, security, and reliability cornerstone requirements. In conclusion, these pressures create a dilemma: moving urgently to address climate change and respond to energy disruptions, but also slowly to engage communities on the climate frontlines in earnest.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

The dynamic nature of risk in DOE facilities in the surveillance and maintenance program–with observations for risk communications

Here, we explore three case studies of facilities at two US Department of Energy (DOE) former nuclear weapons research and production sites—the Oak Ridge National Laboratory and the Hanford site—whose risk profiles have changed during their long-term management under the DOE's surveillance and maintenance (S&M) program. These case studies provide examples of the challenges faced in communicating to external stakeholders, such as federal and state regulators, local communities surrounding the site, as well as the general public, the circumstances surrounding unexpected events or the emergence/discovery of new risk-important information at historically high-risk sites. We identify common topics of importance from these case studies and suggest a taxonomy for risk communicators to use in informing the dialogues with individuals and organizations that may not be technically oriented or fully informed on the subject matter. The taxonomy is based on technical insights from the quintessential definition of risk known as the Kaplan–Garrick “risk triplet” as well as insights from regulatory guidance documents on risk communication with external stakeholders originally developed for the commercial nuclear power industry.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Global decline in ocean memory over the 21st century

Ocean memory, the persistence of ocean conditions, is a major source of predictability in the climate system beyond weather time scales. We show that ocean memory, as measured by the year-to-year persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies, is projected to steadily decline in the coming decades over much of the globe. This global decline in ocean memory is predominantly driven by shoaling of the upper-ocean mixed layer depth in response to global surface warming, while thermodynamic and dynamic feedbacks can contribute substantially regionally. As the mixed layer depth shoals, stochastic forcing becomes more effective in driving sea surface temperature anomalies, increasing high-frequency noise at the expense of persistent signals. Reduced ocean memory results in shorter lead times of skillful persistence-based predictions of sea surface thermal conditions, which may present previously unknown challenges for predicting climate extremes and managing marine biological resources under climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

2019 Megasun Illumination System. Modifications and Operating Procedure Updates [Slides]

The original operating procedure was nearly 20 years old, though it was on a semi-annual review schedule. Some electrical categories had changed, as well as their risk management assessments. The IWD did not reflect these updated guidelines. No injuries have been reported during nearly 20 years of operation (not a bad record), however, several abnormal conditions came to surface during our Hazard Analysis conversations. One of which included an oil based capacitor malfunction which cracked it’s housing and leaked oil within the 2001 system. Our training and qualifications were updated to reflect LANL’s current standards.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Rapidly Viable Sustained Grid

Rapid recovery of power flow, possibly after a blackout, is a crucial need arising in scenarios that are increasingly becoming more frequent; here, solutions for rapid viability of power while the grid is being restored are urgently needed to keep critical infrastructure (CI) online. Increasingly, after the initial recovery phase, sustenance of reliable power requires assistive services to the grid for long periods of time. Even though the need is urgent, there is only sparse effort present toward a comprehensive framework/strategy for making power rapidly viable with an emphasis on sustained grid ancillary services; which is the focus of this proposal. The proposed concept envisions four phases. In the first phase, when a large portion of power is disrupted (see Figure 1(a)), emphasis is on bringing CI online with the objective of maximizing the time horizon of power viability using resources available at the CI. In the second phase (Figure 1(b)), neighborhood resources are tightly coordinated that forms the CI’s central-core (CC) to provide guaranteed viability of CI over a longer horizon. In the third phase, self-organizing power networks are expanded in a distributed layer supporting the central-core (Figure 1(c)). In the fourth phase, separate CI-networks coalesce and are controlled in a coordinated fashion to provide grid ancillary services (AS), such as primary frequency control and enhancing grid resiliency. With time, system efficiencies and penetration of renewables increase, while the time-horizon of guaranteed sustenance of CI is maximized. Under proposed work, the concept will be instantiated with a focus on medical centers as CI. Comprehensive power hardware in the loop strategies and emulated field tests will guide and validate devised solutions. A strong T2M effort to commercialize resulting technology is outlined. The proposed technology will be transformative for the grid. It will fundamentally change the way large contingencies are managed where power systems and critical infrastructure transition from being fragile to being robust using intelligent, self-organizing control for coordinating resources, enhanced resiliency and use of sustainable energy sources.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Nuclear Criticality Safety Fundamentals [Slides]

Objectives: Become more familiar with concepts related to nuclear criticality and nuclear criticality safety; Understand the parameters that affect criticality and ways in which they can be changed; and, Understand the role workers, management, and NCS staff have in ensuring criticality safety.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

MLOps for Beam Controls

Machine learning operations (MLOps) is the standardization and streamlining of the ML development lifecycle to address the challenges associated with large-scale machine learning applications. The full MLOps pipeline consists of open-source tools: DataHub, MinIO and MLflow. It is being used for dataset management and model development to handle changing data dependencies, varying business needs, reproducibility, and diverse teams working with differing tools and skills. To demonstrate the completion of an MLOps pipeline for particle accelerator operations, we are deploying a simple script that computes settings for the Booster’s gradient magnet power supply. Once the demonstration is complete, we will develop and deploy ML-based optimization algorithms to improve Booster’s overall efficiency. This MLOps pipeline opens the gate to systematically develop and deploy ML applications for accelerator controls and diagnostics.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Carbon optimized production of 3-hydroxypropionic acid in the Agile BioFoundry organism Rhodosporidium toruloides

The modern global economy relies heavily on carbon-based products that are derived from petroleum, which presents sustainability, resource management, and greenhouse gas exacerbated climate change challenges. Due to these challenges, there is the need for a global industrial transition towards green and sustainable production. Microbial production of valuable chemicals from renewable biomass represents one promising route. However, high-volume low-value products such as commodity chemicals are still difficult to make profitable. One fundamental bottleneck is a waste of more than 1/3 of the feedstock carbon as CO 2 in the fermentation process. Here the project focuses on fundamentally reconfiguring the metabolism to reduce CO 2 loss in central metabolic pathways thereby also improving bioproduct yields. Here we present technologies to prevent CO 2 loss and balance reducing equivalents within the cell to enable complete conversion of glucose from renewable feedstocks into bioproducts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

TES: Modelling Microbes to Predict Post-Fire Carbon Cycling in the Boreal Forest across Burn Severities (Exploratory Proposal)

Wildfires in boreal ecosystems represent a globally significant ecological process that is expected to be sensitive to changing climate as well as forest management strategies, but is currently insufficiently understood and represented in models. We sought to determine whether linking belowground microbial community composition, size, and activity to aboveground properties of burn severity and plant community composition (upland jack pine and upland spruce) would allow us to better model post-fire soil CO 2 fluxes using the Carbon, Organisms, Rhizosphere and Protection in the Soil Environment (CORPSE) model. We used an integrated modelling experimental approach, with mechanistic laboratory experiments designed to inform models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

MLOps for Beam Controls

Machine learning operations (MLOps) is the standardization and streamlining of the ML development lifecycle to address the challenges associated with large-scale machine learning applications. The full MLOps pipeline consists of open-source tools: DataHub, MinIO and MLflow. It is being used for dataset management and model development to handle changing data dependencies, varying business needs, reproducibility, and diverse teams working with differing tools and skills. To demonstrate the completion of an MLOps pipeline for particle accelerator operations, we are deploying a simple script that computes settings for the Booster’s gradient magnet power supply. Once the demonstration is complete, we will develop and deploy ML-based optimization algorithms to improve Booster’s overall efficiency. This MLOps pipeline opens the gate to systematically develop and deploy ML applications for accelerator controls and diagnostics.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

MLOps for Beam Controls

Machine learning operations (MLOps) is the standardization and streamlining of the ML development lifecycle to address the challenges associated with large-scale machine learning applications. The full MLOps pipeline consists of open-source tools: DataHub, MinIO and MLflow. It is being used for dataset management and model development to handle changing data dependencies, varying business needs, reproducibility, and diverse teams working with differing tools and skills. To demonstrate the completion of an MLOps pipeline for particle accelerator operations, we are deploying a simple script that computes settings for the Booster’s gradient magnet power supply. Once the demonstration is complete, we will develop and deploy ML-based optimization algorithms to improve Booster’s overall efficiency. This MLOps pipeline opens the gate to systematically develop and deploy ML applications for accelerator controls and diagnostics.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Stand and environmental conditions drive functional shifts associated with mesophication in eastern US forests

There is a growing body of evidence that mesic tree species are increasing in importance across much of the eastern US. This increase is often observed in tandem with a decrease in the abundance and importance of species considered to be better adapted to disturbance and drier conditions (e.g., Quercus species). Concern over this transition is related to several factors, including the potential that this transition is self-reinforcing (termed “mesophication”), will result in decreased resiliency of forests to a variety of disturbances, and may negatively impact ecosystem functioning, timber value, and wildlife habitat. Evidence for shifts in composition provide broad-scale support for mesophication, but we lack information on the fine-scale factors that drive the associated functional changes. Understanding this variability is particularly important as managers work to develop site-and condition-specific management practices to target stands or portions of the landscape where this transition is occurring or is likely to occur in the future. To address this knowledge gap and identify forests that are most susceptible to mesophication (which we evaluate as a functional shift to less drought or fire tolerant, or more shade tolerant, forests), we used data from the USDA Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis program to determine what fine-scale factors impact the rate (change through time) and degree (difference between the overstory and midstory) of change in eastern US forests. We found that mesophication varies along stand and environmental gradients, but this relationship depended on the functional trait examined. For example, shade and drought tolerance suggest mesophication is greatest at sites with more acidic soils, while fire tolerance suggests mesophication increases with soil pH. Mesophication was also generally more pronounced in older stands, stands with more variable diameters, and in wetter sites, but plots categorized as “hydric” were often highly variable. Our results provide evidence that stand-scale conditions impact current and potential future changes in trait conditions and composition across eastern US forests. We provide a starting point for managers looking to prioritize portions of the landscape most at risk and developing treatments to address the compositional and functional changes associated with mesophication.

Woodbridge, Margaret↗

Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning

Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing humanity, and we, as machine learning (ML) experts, may wonder how we can help. Here we describe how ML can be a powerful tool in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and helping society adapt to a changing climate. From smart grids to disaster management, we identify high impact problems where existing gaps can be filled by ML, in collaboration with other fields. Our recommendations encompass exciting research questions as well as promising business opportunities. We call on the ML community to join the global effort against climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Projecting spatiotemporally explicit effects of climate change on stream temperature: A model comparison and implications for coldwater fishes

Conservation planners and resource managers seek information about how the availability and locations of cold-water habitats will change in the future and how these predictions vary among models. In this work, we used a physical process-based model to demonstrate the implications of climate change for streamflow and water temperature in two watersheds with distinctive flow regimes: the Snoqualmie watershed (WA) and Siletz watershed (OR), USA. Our model incorporated a downscaled ensemble of global climate model outputs and was calibrated with in situ and remotely sensed water temperatures. Furthermore, we compared predictions from our processed-based model to those from a publicly available and widely used statistical model. The process-based model projected greater changes in summer maximum water temperatures for the mixed-rain-snow Snoqualmie watershed than for the rain-dominated Siletz watershed as a result of the near-complete loss of winter snowpack and significant reduction in summer flow in the Snoqualmie watershed expected by the 2080s. Both models projected generally similar future spatial patterns of maximum water temperature in the two rivers, with cool reaches distributed farther upstream and fewer in number. However, the process-based model projected higher spatial heterogeneity in water temperature due to our spatially explicit simulation of streamflow and because we calibrated the model with spatially continuous remotely sensed water temperature data. We used stream temperature projections to assess the vulnerability of Pacific salmon and trout to changes in the spatial distribution of cold-water habitats during August by the 2080s. Results suggest that salmonids may have fewer summertime cold-water habitats in both watersheds. Projected stream warming may further limit particular species and life stages, especially in the Snoqualmie watershed. Our comparison of models highlights the importance of considering what might be gained by using a process-based model for evaluating and prioritizing management actions that mitigate climate impacts on cold-water habitats for stream fishes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗