Cost modeling for low-cost planetary missions
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This presentation will provide an overview of the JPL parametric cost models used to estimate flight science spacecrafts and instruments. This material will emphasize the cost model approaches to estimate low-cost flight hardware, sensors, and instrumentation, and to perform cost-risk assessments. This presentation will also discuss JPL approaches to perform cost modeling and the methodologies and analyses used to capture low-cost vs. key cost drivers.
In this paper, we describe the elements of a semi-autonomous system designed to provide instrument health, pointing, and data in a cost effective fashion.
Astrobiology flight experiments require highly sensitive instrumentation for in situ analysis of volatile chemical species and minerals present in the atmospheres and surfaces of planets, moons, and asteroids. The complex mixtures encountered place a heavy burden on the analytical instrumentation to detect and identify all species present. The use of land rovers and balloon aero-rovers place additional emphasis on miniaturization of the analytical instrumentation. In addition, smaller instruments, using tiny amounts of consumables, allow the use of more instrumentation and/or ionger mission life for stationary landers/laboratories. The miniCometary Ice and Dust Experiment (miniCIDEX), which combined Gas Chromatography (GC) with helium Ion Mobility Spectrometry (IMS), was capable of providing the wide range of analytical information required for Astrobiology missions. The IMS used here was based on the PCP model 111 IMS. A similar system, the Titan Ice and Dust Experiment (TIDE), was proposed as part of the Titan Orbiter Aerorover Mission (TOAM). Newer GC systems employing Micro Electro- Mechanical System (MEMS) based technology have greatly reduced both the size and resource requirements for space GCs. These smaller GCs, as well as the continuing miniaturization of Astrobiology analytical instruments in general, has highlighted the need for smaller, dry helium IMS systems. We describe here the development of a miniature, MEMS GC-IMS system (MEMS GC developed by Thorleaf Research Inc.), employing the MiniCell Ion Mobility Spectrometer (IMS), from Ion Applications Inc., developed through NASA's Astrobiology Science and Technology Instrument Development (ASTID) Program and NASA s Small Business Innovative Research (SBIR) Program.
This paper explores the uses of planar, simple-periodic symmetrical families of orbits in mission designs in the Earth-Moon system. This classification is defined as the planar periodic orbits that pierce the x-axis in the rotating frame exactly twice per orbit where each piercing is orthogonal to the x-axis. A continuation method has been used to explore several families of this class of orbit in the Earth-Moon restricted three-body system. The invariant manifolds of the unstable orbits in each of these families are then produced and several mission designs are discussed that take advantage of these manifolds. Focus is given to mission designs that implement resonant orbits that periodically fly by the moon.
An algorithm improves the accuracy with which a lander can be delivered to the surface of Mars. The main idea behind this innovation is the use of a lossless convexification, which converts an otherwise non-convex constraint related to thruster throttling to a convex constraint, enabling convex optimization to be used. The convexification leads directly to an algorithm that guarantees finding the global optimum of the original nonconvex optimization problem with a deterministic upper bound on the number of iterations required for convergence. In this innovation, previous work in powered-descent guidance using convex optimization is extended to handle the case where the lander must get as close as possible to the target given the available fuel, but is not required to arrive exactly at the target. The new algorithm calculates the minimum-fuel trajectory to the target, if one exists, and calculates the trajectory that minimizes the distance to the target if no solution to the target exists. This approach poses the problem as two Second-Order Cone Programs, which can be solved to global optimality with deterministic bounds on the number of iterations required.
Goals:(A) Develop data products that support decision making for coupled, multi-opportunity EDL/Mobility problems: (1) Site-specific decisions (2) Site selection motivated quantitative comparisons between different sites. (B) Provide an mission analysis/study tool for: (1) Systematic tradeoff between EDL and Mobility (2) Determining the relationship between selected Figure-of-Merits and key mission & system parameters
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Autonomous onboard processing of data allows rapid response to detections of dynamic, changing processes. Software that can detect volcanic eruptions from thermal emission has been used to retask the Earth Observing 1 spacecraft to obtain additional data of the eruption. Rapid transmission of these data to the ground, and the automatic processing of the data to generated images, estimates of eruption parameters and maps of thermal structure, has allowed these products to be delivered rapidly to volcanologists to aid them in assessing eruption risk and hazard. Such applications will enhance science return from future Earth-orbiting spacecraft and also from spacecraft exploring the Solar System, or beyond, which hope to image dynamic processes. Especially in the latter case, long communication times between the spacecraft and Earth exclude a rapid response to what may be a transient process - only using onboard autonomy can the spacecraft react quickly to such an event.
Since these techniques are very new and as they have never been used or this purpose. they will need to be replicated by several independent studies. These techniques may be very important if the optical imaging encounters difficulties, for example, if a sample is made of very dark or monochromatic material and in the case of very deep pits (>500 microns) Based on the preliminary results, the LIBS continuum technique is more appropriate to the large pits produced by long ablations The relationship may work best homogeneous samples, but the continuum is collected with every LIBS analysis so does not require any addition to the experimental suite of techniques. The integration of a QCMB in the ablation chamber may be a very interesting solution to determine the ablated mass. Even if it only measures a fraction of the total mass, its sensitivity should be able to weigh hundreds of nanograms accumulated on the crystal during ablation and relate it to the actual ablated mass. In the future. these options may help in situ K-Ar dating to give the age of the rock with the best accuracy and precision.
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The aim of this study is to give the next Decadal Survey panel a viable alternative or addition to samplereturn missions to accomplish longstanding geochronology goals within a New Frontiers envelope.
Advances in deployable entry vehicle (DEV) technology, entry guidance, woven thermal protection systems, and affordable launch services make it possible to conceive of entry vehicles that optimize maneuverability, usable payload mass and volume, and operational costs. NASA's Space Technology Mission Directorate is currently funding the authors on a project, Pterodactyl, that is using on-the-fly trajectory design and integrated software and hardware development to investigate non-propulsive entry control systems for precision targeting of mechanical DEVs. The authors recently reported developments of these control systems for an asymmetric DEV to track bank commands for a lunar return entry. For this presentation, the authors will highlight key findings from their studies and propose rapid investigations of applications to future Mars missions such as sample return and asset delivery. Pterodactyl entry vehicle designs are suited to handle sensitive payloads and poised to achieve greater payload mass and volume compared to heritage entry vehicles given a particular launch vehicle. Furthermore, these designs could be adapted to launch on less costly launch vehicles as secondary payloads and could enable missions with high-frequency deployment requirements.
This white paper presents an assessment of control systems as it relates to state-of-the-art hypersonic entry vehicles and addresses technological advances that enable new control systems for future hypersonic entry vehicles. Advancements in deployable entry vehicle (DEV) technology, entry guidance, woven thermal protection systems, and affordable launch services make it possible to conceive of entry vehicles that optimize entry loads, maneuverability, usable payload mass and volume, and operational costs. NASA’s Space Technology Mission Directorate (STMD) is currently funding the authors on a project, Pterodactyl, that is using on-the-fly trajectory design and integrated software and hardware development to investigate non-propulsive entry control systems for precision targeting of mechanical DEVs. The authors recently reported key findings of these control systems for an asymmetric DEV to track bank commands for a lunar sample return entry.
Mercury holds unique clues to the distribution of elements at the birth of the solar system and how planets form and evolve in close proximity to their host stars. The Mercury Lander mission concept returns in situ measurements to: understand Mercury’s unique mineralogy and geochemistry; characterize the massive core’s structure; measure the planet’s active and ancient magnetic fields at the surface; investigate the processes that alter the surface and produce the exosphere; and provide groundtruth for remote datasets. The mission concept achieves one Mercury year (~88 Earth days) of surface operations with an 11-instrument, high-heritage payload delivered to a landing site within Mercury’s widely distributed low-reflectance material, and addresses science goals encompassing geochemistry, geophysics, the Mercury space environment, and geology. The spacecraft launches on an expendable SpaceX Falcon Heavy in 2035. The four-stage flight system uses a solar-electric propulsion cruise stage to reach Mercury in2045. The orbital stage brings the spacecraft into a thermally safe orbit, then performs orbital maneuvers to prepare for descent. During the orbital phase, a narrow-angle camera acquires images for selecting a low-hazard landing zone within our region of interest. The descent stage begins the braking burn ~120 s before landing. The lander continues to touchdown, using continuous LIDAR operations to support hazard detection and safely deliver the payload to the surface. Landing is at dusk to meet thermal requirements, permitting ~30 hours of sunlight for initial observations. The radioisotope-powered lander continues operations through the Mercury night. Direct-to-Earth communication is possible for the initial three weeks of landed operations, drops out for six weeks, and resumes for the final month. Thermal conditions exceed lander operating temperatures shortly after sunrise, ending operations. A total of ~11 GB of data are returned to Earth. The Phase A–D mission cost estimate (50% unencumbered reserves, excluding launch vehicle) is $1.2 B(FY25$), comparing favorably with past New Frontiers missions and to the cost cap in the New Frontiers4 call(~$1.1B FY25$). This cost estimate shows that a Mercury Lander mission is feasible and compelling as a New Frontiers-class mission in the coming decade.
Lithium Lorentz Force Accelerators (LFA's) are capable of processing very high power levels and are therefore applicable to a wide range of challenging missions. For this class of missions, the emphasis must be on achieving high efficiency at an Isp of 4000-5000s at power levels of 200-250 kWe. The engines must demonstrate very reliable operation for a service life of about 3000 hours.