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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 325 records · Page 18

Inferred Evidence for Dark Matter Kinematic Substructure with SDSS– Gaia

We use the distribution of accreted stars in Sloan Digital Sky Survey–Gaia DR2 to demonstrate that a nontrivial fraction of the dark matter halo within galactocentric radii of 7.5–10 kpc and $| z| \gt 2.5\,\mathrm{kpc}$ is in substructure and thus may not be in equilibrium. Using a mixture likelihood analysis, we separate the contributions of an old, isotropic stellar halo and a younger anisotropic population. The latter dominates and is uniform within the region studied. It can be explained as the tidal debris of a disrupted massive satellite on a highly radial orbit and is consistent with mounting evidence from recent studies. Simulations that track the tidal debris from such mergers find that the dark matter traces the kinematics of its stellar counterpart. If so, our results indicate that a component of the nearby dark matter halo that is sourced by luminous satellites is in kinematic substructure referred to as debris flow. These results challenge the Standard Halo Model, which is discrepant with the distribution recovered from the stellar data, and have important ramifications for the interpretation of direct detection experiments.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

$A^t_{FB}$ Meets LHC

The recent Tevatron measurement of the forward-backward asymmetry of the top quark shows an intriguing discrepancy with Standard Model expectations, particularly at large t{bar t} invariant masses. Measurements of this quantity are subtle at the LHC, due to its pp initial state, however, one can define a forward-central-charge asymmetry which captures the physics. We study the capability of the LHC to measure this asymmetry and find that within the SM a measurement at the 5{sigma} level is possible with roughly 60 fb{sup -1} at {radical}s = 14 TeV. If nature realizes a model which enhances the asymmetry (as is necessary to explain the Tevatron measurements), a significant difference from zero can be observed much earlier, perhaps even during early LHC running at {radical}s = 7 TeV. We further explore the capabilities of the 7 TeV LHC to discover resonances or contact interactions which modify the t{bar t} invariant mass distribution using recent boosted top tagging techniques. We find that TeV-scale color octet resonances can be discovered, even with small coupling strengths and that contact interactions can be probed at scales exceeding 6 TeV. Overall, the LHC has good potential to clarify the situation with regards to the Tevatron forward-backward measurement.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

A Novel Heat and Mass Transfer Model for Membrane-based Ionic Liquid Desiccant Air Dehumidifier

A numerical model is developed to predict and analyze the heat and mass transfer process of the membrane-based dehumidifier using liquid desiccant. Several mass transfer mechanisms of water vapor across the membrane are accounted for in this model to calculate the amount of permeated water vapor under various operating conditions based on the physical properties of the membrane and the liquid desiccant. This model is validated against experimental data available from the literature. The maximum discrepancy between the model-predicted results and the experimental data for air outlet temperature, solution outlet temperature, air outlet humidity ratio, and latent effectiveness are 3.38%, 2.7%, 4.3%, and 6.5%, respectively. It indicates that this model can be used to guide the design of the membrane-based dehumidifier to improve its performance.

Liu, Xiaobing↗

Preparing the Muon g-2 Calorimeters for Run 2

• Measure the magnetic anomaly of the muon to 140 parts per billion • Probe the difference between cyclotron and spin precession frequencies of positive muons in a highly uniform 1.45 T magnetic field • Will shed light on current ~3.7 standard deviation discrepancy between Standard Model calculations and best measurement to date (BNL E821)

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

A frequentist approach to computer model calibration

The paper considers the computer model calibration problem and provides a general frequentist solution. Under the framework proposed, the data model is semiparametric with a non-parametric discrepancy function which accounts for any discrepancy between physical reality and the computer model. In an attempt to solve a fundamentally important (but often ignored) identifiability issue between the computer model parameters and the discrepancy function, the paper proposes a new and identifiable parameterization of the calibration problem. It also develops a two-step procedure for estimating all the relevant quantities under the new parameterization. This estimation procedure is shown to enjoy excellent rates of convergence and can be straightforwardly implemented with existing software. For uncertainty quantification, bootstrapping is adopted to construct confidence regions for the quantities of interest. As a result, the practical performance of the methodology is illustrated through simulation examples and an application to a computational fluid dynamics model.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The Muon $g$-$2$ Experiment at Fermilab

A new measurement of the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon, $a_{\mu} \equiv (g-2)/2$, will be performed at the Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory with data taking beginning in 2017. The most recent measurement, performed at Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) and completed in 2001, shows a 3.5 standard deviation discrepancy with the standard model value of $a_\mu$. The new measurement will accumulate 21 times the BNL statistics using upgraded magnet, detector, and storage ring systems, enabling a measurement of $a_\mu$ to 140 ppb, a factor of 4 improvement in the uncertainty the previous measurement. This improvement in precision, combined with recent improvements in our understanding of the QCD contributions to the muon $g$-$2$, could provide a discrepancy from the standard model greater than 7$\sigma$ if the central value is the same as that measured by the BNL experiment, which would be a clear indication of new physics.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

The muon g-2 experiment at Fermilab

A new measurement of the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon, $a_{\mu} \equiv (g-2)/2$, will be performed at the Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory with data taking beginning in 2017. The most recent measurement, performed at Brookhaven National Laboratory and completed in 2001, shows a 3.5 standard deviation discrepancy with the standard model prediction of $a_\mu$. The new measurement will accumulate 21 times those statistics using upgraded detection and storage ring systems, enabling a measurement of $a_\mu$ to 140 ppb, a factor of 4 improvement in the uncertainty the previous measurement. This improvement in precision, combined with recent and ongoing improvements in the evaluation of the QCD contributions to the $a_\mu$, could provide a 7.5$\sigma$ discrepancy from the standard model if the current difference between experiment and theory is confirmed, a possible indication of new physics.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Quantifying the impacts of land surface schemes and dynamic vegetation on the model dependency of projected changes in surface energy and water budgets

Assessing and quantifying the uncertainties in projected future changes of energy and water budgets over land surface are important steps toward improving our confidence in climate change projections. In our study, the contribution of land surface models to the inter-GCM variation of projected future changes in land surface energy and water fluxes are assessed based on output from 19 global climate models (GCMs) and offline Community Land Model version 4 (CLM4) simulations driven by meteorological forcing from the 19 GCMs. Similar offline simulations using CLM4 with its dynamic vegetation submodel are also conducted to investigate how dynamic vegetation feedback, a process that is being added to more earth system models, may amplify or moderate the intermodel variations of projected future changes. Projected changes are quantified as the difference between the 2081–2100 period from the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) future experiment and the 1981–2000 period from the historical simulation. Under RCP8.5, projected changes in surface water and heat fluxes show a high degree of model dependency across the globe. Although precipitation is very likely to increase in the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, a high degree of model-related uncertainty exists for evapotranspiration, soil water content, and surface runoff, suggesting discrepancy among land surface models (LSMs) in simulating the surface hydrological processes and snow-related processes. Large model-related uncertainties for the surface water budget also exist in the Tropics including southeastern South America and Central Africa. Moreover, these uncertainties would be reduced in the hypothetical scenario of a single near-perfect land surface model being used across all GCMs, suggesting the potential to reduce uncertainties through the use of more consistent approaches toward land surface model development. Under such a scenario, the most significant reduction is likely to be seen in the Northern Hemisphere high latitudes. Including representation of vegetation dynamics is expected to further amplify the model-related uncertainties in projected future changes in surface water and heat fluxes as well as soil moisture content. This is especially the case in the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere (e.g., northwestern North America and central North Asia) where the projected vegetation changes are uncertain and in the Tropics (e.g., the Amazon and Congo Basins) where dense vegetation exists. Finally, findings from this study highlight the importance of improving land surface model parameterizations related to soil and snow processes, as well as the importance of improving the accuracy of dynamic vegetation models.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DEVELOPING ATMOSPHERIC RETRIEVAL METHODS FOR DIRECT IMAGING SPECTROSCOPY OF GAS GIANTS IN REFLECTED LIGHT. I. METHANE ABUNDANCES AND BASIC CLOUD PROPERTIES

Upcoming space-based coronagraphic instruments in the next decade will perform reflected light spectroscopy and photometry of cool directly imaged extrasolar giant planets. We are developing a new atmospheric retrieval methodology to help assess the science return and inform the instrument design for such future missions, and ultimately interpret the resulting observations. Our retrieval technique employs a geometric albedo model coupled with both a Markov chain Monte Carlo Ensemble Sampler ( emcee ) and a multimodal nested sampling algorithm ( MultiNest ) to map the posterior distribution. This combination makes the global evidence calculation more robust for any given model and highlights possible discrepancies in the likelihood maps. As a proof of concept, our current atmospheric model contains one or two cloud layers, methane as a major absorber, and a H{sub 2}–He background gas. This 6-to-9 parameter model is appropriate for Jupiter-like planets and can be easily expanded in the future. In addition to deriving the marginal likelihood distribution and confidence intervals for the model parameters, we perform model selection to determine the significance of methane and cloud detection as a function of expected signal-to-noise ratio in the presence of spectral noise correlations. After internal validation, the method is applied to realistic spectra of Jupiter, Saturn, and HD 99492c, a model observing target. We find that the presence or absence of clouds and methane can be determined with high confidence, while parameter uncertainties are model dependent and correlated. Such general methods will also be applicable to the interpretation of direct imaging spectra of cloudy terrestrial planets.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Muon g−2 and Galactic Centre γ-ray excess in a scalar extension of the 2HDM type-X

We consider an extension of the lepto-specific 2HDM with an extra singlet S as a dark matter candidate. Taking into account theoretical and experimental constraints, we investigate the possibility to address both the γ-ray excess detected at the Galactic Centre and the discrepancy between the Standard Model prediction and experimental results of the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon. Our analyses reveal that the SS→τ{sup +}τ{sup −} and SS→bb-bar channels reproduce the Galactic Centre excess, with an emerging dark matter candidate which complies with the bounds from direct detection experiments, measurements of the Higgs boson invisible decay width and observations of the dark matter relic abundance. Addressing the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon imposes further strong constraints on the model. Remarkably, under these conditions, the SS→bb-bar channel still allows for the fitting of the Galactic Centre. We also comment on a scenario allowed by the model where the SS→τ{sup +}τ{sup −} and SS→bb-bar channels have comparable branching ratios, which possibly yield an improved fitting of the Galactic Centre excess.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Combining multiple lower-fidelity models for emulating complex model responses for CCS environmental risk assessment

Numerical modeling is essential to support natural resource management and environmental policy-making. In the context of CO 2 geological sequestration, these models are indispensible parts of risk assessment tools. However, because of increasing complexity, modern numerical models require a great computational effort, which in some cases may be infeasible. An increasingly popular approach to overcome computational limitations is the use of surrogate models. This paper presents a new surrogate modeling approach to reduce the computational cost of running a complex, high-fidelity model. The approach is based on the simplification the high-fidelity model into computationally efficient, lower-fidelity models and on linking them with a mathematical function (linking function) that addresses the discrepancies between outputs from models with different levels of fidelity. The resulting linking function model, which can be developed with small computational effort, can be efficiently used in numerical applications where multiple runs of the original high-fidelity model are required, such as for uncertainty quantification or sensitivity analysis. The proposed approach was then applied to the development of a reduced order model for the prediction of groundwater quality impacts from CO 2 and brine leakage for the National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) project.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

FIRST EVIDENCE OF COEXISTING EIT WAVE AND CORONAL MORETON WAVE FROM SDO/AIA OBSERVATIONS

'EIT waves' are a globally propagating wavelike phenomenon. They were often interpreted as fast-mode magnetoacoustic waves in the corona, despite various discrepancies between the fast-mode wave model and observations. To reconcile these discrepancies, we suggested that 'EIT waves' are the apparent propagation of the plasma compression due to successive stretching of the magnetic field lines pushed by the erupting flux rope. According to this model, an EIT wave should be preceded by a fast-mode wave, which, however, had rarely been observed. With the unprecedented high cadence and sensitivity of the Solar Dynamics Observatory observations, we discern a fast-moving wave front with a speed of 560 km s{sup -1} ahead of an EIT wave, which had a velocity of {approx}190 km s{sup -1}, in the 'EIT wave' event on 2010 July 27. The results, suggesting that 'EIT waves' are not fast-mode waves, confirm the prediction of our field-line stretching model for an EIT wave. In particular, it is found that the coronal Moreton wave was {approx}3 times faster than the EIT wave, as predicted.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

The Primary and Recycling Sources of OH During the NACHTT-2011 Campaign: HONO as an Important OH Primary Source in the Wintertime

We present OH observation results during the NACHTT-11 field campaign at the Boulder Atmospheric Observatory in Weld County, Colorado. The observed OH levels during the daytime (at noon) were ~ 2.7 × 106 molecules cm-3 at the ground level (2 m above ground level, AGL). HONO and ozone photolysis were the two dominant photochemical OH production pathways during the field campaign. However, alkene ozonolysis, found an important source for OH by two previous winter season OH observations, was a minor contribution to OH primary production (~5 %). To evaluate recycling sources of OH from HO2 and RO2, an observation constrained University of Washington Chemical Mechanism (UWCM) box model is employed to simulated ambient OH levels with different model scenarios. For the base run without constraining observed HONO, the model simulated OH significantly underestimates the observed OH level (20.8 times in the morning and 7.2 times in the daytime). This indicates that the known HONO sources incorporated in the UWCM model cannot explain the observed HONO level. Once HONO is constrained by the observation, the discrepancy between observation and model simulation improves (5.1 times in the morning and 2.1 times in the daytime) but still out of the measurement uncertainty range (35 %). We explore two possible reasons for the observed unexplainably high wintertime OH levels. First, potential roles of Cl atoms produce organic peroxy radicals from the reactions between Cl atmos and alkane compounds. However, the Cl levels during the observation period are estimated very low (~ 103 atoms cm-3) to explain the enhanced OH levels. Second, Impacts of higher HONO levels on the ground was evaluated. Strong HONO gradient towards ground was observed especially during the early morning (6 am to 8 am) was observed and the lowest level available for the HONO observation during the campaign is 5 m AGL. Once we assume the twice of the observed HONO levels averaged between 5 m to 15 m at 2 m AGL, model predicted OH levels agree well within the observation uncertainty range. Wintertime photochemistry has not been investigated as much as the summer season. The results of this study along with a limited number of winter OH observations clearly urge further investigation on tropospheric oxidation capacity in the winter season considering implications of tropospheric oxidation capacity to the short-lived climate forcers especially methane.

Kim, S.↗

Phase Equilibria in the ZnO-“FeO”-SiO{sub 2} System in Reducing Atmosphere and in the ZnO-“FeO”-SiO{sub 2}-“Cu{sub 2}O” System in Equilibrium with Liquid Copper Metal at 1250 °C (1523 K)

Recent experimental studies in the ZnO-“FeO”-SiO{sub 2} system in reducing atmosphere demonstrated significant discrepancies with the current FactSage thermodynamic model developed using previous experimental data in this system in equilibrium with metallic iron and air. The present experimental study on phase equilibria in the ZnO-“FeO”-SiO{sub 2}-“Cu{sub 2}O” system in equilibrium with liquid copper at 1250 °C (1523 K) at low copper oxide concentrations in slag was initiated and undertaken to resolve these discrepancies. A high-temperature equilibration–rapid quenching–electron-probe X-ray microanalysis (EPMA) technique using a primary phase substrate support and closed system approach with Cu metal introduced to determine effective equilibrium oxygen partial pressure from the Cu{sub metal}/Cu{sub 2}O{sub slag} equilibria was applied to provide accurate information on the liquidus and corresponding solid compositions in the spinel, willemite, and tridymite primary phase fields. The present results confirmed the accuracy of the FactSage model, resolved discrepancies, and demonstrated significant uncertainties in the recent studies by other authors on the system in the open reducing atmosphere. The present study shows how this closed system approach can be used to obtain key thermodynamic data on phase equilibria in systems containing volatile metal species, overcoming the limitations and uncertainties encountered in conventional open gas/condensed phase equilibration with these systems. The study highlights the importance of the focus on obtaining accurate experimental data and the risks of misleading information from inadequate experimental control and analysis. The study also demonstrates that continuing in-depth critical review and analysis of the elemental reactions taking place in complex systems is an essential step in phase equilibrium research.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Deposition Velocity Modeling for Turbo FRMAC

The Federal Radiological Monitoring and Assessment Center (FRMAC) has two major assets it uses to perform it responsibilities for responding to a radiological emergency. These are the National Atmospheric Release Advisory Capability (NARAC) and Turbo FRMAC. Recently NARAC updated their deposition model to the state of the art Petroff and Zhang model leading to a significant discrepancy between these two assets in regards to deposition modeling. This report describes the investigation into an appropriate deposition model for Turbo FRMAC to bring the two assets back into line. The ultimate conclusion is that Petroff and Zhang is too complicated for Turbo FRMAC, but the model of Feng is not and is equal to Petroff and Zhang in predictive capability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Addressing Model Form Error for Time-Dependent Conservation Equations

Model form error of the type considered here is error due to an approximate or incorrect representation of physics by a computational model. Typical approaches to adjust a model based on observed differences between experiment and prediction are to calibrate the model parameters utilizing the observed discrepancies and to develop parameterized additive corrections to the model output. These approaches are generally not suitable if significant physics is missing from the model and the desired quantities of interest for an application are different than those used for calibration. The approach developed here is to build a corrected surrogate solver through a multi- step process: 1) Sampled simulation results are used to develop a surrogate computational solver that maintains the overall conservative principles of the unmodified governing equations, 2) the surrogate solver is applied to candidate linear and non-linear corrector terms to develop corrections that are consistent with the original conservative principles, 3) constant multipliers on the these terms are calibrated using the experimental observations, and 4) the resulting surrogate solver is used to predict application response for the quantity of interest. This approach and several other calibration-based approaches were applied to an example problem based on the diffusive Burgers' equation. While all the approaches provided some model correction when the measure/calibration quantity was the same as that for an application, only the present approach was able to adequately correct the CompSim results when the prediction quantity was different from the calibration quantity.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Understanding Building Infrastructure and Building Operation through DOE Asset Score Model: Lessons Learned from a Pilot Project

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) is developing a national voluntary energy asset score system to help building owners to evaluate the as-built physical characteristics (including building envelope, the mechanical and electrical systems) and overall building energy efficiency, independent of occupancy and operational choices. The energy asset score breaks down building energy use information by simulating building performance under typical operating and occupancy conditions for a given use type. A web-based modeling tool, the energy asset score tool facilitates the implementation of the asset score system. The tool consists of a simplified user interface built on a centralized simulation engine (EnergyPlus). It is intended to reduce both the implementation cost for the users and increase modeling standardization compared with an approach that requires users to build their own energy models. A pilot project with forty-two buildings (consisting mostly offices and schools) was conducted in 2012. This paper reports the findings. Participants were asked to collect a minimum set of building data and enter it into the asset score tool. Participants also provided their utility bills, existing ENERGY STAR scores, and previous energy audit/modeling results if available. The results from the asset score tool were compared with the building energy use data provided by the pilot participants. Three comparisons were performed. First, the actual building energy use, either from the utility bills or via ENERGY STAR Portfolio Manager, was compared with the modeled energy use. It was intended to examine how well the energy asset score represents a building’s system efficiencies, and how well it is correlated to a building’s actual energy consumption. Second, calibrated building energy models (where they exist) were used to examine any discrepancies between the asset score model and the pilot participant buildings’ [known] energy use pattern. This comparison examined the end use breakdowns and more detailed time series data. Third, ASHRAE 90.1 prototype buildings were also used as an industry standard modeling approach to test the accuracy level of the asset score tool. Our analysis showed that the asset score tool, which uses simplified building simulation, could provide results comparable to a more detailed energy model. The buildings’ as-built efficiency can be reflected in the energy asset score. An analysis between the modeled energy use through the asset score tool and the actual energy use from the utility bills can further inform building owners about the effectiveness of their building’s operation and maintenance.

Wang, Na↗

Three nucleon force effects in intermediate-energy deuteron analyzing powers for dp elastic scattering

A complete high precision set of deuteron analyzing powers for elastic deuteron-proton (dp) scattering at 250 MeV/nucleon (MeV/N) has been measured. The new data are presented together with data from previous measurements at 70, 100, 135 and 200 MeV/N. They are compared with the results of three-nucleon (3N) Faddeev calculations based on modern nucleon-nucleon (NN) potentials alone or combined with two models of three nucleon forces (3NFs): the Tucson-Melbourne 99 (TM99) and Urbana IX. At 250 MeV/N large discrepancies between pure NN models and data, which are not resolved by including 3NFs, were found at c.m. backward angles of {theta}{sub c.m.} > or approx. 120 deg. for almost all the deuteron analyzing powers. These discrepancies are quite similar to those found for the cross section at the same energy. We found small relativistic effects that cannot resolve the discrepancies with the data indicating that other, short-ranged 3NFs are required to obtain a proper description of the data.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗