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At least 343 records · Page 19

Quantile-dependent expressivity of postprandial lipemia

“Quantile-dependent expressivity” describes an effect of the genotype that depends upon the level of the phenotype (e.g., whether a subject’s triglycerides are high or low relative to its population distribution). Prior analyses suggest that the effect of a genetic risk score (GRS) on fasting plasma triglyceride levels increases with the percentile of the triglyceride distribution. Postprandial lipemia is well suited for testing quantile-dependent expressivity because it exposes each individual’s genotype to substantial increases in their plasma triglyceride concentrations. Ninety-seven published papers were identified that plotted mean triglyceride response vs. time and genotype, which were converted into quantitative data. Separately, for each published graph, standard least-squares regression analysis was used to compare the genotype differences at time t (dependent variable) to average triglyceride concentrations at time t (independent variable) to assess whether the genetic effect size increased in association with higher triglyceride concentrations and whether the phenomenon could explain purported genetic interactions with sex, diet, disease, BMI, and drugs.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Foam Fracturing Study for Stimulation Development of Enhanced Geothermal Systems

This is a final technical report for the project: Foam Fracturing Study for Stimulation Development of Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS). The goal is to demonstrate the feasibility of foam fracturing in EGS applications. The project, led by Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), was conducted in collaboration with Temple University. The report describes the research activities with Task 1 at ORNL: foam fracturing testing system development and experimental study on foam fracturing, and Task 2 at Temple University: foam testing and foam characterization. Main findings are: 1. A foam fracturing test system has been developed at ORNL, which can be used to perform foam fracturing under pressure up to 6,000 psi. The system monitors foam density during fracturing online and is capable of testing materials in both monotonic and cyclic (up to 50 Hz) injections. 2. Foam fracturing tests were carried out on Charcoal black granite specimens with a blind borehole to the middle length. Two diameters of blind borehole were tested; G2 series: 9.53 mm and G3 series: 4.76 mm. N2-in-water foam was used with AOS as a surfactant. 3. There was a hole-size effect on fracture initiation pressure. The effect is smaller in the case of foam, which was influenced by the high penetrability of gas in foam. Breakdown pressure showed a behavior just as that of fracture pressure; namely an increased value for small hole samples, while the effect in water fracture was more impressive than in foam fracture. 4. Water mass was reduced in foam fracturing within similar range of breakdown pressures. In G2 series, it was decreased from 10.44 g for water fracturing to 5.17 g, representing more than 50% water reduction. Therefore, there is the potential to reduce water use in EGS stimulation through foam fracturing. 5. Use of cyclic injection has the potential to reduce the breakdown pressure and seismicity in EGS application. Experiments using 4-s cycle period found that specimens can be fractured with a low number of cycles. The fatigue pressure was approximately 64 - 77% of monotonic breakdown pressure for water fracturing and 58 - 94% of the breakdown pressure for foam fracturing. 6. A foam stability testing system has been developed that can test foam at 220 Deg C to 2,000 psi. Tested components of candidate foams included two gases: N2 and CO2; 4 surfactants: AOS, SDS, NP-40 and CTAC; 5 stabilizing agents: guar, bentonite clay, borate salt, silica NPs, and GO. 7. N2 and AOS provided the most stable performance over the tested ranges. Furthermore, the AOS foam with stabilizing agents of guar and borate salt (crosslinker) offered the highest half-life of 20 minutes at 200 Deg C and 1,000 psi. 8. Arrhenius equation and modified power law have been demonstrated to fit well the half-time vs. temperature and pressure data, respectively. These relations can be useful to provide the suggestion for future foam stability study. This submission contains the supporting data developed during the project: 1) A final technical report 2) Granite fracturing data in monotonic and cyclic injections with water and N2 foam Foam performance data in various temperatures and pressures, including half-time, is submitted separately.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Occupational Experience Effects on Physiological and Perceptual Responses of Common Soldiering Tasks

Abstract Cohen BS, Redmond JE, Haven CC, Foulis SA, Canino MC, Frykman PN, Sharp MA. Occupational Experience Effects on Physiological and Perceptual Responses of Common Soldiering Tasks. J Strength Cond Res 37(4): 894–901, 2023—This study measured the impact of occupational experience (i.e., time spent deployed, in military service, and in job and task performance frequency in training, deployment, and study practice) on the physiological (heart rate [HR] and oxygen consumption [VO 2 ]) and perceptual (rate of perceived exertion [RPE]) responses to performance of critical physically demanding tasks (CPDTs). Five CPDTs (road march, build a fighting position, move under fire, evacuate a casualty, and drag a casualty to safety), common to all soldiers, were performed by 237 active duty soldiers. Linear regression models examined the association between measures of experience and physiological and perceptual performance responses to task demands. The level of significance was adjusted for multiple comparisons and set at ρ ≤ 0.0125 for this study. Significant and notable effect sizes included the impact of time spent deployed on the physiological measures of the road march (PostHR F = 24.84, p < 0.0001, β=-9.65), sandbag fill (PostHR F = 8.26, p = 0.005, β = −2.83), and sandbag carry (MeanHR F = 7.51, p = 0.007, β = −1.12; PostHR F = 7.35, p = 0.007, β = −0.87). For the road march task, there was a nearly 10 bpm decrease in postperformance HR for every year spent deployed. Road march, sandbag fill, and sandbag carry tasks PostHRs were also notably negatively associated with the experience measures of time in their MOS (job and time in military service but not for other physiological and perceptual responses, including VO 2 and RPE. Frequency of task performance in training, deployment, and study practice was not meaningfully associated with experience. The results suggest that increasing task familiarization through on-the-job occupational operational experience may result in greater proficiency and reduced physiological effort.

Sport Sciences↗

Microbial community data from throughfall exclusion experiment: Metadata, SI, community composition, LefSe, and FunGuilR data tables from PARCHED Panama tropical forest soils, 2024-2025

Soil contains more carbon (C) than terrestrial vegetation and the atmosphere combined, with some of the largest terrestrial C stocks in tropical rainforests. Soil microbes decompose organic matter, playing a vital role in the storage or loss of soil C. With climate change, drought conditions are predicted to increase in many tropical regions, including both chronic drying and extended drought, potentially influencing these processes. This project explored the effects of chronic and seasonal drying on soil microbial communities across four distinct tropical forests in a long-term drying experiment. We investigated the effects of a chronic drying manipulation on soil microbial community abundance and variation across different forests and seasons. We also compared findings with previously published data from these forests after short-term drying. This project used soils from a long-term drying experiment established in 2018 across four seasonal lowland forests in Panama. Soils were collected from 0 – 10 cm depths during three seasonal periods in control and drying plots in 2024 and 2025 from a total of 32 plots (n = 4 per forest per treatment). The forests varied in baseline rainfall and soil fertility. We calculated alpha and beta diversity indices and compared taxonomic community composition. We found significant biogeographic variation in microbial diversity and taxonomy, with significant differences across the forests and significant effects of the drying treatment. Metadata and sample IDs are within Metadata_16S.csv and Metadata_ITS.csv. Relative abundance tables of every sample at every season are shown in the Excel workbooks 16S Relative Abundance.xlsx and ITS Relative Abundance.xlsx. They are then also shown in CSV files by each taxonomic level. Linear discriminant analysis effect size (LefSe) tables are shown for the full 16S and ITS datasets (n = 96), subsets for every site at every season (n = 8), and then for the forests with each plot merged by season (n = 8). FunGuildR data table of ITS data is uploaded.

Bacteria↗

Water-Oil Displacement in Shale: New Insights from a Comparative Study Integrating Imbibition Tests and Multiscale Imaging

Water-oil displacement is an important process that occurs in a shale matrix after hydraulic fracturing and in water-based enhanced oil recovery. Current understanding of this displacement process is limited because of the complicated pore structure and surface properties in shale. In this work, this process and its controlling factors are investigated through a comparative study of three shale samples that have different types of pore systems and wettability. Here, an integrated method of imbibition and multiscale imaging was applied, and a modified oleic tracer that can better represent oil flow was used in imbibition testing and micro-computed tomography (CT) imaging. Scanning electron microscope (SEM) pore characterization was then performed under high magnification with guidance from the micro-CT images showing the changes caused by oil or water imbibition. New insights were obtained on the importance of both wettability and pore size effect on oil recovery and the distribution of residual oil after water-oil displacement. Connectivity of pores with different wettability is also discussed based on 3D analysis and SEM pore characterization. Collectively, these new findings improve the understanding of the complicated process of water-oil displacement and the role of influencing factors. Important implications for improved oil recovery strategy in shale are discussed for different types of reservoir rocks. The integrated imaging and imbibition technique provides a new path for further investigation of improved oil recovery in shale.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗

Small to Full Height Scale Comparisons of Cesium Ion Exchange Performance with Crystalline Silicotitanate

The U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Hanford Site houses 56 million gallons of high-level radioactive waste generated from plutonium production from 1944 to 1988. The supernatant waste, currently stored in underground tanks, is intended to be vitrified following filtration and 137 Cs removal at the Hanford Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP) Low-Activity Waste (LAW) Vitrification Facility. The WTP Pretreatment Facility will not be operational for several years. The Tank Side Cesium Removal (TSCR) system is a technology demonstration that will remove cesium from tank waste supernate to support directly feeding LAW to the vitrification facility. The 137 Cs removal is important to meet the WTP LAW contract specification and ultimately for creating a contact-handled waste form. The waste acceptance criteria (WAC) limit for the WTP LAW Facility is <3.18E-5 Ci 137 Cs per mole Na. The TSCR system is skid mounted and employs two key technologies: dead end filtration for solids removal and ion exchange (IX) for cesium removal. Filtration is necessary to protect the functionality of the IX columns. The IX process utilizes sodium form crystalline silicotitanate (CST) IX media produced by UOP Honeywell, LLC (Des Plaines, IL) under the product name IONSIV R9140-B, 18 x 50 mesh, in a lead-lag-polish column configuration. Each column contains a CST bed height of 92 inches and a volume of approximately 157 gallons of CST IX media. The full-scale TSCR operation will run at a residence time of 1.9 bed volumes (BV)/h, which results in a superficial velocity of 7.3 cm/min and a flowrate of ~5 gal/min. Column testing at small (2.5% of the full bed height), medium (12% of the full bed height), and full-height scales has been previously conducted to evaluate process variables and scale up performance of Cs exchange onto the CST. Cesium load performances from various sieve cuts at the small scale indicated that a 30-mesh sieve cut be tested to determine if it better reflects the 12% and full-height column performances at the small scale. Two process flowrates were tested in the small-column configuration with <30-mesh CST and simulant solutions. These tests were compared to full-height column tests at the same residence times to assess CST particle size effect on column scaling. Table S.1 summarizes the observed column performance determined for the two flowrates juxtaposed to the previous work with 5.6 M Na simulant at higher scales (used as benchmarks). The WAC breakthroughs between the small and full-height tests at 1.3 BV/h differed by ~59 BVs. The WAC breakthroughs for small, medium, and full-height tests at 1.8 BV/h were consistent at 240 BVs. The 50% Cs breakthroughs were nominally equivalent for all column tests. The common transition zones and onsets of Cs breakthrough at the 1.8 BV/h tests indicated that the Cs mass transfers were equivalent and thus the <30-mesh CST Cs load performance at the small scale successfully modeled that of the full-height system. It is recommended that the <30-mesh CST be used in subsequent 10-mL CST bed tests.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Update to the Finite Cloud Dose Correction Factors in MACCS

In WASH - 1400, external exposure from the finite radioactive cloud (cloudshine) is calculated by assuming that the cloud is semi-infinite, the concentration of radioactive material is uniform, and by using a correction factor to account for these approximations. This correction factor is originally based upon formulations by Healy and depends on the effective size of the plume and the distance from the plume center to the receptor. The range of the finite cloud dose correction factor table from WASH - 1400 developed using Healy formulations can be exceeded in certain situations. When the range of the table is exceeded, no extrapolation is performed; rather interpolation at the edge of the table is performed per WASH - 1400. The tabulated values of these finite cloud dose correction factors from WASH - 1400 and the interpolation at the edge of the table have been used in MACCS since its creation. An expanded table of finite cloud dose correction factors is one way to reduce the need of using interpolation at the edge of the table. The generation of an expanded finite cloud dose correction factor table for future use in MACCS is documented in this report.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Thermodynamic controls on the synthesis, structure and reactivity of materials for energy (Final Report)

The major objectives of this renewal proposal, now entitled “Thermodynamic Controls on the Synthesis, Structure and Reactivity of Materials for Energy,” are: (a) to advance and use unique calorimetric capabilities to determine the energetics of materials relevant to energy applications, with an emphasis on new materials, (b) to understand, in terms of both macroscopic energetics and microscopic structure and bonding, the interplay of defect chemistry, oxidation-reduction and size effects at the nanoscale in determining the properties of functional oxide materials and of new classes of non-oxide materials. Recent developments have generated great excitement in organic-inorganic hybrid materials such as the alkylammonium lead halide perovskites. Our current work has emphasized fluorite-based solid electrolytes, perovskites and lithium battery materials. The systematic trends seen enable a more holistic view of the relation of thermodynamics to materials discovery and synthesis. The proposed work more explicitly targets thermodynamic controls on metastability, energy landscapes, surface and nanoscale effects, and pathways of synthesis and decomposition. This project is leveraged by many U.S. and international collaborations that both extend the science and provide opportunities for work in a diverse global setting.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Thermodynamic controls on the synthesis, structure and reactivity of materials for energy (Final Report)

The major objectives have been: a) to advance and use unique calorimetric capabilities to determine the energetics of oxide and other materials having possible energy applications, with an emphasis on new materials for batteries, fuel cells and solar energy conversion, b) to understand, in terms of both macroscopic energetics and microscopic structure and bonding, the interplay of defect chemistry, oxidation-reduction, and size effects at the bulk and nanoscale in determining materials properties. This project emphasizes mixed ionic-electronic conduction materials containing transition metals of variable valence, especially perovskites and lithium containing phases, with M = Mn, Fe, Co, Ni. The thermochemistry of new families of complex halide, chalcogenide, nitride and hybrid (organic-inorganic) perovskite materials were explored. The major and unique technique employed is high temperature oxide melt solution calorimetry, with careful attention given to materials synthesis and characterization. The thermochemical studies will be coupled with structural studies, especially to characterize order-disorder phenomena by in situ high temperature diffraction techniques.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

AlN Base Material Development for High Temperature Application [Poster]

Polar wurtzite AlN-based alloy materials have exceptional optoelectronic and charge transport properties (e.g., Al1-xGaxN in LEDs and Al1-xScxN as a promising new ferroelectric1). Other cation substitutions include Ta 3+ , Cr 3+ , Er 3+ , Yb 3+ , and small amounts of Gd 3+ , 2-6 but ionic size effects are a serious issue, and other variables affecting solubility are underexplored in this family, hampering development of new functional AlN-based alloys.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Combustion of Butyl acetate as an alternative additive to petroleum fuels

Blending petroleum fuels with oxygenates is a common approach to stem the depletion of crude oil while also mitigating the impact of their combustion on the environment. It has recently been considered that butyl acetate (BA, C6H12O2 , boiling point of 399K) could be a viable oxygenate additive to diesel fuel. The platform used to study combustion of commercial and synthesized BA was an isolated droplet burning with spherical symmetry. The experiments were carried out in a drop tower to minimize buoyant convection. Restricting motion by supporting droplets on 14 micrometer fibers eliminated forced convection. Precise control of the initial diameter was achieved by first deploying large droplets and letting them evaporate to the size of interest, here being between 0.3 mm to 0.8 mm. The experimental results show that commercial and the newly synthesized BA burned almost identically for the evolution of droplet and flame diameters. Droplets burned slower as the initial diameter was increased and soot formation was noted for the larger sizes studied due to a residence size effect. Burning in a buoyant convective field showed higher burn rates due to the convective effect and that the asymmetric flames became nearly spherical as diameter decreased. The study illustrates the significant value that the microgravity environment brings to evaluating performance of oxygenated fuels synthesized by new production methods.

Wang, Yujie↗

SPARC-X: Quantum simulations at extreme scale - reactive dynamics from first principles

We have developed the massively parallel electronic structure code SPARC-X: a computational framework for performing Kohn-Sham Density Functional Theory (DFT) calculations that can scale linearly with the number of atoms in the system, while being able to leverage petascale and emerging exascale parallel computers to study chemical phenomena at unprecedented length and time scales. SPARC-X exploits a recent breakthrough in electronic structure methodologies: systematically improvable, strictly local, orthonormal, discontinuous real-space bases that efficiently and systematically capture the local chemistry of the system. With further adaptation using new machine-learning techniques and the use of the massively parallel Spectral Quadrature (SQ) electronic structure method, the algorithmic complexity and prefactor associated with DFT calculations involving semilocal as well as hybrid functionals are dramatically reduced. Using petascale computational resources, SPARC-X enables quantum mechanical simulations at length and time scales previously accessible only by empirical approaches, e.g., 1,000,000 atoms for a few picoseconds using semilocal functionals or 1,000 atoms for a few picoseconds using hybrid functionals. Using exascale resources, the sizes and times targeted are two orders of magnitude larger. Such a capability has applications in a wide variety of chemical sciences, including reactive interfaces where large length- and/or long time-scales are needed and traditional force fields fail. This is particularly important in dynamic catalysis, where bond breaking and formation must be understood in detail. We developed, tested, and employed the SPARC-X framework to understand the photocatalytic properties of TiO 2 nanoparticles, revealing finite size effects that cannot be captured with standard model systems or functionals. This integrated development and application strategy ensures that SPARC-X remains a robust, efficient, and scalable software package for quantum simulations on current petascale and emerging exascale computing resources.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Predictive Indicators of the Performance of Large Language Models

In several mission contexts, it is desirable to estimate the performance of large language models (LLMs) on tasks that we cannot run directly. In light of published “scaling laws” our hypothesis is that some tasks should be consistently more challenging than others based on characteristics of the task. The goal of this project was to begin quantifying how much information about LLM performance can be gained from the features of a model and a task. Two of our statistical models struggled to converge. Pass/fail test results may provide limited information for inference beyond model quality and task difficulty, but we see no evidence at this time for significant feature interaction effect sizes, arguing for simple models. Future work extending the models to capitalize on perplexity of ground truth answers is suggested. This project also introduces “Depth of Knowledge Variant Testing” as a strategy for more finely assessing language models on open domain question and answer tasks. We developed sets of questions that ask a language model to produce similar information while demonstrating increasing depth of knowledge, and also relabeled existing Q&A test questions with their depth of knowledge. Our results suggest further consideration of Bloom’s taxonomy and further refinement of prompts to properly elicit information at varying depths. In the course of this work, we set up a basic infrastructure for standardizing tasks and testing many language models on these tasks. In addition to testing the predictive quality of model features and performance across test suites, with this project we have introduced two new task features to contextualize each test question: the Dewey Classification main category of information covered, and the Bloom’s taxonomy level that corresponds to the depth of knowledge probed by the question. Splits across these and other features produced over five hundred task subtypes with distinct feature vectors, which we tested on half a dozen models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Radiation Response of Low Dimensional Carbon Systems

The project is aimed at understanding the fundamentals of radiation response of low dimensional carbon systems and irradiation-induced mechanical property changes, with a focus on the unique phenomena caused by their geometry, boundary, and quantum size effects. In comparison with their bulk counterparts (graphite), radiation responses of low-dimensional carbon systems are substantially different. The differences exist at almost every stage of defect development, namely, displacement creation, damage cascade, thermal spike formation defect recombination, defect clustering, and structural reconstruction. Many traditional concepts in ion-solid interaction theory do not apply at the nanoscale or require substantial modification. Through this project, we systematically studied various aspects of radiation damage development in graphene, carbon nanotubes (CNTs), and graphite.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Enhancing Superionic Conductivity in Cluster-Based Sodium-Rich Antiperovskites

Sodium (Na) superionic conductors are the key to developing next-generation solid-state batteries with safety and low cost. However, most of the known Na-conductors exhibit limited ionic conductivities at room temperature (RT), hindering their practical applications. To meet the challenge, a series of Li- and Na-rich antiperovskite superionic conductors based on cluster ions (e.g. BH4- and BCl4-) have been theoretically developed [e.g. Fang et al. PNAS 114, 11046, 2017; ACS App. Mat. Inter. 11, 963, 2018]. These materials exhibit superior properties as solid electrolytes with greatly enhanced ionic conductivities at RT. One cluster-based solid electrolyte of such, Na3O(BH)4, has been successfully synthesized for the first time most recently and its measured RT ionic conductivity is well above 10-3 S/cm which is four orders of magnitude higher than that of its halogen counterparts Na3OX (X = Cl, Br, I) [Sun et al. J. Am. Chem. Soc. 141, 5640, 2019]. In this work, we aim to further enhance the ionic conductivity of the Na-superionic conductor by using chemical mixing according to the size effect. The study further shows the advantage of utilizing cluster ions as building blocks, introducing additional degrees of freedom into tuning the properties of superionic conductors.

Fang, Hong↗

Discovery, Design, Synthesis and Testing of High Performance Structural Alloys (Final Technical Report)

The overarching goal of this project is to understand the phase stability and mechanical behavior of non-stoichiometric multi-principal element alloy (MPEA) materials. In order to identify suitable alloys, we plan to use a combinatorial thin film screening approach, in collaboration with scientists at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory who are performing computational work as well as complementary experimental work. Specific tasks within the scope of this project include the fabrication, using thin film deposition from six sputtering targets, of combinatorial samples with multi-dimensional gradients in composition and microstructure. These samples are studied to screen MPEA systems for promising candidate alloys with specific composition(s), based on characterization of composition, structure and mechanical behavior across the thin film. We want to produce single-phase MPEAs with chemical homogeneity in a given thin film region, simple grain structures, and no intermetallic phases present. Gradient films facilitate first-pass screening for desirable characteristics and inform the next stage of work that involves fabrication of bulk MPEA specimens for (tensile) mechanical testing and characterization. To make the bulk alloys, metal (elemental) pieces are melted to form MPEAs, followed by heat treatment to homogenize the composition and microstructure. A subset of alloys is also cast, using vacuum arc melting, to yield larger samples (diameter ~1 cm and length ~5-10 cm) and these allow us to assess viability of scale-up for the alloys in structural applications. Further processing plans include rolling and heat treatment to recrystallize selected bulk MPEAs and grow grains to different extents, in order to investigate size effects in the mechanical behavior of MPEAs. Microspecimen testing will be performed (primarily in tension) to assess the mechanical behavior over a range of temperatures. The deformation microstructure of mechanically tested alloys will be characterized using transmission electron microscopy (TEM) to provide a scientific basis for understanding the structure-property relationships in MPEA mechanical behavior.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Comparison of Social Media, Syndromic Surveillance, and Microbiologic Acute Respiratory Infection Data: Observational Study

Internet data can be used to improve infectious disease models. However, the representativeness and individual-level validity of internet-derived measures are largely unexplored as this requires ground truth data for study. This study sought to identify relationships between Web-based behaviors and/or conversation topics and health status using a ground truth, survey-based dataset. This study leveraged a unique dataset of self-reported surveys, microbiological laboratory tests, and social media data from the same individuals toward understanding the validity of individual-level constructs pertaining to influenza-like illness in social media data. Logistic regression models were used to identify illness in Twitter posts using user posting behaviors and topic model features extracted from users’ tweets. Of 396 original study participants, only 81 met the inclusion criteria for this study. Of these participants’ tweets, we identified only two instances that were related to health and occurred within 2 weeks (before or after) of a survey indicating symptoms. It was not possible to predict when participants reported symptoms using features derived from topic models (area under the curve [AUC]=0.51; P=.38), though it was possible using behavior features, albeit with a very small effect size (AUC=0.53; P≤.001). Individual symptoms were also generally not predictable either. The study sample and a random sample from Twitter are predictably different on held-out data (AUC=0.67; P≤.001), meaning that the content posted by people who participated in this study was predictably different from that posted by random Twitter users. Individuals in the random sample and the GoViral sample used Twitter with similar frequencies (similar @ mentions, number of tweets, and number of retweets; AUC=0.50; P=.19). To our knowledge, this is the first instance of an attempt to use a ground truth dataset to validate infectious disease observations in social media data. The lack of signal, the lack of predictability among behaviors or topics, and the demonstrated volunteer bias in the study population are important findings for the large and growing body of disease surveillance using internet-sourced data.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Dual-unitary shadow tomography

We introduce a classical shadow tomography scheme based on dual-unitary brick-wall circuits termed "dual-unitary shadow tomography" (DUST). For this we study operator spreading and Pauli weight dynamics in one-dimensional qubit systems, evolved by random two-local dual-unitary gates arranged in a brick-wall structure, ending with a final measurement layer. We do this by deriving general constraints on the Pauli weight transfer matrix and specializing to the case of dual-unitarity. We first show that dual-unitaries must have a minimal amount of entropy production. Remarkably, we find that operator spreading in these circuits have a rich structure resembling that of relativistic quantum field theories, with massless chiral excitations that can decay or fuse into each other, which we call left- or right-movers. We develop a mean-field description of the Pauli weight in terms of $\rho(x,t)$, which represents the probability of having nontrivial support at site $x$ and depth $t$ starting from a fixed weight distribution. We develop an equation of state for $\rho(x,t)$, and simulate it numerically using Monte Carlo simulations. Lastly, we demonstrate that the fast-thermalizing properties of dual-unitary circuits make them better at predicting large operators than shallow brick-wall Clifford circuits. Our results are robust to finite-size effects due to the chirality of dual-unitary brick-wall circuits.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗