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NASA NTRS1982

Thermospheric molecular oxygen

Thermospheric studies to date have relied heavily on model values of O2 concentration, which are in turn indirectly derived. This paper reports the results of a comparison of a large data base of directly measured O2 concentrations with the concentrations obtained from the MSIS model atmosphere. For concentrations of 10 billion/cu cm the direct measurements are larger than the model values by up to 50%. For concentrations of 100 million/cu cm the measured values are in agreement with the model to within 10%. A comparison is made of the computed major thermospheric species by using both the MSIS and the measured O2 concentrations. The impact is largest in the odd nitrogen species NO, N(S-4), and N(+), where the difference in concentration can be as much as 70%, and also on O2(+).

Torr, M. R.↗

NASA NTRS1983

A global model of the neutral thermosphere in magnetic coordinates based on AE-C data

Molecular nitrogen, atomic oxygen, and helium densities obtained from the AE-C satellite are analyzed in magnetic latitude and magnetic local time coordinates and compared to OGO 6 data for various seasons and magnetic activity levels. A depletion region for atomic oxygen and helium with respect to molecular nitrogen at high magnetic latitudes in the postmidnight magnetic local time sector persists under both high and low solar activity conditions. A global model in magnetic coordinates, patterned after the mass spectrometer and incoherent scatter (MSIS) model, is developed for molecular nitrogen, atomic oxygen, and helium. It is shown to represent the data well, without any residual UT dependence, and with an accuracy comparable to that provided by the more complex MSIS model with longitude terms The advantage of using magnetic coordinates is that they are more directly related to the major energy inputs and momentum sources in the polar regions than are geographic coordinates and are more convenient to use in studies of high latitude energy deposition processes. This is important for comparison with theoretical models where the number of coordinates is limited.

Stehle, C. G.↗

NASA NTRS1986

UT/longitudinal variations of composition in DE data

Composition data obtained by the quadrupole mass spectrometer (NACS) carried aboard the DE-B satellite were examined for variations in the polar regions during magnetically quiet conditions. The corresponding predictions of the MSIS-83 model are often used for comparison. The MSIS-83 model is used to emphasize the variations of interest by suppressing all other variations. A persistent enhancement of N2 density and a depletion of He density are present in the vicinity of the magnetic poles with maximum density response in the morning hours (magnetic) on average. A universal time (UT) variation in average density levels is evident near both the geographic and magnetic poles. There are systematic morphology changes with UT and between summer and winter which are qualitatively consistent with the simple concept that thermospheric heating effects are shifted or spread in the downwind direction of the global circulation systems driven by EUV and magnetospheric sources. The magnitude of the UT variations is larger in the southern hemisphere and is larger in local winter than summer.

Hedlin, A. E.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Empirical modeling of the thermosphere: An overview

A summary is given of thermospheric density modeling history and standard atmospheres. In particular, the approaches of the Jacchia and MSIS models were compared and contrasted. It was concluded that the Jacchia models are best if drag is the primary concern. MSIS is superior for variations in composition and temperature variations and comparison with theoretical models is facilitated by the use of spherical harmonics, which also provide a simple and consistent way of obtaining simplifications. Advantages and disadvantages of both models are listed and discussed.

Hedin, A.↗

NASA NTRS1988

High altitude atmospheric modeling

Five empirical models were compared with 13 data sets, including both atmospheric drag-based data and mass spectrometer data. The most recently published model, MSIS-86, was found to be the best model overall with an accuracy around 15 percent. The excellent overall agreement of the mass spectrometer-based MSIS models with the drag data, including both the older data from orbital decay and the newer accelerometer data, suggests that the absolute calibration of the (ensemble of) mass spectrometers and the assumed drag coefficient in the atomic oxygen regime are consistent to 5 percent. This study illustrates a number of reasons for the current accuracy limit such as calibration accuracy and unmodeled trends. Nevertheless, the largest variations in total density in the thermosphere are accounted for, to a very high degree, by existing models. The greatest potential for improvements is in areas where we still have insufficient data (like the lower thermosphere or exosphere), where there are disagreements in technique (such as the exosphere) which can be resolved, or wherever generally more accurate measurements become available.

Hedin, Alan E.↗

NASA NTRS1988

The atmospheric model in the region 90 to 2000 km

A comprehensive revision of the MSIS-83 earth atmosphere model was undertaken to extend predictions to the mesopause, on the basis of temperature, density, and composition data obtained by sounding rockets, satellites, and incoherent scatter radars. Attention is presently given to a semiempirical model similar to MSIS-83, which incorporates additional terms in order to represent seasonal differences in the morphology of composition variations under both quiet and disturbed polar region conditions. The data base is expanded to include both composition and temperature data from the Dynamics Explorer-2 satellite.

Hedin, A. E.↗

NASA NTRS1991

Recent improvements in atmospheric environment models for Space Station applications

The capability of empirical models of the earth's thermosphere must continually be updated if they are to keep pace with their many applications in the aerospace industry. This paper briefly summarizes the progress of several such efforts in support of the Space Station Program. The efforts consists of the development of data bases, analytical studies of the data, and evaluation and intercomparison of thermosphere models. A geomagnetic storm model of Slowey does not compare as well to the MSIS-86 model as does the Marshall Engineering Thermosphere (MET). LDEF orbit decay data is used to evaluate the performance of the MET and MSIS-86 during a period of high solar activity; equal to or exceeding the highest levels that existed during the time of the original data sets upon which these models are based.

Anderson, B. Jeffrey↗

NASA NTRS1992

Composition changes and empirical models

Empirical model descriptions of the response of the neutral thermosphere to magnetic activity have become increasingly sophisticated over the last two decades. The latest CIRA model (MSIS-86) includes a dependence of the thermospheric response to magnetic activity on altitude, latitude, local time, season, longitude, UT, and time history of magnetic activity. A primary assumption is that density changes are directly related to the measured magnetic activity and the goal is for the model to be representative of the typical or average response for any given level of magnetic activity under specified ancillary conditions. Unfortunately, available measurements for the larger storms are too sparse to give good averages and storm response may not be uniquely represented by current magnetic indices. Point by point comparisons with the MSIS-86 model have standard deviations of 20 percent for 0 and 30 percent for N2 and He at high latitudes during storm conditions.

Hedin, A. E.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Retrieval of thermospheric atomic oxygen, nitrogen and temperature from the 732 NM emission measured by the ISO on ATLAS 1

The Imaging Spectrometric Observatory (ISO) was a part of the ATLAS 1 Mission flown on the shuttle Atlantis from March 24 to April 2, 1992. During limb scanning operations, the ISO measured the O+(2P) ion emission at 732 nm. We have used a numerical inversion technique to retrieve thermospheric atomic oxygen, molecular nitrogen and temperature profiles. These preliminary results indicate a lower thermospheric temperature cooler than that predicted by MSIS for the solar conditions during the mission. Although the densities agree at low altitudes, the reduced scale height produces O and N2 densities 25 percent lower than the MSIS at 300 km.

Fennelly, Judy A.↗

NASA NTRS1994

Evaluation of semiempirical atmospheric density models for orbit determination applications

This paper presents the results of an investigation of the orbit determination performance of the Jacchia-Roberts (JR), mass spectrometer incoherent scatter 1986 (MSIS-86), and drag temperature model (DTM) atmospheric density models. Evaluation of the models was performed to assess the modeling of the total atmospheric density. This study was made generic by using six spacecraft and selecting time periods of study representative of all portions of the 11-year cycle. Performance of the models was measured for multiple spacecraft, representing a selection of orbit geometries from near-equatorial to polar inclinations and altitudes from 400 kilometers to 900 kilometers. The orbit geometries represent typical low earth-orbiting spacecraft supported by the Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) Flight Dynamics Division (FDD). The best available modeling and orbit determination techniques using the Goddard Trajectory Determination System (GTDS) were employed to minimize the effects of modeling errors. The latest geopotential model available during the analysis, the Goddard earth model-T3 (GEM-T3), was employed to minimize geopotential model error effects on the drag estimation. Improved-accuracy techniques identified for TOPEX/Poseidon orbit determination analysis were used to improve the Tracking and Data Relay Satellite System (TDRSS)-based orbit determination used for most of the spacecraft chosen for this analysis. This paper shows that during periods of relatively quiet solar flux and geomagnetic activity near the solar minimum, the choice of atmospheric density model used for orbit determination is relatively inconsequential. During typical solar flux conditions near the solar maximum, the differences between the JR, DTM, and MSIS-86 models begin to become apparent. Time periods of extreme solar activity, those in which the daily and 81-day mean solar flux are high and change rapidly, result in significant differences between the models. During periods of high geomagnetic activity, the standard JR model was outperformed by DTM. Modification of the JR model to use a geomagnetic heating delay of 3 hours, as used in DTM, instead of the 6.7-hour delay produced results comparable to or better than the DTM performance, reducing definitive orbit solution ephermeris overlap differences by 30 to 50 percent. The reduction in the overlap differences would be useful for mitigating the impact of geomagnetic storms on orbit prediction.

Cox, C. M.↗

NASA NTRS1994

Dynamics Explorer 2 observations of equatorial thermospheric winds and temperatures: Local time and longitudinal dependences

We have analyzed a large database of Dynamics Explorer 2 (DE 2) measurements of equatorial (less than + or - 9 degs latitude) thermospheric neutral temperatures and horizontal wind components in the altitude range from 200 to 400 km for quiet and active geomagnetic conditions (Kp less than 3 and Kp greater than 3, respectively). Local time variations and longitudinal dependences on the duskside, dayside, and nightside have been separately examined. The dayside hourly averaged neutral zonal winds are relatively insensitive to variations in geomagnetic activity and appear to show an inverse dependence (lower zonal wind speed for higher Kp) in the midnight-dawn local time sector. The duskside neutral temperatures show a region of enhancement (by approximately 60 K) over the South Atlantic magnetic anomaly. The quiet time zonal winds are weaker than the corresponding active time zonal winds on the dayside near the South Atlantic magnetic anomaly. Enhanced ionization in the region, which increases the ion drag on the neutral gas, is suggested as the causal mechanism for these effects. The DE 2 averaged measurements have also been compared with MSIS-86/HWM90 and VSH models. The data and models are in good general agreement, though, the MSIS-86/HWM90 model predicts stronger dayside zonal winds than are observed under active conditions and the VSH model appears to underestimate the magnitude of the dayside zonal winds for both high and low Kp cases.

Wu, Q↗

NASA NTRS1995

Interpretation of Dynamics Explorer far UV images of the quiet time thermosphere

A selected set of far ultra violet images of Earth have been analyzed quanitatively to establish their validity for studying thermospheric weather. The set of images chosen for the study was restricted to mostly geomagnetically quiet conditions in order to obtain a baseline understanding of the relationship between the observations and thermospheric phenomenology. The images included low to modrerate solar activity levels. A new model was developed to generate global dayglow images using first principles methods. The mass Spectrometer/incoherent scatter (MSIS-86) model was used to predict the thermospheric concentrations. The analyses of thermospheric images observed in the 123 to 160-nm nominal passband show that the spectral composition for observations on the projected earth disk is dominated by O I 130.4-nm radiation (85-90%), with concentrations from O I 135.6-nm and N2 Lyman-Birge-Hopefield (LBH) bands of about 5-8% each. The synthetic images reproduce the global features of the observed images rather well. Differences between the model and the data are attributed to real atmospheric effects, such as atomic oxygen depletions which are not well reproduced by the MSIS model when geomagnetic activity is elevated. The absoute values recorded were 38-54% higher than predicted. We attribute this discrepancy to low values of the solar extreme ultraviolet irradiances used in the model. Images obtained in the 136 to 165-nm nominal passband are a factor of 2.7 greater than the model. The excess signal observed is most likely due to a long wavelength tail in the instrument sensitivity which allowed Rayleigh scattered sunlight between 180and 250nm to be detected. The understanding of the Dynamics Explorer (DE 1) images gained by this study provides the basis for future work on the global response of the theremosphere to geomagnetic forcing.

Meier, R. R.↗

NASA NTRS1995

Sensitivity of the 6300 A twilight airglow to neutral composition

The field line interhemispheric plasma (FLIP) model is used to study the 6300 A line intensity measured during three morning twilights from the McDonald Observatory in Texas. The Imaging Spectrometric Observatory (ISO) measured the 6300 A intensity during the winter of 1987 and the spring and summer of 1988. The FLIP model reproduces the measured intensity and its variation through the twilight well on each day using neutral densities from the MSIS-86 empirical model. This is in spite of the fact that different component sources dominate the integrated volume emission rate on each of the days analyzed. The sensitivity of the intensity to neutral composition is computed by varying the N2, O2, and O densities in the FLIP model and comparing to the intensity computed with the unmodified MSIS-86 densities. The ion densities change self-consistently. Thus the change in neutral composition also changes the electron density. The F2 peak height is unchanged in the model runs for a given day. The intensity changes near 100 deg SZA are comparable to within 10% when either (O2), (N2), or (O) is changed, regardless of which component source is dominant. There is strong sensitivity to changes in (N2) when dissociative recombination is dominant, virtually no change in the nighttime (SZA greater than or equal to 108 deg) intensity with (O2) doubled, and sensitivity of over 50% to doubling or halving (O) at night. When excitation by conjugate photoelectrons is the dominant nighttime component source, the relative intensity change with (O) doubled or halved is very small. This study shows the strong need for simultaneous measurements of electron density and of emissions proportional to photoelectron fluxes if the 6300 A twilight airglow is to be used to retrieve neutral densities.

Melendez-Alvira, D. J.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Nitric Oxide Concentrations from Solar Maximum to Solar Minimum Years Derived from SABER

Nitric oxide (NO) is of particular importance in the upper atmosphere nominally the region between 100 km and 250 km, as it plays the role in cooling and regulating the energy budget of the system. The NO cooling rates have been routinely derived for the past two decades from the measurements made by Sounding of the Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry (SABER) instrument on the Thermosphere Ionosphere Mesosphere Energetics and Dynamics satellite (TIMED) satellite since 2002. However, a comprehensive long-term dataset of global thermospheric NO concentration as a function of local time is currently unavailable. Given that solar activity significantly influences NO abundance on timescales ranging from days to decades, analyzing the behavior of NO concentration during solar storm and solar cycle can provide valuable insights into thermospheric energy balance, improving storm-time and climatological knowledge. In this study, we used newly calculated NO cooling rates and simulations of neutral kinetic temperature and atomic oxygen number density from the MSIS 2.1 model to derive 20-year NO concentration data. The global annual mean NO concentration shows a strong correlation with the solar cycle, with high concentrations and upper boundaries up to 250 km during solar maximum years and lower concentrations and upper boundaries up to ~230 km during solar minimum years. We also compared NO concentrations obtained from SABER measurements and MSIS 2.1 simulations during solar maximum (2014) and solar minimum (2009) years and found good agreement between the two during both day and night.

Ningchao Wang↗

NASA NTRS1978

CIRA 1972, recent atmospheric models, and improvements in progress

The paper reviews current progress in the development of atmospheric models. Consideration is given to CIRA 1972 (COSPAR International Reference Atmosphere), the OGO 6 model (1974), the ESRO 4 model (1977), the global Doppler-temperature model of Thuillier et al. (1977), the Jacchia 1977 model (based on a synthesis of temperature, mass-spectrometer, and total-density data from many sources), and the MSIS model (1977), based on incoherent-scatter temperatures and mass-spectrometer data from various sources. New models of the disturbed thermosphere, developed by the author, are compared with recent mass-spectrometer measurements at 170 km.

Jacchia, L. G.↗

NASA NTRS1978

Quantitative calculations of helium ion escape fluxes from the polar ionospheres

An attempt is made to reduce the discrepancy between the earlier theoretical model and the recent experimental observations of H(+) outward fluxes for winter and summer hemispheres by improving the theoretical model. The helium photoionization cross sections used are accurate to 10%, the latest solar EUV fluxes measured by the Atmosphere Explorer satellites are incorporated, and the most recent MSIS model of the neutral atmosphere is contained in the model. A range of conditions covering solar cycle, seasonal, and geomagnetic conditions are studied. The results show a maximum H(+) escape flux of 1.4 times 10 to the 7th per sq cm per sec for solar maximum, winter, low magnetic activity conditions, which is within the scatter of the measured fluxes. The computed summer H(+) escape flux is a factor of 20 lower than the winter value. Possible reasons for the slight discrepancy between theory and experiment in summer are discussed.

Raitt, W. J.↗

NASA NTRS1979

The latitudinal gradient of nitric oxide in the thermosphere

Theoretical calculations of nitric oxide altitude profiles are made at five different latitudes by using neutral temperatures and composition primarily from the MSIS (mass spectrometer and incoherent scatter) model. The nitric oxide calculated for an altitude of 105 km remains nearly constant with increasing latitude. Observations made by the ultraviolet nitric oxide instrument on the Atmosphere Explorer C satellite show that at low magnetic activity (Ap value of approximately 4), the NO density at 105 km agrees with the theory; however, at moderate levels of activity it increases with latitude. This discrepancy between the theoretical and observed latitudinal gradients of nitric oxide suggests the transport of NO from a high latitude source to lower latitudes. At 200 km the theoretical and observed latitudinal gradients are in reasonable agreement, an indication that the knowledge of the local composition and temperature is sufficient to model nitric oxide at this altitude.

Cravens, T. E.↗

NASA NTRS1979

Direct in situ measurements of thermospheric temperature

The open source neutral mass spectrometer on the Atmosphere Explorer satellites used for direct in situ measurements of the neutral gas temperature by means of the 'fly-through' mode of operation is evaluated. The derived neutral temperature (Tn) is compared with ion temperatures (T1) obtained simultaneously from the on-board retarding potential analyzer for altitudes and conditions where the two temperatures should be equal. A statistical analysis showed consistency between concurrently observed values of Tn and T1, also shown through profiles depicting their altitude distributions between 150 and 225 km. The overall magnitude of temperatures calculated from the Jacchia (1971) model results in a better representation of the observations than the higher temperatures predicted for this region by the MSIS model (Hedin, 1977), and agreement is also found between observed temperatures and neutral temperatures derived from altitude distributions of N2 particle densities.

Kayser, D. C.↗