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DOE OSTI2024

System and method for wave prediction

A method and system for prediction of wave properties include collecting time series data streams from one or more wave measurement devices and processing the data using a wave-prediction algorithm to identify the frequency components of the data and compute wave parameters. The wave-field is propagated in space and time to predict wave height, speed, and velocity at a target location. A sliding window approach is used to continuously update the prediction in real-time.

Previsic, Mirko↗

DOE OSTI2026

Flux Cube Reconstruction from Slitless Spectroscopy

Slitless spectroscopy enables efficient, large-area surveys without target preselection, yet it faces challenges from source blending, higher noise, and lost spatial–spectral information. We present an advanced, nonparametric, data-driven algorithm that leverages multiple dispersion angles to reconstruct three-dimensional flux distributions, providing low-resolution integral field unit capabilities from slitless data. By treating each pixel as an independent element, our method naturally handles source confusion without requiring prior assumptions regarding redshifts, templates, or model libraries. We validate the algorithm using simulated Roman Space Telescope wide-field slitless spectroscopy images that are equivalent to what is expected from the High-Latitude Time-Domain Survey. First, we demonstrate that a host-galaxy model reconstructed from multiple dispersion angles can be used to accurately subtract host light from a transient, recovering a Type Ia supernova spectrum with minimal bias. Second, we showcase a high-fidelity flux-cube reconstruction of a complex galaxy, successfully measuring the redshift and recovering continuum, emission, and absorption features. This approach highlights the potential of multi-dispersion-angle slitless data to provide spatially resolved spectral information in a nonparametric way, which is traditionally accessible only with integral field spectroscopy, opening a new window into large, unbiased, and spatially resolved studies of galaxy evolution.

Griggio, M. [Space Telescope Science Institute, Ba↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Perspective on Quantum Computing Applications in Quantum Chemistry Using 25-100 Logical Qubits

The intersection of quantum computing and quantum chemistry represents a promising frontier for achieving quantum utility in domains of both scientific and societal relevance. Owing to the exponential growth of classical resource requirements for simulating quantum systems, quantum chemistry has long been recognized as a natural candidate for quantum computation. This perspective focuses on identifying scientifically meaningful use cases where early fault-tolerant quantum computers, which are considered to be equipped with approximately 25-100 logical qubits, could deliver tangible impact. While recent advances in classical computing have pushed the boundaries of tractable simulations to unprecedented scales, this logical-qubit regime represents the first window where quantum devices can pursue qualitatively distinct strategies, such as polynomial-scaling phase estimation, direct simulation of quantum dynamics, and active-space embedding, that remain challenging for classical solvers, such as multireference charge-transfer and conical-intersection states central to photochemistry and materials design. We highlight near-term opportunities in algorithm and software design, discuss representative chemical problems suited for quantum acceleration, and propose strategic roadmaps and collaborative pathways for advancing practical quantum utility in quantum chemistry.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Interpretable machine learning-guided design of Fe-based soft magnetic alloys

Here, we present a machine learning (ML) guided approach to predict saturation magnetization (𝑀 S ) and coercivity (𝐻 C ) in Fe-rich soft magnetic alloys, particularly Fe-Si-B systems. ML models trained on experimental data reveal that increasing Si and B content reduces 𝑀 S from 1.81 T (DFT ≈ 2.04 T) to ≈1.54 T (DFT ≈ 1.56T) in Fe-Si-B, which is attributed to decreased magnetic density and structural modifications. Experimental validation of ML predicted magnetic saturation on Fe-1Si-1B (2.09 T), Fe-5Si-5B (2.01 T), and Fe-10Si-10B (1.54 T) alloy compositions further supports our findings. These trends are consistent with density functional theory predictions, which link increased electronic disorder and band broadening to lower 𝑀 S values. Experimental validation on selected alloys confirms the predictive accuracy of the ML model, with good agreement across compositions. Beyond predictive accuracy, detailed uncertainty quantification and model interpretability including through feature importance and partial dependence analysis reveal that 𝑀 S is governed by a nonlinear interplay between Fe content and early transition metal ratios, while 𝐻 C is more sensitive to processing conditions such as ribbon thickness and thermal treatment windows. The ML framework was further applied to Fe-Si-B/Cr/Cu/Zr/Nb alloys in a pseudoquaternary compositional space, which shows comparable magnetic properties to NANOMET (Fe 84.8 ⁢Si 0.5 ⁢B 9.4 ⁢Cu 0.8⁢ P 3.5 ⁢C 1 ), FINEMET (Fe 73.5 ⁢Si 13.5 ⁢B 9 Cu 1 ⁢Nb 3 ), NANOPERM (Fe 88 ⁢Zr 7⁢ B 4 ⁢Cu 1 ), and HITPERM (Fe 44 ⁢Co 44 ⁢Zr 7⁢ B 4 ⁢Cu 1 . Our findings demonstrate the potential of the ML framework for accelerated search of high-performance soft magnetic materials.

density functional theory↗

DOE OSTI2025

Gravothermal collapse and the diversity of galactic rotation curves

The rotation curves of spiral galaxies exhibit a great diversity that challenges our understanding of galaxy formation and the nature of dark matter. Previous studies showed that in self-interacting dark matter (SIDM) models with a cross section per unit mass of σ/m ≈ $\mathscr{O}$(1) cm 2 /g, the predicted dark matter central densities are a good match to the observed densities in galaxies. Here, in this work, we explore a regime with a larger cross section of σ/m ≈ 20−40 cm 2 /g in dwarf galactic halos. We will show that such strong dark matter self-interactions can further amplify the diversity of halo densities inherited from their assembly history. High concentration halos can enter the gravothermal collapse phase within 10 Gyr, resulting in a high density, while low concentration ones remain in the expansion phase and have a low density. We fit the rotation curves of 14 representative low surface brightness galaxies and demonstrate how the large range of observed central densities is naturally accommodated in the strong SIDM regime of σ/m ≈ 20 – 40 cm 2 /g. Galaxies that are outliers in the previous studies, due to their high halo central densities, are no longer outliers in this SIDM regime as their halos would be in the collapse phase. For galaxies with a low density, the SIDM fits are robust to the variation of the cross section. Our findings open up a new window for testing gravothermal collapse, the unique signature of strong dark matter self-interactions, and exploring a broader SIDM model space. As an example, we illustrate how the larger cross sections favored by our fits, together with upper limits from strong lensing observations in clusters, pick out the preferred SIDM model space for a dark matter particle coupled to a light gauge boson in the Born regime.

dark matter↗

DOE OSTI2025

High-Entropy Alloys for Accelerator Beam Window Applications

Development of novel high-entropy alloys (HEAs) is currently underway for potential use as beam windows in future multi-megawatt target systems at Fermilab. HEAs encompass a new class of materials with a vast design space allowing for material properties to be tailored for particular applications and to potentially offer improved resistance to beam-induced radiation damage and thermal shock effects. The alloy systems being studied consist of several compositions of AlCoCrMnTiV with 4 6 component elements. These alloys are all predicted by CALPHAD simulation to have a single-phase BCC crystal structure and low density, with some compositions displaying ordered, nanoscale precipitates. This presentation will briefly discuss alloy design and synthesis before giving a detailed description of the characterization studies of these HEAs in both the pristine state and post-irradiation by low-energy heavy ions to high damage levels. Electron microscopy techniques to quantify elemental homogeneity and composition, determine grain size, shape, and orientation, and quantify lattice parameters, defect structures and precipitate phases are all being used to study alloy microstructures. Mechanical properties of the alloys at the microscale will be reported. The evolution of these properties as a function of radiation damage will also be described. Bulk thermal characteristics of these HEAs have been tested to measure specific heat capacity and coefficient of thermal expansion as a function of temperature. To determine bulk tensile properties a miniature tensile testing apparatus is under development; it s commissioning will be covered briefly. The talk will conclude with our plans for alloy down-selection.

Burleigh, A. [Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2025

X-Ray Imaging and Spectroscopy Mission

The X-Ray Imaging and Spectroscopy Mission (XRISM) is a joint mission between the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) in collaboration with the European Space Agency (ESA). In addition to the three space agencies, universities and research institutes from Japan, North America, and Europe have joined to contribute to developing satellite and onboard instruments, data-processing software, and the scientific observation program. XRISM is the successor to the ASTRO-H (Hitomi) mission, which ended prematurely in 2016. Its primary science goal is to examine astrophysical problems with precise, high-resolution X-ray spectroscopy. XRISM promises to discover new horizons in X-ray astronomy. It carries a 6 × 6 pixelized X-ray microcalorimeter on the focal plane of an X-ray mirror assembly (Resolve) and a co-aligned X-ray CCD camera (Xtend) that covers the same energy band over a large field of view. XRISM utilizes the Hitomi heritage, but all designs were reviewed. The attitude and orbit control system was improved in hardware and software. The spacecraft was launched from the JAXA Tanegashima Space Center on 2023 September 6 (UTC). During the in-orbit commissioning phase, the onboard components were activated. Although the gate valve protecting the Resolve sensor with a thin beryllium X-ray entrance window was not yet opened, scientific observation started in 2024 February with the planned performance verification observation program. The nominal observation program commenced with the following guest observation program beginning in 2024 September.

Astronomy and AstroPhysics↗

DOE OSTI2024

Dynamic mode decomposition of nonequilibrium electron-phonon dynamics: accelerating the first-principles real-time Boltzmann equation

Abstract Nonequilibrium dynamics governed by electron–phonon ( e -ph) interactions plays a key role in electronic devices and spectroscopies and is central to understanding electronic excitations in materials. The real-time Boltzmann transport equation (rt-BTE) with collision processes computed from first principles can describe the coupled dynamics of electrons and atomic vibrations (phonons). Yet, a bottleneck of these simulations is the calculation of e –ph scattering integrals on dense momentum grids at each time step. Here we show a data-driven approach based on dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) that can accelerate the time propagation of the rt-BTE and identify dominant electronic processes. We apply this approach to two case studies, high-field charge transport and ultrafast excited electron relaxation. In both cases, simulating only a short time window of ~10% of the dynamics suffices to predict the dynamics from initial excitation to steady state using DMD extrapolation. Analysis of the momentum-space modes extracted from DMD sheds light on the microscopic mechanisms governing electron relaxation to a steady state or equilibrium. The combination of accuracy and efficiency makes our DMD-based method a valuable tool for investigating ultrafast dynamics in a wide range of materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Design And Control of Thermal Storage for Ventilative Cooling in Multifamily Buildings (Final Report)

The concept of natural ventilation is to provide a heat sink for cooling the building during the occupancy periods at night and improve indoor thermal comfort during the daytime without or with minimal need for mechanical cooling. Commonly, natural ventilation through the window or mechanical circulation of the air through the ventilation ducts are two key methods used to achieve night ventilation. Due to the increasing electric need for space heating and cooling, renewable energies combined with energy storage systems are receiving attention worldwide nowadays. When designed and controlled properly, this strategy can reduce energy use for cooling, reduce the size of mechanical cooling equipment, reduce peak electrical demand for cooling, and better enable demand flexibility for mechanical cooling equipment. In some cases, ventilative cooling can eliminate the need for mechanical cooling altogether. For these reasons, California’s Building Energy Efficiency Standards have recently added prescriptive requirements that all new single-family residences (in most California climates) must include ventilative cooling systems (aka: “whole house fans”). However, the current standards do not address multifamily buildings because market-available ventilative cooling products are designed for single-family residences and are physically incompatible with many multifamily building archetypes. The results from the study show that the combination of thermal energy storage on building walls along with nighttime ventilation cooling assisted with nighttime ventilation can save total building energy usage by up to 9% and peak load by 16% in moderate climate zones. The controlled nighttime ventilation cooling (activate ventilation only when outdoor conditions are favorable) can also provide total electricity savings of up to 5% and 7% in hot and cold climates, respectively. In the case of moderate climates, kitchen exhaust-assisted nighttime ventilation cooling can eliminate the need for cooling during overnight hours. This can also significantly assist in reducing carbon emissions.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2026

Truchas Overview

Truchas and Truchas-PBF are two sister codes for part-scale multi-physics modeling of manufacturing processes. Both programs are open source and made publicly available. They’re designed for efficient use of HPC resources and can be programmatically driven from Python packages. This enables automatic execution and analysis of ensembles of simulations, in some cases allowing 1000s of simulations to be evaluated in a day on HPC. Beyond just giving engineers a window into the concealed internal state of a system, the goal of Truchas is to provide a framework for developing novel manufacturing processes by understanding how the entire space of engineering inputs affects thermal state. It often is used to explore combinations of capabilities uncommon in commercial software, or to scale up analyses beyond the capabilities of commercial software.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Engineering Microstructure in Dry-Processed Cathodes Via Calendering

Calendering serves as a multifunctional step in dry electrode processing that not only densifies the electrode but also induces polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE) fibrillation and reorganizes the microstructure. These coupled effects are essential for achieving electrical connectivity and sufficient cohesion, yet they also introduce trade-offs, such as active material particle fracture, pore collapse, and excessive porosity loss, that can hinder ionic transport. This research systematically maps the calendering parameter space for LiNi0.6Mn0.2Co0.2O2 (NMC622) dry cathodes with a target thickness of ∼100 µm and porosity of ∼30% by varying roll gaps, roll temperature, roll speed, and the number of passes. A practical processing window for this formulation and electrode architecture is identified that achieves sufficient PTFE fibrillation and strong interfacial contact while minimizing particle fracture and preserving the porosity required for efficient ionic transport. In particular, gradual-gap calendering with moderate per-pass compression mitigates fracture and pore collapse while still reaching the target thickness with reasonable throughput, and slower roll speeds with modest roll temperatures further reduce mechanical damage. These results provide actionable guidance for scaling NMC622-based thick dry-processed cathodes.

Park, Hyunji↗

DOE OSTI2024

The 3D Lyman- α forest power spectrum from eBOSS DR16

We measure the three-dimensional power spectrum (P3D) of the transmitted flux in the Lyman-α (Ly α) forest using the complete extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey data release 16 (eBOSS DR16). This sample consists of ~205 000 quasar spectra in the redshift range 2 ≤ z ≤ 4 at an effective redshift z = 2.334. We propose a pair-count spectral estimator in configuration space, weighting each pair by exp( i k ∙ r), for wave vector k and pixel pair separation r, effectively measuring the anisotropic power spectrum without the need for fast Fourier transforms. This accounts for the window matrix in a tractable way, avoiding artefacts found in Fourier-transform based power spectrum estimators due to the sparse sampling transverse to the line of sight of Ly α skewers. We extensively test our pipeline on two sets of mocks: (i) idealized Gaussian random fields with a sparse sampling of Ly α skewers, and (ii) log-normal LyaCoLoRe mocks including realistic noise levels, the eBOSS survey geometry and contaminants. On eBOSS DR16 data, the Kaiser formula with a non-linear correction term obtained from hydrodynamic simulations yields a good fit to the power spectrum data in the range $(0.02 ≤ k ≤ 0.35)$ h Mpc -1 at the 1–2σ level with a covariance matrix derived from LyaCoLoRe mocks. We demonstrate a promising new approach for full-shape cosmological analyses of Ly α forest data from cosmological surveys such as eBOSS, the currently observing Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument and future surveys such as the Prime Focus Spectrograph, WEAVE-QSO, and 4MOST.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Characterizing electrical demand and load diversity of low-power water and space heating appliances in US homes

Home renovation and remodeling projects can involve costly and time consuming electrical infrastructure upgrades at the household level. From the grid perspective they also lead to costly replacement of local infrastructure, such as transformers, and can add stress to the grid at peak times. The emergence of innovative, power-efficient household appliances offers a way to minimize these problems. These appliances are designed for lower power consumption, simplifying installation through standard plug-in connections, reducing the need for new electric circuits/panels/service, and minimizing the peak power demand for the home. Key examples include low-power heat pump water heaters (HPWHs) and cold climate window heat pumps that operate on standard 120V outlets. To assess the real-world impact of these solutions, we compiled and analyzed power metering data from several US field studies. This data provides insights into the effects on peak power demand of selecting lower-power appliances. Our analysis focuses on several key metrics, including the maximum power demand of individual appliances, their operational runtime, continuous operation and load diversity. While individual low-power 120V space and water heating appliances offer significant peak demand reductions compared to 240V heat pump or resistance alternatives, their longer runtimes might increase the likelihood of operation during whole-dwelling peak events, albeit at lower power levels.

Less, Brennan↗

DOE OSTI2025

ATLAS HL-LHC Demonstrators with Data Carousel: Dataon-Demand and Tape Smart Writing

The High Luminosity upgrade to the LHC (HL-LHC) is expected to deliver scientific data at the multi-exabyte scale. To tackle this unprecedented data storage challenge, the ATLAS experiment initiated the Data Carousel project in 2018. Data Carousel is a tape-driven workflow in which bulk production campaigns with input data resident on tape are executed by staging and promptly processing a sliding window to disk buffer such that only a small fraction of inputs are pinned on disk at any one time. Put in ATLAS production before Run3, Data Carousel continues to be our focus for seeking new opportunities in disk space savings, and enhancing tape usage throughout the ATLAS Distributed Computing (ADC) environment. These efforts are highlighted by two recent ATLAS HL-LHC demonstrator projects: data-on-demand and tape smart writing. In this paper, we will discuss the recent studies and outcomes from these projects. The research was conducted together with site experts at CERN and Tier-1 centers.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Overview of results from the 2023 DIII-D negative triangularity campaign

Negative triangularity (NT) is a potentially transformative configuration for tokamak-based fusion energy with its high-performance core, edge localized mode (ELM)-free edge, and low-field-side divertors that could readily scale to an integrated reactor solution. Previous NT work on the TCV and DIII-D tokamaks motivated the installation of graphite-tile armor on the low-field-side lower outer wall of DIII-D. A dedicated multiple-week experimental campaign was conducted to qualify the NT scenario for future reactors. During the DIII-D NT campaign, high confinement ($H_\mathrm{98y,2}\gtrsim$ 1), high current ($q_\mathrm{95} \lt$ 3), and high normalized pressure plasmas ($\beta_\mathrm{N} \gt$ 2.5) were simultaneously attained in strongly NT-shaped discharges with average triangularity $\delta_\mathrm{avg}$ = −0.5 that were stably controlled. Experiments covered a wide range of DIII-D operational space (plasma current, toroidal field, electron density and pressure) and did not trigger an ELM in a single discharge as long as sufficiently strong NT was maintained; in contrast, to other high-performance ELM-suppression scenarios that have narrower operating windows. These strong NT plasmas had a lower outer divertor X-point shape and maintained a non-ELMing edge with an electron temperature pedestal, exceeding that of typical L-mode plasmas. Also, the following was achieved during the campaign: high normalized density ($n_\mathrm{e}$/$n_\mathrm{GW}$ of at least 1.7), particle confinement comparable to energy confinement with $Z_\mathrm{eff}\sim2$ , a detached divertor without impurity seeding, and a mantle radiation scenario using extrinsic impurities. These results are promising for a NT fusion pilot plant but further questions on confinement extrapolation and core-edge integration remain, which motivate future NT studies on DIII-D and beyond.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

From the laboratory to space: unveiling isomeric diversity of C 5 H 2 in the reaction of tricarbon (C 3 , X 1 Σ g + ) with the vinyl radical (C 2 H 3 , X 2 A′)

By connecting laboratory dynamics with cosmic observables, this work highlights the critical role of reactions between highly reactive species in shaping the molecular inventory of the interstellar medium and opens new windows into the spectroscopically elusive corners of astrochemical complexity. The gas phase formation of distinct C 5 H 2 isomers is explored through the bimolecular reaction of tricarbon (C 3 , X 1 Σ + g ) with the vinyl radical (C 2 H 3 , X 2 A′) at a collision energy of 44 ± 1 kJ mol −1 employing the crossed molecular beam technique augmented by electronic structure and Rice–Ramsperger–Kassel–Marcus (RRKM) calculations. This barrierless and exoergic reaction follows indirect dynamics and is initiated by the addition of tricarbon to the radical center of the vinyl radical forming a Cs symmetric doublet collisional complex (CCCCHCH 2 ). Subsequent low-barrier isomerization steps culminate in the resonantly stabilized 2,4-pentadiynyl-1 radical (CHCCCCH 2 ), which decomposes via atomic hydrogen loss. Statistical calculations identify linear, triplet pentadiynylidene (p2, X 3 Σ − g ) as the dominant product, while singlet carbenes ethynylcyclopropenylidene (p1, X 1 A′), pentatetraenylidene (p3, X 1 A 1 ), and ethynylpropadienylidene (p4, X 1 A′) are formed with lower branching ratios. The least stable isomer, 2-cyclopropen-1-ylidenethenylidene (‘eiffelene’; p5, X 1 A 1 ), remains thermodynamically feasible, but exhibits negligible branching ratios. Two isomers detected in TMC-1 to date (p1 and p3) possess significant dipole moments making them amenable to radio telescopic observations, whereas linear pentadiynylidene (p2; D ∞h ) is only traceable via infrared spectroscopy or through its cyanopentadiynylidene derivative (HCCCCCCN). This study highlights the isomer diversity accessed in the low temperature hydrocarbon chemistry of barrierless and exoergic bimolecular reactions involving two unstable, reactants in cold molecular clouds.

Medvedkov, Iakov A. [University of Hawai'i at Mano↗

DOE OSTI2026

Urban agrivoltaics enhance crop resilience and food-energy synergies in a changing climate

Urban agrivoltaics, the synergistic integration of solar photovoltaics with urban agriculture, offers a transformative solution to food and energy insecurity, which are major barriers to sustainable urban development, especially in low-income urban areas facing intensified heat and water stress due to climate change. With 70% of the global population projected to live in cities by 2050, maximizing underutilized urban spaces is critical. Our study presents the first evaluation of ground-based agrivoltaics in an urban context, demonstrating that, while early-season yields may decline due to light reduction in temperate climates, productivity rebounds during periods of extreme heat, extending harvest windows and enhancing crop resilience. As cities seek climate-adaptive infrastructure, converting just a fraction of vacant land and rooftops to urban agrivoltaics can yield significant co-benefits such as generating renewable energy for thousands of households while supplying fresh produce to help alleviate food deserts.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Understanding Event Trajectories Across Massive Temporal Datasets with Word Embeddings and Visualization

In collaboration with researchers from Virginia Tech, Savannah River National Laboratory has continued development of a natural language processing pipeline to identify and extract events of interest from massive open data sources in the domain of worldwide state-sponsored civil nuclear energy. The foundation of the pipeline is built on compass aligned temporal word embedding models, whereby contextual shifts are automatically identified by comparing keyword embedding vectors across successive time windows. Within the approach, a contextual shift indicates the occurrence of a potential event of interest. However, in such a broad topical domain that captures events at a global scale, across various life cycle stages, and across numerous different technology types, a user that is monitoring events may have broad interests in capturing many different event types with varying degrees of signal. As such, the quantity of information that may be returned from an automated event extraction pipeline can be substantial, requiring manual effort to sift through the information to identify any relevant bits of information. Therefore, a more streamlined workflow that aids in directing a user toward specific information at different points in time is necessary. The workflow presented here has been developed with this concept in mind, built on top of the initial prototype event extraction pipeline, whereby a user can analyze temporal text-based data sources at multiple different contextual levels to isolate key points in time and key subdomains captured within a data corpus. Using multiple corpuses that consist of approximately 7 million Tweets and 7 million news articles, the team has extended compass aligned temporal word embedding models to establish an interconnected and hierarchical structure that relates known key words of interest to documents, local topics (i.e., within a time window), and global topics across the corpuses. All of this information is packaged into a visual analytics system that is linked to the information extraction pipeline and enables a user to identify contextual information that describes the evolution of a high dimensional embedding space across time to isolate changes of interest and explore associated events. This report demonstrates the use of these analytics and a means to fuse information across multiple datasets.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗