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At least 37 records · Page 2

Assessing the Viability of Geothermal Microgrid Deployment: A Geospatial Analysis Across the United States

Geothermal microgrids hold a potential of supplying clean and dependable power to communities throughout the United States (US), all while sidestepping the expenses associated with connecting to strained or isolated power grids. Nonetheless, their implementation is still in its early stages in the country. The objective of this analysis is to leverage available data to pinpoint regions across the US that exhibit favorable conditions for the development of geothermal microgrids. Drawing from a variety of sources, including estimates of geothermal resources, the costs associated with geothermal energy generation and electricity transmission, existing microgrid locations, and subsidy programs, we aim to identify promising areas for further exploration. By mapping out the contiguous US, Alaska, and Hawaii, we delineate regions with high relative favorability for geothermal microgrid deployment. Our findings reveal the presence of highly favorable regions across the Western states of the contiguous US, as well as isolated areas in Alaska and Hawaii. Furthermore, we delve into a discussion on state policies and incentive programs, considering their role in fostering favorable conditions or posing barriers to geothermal microgrid development.

Alaska

Oil price states and drivers: An analysis of the second-month spot-futures price differential

Oil remains a dominant component of global energy use, and its price, characterized by frequent changes and an ever-present potential for large swings, continues to be a focus of industry participants, policymakers and analysts attention. Here, this study examines the behavior of future spot oil prices using a continuous-time hidden Markov model (HMM) and daily price data spanning years 2007 to 2024. We identify six states in the second-month WTI spot-futures price differential and assess the roles of eleven futures price, quantity, financial market, and geopolitical/volatility variables in each state. The model yields several insights into the workings of the oil market and the relative roles of these drivers. We find support for several theoretical and empirical findings in the oil market literature, including the role of inventory, volatility/risk, and market responses to contango/backwardation in futures markets. A novel finding is that “normal contango” conditions represent a significant portion of next-day states in our in-sample data. Under the most volatile normal contango state, many of the oil market drivers differ markedly in coefficient signs and magnitudes from those in other states. The resulting model also performed well out-of-sample and would, in addition to understanding the impact of market drivers, be useful for short-term forecasting. Overall, the findings highlight the highly non-linear, regime-dependent interactions of the oil price and its drivers, emphasizing the importance of detailed information to market stakeholders.

Oladosu, Gbadebo A. [Oak Ridge National Laboratory

Sentiment analysis of the United States public support of nuclear power on social media using large language models

This study utilized large language models (LLMs) to analyze public sentiment in the United States (US) regarding nuclear power on social media, focusing on X/Twitter, considering climate change challenges and advancements in nuclear power technology. Approximately, 1.26 million nuclear tweets from 2008–2023 were examined to fine-tune LLMs for sentiment classification. We found the crucial role of accurate data labeling for model performance, with potential implications for a 15% improvement, achieved through high-confidence labels. LLMs demonstrated better performance compared to traditional machine learning classifiers, with reduced susceptibility to overfitting and up to 96% classification accuracy. LLMs are used to segment the US public tweets into policy and energy-related categories, revealing that 68% are politically themed. Policy tweets tended to convey negative sentiment, often reflecting opposing political perspectives and focusing on nuclear deals and international relations. Energy-related tweets covered diverse topics with predominantly neutral to positive sentiment, indicating broad support for nuclear power in 48 out of 50 US states. The US public positive sentiments toward nuclear power stemmed from its high power density, reliability regardless of weather conditions, environmental benefits, application versatility, and recent innovations and advancements in both fission and fusion technologies. Negative sentiments primarily focused on waste management, high capital costs, and safety concerns. The neutral campaign highlighted global nuclear facts and advancements, with varying tones leaning towards positivity or negativity. An interesting neutral theme was the advocacy for the combined use of renewable and nuclear energy to attain net-zero goals.

Energy & Fuels

Model of Inverter-Based Resources

Blackbox modelling for SC analysis is a possible solution. Accuracy can be acceptable even without having vendor control diagrams. Is an NDA required to share a vendor Blackbox model for SC analysis? Differences in VRT detection and injection logics. Angle rotation is not addressed in control logics of most vendors. Current limitation logic during unbalanced faults is not clear. Model IBR as a current source with shunt to improve convergence

IBRs, Model of IBRs, Short Circuit Analysis, Class

REopt: Energy Decision Analysis Overview for NCSP+ States Collaborative [Slides]

This presentation offers an overview of NREL's REopt(R) web tool for the National Community Solar Partnership+ States Collaborative. REopt is a techno-economic modeling tool for evaluating distributed energy resources toward a site's cost savings and resilience goals. The presentation includes an overview of the REopt platform, a REopt web tool demonstration, and resources to learn more about REopt.

14 SOLAR ENERGY

Single-Particle Insights Into the Electronic Structure and Enhanced Stability of CsPbBr 3 /FAPbBr 3 Core/Crown Nanoplatelets at the Nanometer Scale

Colloidal perovskite nanoplatelets (NPLs), despite their exceptional optoelectronic properties, face significant challenges due to their intrinsic instability and trap-assisted non-radiative recombination. Although many studies employing surface engineering, such as selecting ligands or coating to passivate defects, have demonstrated improved optoelectronic properties, these enhancements are typically inferred from bulk-ensemble measurements; the effects at the single-particle level remain elusive. Here, we conduct single-particle-level studies using scanning tunneling spectroscopy (STS) on a unique core–crown system, CsPbBr 3 @FAPbBr 3 NPLs, where the lateral surfaces of the CsPbBr 3 core are coated with an FAPbBr 3 crown. Experimental density-of-states (DOS) analysis reveals a 47% reduction in deep-trap states in core-crown NPLs compared to core-only NPLs, consistent with nearly two-fold enhancements in photoluminescence quantum yields. Progressive I–V sweep measurements demonstrate superior electrical stability in core-crown NPLs, preserving band structure with minimal degradation, while core-only NPLs exhibit rapid bandgap shrinkage and trap formation. Density functional theory (DFT) calculations indicate that FA incorporation distorts Pb octahedral lattice, widening the bandgap. This study elucidates how surface engineering modulates charge localization, passivates defects, and enhances stability at the single-particle level. Moreover, by uncovering bias-induced trap states in single unpassivated NPLs, this study establishes a precise, robust approach for characterizing emerging perovskite nanocrystals.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY

Machine learning-powered data cleaning for LEGEND: a semi-supervised approach using affinity propagation and support vector machines

Neutrinoless double-beta decay ($0\nu\beta\beta$) is a rare nuclear process that, if observed, will provide insight into the nature of neutrinos and help explain the matter-antimatter asymmetry in the Universe. The large enriched germanium experiment for neutrinoless double-beta decay (LEGEND) will operate in two phases to search for $0\nu\beta\beta$. The first (second) stage will employ 200 (1000) kg of High-Purity Germanium (HPGe) enriched in 76 Ge to achieve a half-life sensitivity of 10 27 (10 28 ) years. In this study, we present a semi-supervised data-driven approach to remove non-physical events captured by HPGe detectors powered by a novel artificial intelligence model. We utilize affinity propagation to cluster waveform signals based on their shape and a support vector machine to classify them into different categories. We train, optimize, and test our model on data taken from a natural abundance HPGe detector installed in the Full Chain Test experimental stand at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. We demonstrate that our model yields a maximum sacrifice of physics events of $0.024 ^{+0.004}_{-0.003} \%$ after data cleaning. Our model is being used to accelerate data cleaning development for LEGEND-200 and will serve to improve data cleaning procedures for LEGEND-1000.

artificial intelligence

HFIR Steady State Heat Transfer Code (HSSHTC) Statistical Uncertainty Analysis

HSSHTC, the safety basis steady state TH code for HFIR, uses a highly conservative approach in which all input and calculation uncertainties are resolved simultaneously at their most limiting setting. This results in excessive conservatism which does not account for the high unlikelihood of such simultaneous worst-case conditions. The present study explores an alternative approach, BEPU, in which reasonable working assumptions for the probability distribution of each input uncertainty are used to determine a relationship between burnout power margin and core fuel failure probability. This was performed under a philosophy of perturbing uncertainty parameters already defined within the HSSHTC methodology while preserving the HSSHTC calculation approach and solution methodology itself. Based on the assumptions employed in this study, the BEPU approach resulted in a 0.29 increase in burnout power ratio (25 MW increase in burnout power) compared to the latest HSSHTC calculations of C-HFIR-2026-004. The study can be refined in the future by employing fuel fabrication data to provide more realistic input distributions. Future changes to the HSSHTC methodology would potentially allow a more comprehensive treatment of uncertainties which may further increase the burnout power ratio.

Wysocki, Aaron [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000222043779)

Bottomonium suppression in pNRQCD and open quantum system approach

By employing the potential non-relativistic quantum chromodynamics (pNRQCD) effective field theory within an open quantum system framework, we derive a Lindblad equation governing the evolution of the heavy-quarkonium reduced density matrix, accurate to next-to-leading order (NLO) in the ratio of the state's binding energy to the medium's temperature [1]. The derived NLO Lindblad equation provides a more reliable description of heavy-quarkonium evolution in the quark-gluon plasma at low temperatures compared to the leading-order truncation. For phenomenological applications, we numerically solve this equation using the quantum trajectories algorithm. By averaging over Monte Carlo-sampled quantum jumps, we obtain solutions without truncation in the angular momentum quantum number of the considered states. Our analysis highlights the importance of quantum jumps in the nonequilibrium evolution of bottomonium states within the quark-gluon plasma [2]. Additionally, we demonstrate that the quantum regeneration of singlet states from octet configurations is essential to explain experimental observations of bottomonium suppression. The heavy-quarkonium transport coefficients used in our study align with recent lattice QCD determinations.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS

X-ray Micro-Computed Tomography for Structural Analysis of All-Solid-State Battery at Pouch Cell Level

Characterizing the microstructure of all-solid-state batteries (ASSBs) during fabrication and operation is vital for their advancement, particularly as scaling to pouch cell levels introduces challenges in probing large-scale microstructural evolution. This work highlights the potential of synchrotron X-ray micro-computed tomography (sXCT) as a nondestructive, rapid (<30 min), and high-resolution technique for visualizing and quantifying key microstructural features, including overhang, porosity, contact loss, active surface area, and tortuosity, in all-solid-state pouch cells. The large field of view (up to millimeters) of sXCT enables detailed analysis at an industry-relevant scale, bridging the gap between laboratory research and commercial applications. Furthermore, integrating realistic sXCT-derived 3D models into multiphysics simulations could provide insights into chemo-mechanical degradation, particularly at the edges of the pouch cells, offering a pathway for designing robust, high-performance ASSBs. This perspective establishes sXCT as an indispensable tool for advancing both the understanding and the engineering of next-generation energy storage systems.

25 ENERGY STORAGE

Prediction of the Cu oxidation state from EELS and XAS spectra using supervised machine learning

Abstract Electron energy loss spectroscopy (EELS) and X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) provide detailed information about bonding, distributions and locations of atoms, and their coordination numbers and oxidation states. However, analysis of XAS/EELS data often relies on matching an unknown experimental sample to a series of simulated or experimental standard samples. This limits analysis throughput and the ability to extract quantitative information from a sample. In this work, we have trained a random forest model capable of predicting the oxidation state of copper based on its L-edge spectrum. Our model attains an R 2 score of 0.85 and a root mean square error of 0.24 on simulated data. It has also successfully predicted experimental L-edge EELS spectra taken in this work and XAS spectra extracted from the literature. We further demonstrate the utility of this model by predicting simulated and experimental spectra of mixed valence samples generated by this work. This model can be integrated into a real-time EELS/XAS analysis pipeline on mixtures of copper-containing materials of unknown composition and oxidation state. By expanding the training data, this methodology can be extended to data-driven spectral analysis of a broad range of materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE

Collinear ferromagnetism with reduced moment length in kagome magnet Nd 3 ⁢Ru 4 ⁢Al 12

Here, we determine the magnetic ground state of the kagome lattice magnet Nd 3 ⁢Ru 4⁢ Al 12 by single-crystal neutron diffraction, supported by experiments with polarized neutrons. We identify this material as a collinear ferromagnet (“hex-FM”) with uniform moment length and ordering vector 𝑸 = 0, in contrast to a previous, seminal report that proposed unequal moment lengths on two Nd sites, here called the “ortho-FM” state. Our analysis of the flipping ratio in polarized neutron scattering is consistent with the hex-FM state. The results provide a microscopic basis for understanding the large fluctuation-induced Hall and Nernst responses near 𝑇 C ≈ 41K, as previously reported for Nd 3 ⁢Ru 4 ⁢Al 12 .

RKKY interaction

MURR LEU structural and thermal hydraulics analyses: Part II – Impacts of irradiation thermo-mechanical behavior on thermal hydraulics safety analyses

A series of structural analyses have been performed to support the conversion of the University of Missouri Research Reactor (MURR) from the use of highly enriched uranium (HEU; ≥20 wt% U-235) to low-enriched uranium (LEU; <20 wt% U-235) fuel. The irradiation thermo-mechanical analysis evaluated the effects of fuel swelling, irradiation creep, thermal expansion, as well as thermal resistance from the oxide layer growth for the MURR LEU element in prototypic thermal and irradiation conditions as presented in Part I of this article. Overall, this irradiation thermo-mechanical analysis predicts smaller gap thickness reductions in previously limiting regions, and larger reductions in the middle of the outermost end channels where power density is not typically a maximum. Due to substantial differences between the channel gap reductions assumed for the previous safety analyses and those predicted by the irradiation thermo-mechanical analysis, a need to evaluate their impact on the thermal hydraulics safety analyses arose. This article presents the results from the steady-state safety analysis for normal operation as well as the two most limiting accident scenarios. The calculation models were revised in order to account for the spatial and temporal variation of the channel gap thicknesses. The results show that sufficient safety margins are still maintained for normal operation as well as during the postulated accident transients. This work provides a methodology of incorporating the irradiation thermo-mechanical behavior of plate-type fuel into the thermal hydraulics safety analyses.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS

How Does Metal Spin State Affect Electronic Communication in Mixed-Valence Dimers? Insights from Ultrafast Near-Infrared and Soft X-ray Transient Absorption Spectroscopy

Recent advancements in photocatalysis, photovoltaics, and quantum information science take advantage of electron spin, and determining how spin multiplicity affects electron transfer is key to understanding these phenomena. Here, in this study, we examine how metal spin state affects electronic communication in an organometallic mixed-valence dimer, ferrocenyl cobaltocenium ([Fe II Cp 2 Co III Cp 2 ] + ). This complex can be photoexcited from its low-spin singlet Fe II ground state to form intermediate-spin triplet Fe II and high-spin quintet Fe II excited states. Using femtosecond optical transient absorption (OTA) spectroscopy with visible (vis), near-infrared (NIR), and short-wave IR (SWIR) probes, supported by time-dependent density functional theory (TD-DFT) calculations, we measure Fe II Co III →Fe III Co II intervalence charge transfer (IVCT) bands in each of the Fe II spin states. Mulliken–Hush analysis of the excited-state IVCT bands was used to compute the electronic coupling between the metal centers in all three spin states, which increased as quintet < triplet < singlet. Meanwhile, the peak energy of the bands, and thus the ΔG of the IVCT transition, increased as triplet < quintet < singlet. Then, to directly probe the electronic structure at each metal center, we employed picosecond soft X-ray transient absorption (XTA) spectroscopy at the Fe and Co L 3 edges. Our results show that the low-spin and high-spin states of [Fe II Cp 2 Co III Cp 2 ] + are valence-localized, while the intermediate-spin state is partially delocalized. The differences in charge delocalization are attributed to differences in orbital occupation and geometry that affect the free energy and superexchange coupling.

Burke, John H. [Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Champa

What to Support When You’re Compressing

Over the last nearly 20 years, lossy compression has become an essential aspect of HPC applications’ data pipelines, allowing them to overcome limitations in storage capacity and bandwidth and, in some cases, increase computational throughput and capacity. However, with the adoption of lossy compression comes the requirement to assess and control the impact lossy compression has on scientific outcomes. In this work, we take a major step forward in describing the state of practice and by characterizing workloads. We examine applications’ needs and compressors’ capabilities across 9 different supercomputing application domains. We present 24 takeaways that provide best practices for applications, operational impacts for facilities achieving compressed data, and gaps in application needs not addressed by production compressors that point towards opportunities for future compression research.

Error-Bounded Lossy Compression

Low-Lying Excited States of Linear All- Trans Polyenes: Insights from Analytic Gradient and Nonadiabatic Coupling Calculations Based on Multireference Configuration Interaction

Polyenes serve as a rigorous test for theoretical models and electronic structure methods, playing a key role in advancing computational and theoretical chemistry. Here, we present a high-level theoretical investigation of linear, all-trans polyenes using energy gradients and nonadiabatic coupling vectors based on an MR-CISD wave function to describe electronic transitions involving the ground state (1 1 A g – ) and three low-lying excited states (2 1 A g – , 1 1 B u + , and 2 1 B u – ) of hexatriene, octatetraene, and decapentaene. This approach enables accurate evaluation of both adiabatic and vertical excitation and emission energies, yielding results in excellent agreement with experiment, as well as locating minima on the crossing seam between adiabatic states. Our results show that vertical excitation energies to the 1 1 B u + state are blue-shifted by 0.2–0.3 eV relative to the experimental absorption maximum, whereas the vertical emission energy from the 2 1 A g – state is red-shifted by ∼0.2 eV relative to the experimental emission maximum. Upon relaxation from the Franck–Condon geometry, the 2 1 A g – state stabilizes by around 1 eV, compared to 0.2–0.3 eV for the 1 1 B u + state. An analysis of the S 1 /S 0 crossing seam in hexatriene shows that its minimum involves asymmetric backbone deformations and provides an efficient channel for ultrafast internal conversion to the ground state, consistent with the absence of detectable fluorescence in this molecule. These results demonstrate the power of analytic gradients and nonadiabatic coupling vectors based on an MR-CISD wave function for accurately characterizing the electronic structure and photophysics of polyenes.

Excited states

Neural posterior unfolding

Differential cross section measurements are the currency of scientific exchange in particle and nuclear physics. A key challenge for these analyses is the correction for detector distortions, known as deconvolution or unfolding. Binned unfolding of cross section measurements traditionally rely on the regularized inversion of the response matrix that represents the detector response, mapping pre-detector (`particle level') observables to post-detector (`detector level') observables. In this paper we introduce Neural Posterior Unfolding, a modern, Bayesian approach that leverages normalizing flows for unfolding. By using normalizing flows for neural posterior estimation, NPU offers several key advantages including implicit regularization through the neural network architecture, fast amortized inference that eliminates the need for repeated retraining, and direct access to the full uncertainty in the unfolded result. In addition to introducing NPU, we implement a classical Bayesian unfolding method called Fully Bayesian Unfolding (FBU) in modern Python so it can also be studied. These tools are validated on simple Gaussian examples and then tested on simulated jet substructure examples from the Large Hadron Collider (LHC). We find that the Bayesian methods are effective and worth additional development to be analysis ready for cross section measurements at the LHC and beyond.

Analysis and statistical methods

Neutrino Physics with Deep Learning on NOvA

The NOvA experiment has made both νμ \nu_\mu disappearance and νe \nu_e appearance measurements in Fermilab's NuMI beam, and is working on cross section measurements using near detector data. At the core of NOvA's measurements is the use of deep learning algorithms for identification and reconstruction of the neutrino flavor and energy. These algorithms, used for the first time on NOvA in 2016, yielded large improvements in selection efficiency, and will be applied to our first anti-neutrino results to be released this year. Presented here is the extension of our deep learning efforts for identification of neutrino signal events, final state identification, single particle tagging, and reconstruction using instance segmentation techniques. We will describe the new implementations of modified Convolutional Neural Networks for anti-neutrino events, single particles and their performance for analysis final states selection, standard candle measurements, and reconstruction.

Psihas, Fernanda [Indiana U.]