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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 361 records · Page 20

Osmotic control of the spacing of parallel shear cracks in shale growing subcritically in geologic past

The geological genesis of natural cracks in sedimentary rocks such as shale is a problem that needs to be understood to improve the technology of hydraulic fracturing as well as deep sequestration of harmful fluids. Why are the vertical natural cracks roughly parallel and equidistant, and why is the spacing roughly 10 cm rather than 1 cm or 100 cm? Fracture mechanics of critical cracks cannot answer this question. Neither can the material heterogeneity. The growth of critical parallel cracks is impossible because the relative crack face displacements would immediately localize into one crack, leading to an earthquake. The cracks must have formed, on the tectonic time scale, by a slow growth of subcritical shear cracks governed by the Charles-Evans law. The idea advanced here is that what controls the crack spacing is the balance between the reduction, due to shear dilatancy, of the concentration of ions such as Na + and Cl - in each fracture process zone (PFZ), which decelerates the cracks, and the restoration of ion concentration by diffusion of ions from the space between the cracks into the FPZ. This diffusion of water is driven mainly by the osmotic pressure gradient, which offsets the deceleration and depends strongly on the crack spacing. A simple analytical solution of the steady state is rendered possible by approximating the ion concentration profiles between adjacent cracks by parabolic arcs. Applying this theory to Woodford shale yields the approximate crack spacing of 10 cm, which is realistic. Furthermore, the stability of unlimited parallel mode II frictional crack growth is proven by examining the second variation of the free energy. Water concentration drop in the FPZ due to shear dilatancy and its restoration by water diffusion from the inter-crack space have similar effect, although probably much weaker.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Martensitic transformation induced strength-ductility synergy in additively manufactured maraging 250 steel by thermal history engineering

Maraging steels are known for their exceptional strength but suffer from limited work hardening and ductility. Here, in this study, we report an intermittent printing strategy to tailor the microstructure and mechanical properties of maraging 250 steel via tuning the thermal history during wire-arc directed energy deposition. By introducing a dwell time between adjacent layers, the maraging 250 steel is cooled below the martensite start temperature, triggering thermally-driven martensitic transformation during the printing process. Thermal cycling during subsequent layer deposition results in the formation of reverted austenite which shows a refined microstructure and induces elemental segregation between martensite and reverted austenite. The Ni enrichment in the austenite promotes stabilization of the reverted austenite upon cooling to room temperature. The reverted austenite is metastable during deformation, leading to strain-induced martensitic transformation under loading. Specifically, a 3 min interlayer dwell time produces a maraging 250 steel with approximately 8% reverted austenite, resulting in improved work hardening via martensitic transformation induced plasticity during deformation. Meanwhile, the higher cooling rate and refined prior austenite grains lead to substantially refined martensitic grains (by approximately fivefold) together with an increased dislocation density. With 3 min interlayer dwell time, the yield strength of the printed maraging 250 steel increases from 836 MPa to 990 MPa, and the uniform elongation is doubled from 3.2% to 6.5%. This intermittent deposition strategy demonstrates the potential to tune the microstructure of maraging steels for achieving strength-ductility synergy by engineering the thermal history during additive manufacturing.

Additive manufacturing↗

O'Hare Airport roadway traffic prediction via data fusion and Gaussian process regression

This study proposes an approach of leveraging information gathered from multiple traffic data sources at different resolutions to obtain approximate inference on the traffic distribution of Chicago's O'Hare Airport area. Specifically, it proposes the ingestion of traffic datasets at different resolutions to build spatiotemporal models for predicting the distribution of traffic volume on the road network. Due to its good adaptability and flexibility for spatiotemporal data, the Gaussian process (GP) regression was employed to provide short-term forecasts using data collected by loop detectors (sensors) and supplemented by telematics data. The GP regression is used to make predictions of the distribution of the proportion of sensor data traffic volume represented by the telematics data for each location of the sensors. Consequently, the fitted GP model can be used to determine the approximate traffic distribution for a testing location outside of the training points. Policymakers in the transportation sector can find the results of this work helpful for making informed decisions relating to current and future transportation conditions in the area.

42 ENGINEERING↗

FIB-ToF-SIMS characterization of irradiated U-10Zr

Post-irradiation examination (PIE) is critical for the performance assessment and qualification of nuclear fuels. Secondary ion mass spectrometry (SIMS) is a powerful materials characterization technique that allows for elemental and isotopic mapping with a depth resolution greater than EDS and EPMA. However, it has not yet been applied to PIE of metallic nuclear fuel. Here, in this work, we characterize an fast neutron spectrum irradiated U-10Zr fuel sample using a time-of-flight SIMS (ToF-SIMS) system connected to a FIB/SEM system, which allows for flexible sample analysis compared to a dedicated ToF-SIMS instrument. Analysis of the resulting hyperspectral micrograph data was aided by the development of an unsupervised machine learning (ML) algorithm that iterates on existing methods to segment the 3D micrographic datasets based on the similarity of mass spectra. The results showed that the FIB-ToF-SIMS instrument was potentially capable of spatially resolving closed fission gas bubbles in 3D by continued ion sputtering of the analyzed volume. Additionally, the ML algorithm proved useful in revealing the chemical segregation of light fission products (those with an atomic mass between approximately 85–105 amu, such as ruthenium and rhodium) plus matrix zirconium, heavy fission products (those with an atomic mass between approximately 135–150 amu, such as the lanthanides) and uranium. Future studies are planned to conduct FIB-ToF-SIMS analysis on more irradiated U-Zr samples to study the constituent redistribution.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Effect of stoichiometry and hydration level on water domain size and transport in poly(aryl piperidinium) alkaline anion-exchange membranes

Alkaline water electrolysis holds promise in decarbonizing the global economy by enabling renewable hydrogen production with non-precious group metal catalysts. Anion exchange membranes are an important component of alkaline water electrolyzers and would ideally be durable while allowing for high hydroxide conductivity. The poly(aryl piperidinium) (PAP) class of polymers has attracted recent interest due to their good mechanical robustness and high ionic conductivity. Here, in this work, we perform atomistic molecular dynamics (MD) simulations of several PAP polymers at experimentally relevant hydration levels and polymer ion exchange capacities (IECs) to gain nanoscale insight into their properties and to help elucidate the trade-offs that result from tuning the IECs through the polymer stoichiometry. Our MD-predicted macroscopic polymer properties were found to be in good agreement with experimentally available polymer swelling ratios, water-occupied volumes, X-ray scattering, and ionic conductivities. The models show that for hydration levels greater than 8H 2 O per cation a single water cluster will form that percolates through the system. The growth in water cluster size results in large polymer swelling, the creation of larger channels with widths of 7 Å or larger, and nanophase separation between the hydrophilic domains and the polymer with characteristic length scales of approximately 20–30 Å. The experimentally observed lack of a strong X-ray scattering peak at low wavevectors can be explained by a cancellation between the polymer-polymer/water-water and polymer-water correlations and not a loss in nanophase separation. The overlap in coordination environments of the hydroxide oxygen and polymer nitrogen atoms implies that vehicular diffusion between cationic groups could play a role in hydroxide transport. The polymers' hydroxide and water diffusion constants increase by approximately an order of magnitude between hydration levels of 8 and 20H 2 O per cation. However, there are diminishing returns in hydroxide diffusion constant once the IEC exceeds 2.4 meq/g.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Development of a high-throughput method for processing sponge-stick samples to detect viable Bacillus anthracis spores

Since the national validation of the sponge-stick based method for detection of Bacillus anthracis spores in environmental samples, there have not been focused efforts to address the low throughput nature of the method, which processes only one sample at one time. Sample processing remains a serious bottleneck for rapidly analyzing large numbers of samples expected from a biological warfare attack. Therefore, we developed a high-throughput method to simultaneously process multiple sponge-stick samples to be better prepared for rapid response and recovery after wide area anthrax incidents. In this method, sponges are placed in 50 mL tubes containing 25 mL extraction buffer and shaken to release spores, after which the suspension is recovered for analysis. Here, we determined that an additional extraction step, conducted in the same tubes with 10 mL buffer, further increased spore recovery from sponge-stick by approximately 10 %. We determined that orbital shaking and multi-tube vortexing were both more effective than reciprocating shaking for recovering spores. We conducted simultaneous processing of up to 12 sponge-stick samples and demonstrated comparable spore recovery efficiencies to the traditional low-throughput stomacher-based method (approximately 60 % recovery at 10 2 -spore level and 75 % recovery at 10 4 -spore level for both methods in three replicate experiments, P > 0.05 for two-tailed t-tests for each experiment and spore level). We also demonstrated that our high-throughput method could be integrated with Rapid Viability-Polymerase Chain Reaction (RV-PCR) analysis and could detect levels as low as 40 spores per sponge even when challenged by a PCR particulate contaminant.

Anthrax↗

Uncertainty guided online ensemble for non-stationary data streams in fusion science

Machine Learning (ML) is poised to play a pivotal role in the development and operation of next-generation fusion devices. Fusion data shows non-stationary behavior with distribution drifts, resulted by both experimental evolution and machine wear-and-tear. ML models assume stationary distribution and fail to maintain performance when encountered with such non-stationary data streams. Online learning techniques have been leveraged in other domains, however it has been largely unexplored for fusion applications. In this paper, we investigate online learning for continuous adaptation to drifting data streams in the prediction of Toroidal Field (TF) coils deflection at the DIII-D fusion facility. We further address the short-term performance degradation inherent to standard online learning, which arises because ground truth is unavailable at prediction time. To mitigate this issue, we propose an uncertainty-guided online ensemble framework. The method leverages the Deep Gaussian Process Approximation (DGPA) for calibrated uncertainty estimation and uses these uncertainty measures to guide a meta-algorithm that aggregates predictions from learners trained over different historical horizons. Our results show that online learning reduces prediction error by 80% compared to a static model. The online ensemble and the proposed uncertainty-guided ensemble further reduce error by approximately 6%, and 10% respectively, relative to standard single-model online learning, while also providing calibrated uncertainty estimates to support operational decision-making.

AI↗

Structural coherence model for predicting molten salt thermal conductivity informed by the pair distribution function

To enable thermal behavior prediction and design optimization of molten salt reactors, thermal conductivity of molten salts must be characterized in terms of salt composition and temperature. Current theoretical models fail to provide consistent approximations for all halide mixtures, particularly actinide-bearing melts. This study aims to link the short-range order structure of molten salts to the mean free path of energy carriers through a simple structural coherence model informed by the partial pair distribution function. The proposed method is used to predict the thermal conductivity of 33 alkali and alkaline earth halide salts. Predictions approximate experimental measurements with a mean absolute error of 15.7% for dissociating, complexing, and actinide salts, including unary LiCl, NaCl, and MgCl 2 as well as mixtures LiF–NaF–KF (FLiNaK), LiF–BeF 2 (FLiBe), and NaCl–UCl 3 . The work provides evidence for the validity of energy carrier descriptions of molecular-level heat transfer in molten salts, with implications for improved theories of liquid energy transport in general.

Actinide mixtures↗

Jensen–Shannon divergence based novel loss functions for Bayesian neural networks

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) are state-of-the-art machine learning methods that can naturally regularize and systematically quantify uncertainties using their stochastic parameters. Kullback–Leibler (KL) divergence-based variational inference used in BNNs suffer from unstable optimization and challenges in approximating light-tailed posteriors due to the unbounded nature of the KL divergence. To resolve these issues, we formulate a novel loss function for BNNs based on a new modification to the generalized Jensen–Shannon (JS) divergence, which is bounded. In addition, we propose a Geometric JS divergence-based loss, which is computationally efficient since it can be evaluated analytically. We found that the JS divergence-based variational inference is intractable, and hence employed a constrained optimization framework to formulate these losses. Our theoretical analysis and empirical experiments on multiple regression and classification data sets suggest that the proposed losses perform better than the KL divergence-based loss, especially when the data sets are noisy or biased. Specifically, there are approximately 5% and 8% improvements in accuracy for a noise-added CIFAR-10 dataset and a regression dataset, respectively. There is about 13% reduction in false negative predictions of a biased histopathology dataset. Additionally, we quantify and compare the uncertainty metrics for the regression and classification tasks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Charge collection efficiency of diamond and silicon sensors irradiated with alpha particles

To evaluate the viability of using semiconductors as sensor materials in a detector for the Associated Particle Imaging technique, the radiation hardness of silicon and diamond diodes to alpha particles has been assessed. Here, the detector lifetimes for both silicon and diamond sensors were measured under the prolonged exposure to alpha particles emitted by an 241 Am source. The silicon detector was exposed to alpha radiation for approximately two months, reaching an accumulated fluence of ~ 1.5 x 10 12 α cm –2 . Additionally, by using a high purity single-crystal diamond with coplanar electrodes operating with full charge collection, the diamond detector response was measured over approximately ten months reaching an accumulated fluence of over 6 x 10 12 α cm –2 cm.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Molecular dynamics study of interstitial He clusters in nickel

This study presents a molecular dynamics analysis focusing on the behavior of interstitial helium (He) clusters in nickel (Ni), examining their formation, stability, and migration energetics. Consistent with previous research, we found that the binding energies of interstitial helium within a helium cluster are positive and increase with the cluster size, indicating a preference for helium atoms to cluster together. However, our findings also reveal that while the formation energy increases monotonically with cluster size, the increase in binding energy is non-monotonic. Importantly, small He clusters were observed to be thermally unstable at reactor operational temperatures (approximately 600 K), with the He 2 cluster exhibiting instability even at room temperature. With a binding energy of 0.49 eV for a He 4 cluster, we hypothesize that for helium bubbles to form via homogeneous nucleation (i.e., through trap mutation) at reactor operating temperatures, the helium concentration must be high enough to facilitate the formation of helium clusters of at least size 4 or larger. As expected, interstitial helium and small helium clusters are highly mobile. This mobility was observed not only at room temperature but also at temperatures as low as approximately 200 K. Furthermore, the mean squared displacement method has been utilized to determine the migration barriers and the corresponding prefactors for clusters ranging from He 1 to He 6

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Wrought FeCrAl alloy (C26M) cladding behavior and burst under simulated loss-of-coolant accident conditions

Cladding burst experiments for FeCrAl cladding were performed in the Severe Accident Test Station facility at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. These experiments were simulated using the BISON fuel performance code to better understand the cladding plastic behavior and failure under simulated loss-of-coolant accident conditions. 3D cladding surface boundary conditions were generated using composite axial and azimuthal profiles from experiment thermocouple data. To improve the simulation analysis capabilities in BISON for cladding burst behavior, new thermal creep, plasticity, and failure stress models specific to C26M, a wrought FeCrAl alloy, were developed and implemented. Initial cladding burst results indicated a general underprediction in the failure temperature of the six cladding burst simulations versus the observed failure temperatures. Close investigation of the experiment timing versus the underlying tensile test data revealed that, compared with the tensile specimens, the cladding tubes did not experience the same long holding time at high temperatures. New tensile tests were performed at high temperatures using a temperature ramp similar to the simulated loss-of-coolant accident experiments. These new tensile curves showed an approximately 80% increase in the ultimate tensile strength of the C26M alloy, indicating that a holding time of 10 min at 700 °C and 800 °C allows annealing to change the material microstructure. Using the updated tensile properties, the burst temperatures and stresses from the simulations showed remarkable agreement with the experimental results. This study was then extended by varying the initial pressure to highlight the burst temperature difference between standard Zircaloy-4 and C26M cladding under equivalent conditions. The results show that C26M has a burst temperature that is approximately 70–130 K greater than that of Zircaloy-4. In conclusion, these modeling predictions can be further improved by collecting high-temperature tensile data for C26M beyond the temperature ranges used in this work.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Scalability analysis of heavy-duty gas turbines using data-driven machine learning

With the increasing integration of variable renewable energy sources into power systems, the role of flexible power generation technologies like gas turbines (GT) in rapid grid balancing remains crucial. This sustained importance underscores the need for scaled and precise modeling of GT to ensure effective integration within evolving energy frameworks. While physics-driven GT models integrate thermodynamics, fluid dynamics, and combustion principles, they often rely on approximate mathematical representations to accommodate scaling that may not capture the actual complex dynamics for GTs and inertial effects associated to GTs with different ratings. In this study, a data-driven model is proposed using machine learning (ML) techniques to conduct GT scalability analysis and performance evaluation with high accuracy. The ML model, trained on data from various operating conditions and performance parameters, aims to uncover intricate relationships and patterns, resembling GT characteristics at different scales (ratings). The model is developed to capture complex system interaction and to adapt to changing operational scenarios at different capacities, providing valuable insights of power system dynamics. In this study, the real-time digital simulator platform was employed to generate training data for the ML model and assess its dynamic characteristics. The ultimate objective was to develop a detailed modeling framework based on governing equations and data-driven ML capable of predicting key performance indicators, in thermal systems such as GTs, including power output, speed, fuel consumption, and exhaust temperature under diverse operating conditions at different scales. The developed ML framework demonstrated high accuracy, with mean relative errors for GT power prediction, reference speed, exhaust temperature, and compressor pressure ratio (CPR) parameters consistently below 0.1% across typical load fluctuation scenarios. Maximum deviations were limited to approximately 0.5 K for exhaust temperature and 0.009 for CPR, underscoring the model’s ability to replicating dynamic GT behavior with high precision. The adaptability of the ML model enables its application across diverse operational conditions and its extension to other thermal systems. By leveraging advanced ML techniques, this study presents a robust and scalable modeling framework that enhances GT simulation precision, facilitating improved integration into evolving power systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Second-order wave excitation forces in WEC-Sim/MOST: Implementation, experimental validation, and code-to-code comparison

Accurate prediction of second-order hydrodynamic loads is essential for floating bodies, including floating offshore wind turbines, wave energy converters, and hybrid wind–wave platforms. These nonlinear effects, arising from both sum- and difference-frequency forcing, are critical for capturing key response characteristics but remain challenging to model efficiently. In this work, we extend the open-source Wave Energy Converter Simulator / MATLAB for Offshore Simulation Tool by implementing second-order wave excitation forces, supporting both the full Quadratic Transfer Function formulation and the Newman approximation. The full Quadratic Transfer Function method is used for all code-to-code comparisons and experimental validation, while the Newman approximation is provided as a computationally lighter alternative. To benchmark the new capability, we perform a code-to-code comparison with OpenFAST and OrcaFlex. We then validate the enhanced model using wave-tank measurements of a 1:96 scale DeepCwind semi-submersible, showing that second-order effects are required to reproduce platform motions. The implementation employs a computationally efficient pre-computation strategy for second-order wave excitation forces, reducing simulation cost while maintaining engineering accuracy. Overall, this work advances the tool as an open-source and versatile tool for modelling floating offshore renewable-energy systems requiring second-order hydrodynamic fidelity.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Urbanization exacerbates continental- to regional-scale warming

Urbanization is usually ignored when estimating past changes in large-scale climate and for future climate projections since cities historically covered a small fraction of the Earth’s surface. Here, by combining global land surface temperature observations with historical estimates of urban area, we demonstrate that the urban contribution to continental- to regional-scale warming has become non-negligible, especially for rapidly urbanizing regions and countries in Asia. Consequently, expected urban expansion over the next century suggests further increased urban influence on large-scale surface climate in the future (approximately 0.16 K for North America and Europe for high-emission scenario in 2100). Based on these results, also seen for air temperature, we argue that, in line with other forms of land use/land cover change, urbanization should be explicitly included in climate change assessments. This requires incorporation of dynamic urban extent and biophysics in current-generation Earth system models to quantify potential urban feedback on the climate system across scales.

Chakraborty, TC↗

Dynamics of McMillan mappings I. McMillan multipoles

In this article, we consider two dynamical systems: the McMillan sextupole and octupole integrable mappings, originally proposed by Edwin McMillan. Both represent the simplest symmetric McMillan maps, characterized by a single intrinsic parameter. While these systems find numerous applications across various domains of mathematics and physics, some of their dynamical properties remain unexplored. We aim to bridge this gap by providing a comprehensive description of all stable trajectories, including the parametrization of invariant curves, Poincaré rotation numbers, and canonical action–angle variables. In the second part, we establish connections between these maps and general chaotic maps in standard form. Our investigation reveals that the McMillan sextupole and octupole serve as first-order approximations of the dynamics around the fixed point, akin to the linear map and quadratic invariant (known as the Courant–Snyder invariant in accelerator physics), which represents zeroth-order approximations (referred to as linearization). Furthermore, we propose a novel formalism for nonlinear Twiss parameters, which accounts for the dependence of rotation number on amplitude. This stands in contrast to conventional betatron phase advance used in accelerator physics, which remains independent of amplitude. Notably, in the context of accelerator physics, this new formalism demonstrates its capability in predicting dynamical aperture around low-order resonances for flat beams, a critical aspect in beam injection/extraction scenarios.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Fluorinated polythiophenes with ester side chains for boosting the V OC and efficiency in non-fullerene polymer solar cells

As the power conversion efficiency (PCE) of organic photovoltaics (OPVs) approximates the 19 % threshold, wide bandgap (WBG) polythiophenes (PTs) have gained increasing attention due to their simple chemical structures and ease of synthesis, making them promising candidates for large-scale production. However, the benchmark polymer poly(3-hexylthiophene) (P3HT) is limited by its high-lying HOMO energy level, which restricts the open-circuit voltage (V OC ) in solar cells. Here, in this study, we introduce a novel series of PT derivatives (PDC8-T, PDC8-3T, PDC16-3T, and PDC16-3T-2F) featuring ester side chains designed to fine-tune electronic properties through a streamlined three-step synthesis. Additionally, we incorporated a π-spacer to reduce steric hindrance and elongated alkyl side chains to improve solubility and processability. Compared to P3HT, these PT derivatives demonstrate a significant reduction in HOMO energy levels, lowering by approximately 0.3–0.4 eV. Among them, PDC16-3T-2F—with fluorine atom substitution—achieves the lowest HOMO energy level, induces a coplanar molecular conformation, and enhances polymer aggregation behavior. We evaluated these PT derivatives in inverted non-fullerene bulk-heterojunction (NFA BHJ) OPVs. The PDC8-3T device showed a relatively low PCE of 0.69 %, with a V OC of 0.76 V, a short-circuit current density (J SC ) of 3.32 mA/cm 2 , and a fill factor (FF) of 27.3 %. In contrast, the PDC16-3T-2F device achieved an impressive PCE of 7.21 %, with a V OC of 0.85 V, a J SC of 14.60 mA/cm 2 , and an FF of 58.4 %. This remarkable improvement is attributed to the fluorine substitution, which not only enhances molecular orientation but also downshifts the HOMO energy level and further boosts the V OC . Hence, these molecular design strategies have led to a fibrillar bicontinuous interpenetrating network with optimal nanoscale phase separation within the active layer.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Assessment of flamelet/progress variable methods for supersonic combustion

Tabulated chemistry models, including the flamelet/progress variable approach, have been successfully used for a variety of turbulent flame simulations. The progress variable describes the progress of reactions in a system and parameterizes a lookup table of thermochemical variables. This approach reduces the cost of simulations, transporting only one scalar (progress variable) instead of the many species mass fractions required for detailed chemistry. Originally developed for low Mach number flame simulations, recent works have focused on extensions of this approach to compressible flames, supersonic combustion, and detonations, with applications such as scramjet combustors and rotating detonation engines. Unlike low Mach simulations, compressible flow simulations require solving the energy transport equation, which is coupled to the equation of state. This leads to additional modeling challenges regarding the thermodynamics and its impact on the chemistry. The validity of modeling assumptions, for example the relationship between energy and temperature, also varies with the combustion regime. The present work provides a detailed assessment of the existing strategies for chemistry tabulation for compressible/supersonic combustion, including detonations. A priori analysis indicates that approximations which are reasonable for weakly compressible flames may break down for shock-induced combustion. Furthermore, the analysis identifies specific assumptions and approximations that do not hold for detonations, emphasizing that care must be taken when applying tabulated chemistry models outside their intended combustion regimes.

Detonations↗